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Gold Is Compressing at Range Highs 1. Current Market Structure Gold is maintaining a neutral-to-bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. After a strong bullish expansion earlier, price has transitioned into a well-defined horizontal range, oscillating between support and resistance. Importantly, this is not a distribution pattern — price is holding above the rising EMA 98 and continues to print higher reaction lows, signaling controlled consolidation within an uptrend, not weakness. 2. Key Zones & Market Positioning Resistance Zone: 4,640 – 4,650 → Multiple rejections, but no strong bearish follow-through Support Zone: 4,570 – 4,585 → Strong demand area aligned with EMA 98 (~4,589) Breakdown Invalidation Level: Below 4,570 → opens downside toward 4,520 – 4,510 Upside Target (Break & Hold): 4,700 – 4,710 (next expansion target) As long as price remains above the support zone, the bullish structure stays intact. 3. Liquidity & Price Behavior Price is clearly absorbing liquidity inside the range. Repeated tests of resistance without aggressive sell-offs suggest sellers are being absorbed rather than in control. On the downside, every dip into the support zone is met with quick buy reactions, reinforcing the idea of re-accumulation, not distribution. This type of tight rotation typically precedes range expansion, not reversal. 4. Short-Term Market Scenarios 🔼 Primary Scenario – Bullish Breakout (Higher Probability) Price holds above 4,580–4,590 Continued compression below resistance Break and acceptance above 4,650 Expansion toward 4,700 – 4,710 🔽 Invalidation Scenario – Range Failure Strong H1 close below 4,570 Loss of EMA 98 support Opens downside toward 4,520 – 4,510 This would indicate deeper corrective behavior, not immediate trend reversal. 5. Trading Perspective Bias: Buy dips near support, avoid shorting inside the range Best approach: Wait for confirmation either support reaction or clean breakout Market is loading orders, not distributing at highs Summary Gold is not topping. It is compressing, absorbing liquidity, and preparing for its next directional move. As long as the support zone holds, the roadmap remains clear: Range → Accumulation → Breakout → Expansion toward 4,700+.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by XauMasterNetwork
Bitcoin Keeps Printing Higher Highs — Trend Continuation On the H1 timeframe, Bitcoin is maintaining a textbook bullish market structure, clearly defined by a consistent sequence of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL). After reclaiming and holding above the key moving averages, price transitioned into a strong impulsive phase, with each pullback remaining shallow and corrective rather than aggressive. The most recent retracement respected the prior higher-low zone and the rising MA, confirming that buyers are still firmly in control and that selling pressure remains limited to profit-taking, not distribution. From a structural perspective, the current pullback is forming a healthy higher low, which is a critical condition for trend continuation. Momentum has already re-engaged after the pullback, signaling that demand is stepping in earlier rather than waiting for deeper discounts. This behavior typically appears in strong trending markets, where price does not allow extended corrections. As long as Bitcoin holds above the recent HL area and above the moving averages, the bullish structure remains fully intact. Looking ahead, the market roadmap remains straightforward: continuation toward the next upside liquidity zone. A sustained push above the recent HH opens the path toward the 98,700 region, with a further extension toward the psychological 99,500–100,000 zone if momentum accelerates. Any short-term dips into the higher-low region should be viewed as continuation opportunities, not weakness. The bullish scenario would only be invalidated if price breaks decisively below the last higher low, which would signal a deeper corrective phase. Until then, Bitcoin is not topping — it is trending, reloading, and preparing for the next expansion leg.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RexTraderGOLD
EURUSD Holding Demand — Compression Before a Trendline Break?Price has reacted strongly from the demand zone, confirming the presence of buyers after the sharp sell-off. However, the broader structure remains bearish, with price still capped below the descending trendline and dynamic EMA resistance, keeping upside moves corrective for now. In the short term, EURUSD may continue sideways-to-slightly-bullish consolidation, forming higher lows from demand as liquidity builds. A decisive breakout and close above the descending resistance would be the first signal of a potential trend shift, opening room toward the higher supply zone. If price fails to break the trendline and loses the demand zone, bearish momentum would likely resume, exposing the market to another continuation leg lower. ➡️ Key focus: Demand zone defense vs. trendline resistance breakout.
