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Technical Analysis

ETH — Scaling Mastery Trendlines: Strat!This ETH setup combines three Scaling Mastery setups—the 1/10, 1/4, and 1/3 structures—stacked inside the same region. That alone makes this a high-value educational chart, because seeing all three appear together is rare. 1️⃣ Scaling Mastery Trendlines (1/10 • 1/4 • 1/3 Sets) This chart uses the official Scaling Mastery Trendline System, where each trendline ratio tells you a different part of market behavior: 🟧 1/10 Trendline Shows micro-reaction structure Helps detect early shifts in momentum Usually breaks first and gives the initial signal ETH already broke this one cleanly. 🟦 1/4 Trendline Shows medium-level structure Confirms trend bias and filters false moves ETH is currently retesting/reclaiming this region. 🟩 1/3 Trendline The strongest diagonal structure When this breaks, major HTF direction usually follows ETH is attempting to push into this breakout zone now. Having all three ratios interacting inside the same price zone is extremely valuable because: ➡️ It shows a stacked confluence of momentum ➡️ It forms a “ladder” of breakout confirmations ➡️ It gives a clean model for trend reversal and expansion 2️⃣ Bullish + Bearish Trendlines Forming a Hidden Channel When you overlay: The bearish red channel (recent downtrend) The bullish turquoise macro expansion trendlines …you actually get a dual-channel structure. This means ETH is breaking both: ✔ The bearish downtrend channel ✔ Into the bullish expansion channel At the same time. This is a classic Scaling Mastery visual where bearish and bullish diagonals overlap and create a “channel breakout zone.” ETH is currently reacting inside that zone. 3️⃣ Expected Behavior if Breakout Holds If ETH continues to hold above the 1/10 → 1/4 → 1/3 progression: 🎯 Target 1: $3,941 Mid-channel expansion target. 🎯 Target 2: $4,729 – $4,800 Full expansion to the upper turquoise trendline. This aligns with standard Scaling Mastery expansion rules. 4️⃣ Structure Summary 1/10 broken ✔ 1/4 reclaim attempt ✔ 1/3 test incoming ✔ Bearish + Bullish diagonal confluence ✔ Dual-channel breakout structure ✔ Clear expansion targets to the upside ✔ This is a clean educational example of multi-trendline alignment, a signature technique of the Scaling Mastery system. ⚠️ Educational Disclaimer This idea is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a trade signal. Always analyze your own charts and manage your own risk.
by Scaling_mastery
BTC — Trendline Rejection or Breakout? BTC is approaching a key structural decision point, and the next move will determine whether we see continuation upward or a corrective sweep to lower liquidity levels. This idea outlines both scenarios with clear targets and educational structure analysis. Key Structural Areas 1️⃣ Rising Trendline Support BTC continues to respect a clean ascending trendline. This line has been a major pivot for the past several days. Price is currently hovering just above it, and the yellow circle marks the confluence of: Rising trendline support A local demand block Prior liquidity sweep zone This is the most important area to watch for reaction. 2️⃣ Short-Term Rejection Scenario (White Path) Before breaking upward, BTC may show short-term downside rejection, targeting: ➡️ Short-Term Target: $88,180 This level aligns with: Demand block retest Trendline kiss Local inefficiencies needing fill A rejection into 88,180 would be normal and healthy before a potential bullish continuation. 3️⃣ Bullish Reclaim Scenario If price taps the rejection zone and reclaims the trendline, upside targets remain: $95,800 – $96,500 → Half-filled FVG + structural supply $99,500 – $100,200 → Major FVG + macro resistance zone These zones are where we expect strong reaction and profit-taking. 4️⃣ Breakdown Scenario If BTC fails the trendline with a full candle close below, expect: Breakdown of structure Full sweep of demand Deeper correction into mid-range levels Not my primary bias, but it's critical to acknowledge the possibility. Summary BTC is sitting on an important trendline. A quick rejection into 88,180 could be the liquidity grab needed before upside continuation. Reclaiming the trendline = bullish continuation toward FVGs. Breaking below = deeper corrective move. 📘 Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only. It represents personal opinion and not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your own risk.
