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GOLD – 4H | Bearish Divergence – Pullback or Continuation?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) remains in a broader uptrend on the 4H timeframe, printing higher highs and higher lows while respecting the ascending channel structure. However, recent price action suggests the upside momentum may be weakening near a key resistance zone at 4640. Price is currently consolidating between 4640 and 4570, showing clear signs of accumulation. At the same time, a bearish divergence on RSI is visible, indicating declining momentum despite price holding near highs. This divergence aligns with a rising wedge formation, which often precedes corrective or reversal moves when it appears late in an uptrend. From a structure perspective, the market is approaching a decision point. A clean break and 4H close above the 4650 zone would invalidate the immediate bearish setup and could open the path toward the 4700 area. On the downside, a 4H close below 4570, accompanied by a clear breakdown from the accumulation range, would confirm weakness and expose 4500, with room for further downside. Adding to the confluence, the higher-timeframe structure also shows a bearish harmonic AB=CD pattern, reinforcing the idea of a potential pullback or corrective phase.. Fundamentally, gold remains strong overall, but from a technical standpoint, a pullback within the trend appears increasingly likely. Watching price action closely for confirmation. Bias remains short-term bearish unless invalidated.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by awaisulabdeen
Bitcoin at the Edge of the 4-Year CycleOn the BTCUSD Daily timeframe, the chart is signaling a high-risk, late-cycle environment rather than a fresh bullish expansion. When viewed through the lens of the Bitcoin 4 year cycle, the current structure closely mirrors prior cycle tops in 2014, 2018, and 2022 , where price accelerated into a rising channel, printed euphoric highs, and then formed a bull trap before a deep corrective phase. Structurally, Bitcoin remains inside a rising macro channel, but momentum has clearly weakened. Price has failed to sustain acceptance above the upper trendline and is now rotating near the mid–upper range of the channel, a location that historically favors distribution, not accumulation. The repeated rejection zones highlighted on the chart show where smart money previously offloaded positions while retail chased continuation. From a cycle + EMA perspective, this is critical. In previous cycles, once price stretched far above the long-term EMAs and momentum began compressing, the market transitioned from markup into distribution. The current price action higher highs with overlapping candles and fading impulse fits that same behavioral profile. This is where bull traps are engineered: price holds elevated levels just long enough to trap late buyers before liquidity is pulled. The projected downside scenario toward the ~$60,000 support region is not extreme it is structurally logical. That zone aligns with prior cycle support, channel equilibrium, and historical re-accumulation levels. A breakdown from the current consolidation would likely trigger a cascade move, as leverage unwinds and long term holders hedge risk. To be clear: This does not invalidate Bitcoin’s long-term bullish thesis. It suggests that the market may be transitioning from late-cycle euphoria into a corrective/reset phase, which is a normal and necessary part of every 4-year cycle. In summary: 👉this scenario is absolutely possible and technically justified. 👉 Current price action favors risk management, not aggressive longs. 👉 The coming phase is about who exits late and who prepares early for the next true accumulation cycle. Smart money is already thinking in cycles, not candles.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
Smart Money Accumulation or Just a Dead Cat Bounce?Bitcoin on the H1 timeframe has just printed a textbook liquidity sweep, and this move is far more meaningful than it looks at first glance. After spending an extended period compressing below the descending trendline and beneath the resistance zone around 95,500–95,800, price failed to reclaim that supply area. The rejection was clean and decisive, followed by a sharp impulsive sell-off, slicing through the EMA and breaking the internal range support without hesitation. This type of candle structure is not retail-driven it signals active distribution and aggressive sell-side execution. The drop flushed price directly into a clearly defined demand / support zone around 92,000–91,800, where liquidity had been resting for multiple sessions. The reaction so far is constructive: long lower wicks, slowing downside momentum, and a short-term bounce suggest buyers are defending this zone, at least temporarily. From a structural perspective, this is now a make-or-break area: If BTC holds above the support zone and builds higher lows, a corrective rebound toward 94,000 → 94,600, and potentially a retest of 95,700 resistance, becomes technically valid. This would align with a classic liquidity grab → mean reversion scenario. However, if price fails to reclaim the EMA and shows weak follow-through, this bounce should be treated as a corrective pullback, not a trend reversal. A clean breakdown below 91,800 would confirm bearish continuation, opening the path toward deeper liquidity near 90,900 → 90,200. ➡️ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish only while support holds ➡️ Key level: 91,800 demand zone ➡️ Risk: High — market is transitioning, not trending This is not a FOMO long environment. The next move depends entirely on how price behaves inside this demand zone accumulation or breakdown will decide the next impulse.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
