XAUUSD – WEEKLY SCENARIO -ATH CONTINUES TO HOLD THE CHAIN
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently moving sideways after a strong previous rally. The market is temporarily lacking momentum as the US government remains shut down, causing economic data delays – this reduces liquidity and makes many short-term traders hesitant to open new positions.
Currently, the price structure remains within an upward channel, but there are signs of accumulation and tug-of-war around key resistance – support zones. Therefore, the appropriate strategy during this period is “Buy at support zones, Sell at psychological resistance,” combined with POC (Point of Control) on the Volume Profile to identify the highest liquidity price areas.
⚙️ Technical Structure
The overall trend still leans towards bullish, however, short-term corrective waves may appear as the price approaches strong resistance zones.
Thick volume areas clearly shown on the chart are where large investors are accumulating or distributing orders.
RSI is currently in the neutral zone → no overbought signal yet, so the possibility of range-bound movement remains high.
⚖️ Detailed Trading Scenario
🔴 SELL ZONE (Strong resistance – prioritize reactionary selling)
Entry: 3,970 – 3,972
SL: 3,977
TP: 3,952 → 3,935 → 3,920 → 3,905
👉 Note: This is a psychological resistance zone – confluence between the upper edge of the price channel and the previous volume peak.
🔴 SELL SCALPING (short-term selling when support breaks)
Entry: 3,923 – 3,925 (wait for support break confirmation)
SL: 3,930
TP: 3,910 → 3,900 → 3,885 → 3,860
🟢 BUY ZONE (buy at support + POC volume profile)
Entry: 3,883 – 3,885
SL: 3,875
TP: 3,900 → 3,915 → 3,940 → 3,965 → 4,000
👉 This is a strong technical support zone, coinciding with the POC of the Volume Profile – high liquidity, high rebound potential.
💡 Insights & Notes
The upward price channel remains intact, but buying pressure is gradually weakening, making short-term corrections more likely.
Be patient and wait for direction confirmation before entering trades, avoid FOMO during sideways phases.
News is limited this week due to US political situation → market prone to tug-of-war, low volatility.
📌 Summary:
Buy at liquidity support zones (3,883–3,885).
Sell reactionary at psychological resistance zones (3,970–3,972).
Maintain a flexible mindset within the trading range, wait for clear confirmation signals to increase win rates.
Stay updated with new gold articles by following me
Technicalindicators
Gold FOMO Surge – 1000-Pip Buy Chance Ahead!GOLD PLAN FOR 06.10 | Captain Vincent
✳️ Hello to all traders,
Today, we are not only analyzing Gold (XAU/USD) from a purely technical perspective ⚙️, but also witnessing the perfect confluence between technicals and fundamental news. A price surge storm is forming, promising exciting trading opportunities.
📊 1. Technical Analysis: Sustainable Uptrend Structure
Technically, the uptrend of Gold on the H1 frame is indisputable.
🔹 Break of Structure (BoS):
Gold continuously breaks previous highs, indicating that buying pressure is completely overwhelming.
Each BoS point is a clear affirmation of the strength of the uptrend.
🔹 Potential Demand Zone:
After each surge, the price often takes a "rest" to accumulate.
Currently, the price may adjust to the $3,883,020 - $3,905,169 zone, where the confluence between the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Bullish Order Block (Bullish OB) – creates an ideal launchpad for the next surge.
🏦 2. Fundamental Analysis: The Fire Has Been Ignited
If technicals show the way, then fundamental news is the fuel propelling the uptrend.
🔸 U.S. Government Shutdown:
This event creates political and economic instability, causing capital to flee from risky assets.
Gold – the number 1 safe haven – is directly benefiting as investors seek to preserve assets.
🔸 Fed Ready to Cut Interest Rates:
The market is almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 0.25%.
This reduces the appeal of the USD, further strengthening Gold's advantage, which is a non-interest-bearing asset.
🔸 "Thirst" for Economic Data:
The government shutdown also disrupts the release of important economic data, leaving the market lacking information and increasing uncertainty.
In this environment, Gold continues to maintain its role as a safe haven.
🎯 3. Comprehensive Trading Plan
When technicals and fundamentals align, the reliability of the trading strategy is significantly enhanced.