by Scaling_mastery
Structure of the Double Top PatternStructure of the Double Top Pattern The Double Top consists of three main components: 1. First Top - Price rises strongly and forms the first peak. - Then price pulls back → creating the middle low (neckline). 2. Second Top - Price rallies again but fails to break above the first top. - This indicates weakening bullish pressure. 3. Neckline Breakout - When price breaks below the neckline, the pattern is confirmed. - This is the safest SELL entry. Meaning of the Double Top Pattern - Buying pressure weakens after the second top is formed. - Sellers begin to dominate. - Once the neckline is broken → a new downtrend begins. - It is considered a strong and reliable reversal pattern when it forms after a clear uptrend. Conditions for a Valid & High-Quality Double Top ✔️ The prior trend must be strongly bullish ✔️ Both tops should be approximately equal in height ✔️ Volume is usually higher on the first top and lower on the second ✔️ A strong neckline break with high volume → solid confirmation How to Trade the Double Top Pattern 1. SELL Entry Enter when price breaks the neckline and retests it. ✔️ The safest entry: SELL on the neckline retest → higher probability. 2. Stop Loss Placement - Place SL slightly above the second top (or the first top). - SL should be placed outside the structure to avoid false breakouts. 3. Take Profit (TP) - How to estimate the target: - Measure the distance from the top to the neckline, then project it downward. Tips to Avoid Getting Trapped by a Double Top 1. Do NOT SELL just because price forms the second top → not confirmed yet 2. Only SELL when the neckline is clearly broken 3. Check volume or candle strength to increase accuracy 4. Combine with RSI, FVG, Trendline, Liquidity concepts for higher probability Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️❤️❤️
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by Matthew_TradeRFX
GBP/JPY: Strong Uptrend, Breakout or Correction?Hello traders! Today, we will analyze the GBP/JPY pair , which is currently in a strong uptrend and looking for opportunities to break higher. The latest news from the UK shows expectations for a dovish policy from the Bank of England (BoE) , along with the weakening of the Japanese Yen (JPY) , which has pushed GBP/JPY higher. Additionally, the stability of the UK labor market has boosted confidence in the British Pound. From a technical analysis perspective, on the H1 chart, GBP/JPY is moving in a clear uptrend channel . The price has surpassed 206.700 USD and is currently hovering near the resistance zone of 207.700 USD. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 are both supporting the upward trend, indicating a strong possibility of further gains in the short term. The trading strategy is to buy when the price corrects to 206.700 USD and shows signs of reversal. The target for the uptrend could be 207.700 USD, and if the price breaks this level, we can expect it to move towards the 208.00 USD range. A stop loss should be placed at 205.500 USD to manage risk.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
5
Interest Rate Cut – EUR/USD Soars, Great Buying Opportunity!We are witnessing a very exciting phase for EUR/USD. In the context of the US dollar continuing to face downward pressure due to expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates in December 2025, the euro is in a great position to continue its upward trend. Let’s take a closer look at the chart and key support levels to make the right decision. The H4 chart of EUR/USD shows a clear bullish structure, with the price attempting to break the key resistance level around 1.1600 and continuing to rise strongly. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 1.1602, and according to technical forecasts, EUR/USD could continue to rise toward the 1.1650 level if it maintains support above the 1.1600 resistance. Below the price, the area around 1.15500 serves as a strong support, where the price could bounce back in the case of a minor pullback. The appearance of higher lows indicates that the bullish trend remains intact. With positive signals from both the market and technical analysis, buying EUR/USD during pullbacks remains a reasonable strategy. If the price continues to hold above the 1.1550 support, we can look to buy with a target at 1.1620, where a short-term sell-off might occur. If the trend remains strong, the next resistance level is at 1.1650, where EUR/USD may face selling pressure, but the preference remains to buy in line with the overall trend.
Long
by Paradise_Noir
3
XAUUSD: Gold Continues to Rise on Rate Cut ExpectationsGold continues its upward trend from yesterday, with the current price at 4,159.455 USD. The chart shows that gold is moving within a stable upward channel, and if it maintains above this support level, there is a high likelihood that the price will continue towards the 4,190,000 USD level. Why is gold continuing to rise? Weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales data has reinforced the forecast that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in December 2025. This has weakened the USD, which in turn reduces yields and increases gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset. These factors, combined with expectations of rate cuts, suggest that gold has the potential to continue rising sharply. Next Scenario: If the price of gold stays above the 4,120,000 USD support zone, there is a high probability it will break through the 4,190,000 USD resistance level. The potential for continued upward movement could push gold to 4,230,000 USD in the near future. With strong support and a favorable market backdrop, XAUUSD is likely to continue this upward trend, especially as labor market data from the U.S. is released.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Paradise_Noir
39
BTCUSD: A fragile rebound, with risk of returning to the 84,000 After a fairly “tiring” week , Bitcoin has ticked up slightly at the start of the week, but the overall picture still leans clearly toward the bears . Outflows from U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have now extended into the fourth consecutive week , showing that institutional money is still cutting exposure. At the same time, the market is both hoping for a Fed rate cut in December (around 70% probability) and worrying because many Fed officials remain cautious. With no new bullish catalyst , the crypto market in general – and BTC in particular – remains under short-term downside pressure. On the D1 timeframe, BTCUSD is holding a clear downtrend below the Ichimoku cloud . A descending trendline drawn from the previous highs continues to cap every rebound. Price is currently trading around 87,000 USD, after dropping to a recent low near 83,500 USD and then bouncing slightly. The scenario illustrated on the chart suggests BTC may range and consolidate before pushing up to retest the 96,700 USD area – a key confluence resistance where the descending trendline meets a horizontal supply zone. If BTC reaches the 96,700 USD region but faces strong selling, the primary scenario is a new leg down back toward the 84,000 USD support zone. With ETF flows still negative and the Fed’s outlook still uncertain, every bounce into higher resistance levels currently looks more like a distribution opportunity than the start of a sustainable uptrend .
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
3
TSLA — Bullish Above 317.77, Targeting 544.53TSLA maintains a bullish structure as long as price holds above the key zone at 317.77. This level represents the foundation of the current upward leg and serves as the invalidation point for the broader trend. As long as buyers protect 317.77, upside continuation remains the dominant scenario. Price is currently reclaiming the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 424.43. A sustained close above this area strengthens bullish momentum toward 452.77 (0.618), followed by 472.47–484.48 (0.7–0.75). A breakout above these mid-range levels would open the path toward the major extension target at 544.53. In a bearish scenario, price cannot break above the key support zone; any rally into it while trading below would be considered only a corrective bounce. But as long as 317.77 holds, the primary outlook remains bullish.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by adham2022
Coca-Cola Is Attacking All-Time HighsCoca-Cola is basically one of the most famous drink brands in the world. It started in the late 1800s in the U.S., and over time it turned into a huge global company. They’re known for their classic Coke, but they also make tons of other drinks—juices, waters, teas, and even energy drinks. After that gap up, Coca-Cola filled that gap as expected and then turned higher and broke above 71.77 resistance. So the wave structure remains bullish, and we could still see a push to new highs, as wave C — possibly the final leg of an ending diagonal — may target the 76–78 area. So latest retracement toward 68 might have been just temporary setback ideally wave two and bulls are now ready for new highs.  We remain bullish as long as price stays above 66. Highlights: Trend: Bullish (wave C continuation in w. 5) Support: 71, 68, 66 Resistance: 74, 78 Note: Bullish above 66,  watching for wave C resumption towards new highs. 
NYSE:KOLong
by ew-forecast
1
BTC mid-term TABitcoin is having a relief rally from the continuous falling initiated by excessive selling, you may also see the MACD crossover, yes, but it's in bearish area and it's too early for the downtrend reversal, it's just a bounce or a short-lived rally, you may call it the way you like it, but the bearish downtrend is engaged and it's still very strong and it will need much more time and effort to finally bottom out. For now let's hope for X-mas rally to continue. Watch for the resistance levels at 95k and the falling SMA50.
Short
by MoxGo_Analytics
2
BTCUSD Bearish Setup?Bitcoin on the weekly chart has shifted from strong trend to corrective territory. After topping twice near the 125,000 resistance, price has broken below the 20-week and 60-week MAs (around 110,662 and 99,350), and is now pressing into the 86,000 demand area and the prior swing low near 85,250. This aligns with a moderately confirmed Double Top, with the neckline around 105,000 now acting as key resistance within a broader, still-intact long-term uptrend supported by the 120-week MA near 75,292. The primary path favors further downside as long as BTCUSD holds below the neckline and the 99,000–105,000 region. A weekly close below 85,250 would confirm a bearish Market Structure Shift, validating the Double Top and opening room toward 82,000 and then the 75,500 target just above the 120-week MA. In this scenario, rallies back toward 95,000–99,000 are likely to be treated as corrective bounces within a dominant downtrend. If buyers can defend 86,000 and push for a 1W close above 98,000, the focus shifts to a mean-reversion move toward the 60-week MA and the 105,000 neckline, with potential extension toward 112,000. A sustained weekly close back above 95,000–98,000 would begin to weaken the bearish thesis. This is a study, not financial advice. Manage risk and invalidations. Thought of the Day 💡: Clear triggers and invalidations matter more than perfect forecasts. -------------------------- Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by bbqgio
S&P 500 levels to watchFollowing the big recovery, lots of short-term levels have been reclaimed this week but with US markets closed today, index futures have been fairly quite and easing back down ever so slightly. Key support is now seen around 6771-6780 on our US SP 500 chart (derived from the underlying ES prices). Below that, 6716 is the next support. Bulls will get in trouble if 6659 - most recent low - breaks. On the upside, 6829 is first hurdle, marking the point of origin of the previous drop. Ideal location for the bears to step back in if they want to regain control of price action. Lose that, 6877 is next upside target then the all time high at 6922. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREX.com
Market Mispricing? EURUSD Ready to Surge on FED PivotHey Traders, In today’s trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around the 1.15300 zone. The pair has been trading in a clear uptrend, and is now entering a healthy correction phase, approaching a key trend support / S&R confluence at 1.15300. Fundamentals continue to lean strongly in favor of EURUSD bulls: Markets now expect the FED to cut rates in December, a clear bearish driver for the USD as easing expectations gain traction. Rumors yesterday suggested that Kevin Hassett is now the top contender for the next FED Chair. Hassett is widely viewed as the most dovish possible pick, which only deepens downside pressure on the Dollar. With USD sentiment turning increasingly soft and price nearing a major technical support, the 1.15300 area becomes a highly strategic zone to look for bullish continuation. Trade safe, Joe.
Long
by JoeChampion
23
Is the BoJ Planning a Thanksgiving Ambush at 207.00?The "Guppy" (GBP/JPY) surges toward a critical 15-month peak. This rally highlights a clash between Japanese fiscal stimulus and UK fiscal prudence. Traders must navigate high-stakes geopolitical tension and potential central bank intervention during the Thanksgiving holiday. Macroeconomic Divergence: The Core Catalyst The Yen and Sterling displayed powerful, opposing dynamics this month. Japan faces market anxiety regarding government spending. Conversely, the UK is regaining fiscal credibility. Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi recently approved a massive ¥21 trillion stimulus package. This figure represents the largest injection since the COVID-19 era. Markets historically view such aggressive spending as a negative for currency strength. Consequently, investors priced in this fiscal dovishness heavily since Takaichi’s appointment. In contrast, the UK’s recent budget avoided reckless pivots. The government aims to cut expenses for a better fiscal balance. While higher income taxes may slightly dampen consumption, the overall stance stabilizes the Pound. This prudence makes the GBP the third-best performer in today’s session. Leadership and Monetary Strategy A paradox emerges in Tokyo. PM Takaichi’s fiscal expansion may force the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to pivot. The BoJ might turn hawkish to counter inflation and protect the Yen. Investors now eye the December 18th policy decision. The central bank could hike rates sooner than expected to offset the government's spending spree. Meanwhile, the threat of direct intervention looms large. The BoJ may utilize foreign reserves to buy back Yen if depreciation accelerates. Technological and Algorithmic Impacts Modern trading relies heavily on high-frequency trading (HFT) and algorithmic models. These "Cyber-Finance" systems identified the GBP/JPY’s tight bull channel since November 5. Furthermore, Japan’s export-heavy "High-Tech" sector influences this dynamic. A weak Yen usually boosts profits for Japanese patent-holders in robotics and automotive industries. However, rising energy import costs counteract these gains. This economic friction creates volatility that algorithmic traders exploit, pushing momentum indicators like the RSI to overbought levels. Technical Analysis: The 207.00 Threshold Technically, the pair sits at a decisive inflection point. The price action evolved in a relentless upward trend. However, overbought RSI levels warrant caution. Momentum still tilts upwards, suggesting the top is not yet in. Traders must watch the 207.00 resistance level closely. Last week, action stalled at 206.86. A daily close above this zone confirms a breakout, targeting the 208.120 highs (July 2024 peak). Conversely, failure to break 207.00 suggests a "double-top" pattern. This technical formation typically precedes a sharp reversal. Strategic Outlook Liquidity often thins during the Thanksgiving break. This environment increases the risk of "flash crash" scenarios if the BoJ intervenes. Traders should monitor the 207.00 level and manage risk strictly. The convergence of fiscal policy, algorithmic momentum, and central bank anxiety guarantees a volatile end to November.
Long
by the5erstrading
Persistent Systems: Explosive Breakout | Digital Transformation STRONG BUY Setup 💻 Entry: ₹6,316-6,340 (Current Level) Target 1: ₹6,474-6,500 Target 2: ₹6,587-6,620 Target 3: ₹6,700-6,750 Target 4: ₹6,900-7,000+ (Extended Breakout Target) Stop Loss: ₹6,082 Technical Rationale: MASSIVE BREAKOUT from year-long resistance at 6,250 (horizontal black line at top) Explosive +3.89% surge with exceptional volume spike (874.8K - highlighted with blue arrow) Breaking above major resistance zone decisively on daily chart Trading above long-term horizontal resistance after multiple tests throughout 2025 Volume is highest in months - institutional buying evident Strong uptrend intact - trading above rising EMA (blue curve) RSI around 65-70 - strong bullish momentum with room for upside IT Services sector showing strength - digital transformation demand Multiple resistance levels mapped: 6,474, 6,587, 6,700 Clear support established at breakout zone 6,250 and 6,082 Previous all-time high territory being challenged Pattern shows consistent higher lows since October bottom Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:2.5 to 1:4+ ratio depending on targets Pattern: HORIZONTAL RESISTANCE BREAKOUT on DAILY Chart - breaking year-long ceiling with exceptional volume Strategy: Medium-term swing to positional (weeks to months) Book 20% at T1 (6,490), 20% at T2 (6,600), 20% at T3 (6,725) Hold remaining 40% for extended target 6,900-7,000+ Trail SL to 6,320 after crossing T1 Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by rmhetre15