Long
by RexTraderGOLD
EURUSD Stuck Under Descending ResistanceOn the H1 timeframe, EURUSD remains firmly in a bearish structure, with price continuing to respect a well defined descending trendline that acts as dynamic resistance. After the impulsive drop from the upper supply zone, the market attempted several corrective pullbacks, but each rebound was capped below prior highs and rejected around the trendline and moving averages. This behavior confirms that upside moves are corrective in nature, not trend reversals. Structurally, the market is printing lower highs and lower lows, while price is trading below both short- and medium-term moving averages, which are still sloping downward a clear sign that bearish momentum remains dominant. The recent pullback into the highlighted resistance zone failed to attract strong buying interest, leading to another rejection and continuation to the downside. This reflects active sell pressure and a lack of bullish commitment at key levels. Looking ahead, price is now approaching the demand zone around 1.1620–1.1618, which is the next critical area to watch. A short-term bounce from this zone is possible due to profit-taking, but as long as price remains below the descending trendline and supply zones, any bounce is expected to be corrective. A clean break and acceptance below demand would open the door for further downside expansion toward lower liquidity levels. Overall, EURUSD is still in a sell-the-rally environment, and only a decisive breakout above the descending resistance would invalidate the current bearish bias.
Short
by RexTraderGOLD
When Supply Absorbs Momentum and Liquidity Pulls Price LowerGold is trading in a late-stage bullish structure after being rejected from the supply zone around 4,640–4,650. Following the impulsive rally from the lower gap area, price respected the rising trendline and held above the short-term EMA, confirming bullish control earlier. However, repeated failures and rejection wicks at supply indicate active distribution at premium levels. The critical shift is the loss of short-term momentum below the fast EMA near 4,610, while price is now relying solely on the ascending trendline for support around 4,590–4,595. This reflects weakening buyer aggression and a growing probability of a corrective rotation rather than immediate continuation. From a liquidity and structure perspective, the nearest high-probability magnet lies below. The first key rebalance area is the demand zone around 4,545–4,560, which aligns with prior consolidation and the rising longer-term EMA. If selling pressure accelerates, price may extend further into the gap liquidity zone around 4,510–4,525, representing unfinished business from the previous impulsive move. This correction does not invalidate the higher-timeframe bullish bias, but in the short term, price action favors a pullback to reset structure and rebuild demand. Only a clean reclaim and acceptance back above 4,640 would invalidate this corrective scenario and reopen the path toward new highs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderGOLD
ETH Trapped in a High-Range Box — Distribution or Another FakeEthereum is currently moving sideways inside a clearly defined range, following a strong impulsive rally. Price has been rejected multiple times from the upper boundary (~3,400) while repeatedly finding temporary support near the lower range (~3,270–3,280), signaling distribution behavior rather than healthy continuation. From a structure perspective, ETH is no longer printing higher highs. Each bounce from the lower range is becoming weaker and more compressed, while the EMA cluster below price is flattening, showing a loss of bullish momentum. This is a classic sign that buyers are absorbing liquidity without follow-through, often preceding a deeper correction. If price fails to reclaim and hold above the mid–upper range, the probability increases for a range breakdown, which would open downside toward the next liquidity pool around 3,180–3,140, where prior imbalance and unfilled orders sit. Only a clean breakout and acceptance above the range high would invalidate this bearish bias and restore trend continuation. ➡️ Market bias: Neutral → Bearish while below range high ➡️ Key focus: Range low reaction vs. breakdown confirmation
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by RexTraderGOLD
