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Technical Analysis

AUDJPY-Inverted Head & Shoulders Pattern at Reversal levelThe AUDJPY pair has formed a classic Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, typically a strong bullish reversal signal. As seen on the daily chart, the left shoulder, head, and right shoulder have all developed with a clearly defined neckline near the 95.80–96.00 zone. Price action recently broke above this neckline but has since entered a consolidation phase between 95.00–97.00. Bullish Scenario (Breakout Confirmation) If AUDJPY decisively breaks above the 97.00 resistance with strong bullish momentum and volume, the inverted head and shoulders pattern will be fully confirmed. In this case, traders can expect an upward continuation toward: Short-term Target: 99.00 Medium-term Target: 101.00 Measured Move Target: ~102.00 based on pattern height Risk: False breakout followed by quick pullback under neckline Sudden JPY strength due to geopolitical or fundamental news AUD weakness due to interest rate decisions or economic data Sideways/Neutral Scenario (Extended Consolidation) Another possibility is that AUDJPY continues to range between 95.00–97.00 for an extended period without a decisive breakout. This may happen if the market awaits more macroeconomic cues or central bank guidance. Risk: Whipsaws and fakeouts within the range Frustration due to lack of clear direction Risk Management Tips: Wait for confirmation: Only trade post breakout or breakdown with candle close above 97.00 or below 95.00 Use tight stop-loss: Keep stops just below support or above resistance zones Position sizing: Avoid overleveraging in rangebound conditions Diversify exposure: Don’t put all capital into one trade setup Conclusion: AUDJPY is at a critical decision point. The inverted head and shoulders structure is bullish in nature, but the current consolidation adds uncertainty. Traders should stay alert for either a breakout for trend continuation or a breakdown invalidating the setup. Use proper risk management in all cases. ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
Long
by TradZoo
EURUSD Current Market Situation Technical Analysis Current Market Situation The chart displays a Double Top pattern, a strong bearish reversal signal that often indicates the start of a downward move. The price has already broken the neckline, and it is now approaching a retest of both the neckline and the broken trendline, which serves as a critical resistance area for potential bearish continuation. Key Zones Neckline Retest Zone: Around 1.1600, acting as immediate resistance. Trendline Retest Zone: Between 1.1670 – 1.1700, serving as an additional resistance level to confirm the bearish bias. Potential Scenarios ✅ Bearish Scenario (Preferred): If price respects the retest zones and fails to break higher, we may see a decline toward: Target 1: 1.1500 Target 2: 1.1400 Target 3: 1.1300 ⚠ Bullish Scenario (Alternative): A clear breakout and daily close above 1.1700 would invalidate the bearish outlook and could lead to a bullish reversal. Conclusion The market structure currently favors the bears. Rejection from the neckline or trendline retest zones will provide a strong confirmation for sell positions. ⚠️ Trade at your own risk – We are not responsible for any losses.
Short
by TradingWithMohamad
DOW THEORYBack to the Roots: Learn the Theory, Improve Signal Charles Dow Before we explore Dow Theory, let’s take a moment to understand who Charles Dow was — and why his ideas still matter today. Charles Dow wasn’t a financial expert. He was a journalist with a sharp eye for market behavior. In the late 1800s, he began to write about how prices move, how trends form, and what they might mean. His goal was simple: to bring structure and logic to the chaotic world of stock prices. More importantly, he believed that markets move in trends , and that these trends reflect the collective psychology of all investors. This basic idea became the starting point of technical analysis . Dow created one of the first stock indexes, which helped investors see the bigger picture instead of focusing only on individual stocks. He also promoted transparency in financial data — long before it was required by law. In 1889, Dow co-founded The Wall Street Journal, a newspaper that became the voice of financial markets. Through its pages, he published his observations on price behavior, setting the foundation for what would later be known as Dow Theory . Dow Theory At the heart of Dow Theory lies a simple but powerful idea: The market discounts everything. This means that all known information — earnings reports, interest rates, economic events, political changes, and even future expectations — is already reflected in the price. Price is not random. It is the result of collective investor behavior based on all available knowledge. Charles Dow didn’t write this exact sentence, but his work clearly reflected this belief. He trusted that by analyzing price movements alone, one could understand the overall direction of the market — because price already includes all the important signals. Dow and later analysts outlined a set of guiding principles. These are now known as the Six Core Principles of Dow Theory , and they continue to serve as a foundation for modern technical analysis. The market discounts everything The market moves in three trends Major trends have three phases Averages must confirm each other Volume confirms the trend A trend stays in place until it clearly reverses 🔸🔸🔸 The Market Moves in Three Trends 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, market movements are not random. Prices move in three different dimensions and