TCS
Plan for 21st August and analysis of important setups. Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
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please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
TCS Chart Analysis: Key Trends and Predictions for August 2025**TCS Historical Pullbacks Analysis and Outlook**
Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) has exhibited a remarkable long-term uptrend, punctuated by a series of significant corrections. Your chart annotation highlights a compelling technical pattern: TCS has experienced three major pullbacks of approximately **27%** each over the past decade. These deep corrections have historically been followed by periods of robust recovery and new highs.
Interestingly, your chart also marks two exceptional occasions where the stock witnessed even deeper corrections, around **34%**, the most recent of which may still be in progress. The ability of TCS to consistently bounce back after such steep declines testifies to its underlying strength, market leadership, and the confidence of long-term investors.
**Key Insights From the Chart:**
- **Three 27% Pullbacks:** Marked by distinct blue boxes, each of these corrections provided attractive accumulation opportunities, and each was followed by renewed bullish momentum.
- **Rare 34% Corrections:** These are far less frequent, indicating abnormal market stress or broader corrections, but also highlight zones of potential capitulation and renewed accumulation.
- **Current Status:** The latest price action suggests another 34% pullback may be underway or nearing completion, as marked in orange annotation.
**Strategic Takeaway:**
Given TCS’s proven track record of recovery after such corrections, investors may view these deep pullbacks as strategic buying opportunities for the long term. Patience and discipline are critical, as the stock often rewards those who accumulate during periods of pessimism.
**Conclusion:**
TCS remains a robust large-cap IT pick. Historical patterns suggest that major corrections—while unnerving—tend to precede strong rallies. Investors should watch for signs of stabilization and reversal to position themselves for the next phase of growth, always aligning choices with personal risk tolerance.
"TCS Takes a COVID-Style Dive Again – Is It Time to Buy?"Price Action History:
During the COVID crash, TCS fell nearly 35% from its top, eventually taking support at the 100 EMA on the monthly chart and staging a strong bounce.
In 2022 (June,july,Sep,Oct), around 3000 zone was tested multiple times, followed by a significant rally.
📊 Current Scenario:
Once again, TCS is trading near the ₹2950–₹3000 zone, which coincides with the 100-month EMA – a historically proven support level.
Price action suggests we are at a critical inflection point similar to past major bottoms.
✅ Key Technical Levels:
Support Zone: ₹2950–₹3000 (100 EMA Monthly+ 2022 support level)
Immediate Resistance: ₹3300–₹3400
Upside Potential: A bounce similar to COVID & 2022 patterns could trigger a strong upside move.
Trading Strategy:
if you are short term trader Keep a strict stop-loss below ₹2900 (monthly close basis) or 100 monthly EMA
Position sizing is key – don’t over-leverage.
🔎 Conclusion:
For long term trader This zone has historically acted as a strong accumulation area for long-term investors. If history repeats, this could be a high probability buying opportunity for swing and positional traders.
Fundamental Factor
Net Profit (Q1 FY26) ₹12,760 cr (+6% YoY)
Revenue Growth +1.3% YoY (−3.1% in CC)
Operating Margin 24.5% (↑30 bps QoQ)
Trailing P/E 22× (vs 5‑yr average ~24‑26×)
Dividend Yield 2.0%
ROE /ROCE 52%/64%
TCS Near Major Support !
TCS is approaching a critical multi-month support zone between ₹2,880–₹2,860. This level has previously acted as a reliable demand zone in June and July. A retest and breakdown below ₹2,875 may open the gates for further downside toward ₹2,810.
However, a bounce from this support — backed by volume and a strong daily close — could push the stock back to the ₹3,040–₹3,080 resistance range.
🔻 TCS – Approaching Major Support (Daily)
CMP: ₹2,890 (as of Aug 2, 2025)
Support Zone: ₹2,880 – ₹2,860
📌 Key Price Levels:
Major Support: ₹2,880 – ₹2,860
Resistance (Bounce Zone): ₹2,920
Breakdown Trigger: Below ₹2,860
Target (if breakdown): ₹2,810
Target (if bounce): ₹2,940 → ₹2,975
Stop Loss (Bounce Trade): ₹2,855
🧠 Setup Explanation:
TCS is nearing a multi-week demand zone around ₹2,880, previously tested in June and early July. Watch for price action confirmation — either a bounce with volume or a clean break below ₹2,860, which may invite further downside.
TCS - D1 - Bearish Pennant 🧾 1. 📊 Q1 FY26 Earnings Summary
i. Revenue: ₹63,437 cr (~US $7.4 bn), up just 1.3% YoY, missing expectations of ~₹64,667 cr
ii. Profit/margin held up; revenue disappointed.
📌 Key Takeaway: Profit and margin resilience, but weak revenue growth flagged caution—all aligning with cautious global client sentiment.
🔮 2. Upcoming Events & Catalysts :
Ex‑Dividend Date: Record date July 16, for interim dividend of ₹11/share.
Macro Cues: U.S. tariff developments, global IT spend trends, and sector peers (HCL, Infosys) Q2 reports. Reflation in IT services could shift sentiment.