Gold Is Quietly Building Pressure — Accumulation On the 45-minute timeframe, Gold is firmly locked inside a well-defined range, with price repeatedly rotating between support around 4,580–4,570 and resistance near 4,630–4,640. This is not random price action it is structured, controlled, and intentional, characteristic of an accumulation environment rather than distribution. Price behavior shows multiple clean reactions at both extremes of the range. Each dip into support is met with responsive buying, while rallies into resistance are consistently capped. Importantly, these reactions are becoming tighter and more compressed, indicating that liquidity is being absorbed on both sides. The market is effectively building energy, not trending. From a moving-average perspective, price is hovering around the mean, with the EMA acting as a magnet rather than directional support or resistance. This reinforces the idea that Gold is in balance, where neither buyers nor sellers have full control yet. Momentum has flattened, volatility has contracted, and impulsive follow-through is absent — all classic signs of accumulation. What stands out is that sellers have failed to break below the established support zone, despite multiple tests. This suggests sell-side weakness rather than buyer exhaustion. As long as price continues to hold above 4,570, the broader bullish structure remains intact. The projected path highlights a bullish resolution scenario: continued absorption inside the accumulation zone, followed by a decisive breakout above 4,640, opening the door toward the 4,690–4,700 resistance band. However, until that breakout is confirmed with strong acceptance, Gold remains a reaction-based market, not a chase. ➡️ Market state: Range / accumulation ➡️ Key resistance: 4,630–4,640 ➡️ Key support: 4,580–4,570 ➡️ Bias: Neutral → Bullish on confirmed breakout For now, patience is key. Gold is not trending it is preparing.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
Gold at a Critical Decision Zone — Distribution Risk After Wave Gold on the H4 timeframe is showing signs of structural exhaustion after a strong impulsive advance. Price has completed a full bullish sequence into the 4,700–4,725 resistance zone, where upside momentum has clearly stalled. The failure to sustain above this region suggests buyers are losing control at premium prices. From a price action perspective, the market has transitioned from expansion into sideways-to-distribution behavior. The rejection from the highs and subsequent pullback toward 4,560–4,580 indicates that this level is now acting as a key pivot. While price is still trading above the rising EMA structure, momentum has slowed significantly, and candles are becoming overlapping — a classic warning sign after a mature rally. The projected path highlights a corrective phase rather than immediate continuation. A rebound toward 4,650–4,680 may occur as a corrective bounce, but unless Gold can reclaim and hold above 4,700, rallies are likely to be sold into. A confirmed break below 4,560 would signal a bearish continuation, opening downside targets toward 4,410 and potentially deeper liquidity below. ➡️ Market state: Post-rally distribution ➡️ Bias: Bearish below 4,700 ➡️ Key resistance: 4,700–4,725 ➡️ Key support: 4,560 → 4,410 ➡️ Bullish invalidation: Strong acceptance above 4,725 At this stage, Gold is no longer in clean trend mode — it is correcting a completed move, and risk is shifting from trend-following longs to defensive or short-biased positioning until structure resets.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BlackGoldMarket
Gold Trapped Below Supply — Bullish Pullback or DistributionPrice is currently stalling just below a well defined supply zone, with multiple rejection wicks showing selling pressure remains active at higher levels. Although the broader structure is still supported by the rising trendline and moving averages, bullish momentum is clearly weakening as price fails to sustain above the mid-range resistance. As long as Gold cannot break and hold above the supply zone, the upside remains limited, and the market is vulnerable to a pullback toward the demand zone. A deeper correction could extend into the gap area, where liquidity remains unfilled and buyers may re-enter. Only a clean breakout and strong close above supply would invalidate the bearish pullback scenario and reopen the path toward continuation highs. Until then, risk favors selling pressure from premium levels rather than chasing longs.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RexTraderGOLD
Gold Is Absorbing Sell PressureOn the 45 minute timeframe, Gold is clearly transitioning from an impulsive bullish leg into a balanced range environment, where smart money activity becomes more selective and tactical rather than directional chasing. The chart shows a well respected range high (resistance around 4,630–4,640) and range low (support around 4,575–4,585), with price repeatedly rotating between these two extremes. This repetitive oscillation is not noise. it reflects a classic auction process, where liquidity is being exchanged and built up for a larger move. The repeated reactions at resistance (highlighted by multiple failed breakout attempts) indicate that sellers are still active at premium prices, absorbing late breakout buyers. However, what stands out is that each rejection fails to produce sustained downside momentum. Instead, price consistently returns to the support band and is aggressively defended, especially near the EMA zone and prior swing lows. This