XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues to be FavoredDowntrend Continues to be Favored (Wolfe Waves Pattern H4)
Hello Trader,
Gold is following the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 chart, after bouncing off the upper resistance zone and returning below the trendline. This indicates that the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and the scenario of a downward adjustment continues to be prioritized at this stage.
Technical Analysis
Wolfe Waves are clearly formed, wave 5 has hit resistance and a reversal signal has appeared.
The price failed to hold above the upper trendline, while the MACD shows weakening upward momentum.
The 3746 – 3748 zone is considered the main “sell zone” in the short term.
Nearby support zones: 3709 – 3711 and deeper at 3675 – 3678. Further out, the area around 3650 is an important “buy zone” in the medium term.
Trading Scenarios
1. Sell with the trend (priority)
Entry: 3746 – 3748
SL: 3754
TP: 3733 → 3720 → 3702 → 3690
2. Buy Short-term Scalping
Entry: 3709 – 3711
SL: 3705
TP: 3722 → 3730 → 3745
3. Buy Deep Support Scalping
Entry: 3675 – 3678
SL: 3670
TP: 3688 → 3696 → 3710 → 3725
4. Medium-term Buy Zone
Entry: around 3650
This is a large volume accumulation zone, coinciding with strong support on H4. This area is suitable for considering medium-term buy orders if the price adjusts deeply.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish scenario continues to be favored, especially when the price stays below the 3748 zone.
Buy strategies should only be considered in the form of scalping or at the important buy zone around 3650.
The current gold market is still in a distribution phase, so patience is needed to observe candle confirmations at entry zones to optimize the R:R ratio.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to Wolfe Waves on H4. You can refer to it and combine it with your personal strategy for the best risk management.
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Techincalanalysis
GBPUSD – Medium-Term H1/H4 Technical Outlook
Overview: GBPUSD has broken below its ascending channel after failing to hold gains around the 1.3530–1.3575 supply zone. Price is now testing the 0.618 retracement (~1.3366) with the RSI (5) at heavily oversold levels (~13–14), suggesting scope for a corrective bounce before the broader bearish bias continues.
For traders, the focus remains on selling into rallies while considering short-term buy opportunities at key liquidity zones.
Market Structure
Trendline Break: The uptrend line has been breached, turning the bias towards selling rallies.
Resistance/Supply: 1.3537 and 1.3453–1.3428.
Support/Demand: Initial levels at 1.3366 (Fib 0.618) and 1.3319; major demand between 1.3143–1.3093.
Momentum: Oversold conditions increase the probability of corrective upside moves before continuation lower.
Trading Scenarios
Sell the Rally – Primary Plan
Entry: 1.3500 – 1.3510
Stop Loss: 1.3550
Take Profit: 1.3480 – 1.3466 – 1.3445 – 1.3430
Rationale: Short opportunities on retests of broken structure. Bias only invalidated if price closes above 1.3550 on the 4H chart.
Buy the Dip – Intraday Scalps
Entry: 1.3310 – 1.3330
Stop Loss: 1.3290
Take Profit: 1.3355 – 1.3368 – 1.3390 – 1.3410
Rationale: Oversold conditions and demand at 1.3319 favour quick long scalps back into resistance.
Deeper Liquidity Sweep – Swing Buy
Entry: 1.3090 – 1.3110
Stop Loss: 1.3050
Take Profit: 1.3135 – 1.3160 – 1.3200 – 1.3240
Rationale: A sweep into the 1.3143–1.3093 demand zone could provide a stronger base for swing long positions.
Risk Management & Invalidation
A 4H close above 1.3550 invalidates the bearish scenario.
A strong break below 1.3310 suggests focusing on the deeper buy zone rather than scalping longs.
Stagger take-profit levels and move stops to breakeven once the first target is reached.
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,743.82
Target Level: 3,553.39
Stop Loss: 3,870.43
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside.
A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782.
Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25
Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases:
🔴Final GDP q/q
🔴Unemployment Claims
🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders
🔶GDP Price Index
🔶 Existing Home Sales
👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.
EUR/GBP BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/GBP pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.867 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUD/CAD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
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AUD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.914 area.
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AMD reversal pattern and long-term growth potentialOn the AMD chart price holds the key support around 149–150 forming a base for continuation of the bullish trend. Above the consolidation zone at 160 targets open at 183, 217 and 259. In the longer-term perspective the structure points toward 326 and even higher as the trend remains bullish. Should a correction occur the 129 zone acts as major support to preserve the upward structure.
AMD keeps strengthening its market share in processors and GPUs, expanding rapidly in the server and AI segments. Strong demand for company products and its growing role in the AI ecosystem continue to attract institutional investors. Looking ahead to 2026, some analysts expect the stock to potentially reach levels around 900 per share.
Both the technical setup and fundamentals support further upside with near-term targets at 183, 217 and 259 while in the long-term a scenario above 300 and potentially up to 900 stays in focus for strategic investors. Risk-to-reward conditions provide a strong basis for holding existing positions and considering new entries. Additionally, investors may also look at opportunities through the AMD-linked ETF (AMDL).
Gold shakes violently | Priority Buy on dip to support🟡 XAU/USD – 24/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
Geopolitics : Trump unexpectedly supported Ukraine reclaiming full territory and called on NATO to be tougher on Russia → defensive sentiment returned, supporting Gold.
US Economy : Housing data due today, no FED speeches.
Earlier: Weak US PMI + dovish FED tone → no momentum for a prolonged downtrend.
Price Action : Gold dropped more than 20 points overnight, then quickly rebounded to 3,76x → likely profit-taking pressure at higher levels.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Main trend stays bullish, but the voyage will remain choppy as Gold absorbs profit-taking near resistance.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (M45)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Buy Scalp OB: 3,754 – 3,757
OB Harbor: 3,741 – 3,744
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
Sell Scalp Zone: 3,797 – 3,800
Higher Sell Zone: 3,813 – 3,815
Market Structure
After the deep drop, Gold rebounded and held above 3,76x.
Bullish trend remains intact, but waves of volatility may occur near higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Scalp OB
Entry: 3,754 – 3,757
SL: 3,747
TP: 3,762 – 3,767 – 3,772 – 3,777 – 3,782
Buy Zone OB
Entry: 3,741 – 3,744
SL: 3,732
TP: 3,749 – 3,754 – 3,759 – 3,764 – 3,769
⚡ Sell (short scalp – lower RR)
Sell Scalp Zone
Entry: 3,797 – 3,800
SL: 3,806
TP: 3,795 – 3,790 – 3,785 – 3,780 – 3,775
Higher Sell Zone
Entry: 3,813 – 3,815
SL: 3,823
TP: 3,810 – 3,805 – 3,800 – 3,795 – 3,790
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship rocked violently overnight but still anchored firmly at Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,754 – 3,741) . Profit-taking waves may still rise at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,797 – 3,815) , suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Yet the main voyage continues north – Buy the Dip remains the compass to follow the strong winds.”
📢 If you find the Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow for the latest signals.
💬 Got your own view on Gold? Share it in the comments and join the crew discussion!
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDSLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Opportunities at Key Price Levels
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently oscillating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakouts. The technical structure on the H1 chart indicates the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans.
Technical Analysis
RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the potential for a short-term correction.
The upper price zone around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions.
Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x show dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices correct.
The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed at the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak.
Trading Plan Reference
Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650
Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790
Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790
In summary, the main trend still favors an uptrend, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is high. Traders should patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entry, while managing risk tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
$BABA - Structure Confirmed, Targets In Motion - 9/24/2025Back in February, we discussed how NYSE:BABA was approaching the final stages of a reversal pattern. That call has now been confirmed with the structure concluding at $117. What followed was nothing short of explosive—a 51% upswing rally that’s currently unfolding with strong momentum. 📈
Note: The stock bounced twice off the 50-week moving average, signaling strong support as the correction neared its end.
