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Technical Analysis

USD/CHF Consolidates Within Prolonged RangeUSD/CHF continues to trade within a well-defined horizontal range between approximately 0.7850 and 0.8100, showing limited directional momentum over recent months. The pair’s repeated rejections from both upper and lower boundaries highlight market indecision and equilibrium between buyers and sellers. The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) near 0.7987 has acted as a median line within the range, while the 200-day SMA around 0.8218 remains well above current price, signaling that the broader trend bias is still neutral to slightly bearish. The MACD is marginally above the signal line, suggesting mild bullish momentum, though not yet sufficient to confirm a breakout. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers around 59, reflecting improving sentiment without reaching overbought conditions. For now, USD/CHF remains confined within its established consolidation structure. A decisive close above 0.8100 would indicate a potential shift in momentum, while a move below 0.7850 would reaffirm range continuity or open the door to renewed weakness. -MW
by FOREX.com
AUD/USD Holds 200-Day SMA - All Eyes on 0.6425 SupportThe Australian Dollar continues to hover near a key support area, with AUD/USD stabilizing around 0.6450 after several sessions of downside pressure. The pair is currently testing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6461, which has provided a temporary floor despite broader weakness. The 50-day SMA sits slightly above at 0.6541, forming a short-term resistance zone. The MACD remains marginally below the signal line, showing a weak bearish bias with limited downside acceleration. Meanwhile, the RSI hovers near 40, reflecting subdued momentum and suggesting the pair is neither oversold nor showing strong recovery signs yet. From a broader technical perspective, the pair remains trapped between key Fibonacci retracement levels — support around 0.6425 and resistance near 0.6730. Sustained closes below the 200-day SMA could open the door for a deeper pullback, while a rebound above the 50-day SMA would signal renewed buying interest within the longer-term consolidation. -MW
by FOREX.com
DXY Tests Key Resistance Amid Improving MomentumThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is testing a significant resistance zone around 100.30 after a steady climb from its October lows. Price has reclaimed the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) and is now approaching the 200-day SMA near 99.85, a level that has acted as dynamic resistance for most of the year. The RSI currently reads around 64, indicating improving bullish momentum but not yet overbought territory. The MACD histogram remains slightly positive, with the signal and MACD lines close to crossing, suggesting continued short-term strength but the potential for consolidation near resistance. If price sustains above the 100.00–100.30 region, it would mark the first notable break above the 200-day SMA since early 2024 — a potentially constructive technical shift. However, repeated rejections from this level could keep the broader structure range-bound between 96.40 and 102.00. Overall, the chart shows improving momentum within a long-term neutral framework. Confirmation above the 200-day SMA would be required to validate a sustained bullish bias. -MW
TVC:DXY
by FOREX.com
Gold (XAU/USD) – Market Structure Analysis | November 24, 2025Bias: Neutral → Slight Bullish Key Level to Watch: 4,075.24 USD Gold is stabilizing inside a tightening consolidation zone, holding structure above the 4,040–4,000 support region while struggling to secure acceptance above the 4,100 psychological level. This compression indicates reduced volatility and signals an upcoming breakout as liquidity builds on both sides of the range. Intraday order-flow shows buyers stepping in with higher lows and a steady recovery back into resistance. However, the broader structure remains neutral until a decisive break confirms directional dominance. ⸻ Technical Breakdown Market Structure • Market is range-bound between 4,000–4,100, forming a compression pattern • Higher intraday lows indicate emerging bullish presence • No confirmed breakout yet — market remains balanced Key Resistance Zones • 4,075.24 – Initial reaction level • 4,087.69 – 4,090.45 – Critical breakout band • 4,099.86 – 4,104 – Upper resistance cluster • 4,150 – Higher-timeframe structural resistance Key Support Zones • 4,044.09 – Immediate intraday support • 4,036.62 – Secondary support • 4,032 → 4,000 – Structural support and bearish validation floor ⸻ Outlook & Interpretation Gold remains in a neutral structure with slightly improving bullish sentiment. For buyers to take full control, price must break and hold above the 4,087–4,090 region. Until then, the market sits in equilibrium, with both sides defending key liquidity zones. ⸻ Trading Plan Bullish Scenario Break and hold above 4,087–4,090 → upside targets: • 4,099 → 4,104 → 4,150 Neutral Scenario Price remains between 4,044 – 4,087 → expect continued consolidation and liquidity build-up. Bearish Scenario Break below 4,044 → downside targets: • 4,036 → 4,031, with 4,000 as the broader structural support.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by Trellz_