MAXFINSERV: Massive Breakout After 6 Months | Target 1,900+STRONG BUY Setup 💰 Entry: ₹1,718-1,730 (Current Level) Target 1: ₹1,756-1,770 Target 2: ₹1,794-1,810 Target 3: ₹1,850-1,880+ (Extended) Stop Loss: ₹1,672 Technical Rationale: EXPLOSIVE BREAKOUT from 6-month rectangle consolidation (1,450-1,680 range - blue shaded) Massive +5.09% surge with exceptional volume spike (4.18M - highlighted with blue arrow) Breaking above long-term resistance at 1,672-1,680 convincingly Trading well above rising EMA - strong bullish trend RSI spiking above 75 - very strong momentum (but watch for overbought) Volume is highest since July - institutional buying evident Financial services/insurance sector showing strength Price action similar to July breakout (noted with green volume bars) Multiple resistance levels mapped: 1,725, 1,756, 1,794 Clear support established at breakout zone 1,672-1,680 Rectangle breakout pattern - measured move suggests 1,900+ target Risk-Reward: Excellent 1:4+ ratio for extended targets Pattern: Rectangle Consolidation Breakout on Daily Chart - highly reliable bullish pattern after 6 months of base building Strategy: Medium-term swing to positional (weeks to months) Book 25% at T1 (1,765), 25% at T2 (1,800), trail remaining 50% with SL at 1,730 after T1 Strong momentum could lead to gap-up continuation Key Levels: Breakout Zone: 1,672-1,680 (now critical support) Strong Resistance: 1,725, 1,756, 1,794 Major Support: 1,672, 1,650 Timeframe: Daily chart - suitable for swing/positional traders Volume Analysis: 4.18M volume - exceptional and highest since July breakout attempt. This confirms strong institutional accumulation Sector: Financial Services/Life Insurance - Max Life Insurance parent company, benefits from insurance growth story Measured Move: Rectangle height (~230 points) added to breakout = Target of 1,900-1,910 Historical Context: Similar volume breakout in July led to rally but failed. This time breaking with even stronger momentum and cleaner base. Disclaimer: For educational purposes only. Not SEBI registered.
NSE:MFSLLong
by rmhetre15
USDJPY Just Broke Out — Early Trend Reversal or Fake Strength?1. Market Structure – Dow Theory Perspective On the H1 chart: - Price has consistently printed Lower Highs – Lower Lows, forming a descending channel. - The most recent move shows: + A higher low (HL) forming at the bottom of the channel + A clear break of structure (BOS) at the upper trendline This signals a transition phase, where sellers are losing momentum and buyers are starting to dominate. According to Dow Theory: ➡ A trend changes when the market forms a higher high followed by a higher low. USDJPY is currently in that exact phase. 2. Breakout Confirmation The breakout from the channel is valid because: ✔ The candle closed above the trendline ✔ Volume increased slightly on breakout ✔ Price retested the broken structure (blue arrow) and bounced cleanly This adds strong confirmation that the breakout is not a fakeout. 3. Key Zones to Watch 🔹 Support Zone Located around the lower channel and green zone — this is the origin of the bullish rejection. As long as USDJPY holds above this zone, the bullish scenario remains intact. 🔹 Strong Resistance Zone Marked at the top of the chart — multiple liquidity pools exist here. TP2 and TP3 align with these resistance levels. 4. Bullish Scenario – Primary Outlook After the breakout, the market is expected to follow a classic break → retest → continuation pattern: 🎯 TP1: 156.832 First liquidity target — where the first wave of profit-taking is likely. 🎯 TP2: 156.984 A stronger resistance level — aligns with prior price congestion. 🎯 TP3: 157.200+ Located at the strong resistance zone. If buyers maintain momentum, this is the final upside extension. This aligns perfectly with bullish structure + breakout momentum. 5. Technical Summary -Breakout from descending channel ✔ - Higher low formation → early trend reversal ✔ - Retest confirmation ✔ - Clear upside liquidity targets ✔ Everything aligns with a bullish continuation scenario for USDJPY. 🔥 Conclusion USDJPY has broken out of its descending channel, signaling a potential short-term bullish reversal. As long as price holds above the retest area, the market favors an upward move toward TP1 → TP2 → TP3. This is a clean structure-based opportunity for trend traders and breakout traders alike.
Long
by Matthew_TradeRFX
1