ETH Swept the Range Low – The Market Is Setting Up a Reversal On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just completed a classic range failure and liquidity sweep, flushing price below the lower boundary of the prior sideway consolidation before reacting sharply from a well-defined support range. This type of move is rarely accidental it is a typical behavior seen when the market clears weak long positions and late sellers before preparing the next directional leg. Context is critical here. ETH spent a long period consolidating inside the accumulation range around 3,260–3,380, where value was clearly established. The impulsive breakdown from this range initially signaled bearish continuation, but the follow-through quickly stalled, and price transitioned into a compressed sideway zone instead of expanding lower. That lack of continuation is the first warning sign that selling pressure was being absorbed. The recent sharp sell-off into the 3,080–3,100 support range appears to be a stop-hunt move, not the start of a new bearish trend. Price pierced below the sideway range lows aggressively, triggered liquidity, and immediately paused rather than accelerating. This behavior suggests that sellers are exhausting, while stronger buyers are stepping in at discounted prices. Structurally, ETH is now positioned for a mean reversion back into the value area. If price can stabilize above the support range and reclaim the 3,180–3,220 zone, the probability increases for a rotation back toward the range low around 3,230–3,240, which now acts as a key breakout decision zone. Acceptance above this level would invalidate the bearish breakdown and shift the market back into a recovery phase. From there, the projected path toward 3,300+ becomes technically justified, as the market would be re-entering the former accumulation range where liquidity is stacked above. This would complete a full cycle: accumulation → distribution fake → liquidity sweep → re-accumulation. However, this bullish recovery thesis only remains valid as long as the support range holds. A clean break and acceptance below the current support would confirm true bearish continuation and open deeper downside. Until that happens, the current price action should be treated as absorption and positioning, not trend continuation. In summary, Ethereum is not trending right now it is transitioning. The market has just taken liquidity, tested demand, and is now at a structural inflection point. What happens next around the range low will decide whether this move becomes a bearish continuation or a powerful recovery back into value.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
Bitcoin Breakdown Complete: Accumulation or Just a BounceOn the BTCUSD H1 timeframe, price action has officially shifted into a post-breakdown environment, and the structure on this chart is very clear from a professional market-structure perspective. Bitcoin previously spent a significant amount of time rotating inside a tight accumulation/balance range around 93,000 – 93,500, with price holding above the EMA 89. However, that range was distribution, not accumulation. The decisive bearish impulse candle sliced cleanly through the range, the EMA, and prior intraday support confirming acceptance below value, not a fake break. After the breakdown, price attempted to stabilize briefly, but sellers maintained control and forced continuation lower. This behavior tells us two things: 1. Buyers failed to defend the range, and 2. The market is now actively searching for real demand, not resting. The current move into the 91,800 – 90,800 support zone is structurally logical. This zone aligns with a prior demand base and represents the first area where responsive buyers may step in. The green projected path on the chart reflects a technical rebound scenario, but it should be viewed strictly as a corrective reaction, not trend continuation. As long as price remains below the broken accumulation range (~93,000), any upside move is classified as a lower-high pullback within a bearish intraday structure. A clean reclaim and acceptance back above that range would be required to shift bias bullish again. Until then, rallies are vulnerable to selling pressure. This is not a dip-buy environment yet, it is a range failure followed by a liquidity run. If price reacts strongly from the support zone, short-term bounces are tradable. But structurally, Bitcoin remains weak below value, and patience is required to see whether this support produces real accumulation or simply fuels the next leg down. Smart traders wait for confirmation not hope.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BlackGoldMarket
ETH Liquidity Sweep Complete: Accumulation or Trap On the ETHUSD H1 timeframe, the market has just completed a clean liquidity sweep below value, and the structure now transitions into a very sensitive decision zone. Ethereum previously traded inside a high-volume liquidity range around 3,280 – 3,350, where price repeatedly stalled and failed to expand higher. The sharp bearish impulse candle slicing through this range was not random it was a distribution break, confirmed by strong momentum and a decisive loss of the EMA 89. Once price accepted below that EMA, upside continuation was structurally invalidated. Following the breakdown, ETH rotated briefly inside a lower accumulation zone (~3,160 – 3,220). However, this was not true accumulation it was bearish acceptance, evidenced by overlapping candles, weak bounces, and failure to reclaim the EMA. The final sell-off flushed liquidity directly into the major support zone around 3,050 – 3,080, where reactive buyers are now expected to appear. From a professional market-structure perspective, the current price action suggests sell-side liquidity has been largely cleared. This opens the door for a technical rebound, but context is critical: any bounce from this support should be treated as corrective, not trend-confirming, until price can reclaim and hold above the broken accumulation range near 3,220 – 3,240. The projected upside path on the chart reflects a mean-reversion scenario a bounce from support, followed by a retest of prior value. If ETH fails at that retest, it would confirm the move as a classic liquidity grab + lower-high setup, increasing the probability of another downside leg. Only sustained acceptance back above the liquidity range would flip bias bullish again. Key takeaway: ETH is currently trading in a post-distribution environment. The dump was structural, not emotional. Support may produce a bounce, but until value is reclaimed, rallies are reactions not reversals. Smart traders now wait for confirmation at the reclaim, not at the bottom.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
2
