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Technicalindicators

ETH Is at a Make-or-Break ZoneEthereum is currently trading inside a clearly defined range, capped by major resistance around 3,160 and supported by a key demand zone near 2,980, with a deeper structural support around 2,780. The recent impulsive rally was decisively rejected at resistance, confirming that sellers are still defending the upper boundary of this range. From a technical perspective, price action shows classic range behavior. After the rejection, ETH rotated back toward the mid-range and is now hovering just above support (~2,980). As long as this level holds on a closing basis, the market structure remains neutral-to-bullish within the range. A successful defense here would likely lead to a rebound toward 3,060 and a retest of the 3,160 resistance zone. However, a clean breakdown below 2,980, especially with strong volume and a 1H/4H close, would invalidate the range floor and open downside continuation toward 2,900, followed by the major liquidity pocket around 2,780. On the macro side, year-end conditions are playing a critical role. Holiday liquidity is thin, which statistically increases the probability of false breakouts and liquidity sweeps rather than clean trend continuations. At the same time, recent Federal Reserve adjustments to liquidity conditions and easing expectations around monetary policy have kept risk assets supported, but without enough conviction to force a decisive breakout. Crypto markets are therefore reacting more to positioning and short-term flows than to long-term macro repricing. For Ethereum specifically, the broader narrative around institutional adoption, staking yield, and ETF-related expectations continues to provide medium-term support. That said, these factors are not yet strong enough to override the current technical range in the short term. Bottom line: ETH remains a range-bound market. As long as 2,980 holds, upside rotations toward 3,060–3,160 remain the higher-probability scenario. A confirmed break below support would shift control back to sellers and expose 2,900 → 2,780. Until a decisive breakout occurs, traders should expect sideways price action with sharp intraday swings, typical of the Christmas trading period.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by Mathew_TraderGold
Bitcoin Is Trapped — One Break Will Decide Everything.BTC (Bitcoin) – 4H | Key Points Market State: Clear range / consolidation Resistance Zone: ~89,500 – 90,500 Support Zone: ~85,800 – 86,500 Structure: Repeated range highs & lows → liquidity building Bias: Neutral inside range Scenarios: Bullish: Clean 4H breakout above resistance → momentum expansion toward 92k+ Bearish: Breakdown below support → range failure, deeper pullback Bottom line: This is a waiting game. The breakout not prediction will define the trend.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
XAUUSD H1 – Short-Term SELL Opportunity Looking for a Short-Term SELL Move Inside the Uptrend Channel Gold is entering a technical pullback phase after losing momentum near the upper boundary of the rising channel. For today, the focus is to look for short opportunities on reactions, using Volume Profile levels and the recent break of short-term support. TECHNICAL CONTEXT On H1, price is still inside a rising channel, but the market has shown a clear loss of short-term bullish structure, signalling profit-taking pressure. The POC–VAH area above is now acting more like a sell-on-rally zone rather than an immediate continuation point. Weak rebounds during the Asian session can offer better timing for short setups in a corrective phase. PRIORITY SCENARIO – MAIN PLAN Sell the pullback into value Primary sell zone: 4497 – 4500 (Sell VAH) Confirmation sell zone: 4465 – 4468 once price confirms a break of support during the Asian session Expected behaviour: Price rebounds into high-volume areas, shows rejection, then continues lower toward the next liquidity pocket. CORRECTION TARGETS Nearest support: around 4431 Potential buy zone: 4399 – 4396 (Fibonacci extension 1.618 plus lower-channel support) This area is a key liquidity confluence where a bullish reaction could appear and the corrective move may complete. WHY THE SELL IDEA MAKES SENSE H1 structure shows short-term momentum fading Volume Profile highlights the POC–VAH region as a high-probability sell-on-rally area This move is treated as a correction within a broader bullish trend, not a long-term reversal MACRO BACKDROP AND USD The US Dollar Index (DXY) has extended its weekly decline for three straight sessions, reaching the lowest levels since early October. Key drivers include: US CPI for November coming in weaker than expected Signs of cooling in the US labour market Rising expectations that the Fed could deliver two additional rate cuts in 2026 A softer USD supports gold in the medium to long term, but short-term technical corrections remain normal as the market rebalances. SUMMARY VIEW Priority is to sell rallies into 4497–4500 and 4465–4468 The downside move is viewed as a technical correction Watch 4399–4396 closely for a potential bullish reaction and end of the pullback
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
4
Gold Is Compressing — The Real Move Comes After ThisGOLD – 1H | Key Points Structure: Price is moving inside a rising channel, maintaining higher highs & higher lows → bullish structure intact. Behavior: Current pullbacks are corrective, not distribution. Buyers keep defending the lower channel trendline. Key Levels: Support: ~4,460–4,480 (channel base) Resistance: ~4,550–4,570 → breakout opens 4,600+ Market Logic: This is bullish compression, volatility contracts before expansion. Bias: UP continuation after a shallow pullback. Invalidation: Clean break below channel support.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Ethereum Trapped Between Supply and DemandETH/USD (4H) — Market Analysis Market Structure Ethereum is stuck in a broad sideways range after a strong rejection from the upper resistance zone (~3,000–3,050). The sharp sell-off from the top confirms strong supply pressure at premium prices. Current price action shows range rotation, not trend continuation. Key Zones Strong Resistance: 3,000–3,050 → Previous rejection zone, heavy sell orders remain. Mid Resistance: ~2,960–2,980 → Short-term cap where price repeatedly fails. Support Zone: 2,880–2,910 → Buyers defended this area multiple times. Major Support: 2,760–2,800 → Last demand before structure turns bearish. Probable Scenarios Base Case (Higher Probability): Price continues sideways consolidation, bouncing between support and resistance to absorb liquidity. Bullish Scenario: A clean 4H close above 2,980–3,000 opens upside continuation toward the upper resistance zone again. Bearish Scenario: Loss of 2,880 support exposes ETH to a deeper drop toward 2,760–2,800. Momentum & Trend Context EMAs are flattening, confirming range conditions. No impulsive follow-through yet → market is waiting for a catalyst. Macro Context Risk assets remain sensitive to USD strength and bond yields. With no strong bullish macro trigger, ETH is more likely to range than trend aggressively in the near term. Bottom Line Ethereum is in balance mode. Until price clearly accepts above resistance or breaks support, expect choppy, two-sided price action rather than a sustained trend.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Gold Is Compressing at the Highs — The Next ExpansionCURRENT MARKET ANALYSIS – GOLD (XAUUSD, H1) 1. Market Structure Gold remains in a clear bullish structure on the H1 timeframe. Price is holding well above the key moving averages (EMA 34 & EMA 89), confirming that buyers still control the dominant trend. The recent price action shows sideways compression near the highs, not a reversal. This behavior typically appears before a volatility expansion, especially after a strong impulsive leg. 2. Key Price Zones Major Resistance: 4,525 – 4,530 Intermediate Support / Pivot: 4,490 – 4,495 Major Support: 4,425 – 4,430 Dynamic Support: EMA 34 & EMA 89 zone below price Price is currently rotating between the 4,49x support and the 4,52x resistance, forming a tight range. 3. Price Behavior & Order Flow Rejections from the resistance zone are corrective, not impulsive Each pullback holds above previous demand → higher-lows intact Liquidity is building both above the range highs and below the mid-range This is a classic accumulation / re-accumulation phase within an uptrend. 4. Probable Scenarios Primary Scenario (Trend Continuation): Price holds above 4,49x Range compression resolves upward Break and acceptance above 4,525 Expansion toward 4,55x+ Alternative Scenario (Liquidity Sweep): Short-term fake breakout or rejection Sweep toward 4,46x–4,47x Strong bullish reaction from demand Continuation higher afterward Only a clean break and acceptance below 4,425 would invalidate the bullish structure. 5. Trading Bias Main Trend: UP Intraday Focus: Buy pullbacks, avoid chasing highs Risk Note: Expect volatility expansion — manage position size carefully Conclusion Gold is not topping it is loading energy. The market is compressing near resistance, and the next breakout will define the next impulse leg. As long as price remains above key supports, the bias stays firmly bullish.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
The Breakout Is LoadingHELLO TRADERS ETH (Ethereum) – 4H | Key Points Market Structure: Clear range / accumulation between support and resistance. Resistance Zone: ~3,040 – 3,080 → supply still active, repeated rejections. Support Zone: ~2,780 – 2,820 → strong demand, buyers defending lows. Price Behavior: Sideways oscillation (high liquidity range), no breakout yet. Bias: Neutral → Slightly bullish while holding above support. Bullish Trigger: Clean 4H close above resistance → upside expansion. Bearish Risk: Breakdown below support → deeper retracement. Bottom line: ETH is consolidating. Patience > prediction — wait for a confirmed breakout from the range.
OANDA:ETHUSD
by RexTraderGOLD
2
ETH Is Trapped Between Liquidity WallsETHEREUM MARKET ANALYSIS (ETHUSD – H1) 1. Market Context Ethereum is currently trading inside a clear consolidation range after a previous corrective move. Price is oscillating between a well-defined support zone and a heavy resistance zone, showing classic liquidity accumulation behavior rather than trend continuation or breakdown. This type of structure often precedes a strong directional expansion, especially during low-liquidity holiday sessions. 2. Key Technical Zones Major Resistance Zone: 2,980 – 3,020 Key Support Zone: 2,880 – 2,920 Current Price Area: ~2,950–2,970 Dynamic Levels: EMA 34 & EMA 89 converging → compression Price has repeatedly failed to accept above resistance, but sellers are also unable to push below the support zone decisively. 3. Price Structure & Behavior Sideways structure with higher volatility swings inside the range Multiple liquidity sweeps on both sides No impulsive follow-through yet → confirms range environment EMAs flattening → market is waiting for a catalyst This is not a trend market at the moment — it is a pre-expansion phase. 4. Scenario Outlook Primary Scenario (Bullish Expansion): Price holds above 2,900–2,920 Strong breakout & acceptance above 3,020 Upside expansion toward 3,080 → 3,120+ Alternative Scenario (Final Liquidity Sweep): One more dip into 2,880–2,900 Absorption of sell orders Sharp reversal → breakout higher afterward Invalidation: Clean breakdown and acceptance below 2,880 would shift bias to a deeper correction. 5. Trading Bias Market State: Accumulation / Compression Best Strategy: Trade the range edges or wait for confirmed breakout Risk Note: Holiday sessions = sudden spikes → reduce position size Conclusion Ethereum is coiling tightly between support and resistance. This is a decision zone, not a random range. Once liquidity is fully absorbed, the next move is likely to be fast and directional. Patience here is a position. Wait for confirmation the breakout will not be subtle.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
ETH Is Trapped at Resistance — The Next Move Is Likely Down ETHUSD (1H) — Public Market Commentary Ethereum is currently retesting a well-defined resistance zone around the 2,980–3,000 area. Price has failed multiple times to hold above this zone, signaling that sellers remain in control at higher levels. Key Observations Repeated rejection at resistance shows clear supply absorption failure. The latest impulsive move up lacked follow-through and was quickly sold. Market structure remains range-bound, not trending. Probable Scenario From a structural perspective, a pullback toward the support zone (≈ 2,880–2,900) is the higher-probability path. This move would serve to rebalance liquidity before any sustainable upside attempt. A clean breakdown into support would not be bearish continuation yet — it would be normal corrective behavior inside a range. Invalidation Only a strong H1 close above the resistance zone, followed by acceptance, would shift momentum bullish. Macro Context Risk sentiment remains fragile: Strong USD and elevated US yields continue to pressure crypto. Absence of fresh ETF inflows or bullish macro catalysts limits upside expansion. Until macro liquidity improves, ETH rallies are likely to be sold at premium zones. Conclusion: This is not a breakout market. Until resistance is clearly reclaimed, expect downside probing before any meaningful upside continuation.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
DOW THEORY – THE FOUNDATION OF TREND READINGDOW THEORY – THE FOUNDATION OF TREND READING 1. The Market Moves in Trends – Not Randomly - Price does not move randomly. What looks like chaos is actually structured movement driven by collective behavior. A trend exists when the market consistently creates: + Higher Highs & Higher Lows → Uptrend + Lower Highs & Lower Lows → Downtrend As long as this structure remains intact, the trend remains valid regardless of news, opinions, or emotions. 2. Every Trend Has Three Levels of Movement - Understanding timeframe hierarchy is critical. Markets move in three simultaneous layers: + Primary Trend – the dominant direction (weeks to months) + Secondary Move – corrective phases against the main trend + Minor Swings short-term noise Most traders lose money because they trade against the primary trend, reacting to minor swings and mistaking them for reversals. 3. The Three Phases of a Trend A trend does not start or end suddenly. It evolves through three psychological phases: 1️⃣ Accumulation Phase Smart money quietly builds positions Price moves sideways, volatility is low Public interest is minimal 2️⃣ Participation Phase Trend becomes clear Breakouts occur Most trend-following profits are made here 3️⃣ Distribution Phase Late buyers enter emotionally Volatility increases Smart money exits Understanding these phases helps traders avoid buying tops and selling bottoms. 4. Structure Is the Only Valid Trend Confirmation A trend is not confirmed by indicators alone. A trend is confirmed when: + Price breaks structure in the trend direction + Pullbacks respect previous swing levels + Momentum continues after corrections If structure is not broken, there is no reversal only a correction. This is why predicting tops and bottoms is dangerous. 5. Volume Confirms Direction, Not Timing Volume does not tell you when to enter — it tells you whether the move is real. - Rising volume in the direction of the trend = confirmation - Weak volume during pullbacks = healthy correction - High volume against structure = warning sign Price leads. Volume confirms. 6. A Trend Continues Until Proven Otherwise This is the most ignored rule and the most important. A trend does NOT end because: - Price “already went too far” - Indicators are overbought/oversold - Social media says “top is in” A trend ends only when structure breaks and fails to recover. HOW TO APPLY THIS IN REAL TRADING Simple, repeatable framework: - Identify the dominant trend (HH/HL or LH/LL) - Wait for a correction not a reversal - Enter only after structure resumes in trend direction - Place stop-loss where structure becomes invalid - Hold until the market changes structure No prediction. No guessing. Just reading what price is already telling you. FINAL THOUGHT Most traders don’t lose because they lack indicators. They lose because they don’t understand trend behavior. When you stop predicting and start reading structure, the market becomes clear, calm, and repeatable.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Gold_Dominator
Gold Is PausingGOLD (XAUUSD) – 1H | Trend: Strong bullish structure intact. Price is consolidating above key breakout zone. Support: 4,48x–4,47x area + rising EMA → healthy pullback, buyers still in control. Resistance: Short-term cap near 4,52x–4,53x — compression below this level favors continuation. Price Behavior: Sideways after impulse = bullish absorption, not distribution. Scenario: Hold above support → push toward 4,53x → 4,58x+. Only lose structure if price breaks cleanly below 4,47x. Bias: Bullish continuation. Pullbacks are opportunities, not warnings.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
BTC Is Not Trending — It’s Loading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) Market Structure Clear range / consolidation phase Price oscillates between defined support and resistance No confirmed breakout → sideways market Key Levels Support zone: ~86,800 – 87,200 Resistance zone: ~90,000 – 91,000 Price Behavior Repeated reactions at both edges = liquidity absorption EMAs flatten → lack of directional momentum Macro Context Market waiting for new catalyst (Fed tone, USD move, ETF flows) No strong risk-on or risk-off trigger → chop continues Bias Range trading only Wait for clean breakout + volume before trend bias Avoid FOMO inside the box
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
BTC Is Not Weak Liquidity Is Being CollectedBTCUSD – 1H | Market Structure: Clear range-bound market inside a high-liquidity box. No trend breakdown yet. Current Price Action: Sharp pullback from range high → price now reacting at range support (~86.8K). Key Zones: Support: 86.8K – 87.0K (buyers defending). Resistance: 90.5K (range high / liquidity target). Scenario: Hold above support → rebound back into range → retest 90K–90.5K. Lose 86.5K → range failure → deeper correction toward 85.2K. Macro Context: USD strength is not accelerating, risk assets remain bid → supports range continuation rather than breakdown. ➡️ Bias: Range trade. Favor longs near support, patience until liquidity is taken at the top.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Gold_Dominator
XAUUSD: This Is a Breakout PreparationXAUUSD – 1H | Structure: Strong impulsive rally followed by bullish consolidation below previous high → classic continuation pattern. Key Zone: Former resistance ~4,350–4,380 flipped into strong support. Price keeps respecting this base. Momentum: Higher highs & higher lows intact → buyers still in control. No distribution signal yet. Next Objective: Clean continuation opens the path toward 4,700 (new ATH projection). Macro Drivers (Supporting the Move): Fed rate-cut expectations in 2025 keep real yields pressured. USD lacks strong upside momentum, reducing headwinds for gold. Ongoing geopolitical & fiscal uncertainty sustains safe-haven demand. ➡️ Bias: Bullish continuation. Pullbacks into support are buy-the-dip, not reversal signals
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Bitcoin Is Not Weak — It’s Reloading LiquidityBTC/USD – QUICK ANALYSIS (1H) Structure Price is rotating inside a high-liquidity range Recent sell-off did not break structure → liquidity grab Buyers defended the range low / intraday support Key Zones Support: ~87,000 – 86,800 Range Mid: ~88,300 Resistance: ~90,500 – 90,800 Price Behavior Sharp drop = stop-hunt, not trend reversal Current bounce shows absorption + acceptance back into range Outlook Base case: Range continuation → push back to range high Bullish trigger: Acceptance above 88.5k Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 86.8k Bias Neutral → Bullish within range Strategy: Trade the range, not the breakout
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
A Christmas Setup: Is the Breakout Gift Coming?ETH/USD – 1H | Key Points: Market State: Range consolidation after a sharp pullback. Support Zone: ~2,900–2,920 → buyers defending repeatedly. Resistance Zone: ~3,030–3,060 → strong supply overhead. Structure: Higher lows forming from support → recovery attempt. Bias: Neutral → bullish only if price reclaims 3,000+. Context (Macro / Holiday): Low Christmas liquidity → slow, choppy price action. Real momentum likely comes after a clean breakout. Plan: Buy reactions at support. Confirm longs only on break & hold above resistance.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Quiet Christmas range — volatility is being delayed, not cancelChristmas Liquidity Trap – BTC Is Loading the Next Move BTC/USD – 1H | Key Takeaways: Market State: High-liquidity range consolidation. Support Zone: ~86.7k–86.8k → buyers defending well. Resistance Zone: ~90.3k–90.5k → major supply cap. Structure: Higher lows forming inside the range → pressure building. Bias: Neutral → breakout-dependent. Holiday / Macro Context: Christmas = thin liquidity, slow flows. Smart money accumulates quietly inside ranges. Real expansion often comes after the holiday lull. Playbook: Range trade only until breakout. Bullish continuation only on clean break & hold above 90.5k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
Santa’s Pause: Markets Waiting for the Next BreakoutETH/USD – 1H | Structure Price is holding above the key support ~2,900–2,920. Current move is a sideways-to-up consolidation, not a breakdown. Momentum Price is compressing around 2,940–2,960 (EMA cluster). This is typical pre-expansion behavior after a sell-off. Scenario Base case: Hold support → grind higher → retest 2,980–3,000. Break & hold above 3,000 → continuation toward 3,080–3,120. Invalidation: Clean breakdown below 2,900. Macro Context No fresh bearish macro trigger. Risk sentiment stable → downside moves likely corrective. Bias Bullish above support. Trade the range, wait for breakout confirmation.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Christmas Range: BTC Is Waiting for the Real Move🎄 Christmas Market Update – BTC/USD (1H) Key Points : Market State: Range-bound / consolidation. Resistance: Upper zone holding strong → no breakout yet. Support: Lower zone still respected → buyers defending dips. Structure: Sideways with lower volatility typical for Christmas liquidity. Bias: Wait for a clean breakout. No FOMO inside the range. Macro / News Context: Christmas week = thin liquidity, reduced institutional activity. No major U.S. data → price driven mainly by technical levels, not fundamentals. Volatility likely after the holidays, not during. Execution Note: Trade the range only if experienced. Otherwise, stay patient and wait for post-Christmas expansion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Bitcoin Is Quietly Absorbing — The Real Move Comes After ThisBTC/USD – 1H | Market State: Clear range-bound consolidation between strong support and resistance. Support Zone: Price is testing the lower liquidity band (~86,400–86,700) — selling pressure is slowing → signs of absorption. Resistance Zone: Major supply sits around 89,800–90,500 — the level that defines the next directional break. Structure: Current dip is corrective, not a breakdown. Momentum compression favors a range expansion soon. Scenario: Hold above support → bounce toward 88,500 → 90,000. Clean break above resistance → trend continuation. Lose support → range remains, not a crash. Bias: Neutral → bullish only after confirmation. Patience here pays.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Raphael_TraderGOLD
Christmas Calm Before the Breakout – ETH Is Still WaitingKey Points : Structure: Range / consolidation between support and resistance. Bias: Neutral → waiting for expansion. Support Zone: Holding so far, buyers still defending. Resistance Zone: Major cap; breakout needed to confirm upside. Liquidity: Thin Christmas liquidity → false moves possible. Macro Context: Holiday period = low volume, reduced institutional flow. No strong macro catalyst → price driven mainly by technical levels. Trading Note: Avoid overtrading during Christmas. Best opportunity comes after the holidays, not during.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Matthew_TradeRFX
ETH Is Not Weak — This Is Smart Money Reloading Before the PUSHETH / USD – 1H 1. Market Structure (What Price Is Really Doing) ETH has returned precisely into the previous range support zone (~2,900–2,930). The sell-off did not break structure impulsively — instead, price formed compression + shallow lower wicks, signaling sell-side liquidity absorption. The recent down move is corrective, not a trend reversal: Lower highs are short-lived No strong bearish expansion Buyers step in immediately at range low ➡️ This is range re-accumulation, not distribution. 2. Key Levels Primary Support (High-Probability Demand): 2,900 – 2,930 Range High / Resistance: 3,050 – 3,080 Upside Liquidity Target: 3,100 – 3,150 As long as ETH holds above 2,900, bullish structure remains intact. 3. Price PatH Expected Flow: Minor dip or sweep below 2,920 (liquidity grab) Sharp reaction back into range Expansion toward range high Break above 3,080 → 3,100+ This is a classic “sell the fear, buy the base” setup inside a higher-timeframe range. 4. Macro & Crypto-Specific Tailwinds Macro Alignment USD momentum is weakening as markets price Fed easing in 2025. Risk assets remain supported → ETH benefits disproportionately vs BTC during rotations. Crypto-Specific ETH continues to gain from: ETF narrative speculation Reduced net issuance (post-merge supply dynamics) Capital rotation from BTC into ETH during consolidation phases ➡️ Macro does not support sustained downside here. 🧠 Final Takeaway ETH is not breaking down — it is reloading at the most logical level. Structure: Neutral → Bullish Location: Optimal (range low) Liquidity: Below price already taken Bias: Upside continuation toward 3,100+ Unless ETH accepts below 2,880, this remains a buy-the-dip environment, not a short-the-rally one.
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by Gold_Dominator
XAUUSD (H4) – Today’s Overview Bull trend holds after the ATH break, prefer buying the pullback into liquidity Strategy snapshot Gold is still holding a strong bullish structure after breaking a key all-time-high (ATH) resistance. At current elevated prices, I’m not chasing. The higher-probability plan for today is to wait for a pullback into sell-side liquidity and look for long continuation. On the upside, the 1.618 Fibonacci zone remains a realistic area for profit-taking / short-term reaction. 1) Technical view (from your chart) Key ATH resistance level broken: the previous ATH zone has flipped into a supportive reference level. After a vertical push, the market often prints a liquidity sweep / reset pullback before continuation. The chart highlights Sellside Liquidity around 4423.796 — that’s the main area I’m watching for a dip-buy setup. 2) Trading plan (trade the level) Scenario A (priority): BUY after a liquidity sweep ✅ Buy zone: 4423 – 4425 (sellside liquidity) SL (guide): below the zone (refine on lower timeframes) TP1: back towards 4485 TP2: 4572 – 4576 Logic: In a bull trend, a dip into sellside liquidity is a common “shakeout” before the next leg higher — especially when price is extended. Scenario B: SELL reaction at premium Fibonacci (short-term) ✅ Sell zone: 4572 – 4576 (1.618 Fibonacci) SL (guide): above the zone TP: back towards value / the 44xx pullback area Logic: Premium Fibonacci zones often attract profit-taking when price accelerates. 3) Trend target (if momentum continues) If the bull leg remains intact, the next upside reference on the chart is 4680. 4) Macro backdrop (why metals remain hot) Gold, silver, copper and platinum are all printing record highs — strong sector-wide flow into metals. US data is mixed, which keeps volatility elevated: US Q3 GDP up 4.3% (fastest in two years) — can support USD and create short-term headwinds for gold. ADP: private employers added an average 11,500 jobs per week over the four weeks to 6 December — labour still holding. Consumer confidence down for a fifth straight month — growth concerns keep safe-haven demand supported. Bottom line: Expect noise and sweeps — let price come to your levels. 5) Risk management (Liam rule) No FOMO at highs. Only act at the levels: 4423 for longs, 4572–4576 for reaction shorts. Risk per trade: max 1–2%. Which side are you leaning today: buying the 4423 pullback, or waiting for 4572–4576 to sell the reaction?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LA_Trader_Fx
8