time frames: the primary trend , the secondary trend , and the minor (short-term) trend. These three types of movement often occur at the same time. It is very important for an investor to distinguish between them. The primary trend shows the general direction of the market and can last for months or even years. It’s the major upward or downward movement. The secondary trend refers to corrections or pullbacks that move in the opposite direction of the primary trend. The minor trend typically consists of daily or weekly fluctuations and is often considered market “noise.” These short-term movements can occur in the same or opposite direction of the primary trend and may last from a few hours to two or three weeks. Dow Theory emphasizes that understanding this three-layered structure can protect investors from many mistakes. The theory not only classifies trends but also offers valuable lessons about investor behavior. It especially highlights the importance of three key principles: Don’t go against the main trend Short-term moves can easily confuse traders. Trading against the primary trend often leads to losses. That is why it is crucial to identify the main trend and follow it. Diversify your exposure In Dow’s time, technology wasn’t as advanced as it is today, but he still followed multiple indexes (like industrials and transport) to reduce risk. The same principle applies today: investors shouldn’t rely on a single asset — diversification remains a critical part of managing risk. Define your holding period before entering a trade Each type of trend comes with a different time expectation. The holding period you choose will play a key role in shaping your trading strategy and aligning it with your financial goals. Instead of debating how long each type of trend should last, it’s more important to define your intended holding period before entering a position. Your answer to the question “Which holding period suits me?” reflects not only your trading style and lifestyle, but also determines which chart timeframes and indicator timeframes you should use. 🔸🔸🔸 Major Trends Have Three Phases 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, major (primary) trends consist of three phases. This structure reflects how investor psychology changes over time and how those emotions are reflected in price action. Regardless of whether the trend is bullish or bearish, each major trend includes these three stages: Accumulation Phase The first stage of a bull market often looks like a small bounce during a bear trend. Most people still feel negative about the market. They are afraid to buy again after losing money. Trading volume is low, and prices move in a narrow range. The market stops making new lows, but investors are still unsure. Many have left the market or are very careful now. The price action becomes slow and sideways. It feels boring. But during this quiet time, smart investors slowly start buying. This is how a new trend begins — silently and with doubt. However, there is no clear signal that a bull market has started. Buying now carries two big risks. First, the market may still go lower. Second, even if a bull trend is coming, no one knows when it will start. How long can you wait while the market does nothing? Holding positions in a flat market has costs — financial, emotional, and missed opportunities elsewhere. That’s why this phase is difficult for most traders to handle. Public Participation Phase The market begins to recover, and the broader investor base starts to notice positive changes. News improves, technical indicators give bullish signals. Prices rise, and trading volume increases. This is usually the strongest part of the trend. At this stage, more disciplined and research-driven investors — who follow the market closely — start buying in. They see confirmation in both price action and economic data. Their confidence supports the trend, and momentum grows. The market attracts more attention. Confidence replaces fear. Many investors who stayed out during the earlier phase now feel safer to enter. Joining the market during this phase is important. The trend is already underway, but there’s still room to grow. Risk is lower than in the early phase, and potential rewards are still high. For many investors, this is the best time to take a position. Excess Phase The market enters a phase of excessive optimism. Prices have been rising for a long time, attracting more and more participants. However, during this stage, institutional investors and professional traders who entered earlier begin to gradually take profits. Although prices remain high, momentum weakens, and the rate of increase slows down. Looking at the volume profile, prices may reach new highs but often without volume support. Technical indicators frequently show bearish divergences. These conditions generate early technical signals that the primary trend may be coming to an end. 🔸🔸🔸 Averages must Confirm Each Other 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, a market trend is considered valid only when different indexes move in the same direction. The term “average” here refers to an index or the general direction of a price series. This principle is used to assess whether a price movement is supported by broad market participation. A single index reaching a new high or low is not enough. For a real and sustainable trend to be confirmed, related indexes are expected to show similar movement and generate signals in the same direction. If this confirmation is missing, the current move may be considered weak or temporary. How to Analyze It: Identify related indexes Choose multiple indexes that represent the same market, sector, or economic domain. Compare trend direction Review the price structures of the selected indexes. Are they all showing similar patterns? Did the new highs or lows form around the same time? Look for confirmation If multiple indexes form new structures in the same direction (e.g., all make new highs in an uptrend), this increases the validity of the trend.If only one index is moving while others are not participating, confirmation is lacking. Be cautious without confirmation When confirmation is missing, trading strategies should be more conservative, or additional signals should be awaited before taking action. 