XAUUSD: Stuck Above 4,000, Just Waiting for the Next DropThe current context shows gold being “squeezed” between two forces : on one side, improving risk appetite as markets expect the Fed to cut rates; on the other, ongoing geopolitical and global financial concerns . As a result, price is holding above 4,000 but finding it hard to break higher. On the H1 chart, XAUUSD is moving sideways with a slight downside tilt, spending most of the time inside or below the Ichimoku cloud . The latest bounce only reached the 4,100 area before being sold off again, showing that the cloud and the top of the channel are still acting as a lid on the downtrend. In the middle of the range, price is hovering around the temporary support at 4,050 – which is also the level highlighted on the chart as a potential breakdown point. Trading idea: if price fails to hold 4,100 and we get a clear H1 close confirming weakness, the intraday bearish trend could resume and drag gold back toward the 4,050 zone. Good luck and trade safe!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Paradise_Noir
34
EURNZD: Bullish Movement Confirmed 🇪🇺🇳🇿 There is a high probability that EURNZD will continue rising after a test of a strong rising trend line on a 4H. A double bottom pattern formation on that on an hourly time frame confirms a strong bullish sentiment. Expect a rise at least to 2.0585 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
4
Eicher Motors – Breakout Trade SetupPrice has broken out of a 2-month consolidation range (₹6,880–₹7,200) with strong volume. This indicates momentum continuation toward upper resistance levels. ✅ Buy Above: ₹7,200 (Breakout confirmation zone) 🎯 Targets (Swing / Short-Term): T1 – ₹7,227 T2 – ₹7,336 T2 – ₹7,468 🛡️ Stop-Loss: ₹6,880 (below range support + 20EMA area) ⏳ Duration: 5–10 trading sessions (short-term swing trade) 📈 Reasoning (Professional View): Breakout from a long consolidation box Strong bullish candle + volume expansion RSI breakout above 60 shows momentum shift Above 20EMA after a sharp reversal education purpose only
NSE:EICHERMOTLong
by rmhetre15
NASDAQ DEC 2025, Next week will unveil it all.I often like to use this approach, where I start from the most generic timeframe that still carries importance, moving into smaller timeframes narrowing the timeframe at each step, finally concluding with a short-term trade opportunity. This post focuses solely on technical analysis, price action and trend behavior on the NDX. No fundamental expectations or macroeconomic interpretations are included. I will be updating this post as trade opportunities develop. A summary of this idea is provided at the end. --- Long-Term Behavior --- Long term outlook indicates that NDX had a strong bullish momentum until now, it pushed above the almost 5 year bullish trend marked with orange lines. However, before it pushed above, NDX experienced a sharp decline. (marked with yellow circle) But price carried back up with the yellow trend and created a much stronger bullish movement which managed to push further. Now that stronger bullish movement is also over, NDX should be falling back for a retest. The last monthly candle was possibly the beginning of that retest movement. After the retest two scenarios are possible, either it continues the bullish movement with a much higher pace or price fails to hold the retest and falls back toward the lower boundary of the previous long-term trend. -- Short-Term Behavior -- In this section, I will be investigating the short-term movements to better predict a possible trade opportunity. If we zoom into the yellow trend, the price was following a path estimated with the purple lines. Which also justifies the last months harsh fallback. I expect NDX to start moving towards the lower boundary of the trend marked with yellow. (also, weekly RSI shows clear decrease in bullish momentum, indicating the yellow trend is coming to an end) With all these in mind, to further predict the next 2-3 weeks movement, zooming into the last couple of months. NDX's last bearish movement, which I have shown with blue trend, can go two ways which the next weeks price movement will unveil. If the next week starts up bullish and the price fails to go down further NDX may rapidly rise. On the other hand, If it forms a steeper downtrend which I have shown in the second snapshot, it may possibly keep moving down for the long-term retest. note that the trend drawings are estimations and may not be totally accurate. -- Summary and Final Verdict -- Next week, we should see a clear directional bias for NDX Bearish scenario: If price continues downward and establishes a steeper trend (as shown in the image), NDX is likely heading toward a full retest of the long-term breakout area. Target: ~22,000 Bullish scenario: If the index shows clear signs of reversal and rejects further downside, a swift recovery toward previous highs is possible. Target: ~26,500 I will be updating the post as we get a clearer image...