The chart highlights the projected targets for this new rally, and for transparency and educational value, the internal wave structure and labeling have been intentionally left visible. This is especially insightful for traders exploring Modern Trading Algorithms and their structural variations.
Let the rally do the talking! 📊. 🚀
Happy Trading!
SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
SILVER SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 4,409.7
Target Level: 4,246.7
Stop Loss: 4,517.2
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CAD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
USD/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.387
Target Level: 1.379
Stop Loss: 1.392
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 12h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
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USD/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 3H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.789 area.
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USD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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We are targeting the 147.228 level area with our short trade on USD/JPY which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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AUD/CHF BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
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The BB lower band is nearby so AUD-CHF is in the oversold territory. Thus, despite the downtrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bullish reaction from the support line below and a move up towards the target at around 0.525.
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USDX: demand zone holds but downside pressure remainsThe US dollar index remains under pressure, trading within a descending channel. The recent bounce from the support zone around 96.30–96.90 stalled at the EMAs and the supply zone near 98.30–98.60, where sellers reappeared. On the 4H chart, price has failed to sustain above 97.80, keeping the bearish scenario in play.
It is also important to note that the index is trading below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the bearish bias and signaling that sustainable recovery is less likely without strong fundamental catalysts.
If 96.90 breaks, the next downside target is 96.30, followed by 95.40. Stronger bearish momentum could even push the index toward 94.00, signaling further dollar weakness. For now, 96.30 acts as the key support barrier.
From a fundamental perspective, the dollar index remains weighed down by expectations of a dovish Fed and lower yields. Any hawkish surprise from Fed officials could lift price back toward 98.50, but the structure still favors bearish continuation.
This is exactly the kind of situation where market expectations diverge from reality, and the longer it lasts the more it feels like a trend reversal is near. But as always, emotions must be set aside — we wait for clear signals, not illusions.
GBPUSD overhead supply keeps pressure, downside targets in focusGBPUSD once again tested the main supply zone around 1.3740, from where the market has repeatedly reversed lower. On the daily chart, the pair shows a series of lower highs, and the close below local support signals growing seller pressure.
The first downside target is near 1.3350, where initial profit-taking may occur. The next area is 1.3175, a stronger support level established earlier in the year. If bearish momentum develops further, 1.2900 becomes the key downside target to watch.
From a fundamental perspective, the pound remains under pressure due to Bank of England policy uncertainty, weak UK economic data, and the relatively hawkish stance of the Federal Reserve supporting the dollar. As long as the market trades below 1.3740, the bias remains toward the downside.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685
After a surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase, aligning with the structural pattern. On H1, the price is clinging to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought territory, indicating a growing supply pressure. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritizing selling upon confirmation signals.
Key price zones (refer to the attached chart)
Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel peak + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to enter short/medium-term sell orders.
Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push prices to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline.
Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as prices drop, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline.
Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone.
BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong upward reaction if revisited.
Trading scenarios for reference (adhere to risk management)
Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722.
Sell upon confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648.
Buy scalp based on volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective).
Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740.
Operational notes
Prioritize waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between.
Order volume should be allocated based on confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest).
Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit.
This is a personal perspective, not investment advice. If you want the fastest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechXAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key Speech
Hello everyone,
Gold continues its consecutive upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then pulled back, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance zone: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with the 361.8 Fibonacci.
Noteworthy short-term support zone: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasized: “If monetary policy is loosened too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritize price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritize observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while the 3650 zone is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves pattern. You can refer and adjust according to your personal strategy.
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Wishing you successful trading!
NZD/CHF BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
NZD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.466
Target Level: 0.464
Stop Loss: 0.468
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USOIL SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 62.52
Target Level: 61.60
Stop Loss: 63.13
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 2h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AUD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.660
Target Level: 0.657
Stop Loss: 0.661
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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