🔸🔸🔸 Volume Confirms the Trend 🔸🔸🔸 According to Dow Theory, the validity of a market trend depends not only on price movement but also on trading volume. For a trend to be considered strong and sustainable, price action should be supported by volume. Why Is Volume Important? In a rising market, increasing volume is expected. This indicates growing investor interest and broader participation in the trend. In a falling market, if the decline happens with high volume, it suggests serious selling pressure and strengthens the trend. Declining volume may signal a loss of momentum and suggest that the current trend is weakening or nearing its end. How to Analyze It: Observe the relationship between price and volume: Price rising + volume increasing → Strong trend Price rising + volume decreasing → Lack of confirmation; caution is advised Check volume during breakouts: If resistance or highs are broken with strong volume → Reliable signal If breakouts happen on low volume → May indicate a false move (fakeout) 🔸🔸🔸 A Trend Persists Until a Clear Reversal Occurs 🔸🔸🔸 This core principle of Dow Theory is at the heart of all trend-following strategies. It states that once a price begins moving in a certain direction, the trend is assumed to continue — until there is clear and technically confirmed evidence that it has ended. Why Is This Principle Important? Follow, don’t predict Instead of guessing what the market will do next, traders stay with the current direction. Reduces emotional decisions Trades are based on technical signals, not assumptions like “the price is too high, it must fall.” A weak trend is not the same as a reversal Not every pullback means the trend is over. You need clear confirmation before assuming a reversal — such as a breakdown, volume shift, momentum loss, or structural change. How to Apply It First, identify the trend direction clearly, and trade in that direction. Pullbacks are seen as normal movements within the trend — not as reversals. Even when signs of a reversal appear, wait for confirmation before acting. Confirmation signals may include: Failure to form new highs or lows A break of previous support or resistance Sudden drop in volume or volume rising in the opposite direction Weakness or divergence in momentum indicators Strategic Benefit This principle is especially useful in trend-following strategies. It helps avoid premature exits and allows traders to stay in profitable trends longer. By focusing on technical confirmation instead of speculation or panic, it encourages disciplined and systematic decision-making.
Education
by ARrowofTime
16
FTTUSDT – new accumulation in an interesting zone🚨 This information is intended for thoughtful market participants who are willing to work in this field - not for those chasing gambling, guesswork, or getting stuck in news flow. Price has returned to the support zone of the outer horizontal channel. Accumulation is currently taking place in this area. 📰 FTX is preparing for its third round of distributions - $1.9 billion, expected around September 30. Marked it on the chart. Whether they shift the date or not, the essence remains unchanged. Possible scenarios: 1️⃣ A double bottom forms in the lower zone of the channel, with a pattern range of about 60%. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2️⃣ Another option is a descending wedge, followed by a breakout on volume, a retest of the breakout zone, and further continuation. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 3️⃣ Next scenario: sideways consolidation within the current zone, with an inner range of 40% and outer range of 90%, followed by a breakout and movement toward the main targets of the larger channel. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - ❗ I marked the downward (protective) zones on the chart that should be taken into account for each of the proposed scenarios — to align with your strategy. This is important. First the plan - then action. 👇 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 📌 P.S. In fact, everything is simpler than it seems. I believe time is a key factor. The main thing is to be ready for different scenarios before the final move. There’s nothing to guess here. Even if you add another pattern, it won’t change the core idea.
Long
by KECapital
GOLD 1H: Fibo speaks louder than words - $3365 in focusGold is testing the upper zone near $3362–3365, which is just above the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($3353) from the previous impulse. The price has already bounced from the top of the channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the current upward move. Technicals: - MA50 and MA200 are below the price — bullish trend intact - RSI is cooling down from overbought territory - Fibo 0.5 ($3353) was breached, but no clear confirmation yet - Channel resistance remains unbroken Plan: - If price rejects $3365, targets are $3340 and $3314 - If price holds above $3365, next move could be toward $3377+ - EMA structure supports further upside, but caution is needed at this zone Gold isn’t shouting - it’s whispering key levels. Listen closely.