Strategy:
Wait to buy (Long) when the price adjusts to the demand zone $3,883,020 - $3,905,169.
Entry signals:
Observe confirmation of a bullish reversal in this zone such as:
Pin bar candles, engulfing
Or BoS on the M15 frame
Targets:
Short-term: $3950 – $3990
Long-term: Target “+1000 pips”
Risk management:
Place Stop Loss below the Bullish OB zone to protect the account.
🧭 Conclusion
The current market sentiment is very favorable for the Buyers:
USD is under downward pressure
Defensive capital flows strongly into Gold
The FOMO effect may stimulate an extended rally
The combination of solid technical structure and strong fundamental support is creating an almost perfect bullish picture.
👉 Be patient, stick to the plan, and await this golden opportunity.
💼 Wishing you all an effective and victorious trading day!
XAUUSD – WOLFE WAVE CONTINUES, PRIORITIZE BUYING
Hello trader 👋
October 2nd begins with the continuation scenario of the Wolfe Wave pattern. In yesterday's session, gold prices followed the upward rhythm of the pattern, but the decline at the upper line was not truly effective. Today, the market is forming a new price channel with a wider range, opening opportunities for both buy and sell orders during the session.
Regarding fundamentals, geopolitical tensions between Russia and France are escalating, while safe-haven flows continue to pour into gold. Long-term analyses suggest the $4,000 mark is entirely feasible, although there are still technical fluctuations in the near term.
⚖️ Today's trading scenarios
🟢 Buy Scenario (priority according to the main trend):
Entry: 3,863 – 3,865
SL: 3,857
TP: 3,880 → 3,895 → 3,910 → 3,920
👉 You can enter orders at the current area, or wait for a breakout confirmation above 3,871 to increase the winning probability.
🔴 Sell Scalping Scenario (short-term):
Entry: 3,885
SL: 3,891
TP: Short around 3,870 (depending on price reaction)
👉 Suitable for quick scalping traders at the upper edge of the channel.
🔴 Wolfe Wave Sell Scenario (wide range):
Entry: 3,925 – 3,927
SL: 3,935
TP: Long-term expectation according to the Wolfe model, can be managed by taking 50% profit at 3R profit level, letting the rest run for more gains.
📊 General Assessment
The main trend remains bullish, buying continues to be the priority strategy.
Sell orders should only be considered as short-term opportunities at the upper edge, or when the price tests strong resistance.
Volatility may increase during the day due to political news, so tight risk management is necessary.
📌 Conclusion: Gold is following the Wolfe Wave pattern with an expanding price channel. Buying at support – short selling at resistance is the suitable strategy for the day. Long-term investors can continue to expect the $3,950 – $4,000 mark in the next cycle.
JD 1D: Bulls taking the lead?On the daily chart, JD.com broke out of a falling wedge, moving above both MA50 and MA200. That’s a strong technical signal hinting at a potential mid-term trend reversal.
Upside targets are mapped at $39.8 and $46, with Fibonacci levels suggesting a possible extension toward $52 if momentum holds. Support remains around $33–35, and as long as the price stays above it, buyers are in control.
From a fundamental perspective, JD continues to reshape its business, expand online services, and benefit from China’s economic recovery. Competition with Pinduoduo and Alibaba is tough, but technically bulls seem to have the upper hand.
Tactical outlook: watch the MA200 - staying above it keeps the growth scenario intact.
XAU/USD – 01/10 | US Government Shutdown Confirmed | Gold awaits🔎 Context & News
US Politics : The US government officially shut down after the Senate failed to pass the federal funding bill. A major political risk catalyst, triggering safe-haven flows into Gold.
FED : Probability of a -25bps rate cut in October rises to 96.2% → almost certain.
Key Events Today (ET / UTC) :
• ADP Employment Change: 08:15 ET / 12:15 UTC
• ISM Manufacturing PMI: 10:00 ET / 14:00 UTC
→ Both will be crucial data points that may shake Dollar and Gold.
📌 Summary : US politics + FED easing = Gold remains supported, but ADP & ISM tonight could spark strong volatility in the US session.
📈 Technical Analysis (H1)
Main Trend : Bullish after multiple BoS.