NASDAQ:NDX
by Kivvwi
$SPY and $SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 24 to Nov 28, 2025🔮 AMEX:SPY and SP:SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 24 to Nov 28, 2025 🔮 🌍 Market-Moving Headlines 📉 Shutdown backlog week: Most major September reports finally drop on Tuesday and Wednesday — Retail Sales, PPI, Durable Goods — all of which normally move markets but are arriving late due to the October shutdown. 🏠 Housing and consumer read-through: Case Shiller, Consumer Confidence, and Pending Home Sales give traders a real-time read on the health of housing and spending as the holiday season begins. 📉 Liquidity thinning: Thanksgiving week historically brings lighter volume and sharper moves when data surprises. 📊 Key Data and Events (ET) Below are only the trader-relevant items, with delayed reports clearly marked. TUESDAY, NOV 25 — The Big Data Dump ⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Delayed Sept) Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.6 forecast) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales ex-Autos (Delayed Sept) Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.7 forecast) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Producer Price Index PPI (Delayed Sept) Actual: 0.3 percent Year over year: 2.6 percent ⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI (Delayed Sept) Prior: 0.3 percent Current: Not available due to shutdown ⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI Year over Year Actual: 2.8 percent ⏰ 9:00 AM — Case Shiller Home Price Index, 20-City (Sept) Actual: Not available Forecast: 1.6 percent ⏰ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Delayed Aug) Actual: 0.1 percent ⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Nov) Actual: 93.4 (vs 94.6 forecast) ⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Oct) Actual: 0.0 percent WEDNESDAY, NOV 26 ⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 22) Actual: 225,000 (vs 220,000 forecast) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Delayed Sept) Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 2.9 percent prior) ⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods ex-Transportation (Delayed Sept) Actual: 0.4 percent THURSDAY, NOV 27 🦃 Thanksgiving — No economic releases FRIDAY, NOV 28 ⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Nov) Forecast: 43.8 ⚠️ Note: Many September reports are still delayed due to the federal government shutdown from Oct 1 to Nov 12. All delayed items are explicitly labeled above. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only. Not financial advice. 📌 #SPY #SPX #macro #trading #stocks #inflation #consumer #PPI #retailsales #housing #markets
AMEX:SPYShort
by TrendTao
XAGUSD Silver Outlook (Count 2)Here is my primary view on FX_IDC:XAGUSD . This is an updated view taking in to account the monthly time frame chart which i have recently shared, i may work on publishing the monthly idea soon. In this outlook silver is currently close to working through a series of wave 4's and 5's. As I mention on the chart if the projected levels change but the sequence is accurate then I’ll be happy with that. I have added some more comments in the chart regarding the Elliott wave guideline of alternation, which we should consider when forecasting future price action. In line with the monthly chart, this outlook now shows the $87 target, and the analysis behind it. I have changed the wave degrees to reflect this current impulsive rally being in the cyan primary degree sitting under the purple cycle degree wave III. More comments on the chart.
FX_IDC:XAGUSDLong
by TheWaveCave
NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK: HOLDS 26000, EYES ON 26277–26600Nifty closed at 26068, staying firmly above the key psychological level of 26000. The index made a high of 26246 and a low of 25856, again respecting my broader range of 26400–25400. Bias: Bullish above 26000, cautious below 25850. If Nifty sustains above 26000, upside continuation towards 26277 (ATH), 26492 (important Fibonacci level), and 26600 remains possible. Below this week’s low of 25856, weakness can extend towards 25600. Expected range for the coming week: 26600–25600 . Sector View: Last week I highlighted strength in PSU Banks, Private Banks, Auto, and Metals. PSU index gave up early gains and closed flat. Auto ended the week 1% higher, showing sustained momentum. Metals fell 3% and closed at the weekly low, signalling pressure. For Nifty to move higher, PSU and Private Banks along with Auto must remain strong. Metals need to avoid fresh weekly lows to prevent broader drag on sentiment. BANKNIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK: STRONG CLOSE BUT WITH CAUTION BankNifty posted an all-time high weekly close but formed a shooting star candle, indicating possible exhaustion. If BankNifty sustains above 59267, it can extend towards 60087 (important Fibonacci level). Below 58600, downside may open towards 57800–57700. Expected range: 60000–57700. S&P 500 WEEKLY OUTLOOK: WATCH FOR MONTHLY PATTERN CONFIRMATION S&P500 closed at 6602, down 130 points from last week. If the index sustains above 6700, the uptrend can resume towards 6840, 6881, 6930, and 7000. However, if the monthly candle confirms a bearish engulfing pattern, a 10–14% correction from current levels becomes possible. Traders should consider hedging long positions. Overall Market View: Nifty is holding above a critical level and remains positioned for a breakout if sectors align. BankNifty needs confirmation above 59267 for further upside. Global cues from S&P500 will be important as a bearish monthly pattern could impact risk sentiment.