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Momentum Shift or Just a Liquidity On the EURUSD H1 timeframe, price has just delivered a clean impulsive breakout, signaling a meaningful short-term structure shift after an extended period of downside pressure and consolidation. For most of the prior session, EURUSD was trading below the EMA 89, with price action capped and overlapping a classic sign of bearish control and weak demand. However, that dynamic changed sharply once price reclaimed and expanded above the EMA, followed by a strong bullish impulse candle. This move is important: it was not a slow grind higher, but a decisive expansion, indicating active participation from buyers rather than short covering alone. The grey boxed area on the chart represents a newly established bullish value zone, where price accelerated rapidly and accepted above prior intraday highs. Such impulsive legs typically signal the start of a range expansion phase, not the end of a move. As long as price holds above the lower boundary of this zone (around 1.1640–1.1650), the bullish structure remains intact. From a market-structure perspective, the breakout likely served two purposes simultaneously: 1. Clearing sell-side liquidity from the prior consolidation, and 2. Forcing late sellers to cover, fueling upside momentum. The projected path suggests a brief consolidation or shallow pullback, followed by continuation toward the next upside objectives. Initial resistance sits near 1.1760–1.1780, with an extended target toward 1.1800–1.1810, where higher-timeframe liquidity and previous supply reside. EURUSD has transitioned from compression to expansion. As long as price holds above reclaimed value and the EMA acts as dynamic support, pullbacks are corrective, not bearish. Momentum currently favors continuation, with buyers in control until proven otherwise.
by BlackGoldMarket
Bitcoin Sweeps Lower Support — Relief Bounce or SetupOn the BTCUSD H1, price has completed a clean bearish displacement from above the EMA cluster, confirming a short-term shift in control from buyers to sellers. The impulsive sell-off sliced through prior balance and left behind a clearly defined resistance zone around 93,200–93,700, which now acts as a supply cap rather than a reclaimable level in the immediate term. After the breakdown, Bitcoin attempted a weak corrective pullback into that resistance zone. The reaction there was telling: upside momentum stalled quickly, bullish follow-through failed, and sellers stepped back in aggressively. This behavior confirms lower-high formation and reinforces that the move up was corrective, not impulsive. Structurally, the market is now in a markdown continuation phase, not consolidation. Price has since flushed into the 90,300–90,600 support zone, where the current pause is taking place. This area is a logical place for short-term demand to react, and the green projection reflects a technical relief bounce scenario. However, it’s important to frame this correctly: any bounce from support is still counter-trend unless BTC can reclaim and hold above the 93,200 resistance band with acceptance. If buyers defend the support zone and build a base, a corrective push toward 92,500 → 93,200 is realistic as liquidity is rebalanced. That move would mainly serve to reload supply rather than signal trend reversal. Conversely, a clean breakdown and acceptance below the support zone would expose BTC to deeper continuation, as there is limited structure beneath to slow momentum. Bitcoin remains bearish on the H1 structure. The current support zone may generate a bounce, but until resistance is reclaimed with strength, rallies should be viewed as corrective and sell-side opportunities, not trend continuation. Patience is required the market is still digesting downside liquidity.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by XauMasterNetwork
Ethereum Flushes Below Accumulation — Is This a Liquidity SweepOn the ETHUSD H1, price has just delivered a sharp downside displacement straight out of the prior accumulation range, signaling a clear shift in short-term order flow. The breakdown was impulsive and decisive, cutting through the lower boundary of the accumulation zone and slicing below the rising EMA, which confirms that buyers lost control in the short term and liquidity was actively targeted to the downside. What stands out technically is how price behaved after the breakdown. Instead of immediately reversing back into the range, ETH continued to extend lower and is now interacting with a major support zone around 3,080–3,100. This area aligns with prior demand and acts as the first meaningful level where buyers are expected to respond. The move into this zone looks more like a liquidity sweep than a trend reversal — weak longs from the accumulation range have been cleared, and late sellers are now vulnerable. Structurally, ETH is transitioning from distribution → markdown → stabilization. The current price action at support is critical. If buyers can defend this zone and start printing higher lows, the green projection scenario becomes valid: a recovery back toward 3,160–3,220, followed by range expansion and a potential re-acceptance into the prior accumulation area. That would confirm this move as a classic stop-hunt and re-accumulation rather than sustained bearish continuation. However, it’s important to stay objective. A clean acceptance below the support zone, especially with strong bearish closes, would invalidate the recovery scenario and open the door for deeper continuation. Until then, selling into support is low-quality risk, while chasing longs before confirmation is also premature. ETH is currently at a decision point. The impulsive drop flushed liquidity, but the market is now testing a high-probability demand zone. Hold above support = re-accumulation and upside potential. Lose support = continuation risk. Patience and confirmation are essential at this stage.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