behavior strongly suggests absorption rather than distribution, which is a hallmark of accumulation within a higher timeframe bullish trend. The zone labeled “Accumulation Zone” is critical from a professional standpoint. It sits at the confluence of horizontal support, prior value acceptance, and dynamic support from the moving average. This is where weak hands are typically shaken out via stop hunts, while stronger participants gradually build long exposure. The projected red path illustrates the risk scenario: if price loses acceptance below this zone, liquidity will likely be drawn toward the lower demand levels near 4,550–4,520. Importantly, such a move would still be considered a liquidity sweep, not a trend reversal, unless price establishes strong bearish structure afterward. Conversely, the green projection outlines the higher probability expansion scenario. If price holds the accumulation zone and reclaims resistance with a clean close and follow through, the range resolves to the upside. In that case, the blue measured-move projection toward the 4,700 supply / next target zone becomes technically valid, aligning with range expansion theory: balance precedes expansion. The compressed volatility and equal highs near resistance further support the idea that buy-side liquidity is being engineered above the range, not randomly tested. In summary, Gold is not weak - it is coiling. As long as price continues to respect the accumulation zone and does not show acceptance below support, the broader bias remains bullish. The market is currently rewarding patience: reactive longs at support offer favorable risk to reward, while aggressive longs at resistance remain vulnerable. The next sustained move will not come from the middle of the range, but from a liquidity event at either boundary with current structure favoring an upside resolution once accumulation is complete.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HENRY_TraderGold
Bitcoin Is Pausing Before the Next Expansion — Bullish StructureOn the BTCUSD 45-minute timeframe, the market continues to respect a strong bullish structure, clearly defined by consecutive impulsive expansions followed by controlled consolidations. Each highlighted box on the chart represents a re-accumulation phase, where price pauses, absorbs liquidity, and builds energy before the next leg higher. This stair-step behavior is a classic sign of a healthy uptrend, not distribution. From a structural perspective, Bitcoin is holding higher lows above previous breakout bases, with price remaining comfortably above the rising moving average, confirming that buyers are still in control of the broader flow. The recent pullback into the 95,600–95,800 demand zone shows declining bearish momentum and shallow retracements — a typical corrective move rather than a trend reversal. Sellers have failed to push price back into prior ranges, reinforcing bullish dominance. Looking forward, as long as BTC holds above the current consolidation base, the primary scenario favors continuation to the upside, with price likely rotating higher toward the next psychological zone near 99,000–100,000. Any short-term dips into demand should be viewed as buy-the-dip opportunities within trend, not weakness. Only a decisive breakdown below the current demand structure would invalidate this bullish roadmap and force a deeper correction. Until then, Bitcoin remains in expansion mode, with consolidation acting as fuel for the next breakout.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HENRY_TraderGold
EURUSD Trapped in a Bearish Channel On the FX:EURUSD H4 timeframe, price is clearly trading inside a well-defined descending price channel, reflecting sustained bearish control rather than a random correction. After topping out near the 1.18 region, the market transitioned into a structured downtrend, consistently printing lower highs and lower lows, with price respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of the channel with high precision. From a technical structure perspective, each bullish push within this channel has been corrective in nature. Price repeatedly rallies toward the upper channel line and the dynamic MA, only to get rejected and resume the downside. This behavior confirms that buyers lack follow-through strength, while sellers continue to defend premium levels aggressively. The moving average acting as dynamic resistance further reinforces the bearish bias, aligning trend direction with momentum. Looking forward, the primary scenario favors continued downside rotation. As long as price remains below the channel resistance and fails to break structure, EURUSD is likely to drift lower, targeting the lower channel boundary near 1.1550–1.1500, which also aligns with a key higher-timeframe support. A short-term bounce is possible, but unless price can break and hold above the channel and MA, any recovery should be treated as a sell-the-rally opportunity, not a trend reversal.