EMA : EMA 34 > EMA 89 → bullish momentum intact.
Resistance :
3,897 – 3,907 (Sell scalp – Fibo 0.5–0.618).
3,920 – 3,921 (Liquidity / ATH test).
Support :
3,872 – 3,876 (old high retest).
3,833 – 3,841 (OB zone).
3,814 – 3,822 (deep Support Zone – losing this shifts bias).
🎯 Trade Plan
✅ Buy (trend priority)
Buy Zone 1 : 3,872 – 3,876
• SL: 3,869
• TP: 3,897 → 3,907 → 3,920
Buy Zone 2 (OB) : 3,833 – 3,841
• SL: 3,826
• TP: 3,872 → 3,897 → 3,907
Buy Zone 3 (Deep Support) : 3,814 – 3,822
• SL: 3,808
• TP: 3,841 → 3,872 → 3,897
⚡ Sell (short scalps only – lower RR)
Sell Zone 1 : 3,897 – 3,907
• SL: 3,912
• TP: 3,885 → 3,876 → 3,841
Sell Zone 2 (ATH sweep) : 3,920 – 3,921
• SL: 3,925
• TP: 3,907 → 3,885 → 3,876
📝 Conclusion
Gold remains strongly supported by the US government shutdown + FED rate cut expectations.
Strategy today: Prioritize Buy at support; Sell only for short scalps around 3,907 – 3,921.
⚠️ Watch out: ADP & ISM tonight may trigger unexpected volatility → manage risk carefully and move SL to BE after TP1.
📢 If you find this Captain’s Log useful, don’t forget to Follow Captain Vincent ⚓ for the latest updates.
💬 What do you think, crew? Will Gold break ATH 3,920 right after ADP & ISM tonight?
ANFIBO | XAUUSD - The week's last day, I'm bullish over $3800Hi guys, Anfibo's here!
OANDA:XAUUSD Analysis – Daily Trading Strategy
Overall Picture:
At present, gold (XAUUSD) continues to hold steadily within the H4 bullish channel, without any unusual volatility. The dominant uptrend remains intact, and the market structure still favors buyers. Personally, I remain optimistic that gold will soon head toward a new ATH above $3,800/oz in the medium term. However, in the short term, the market may continue to fluctuate around key support and resistance levels before confirming its next move.
Technical Outlook:
Short-term trend: Solidly bullish, though momentum is slowing; accumulation may form before the next breakout.
> SUPPORT KEY / BUY ZONES : 3740 - 3723 - 3713 - 3703
> RESISTANCE KEY / SELL ZONES : 3770 - 3777- 3788 - 3799 - 3836
Here's my Trading Plan today:
>>> SELL ZONE:
ENTRY: 3769 - 3775
SL: 3780
TP: 3740 - 3723
>>> BUY ZONE:
ENTRY: 3700 - 3705
SL: 3695
TP: 3760 - 3800 - 3836
Risk Management:
- Prioritize buy trades in line with the dominant trend, limit countertrend shorts.
- Maintain a R:R ratio of at least 1:2 on all setups.
- Manage capital strictly, avoid overtrading during sideways phases before breakout.
✅ Conclusion:
Gold is maintaining a stable uptrend on H4, with market structure still supporting buyers.
Main scenarios: Buy on dip around 3700 – 3705.
A clear move beyond 3780 would likely pave the way toward a new ATH above $3,800.
HAVE A NICE WEEKEND, GUYS!!!
LiamTrading – XAUUSD Fibo & Volume Profile AnalysisLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Fibo & Volume Profile Analysis
Gold, after testing the 375x zone, has shown clear signs of weakening. On the H1 frame, the price structure is forming an adjustment phase as it aligns with key Fibonacci and Volume Profile levels. This is the time when the market begins to “filter” liquidity, creating opportunities for both short sell orders and buys at strong support zones.
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci indicates the 0.786 – 1.0 zone around 3756–3758 coincides with strong resistance and FVG, with a high potential for a reversal.
Volume Profile points out the POC zone around 3735–3740; if breached, it will pave the way for deeper downward pressure.
The confluence support zone 0.618 fibo + large volume around 3688–3691 is suitable for scalping buys.