TVC:GOLDShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Weekly Market Wrap – Nifty Slides, Global Sentiment WeakensNifty ended the week on a bearish note, closing at 24,565, down 270 points or nearly 1.1% from last week's close. It touched a high of 24,956 and a low of 24,535, perfectly respecting the range I shared last week: 25,300–24,400. As I highlighted earlier, the inverted hammer formation gave the bears an upper hand—and the index corrected 1.74% from the recent highs. My view continues to favor caution, with the expected trading range for the upcoming week at 25,000–24,100. Key Levels to Watch: Support Zone: 24,400 (key bounce area), followed by 24,100 / 23,900 in case of further breakdown. Resistance Zone: Upside capped near 25,000. If the market holds 24,400 around 6th–7th August, expect a short-term bounce. However, if this level is breached, expect dips to 24,100 or 23,900, which could offer short-covering opportunities. Global Cues: The S&P 500 also had a rough week, closing at 6,238, down 2.5% week-on-week. This decline sparked a wave of selling across global markets. The 6,200 level is crucial—if it holds, we might see a rebound globally, including in Indian equities. Below that, 6,100 remains the breakout retest zone, which I believe should provide some cushion. 💡 Strategy Going Forward: Focus on stocks showing relative strength in this falling market—they’ll likely lead the rally once sentiment turns. Avoid chasing rallies, and watch for signs of bottoming out near key support zones. Keep an eye on global indices like the S&P 500 and Dow Jones, as their stability will dictate near-term direction for Indian markets. Stay sharp, stay prepared. Let the bears have their moment, but be ready to pounce when the tide turns.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
2
USOIL Technical Analysis – Black Mind Curve Breakout & Reversal🔍 Overall Market Context: The current USOIL structure is a great example of market shift from compression to expansion, characterized by a breakout of the Black Mind Curve followed by a measured impulse move. This chart is not just reacting technically, but it reflects how institutional smart money manipulates curves, breaks minor structures, and then retests zones to refill orders before continuing directionally. Let’s break the market psychology and price action phase by phase: 🔄 Phase 1: Black Mind Curve Breakout ✅ The Black Mind Curve represents long-standing supply pressure that had been capping price. Its breakout marks a shift in market intention, often signaling the end of a distribution phase and beginning of a possible accumulation or re-accumulation. Price broke above this curve cleanly with strong bullish candles, which also broke minor structure levels, confirming short-term bullish sentiment. The breakout was also backed by momentum and volume as the market pushed 130+ pips upward—an aggressive impulse that trapped late sellers below. 📉 Phase 2: Retracement to Interchange Zones Now, we’re in the retracement phase, where price is pulling back toward: 🔹 SR Interchange Zone ($66.80 - $67.30) This zone was previous resistance, now flipping to support. In MMC terms, this area is expected to serve as a refill zone where smart money will look to accumulate again after the breakout. We are watching for confirmation candles or MMC-style reversal patterns here (e.g., inside bar breakouts, demand imbalances). 🔹 Main Zone ($65.80 - $66.50) If the first zone fails, this is the next key demand base. It holds historical value from previous accumulation phases (see July 10–25) and aligns with the origin of the last impulse. Expect a sharper wick or deeper liquidity grab if price moves into this area. 📉 Phase 3: Final Defensive Zone – Major Support ($63.70 - $65.20) This zone marks the last line of bullish defense. A move here would mean the bullish structure is being reevaluated or absorbed by sellers. However, if price hits this level, it could also attract significant institutional demand, setting up for a more powerful long-term leg up. Reactions here are typically large and volatile, with a risk of fakeouts and fast reversals. 📈 Possible Scenarios (MMC Based Forecasting): ✅ Scenario 1 – Bullish Continuation (Primary Path) Price finds support inside SR Interchange Zone. Forms a base (MMC reversal structure) and pushes back to recent highs near $71. Breakout above $71 opens room for next supply zones between $72.50 - $74.00. ⚠️ Scenario 2 – Deeper Liquidity Grab Price breaks below SR Interchange and tests Main Zone for a deeper accumulation. A wick or shakeout may happen before bullish continuation. This trap zone could give the best R:R entry. ❌ Scenario 3 – Breakdown to Major Support If both zones fail and bearish pressure sustains, price may revisit Major Support. That would reset the bullish structure and require fresh MMC assessment. 🧠 MMC Logic at Work: The curve break symbolizes the shift from supply dominance to a possible demand-led phase. Minor structure breaks add fuel to trend shift and indicate participation from larger players. Retracements are not weaknesses—they are refills for those who missed the move. Smart money uses these zones and flips (SR interchanges) to hide in plain sight. 🎯 Key Takeaway for Traders: This is a textbook MMC setup that combines: Curve Breakout + Impulse Zone Retest + Interchange Logic Liquidity Engineering before Continuation Traders should remain patient and observe reactions at each zone. Don’t chase—wait for the market to reveal its hand via MMC entry signals (break-of-structure, bullish engulfings, imbalance fills, etc.)