Short
by HENRY_TraderGold
Gold Pullback Within Bullish StructureIntraday trading 📌 SET UP 1. Timming Sell Zone XAUUSD SELL ZONE: 4640 - 4643 💰 Take Profit(TP): 4637 - 4632 ❎ Stoploss(SL): 4647 Note capital management to ensure account safety 📌 SET UP 2. Timming Buy Zone XAUUSD BUY ZONE: 4518 - 4521 💰 Take Profit(TP): 4524 - 4529 ❎ Stoploss(SL): 4514 Note capital management to ensure account safety Gold remains in a medium-term uptrend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows, with price holding above key moving averages. The latest impulsive leg has completed, and the market is now in a healthy corrective phase, rebalancing supply and demand rather than signaling a reversal. Current status: Price is correcting toward the 4555–4560 support zone, while short-term momentum is cooling from overbought conditions. The broader structure remains intact, and buyers continue to control the trend. Primary scenario (high probability): If price holds above 4555–4560 and builds a base, gold is likely to resume the trend, extending wave (5) toward the 4700–4720 area, targeting new highs. This represents a correction within trend continuation. Alternative scenario: A clear break below 4555 could trigger a deeper pullback to sweep liquidity before the uptrend resumes, as long as the higher-timeframe structure remains unbroken. Strategy mindset: Avoid chasing highs. Focus on pullbacks aligned with the main trend, manage risk tightly, and watch the US session for directional confirmation. Summary: The bullish structure is preserved. The market is currently in a correction–accumulation phase, preparing for the next upside expansion.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BlackGoldMarket
Range Control After Impulse — ETH Is Being Prepared, Not RejectCOINBASE:ETHUSD has completed a strong impulsive breakout and is now consolidating in a controlled range on the H1 timeframe. Price remains above the EMA cluster, confirming that the recent move was a bullish shift, not a false breakout. Price is currently rotating between 3,380–3,410 resistance and 3,260–3,280 support. Rejections at the top and consistent buyer reactions at support indicate range acceptance and post-impulse consolidation, not distribution. Sellers have failed to produce a lower low, keeping the bullish structure intact. The EMA cluster is rising and aligned with the lower range, reinforcing the view that pullbacks are corrective. As long as price holds above the EMAs, bearish continuation lacks confirmation. Primary scenario: continued range compression followed by a clean breakout above 3,410, opening the path toward 3,450+. Alternative scenario: acceptance below 3,260 would signal a deeper correction, though still within a broader bullish context. Summary: ETH is pausing after strength. This is consolidation, not weakness patience is required while the market prepares for its next expansion.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by BlackGoldMarket
“Lower Highs Keep the Pressure On — EURUSD Still Trapped EURUSD remains firmly locked in a descending structure on the H1 timeframe. The chart clearly shows a sequence of lower highs, each one precisely capped by the same descending trendline. Every bullish attempt into this trendline has been sold aggressively, confirming that sellers continue to control market structure. The highlighted swing points are critical: they demonstrate repeated trendline rejections, a classic sign that this is not a random pullback, but a well respected bearish structure. Price is currently compressing between: - Descending trendline (dynamic resistance) - Horizontal support base around 1.1620 This compression reflects indecision, but within a bearish context. Importantly, bullish candles into the trendline lack follow through, while bearish impulses break structure faster a subtle but crucial sign of seller dominance. Primary Scenarios 🔴 Scenario 1 — High-Probability (Trend Continuation): If price fails again at the descending trendline and loses the 1.1620 support, EURUSD is likely to enter a markdown phase, targeting the liquidity pool near 1.1590 – 1.1585. This scenario aligns perfectly with the prevailing downtrend logic: sell rallies, not chase breakouts. 🟢 Scenario 2 — Countertrend Break (Lower Probability): A clean break and acceptance above the descending trendline, followed by a retest, could trigger a short-term bullish correction toward 1.1660 – 1.1680. However, unless structure shifts decisively, this move would still be considered corrective, not a trend reversal. Volume & Market Behavior Insight Volume expansion appears mainly on bearish impulses, while pullbacks show weaker participation reinforcing the idea that smart money is still positioned on the sell side. This is typical behavior during a controlled downtrend, where liquidity is harvested above trendline touches. Conclusion As long as EURUSD trades below the descending trendline, the market bias remains bearish. The structure favors continuation lower, not aggressive longs. Patience here is key the market is offering information, not entries yet.