Further, the 3648–3651 area is reinforced by VAL and the volume profile bottom, making it a strong long-term “Buy zone.”
Trading Plan Reference
Sell zone: 3756 – 3758, SL 3763, TP 3750 – 3748 – 3736 – 3710 – 3690 – 3655
Buy scalping: 3688 – 3691, SL 3685, TP 3701 – 3715 – 3728
Long-term Buy zone: 3648 – 3651, SL 3640, TP 3670 – 3688 – 3700 – 3718 – 3733 – 3755
In summary, gold is moving according to the technical structure with confirmation from Fibonacci and Volume Profile. Today's scenario prioritizes observing reactions around the sell zone 3756–3758 to find short opportunities, and waiting to buy at value zones 369x and 365x for the recovery wave.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you want the fastest updates on the next gold scenarios, follow me and join the community to not miss out.
XAUUSD – Downtrend Continues to be FavoredDowntrend Continues to be Favored (Wolfe Waves Pattern H4)
Hello Trader,
Gold is following the Wolfe Waves structure on the H4 chart, after bouncing off the upper resistance zone and returning below the trendline. This indicates that the short-term upward momentum has weakened, and the scenario of a downward adjustment continues to be prioritized at this stage.
Technical Analysis
Wolfe Waves are clearly formed, wave 5 has hit resistance and a reversal signal has appeared.
The price failed to hold above the upper trendline, while the MACD shows weakening upward momentum.
The 3746 – 3748 zone is considered the main “sell zone” in the short term.
Nearby support zones: 3709 – 3711 and deeper at 3675 – 3678. Further out, the area around 3650 is an important “buy zone” in the medium term.
Trading Scenarios
1. Sell with the trend (priority)
Entry: 3746 – 3748
SL: 3754
TP: 3733 → 3720 → 3702 → 3690
2. Buy Short-term Scalping
Entry: 3709 – 3711
SL: 3705
TP: 3722 → 3730 → 3745
3. Buy Deep Support Scalping
Entry: 3675 – 3678
SL: 3670
TP: 3688 → 3696 → 3710 → 3725
4. Medium-term Buy Zone
Entry: around 3650
This is a large volume accumulation zone, coinciding with strong support on H4. This area is suitable for considering medium-term buy orders if the price adjusts deeply.
Conclusion
In the short term, the bearish scenario continues to be favored, especially when the price stays below the 3748 zone.
Buy strategies should only be considered in the form of scalping or at the important buy zone around 3650.
The current gold market is still in a distribution phase, so patience is needed to observe candle confirmations at entry zones to optimize the R:R ratio.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to Wolfe Waves on H4. You can refer to it and combine it with your personal strategy for the best risk management.
Follow me to receive the latest scenarios when the price structure changes.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF CURRENT TRENDSLiamTrading – XAUUSD Today's Scenario: Opportunities at Key Price Levels
Gold continues its strong upward momentum, currently oscillating around the 376x–377x range after a series of breakouts. The technical structure on the H1 chart indicates the market is forming clear resistance and support zones, suitable for short-term trading plans.
Technical Analysis
RSI is cooling off from high levels, indicating the potential for a short-term correction.
The upper price zone around 3818–3821 is a strong confluence of resistance, coinciding with wave peaks and Fibonacci extensions, making it prone to selling reactions.
Conversely, the support zones at 373x and 370x show dense liquidity, serving as potential buying points when prices correct.
The short-term Dow structure still leans towards an uptrend, but attention is needed at the sell confirmation zone if gold fails at the peak.
Trading Plan Reference
Sell Zone: 3818 – 3821, SL 3828, TP 3805 – 3785 – 3760 – 3732 – 3650
Buy Scalping: 3728 – 3731, SL 3723, TP 3750 – 3777 – 3790
Buy Zone: 3706 – 3709, SL 3700, TP 3725 – 3738 – 3750 – 3777 – 3790
In summary, the main trend still favors an uptrend, but with gold approaching strong resistance zones, the likelihood of a correction is high. Traders should patiently wait for reactions at the marked zones for optimal entry, while managing risk tightly.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD. If you're interested in gold scenarios, follow me for the fastest updates.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1: Adjustment structure formed, awaiting confirmation below 3685
After a surge to 375x, gold is entering a correction phase, aligning with the structural pattern. On H1, the price is clinging to the upper edge of the rising wedge, with RSI cooling off from overbought territory, indicating a growing supply pressure. Today's plan focuses on the adjustment structure, prioritizing selling upon confirmation signals.