TVC:USOILLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XRPUSDT Analysis (MMC) : Decision Point + Next Move Loading In this 4-hour chart of XRP/USDT, we're observing a critical structure forming under the Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) framework. Price action is compressing near an important descending trendline, suggesting that a breakout or breakdown is imminent. Let’s break it down zone by zone: 🔍 Key Zones & Price Structure: Important Zone (SR Interchange Zone – $2.95 - $3.05) This is a major supply-to-demand flip zone. It has served as both resistance and support in the past and is now acting as a potential interchange level. The price is hovering just below this area, retesting it after a significant bearish structure. BR Supply Zone (Breakdown Retest Supply – $2.93 - $2.98) After price broke down from this zone, it created a base for a retest. This level has since acted as a cap to further upside movement. It also coincides with the descending trendline, adding confluence to its strength as resistance. Next Reversal Zone ($2.75 - $2.85) In case the price fails to reclaim the Important Zone, we could see a bearish continuation move into the next zone of interest. This is a likely reversal or reaction area based on previous demand imprints and price imbalance. SR Flip Watch If price breaks above the trendline and sustains above the SR Interchange Zone, this could trigger a potential bullish breakout toward the $3.20+ region (labeled as target “1”). This move would be backed by trapped sellers and liquidity above the descending structure. 📈 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and close above the descending trendline. Successful retest of the Important Zone as demand. Push toward $3.20 - $3.30 where the next supply awaits (target 1). ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at the Important Zone and trendline resistance. Breakdown below $2.90 confirms bearish pressure. Possible liquidity sweep and reaction from the Next Reversal Zone ($2.75-$2.85). If this zone fails to hold, continuation toward lower zones becomes likely. 🧠 MMC Perspective: From a Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) standpoint, the market is currently at a reflection point where a decision between bulls and bears is about to play out. The clean diagonal structure plus clear horizontal liquidity pockets makes this setup ideal for anticipating manipulation traps and smart money moves.
by GoldMasterTrades
DOGEUSDT Analysis : Trendline Decision & Dual Directional Point📌 Market Context & Current Setup: DOGEUSDT has been trading within a well-defined descending channel, respecting a strong trendline resistance, which has acted as a bearish ceiling for several sessions. The price action has been heavily influenced by supply zones formed after sharp impulsive drops, creating multiple QFL (Quick Flip Levels) — key to spotting structural bottoms and high-probability reversal zones. Currently, the price is hovering near a critical decision point, where two key scenarios may play out: A breakout and bullish reversal toward major resistance A dip into a deep demand zone for final accumulation before reversal Your plan reflects MMC (Market-Mind-Confirmation) methodology, preparing for either scenario with clear levels, logic, and psychology in place. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔻 1. Trendline Confirmation (Bearish Control): The price has respected the downtrend line multiple times, confirming strong bearish momentum. No candle body has closed decisively above it, showing sellers still have control. However, price is now consolidating near this line, indicating a potential weakening of selling pressure — a classic sign of upcoming trend exhaustion. 🟩 2. Support Zones – Structural Layers: 📍 Minor Zone (S/R Flip – ~$0.215–0.220): This zone is a previous support turned resistance. It’s the first checkpoint the price needs to reclaim to confirm a breakout. A successful flip from resistance back to support would add strong bullish confidence. 🟩 Reversal Zone (~$0.185–0.190): Marked on your chart as a "Reversal Area" — likely derived from QFL methodology. Price has historically bounced from this area, indicating buyers are willing to step in aggressively. This zone aligns with smart money demand accumulation and could serve as a final liquidity sweep zone before a major reversal. 📍 Major Resistance Zone (~$0.250–0.260): The next major objective once a trendline break is confirmed. Also aligns with previous highs and volume nodes — a solid target for bullish trades. 🔄 Scenario-Based Strategy: 📈 Scenario 1 – Breakout Toward Major Resistance: Price breaks above the descending trendline and reclaims the minor S/R zone. This would confirm a bullish structure shift, validating that sellers are losing strength. After reclaiming ~$0.215, the path toward $0.240–0.260 opens up. Retests or flag breakouts within this range can be re-entry points for trend traders. 📉 Scenario 2 – Deeper Retest and Accumulation: If the price fails to break out and dips further, the reversal demand area (~$0.185) becomes critical. This is where buying pressure is expected to return, and as labeled in your chart: 👉 “If it goes down, we will double the supply” This suggests an averaging-down or pyramiding strategy based on strong structural confidence. This technique is valid only when the area is backed by solid confluence (trend exhaustion, demand, and past bounces). 🧠 MMC Strategy (Market – Mind – Confirmation): Market: Bearish short-term trend, but price is approaching oversold territory near structural demand. Mind: You’re prepared for both outcomes – breakout or dip. Emotion is out of the plan. Confirmation: You wait for signs — break and retest of trendline, bullish engulfing candles, or wick rejections from demand. This mental clarity helps maintain trading discipline and keeps emotional bias out of decision-making. ⚙️ Execution Plan: Component Scenario 1 (Breakout) Scenario 2 (Deep Buy Zone) Entry Signal Break & close above trendline + minor SR reclaim Bullish reversal candle within demand zone Stop Loss Below trendline + S/R flip (~0.210) Below demand zone (~0.182) Target 1 $0.235 $0.235 Target 2 $0.255–$0.260 $0.255–$0.260 Risk Level Medium Higher R:R potential Strategy Notes Aggressive on confirmation only Add to position on wick traps 🧠 Trader Psychology Tips: Be patient — confirmation beats prediction. Set alerts at key levels to avoid emotional entries. Scaling into trades based on zone reactions builds flexibility and control. "Double the supply" approach must be paired with strict invalidation levels. ✅ Summary: DOGE is trading within a descending wedge. Key decision zones are marked clearly (trendline, S/R flip, reversal demand). Breakout could lead to a quick 15–25% upside. Reversal zone offers great R:R with accumulation opportunity. Strategy is well-aligned with disciplined execution and trader psychology.
by GoldMasterTrades
TONUSDT Bullish Structure Continuation – Minor Pullback Leg Up🧾 1. Overview of the Chart Setup: The current TONUSDT (Toncoin/USDT) 2-hour chart exhibits a strong bullish market structure, characterized by a clear sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This confirms bullish momentum and suggests that the market is in a well-established uptrend. The key highlight here is the "Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Pattern", which signals sustained bullish pressure following a clean breakout. This breakout was preceded by a consolidation phase, indicating accumulation by smart money before the expansion move. 🔍 2. Technical Structure and Pattern Breakdown: 🔵 Blue Ray – Trend Continuation Pattern: This diagonal support trendline captured the initial breakout after the market bottomed near July 29–30. Price respected this ascending line multiple times before accelerating, confirming bullish control. Once the price broke above the previous swing high, it completed the pattern and triggered a momentum-driven rally. 🔲 Structural Zones – Major and Minor: Minor Support Zone (~3.50 USDT): Currently acting as short-term demand. Price is showing early signs of rejection here, suggesting bulls may reload for a second impulsive move. If this zone holds, we expect a new higher high to form, potentially targeting 3.80–4.00+ USDT. Major Support Zone (~3.20–3.25 USDT): Acts as long-term bullish defense. In case of deeper retracement or shakeout, this is the key level to watch for possible trend continuation and re-entry. 📈 3. Structural Analysis and Price Projection: The projected path on the chart shows a classic price action structure: Impulse Correction (toward minor support) Next Impulse (break of recent high) Higher low (continuation within trend channel) Potential final push toward the 3.90–4.00 range This type of Elliott Wave-inspired behavior suggests we're in wave 3 or 5 of a bullish sequence, with minor dips offering low-risk long setups. 📊 4. Candlestick & Market Behavior: Recent candles show long lower wicks, suggesting buyers are stepping in during dips. Bearish candles are relatively smaller and followed by immediate bullish response. This indicates buy-the-dip sentiment, common in a trending market. 🔄 5. Trading Plan & Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Continuation (Base Case): Wait for a clear bullish engulfing or price bounce at the minor support zone (~3.50 USDT). Enter with confirmation: bullish candle close, volume spike, or trendline reaction. Targets: TP1: 3.80 USDT TP2: 4.00–4.10 USDT Stop Loss: Below 3.45 (or structure-based trailing stop) ⚠️ Bearish Case / Deeper Pullback: If 3.50 fails, look for signs of accumulation around the major support (~3.20–3.25). This zone can serve as the ultimate defense for trend continuation and provide a second long opportunity with better R:R. 🧠 6. Mindset for Traders: Don’t chase: Let price come to your level, and focus on confirmation. Trade with the trend: Structure supports bullish movement — trade in the direction of strength. Use proper risk management: Define SL and TP before entering. Partial profits at key resistance zones are a smart strategy. Avoid overtrading : Wait for structural retests or confirmation candles to stay on the right side of the market.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
AUDJPY: goodbye uptrend?On the 4H chart, AUDJPY has printed a textbook double top pattern, breaking the rising trendline and diving below the 95.6–95.78 support zone - now acting as resistance. The pair is currently retesting this zone from below, which often provides a clean re-entry point for bears. This area also aligns with the 0.705–0.79 Fibonacci retracement, reinforcing it as a key resistance. If the price rejects this zone, the next target is 93.85 (1.618 Fibo projection), followed by 93.25 and potentially 91.71 if momentum strengthens. Fundamentally, the yen gains strength on risk-off flows and diverging rate expectations, while the Australian dollar is pressured by falling commodity prices and a likely pause from the RBA. This widens the rate differential and weakens AUD. As long as price remains below 95.78, sellers are in control. Watch for a rejection from this retest zone.