Gold at ATH: Breakout Strength or the Final Liquidity Grab On the Gold H1 timeframe, price has just completed a clean impulsive breakout from a prolonged consolidation base, pushing into a new present all-time high (ATH) zone. This move is structurally bullish, but the location where price is currently trading demands caution rather than blind continuation. The prior range acted as a well-defined accumulation structure, where price spent time compressing and absorbing sell-side liquidity. The upside expansion that followed was decisive, leaving behind a clear imbalance (GAP/inefficiency) below current price. This is important: strong trends often leave inefficiencies, but markets statistically tend to rebalance those zones before sustainable continuation. From a market structure perspective, the breakout is valid, yet price is now extended above the last accepted value area. The present ATH zone is acting as short-term resistance, where early longs take profit and late buyers often get trapped. This creates two high-probability paths — both of which are logical and professional, not contradictory. Bullish continuation scenario: If Gold can hold above the breakout base (~4,700–4,705) and show acceptance with shallow pullbacks, then the next impulsive leg toward a new ATH (~4,740–4,760) becomes highly likely. This would indicate strong demand absorption and continuation of the macro bullish cycle. Corrective pullback scenario (higher probability short-term): A rejection from the ATH area opens the door for a controlled retracement into the highlighted support zone / gap region (~4,640–4,600). This is not bearish, it would represent a healthy rebalancing move, allowing institutions to reload longs at discounted prices. As long as price holds above the lower support band, the broader bullish structure remains intact.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
4
Capitulation Then Compression — Is Bitcoin Building a Base Bitcoin has just experienced a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking down aggressively from the prior balance area. This move was fast, vertical, and emotional a classic liquidity-driven dump rather than a slow structural unwind. Such behavior typically signals capitulation, where weak hands are forced out of positions. After the drop, price did not continue trending lower immediately. Instead, BTC transitioned into a sideways consolidation range, marked clearly on the chart. This range reflects temporary equilibrium as selling pressure cools and the market begins to reassess value. 📊 Market Structure & Price Context (H1) Bitcoin has just experienced a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking down aggressively from the prior balance area. This move was fast, vertical, and emotional — a classic liquidity-driven dump rather than a slow structural unwind. Such behavior typically signals capitulation, where weak hands are forced out of positions. After the drop, price did not continue trending lower immediately. Instead, BTC transitioned into a sideways consolidation range, marked clearly on the chart. This range reflects temporary equilibrium as selling pressure cools and the market begins to reassess value. 🟢 Support Zone: The Key Inflection Area Price has now reached and reacted from a well-defined support zone, which aligns with the base of the recent sell-off. This area is critical for short-term structure: - It represents the zone where buyers are willing to step in. - It is the first level where a meaningful reaction is expected. - Failure or acceptance here will determine the next directional leg. The current price behavior suggests stabilization, not continuation selling an important distinction. 🔄 Rotation vs Breakdown Logic From a price action perspective, two paths are clearly developing: Bullish rotation scenario: If BTC holds above the support zone and begins forming higher lows, price can rotate back into the previous sideways range. Acceptance above that range would confirm a mean reversion move, opening the door for a recovery toward the upper boundary of consolidation. Bearish continuation risk: If support fails with strong momentum and acceptance below the zone, the market would signal that sellers remain in control, exposing BTC to a deeper continuation leg. At the moment, there is no confirmation of breakdown only a test. 🧠 Structural Takeaway This is no longer a trending environment it is a reaction zone. The impulsive drop has already occurred; what matters now is how price behaves at support, not how far it already fell. Strong moves are followed by decisions. Bitcoin is now at that decision point. Patience is essential here. Let the market confirm whether this is a base for rotation or just a pause before continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
Vertical Breakout Into Resistance — Exhaustion or Just a Pause EURUSD has just printed a strong impulsive bullish leg, accelerating sharply out of its prior consolidation and driving straight into a higher-timeframe resistance zone around the 1.1740 area. This move was fast, clean, and largely one-directional a classic momentum-driven expansion, often seen when liquidity is swept and late buyers chase price higher. However, such vertical moves rarely sustain without a pause. When price reaches resistance in this manner, the probability of short-term exhaustion increases significantly. 🟥 Resistance Zone Reaction Price is currently reacting directly at a clearly defined resistance zone, where previous selling pressure has emerged. The lack of consolidation below resistance and the immediate hesitation suggest that buyers may be losing momentum, rather than building acceptance above the level. From a price action perspective: - The move into resistance was impulsive. - Any move away from resistance is likely to be corrective first. This creates an environment where pullbacks and mean reversion become the dominant expectation. 🔄 Pullback & Target Logic The projected path on the chart outlines a step-by-step corrective rotation lower, not an immediate collapse. This is important. Key levels to watch: - First pullback target: ~1.1660 area a prior intraday structure level where price may pause. - Secondary take-profit zone: ~1.1620 aligns with previous consolidation and liquidity. - Extended target: ~1.1590 — a deeper mean-reversion level and prior demand area. These levels represent logical areas for profit-taking, not guaranteed destinations. 🧠 Scenario Breakdown Primary scenario (Corrective pullback): - Price rejects from resistance. - Forms lower highs. - Gradually rotates lower toward prior structure levels. Invalidation scenario: - Strong bullish acceptance above the resistance zone. - Consolidation above 1.1740 would invalidate the short-term bearish pullback bias and reopen upside continuation. 🎯 Final Takeaway EURUSD has completed a textbook impulsive run into resistance. At this stage, the market is no longer offering high-probability continuation longs instead, it is entering a reaction phase, where correction and profit-taking are statistically favored. Strong moves invite reactions. Resistance is where decisions are made. Patience and confirmation remain key. Let price show whether this level holds or fails.