Key price zones (refer to the attached chart)
Sell strong resistance 3775–3785: confluence of channel peak + 2.618 extension. Look for weakening reactions to enter short/medium-term sell orders.
Buy zone volume 3726–3720: a thin support area providing momentum for a rebound. Holding this zone could push prices to retest 3750–3775; conversely, losing 3720 may lead to a deeper decline.
Resistance + FVG 3715–3698: as prices drop, this area turns into supply; a failed retest here is an early signal for further decline.
Confirm sell 3688–3685: closing H1 below this zone confirms a short-term downtrend, targeting a lower buy zone.
BuyZone 3652–3646: confluence of channel bottom + old liquidity, expecting a strong upward reaction if revisited.
Trading scenarios for reference (adhere to risk management)
Sell reaction at peak: 3778–3783, SL 3792, TP 3755 → 3738 → 3722.
Sell upon confirmation: wait for H1 to close below 3685, enter sell 3684–3682, SL 3696, TP 3673 → 3656 → 3648.
Buy scalp based on volume: 3726–3720, SL 3715, TP 3738 → 3750 (only short-term if the larger structure remains corrective).
Buy swing at strong zone: 3652–3646, SL 3639, TP 3673 → 3698 → 3712 → 3740.
Operational notes
Prioritize waiting for rejection/closing signals at the mentioned zones; avoid chasing orders in between.
Order volume should be allocated based on confirmation levels (confirmation zone < breakdown < failed retest).
Avoid excessive leverage; adjust SL according to structure when in profit.
This is a personal perspective, not investment advice. If you want the fastest updates on the next XAUUSD scenarios, follow me and join my community for discussions.
XAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key SpeechXAUUSD 09/24 – Scenario after the Fed's Key Speech
Hello everyone,
Gold continues its consecutive upward momentum in recent sessions. Yesterday, the price touched the 1.618 Fibonacci level on the H4 chart and then pulled back, indicating a slight rejection right after the PMI news.
Technical Perspective
The Wolfe Waves structure remains intact, not yet broken.
If the price returns inside the trendline, the signal confirming the Wolfe pattern will become clearer.
Current key resistance zone: 3790 – 3825, coinciding with the 361.8 Fibonacci.
Noteworthy short-term support zone: 3650 – 3647.
Fundamental Perspective
In yesterday's speech, Chairman Powell emphasized: “If monetary policy is loosened too quickly, efforts to curb inflation will fail.”
This indicates that the Fed continues to prioritize price stability over the market's expectations for rate cuts. This is a factor to consider when trading gold in the current phase.
Today's Trading Scenario
Sell Setup
Entry: 3825 – 3827
SL: 3833
TP: 3810 – 3790 – 3768 – 3755
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3647
SL: 3642
TP: 3672 – 3688 – 3695 – 3710 – 3750
Summary
In the short term, gold is in a correction phase after hitting resistance. Prioritize observing signals around 3790 – 3825 to find Sell opportunities, while the 3650 zone is a notable buying point for a recovery scenario.
This is today's XAUUSD trading scenario according to the Wolfe Waves pattern. You can refer and adjust according to your personal strategy.
Follow me for the latest analysis updates as the market changes.
Wishing you successful trading!
EURCAD: Swing Trading & Technical Analysis
The analysis of the EURCAD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
XAUUSD – Wolfe Waves Forming on H4 ChartHello Trader,
On the H4 chart, gold is forming a fairly classic Wolfe Waves pattern. The fifth wave has completed, and the price is entering the critical resistance zone of 3760 – 3770, which is also a potential Sell Zone. With the current structure, the preferred scenario is a short-term downward correction before the main trend resumes.
Technical Analysis
The price has touched the 2.618 Fibonacci Extension and reacted downward, indicating profit-taking pressure.
The MACD still shows strong previous buying momentum, but the histogram is starting to weaken, aligning with the potential for a corrective wave.