Short
by TotoshkaTrades
AAVE Daily Chart – Key Buy Zone & Two ScenariosAAVE is currently moving within a well-defined ascending channel on the daily timeframe. The last major bullish leg began from the $120 support and surged nearly +180% to a local high near $330. Now, after a 25% pullback, price is consolidating around the midline of the channel near $250. More importantly, there’s a strong bullish order block sitting between $220–230, making this a low-risk buy zone with a stop below the order block. 🔸 Scenario 1 (bullish preferred): Price dips into the $220 OB zone, completes a possible ABC correction, and launches a new bullish leg targeting the channel top above $500. 🔸 Scenario 2 (bearish alternate): If the $220 order block fails, deeper correction could follow toward the channel bottom near $135. ⏳ This is a critical area to watch for reaction – Smart Money will likely show its hand soon. 🔗 Analysis by CryptoPilot
by CryptoPilot
1
OTHERS.D – Perfect Reaction to Previous AnalysisAs predicted in the last update, OTHERS.D broke structure and dropped sharply toward the 7.20% demand zone — exactly as expected. Now, we’re waiting for a potential bullish reaction from this key area. If demand holds, a move toward the upper channel boundary (~7.70%) could follow. 🧭 Technical Outlook: • Price tapped into a key demand zone at 7.20%, which aligns with the lower boundary of a descending channel. • A bullish reaction is forming, suggesting short-term strength in altcoins. • A move toward the channel top near 7.70% is now on the table if demand holds. ⚠️ Important Note: This move is likely to remain a corrective rally unless we see a proper breakout above 7.70% with volume and structure shift. Be selective with altcoin longs. 🔍 Watch for: • Reaction at 7.50% midline • Price behavior at 7.70% resistance • Structure shift or failure pattern near channel top ⚠️ Caution: This remains a corrective rally unless price breaks 7.70% with structure shift. 🔗 Analysis by CryptoPilot
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS.DLong
by CryptoPilot
Long-Term Technical Outlook: Critical Decision Point Approaching The chart illustrates a long-term technical structure where the price has been following an ascending channel after a prolonged bearish trend. However, recent price action indicates a breakdown below the green ascending trendline, raising concerns about a potential shift in market sentiment. Currently, the $117 level is acting as a pivotal support zone. A sustained breakdown below this level — and more critically, below the red lower trendline — would validate the bearish scenario. This could trigger a deeper correction phase, with downside targets aligned along the red projection path. Such a move may lead to significantly lower price levels in the medium to long term. 🔽 Bearish Scenario: If the price fails to hold above $117 and breaks below the red trendline, this would confirm the start of a bearish leg. Based on historical structure and projected trajectories, this could result in a descent toward the $93 level initially, with the possibility of extending further downward depending on market conditions. 🔼 Bullish Scenario: On the other hand, if the price manages to reclaim the green trendline and more importantly, stabilize above the $204 resistance zone, it would signal renewed bullish strength. Such a move would open the path toward higher highs, potentially re-entering the previous upward channel and continuing the macro uptrend. 🧭 The price structure is now approaching a decisive zone, where either a confirmation of bearish continuation or a bullish recovery will likely unfold. Both scenarios have been visually outlined — green lines indicating bullish continuation, and red lines representing bearish momentum. 📌 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
by TrendShot
GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP【XAU/USD】GOLD TRADING PLAN – Triangle Squeeze, All Eyes on NFP Gold continues to trade within a large symmetrical triangle, tightening toward the end of its range. However, current candle structure shows clear bullish momentum, indicating the potential for a strong upside breakout. 🔍 Today’s Key Focus: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) Market expectations are pointing to weaker-than-expected US economic data, which could trigger strong FOMO-buying for gold if confirmed. A poor NFP report would likely weaken the USD, supporting bullish continuation. 🔑 Strategy and Key Technical Levels: Watch for a confirmed breakout above the descending trendline to trigger Wave 3 of the bullish structure. CP ZONE + OBS BUY ZONE triggered yesterday already yielded 160+ pips profit. Strategy: Prefer buy-the-dip entries. SELL setups only valid on strong resistance rejection. Avoid counter-trend trades near breakout zones. 🟩 BUY ZONE: Entry: 3276 – 3274 Stop Loss: 3270 Take Profits: 3280, 3284, 3290, 3294, 3300, 3305, 3310, 3320, 3330, 3340, 3350 🟥 SELL ZONE: Entry: 3339 – 3341 Stop Loss: 3345 Take Profits: 3335, 3330, 3325, 3320, 3315, 3310, 3305
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
3
Microsoft (MSFT)–Watching for Pullback Entry After $4T MilestoneMicrosoft Corp. NASDAQ:MSFT has become the second company after Nvidia to cross the $4 trillion market cap, powered by strong AI and cloud demand. Azure revenue grew 34% to $75B in 2024, with a $30B AI infrastructure investment fueling future growth. Q4 EPS came in at $3.65 on $76.4B revenue, showing strong fundamentals. We are looking for a pullback to key support for a long entry: Trade Plan: Entry Zone: $515 – $518 Take Profit: $536, $555 Stop Loss: $502 #Microsoft #MSFT #Stocks #Trading #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #AI #Cloud #BigTech #NASDAQ
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by Richtv_official
Gold Crashes $100 After Hitting Monthly High | What’s Next?In this video, I break down everything that moved the price of gold last week, from the early-week rally toward $3,430 to the sharp midweek drop toward $3,325. We go beyond the surface, diving into what caused the reversal, and how I'm approaching next week’s market using a simple ascending channel on the 4-hour chart. With major events like the FOMC rate decision, U.S. GDP, PCE inflation, NFP and the August 1 tariff deadline all on the radar, this analysis will help you stay grounded and prepare for volatility. 👉 If you find this content valuable, don’t forget to Boost, Comment, and Subscribe for weekly market breakdowns. Disclaimer: Based on experience and what I see on the charts, this is my take. It’s not financial advice—always do your research and consult a licensed advisor before trading. #goldanalysis, #goldforecast, #xauusd, #goldpriceprediction, #technicalanalysis, #fundamentalanalysis, #tradingstrategy, #forextrader, #priceaction, #fomc, #usgdp, #pceinflation, #goldtrading, #forexeducation, #dollarvsgold, #tariffnews, #chartanalysis, #forexmentorship, #rebuildingthetraderwithin
OANDA:XAUUSD
by darcsherry
1
GOLD Analysis – Bullish Recovery Setup After Trendline Breakout ⚙️ Technical Structure Overview This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) illustrates a classic reversal setup developing after a significant correction. Price previously faced strong selling pressure from the 3,470+ zone and declined sharply. However, the recent price action suggests a shift in control from sellers to buyers, signaling a likely medium-term trend reversal or a bullish wave formation. The key to this setup lies in three confluences: Completion of a previous supply zone, which no longer holds influence. Aggressive buyer activity from a major support zone. A clean break above the descending trendline, which is a common signal that bearish momentum is losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels & Concepts Explained 🟢 1. Major Support Zone (3,260–3,280) This zone has been tested multiple times and each time, buyers stepped in and prevented further downside. The most recent rejection from this area shows long wicks and bullish engulfing candles, indicating accumulation by institutional players. This is the foundational support that has held the entire corrective structure. 📉 2. Trendline Breakout The descending trendline connecting swing highs has now been broken to the upside. This is a critical technical signal, especially on the 4H timeframe, as it suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a deep retracement in the opposite direction. Trendline breakouts typically result in a retest of the trendline or a nearby support-turned-resistance zone (as is the case here with the Mini SR level). It also implies that supply is weakening, and buyers are ready to push. 🧱 3. Mini Support/Resistance Interchange (~3,300–3,320) This zone now plays the role of an interchange level—a previous minor resistance that could act as a support after the breakout. This level is crucial for intraday and swing traders because it can offer a low-risk long entry if price retests and confirms it with bullish momentum. The chart projection suggests a bounce off this mini S/R, followed by successive higher highs and higher lows, forming a new bullish structure. 📈 Forecast Path & Trade Scenario ✅ Bullish Path (Preferred MMC Scenario) Stage 1: Price retests the 3,300–3,320 zone (Mini S/R). Stage 2: Buyers step in, leading to a bullish continuation. Stage 3: Price targets the Minor Resistance (~3,440). Stage 4: If momentum is sustained, it aims for Major Resistance (~3,470–3,480), completing a clean reversal formation. This path reflects perfect bullish market structure—a breakout, followed by a retest and rally. ❌ Bearish Invalidation If the price closes strongly below 3,260, the structure would be invalidated. This would suggest that the support zone failed, possibly triggering deeper downside toward 3,220–3,200. 🧠 MMC Trader Mindset & Risk Considerations Don’t Chase: Wait for a confirmed retest of the Mini S/R zone. Let the market come to your entry. Entry Confirmation: Use candlestick signals like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or inside bars near the Mini S/R. Volume Consideration: Volume should ideally rise on breakout legs and decline on pullbacks—this confirms healthy bullish structure. Risk-Reward: With a stop below 3,260 and targets toward 3,470, the RR ratio favors long entries, especially after confirmation. 🔁 Summary Plan for Execution Entry Zone: 3,300–3,320 (after bullish confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (structure break) Take Profit 1: 3,440 Take Profit 2: 3,470–3,480 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+ if planned carefully
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1