Gold Compresses Under Descending Resistance ...........Gold on the M45 timeframe remains in a broader bullish context, but recent price action shows the market transitioning into a clear compression phase beneath a descending trendline. After the strong impulsive advance from the lower support zone, momentum has slowed, and price is now rotating sideways while respecting both descending resistance above and a well-defined support base below.
Current structure shows repeated reactions around the 4,460–4,470 region, where descending trendline resistance continues to cap upside attempts. Sellers have defended this area consistently, preventing immediate continuation and forcing price into a tightening range. At the same time, buyers remain active above the 4,400–4,410 support zone, indicating that downside pressure is being absorbed rather than expanded.
As long as price holds above the support zone, the ongoing consolidation appears corrective rather than bearish. This range-bound behavior suggests accumulation, with the market building liquidity through multiple rotations before committing to a directional move. A brief dip toward support followed by higher lows would further reinforce the bullish case by confirming buyer control at discounted prices.
From a bullish continuation perspective, a clean break and sustained acceptance above the descending trendline would mark a structural shift back into expansion. In that scenario, Gold would likely target the 4,500 region initially, with further upside potential toward the 4,520–4,540 zone as momentum accelerates and trapped sellers are forced to exit.
Conversely, failure to hold the 4,400 support would invalidate the accumulation thesis and expose the market to a deeper corrective move. Until such a breakdown occurs, the current price action favors patience, with Gold coiling between support and descending resistance as it prepares for its next decisive move.
Technical
Will ETH Defend This Final Support???????????Ethereum has completed a full bullish expansion cycle and is now trading in a post-distribution corrective phase on the H1 timeframe. After a strong impulsive rally supported by a clean EMA trend, price topped into a well-defined resistance zone, where buying pressure failed to sustain continuation.
Since that peak, ETH has printed a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming a short-term bearish structure. The recent sell-off is impulsive rather than corrective, indicating that this is not just a shallow pullback but a deeper structural reset following distribution.
Price is now approaching a major support zone, which previously acted as a strong demand base during the prior bullish leg. This area also aligns with the flattening EMA curve, suggesting the market is reaching a key decision point.
Importantly, bearish momentum is starting to decelerate as price approaches support, increasing the probability of a technical reaction or corrective bounce, rather than immediate continuation lower.
Resistance:
3,280 – 3,320 (distribution / major supply zone)
Support:
3,060 – 3,100 (key structural demand)
Below this zone risks continuation into a broader bearish leg
➡️ Primary Scenario:
Price holds above the 3,060–3,100 support zone and forms a higher low. A bullish reaction from this area would likely trigger a corrective recovery toward the 3,200 level first, followed by a potential extension into the 3,280–3,320 resistance zone. This move would be classified as a corrective rally, not an immediate trend reversal.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
A clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would invalidate the bounce setup. In that case, ETH could accelerate into a deeper bearish continuation, opening the path toward lower untested demand levels.
Reversal Opportunity or Bearish Continuation Trap?EURUSD on the H1 timeframe continues to trade under sustained bearish pressure, with price respecting a well-defined descending trendline that has guided the market lower over recent sessions. The broader structure remains corrective to bearish, as successive lower highs and lower lows confirm that sellers are still in control of momentum.
Price is now pressing directly into a key support area where the descending trendline intersects horizontal structure. This zone represents a critical inflection point, as it has previously acted as a reaction base during earlier consolidation. The recent break and hold below this support highlights weakening buyer commitment and signals that the market is testing whether this level will flip into resistance.
From a bullish perspective, a recovery scenario remains possible but requires confirmation. If price is able to reclaim the broken support and regain acceptance above the trendline, the current move could be interpreted as a false break or liquidity sweep. In that case, a corrective rebound toward higher resistance zones would be favored, opening the path for a short-term reversal scenario as outlined by the first upside projection.
However, failure to reclaim the trendline keeps the bearish continuation scenario firmly in play. As long as price remains capped below descending resistance, any pullback is likely to be corrective and vulnerable to renewed selling pressure. In this case, downside continuation toward lower liquidity pools becomes the higher-probability outcome, aligning with the second projected path that extends deeper into bearish territory.
Overall, EURUSD is at a structural decision point where confirmation matters more than anticipation. The market is currently positioned between a potential false-break recovery and a continuation of the prevailing downtrend, making price acceptance around this support–trendline confluence the key driver for the next impulsive move.
Has BTC Completed Its Bullish CycleBitcoin has completed a full bullish cycle and is now transitioning into a post-distribution corrective phase. After a clear accumulation base, price delivered a strong impulsive expansion (Phase 2), printing a clean sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This bullish leg peaked inside the Phase 3 distribution zone, where upside momentum stalled and selling pressure began to dominate.
The failure to hold above the last key higher low marked a structural shift. What initially appeared as a healthy pullback has now evolved into a deeper correction, with price accelerating lower and respecting a newly formed bearish structure.
Price is currently trading below the former bullish mid-range and is being capped by a descending trendline, which is acting as dynamic resistance. The prior “mid-pullback inside bullish structure” zone has failed, confirming that buyers are no longer in control at that level.
The market is now respecting a series of lower highs, while bearish impulses are stronger and cleaner than bullish reactions a key sign that momentum has flipped.
Resistance:
91,200 – 91,400 (broken structure / supply reaction)
Descending trendline resistance
Support:
89,000 – 89,200 (minor reaction level)
86,800 – 87,200 (major downside target / structural support)
➡️ Primary Scenario:
Price continues to respect the descending trendline and forms another lower high. A rejection from the 91.2k–91.4k zone would confirm bearish continuation, opening the path toward the 89k level first, followed by a deeper move into the 86.8k–87.2k support zone.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
If price reclaims and accepts back above the broken mid-structure zone, the bearish continuation would be invalidated. In that case, BTC could transition into a broader range rather than immediate continuation lower.
Accumulation for a Push Higher or Breakdown Into Deeper CorrectHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of XAUUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure.
Gold previously printed a strong bullish impulse, establishing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. After reaching the recent peak, price transitioned into a sideways consolidation, signaling a pause in momentum rather than an immediate trend reversal.
This consolidation has formed between well-defined boundaries, reflecting market equilibrium as buyers and sellers reassess value after expansion. Price action within this range remains controlled, with no impulsive follow-through in either direction so far.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
Supply Zone:
The upper range near 4,500–4,520 acts as a clear supply zone, where previous buying momentum stalled and sellers entered aggressively. This area represents overhead resistance and the ceiling of the current range.
Demand Zone:
The 4,430–4,440 region is a key demand zone, aligned with prior breakout structure and repeated reactions. Buyers have consistently defended this level, preventing deeper downside.
Breakdown Risk Area:
A clean acceptance below the demand zone would expose 4,330, which aligns with the next liquidity pool and the projected downside target if structure fails.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
Currently, Gold is trading directly on top of its demand zone, placing price at a high-impact decision point. This is where the market will determine whether the consolidation resolves as accumulation or transitions into distribution.
The lack of strong bearish momentum into demand suggests sellers are cautious, but confirmation is still required.
🧠 MY SCENARIO
As long as Gold holds above the 4,430–4,440 demand zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and current price action can be viewed as range consolidation after expansion. A bullish reaction from demand could lead to a push back toward the 4,500 supply zone, and acceptance above that area would open the door for continuation higher.
However, a decisive hourly close below the demand zone would invalidate the accumulation thesis. In that case, price could accelerate lower toward 4,330, confirming a deeper corrective phase before buyers potentially re-enter.
For now, price is balancing, not breaking.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
This is a critical inflection zone. Let price confirm direction from demand or breakdown, avoid anticipation, and always manage your risk.
Is This a Retest for Continuation or a Liquidity Trap?Gold remains structurally bullish on the H4 timeframe after reclaiming key levels and breaking out of a well-defined consolidation range. Following a prolonged corrective phase, price successfully transitioned from compression into expansion, confirming renewed buyer control as the market pushed above the prior resistance zone and respected the rising channel structure.
After the breakout, price accelerated toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel, where selling pressure emerged near the 4,510–4,520 region. This area aligns with a higher-timeframe supply zone, explaining the sharp reaction and temporary rejection. The inability to immediately hold above this zone suggests the market is now entering a short-term rebalancing phase rather than continuing straight into expansion.
Current price action points toward a potential breakout–retest dynamic. As long as price holds above the former resistance and remains supported within the channel structure, a controlled pullback toward the mid-channel region and the 4,403 support area appears technically healthy. This zone also overlaps with the broader liquidity price range, where the market previously accumulated before the upside push.
If buyers successfully defend this area and reclaim momentum, Gold would be well-positioned for continuation toward the upper supply zone near 4,550. Such a move would reflect a classic trend continuation sequence following liquidity absorption and structural confirmation.
However, failure to hold the 4,403 support would shift focus toward deeper downside liquidity within the lower range. Even in that scenario, the broader bullish bias would remain intact unless price loses the channel structure decisively, suggesting that any deeper pullback would still be corrective rather than a full trend reversal.
Gold Holds Key Support — Is the Next Expansion to the Upside Gold (XAUUSD) on H1 continues to trade within a broader bullish recovery structure after rebounding strongly from the previous accumulation zone. The impulsive leg higher confirmed buyer dominance, and price has since transitioned into a controlled consolidation phase rather than a reversal.
Currently, price is reacting inside a clearly defined support zone around 4,418–4,435, which aligns closely with the rising moving averages. This area has repeatedly attracted buyers, confirming it as a critical demand base. As long as this zone holds, the bullish structure remains technically intact.
On the upside, Gold is capped by a well-defined resistance zone around 4,485–4,500, where previous distribution and profit-taking occurred. Price is now compressing between support and resistance, signaling a pause before the next directional move.
The current location is a decision area. Trading in the middle of this range carries elevated risk, as price can rotate aggressively toward either boundary.
Bullish scenario: If price holds above the 4,420–4,435 support zone and breaks above 4,500 with a clean close and acceptance, bullish continuation toward 4,540–4,560 becomes the primary target.
Bearish scenario: A confirmed breakdown below 4,415, followed by a failed pullback, would invalidate the bullish setup and open downside toward 4,380, with extended risk toward 4,340.
For now, patience is key. Gold is compressing inside a high-impact range, and the highest-probability trades will come from confirmed breakouts, not from anticipation within consolidation.
Healthy Pullback or Trend Breakdown? Market Context & Structure
BTC has delivered a strong impulsive rally, shifting market structure decisively bullish on the H1 timeframe. After the vertical expansion, price is now transitioning into a corrective phase, consolidating between a clearly defined resistance zone above and a higher demand area below. This behavior is typical of post-impulse digestion rather than trend failure.
Despite recent volatility and sharp wicks, the broader structure remains constructive as long as price continues to respect higher lows. The current price action reflects a battle between short-term profit-taking and medium-term trend continuation.
Technical Confluence
Price is currently trading between the rising EMA cluster, which continues to act as dynamic support, and a supply-heavy resistance zone where selling pressure previously emerged. The fast EMA has started to flatten, while the slower EMA remains positively sloped, suggesting momentum cooling but not yet reversing.
The highlighted support zone aligns closely with EMA support and prior breakout structure, reinforcing it as a key area for buyers to defend if the bullish trend is to remain intact.
Key Levels
Resistance:
94,400 – 94,900 (supply / rejection zone)
Support:
91,300 – 91,700 (demand zone)
90,400 (major horizontal support)
EMA / Dynamic Level:
EMA cluster around 92,000–92,400
Scenarios
➡️ Primary Scenario:
Rejection from the resistance zone leads to a controlled pullback into the 91.3k–91.7k support area. If price forms a higher low and shows bullish reaction within this zone, continuation toward the 94.8k resistance — and potentially a breakout toward 96k+ — becomes the higher-probability outcome.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
A clean breakdown below the support zone with acceptance under the EMA cluster would invalidate the bullish continuation setup. In that case, downside extension toward the 90.4k level is likely, signaling a deeper corrective phase rather than a shallow pullback.
EURUSD at Major Demand — Is a Multi-Target Recovery Setting Up?EURUSD on H1 has been under sustained bearish pressure, respecting a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows while trading below the short- and mid-term moving averages. This confirms that the broader short-term structure remains bearish.
However, price has now reached a well-defined support zone around 1.1670–1.1680, where selling momentum has noticeably slowed. The sharp reaction from this level suggests sell-side exhaustion and active buyer defense, indicating that the market may be transitioning from impulsive downside into a corrective recovery phase rather than immediate continuation lower.
At the moment, EURUSD is consolidating just above this support base. While price is still trading below the moving averages — keeping the bearish bias technically valid — the compression at demand opens the door for a mean-reversion move if buyers manage to reclaim key levels.
Bullish scenario: As long as price holds above the 1.1670–1.1680 support zone, a recovery toward Target 1 at 1.1710 becomes likely. Acceptance above this level would open continuation toward Target 2 near 1.1755, with extended upside toward Target 3 around 1.1780.
Bearish scenario: A confirmed breakdown and close below the support zone would invalidate the recovery setup and expose further downside toward 1.1640 and potentially 1.1600.
For now, this is a high-impact decision zone. Patience is key — the safest opportunities will come from confirmation at support or a clean reclaim of resistance, not from chasing price inside consolidation.
Ethereum Breaks Structure — Is This the Start of a Deeper SellPrice has broken below the key support around 3,120–3,130, confirming a short-term bearish shift after failing to hold above the moving average cluster. Momentum is now favoring sellers as prior support turns into resistance.
A pullback toward 3,130–3,160 is likely to be corrective and may offer selling pressure if price fails to reclaim structure.
Sustained weakness below 3,100 opens the path toward 3,060–3,040, with a deeper liquidity target near 2,980–2,920. A strong reclaim and close back above 3,180 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal stabilization.
Bitcoin Is Building a Base — Accumulation Before the Next Push Price is consolidating above the key support zone around 89,800–90,000, showing clear signs of selling pressure absorption after the recent sell-off. Volume behavior suggests potential accumulation rather than aggressive distribution.
As long as price holds above 89,800, the bullish scenario remains favored. A clean break and acceptance above 91,200–91,500 would confirm upside momentum, opening the path toward 93,000, followed by the major target near 94,700–95,000.
Only a decisive breakdown below 89,800 would invalidate the bullish setup. For now, buyers appear to be positioning for the next expansion leg to the upside.
Repeated Rejections at Resistance — Is Gold Deeper Drop?Gold is trading inside a broader corrective range after a prior bullish impulse, with price repeatedly failing to break and hold above a well-defined higher-timeframe resistance zone. Multiple rejections from this area clearly show that upside momentum is being absorbed, not expanded.
While the larger structure has not fully flipped bearish yet, the current price action reflects distribution near the highs, not accumulation. Buyers are struggling to generate follow-through, and each push into resistance is met with increasing selling pressure.
The resistance zone around the 4,48x–4,50x area has been tested several times, with clear rejection wicks and weak closes a classic sign of supply dominance. At the same time, the EMA 200 is flattening below price, indicating a loss of bullish momentum rather than trend acceleration.
Volume behavior further supports this view: recent upside attempts are occurring on declining volume, suggesting the move higher lacks participation and strength. This divergence often precedes either a deeper pullback or a full corrective leg.
Resistance: 4,480 – 4,510 (major supply / rejection zone)
Support:
4,420 – 4,430 (intermediate reaction level)
4,350 (major downside support / correction target)
EMA / Dynamic Level: EMA 200 around 4,425 (loss of momentum / balance level)
➡️ Primary Scenario (Bearish Continuation):
Failure to break and accept above the resistance zone leads to another rejection. A move back below the 4,420–4,430 level would confirm distribution and open the path toward the 4,350 support zone, where a broader corrective leg is likely to unfold.
⚠️ Risk Scenario (Bullish Extension):
If price manages a clean breakout and acceptance above the 4,510 resistance with expanding volume, the distribution thesis would be invalidated. In that case, gold could transition into renewed bullish continuation rather than correction.
USD/JPY(20260109)Today's AnalysisMarket News:
On Tuesday, both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Dow Jones Transportation Average hit record closing highs, marking the first buy signal from Dow Theory in over a year.
Technical strategists believe this confirms the bull market that began in late 2022 remains firmly established, even as some previously high-performing AI-related stocks have recently faced pressure.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average's last record closing high was on January 5th, while the Dow Jones Transportation Average's record high was even further back. Dow Jones market data shows that the index's last record closing high was on November 25th, 2024.
Technical Analysis:
Today's Buy/Sell Threshold:
156.79
Support and Resistance Levels:
157.40
157.17
157.02
156.55
156.41
156.18
Trading Strategy:
If the price breaks above 157.02, consider buying with a first target price of 157.1.
If the price breaks below 156.79, consider selling with a first target price of 156.55.
EURAUD: Bearish Momentum Returns Into 2026In today's article, we are looking at the EURAUD currency pair, where a clean bearish pattern is developing that could push prices significantly lower in 2026.
EURAUD previously completed a falling leading diagonal, followed by an ABC corrective recovery. This corrective phase now appears complete, reinforcing the view that the broader downtrend is ready to resume.
The pair has formed a lower swing high near 1.8155, followed by a strong sell-off that broke below the rising trend-line support drawn from the November 2024 lows. This move suggests that EURAUD has entered the third leg lower, likely to unfold as a five-wave decline from the October high.
Further downside pressure is expected during the first half of 2026. The bearish structure remains intact as long as price trades below the descending channel resistance near 1.76. Under this scenario, there is room for an extended decline toward the 1.70 handle in the coming months, with any interim bounces likely to be corrective rather than trend-reversing.
GOLD (XAUUSD) — Sell From Resistance | Targets 4,412 → 4,330Gold prices are currently holding firm in strong demand after a positive correction within a bullish market structure. Prices have broken through resistance levels several times, but the next resistance is the all-time high (ATH). Sellers will likely prevent the price from breaking through and reaching a new peak just before news from the White House.
A sharp drop is expected when the price reaches the predicted resistance level of 4,491.
If the price fails to break through and holds below this resistance, a liquidation is likely to occur, and the price will quickly fall to 4,400.
Despite being in an uptrend, a sharp correction is expected to consolidate for a stronger subsequent rally. It will also fill the gap left by the previous day.
A breakdown above the resistance level would invalidate this setup.
Gold Spot / USD – H1 | Macro Resistance – Liquidity Sweep StyleGold prices remain supported within a broader bullish market structure after a strong impulsive rally from the demand zone. The current price action suggests a pause near a key supply area, indicating the market may be preparing for a liquidity-driven correction rather than immediate continuation.
The price is now trading just below a well-defined resistance zone around 4,480–4,500, which has previously acted as a distribution area. Multiple rejections from this zone highlight active seller interest, making it a critical level to watch for a potential rejection or failed breakout.
A pullback scenario is favored if price continues to hold below resistance. In this case, a corrective move toward the 4,420 support zone is likely first. Failure to hold this support could open the path for a deeper retracement into the gap-fill area around 4,340, aligning with the broader demand zone near 4,315, where stronger buying interest is expected to re-emerge.
Despite the potential for a sharp correction, the higher-timeframe bias remains bullish. Such a pullback would be considered a healthy reset, allowing the market to absorb liquidity and build a stronger base for the next leg higher.
A clean breakout and sustained acceptance above the 4,500 resistance zone would invalidate the corrective setup and signal continuation toward the previous highs.
Ethereum Holds Its Trendline — Is ETH Preparing for the BreakoutEthereum (ETHUSD) on H1 remains in a strong bullish structure, printing a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows after the impulsive rally from the lower base. Momentum remains constructive, with buyers continuing to defend pullbacks rather than allowing deep retracements.
Price is currently consolidating above a rising trendline, which has acted as dynamic support throughout the move. This consolidation suggests healthy digestion of gains, not a reversal, as volatility compresses ahead of the next expansion.
On the upside, ETH is capped by a well-defined horizontal resistance zone around 3,300, where previous supply has entered the market. Multiple reactions from this level confirm it as the key barrier for bullish continuation.
At present, price is holding above the 3,220–3,240 support region, aligned with trendline support. As long as this zone remains intact, the bullish structure stays valid.
Bullish scenario: A clean break and acceptance above 3,300, followed by a pullback holding above this level, would confirm bullish continuation toward 3,380–3,420.
Bearish scenario: A decisive breakdown below the rising trendline and loss of the 3,220 support would signal a deeper correction, exposing downside targets toward 3,150–3,100.
For now, ETH remains in trend continuation mode. Patience is key — the highest-probability setups will come from confirmed breakouts or trendline retests, not from chasing price inside consolidation.
H4 US Dollar Index (DXY) – Technical AnalysisThe US Dollar Index (DXY) is trading near 98.70 on the 4H chart, and it’s looking like it’s going to continue its recovery within that rising channel from the low at 97.75. Price has managed to take back the 50% Fib level at 98.24 and is now testing the resistance at 98.74 – which just so happens to be where a prior support level used to be.
The 200-EMA at 99.00 is a big deal as far as upside goes, while the supports sit at 98.12 and 97.9. RSI is sitting at 58, which is a pretty good sign. The trade idea is to pick up a few dollars on the dip near 98.30 and aim for 99.20, but set a stop loss below 97.95.
Bullish Channel Under Pressure — Continuation or Breakdown XAUUSD / M30 — Market Update
Market Context & Structure
Gold is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, confirming that the broader market structure on M30 remains bullish. The sequence of higher highs and higher lows is still intact, and the prior impulsive leg shows strong bullish commitment rather than exhaustion.
However, after testing the upper boundary of the channel, price has shifted into a corrective pullback phase. This move is corrective in nature and currently unfolding inside the bullish structure, not yet signaling a trend reversal.
Technical Confluence
The lower boundary of the ascending channel aligns closely with a short-term demand area, making it a critical reaction zone. Price has already shown an initial response from this region, suggesting buyers are still active.
At the same time, the mid-range horizontal level (previous intraday balance) is acting as a decision point. Market behavior around this level will determine whether gold resumes its bullish continuation or transitions into a deeper corrective phase.
Resistance:
Upper channel resistance near 4,550–4,570
Mid-range supply around 4,490–4,500
Support:
Channel support near 4,450–4,460
Major downside level at 4,320–4,340 (structure risk zone)
Scenarios
➡️ Primary Scenario:
If price holds above the lower channel support and forms a higher low, gold is likely to resume its bullish trajectory. A clean push back above the mid-range level would confirm continuation toward the upper channel boundary, with potential extension to new highs.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
A decisive breakdown below the channel support would invalidate the bullish structure. In that case, downside momentum could accelerate toward the 4,320–4,340 support zone, signaling a broader corrective move rather than a simple pullback.
Relief Rally or Trend Continuation? EURUSD Tests Key SupportEURUSD / H1 — Market Update
Market Context & Structure
EURUSD remains under a bearish market structure on the H1 timeframe, defined by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The descending trendline has been respected multiple times, confirming sustained selling pressure and clear directional control from sellers.
However, after the latest impulsive sell-off, price is now trading near a well-defined support zone, where downside momentum has started to slow. This suggests the market is transitioning from expansion into a short-term corrective phase, rather than continuing to sell aggressively at market price.
Technical Confluence
The current support zone aligns with a previous reaction low, making it a logical area for profit-taking from shorts and a potential bounce. At the same time, the descending trendline overhead remains the key structural resistance that caps any upside attempt.
This creates a classic pullback-in-a-downtrend environment, where corrective rallies are expected to be capped below the trendline unless structure is decisively broken.
Resistance:
Descending trendline resistance
1.1700 – 1.1725 (prior reaction / target zone)
1.1760 – 1.1770 (major structural resistance)
Support:
1.1670 – 1.1680 (key demand / reaction zone)
Scenarios
➡️ Primary Scenario:
Price reacts from the support zone and stages a corrective bounce. A move toward the 1.1700 level is the first logical upside target, followed by a potential extension into the descending trendline near 1.1725. This move would be considered a pullback, not a trend reversal, as long as price remains below trendline resistance.
⚠️ Risk Scenario:
Failure to hold the support zone would signal continuation of the bearish structure. A clean breakdown and acceptance below 1.1670 would open the path for further downside, extending the trend rather than triggering a corrective rally.
Gold at a Decision Point — Breakout Fuel or Breakdown Trap?OANDA:XAUUSD has delivered a strong bullish recovery from the lower demand area, forming a clear impulsive leg to the upside. This move confirms that buyers remain active in the broader structure, shifting market sentiment away from the previous bearish phase.
However, after tapping into a well-defined supply zone around 4,490–4,510, price was rejected and is now pulling back. The current price action shows hesitation, suggesting the market is transitioning into a decision zone rather than continuing impulsively.
At the moment, price is reacting around a key support zone near 4,430–4,450, which previously acted as a demand flip. This area is critical: holding above it keeps the bullish structure intact, while a clean break below would signal a deeper corrective move.
Trading Plan:
Bullish scenario: If price holds above the 4,430–4,450 support and reclaims strength, a push back above 4,500 would confirm bullish continuation, opening the path toward 4,550+.
Bearish scenario: A confirmed breakdown below the support zone, followed by a pullback and rejection, would expose downside targets toward 4,395 and potentially 4,350.
For now, patience is key. The middle of this structure carries elevated risk, and the best opportunities will come after confirmation, not anticipation.
Is This the Base for a Trend Reversal or Just a Temporary Pause?📊 MARKET STRUCTURE & PRICE ACTION OVERVIEW
Hello traders! Here’s a clean technical breakdown of EURUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure.
EURUSD has been trading within a broader bearish structure, marked by consistent lower highs and lower lows. After a sustained sell-side move, price reached a key reaction area and printed a sharp bullish impulse, signaling short-term buyer participation and the formation of a potential pivot low.
Following this rebound, the market failed to sustain bullish momentum and rolled back into a corrective pullback, respecting prior structure levels. This behavior reflects a market still under bearish pressure, but now transitioning into a critical evaluation phase near demand.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
Primary Demand (Support Zone):
The 1.1665–1.1670 area is a well-defined demand zone, where strong buying previously entered and halted the sell-off. This zone represents institutional interest and is the key level preventing further downside.
Intermediate Resistance:
The 1.1700 level acts as a short-term structure barrier. Price rejection here confirms that sellers are still defending lower highs.
Major Supply Zones:
Overhead supply remains layered at:
1.1745–1.1760 (previous consolidation and EMA alignment)
1.1780–1.1790 (higher-timeframe supply and distribution zone)
These zones define the path price must reclaim to confirm a broader bullish shift.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
Currently, EURUSD is trading just above the primary demand zone, placing price at a high-importance decision area. This is where the market will determine whether recent selling pressure is exhaustion-driven or simply a pause before continuation.
The proximity to demand suggests risk is becoming asymmetric, with sellers needing a clean breakdown to regain momentum.
🧠 MY SCENARIO
As long as EURUSD holds above the 1.1665 demand zone, the current price action can be treated as a corrective base-building phase, with potential for a push back toward 1.1700, followed by a retest of the 1.1745–1.1760 supply zone. Acceptance above that area would be the first signal of a meaningful trend shift.
However, a decisive hourly close below 1.1665 would confirm bearish continuation, opening the door for further downside expansion beyond the current structure.
For now, price is testing demand, not breaking structure.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
This is a critical inflection point. Let price confirm direction at demand, avoid early bias, and always manage your risk.
Ethereum at a Structural Pivot: Continuation Reload 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE & PRICE ACTION OVERVIEW
Ethereum remains in a broader bullish market structure, characterized by higher highs and higher lows following a strong impulsive advance. After the expansion leg, price transitioned into a range-bound consolidation, reflecting temporary equilibrium between buyers and sellers rather than trend exhaustion.
Multiple attempts to push higher were met with sharp reactions, suggesting active supply near the highs, yet downside momentum has remained limited. This behavior indicates that sellers are reacting, but have not taken control of structure.
The market is now coiling within a defined support–resistance box, preparing for its next expansion phase.
🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES
Key Resistance Zone:
The 3,300–3,310 area acts as a clear supply cap, where prior bullish momentum stalled and aggressive selling emerged. This zone represents institutional selling pressure and remains the level bulls must reclaim for continuation.
Primary Demand / Support:
The 3,240 zone is a critical demand area, aligning with:
Previous breakout structure
Horizontal support
Rising EMA (dynamic demand)
Secondary Demand:
Below that, 3,215–3,220 serves as deeper demand and structure protection. A move into this area would still be considered corrective unless followed by acceptance below.
🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION
Currently, ETH is trading near the lower boundary of its consolidation range, sitting directly above demand. This places price at a decision point, where buyers are expected to defend structure if the bullish trend is to remain valid.
The absence of strong bearish follow-through on recent pullbacks suggests selling pressure is corrective, not impulsive.
🧠 MY SCENARIO
As long as Ethereum holds above the 3,240 support zone, the broader bullish structure remains intact, and current price action can be treated as a corrective pullback within an uptrend. A sustained bounce from demand would likely lead to another test of the 3,300–3,310 resistance, and acceptance above this zone could open the door for continuation toward higher highs.
However, a clean breakdown and hourly acceptance below 3,240 would weaken bullish control and signal a deeper retracement toward the 3,215 demand zone. Only a failure to hold that lower demand would suggest a more meaningful structural shift.
For now, Ethereum remains in compression, not reversal.
⚠️ RISK NOTE
Price is sitting at a critical structural level. Wait for confirmation, respect key zones, and always manage your risk.






