by Mathew_TraderGold
Relief Bounce Is Likely, But Trend Is Still FragileOn the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin has just experienced a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking below both short-term and mid-term EMAs and accelerating straight into a key support zone around 90,800–91,000. This move is characteristic of a capitulation leg, where stops are flushed aggressively and price travels quickly without meaningful pullbacks. The most important detail is the sequence of events. BTC was previously consolidating above the EMA cluster, but once that structure failed, selling pressure expanded rapidly. Price did not pause at minor levels, confirming that this was initiative selling, not simple profit-taking. The loss of EMA support has clearly flipped short-term market control back to sellers. However, as price reaches the highlighted support zone, momentum is beginning to slow. This area represents prior demand and liquidity, where buyers have previously shown interest. The small-bodied candles and reduced downside follow-through suggest that selling pressure is being absorbed, opening the door for a short-term relief bounce. Any upside from here should be treated as corrective by default. The former breakdown area around 91,800–92,000 is the first upside target and also a key decision zone. A reaction into this level would simply be a mean reversion after an oversold move. If price stalls or shows rejection there, it would reinforce the bearish continuation scenario. The higher resistance zone around 93,000–93,300, aligned with prior structure and EMA resistance, marks the upper boundary of a potential corrective rally. Only a strong reclaim and acceptance above this zone would invalidate the bearish short-term bias and suggest that the sell-off was a false breakdown. In summary, Bitcoin has likely completed the impulsive leg down and entered a reaction phase. A bounce from support is technically reasonable, but as long as price remains below broken structure and EMA resistance, the market is still in a sell-the-rally environment. This is a moment for patience and confirmation, not aggressive prediction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
EURUSD Just Ignited a Bullish Expansion – Targets Now On the H1 timeframe, EURUSD has delivered a clean structural breakout, shifting the market decisively from consolidation into bullish expansion mode. The impulsive bullish candle that lifted price away from the EMA cluster is a clear sign of initiative buying, not a slow corrective move. The most important technical development occurred at the 1.1615–1.1625 support zone, where price found demand, formed a higher low, and reclaimed both short-term and mid-term EMAs. This area acted as the launchpad for the breakout, confirming that buyers were already in control before price accelerated higher. Structurally, EURUSD has now printed a higher high above prior resistance, officially invalidating the previous bearish sequence. Once price accepted above the EMA cluster, momentum expanded rapidly, and sellers were unable to slow the move — a classic hallmark of a trend transition. With structure flipped bullish, the market now has clear upside reference levels. The first objective sits near 1.1741, where minor resistance and intraday liquidity converge. A successful hold above that level opens the path toward 1.1764, followed by the higher-timeframe target near 1.1779, which marks the upper resistance boundary. Any short-term pullbacks into the former resistance-turned-support zone should be viewed as healthy retracements within an uptrend, provided price remains above the 1.1620 area. A loss of that support would be required to invalidate the bullish continuation thesis. In summary, EURUSD has moved from compression into active expansion. Structure, momentum, and EMA alignment all support the upside scenario, and as long as the market holds above support, the path toward higher targets remains technically justified.