by BlackGoldMarket
Ethereum Forms a Classic Head & ShouldersHello traders! Here’s a clear technical breakdown of ETHUSD (1H) based on the current chart structure. Ethereum recently printed a strong impulsive bullish rally, breaking above multiple resistance levels with clear momentum. However, after reaching the highs, price action has transitioned into distribution behavior, forming a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern at premium levels. The structure is clear: a left shoulder, a higher head, and a lower right shoulder, signaling weakening bullish control. The market has shifted from impulsive expansion into overlapping, corrective price action, a classic sign that buyers are losing dominance while sellers begin to take control. 🟦 SUPPLY & DEMAND – KEY ZONES Major Supply / Distribution Zone: The 3,390–3,410 region acts as strong supply, where the head of the pattern was formed and aggressive selling pressure emerged. This zone caps upside attempts and defines the premium area. Neckline / Key Support: The 3,280–3,300 zone represents the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern. This is the most critical level on the chart, acting as short-term demand and structural support. Lower Demand Targets: If the neckline fails, downside liquidity sits at: - 3,230 – first demand and structure projection - 3,080–3,100 – major demand zone and measured-move target These zones define the potential bearish expansion path. 🎯 CURRENT MARKET POSITION Currently, ETH is trading just above the neckline, placing price at a high-impact decision zone. The recent bounce lacks impulsive strength, suggesting it is corrective rather than trend continuation. As long as price remains below the supply zone, upside is limited and vulnerable to rejection. 🧠 MY SCENARIO My scenario: As long as Ethereum fails to reclaim and hold above the 3,390–3,410 supply zone, the Head & Shoulders structure remains valid. A clean breakdown and acceptance below the 3,280–3,300 neckline would confirm the pattern and open the door for a move toward 3,230, followed by a deeper pullback into the 3,080–3,100 demand zone. If buyers manage to defend the neckline and push price back above resistance with strong momentum, the bearish pattern would be invalidated. Until that happens, rallies should be treated as corrective moves within a distribution phase. For now, Ethereum is at risk of structural breakdown, not in clean continuation. ⚠️ RISK NOTE Pattern-based setups require confirmation. Wait for acceptance below the neckline or invalidation above supply, avoid early bias, and always manage your risk.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by XauMasterNetwork
Bitcoin at a Major Elliott Wave Turning PointPrice action on the H1 timeframe shows a clean and well-structured Elliott Wave impulse, suggesting the bullish cycle has likely reached maturity. Bitcoin has completed a 5-wave impulsive structure (1–2–3–4–5), with Wave (3) showing strong expansion and Wave (5) printing a momentum peak followed by immediate rejection a classic sign of trend exhaustion. Following the completion of Wave (5), the market has started to transition into a corrective phase, forming an ABC correction structure: - Wave (A): Initial sharp pullback from the top → confirms sellers entering after the impulse. - Wave (B): Corrective rebound with weaker momentum, failing to make a new high → typical bull trap behavior. - Wave (C): Projected continuation lower, usually equal to or extended from Wave (A), targeting deeper liquidity zones. 🔹 Key Elliott Wave Insights The impulsive leg from Wave (2) → Wave (5) remains intact and textbook. Divergence between price and momentum near Wave (5) reinforces cycle completion. Current structure favors distribution → correction, not immediate continuation higher. 🔹 Market Bias 🔴 Primary Bias: Short-term bearish correction within a larger bullish cycle. 📌 As long as price remains below the Wave (5) high, rallies are likely corrective (Wave B) rather than trend continuation. 🟢 Bullish scenario only returns after a completed ABC correction and clear impulsive reclaim of structure. 🔹 Summary Bitcoin is no longer in an impulsive rally phase. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the market is shifting from expansion to correction, and traders should expect lower prices before the next major bullish cycle resumes. ⚠️ Chasing longs at this stage carries elevated risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
ETH Trapped Between Supply & DemandEthereum is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range, bounded by a well defined supply zone above and a demand zone below, after a strong impulsive rally earlier. Price was rejected from the supply zone, confirming the presence of strong sellers, and has since pulled back toward the mid-range area. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive, suggesting the market is rebalancing liquidity instead of trending. 🔹 Key Zones to Watch Supply Zone: ~3,380 – 3,410 → Strong rejection, prior distribution area Demand Zone: ~3,260 – 3,280 → Buyers previously stepped in aggressively Lower Support Zone: ~3,150 – 3,170 → High-probability downside target if demand fails 🔹 Market Scenarios 🔴 Primary Scenario – Bearish Continuation (Preferred) Price fails to reclaim the supply zone Break below the demand zone confirms seller control Downside continuation toward the lower support zone 🟢 Alternative Scenario – Range Expansion Price holds above demand and reclaims the supply zone Acceptance above supply could trigger a short squeeze Upside extension only valid after a strong breakout and hold 🔹 Sumary ETH is currently range bound under supply pressure. Until price decisively breaks and holds above the supply zone, upside moves should be treated as corrective, with downside risk still active.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