TCS Investor Engagements: Gen‑AI STEM program (Jul 9); presence at global fintech & life‑sciences events through Sep (SIBOS, COBA) .
📆 3. Catalysts Ahead :
Global IT Budget Trends (esp. U.S. and Europe) → direction for next‑quarter bookings.
Peer Q2 Results (HCL, Infosys) → could provide broader sector cues.
New Deal Wins from BFSI/USD clients → margin & growth potential.
Macro Developments: Trade policies, Fed signals, and inflation data.
Thank you.
Tata Consumer Products Ltd a bearish harmonic Gartley pattern Tata Consumer Products Ltd has formed a **bearish harmonic Gartley pattern, completing at point D near the 1.395 Fibonacci extension—typically a reversal zone. RSI is near overbought, suggesting caution. Based on this technical setup, the stock may face **selling pressure**, making it a sell recommendation with a target of ₹1,040 and a stop loss at ₹1,135. If the price breaks above ₹1,135 with strong volume, trend bias can shift bullish, but currently, it's best viewed with a short-term bearish outlook.
for educational purposes only
11 April Nifty50 trading zone #Nifty50
99% working trading plan
👉Gap up open 22660 above & 15m hold after positive trade target 22818, 23118
👉Gap up open 22660 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22492
👉Gap down open 22492 above 15m hold after positive trade target 22658, 22810 , 23118
👉Gap down open 22492 below 15 m not break upside after nigetive trade target 22372
💫big gapdown open 22372 above hold 1st positive trade view
💫big Gapup opening 22818 below nigetive trade view
📌For education purpose I'm not responsible your trade
More education following me
TCS Analysis - Multi-Year Deal with Air France-KLMTrend: TCS is in a strong uptrend within an ascending channel since 2021, signaling steady growth potential.
Technical Signals:
EMA Support : Price bounced above key EMAs (20/50/100/200), showing strong support.
Volume Surge : High buying volume after the Air France-KLM deal indicates increased investor confidence.
RSI : Above 50, supporting bullish momentum.
Levels to Watch:
Support : ₹3,995.45 – Reliable base.
Immediate Resistance : ₹4,411.25
Final Target : ₹4,587.95 – Top of the channel.
Trade Setup:
Entry: On pullbacks or above ₹4,217.30.
Stop Loss : Below ₹3,995.45.
Target : ₹4,411.25 - ₹4,587.95.
TCS POSITIONAL LONG TRADE
Here is the valid Source and its Destination which has violated its opposite Supply;
This is the Demand & Supply Equilibrium Curve according to the Fresh Demand and Supply available.
We have further sub-divided the Curve into 5 areas; considering we as traders are supposed to buy low and sell high where is high and how low can it get; these areas give us an understanding about the Price position as per the Curve.
Price has come into the Demand making Lower Lows and then after reacting to the Weekly Demand Price has violated a previous High; which shows a possibility of Buyers upping their game vs the available sellers.
Finally we have a Demand formed in 45 mins which is the first Demand formed after Price has reacted to the Weekly Demand and we have a Buying momentum confirmation hence this is a Buy Trade favourable reward to risk ratio
TCS
NSE:TCS
One Can Enter Now !
Or Wait for Retest of the Trendline (BO) !
Or wait For better R:R ratio !
Note :
1.One Can Go long with a Strict SL below the Trendline or Swing Low.
2. R:R ratio should be 1 :2 minimum
3. Plan as per your RISK appetite and Money Management.
Disclaimer : You are responsible for your Profits and loss, Shared for Educational purpose
TCS- Buy-Swing trade- Will this be the end of downward range? NSE:TCS
01.07.2024
Buy Above:Strictly above 400
Target:4191
Stop Loss: 3812
1. Inside bar Breakout
2. Momentum gain in IT Sector
3. Price crossed above previous lower high in the downward range
by rejecting 200 EMA & channel midway.
4. Also price is above 21 & 50 EMA
5. Key level rejection found & fake breakout found in previous lower low
6. Price crosses 0.618 Fibonacci level in downward trend.
7. Good volumes in upside movement & low volumes in bearish candles
TCS: Thy turkey is done? 🕒- The Age of the Indian IT sector seems to be coming back, with NASDAQ:NDX gaining new momentum.
- This week was a good one for TCS
- It finally closed above its crucial resistance zone and the 3500 Mark
- It also broke the symmetric triangle formation, paving the way for future momentum.
-The next week will be crucial as the price spikes will sink in. The sustenance of the price will be crucial.
- We may witness some pullback/consolidation. A retest and continuation will only make the move stronger.
- If the price sustains, We may see a good 4000 level.
Caution: When the bull runs, everything seems lucrative. Being cautious always pays well. Remember, you will be buying the top.
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Disclaimer: We are not registered advisors. The views expressed here are solely personal opinions. Irrespective of the language used, Nothing mentioned here should be considered as advice or recommendation. Please consult with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. We like everybody else, have the right to be wrong :)