by RexTraderGOLD
ETH Is Testing Major Demand After BreakdownETH Is Testing Major Demand After Breakdown – Bounce Is Likely, But Context Still Matters On the H1 timeframe, Ethereum has just completed a sharp impulsive sell-off, breaking down from the prior consolidation and accelerating straight into a well-defined support zone around 3,070–3,090. The nature of this move is important: price did not drift lower gradually, but instead sold off aggressively after failing at the 3,220–3,240 resistance zone, confirming that sellers were firmly in control at higher prices. The rejection from resistance occurred directly beneath the descending EMA cluster, which acted as dynamic resistance throughout the pullback. This alignment between horizontal resistance and EMA pressure created a high-probability sell zone, and once price failed to reclaim it, bearish momentum expanded rapidly. Structurally, this confirms that the prior consolidation was distribution rather than continuation. Now that ETH has reached the support zone, downside momentum is beginning to slow. Long lower wicks and reduced follow-through suggest sell-side exhaustion, opening the door for a technical bounce. In bearish or corrective environments, this type of reaction is common once price reaches a higher-timeframe demand area. However, any upside from this level should be treated as corrective by default. The first upside objective sits near 3,150–3,170, followed by the more critical 3,220 resistance zone, which now represents the key decision area. A move back into this zone would be a mean-reversion rally unless price can reclaim it with acceptance and strong follow-through. As long as ETH remains below the former resistance and under the EMA, the broader bias stays bearish to neutral, despite the likelihood of a short-term bounce. Only a clean reclaim of resistance would invalidate the downside continuation thesis and suggest that the sell-off was a false move. In summary, Ethereum is currently reacting at demand after an impulsive breakdown. A relief bounce is technically justified, but unless structure is reclaimed, this move should be read as a pause within bearish control rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
2
EURUSD Explodes Into Supply — Momentum Spike or Liquidity GrabOn the EURUSD H1, price has just delivered a strong bullish displacement from the demand zone around 1.1640, cutting cleanly through the EMA 98 and multiple intraday resistance levels in a single impulsive leg. This type of vertical expansion is not random. it is a classic liquidity driven move, designed to break structure, trigger breakout buyers, and rebalance positioning after a prolonged bearish phase. However, context is critical. The rally has now extended directly into a higher-timeframe supply zone around 1.1735–1.1750, where prior selling pressure was clearly established. The immediate rejection wick at the highs, followed by loss of bullish follow through, suggests buyer exhaustion rather than healthy continuation. Momentum is slowing, and internal price action is beginning to overlap a warning sign after such a sharp impulse. The projected red path reflects a corrective pullback scenario, not an aggressive trend reversal yet. Structurally, the most logical downside magnet is the demand zone near 1.1640, which also aligns with the EMA support and the origin of the impulse. A controlled retracement into this zone would be technically healthy, allowing the market to rebalance liquidity and determine whether buyers have real acceptance or whether this entire push was a liquidity sweep into supply. As long as price remains below the supply zone, upside continuation carries increasing risk. Only sustained acceptance above 1.1750 would invalidate the pullback thesis and open room for further expansion. Until then, the current structure favors mean reversion back into demand, with sellers likely defending the highs. This move looks more like stop-hunting and imbalance resolution than the start of a clean bullish trend. Expect volatility and a potential pullback into 1.1640 demand before the market reveals its true directional intent.
by XauMasterNetwork
Gold at the Edge of Decision: Blow-Off Top or Bullish Reset OANDA:XAUUSD is currently trading at a critical inflection point, where short-term exhaustion signals are colliding with a still intact higher timeframe bullish structure. This is no longer a simple trend following environment. it is a transition phase, and how price reacts around current levels will define the next multi session move. 1. Technical Structure – Elliott Wave Context From a structural perspective, Gold has completed a clear 5 wave impulsive sequence: - Wave (1) → (3): Strong expansion with shallow pullbacks, confirming institutional accumulation - Wave (4): Controlled correction that respected the rising EMA structure - Wave (5): Final extension into New All-Time Highs (ATH), accompanied by momentum deceleration The rejection from Wave (5) is technically healthy. Markets rarely continue vertically after a full impulse they must rebalance liquidity. At this stage, price behavior strongly suggests a corrective ABC structure: - (A): Sharp pullback from ATH - (B): Potential corrective rebound (lower high) - (C): Final corrective leg into stronger demand This does not imply a trend reversal yet it implies trend digestion. 2. Support Zone, GAP & EMA Confluence The highlighted support zone (~4,560 – 4,590) is technically significant because it aligns with: - Prior breakout base - EMA dynamic support (blue EMA) - Structural Wave (4) region - Unfilled price gap, which markets statistically like to revisit This creates a high-probability reaction zone, not a blind buy area confirmation is required. If price holds and stabilizes here, it sets the foundation for a higher low, keeping the macro bullish structure intact. 3. Break Scenario vs Hold Scenario 🔴 Bearish Continuation (Correction Extension) If price breaks and accepts below the support zone, the correction likely extends toward: ~4,410 (next major liquidity pocket) This would complete the ABC correction and flush late longs before continuation. 