EURUSD Pressing Demand — Breakdown Trap or Channel Breakout?Price is currently reacting inside a descending price channel, with overall structure still bearish as long as price remains below the channel resistance. The market has now reached a well-defined demand zone, where selling pressure is slowing and short-term reactions are beginning to appear. If the demand zone holds, price may form a base and attempt a corrective push back toward the descending channel resistance. A clean breakout and close above the channel would signal a potential short-term trend shift, opening room for a stronger bullish recovery. However, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the bullish rebound scenario and expose EURUSD to further downside continuation, aligning with the dominant bearish structure. ➡️ Key focus: Demand zone reaction and price behavior at the descending channel resistance.
by Mathew_TraderGold
Gold Holds Premium Above the Gap — Bullish Continuation OANDA:XAUUSD on the 30-minute timeframe is currently trading in a strong bullish continuation structure following an impulsive expansion higher. The recent rally created a clear price gap and FVG (Fair Value Gap) / imbalance zone, which now plays a critical role in guiding the next directional move. After the aggressive upside impulse, price has transitioned into a tight consolidation above the gap, showing strength rather than weakness. Importantly, sellers have failed to force a deep retracement back into the imbalance, which is a classic sign of bullish acceptance at higher prices. The 4,560–4,520 zone represents a key bullish demand and imbalance area. As long as price holds above this region, the structure remains constructive. The projected path suggests a potential controlled pullback into the upper portion of the FVG, followed by renewed buying interest. Above current price, liquidity is clearly resting near: 4,601 – short-term resistance and range high 4,630 – major upside target and next liquidity objective This price behavior reflects institutional-style accumulation, where the market pauses above inefficient pricing before continuation, rather than immediately retracing deeply. Bullish scenario (preferred): As long as price holds above the FVG / gap zone (4,520–4,560), look for continuation toward 4,601, with extension toward 4,630. Bearish invalidation: A clean breakdown and acceptance below 4,520 would signal a deeper correction and invalidate the immediate bullish continuation setup. Overall, Gold remains structurally bullish on the lower timeframe. This is a patience game — continuation setups are favored after shallow pullbacks, not from chasing impulsive candles.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
EURUSD Rally Looks Corrective — Sellers Still Control EURUSD remains within a clear bearish market structure, and the recent sharp upside move should be viewed as a corrective rally, not a trend reversal. 1. Higher-Timeframe Bias - Price is trading below the descending EMA, confirming that the broader momentum is still bearish. - Previous bullish attempts have consistently failed below key resistance, reinforcing seller dominance. 2. Current Price Action Breakdown The strong bullish leg labeled (1) → (5) represents a corrective impulsive move, likely driven by short covering and liquidity grab rather than genuine trend shift. Price has now reached a well-defined resistance zone around 1.1695 – 1.1705, which aligns with: + Prior structure resistance + EMA dynamic resistance + Liquidity resting above recent highs This confluence makes the zone highly attractive for sell-side re-entry. 3. Corrective Structure Expectation The projected A–B–C corrective pattern suggests: (A): Initial pullback from resistance (B): Weak retracement (lower high) (C): Continuation move back toward demand and liquidity below This is typical behavior when price rallies into resistance within a downtrend. 4. Key Levels to Watch Resistance zone: 1.1695 – 1.1705 Invalidation: Strong acceptance and close above resistance (would weaken bearish bias) Downside objective: 1.1650 → 1.1640 and potentially lower if momentum accelerates 5. Trading Plan Preferred bias: Bearish Strategy: - Wait for bearish confirmation at resistance (rejection, weak close, bearish candle) - Avoid chasing price in the middle of the range - Focus on selling rallies, not bottoms Conclusion Despite the recent bullish impulse, EURUSD remains a sell-the-rally market. As long as price stays below the resistance zone and EMA, this move is best classified as a corrective structure within a broader downtrend, with continuation to the downside still favored. 💬 What’s your bias on EURUSD here corrective pullback or trend reversal? Let’s discuss below!