NSE:NIFTY
by ssudhirsharma11
LUMN preparing the next step or just warming upLUMN returned to the key accumulation zone near 6.63 and held above this support. The retest created a potential reversal structure on the daily chart. Divergence and increasing volume confirm the presence of demand. A breakout above 7.65 will confirm the beginning of an impulse toward 11.95 and later toward the extension area near 17.27. L umen Technologies is a major provider of telecommunications and cloud services with a wide data center network. The company serves corporate clients and government institutions with a focus on network infrastructure cyber security and data transmission. Fundamental picture as of November 23 Lumen maintains stable cash flow and continues to reduce its debt burden. Management improved its profit outlook. Network modernization reduces operational expenses and gradually increases margins. Corporate demand remains stable which supports long term recovery. Revenue growth remains moderate and is still affected by competition and legacy contracts. Technical view As long as the price stays above the zone near 6.30 the accumulation structure remains valid. A confirmed breakout above 7.65 will open the path toward 11.95 while a move above that level will allow development toward 17.27. The bullish scenario remains valid while price stays above demand. Market mood LUMN looks like the speaker who stayed silent for a long time then suddenly raised a hand. Now the audience listens.
NYSE:LUMNLong
by TotoshkaTrades
Disney Stock Breakdown: Hidden Bull Flag and the Next Big MovePrice continues to trade inside the long-term parallel channel drawn from the higher timeframe structure. This channel has been respected for several years, and price is still moving within the same range. On the monthly chart, price is below the 50-EMA, which increases the probability of a deeper retracement toward the 200-EMA. The global downtrendline, built from the major lows, was broken by a strong two-month bullish impulse. Current price action suggests the market may be forming a retest of that breakout zone. On the weekly timeframe, price is trading below both the 50-EMA and 200-EMA, signaling potential continuation to the downside before buyers regain momentum. MACD and RSI both point lower, supporting the expectation of a pullback. A reaction around the weekly RSI 30 zone is likely. A bull flag structure is developing. The corrective move is slower than the preceding impulse, indicating buyers are consolidating. If a breakout occurs near the expected zone, the pattern’s measured move suggests a potential rally equal to the height of the flagpole, aligning closely with the next major resistance level. Another important detail: upward swings inside the channel have progressively shortened, signaling weakening seller control and an increasing breakout probability. Selling volume has also decreased week-over-week, and the company’s latest report came out positive, adding additional bullish context once the correction completes. Overall, the base scenario: further downside into the retest area, followed by a potential bullish breakout if the flag pattern confirms.
NYSE:DISLong
by Binhuseyn
ETH 1D: correction unfolding or just a warm-up?Ethereum continues to trade within a clear bearish structure: after breaking below key daily moving averages, the decline accelerated, pushing the price into the 2720–2800 zone an area that previously acted as a short-term reversal cluster. The trendline from the recent top is broken, and a retest of the 3600–3700 resistance (0.5–0.618 Fib) remains the key scenario before any continuation of the downtrend. Only a confirmed breakout above 3700 would shift the structure back to bullish. A deeper correction target sits around 2360–2400, where symmetry projections and previous accumulation zones converge. Fundamental snapshot (Nov 22): network activity is stable, but downward pressure persists due to lower transaction fees and reduced validator revenue. Capital inflows remain weak, and ETH’s dominance continues to erode against L2 networks and alternative L1s. The market is waiting for strong catalysts such as real-world asset tokenization and institutional adoption. In the short term, sentiment leans neutral-to-bearish, supporting the probability of a move toward 2360–2400. As long as ETH remains below 3600–3700, the bearish scenario holds priority. A breakout above 3700 would flip the structure, but current price action still favors continuation of the correction. Ethereum is full of surprises - yet price levels tend to be much more disciplined than traders.