Area 3760 – 3770: a critical resistance zone, coinciding with the fifth wave of the Wolfe Waves.
Trading Scenario
Sell Order According to Wolfe Waves
Entry: 3760 – 3770
SL: 3782 (above resistance zone)
TP: 3710 -3660 -3610 – 3620 (key level Wolfe target)
Sell when price confirms below the trendline
Entry 3727-3730
sl 3735
tp 3715-3700-3686-3665
Short-term Buy Scalping
Entry: 3705 – 3708
SL: 3700
TP: 3720-3730 – 3745- 3766
Note: This is just a short-term retracement strategy, counter to the correction, so risk management is crucial.
Conclusion
Short-term: Prioritize observing reversal signals at 3760 – 3770 for a Sell.
Medium-term: Wait for Buy opportunities around 3564 – 3574 to align with the main trend.
The market is entering a distribution and correction phase, so patiently waiting for candle confirmations at key areas will be key to optimizing entry.
This is the Wolfe Waves scenario I propose for gold during this period. Feel free to refer and adjust according to your own strategy.
Follow me for the fastest updates when the price structure changes.
XAUUSD – Daily Trading Outlook
Good day Traders,
Gold opened the Asian session by holding its structure firmly. The 3708 level will act as the pivotal price marker for today:
A sustained break above this resistance would open the way towards 3750, with potential extension to 3780.
Conversely, failure to overcome 3708 and a rejection at this level could trigger a retracement, with 3650 – or even the 355x region – serving as key buying areas.
Fundamental Context
Last week’s corrective move was largely driven by comments from the Federal Reserve Chair regarding interest rate policy. The Fed is reluctant to implement multiple rate cuts, and this week’s PCE data will be critical in shaping expectations.
Trading Scenarios for Today
Buy Setup
Entry: 3650 – 3653
Stop-loss: 3645
Targets: 3662 – 3675 – 3690 – 3706 – 3725
Sell Setup 1
Entry: 3700 – 3703
Stop-loss: 3708
Targets: 3690 – 3675 – 3662 – 3650 – 3633
Sell Setup 2
Entry: 3738 – 3740
Stop-loss: 3746
Targets: 3725 – 3710 – 3700 – 3675 – 3650
Conclusion
For today, the preferred bias remains to buy on dips in line with the broader uptrend, while carefully monitoring reactions at the outlined key levels.
Follow me to receive timely updates as soon as price structure changes.
XAUUSD – The Decisive Zone and Trading ScenariosTechnical Analysis
Gold prices on the H4 chart are in a recovery phase after testing the 3.661–3.662 support. The latest candle has rebounded strongly to the 3.684 area, yet the structure still shows clear indecisiveness.
The upward trendline was breached in the previous decline, and currently, the price is retesting this area. This is a crucial point to determine whether the short-term uptrend will continue.
A Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed around the 3.613–3.626 area, aligning with the Fibonacci extension, making it a point of interest for deeper pullbacks.
The Volume Profile indicates the main Point of Control (POC) lies lower, around 3.551, which is a potential target for gold to revisit if selling pressure increases.
The RSI (14) is at ~59, leaning towards buyers but not yet overbought → the current momentum is more of a recovery than a sustainable uptrend.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy following the short-term trend:
Entry: wait for a retest of 3.673–3.662
SL: below 3.655
TP1: 3.690–3.700
TP2: 3.708–3.715 (2.0–2.618 Fib extension)
Scenario 2 – Short sell after confirmed failure:
If the price fails to hold above 3.661 and there is a reversal signal on H4, consider selling.
Entry: 3.661–3.650 (after confirmation candle)
SL: above 3.673
TP1: 3.626–3.613 (FVG + support)
TP2: 3.579
TP3: 3.551 (POC Volume Profile)
Key Price Levels to Watch
3.708–3.715: extended resistance zone, Fib confluence, key target for buyers.
3.661–3.662: short-term support, boundary to determine the next trend.
3.613–3.626: FVG + intermediate support, a zone prone to reactions.
3.551: volume POC, deep target if the market breaks all support.
I will apply the long-term trading scenario in the new week, so give me a follow for motivation to write more!
LiamTrading – A Long-Term Trend in XAUUSD is EmergingGold continues its strong upward momentum, currently trading around 3,680 – 3,685. Following a series of consecutive bullish candles, the price is showing signs of consolidation and slight correction, paving the way for an important scenario in the upcoming phase.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily chart, the RSI has surpassed the 70 mark, indicating an overbought condition. This is often an early warning sign for a potential correction.
The price structure suggests that the FVG zone of 3,630 – 3,600 will be the first observation point if a short-term correction occurs.
A stronger support zone lies at 3,510 – 3,475, coinciding with the Fibonacci 0.5 – 0.382 levels and also the previous resistance area that has been broken. This is considered a potential long-term 'Buy zone'.
If the correction phase completes, gold could fully resume its upward trend with a further target around 3,800 (Fibonacci extension levels 2.618 – 3.618).
Trading Scenarios
Short-term: Monitor the reaction at 3,630 – 3,600. If it holds, a short-term rebound may occur. Pay attention to the price area around 3552-3562 for reactions.
Medium-term: Wait for the price to test the 3,500 – 3,475 zone to find more sustainable buying opportunities.
Long-term: The major trend still leans towards an increase, with the expected target aiming for 3,800.
This is my personal view on XAUUSD, and you can use it as a reference to build your own plan. If you find it helpful, follow me for the latest updates on gold scenarios.
XAUUSD –Today’s Trading Outlook | Sell Fill Liquidity & Buy ZoneHello traders,
In recent sessions, gold has remained highly volatile around key liquidity areas and major support–resistance levels. The current market structure indicates that the bearish side continues to dominate in the short term, whilst buyers are only likely to re-emerge at deeper support zones.
Technical Outlook
Key Resistance: 3670 – 3680, overlapping with the FVG zone → prime area for Sell to Fill Liquidity.
Short-term Support: 3630 – 3627. A clear break here could trigger a deeper decline.
Buy Scalping Zones: 3613 – 3615 and 3595 – 3598, suited for short-term intraday longs.
Medium-term Buy Zone: 3600 – 3590, aligning with strong liquidity and major structural support.
MACD: showing a bearish bias, with a negative histogram reflecting continued selling pressure.
Trading Scenarios
Sell Setup (preferred)
Sell Liquidity Zone: 3670 – 3680
SL: 3685
TP: 3650 – 3635 – 3627 – 3615 – 3600
Buy Scalping
Zone 1: 3613 – 3615 | SL: 3608 | TP: 3625 – 3638 – 3645
Zone 2: 3595 – 3598 | SL: 3590 | TP: 3610 – 3625 – 3638 – 3645 – 3670
Medium-term Buy
Zone: 3600 – 3590
SL: 3584
Extended TP: 3633 – 3660 – 3675
Conclusion
In the short term, gold is likely to retest the upper liquidity zone before continuing its downward leg. Sellers still hold the advantage, but deeper support levels may present attractive opportunities for medium-term buyers.
Stay focused on these critical price zones and trade in line with your individual plan.
Follow for timely updates as market structure develops.
Euro Falls Near $1.18 as Dollar Strengthens and ECB Policy HoldsThe euro is trading around $ 1.18, just less than its highest levels in the four years reached earlier in the week, as the dollar rose after the decision of the Federal Reserve Policy. While in Europe, the European Central Bank left interest rates unchanged for the second meeting in a row last week, indicating that the interest rate reduction course may have ended.
Technically, the dollar recovery left the opportunity for the strength of the bears to dominate the momentum indicators for the 4-hour interval on the EURUSD pair, so the pair is likely to continue to decline during today's trading, targeting the next support levels around 1.1715, especially in case the support levels around 1.1735 do not succeed in stopping the price slippage
GBP/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Rejection Targeting 1.3338"Chart Analysis:
Trend:
The pair was in a strong uptrend inside a rising channel.
Recently, price broke below the channel, signaling potential weakness.
Key Zones:
Supply Zone (Resistance): Around 1.3605 – 1.3660.
This is where sellers are expected to step in if price retraces back up.
Support Zone: Around 1.3510 – 1.3525, price reacted here before.
Trading Plan (Marked on Chart):
Entry Point: Around 1.3605 (short entry if price retests supply zone).