Short
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Consolidation Before Expansion or Deeper Liquidity Grab?BITSTAMP:BTCUSD on the H1 timeframe is currently trading within a clearly defined range, bounded by a strong supply zone overhead and a well-established demand zone below. After the recent impulsive move into the upper supply area, price was met with aggressive selling pressure, resulting in a sharp rejection and a return back toward the mid-range. This behavior confirms that the market is still in a balancing phase rather than trending decisively. The supply zone around the 91,800–92,200 region continues to act as a distribution area, where previous upside attempts have failed to gain sustained acceptance. The most recent rejection from this zone reinforces the presence of active sellers defending higher prices, suggesting that breakout attempts remain vulnerable unless supported by strong momentum and follow-through. On the downside, the demand zone near the 89,600–89,900 region remains a critical area of interest. This zone has previously absorbed selling pressure effectively, leading to sharp reactions and range continuation. A corrective rotation back into this demand area would be structurally healthy, allowing the market to sweep liquidity and potentially establish a higher low before the next directional move. If demand holds and price forms a clear higher-low structure, Bitcoin could rotate back toward the upper boundary of the range and challenge the supply zone once again. A clean break and sustained acceptance above supply would signal a transition from consolidation into bullish expansion, opening the path toward higher liquidity targets. Conversely, failure to hold the demand zone would invalidate the range structure and increase the probability of deeper downside continuation. Until either boundary is decisively broken, Bitcoin remains in a state of equilibrium, with price oscillating between supply and demand as the market builds liquidity for its next impulsive move.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
1
Ethereum Reclaims Structure from Support Ethereum on the H1 timeframe is showing clear signs of structural stabilization after completing a prolonged corrective phase. Following a sustained downtrend, price found firm support within a well-defined demand zone, where sell-side momentum was absorbed and downside continuation failed to materialize. This base-building process reflects accumulation rather than further distribution, setting the stage for a potential recovery sequence. Price action has since transitioned from compression into a gradual bullish rotation, with higher lows forming above the support zone. The recent push higher signals improving buyer control, as ETH begins to reclaim short-term structure and distance itself from the demand area. This behavior suggests that the market is no longer in liquidation mode, but instead shifting toward a corrective-to-bullish phase. If Ethereum continues to hold above the support zone and maintains higher lows, the first upside objective aligns near the 3,180 region, where prior intraday structure is located. Acceptance above this level would strengthen the recovery narrative and open the path toward the next resistance around 3,220, representing a more meaningful structural hurdle from the previous decline. Beyond that, sustained bullish momentum could allow ETH to extend toward the upper resistance near 3,300, where higher-timeframe supply is expected to come into play. Reaching this area would confirm a broader mean-reversion move rather than a simple bounce, signaling that buyers have successfully regained control after the corrective phase. However, failure to hold above the support zone would invalidate the recovery scenario and shift focus back toward range-bound behavior or renewed downside pressure. Until such a breakdown occurs, Ethereum appears technically positioned for a step-by-step recovery, with the current structure favoring continuation as long as demand remains defended.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD