ANFIBO | XAUUSD - The week's last day, I'm bullish over $3800Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Strategy
Overall Picture:
At present, gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold steadily within the H4 bullish channel, without any unusual volatility. The dominant uptrend remains intact, and the market structure still favors buyers. Personally, I remain optimistic that gold will soon head toward a new ATH above $3,800/oz in the medium term. However, in the short term, the market may continue to fluctuate around key support and resistance levels before confirming its next move.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Solidly bullish, though momentum is slowing; accumulation may form before the next breakout.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3740 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3770 - 3777- 3788 - 3799 - 3836
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3769 - 3775
SL: 3780
TP: 3740 - 3723
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3700 - 3705
SL: 3695
TP: 3760 - 3800 - 3836
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is maintaining a stable uptrend on H4, with market structure still supporting buyers.
Main scenarios: Buy on dip around 3700 – 3705.
A clear move beyond 3780 would likely pave the way toward a new ATH above $3,800.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND, GUYS!!!
Techincalanalysis
GBP/CHF BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
GBP/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.067
Target Level: 1.075
Stop Loss: 1.062
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/NZD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on EUR/NZD right now from the resistance line above with the target of 1.988 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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XAUUSD – Range 3735–3755 is now the trend confirmation zone
Technical Analysis
Gold (XAUUSD) is moving within the narrow range of 3735–3755, and this price area currently acts as a “pivot point” to confirm the next direction.
Short-term resistance: 3755–3772, prices have reacted strongly multiple times. If not decisively broken, selling pressure may continue.
Key support: 3735, this is the decisive area – breaking it will confirm a downward trend, targeting lower levels.
Stronger resistance: 3790–3793, confluence of several previous peaks, where strong selling force may form.
EMA200 H1 (3723) still supports the major uptrend, but the price has now moved far and is in the phase of retesting supply-demand zones.
RSI (14) around 45–48, not yet in oversold territory but leaning towards sellers.
From a technical perspective, this is a market phase that needs confirmation: breaking above 3755 will reopen the upward momentum, while losing 3735 will reinforce short-term downward pressure.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Scenario (preferred if resistance holds):
Sell 3769–3772, SL 3775, TP: 3755 – 3746 – 3737
Sell 3791–3793, SL 3798, TP: 3783 – 3772 – 3760 – 3745
Sell when price confirms below 3735, SL 3742, TP: 3726 – 3715 – 3702 – 3690
Buy Scenario (trend-following upon breakout):
Buy when price confirms above 3755, SL 3747, TP: 3766 – 3778 – 3790
Buy 3705–3702, SL 3697, TP: 3717 – 3726 – 3744 – 3763 – 3780 – 3790
Price Zones to Watch
3735–3755: trend confirmation range, most important in the short term.
3769–3772 and 3791–3793: strong resistance zones, potential Sell zones.
3702–3705: deep Buy zone, combined with strong support and EMA200.
3790: critical resistance level, breaking it will reinforce the major uptrend.
Outlook
The gold market is in a decisive phase at the 3735–3755 range. Sellers have a short-term advantage, but if the price surpasses 3755, the uptrend may soon return. The best strategy is to trade based on price confirmation at key zones, combining profit-taking at each successive TP level to optimize returns.
This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses in upcoming sessions.
EUR/CAD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
EUR/CAD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 1.632
Target Level: 1.625
Stop Loss: 1.636
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EUR/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the EUR/USD pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 1.173 level.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is trading around $3,743, consolidating inside the First Reaction Zone after failing to hold above the $3,753 resistance. The 50MA is also acting as resistance. Price remains range-bound within this zone, with multiple tests of both the $3,753 and $3,728 levels.
A clean breakout and hold above $3,753 would open the path toward $3,768 and $3,782. Failure to clear $3,753/50MA risks further downside into $3,728, with extended weakness toward $3,712–$3,690 (200MA support).
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Fri, Sep 26
The spotlight is on Core PCE (2:30pm), the Fed’s key inflation measure, followed by UoM Consumer Sentiment (4:00pm).
👉 Expect volatility — strong prints may pressure gold lower, while weaker data could provide support.
LiamTrading – Gold might fake a move before dropping
Gold is trading around the 375x zone and may exhibit a “fake breakout” to higher levels before adjusting downward. The price structure on the H4 chart shows:
Strong resistance is located at the 3770–3773 zone, coinciding with the 0.786 – 1.0 Fibonacci extension area. This is a confluence zone where a bearish reaction is likely.
The main trendline remains upward, but the RSI is gradually weakening, warning that buying pressure is not as strong.
Short-term support lies at 3710–3713, also the 0.5 – 0.618 fibo zone, suitable for buy scalping orders.
Larger support is at 3688–3691, where it converges with the trendline bottom and key Fibonacci levels, considered a sustainable “buy zone.”
Trading plan reference
Sell: 3770 – 3773, SL 3778, TP 3756 – 3743 – 3725 – 3710
Buy scalping: 3710 – 3713, SL 3705, TP 3725 – 3736 – 3748 – 3760
Buy zone: 3688 – 3691, SL 3684, TP 3699 – 3710 – 3725 – 3736 – 3745 – 3760
In summary, gold may create a fake upward move to the 3770–3773 resistance zone before reversing for a correction. Traders should patiently wait for confirmation signals at key price zones to optimize entries and manage risks tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you find it useful, follow for the fastest updates on upcoming scenarios, continuously updated in the community.
Gold under EMA pressure Buy at support,short scalp at resistance🟡 XAU/USD – Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
FED : Probability of a 25bps cut in October is 91.09% → almost certain.
US Calendar today : GDP, Jobless Claims, Durable Goods Orders, and especially speeches from 3 FED officials → strong volatility expected.
Gold yesterday : Dropped deeply but reacted precisely at key support → according to Vincent, this sell-off was mainly due to investors being cautious ahead of tomorrow’s CPI data.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Short-term waves are pressured by EMAs, but the bigger voyage remains bullish – sailors prioritize Buy at Golden Harbor, only Quick Boarding 🚤 when facing Storm Breaker.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (H30, EMA 34 & EMA 89)
EMA : EMA 34 (yellow) crossing below EMA 89 (red) → short-term bearish signal.
Trend : Overall still bullish, with Bullish OBs and Buy Zones below acting as strong supports.
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
3,769 – 3,777 (Bearish OB)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
3,734 – 3,718 (Bullish OB)
3,687 – 3,685 (Buy Zone OB)
3,650 – 3,648 (Deeper Buy Zone, confluence with EMA 89)
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
⚡ Sell (short-term scalp)
Entry: 3,776 – 3,773
SL: 3,783
TP: 3,770 – 3,765 – 3,760 – 3,755 – 3,750
✅ Buy (main priority)
Buy Zone 1 (OB)
Entry: 3,687 – 3,685
SL: 3,678
TP: 3,700 – 3,705 – 3,710 – 3,715 – 3,720
Buy Zone 2 (Deeper OB)
Entry: 3,650 – 3,648
SL: 3,638
TP: 3,665 – 3,670 – 3,675 – 3,680 – 3,685
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden sails are facing headwinds from short-term EMAs, but Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,734 – 3,650) remains a solid support dock. Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,769 – 3,777) is only suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Tonight, the US sea will bring big waves from data & FED speeches – sailors, tighten your sails and manage trades with discipline.”
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LiamTrading – XAUUSD Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis
Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 frame, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase as it aligns with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market begins to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buys at strong support zones.
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal.
Volume Profile points out the POC zone around 3735–3740; if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure.
The confluence support zone 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buys.
Further, the 3648–3651 area is reinforced by VAL and the volume profile bottom, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.”
Trading Plan Reference
Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655
Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728
Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755
In summary, gold is moving according to the technical structure with confirmation from Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritizes observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to not miss out.
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continues on H4XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves continues on H4, price returns below the trendline: prioritising the correction scenario
Hello Trader,
Based on the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 frame and current price behaviour, gold has returned to trading below the trendline, indicating a weakening of short-term upward momentum and making way for a downward correction before the market decides the next trend. The upper area has created a clear “sell zone”; below, two defensive buying zones appear for both scalping and medium-term.
Main Technical Picture
Wolfe Waves: wave 5 completes near resistance, then price falls back below the trendline — aligning with the correction scenario along Wolfe's target line 1–4.
Trendline & price box area: the close below the rising trendline shows “acceptance” below; immediate resistance lies in the 375x–376x cluster (sell zone).
Momentum: MACD H4 slows down, histogram narrows → high probability of a pullback – retest before a new decision.
Detailed Trading Scenarios
1) Sell according to the correction trend (priority)
Entry: 3756 – 3759
SL: 3764
TP: 3745 → 3732 → 3715 → 3690 → 3672
Reason: the 375x area coincides with the sell zone + upper trendline; selling at retest offers a good R:R ratio.
Confirmation/Invalidation: if H4 closes above 3764 and holds, the short-term selling scenario weakens.
2) Buy scalping in the buffer zone
Entry: 3701 – 3703
SL: 3695
TP: 3715 → 3732 → 3745 → 3766
Note: only a rebound in the correction phase; close each level and move SL according to TP1.
3) Buy medium-term (strong base area)
Entry: 3648 – 3651
SL: 3644
TP: 3672 → 3698 → 3708 → 3722 – 3727
Reason: the 365x area coincides with the demand/accumulation volume on H4; suitable for catching a deep rebound along with the larger trend.
Management: this is a medium-term order, so divide the volume, close each step, and move SL to breakeven after TP1.
Refer to my scenario if you find it reasonable, trade accordingly, and if you enjoy trading gold with high-quality scenarios, follow me
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues to be FavoredDowntrend Continues to be Favored (Wolfe Waves Pattern H4)
Hello Trader,
Gold is following the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 chart, after bouncing off the upper resistance zone and returning below the trendline. This indicates that the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and the scenario of a downward adjustment continues to be prioritized at this stage.
Technical Analysis
Wolfe Waves are clearly formed, wave 5 has hit resistance and a reversal signal has appeared.
The price failed to hold above the upper trendline, while the MACD shows weakening upward momentum.
The 3746 – 3748 zone is considered the main “sell zone” in the short term.
Nearby support zones: 3709 – 3711 and deeper at 3675 – 3678. Further out, the area around 3650 is an important “buy zone” in the medium term.
Trading Scenarios
1. Sell with the trend (priority)
Entry: 3746 – 3748
SL: 3754
TP: 3733 → 3720 → 3702 → 3690
2. Buy Short-term Scalping
Entry: 3709 – 3711
SL: 3705
TP: 3722 → 3730 → 3745
3. Buy Deep Support Scalping
Entry: 3675 – 3678
SL: 3670
TP: 3688 → 3696 → 3710 → 3725
4. Medium-term Buy Zone
Entry: around 3650
This is a large volume accumulation zone, coinciding with strong support on H4. This area is suitable for considering medium-term buy orders if the price adjusts deeply.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish scenario continues to be favored, especially when the price stays below the 3748 zone.
Buy strategies should only be considered in the form of scalping or at the important buy zone around 3650.
The current gold market is still in a distribution phase, so patience is needed to observe candle confirmations at entry zones to optimize the R:R ratio.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to Wolfe Waves on H4. You can refer to it and combine it with your personal strategy for the best risk management.
Follow me to receive the latest scenarios when the price structure changes.
GBPUSD – Medium-Term H1/H4 Technical Outlook
Overview: GBPUSD has broken below its ascending channel after failing to hold gains around the 1.3530–1.3575 supply zone. Price is now testing the 0.618 retracement (~1.3366) with the RSI (5) at heavily oversold levels (~13–14), suggesting scope for a corrective bounce before the broader bearish bias continues.
For traders, the focus remains on selling into rallies while considering short-term buy opportunities at key liquidity zones.
Market Structure
Trendline Break: The uptrend line has been breached, turning the bias towards selling rallies.
Resistance/Supply: 1.3537 and 1.3453–1.3428.
Support/Demand: Initial levels at 1.3366 (Fib 0.618) and 1.3319; major demand between 1.3143–1.3093.
Momentum: Oversold conditions increase the probability of corrective upside moves before continuation lower.
Trading Scenarios
Sell the Rally – Primary Plan
Entry: 1.3500 – 1.3510
Stop Loss: 1.3550
Take Profit: 1.3480 – 1.3466 – 1.3445 – 1.3430
Rationale: Short opportunities on retests of broken structure. Bias only invalidated if price closes above 1.3550 on the 4H chart.
Buy the Dip – Intraday Scalps
Entry: 1.3310 – 1.3330
Stop Loss: 1.3290
Take Profit: 1.3355 – 1.3368 – 1.3390 – 1.3410
Rationale: Oversold conditions and demand at 1.3319 favour quick long scalps back into resistance.
Deeper Liquidity Sweep – Swing Buy
Entry: 1.3090 – 1.3110
Stop Loss: 1.3050
Take Profit: 1.3135 – 1.3160 – 1.3200 – 1.3240
Rationale: A sweep into the 1.3143–1.3093 demand zone could provide a stronger base for swing long positions.
Risk Management & Invalidation
A 4H close above 1.3550 invalidates the bearish scenario.
A strong break below 1.3310 suggests focusing on the deeper buy zone rather than scalping longs.
Stagger take-profit levels and move stops to breakeven once the first target is reached.
GOLD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,743.82
Target Level: 3,553.39
Stop Loss: 3,870.43
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold is following the analysis — after failing to break the $3,782 resistance yesterday, price dropped into the First Reaction Support Zone. Currently trading around $3,741, the rejection has pushed price below the 50MA, keeping near-term pressure on the downside.
A clean reclaim and hold above $3,753 could shift momentum back to test $3,768–$3,782.
Failure to hold above the First Reaction Zone risks a deeper pullback into $3,712–$3,690, in line with the 200MA, which may act as dynamic support. If this breaks, sellers may target the Deeper Support Zone $3,665–$3,642.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
$3,753
$3,768
$3,782
Support:
$3,728
$3,712
$3,690
$3,665
🔎 Fundamental Focus – Thu, Sep 25
Heavy data day for USD with several high-impact releases:
🔴Final GDP q/q
🔴Unemployment Claims
🔶Core & Durable Goods Orders
🔶GDP Price Index
🔶 Existing Home Sales
👉 For gold, today’s data cluster is critical — stronger numbers could weigh on price, while weaker outcomes may support upside. Expect elevated volatility.
EUR/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 173.742.
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EUR/GBP BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/GBP pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.867 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUD/CAD BULLS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD/CAD pair is trading in a local uptrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 4H timeframe the pair is going down. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 0.914 area.
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AMD reversal pattern and long-term growth potentialOn the AMD chart price holds the key support around 149–150 forming a base for continuation of the bullish trend. Above the consolidation zone at 160 targets open at 183, 217 and 259. In the longer-term perspective the structure points toward 326 and even higher as the trend remains bullish. Should a correction occur the 129 zone acts as major support to preserve the upward structure.
AMD keeps strengthening its market share in processors and GPUs, expanding rapidly in the server and AI segments. Strong demand for company products and its growing role in the AI ecosystem continue to attract institutional investors. Looking ahead to 2026, some analysts expect the stock to potentially reach levels around 900 per share.
Both the technical setup and fundamentals support further upside with near-term targets at 183, 217 and 259 while in the long-term a scenario above 300 and potentially up to 900 stays in focus for strategic investors. Risk-to-reward conditions provide a strong basis for holding existing positions and considering new entries. Additionally, investors may also look at opportunities through the AMD-linked ETF (AMDL).
XAUUSD – The SELL trend has been confirmed
Technical Analysis
After a strong rise hitting the resistance zone of 3770–3780, gold (XAUUSD) couldn't maintain momentum and started forming consecutive declines. This signals that selling pressure is dominating in the short term.
The 3767–3769 zone coincides with local resistance, a place where the market has reacted multiple times → confirming its role as a distribution zone.
Fibonacci Retracement levels from the latest upward wave show the 0.618 zone around 3700–3705 acts as short-term support, where technical rebound reactions may occur.
The 3673–3675 zone confluences with Fib 2.618 and EMA200 → strong support, considered the main Buy zone for long-term buyers.
RSI (14) is currently below 50, momentum leans towards decline, confirming the adjustment trend is prevailing.
Trading Scenario
SELL Scenario (trend-following priority):
Entry: 3767–3769
SL: 3775
TP: 3755 – 3740 – 3733 – 3710 – 3694
Buy scalping scenario (short-term support reaction):
Entry: 3701–3704
SL: 3698
TP: 3710 – 3722 – 3736
Buy zone scenario (priority for medium-term rebound):
Entry: 3673–3675
SL: 3666
TP: 3688 – 3696 – 3705 – 3720 – 3736
Price zones to watch
3767–3769: important resistance, priority Sell zone.
3700–3705: short-term support, potential Buy scalping area.
3673–3675: main Buy zone, confluence of support + Fibonacci.
3694 and 3736: important intermediate levels, where partial profit-taking is recommended.
The main short-term trend is leaning towards SELL, however, important support zones may provide opportunities for counter-trend Buys or trend-following Buys after price adjustments.
This is a reference scenario based on resistance – support and Fibonacci. Follow me if you love trading gold and want to read the latest analyses in the community.
Gold shakes violently | Priority Buy on dip to support🟡 XAU/USD – 24/09 | Captain Vincent ⚓
🔎 Captain’s Log – Context & News
Geopolitics : Trump unexpectedly supported Ukraine reclaiming full territory and called on NATO to be tougher on Russia → defensive sentiment returned, supporting Gold.
US Economy : Housing data due today, no FED speeches.
Earlier: Weak US PMI + dovish FED tone → no momentum for a prolonged downtrend.
Price Action : Gold dropped more than 20 points overnight, then quickly rebounded to 3,76x → likely profit-taking pressure at higher levels.
⏩ Captain’s Summary : Main trend stays bullish, but the voyage will remain choppy as Gold absorbs profit-taking near resistance.
📈 Captain’s Chart – Technical Analysis (M45)
Golden Harbor (Support / Buy Zone)
Buy Scalp OB: 3,754 – 3,757
OB Harbor: 3,741 – 3,744
Storm Breaker (Resistance / Sell Zone)
Sell Scalp Zone: 3,797 – 3,800
Higher Sell Zone: 3,813 – 3,815
Market Structure
After the deep drop, Gold rebounded and held above 3,76x.
Bullish trend remains intact, but waves of volatility may occur near higher resistance zones.
🎯 Captain’s Map – Trade Plan
✅ Buy (priority)
Buy Scalp OB
Entry: 3,754 – 3,757
SL: 3,747
TP: 3,762 – 3,767 – 3,772 – 3,777 – 3,782
Buy Zone OB
Entry: 3,741 – 3,744
SL: 3,732
TP: 3,749 – 3,754 – 3,759 – 3,764 – 3,769
⚡ Sell (short scalp – lower RR)
Sell Scalp Zone
Entry: 3,797 – 3,800
SL: 3,806
TP: 3,795 – 3,790 – 3,785 – 3,780 – 3,775
Higher Sell Zone
Entry: 3,813 – 3,815
SL: 3,823
TP: 3,810 – 3,805 – 3,800 – 3,795 – 3,790
⚓ Captain’s Note
“The Golden ship rocked violently overnight but still anchored firmly at Golden Harbor 🏝️ (3,754 – 3,741) . Profit-taking waves may still rise at Storm Breaker 🌊 (3,797 – 3,815) , suitable for short Quick Boarding 🚤 scalps. Yet the main voyage continues north – Buy the Dip remains the compass to follow the strong winds.”
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XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone XAUUSD – Pressure at 3777 zone, adjustment scenario and trend-following buy
Technical Analysis
After a strong upward move, gold (XAUUSD) is now approaching the resistance zone of 3777–3780, where it converges with the Fibonacci expansion cluster and the old resistance structure. This is a price area prone to short-term selling pressure, and a decisive point for the next trend.
EMA200 (H1: 3685) is still clearly sloping upwards → the main trend remains upward, but the market is in a state of range expansion, with a potential adjustment phase before continuing upward.
RSI (14) is currently oscillating around 57–60, indicating that the upward momentum has cooled, not yet entering the overbought zone but posing a risk of divergence if a new peak is formed without accompanying momentum.
Volume Profile levels and support zones 3738–3740 / 3719–3722 / 3661–3665 will be where buyers can react to protect the main trend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Sell adjustment at resistance zone:
Entry: 3777–3780
SL: 3784
TP: 3755 – 3742 – 3730 – 3705
Scenario 2 – Short-term scalping buy:
Entry: 3738–3740
SL: 3734
TP: 3747 – 3755 – 3770
Scenario 3 – Trend-following buy (priority when deep adjustment):
Entry: 3719–3722
SL: 3715
TP: 3728 – 3740 – 3765 – 3780
Price Zones to Watch
3777–3780: critical resistance, potential Sell zone.
3738–3740: nearby support, suitable for scalping buy.
3719–3722: main Buy zone for recovery, confluence of support structure.
3705: deep support, target if adjustment trend expands.
Outlook
The major trend for gold still leans towards upward, however, the 3777–3780 zone currently plays a decisive role. Sellers can take advantage of short-term Sell to catch the adjustment phase, while buyers should wait for prices to pull back to support zones to enter trend-following orders.
This is a reference scenario based on technical analysis, not an investment recommendation. Stay tuned for earlier analyses and prepare well for your trading plan.