🟢 Bullish Reset Scenario (Preferred if Support Holds) If price defends the support zone and reclaims momentum, the structure favors: - A corrective (B) rally - Followed by consolidation - Then continuation toward new ATH expansion The dotted path illustrates this reset → continuation logic. 4. Market Psychology & Liquidity Logic This phase is where: - Late breakout buyers panic - Early trend participants take partial profits - Smart money looks to rebuild long exposure at discount Strong trends do not end with clean tops they end after complex corrections that shake confidence. 5. Macro Overlay – Why Gold Is Still Structurally Bullish From a macro perspective, Gold remains supported by multiple long-term drivers: - Global monetary easing expectations: Markets are increasingly pricing in rate cuts across major economies in 2026. - Real yields under pressure: Falling or stagnant real yields historically support Gold strength. - Geopolitical risk premium: Persistent geopolitical tensions keep Gold bid as a hedge asset. - Central bank accumulation: Ongoing reserve diversification continues to underpin long-term demand. These macro forces suggest that pullbacks are corrective, not distributive unless macro conditions materially change. Gold is not breaking down it is rebalancing. - The impulse structure is complete - A corrective phase is unfolding - Key support will determine whether this correction becomes a launchpad or a deeper reset Patience is critical here. The highest-probability opportunities emerge after the correction completes, not in the emotional middle. In strong macro trends, the best trades come after fear not after euphoria.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
4
Gold Is Breaking Price Discovery – Pullbacks Are Fuel New ATHOn the H1 timeframe, Gold has just delivered a clean impulsive breakout, pushing the market into price discovery territory. The strength of this move is evident not only in the vertical expansion, but also in how decisively price has left prior value behind. This behavior signals aggressive institutional participation rather than short-term speculation. The breakout leg has already respected key Fibonacci expansion levels, with price reacting near the 0.618 and pressing toward the 1.618 extension zone around 4,768. Importantly, this is occurring without any meaningful distribution a strong sign that buyers remain firmly in control. In trending markets, this type of structure often leads to continuation rather than reversal. That said, after such a sharp impulse, a corrective pullback is both healthy and expected. The highlighted demand zone around 4,660–4,680 represents the first high probability area where price may rebalance. This zone aligns with prior breakout structure and unfilled demand, making it a logical level for buyers to defend. Below that, the large price gap acts as a deeper liquidity magnet in the event of an extended correction. However, unless Gold decisively breaks and holds below the demand zone, any retracement into this area should be viewed as re-accumulation, not weakness. Strong trends often revisit demand only to reload before the next expansion leg. If buyers successfully defend demand and price reclaims momentum, the path toward new all-time highs above 4,768 opens quickly. In price discovery environments, resistance is psychological rather than technical, and extensions can travel further and faster than most expect. In summary, Gold is not topping it is transitioning into a new expansion phase. Pullbacks are part of the process, not a threat to the trend. As long as demand holds, the dominant bias remains bullish, with higher highs and continued price discovery firmly on the table.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XauMasterNetwork
4
Market Analysis & Future Developments January 20TODAY'S LIMITED STRATEGY JAN 20 Intraday trading: Adjus 📌 SET UP 1. Timming Sell Zone XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4718 - 4721 💰 Take Profit(TP): 4715 - 4710 ❎ Stoploss(SL): 4725 Note capital management to ensure account safety 📌 SET UP 2. Timming Buy Zone XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4615 - 4618 💰 Take Profit(TP): 4621 - 4626 ❎ Stoploss(SL): 4611 Note capital management to ensure account safety ✅The current market is still consolidating sideways around the 4658-4678 price range. This is a very sensitive area as it is holding the main wave 5, with no clear indication of a clear winner or loser ✅Consolidation does not mean that buying pressure is weakening and selling pressure is dominating; rather, buyers are observing and reviewing their cash flow before making their next decision. I'll reiterate that when trading, you should respect the trend and avoid trying to disrupt it, otherwise you'll find yourself in a difficult situation that you can't handle, leading to losses. ✅Today's scenario: ⏩ 70% chance of an uptrend if the price remains stable within the 4658-4678 accumulation zone, aiming to complete wave 5 today and reach a new peak at 4720, possibly even further at 4748. ⏩ 30% chance of a downtrend if the accumulation structure is broken, potentially leading to a decline to retest nearby support zones such as 4621 or further at 4582. 👉Note: Don't assume that just because there's a gap, the market will fill it. I've mentioned many times that not every gap is meant to be filled. Therefore, everyone should be cautious when trading without clear confirmation from the market (volume, candlesticks, money flow, and other technical indicators supporting the trade
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
2