Stop Loss: Around 1.3661 (above supply zone).
Target Point: Around 1.3338 (major support below).
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry ~1.3605, SL ~1.3661 → Risk ≈ 56 pips.
TP ~1.3338 → Reward ≈ 267 pips.
RRR ≈ 1:4.7 → Very favorable.
Price Action Outlook:
If price pulls back into the supply zone, it’s a good short opportunity.
If price fails to retest supply and breaks below current support, continuation downside is confirmed.
Only a strong close above 1.3660 would invalidate this bearish setup.
📌 Summary:
The chart suggests a bearish retracement trade setup for GBP/USD.
Best strategy: Sell near supply zone (1.3605–1.3660).
Targeting 1.3338 with SL at 1.3661.
Great RRR, but patience is needed for entry confirmation.
ANFIBO- EURUSD – Medium-Term H1 Trading ScenarioThe bullish structure on EURUSD was broken following the recent FOMC release, which triggered a rebound in the US Dollar Index.
At the start of today’s European session, however, the dollar unexpectedly weakened, sending EURUSD sharply higher. Despite this recovery, the current rally does not appear to be a sustainable bullish wave, as the prior structural break already signalled weakness.
A key area of interest remains at the Point of Control (POC) on the Volume Profile, which aligns closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence highlights a strong liquidity zone and presents a potential opportunity for short positions.
H1 Trading Plan
Sell Entry: 1.1845 – 1.1860
Stop Loss: 1.1880
Take Profit: 1.1825 – 1.1800 – 1.1775 – 1.1750
I will provide further updates if market structure shifts and price action develops differently. Stay engaged for continued analysis and discussion.
BTC/USD Analysis Market is bullish and respecting the trendlineThe chart shows a Bullish Ascending Channel. Price is making higher-highs and higher-lows, indicating continuation of the uptrend.
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🎯 Targets
TP1: 114,500 – 115,000
TP2: 117,000 – 117,500 (major resistance zone)
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🛑 Stoploss
Near stoploss: 110,800 – 111,000 (below trendline)
Safe stoploss: 109,500
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📌 Support & Resistance
Support: 111,000 – 111,200
Major Support: 109,800 – 110,000
Resistance: 114,500 – 115,000
Major Resistance: 117,000
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✅ Post Caption for Clients
"📈 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is moving inside a bullish ascending channel.
Strong support at 111,000 zone.
🎯 Targets: 114,500 – 117,000
🛑 Stoploss: 110,800
Market structure shows bullish continuation ahea
BTC/USD Long Setup: RBR Zone Retest After Channel BreakoutTechnical Structure
Rising Channel (Highlighted in Red):
Price was moving within a bullish channel.
The channel was broken to the upside, indicating strong bullish momentum.
RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally):
A demand zone marked in red.
This area acts as a support zone where price is expected to bounce after a pullback.
It's the ideal entry area according to this strategy.
Current Price:
BTC/USD is trading around 117,910.63.
The price has just broken out of the channel and is expected to retest the RBR zone.
🎯 Trade Setup
Label Price Level Description
Entry Point 116,772.43 Ideal buy level after retest of RBR zone.
Stop Loss 116,077.82 Below the RBR zone. Gives room for a fakeout.
Target Point 120,013.92 Profit target based on the projected move.
📊 Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR)
Let's calculate the approximate Risk:Reward:
Risk: 116,772.43 - 116,077.82 = 694.61 points
Reward: 120,013.92 - 116,772.43 = 3,241.49 points
✅ Risk:Reward ≈ 1:4.67, which is excellent.
🔄 Expected Price Action
The chart suggests the following scenario:
Price breaks out of the bullish channel.
It retraces back into the RBR zone.
It finds support near the entry level.
A bounce follows, pushing BTC toward the target level of ~120,000.
📌 Summary
✅ Bullish setup after breakout from a rising channel.
✅ RBR demand zone suggests strong support at the entry.
✅ RRR is favorable (~1:4.67) — a good reward for the risk taken.
⚠️ Risk: If price drops below the stop loss zone, the trade idea is invalid.






