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by TotoshkaTrades
Understanding Forex Money Flow: Risk-on & Risk-offWhen it comes to Forex, most traders focus on technicals, chart patterns, or indicators. But “money flow” — the force that truly moves price — is often overlooked. If you want to read the market like a pro, you must understand Risk-on and Risk-off: the two sentiment states that drive global capital. Today, let’s break them down clearly, practically, and in a way you can apply immediately. 🔥 What Is Risk-on? “Risk-on” appears when the market is optimistic, investors seek risk, and money flows strongly into high-return assets. Signals of a Risk-on Environment: Strong stock market rallies Capital shifts into riskier assets Bond yields rise Positive economic news or geopolitical easing Assets That Benefit in Forex: AUD, NZD, CAD (commodity currencies) GBP, EUR (when the economy is stable) Bitcoin, oil, and equities also tend to rise Risk-on = “The market is excited → money flows into high-yield assets”. 💥 What Is Risk-off? “Risk-off” occurs when the market fears uncertainty, causing money to move toward safe-haven assets. Signals of a Risk-off Environment: Stock markets fall sharply Money exits risky assets Gold spikes USD and JPY strengthen Negative economic news, war, inflation, or political instability Assets That Benefit in Forex: USD, JPY, CHF Gold (XAUUSD) U.S. government bonds Risk-off = “The market is scared → money runs to safety”. ❓ Why Forex Traders MUST Understand Risk-on / Risk-off No matter what indicator you use, the market ultimately reacts to major capital flow. Understanding these two states helps you: Trade with market sentiment → dramatically increases win rate Avoid entering trades against the money flow → fewer “pointless stop-loss hits” Identify strong/weak currencies → choose high-probability setups Many perfect technical setups fail simply because they go against global money flow. 📌 How to Apply This Immediately in Your Forex Trading 1. Check the News → Identify Sentiment Good news? Strong GDP? Stable markets? → Risk-on Bad news? War? Inflation? Hawkish Fed? → Risk-off 2. Compare Currency Strength Simple formula: Risk-on → prioritize BUY AUD, NZD, CAD Risk-off → prioritize BUY USD, JPY, CHF 3. Follow the Trend — Avoid Fighting Money Flow The strongest trends often come from shifts between Risk-on and Risk-off. Examples: Bad news → JPY strengthens → XXXJPY pairs fall hard Risk-on returns → USD weakens → gold rises quickly Follow the money flow, and you’re already ahead of 80% of traders. 🧠 Conclusion – If You Want to Trade Smart, Trade With the Money Flow Risk-on and Risk-off aren’t just theory — they’re the compass that reveals market psychology, which is the foundation of every trend. Want to trade like Smart Money? → Watch where the money is moving, not just where the candles are going.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Paradise_Noir
12
Gold at a Turning Point: Will It Rise or Fall?As we zoom in and take a closer look at how GOLD is moving, one thing becomes immediately clear: The market has just shown a powerful upward surge, but now something intriguing is happening. The price is compressing, forming a tight, small triangle, a sign that the market is building up energy. In moments like this, there are usually two potential paths, but given the bullish context, I can almost feel that a breakout to the upside is the more likely scenario. What do you think? Do you agree with me? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! And trust me, joining the TradingView community is one of the best ways to improve your skills as a trader every single day. Just a reminder: this isn't financial advice, but rather my personal take on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by LauraCharts
2
ETCUSDT.P:short setup from daily support 13.425BINANCE:ETCUSDT.P is dropping alongside Bitcoin. Currently, the price has hit a strong level and started "grinding" it. While this is typically a messy signal, there is structure within this chop, as a clear local level has formed at 13.425, offering a potential short setup. Although the asset has already covered a significant range today, I am keeping it on watch. If the price continues to consolidate tightly without pulling away, or if we see a weak correction followed by a smooth re-approach, I will await my entry trigger. Key factors for this scenario: Global & local trend alignment Price void / low liquidity zone beyond level Correlation with the market Volatility contraction on approach Immediate retest Prolonged consolidation No reaction after a false break Factors that contradict this scenario: Exhaustive move (approaching from afar) Was this analysis helpful? Leave your thoughts in the comments and follow to see more.
Short
by The_Traders_House
1
Uranium Energy Corp Weekly Outlook (Count 1)Here is my weekly outlook on AMEX:UEC . UEC is one of my bigger holdings, I've added at various times as shown on the chart (see green dashed lines). In this outlook i am viewing the price action from the lows in Mar 2020 to the end point of wave (1) as a leading diagonal pattern. After that we have seen wave (2) and another wave 1 and 2 in the red degree (red wave 2 may not be complete yet). Are we next going to see a breakout in red wave 3? the case for this will be helped if the COMEX:UX2! Uranium Futures chart plays out as predicted along with LSE:YCA & TSX:U.UN ...see my linked charts More comments on the chart! Note: My analysis is more focused on price levels as opposed to wave duration, so bear that in mind if you see a particular price level at a certain date in the future and think i'm rigid on both price and time.
AMEX:UECLong
by TheWaveCave