Cup & Handle Under Pressure — Breakout Delayed or Reloading Ethereum has been developing a well-defined Cup & Handle structure on the H4 timeframe — a classic bullish continuation pattern that typically forms after a strong prior uptrend. The rounded base reflects prolonged accumulation, while the pivot high marks the point where sellers previously capped price. Following the breakout attempt above the pivot, ETH failed to achieve clean acceptance and instead rolled over into a handle formation, characterized by overlapping price action and reduced momentum. This behavior suggests temporary imbalance rather than a full structural reversal. 🔄 Handle Breakdown & Demand Interaction Price has now broken below the handle low, triggering a corrective flush into the demand zone around the base of the structure. This move has invalidated the immediate breakout attempt but has not destroyed the broader bullish framework of the Cup & Handle. Importantly: - The sell-off into demand was impulsive. - The reaction off demand is expected to determine the next directional leg. - No major higher-timeframe support has been lost yet. This area represents a critical decision zone where buyers must step in to defend the larger structure. 🟢 Key Levels & Structural Logic Demand Zone (Base Low): This is the most important level to watch. It aligns with the midpoint of the cup and prior accumulation. Handle Resistance (~3,260–3,280): Needs to be reclaimed for bullish continuation. Pivot High (~3,400): A confirmed breakout and acceptance above this level would reactivate the classic Cup & Handle target projection. 🧠 Scenario Analysis Bullish Recovery Scenario: ETH holds the demand zone and forms a higher low. Reclaims the handle structure. Breaks back above the pivot → opens the door for a renewed upside expansion. Bearish Risk Scenario: Failure to hold demand leads to acceptance below the base. This would invalidate the Cup & Handle and shift focus toward a deeper corrective phase. 🎯 Final Takeaway ETH is currently at a make-or-break level. The Cup & Handle pattern is damaged but not broken. The next reaction from demand will define whether this move is simply a corrective reset or the start of a larger distribution phase. As long as demand holds, the bullish thesis remains alive but confirmation is required. Patience and level confirmation are key here. Trade the reaction, not the prediction.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by Mathew_TraderGold
1
ETH Is Holding Demand – Buyers Are Preparing the Next PushBITSTAMP:ETHUSD on the H1 timeframe is continuing to respect a well-defined support zone, and the way price is behaving around this area strongly suggests absorption, not breakdown. After the aggressive sell-off earlier in the session, ETH stabilized inside demand and has since started to rotate higher, indicating that sellers are losing control at discounted prices. The most important technical detail is how price is holding above the support zone around 3,070–3,090. Multiple downside probes into this area have failed to produce follow-through, while volume spikes show active participation from buyers. This is a classic sign that strong hands are stepping in, quietly building positions while volatility shakes out weaker participants. From a structural standpoint, ETH is now forming higher lows above support, while price is pressing back toward the EMA. This transition from impulsive selling to sideways compression often precedes a bullish continuation move. The EMA is beginning to flatten and curl upward, reinforcing the idea that bearish momentum has already peaked. If ETH continues to hold this base, the first upside objective sits near 3,166, where prior resistance and liquidity converge. A clean break and acceptance above this level would likely trigger an expansion toward 3,179, followed by a continuation into the 3,195–3,220 zone, which aligns with higher-timeframe targets and unfilled imbalance. The projected path highlights a shallow pullback into demand before acceleration higher a typical accumulation to expansion transition. As long as price remains above the support zone, any short-term dips should be viewed as opportunities within a bullish context, not signs of weakness. In summary, Ethereum is not under pressure it is being supported. The market has already tested the downside and failed, and with demand holding firm, the path of least resistance is gradually shifting upward. If buyers maintain control, the next leg higher could unfold faster than most expect.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
2
BTC Breaks Structure — Dead Cat Bounce or Demand Reaction?Bitcoin has just broken down decisively from the descending trendline and EMA cluster, confirming a short-term bearish shift after prolonged compression. The impulsive sell-off signals distribution resolution, not random volatility, as price sliced through prior balance with strong momentum. BTC is now reacting inside a key support zone around 91,800–92,200, where short-term buyers are attempting to absorb sell pressure. A technical bounce from this area is possible, but as long as price remains below 94,200–94,500 (former support turned resistance), any upside should be treated as corrective. A clean rejection from the trendline retest would likely trigger another leg lower, targeting 90,900–91,000, aligning with the next liquidity pocket. Only a reclaim and hold above 94,500 would invalidate the bearish continuation scenario and reopen upside rotation. ➡️ Bias: Short-term bearish, watching for reaction vs rejection at demand.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
BTC Compressing at Demand — Triangle Break or Final Shakeout?Bitcoin is currently holding above a clearly defined demand zone, while price remains capped below a descending trendline, creating a compression structure. Selling pressure has weakened, but buyers have not yet shown enough strength to force a decisive breakout. As long as the demand zone continues to hold, BTC may form higher lows and attempt a trendline breakout, which would open the path for a recovery move toward the upper resistance near the recent highs. A clean break and close above the descending trendline would confirm bullish continuation. Conversely, a failure to defend the demand zone would invalidate the bullish setup and expose BTC to a deeper pullback toward lower liquidity levels. ➡️ Key focus: Demand zone reaction and confirmation at the descending trendline.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD