Gold Price Set to Explode? Must-See Analysis Inside! [Update]Trade Update: XAUUSD Analysis
Date: July 17, 2024
In our previous post and video, we discussed how to approach XAUUSD given the current market conditions. Let's dive into the latest developments and analyze the chart for further insights.
Key Observations:
Break Above HTF Trendline:
We observed a significant break above the Higher Time Frame (HTF) trendline. This move indicates a strong bullish momentum, suggesting that buyers are in control.
After the breakout, the price pushed back into the structure, which is a common retracement behavior. This retracement offers a potential entry point for those looking to capitalize on the upward momentum.
Support Zone Tested on LTF:
The price action tested a support zone on the Lower Time Frame (LTF). This support zone held well, providing a solid foundation for the next leg up.
This test reinforces the strength of the support level and can be seen as a bullish signal.
Current Market Conditions:
Currently, XAUUSD is displaying a textbook play back into an area where we might see signs of either reversal or continuation.
Traders should watch for key signals at this level to determine the next move. A strong bullish reaction could indicate continuation, while a bearish signal might suggest a potential reversal.
Liquidity Zones and Reversal Points:
The chart highlights two significant liquidity zones (LQZ) and potential reversal points:
1HR LQZ/Reversal at 2429.940
4HR LQZ/Reversal at 2391.394
These zones are critical levels to monitor as they can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential turning points.
Conclusion:
As the price approaches these key levels, traders should remain vigilant for confirmation signals.
If the price respects the support zone and breaks higher, it could provide a good opportunity for a long position.
Conversely, if the price shows signs of weakness, it might be prudent to consider short positions or wait for further confirmation before making a move.
Stay Updated:
We will continue to monitor the price action closely and provide updates as the situation evolves.
Timeframe
Revealing My Top Gold Trading Secrets for Huge Profits!In this video, I reveal my top trading secrets for making huge profits in gold trading (XAU/USD). This educational content will cover key technical analysis techniques and strategies that I frequently use in my charts, as well as valuable insights into trading mindset and proper risk management. Let's unlock the potential of your trading skills together!
Technical Approach:
In this educational segment, we'll focus on the core technical analysis principles that I use to make informed trading decisions. Here's a detailed breakdown of my approach:
Identifying the Trend:
Uptrends and Downtrends: Learn how to recognize market trends using higher highs and higher lows for uptrends, and lower highs and lower lows for downtrends.
Trendlines: Use trendlines to connect the highs and lows of price movements, helping to identify the direction of the trend and potential reversal points.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find support as it falls, acting as a floor preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find resistance as it rises, acting as a ceiling preventing further ascent.
Historical Price Action: Use past price movements to pinpoint key support and resistance levels that the market respects.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
Definition: Liquidity zones are areas on the chart where there is a high concentration of trading activity, often leading to significant price movements.
Identification: Learn how to spot these zones using volume profiles, order flow analysis, and historical price action.
Trading Strategy: Use liquidity zones to identify potential entry and exit points, as they often precede major price moves.
Volume Analysis:
Volume Spikes: Understand how volume spikes can indicate strong buying or selling interest, confirming the validity of price movements.
Volume Trends: Analyze volume trends to gauge the strength of a price trend and anticipate potential reversals.
Entry and Stop Loss Strategies:
Breakouts and Pullbacks: Enter trades on confirmed breakouts above resistance or below support, or on pullbacks to key levels within a trend.
Trailing Stop Loss: Implement a trailing stop loss to lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor, adjusting the stop loss level as the price progresses.
Mini Lessons: Mindset:
Patience and Discipline:
Patience: Wait for the right trading setups that meet your criteria, avoiding impulsive decisions.
Discipline: Stick to your trading plan and rules, even when the market becomes volatile or unpredictable.
Emotional Control:
Stay Calm: Keep your emotions in check to avoid making irrational decisions based on fear or greed.
Mindfulness: Practice mindfulness techniques to remain focused and calm, especially during stressful trading situations.
Proper Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
Risk Per Trade: Limit the amount of capital you risk on any single trade, typically 1-2% of your trading account.
Position Size Calculation: Calculate your position size based on the distance to your stop loss and your risk tolerance.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1, meaning your potential profit should be at least twice your potential loss.
Trade Evaluation: Evaluate each trade based on its risk-reward ratio before entering, ensuring it aligns with your trading strategy.
By incorporating these technical strategies and mindset principles, you can enhance your trading performance and increase your chances of success in the gold market. Stay tuned for more educational content and trading insights!
FCPO : A CONFLUENCE OF MULTI FACTORS, WHEN AND WHEREMTF-Trend & SnR is based on two measurement instruments namely Multi-timeframe Average True Range (ATR) to analyze market trends while Multi-timeframe Pivot Low High to know supply and demand (support & resistance). Exactly, it answers the confluence of "when" and "where" as a factor for traders.
5 minutes chart
5 minutes combination with GCOV5 & TCD osc
get more clearly confirmation and SnR
Wave structure Multi timeframe analysis - CAD/JPY & GBP/USDCAD/JPY
The outlook of the CADJPY is very bearish, based on the Multi-timeframe waves structure count we should be expecting more downside in the pair. The bearish wave structure (4) on the H4 timeframe is not complete yet, we have seen a bearish 0, 1, 2, and 3 wave structures on the M15 timeframe. Having seen the 3 waves, we now have a more than 70% probability that the trend will complete the cycle which means we will see the momentum low 5.
GBP/USD
We have seen two trend-changing patterns in the GBP/USD. On Friday we have also seen a strong rejection from the high and this move down has created a potential 3rd structural failure, this means the current secondary trend is about to change to the downside.
Our short will be valid when the price trades below 1.2538; this will be a final confirmation of the trend change
#SARDAENProduct Portfolio
The Co. offers a wide range of products that include Wires Rods, HB Wires, Ferro Alloys, Pellets, Sponge Iron, and Billets.
Ongoing Capex Projects
Minerals: 1 Gare Palma IV/7 Coal Mine Chhattisgarh: Capacity enhanced from 1.2 MTPA to 1.44 MTPA in May-23, and increasing further to 1.68 MTPA in FY24 and seeking approvals for enhancement to 5.2 MTPA which will be carried out in phases. Also, setting up dedicated Railway Siding for more efficient coal transportation.
2 Coal Washery: Capacity expansion from 0.96 MTPA to 1.8 MTPA is under process.
3 Shahpur West Coal Mine : Extractable reserves of 13.4 MT and Production capacity of 0.6 MTPA – EC, CTE and Stage 1 Forest clearance received.
4 Surjagad 1 unexplored Iron Ore Block in Maharashtra: Declared as Preferred Bidder with 126.35% revenue share in May-23.
Energy
1 Hydro Power: 24.9 MW plant on the Rehar river in Chhattisgarh - construction has started; Expected to achieve CoD in FY25.
2 Solar Power: 50 MW plant to be installed at Chhattisgarh facility for captive consumption, replacing costly grid power; Contract awarded
Steel :
1 Wire Rod Mill: Received consent for capacity expansion from 180,000 MT to 250,000 MT, in FY23.
2 Iron Ore Pellet Plant: Received consent for capacity expansion from 8,00,000 tonnes p.a to 9,00,000 tonnes p.a., on 22-Dec-23.
Waste :
1 Setting up a new project for manufacturing Mineral Fibre with an estimated outlay of Rs. 70 Crores. The project is expected to be
operational by FY25.
Bullish or Bearish...? Multi Time Frame Analysis
Hey guys!
Over the past 2 weeks, we have seen the EURUSD pair go deep down. The beautiful part is that it played out well according to our analysis and prediction. So let's try again.
This time, we see this pair switch like a flipped coin from a long bearish to a steep bullish climb. Will this be the end of the bearishness, and are the Bulls to resume taking prices higher?
Or is this just one of those usual bullish pullbacks within a larger timeframe Bearish swing?
Watch this short Multi Time Frame Analysis to find out.
Please share your thoughts on this pair's price movement. Dont forget to Boost and to share with other traders
SOONI have been following the weekly time charts forever now and focusing on the halving schedule as a base line for pretty much every chart I watch. I haven't been publishing which is a shame because on socials I have been spot on for several months leading up to this bull-run. Feels good. Anyway, I personally think the parabolic moves start next week.
Yemi_Fx1 | Short Setup on AUDNZD OANDA:AUDNZD in daily timeframe has a validated double Top pattern, that's more clearer on the 4HTF. While on the 1HTF, price makes an impulsive move, after which it enters the consolidation phase, Anticipating for a test of the upper trendline on 1HTF then followed by a signal to go short.
DXY 103.176 - 0.06% SHORT IDEA HTF BIAS 🐻🐻🐻HELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great 🛑 New week new opportunities
A look at the DXY ahead of the new week 👌 MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
DXY DAILY
* We see the 78.6 % FIB level holding in the past week.
* Looking for signs of some bearish momentum for continuation with the bears.
* The DXY is currently trading in PREMIUM.
* Any signs of bearish momentum would Signal Bearish moves for the week that is.
* Bullish momentum changes the Bias for the week & possibly signals reversals
DXY 4H CHART
* We see rejections at the VI holding.
* DXY failed to take the high on Friday, signaling possible weakening of the bulls.
* Looking at the small FVG above to hold and reject.
* This would be one of the confirmations for some Bearish moves.
DXY 1H TIMEFRAME
* On the 1H we see that the 4H FVG does not align with premium.
* But we find a -OB just above this zone on the 1H
* Looking for rejections at this levels.
* For a bearish week.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
AUDUSD: Daily Long Signal - 24-01-18AUDUSD: Daily Long Signal - 24-01-18
Set-up: D AC.4
Entry Price: 0.65700
Take Profit: 0.66720 120 PIP gain
Stop Loss: 0.65100 60 PIP Stop Loss
Risk To Reward: 1 % For a 1.7 % Return
Could use a dynamic stop loss and take profit but that's my own personal strategy.
I Also could scale in with my trade plan as well.
Once All risk is off the table
xauusd|Suitable positions to enter sales transactionsHi guys, I hope you are doing great.
We don't have very important news today, so I think gold will continue its trend slowly.
The resistance zones drawn on the chart, the first one is the resistance zone in the 15m time frame and the second one is drawn in the 1h time frame, consider these two zones, after seeing the candlestick patterns and receiving confirmation, enter into sales transactions, stop The loss is placed above the area.
Targets can also be seen on the chart. I hope you use this analysis and be profitable.
US100 16868.6 +0.4% IDEA AHEAD OF THE CPIGOOD DAY TRADER
Hope everyone is great a look at the NASDAQ, S&P 500 & US30 ahead of HIGH IMPACT NEWS TODAY.
* Its been a bullish week for all the above mentioned indices alike as we see a rejection on the weekly time-frame.
AS WE SCALE LOWER TO THE DAILY TIME-FRAME
* We swept those historic highs and rejected back into the range.
NASDAQ DAILY
* The NASDAQ tested the 50% FIB as we see a rally up
* Continuation is possible just as a possibility of sweeping the high.
S&P 500 DAILY
Same as NASDAQ we see the same setup on the US500
DOW JONES DAILY
* THE DOW is highly bullish this bring some interest Ahead of CPI.
* Traded Above the hostoric highs and kept there range bound for a some weeks.
* It will be interesting to see a push higher here but anticipating some reversals.
* With some projections there is still room above we see -2 projection and -4 projection yet to be tested.
A JUMP TO THE HOURLY TIME FRAMES
NASDAQ 1H T/F
* Beautiful bullish trend
* On high alert for signs of momentum shift but we remain strongly Bullish.
* We do see a cisd but this alone is not enough. awaiting more confirmations.
* THE SAME WITH THE S&P 500
US 30 1H
* Some bearish momentum coming into play.
* premature to decide ahead of high impact news but it would be great to see some reversal before continuation with the trend.
* LIKE I MENTIONED AWAITING TO SEE SOME SORT OF REVERSALS ON THE INDICES BUT IF CONTINUE BULLISH WE RIDE THE TREND
*** TRADING HIGH IMPACT NEWS IS HIGHLY RISK AS THE VOLITILITY IS CRAZY THIS IS NOT ADVISE TO EXCECUTE DURING THIS HIGH IMPACT NEWS***
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Gold price recovers further from multi-week low, upside potentiaTechnical Analysis: Gold price might struggle to capitalize on the modest intraday positive move
From a technical perspective, any subsequent move up is likely to confront some resistance near the $2,040 horizontal zone, above which the Gold price could aim to retest Friday's swing high, around the $2,063-2,064 region. The next relevant hurdle is pegged near the $2,077 area, which if cleared decisively will negate any near-term negative outlook and allow bulls to reclaim the $2,100 round figure.
On the flip side, the overnight swing low, around the $2,017-2016 region, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), currently near the $2,012-2,011 area. This is followed by the $2,000 psychological mark, below which the Gold price could accelerate the slide towards the $1,988-1,986 intermediate support en route to the December low, around the $1,973 area and the $1,962 confluence, comprising the 100- and the 200-day SMAs
•Gold price attracts some buyers on Tuesday and draws support from a weaker US Dollar.
•A fall in consumer inflation expectations boosts Fed rate-cut bets and undermines the buck.
•Elevated US bond yields and a positive risk tone cap gains ahead of the US CPI on Thursday.
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains some positive traction during the Asian session on Tuesday and moves away from a near three-week low, around the $2,017-2,016 region touched the previous day. A fall in US Consumer Inflation Expectations boosts market bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may start cutting interest rates as early as March. This keeps the US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive for the second successive day and turns out to be a key factor benefitting the non-yielding yellow metal.
Investors, however, have been scaling back their expectations for a more aggressive Fed policy easing in the wake of hopes for a soft landing for the US economy, bolstered by a still-resilient labor market. Adding to this, the recent hawkish remarks by several Fed officials have raised uncertainty about the possibility of early interest rate cuts, which remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields. This should help limit losses for the USD and cap any further gains for the Gold price.
Apart from this, a positive trading sentiment around the Asian equity markets might further contribute to keeping a lid on the safe-haven XAU/USD. Traders might also refrain from placing aggressive bets and prefer to wait for the release of the latest US consumer inflation figures on Thursday for cues about the Fed's future policy decision. This, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the USD price dynamics and provide a fresh directional impetus to the Gold price.
Daily Digest Market Movers: Gold price benefits from Fed easing bets, modest USD weakness
•The New York Federal Reserve said in a report on Monday that US consumers' projection of inflation over the short run fell to the lowest level in nearly three years in December, which undermines the US Dollar and benefits the Gold price.
•Inflation one year from now is expected to be at 3%, marking the lowest reading since January 2021, while inflation three years from now is seen at 2.6% and price pressures five years ahead were at 2.5% versus 2.7% in November.
•The data reaffirms expectations for an imminent shift in the Federal Reserve's policy stance, though investors continue scaling back their expectations for more aggressive policy easing in the wake of a still-resilient US economy.
•Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic noted that inflation has declined more than expected and that the US central bank still needs to give tight policy time to work on cooling off inflation. Bostic sees two 25 bps cuts by year-end 2024.
•Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said that the current policy stance appears sufficiently restrictive and that inflation could fall further with the policy rate held steady for some time, though the upside inflation risks remain.
•This raises uncertainty over the possibility of early interest rate cuts by the Fed, which assist the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond to hold steady above the 4.0% threshold and might cap the non-yielding yellow metal.
•The market focus, meanwhile, remains glued to the US consumer inflation figures on Thursday, which should help determine the next leg of a directional move for the XAU/USD.
DXY 102.590 + 0.15% SHIRT IDEA HTF PROJECTIONSGOOD DAY TRADERS
NEW WEEK NEW OPPORTUNITIES
Hope everyone is good a Look at the DXY for the coming week
WEEKLY TIME-FRAME
* We saw the DXY fill some imbalances (-FVG) AND REJECTING ON THE WEEKLY
* In Anticipation of the trend-continuation looking for a retest of this zone.
* A rejection would signal continuation of the trend.
DAILY TIME-FRAME
* Similarly to the WEEKLY we Reject from that PD ARRAY and close below.
* Looking for a sweep of BSL to see continuation with the bears.
* CISD + BEARISH MOMENTUM close candle would be great confirmation as the week goes.
* VIOLATION of the PD ARRAY changes the whole plan & bias.
1H TIME-FRAME
* Today looking to see clear of BSL, or just trade above the 50% of the impulse move.
* A tap into the HIGHER TF PD ARRAYS
* REJECTION at this points to be looking for shorts as the week goes.
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
EURUSD|Same direction with market trends and sales positionsAccording to the general structure, we realize that the sales pressure is still higher than the purchase transactions, so we mostly try to go along with the market trend with the sales transactions.
Returning from the support area, we wait to reach the specified resistance areas, which are valid price areas of 1.09629 and 1.10247. By seeing the appropriate confirmation, including stick candles, pin bars, and hammers, we can enter into sales transactions in these areas.
The support areas in my opinion are the prices of 1.08520 and 1.07800 for the target of sales transactions and seeing the price return from these areas, we can have short-term reactions from these areas.
resistance level= 1.09629 and 1.10247
support level=1.08520 and 1.07800
the science behind timeframes + correct timeframe sequencingtimeframes are the unit of time in which trading activity/session takes place.
timeframes are an essential tool to traders/investors because there is a direct association between the right trading style and timeframe of choice for each individual trader depending on what works or does not for them.
timeframes are often structured in forms of minutes, hours, days, weeks and months and in some cases seconds.
there are 4 main trading style : scalping, day trading, swing/position trading, this might not be the topic of discussion but like i earlier mentioned there is a mutual correlation between trading style and timeframe.
1.SCALPERS(scalping ) - these type of traders capitalize of small market movements by buying/selling in large volumes, holding those positions for a short period on time. the ideal timeframes for scalpers is 1minute to 15minutes.
2.INTRA DAY - these traders have a short-term approach to the market, buying/selling financial assets not more than 24hours/within a full trading day. their ideal timeframes are 4 hours down to 15 minutes timeframes.
3.SWING/POSITION - these traders capitalize on long-term price movements and macro trends holding positions from a couple days to a few months. their ideal timeframe range from 4hours to monthly timeframe
it also important to note that the timeframe a traders depends on how efficiently they work and other factors like, patience levels, discipline, risk management strategy and lifestyle.
MULTIPLE TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS
most traders use this science behind timeframes also called "top-down analysis" to gain a broad understanding when studying price charts.
this involves using several different time periods at the same time to form a bias when analyzing charts. similar to taking a big complex task and cutting it into smaller simpler activities still without losing sight of the bigger task.
large timeframe(complex) -> small timeframe(simple) = trade bias.
to use multiple timeframe analysis you need 3 different timeframes with the next timeframe being 4/3 times smaller than the one before it.
the first timeframe is the trend timeframe is used to identify the long term trend, the second timeframe is used to identify significant price levels, identify market structure, chart patterns and the last timeframe is the entry timeframe
scalping sequence = 15MINUTE -> 5MINUTE -> 1MINUTE
intraday sequence = 4HRS -> 1HRS -> 15MINUTE
swing/position sequence = 4HRS -> DAILY -> WEEKLY + MONTHLY.
i hope this information helps/improves your trading in a positive way.
put together by Pako Phutietsile ( @currencynerd )






















