Cybersecurity Risks in the Global Trading SystemThreats, Vulnerabilities, and Strategic Defenses
In today’s highly interconnected world, the global trading system relies heavily on digital infrastructure. From stock exchanges and commodity markets to forex platforms and cross-border payment systems, technology is the backbone of modern trade. While digitization has improved speed, efficiency, and accessibility, it has also exposed global markets to significant cybersecurity risks. Cyber threats now pose one of the most critical non-financial risks to the stability, trust, and integrity of global trading systems.
Understanding the Global Trading System’s Digital Dependency
The global trading system includes stock exchanges, clearing corporations, depositories, brokerage firms, banks, commodity exchanges, logistics networks, and regulatory systems. These entities are interconnected through real-time data feeds, cloud services, APIs, and payment networks such as SWIFT. Even a minor cyber incident in one node can trigger a cascading effect across global markets.
High-frequency trading (HFT), algorithmic trading, and automated settlement systems depend on uninterrupted data flow and low latency. This dependency makes the system extremely sensitive to cyber disruptions, where milliseconds of delay or data manipulation can result in massive financial losses.
Major Cybersecurity Risks in Global Trading Systems
1. Data Breaches and Information Theft
One of the most common cybersecurity risks is data breaches. Trading platforms store sensitive information such as client identities, bank details, trade positions, proprietary algorithms, and market strategies. A successful breach can lead to insider trading, front-running, identity theft, and financial fraud.
State-sponsored hackers and cybercriminal groups often target financial institutions to steal market-sensitive data, which can be exploited for unfair trading advantages or sold on the dark web.
2. Market Manipulation Through Cyber Attacks
Cyber attackers can manipulate markets by altering data feeds, hacking trading algorithms, or spreading false information. For example, compromising a price feed can trigger automated buy or sell orders, leading to artificial volatility or flash crashes.
In algorithm-driven markets, even small distortions in data can cause massive ripple effects. Attackers may exploit vulnerabilities to manipulate liquidity, inflate volumes, or disrupt price discovery mechanisms.
3. Distributed Denial of Service (DDoS) Attacks
DDoS attacks flood trading platforms or exchanges with traffic, making systems unavailable to legitimate users. During critical market hours, such attacks can halt trading, delay order execution, or prevent access to risk management systems.
DDoS attacks are often used strategically during geopolitical tensions, economic announcements, or high-volatility events to destabilize markets or undermine confidence in financial institutions.
4. Ransomware Attacks on Financial Infrastructure
Ransomware attacks have become increasingly sophisticated. Hackers encrypt critical trading and settlement systems and demand ransom payments to restore access. If clearing and settlement systems are compromised, it can delay trade confirmations, margin calculations, and fund transfers.
Such attacks not only cause financial losses but also damage reputations and erode investor trust in the reliability of global trading systems.
Systemic Risk and Cascading Failures
Cybersecurity risks in global trading systems are not isolated threats—they represent systemic risk. A successful cyberattack on a major exchange, clearing house, or payment network can disrupt multiple markets simultaneously.
For example:
A compromised clearing corporation can delay settlements across thousands of trades.
A hacked forex trading platform can affect currency stability.
A cyberattack on a major bank can freeze liquidity across regions.
These cascading failures can amplify market panic, trigger margin calls, and even lead to broader financial instability.
Geopolitical and State-Sponsored Cyber Threats
Cybersecurity has become a tool of geopolitical conflict. Nation-states increasingly use cyber warfare to target financial infrastructure of rival economies. Global trading systems are prime targets because disrupting financial markets can weaken economic stability without direct military confrontation.
State-sponsored cyberattacks may aim to:
Undermine confidence in a country’s financial markets
Steal economic intelligence
Disrupt trade during sanctions or conflicts
Manipulate commodity or currency markets
This elevates cybersecurity from an IT issue to a matter of national and global economic security.
Third-Party and Supply Chain Vulnerabilities
Global trading systems rely on third-party vendors for cloud services, data analytics, trading software, and connectivity. A vulnerability in any third-party provider can expose multiple institutions simultaneously.
Supply chain attacks—where hackers infiltrate a trusted vendor to access clients—are particularly dangerous. Since vendors often have privileged system access, attackers can bypass traditional security controls and remain undetected for long periods.
Human Error and Insider Threats
Despite advanced security technologies, human error remains a major risk factor. Weak passwords, phishing emails, poor access controls, and lack of cybersecurity awareness can open doors to attackers.
Insider threats—whether malicious or accidental—are equally dangerous. Disgruntled employees or compromised insiders can leak sensitive data, sabotage systems, or provide access credentials to attackers.
Regulatory and Compliance Challenges
Global trading systems operate across multiple jurisdictions, each with different cybersecurity regulations and standards. Inconsistent regulatory frameworks create gaps that attackers can exploit.
Additionally, rapid technological innovation often outpaces regulation. New trading technologies such as decentralized finance (DeFi), blockchain-based trading, and AI-driven systems introduce fresh cybersecurity risks that regulators may not fully address yet.
Impact on Market Confidence and Trust
Trust is the foundation of global trading. Cyber incidents erode investor confidence, reduce participation, and increase risk premiums. Repeated cybersecurity failures can push investors away from affected markets and lead to long-term reputational damage for exchanges and financial institutions.
In extreme cases, loss of trust can cause liquidity shortages, capital flight, and prolonged market instability.
Strengthening Cybersecurity in Global Trading Systems
To mitigate cybersecurity risks, a multi-layered and proactive approach is essential:
Advanced Threat Detection: Use AI and machine learning to identify abnormal trading behavior and cyber intrusions in real time.
Zero-Trust Architecture: Assume no system or user is automatically trusted; verify every access request.
Regular Stress Testing: Conduct cyber stress tests and simulations to assess resilience against large-scale attacks.
Encryption and Data Protection: Secure data at rest and in transit using strong cryptographic standards.
Employee Training: Build cybersecurity awareness to reduce phishing and social engineering risks.
Global Coordination: Regulators, exchanges, and financial institutions must share threat intelligence and coordinate responses to cyber incidents.
Conclusion
Cybersecurity risks in the global trading system represent one of the most significant challenges to modern financial markets. As trading becomes faster, more automated, and more interconnected, the potential impact of cyber threats grows exponentially. These risks go beyond financial losses, threatening market integrity, systemic stability, and global economic trust.
Addressing cybersecurity is no longer optional—it is a strategic imperative. Only through continuous investment in technology, strong governance, international cooperation, and a culture of cyber resilience can the global trading system remain secure, stable, and trustworthy in an increasingly digital world.
Tradinggold
XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373XAUUSD H1 – POC 4295 & Fibonacci Sell 4373
Strategy Summary
Today, I am not chasing price. The XAUUSD trading plan revolves around two of the cleanest zones on the chart:
POC (Volume Profile) around 4295 to look for BUYs in line with the main money flow.
Fibonacci level at 4373 to look for SELLs when price reaches the premium zone.
Key Levels
BUY zone (POC – Volume Profile): 4295 (major liquidity area)
SELL zone (Fibonacci reaction): 4373
Deeper buffer if POC breaks: 4238 – 4241
Invalidation level: 4191
Scenario 1 – Primary Plan: BUY at the Liquidity Zone (POC)
✅ Buy limit around 4295 (preferably wait for H1 candle confirmation)
SL: 4287 (below the POC zone to avoid noise)
TP1: 4330 – 4338
TP2: 4370 – 4373 (approaching the Fibonacci sell zone)
Logic:
The POC represents the “fair value” or balance point of the Volume Profile. Price is often drawn back to this level to collect liquidity before committing to the next directional move.
Scenario 2 – SELL on Reaction at Fibonacci (Premium Zone)
✅ Sell around 4373 (wait for a reaction or loss of momentum; do not chase the trade)
SL: 4382
TP1: 4338 – 4330
TP2: 4295 (return to the POC)
Logic:
The Fibonacci premium zone is commonly where profit-taking pressure emerges. If price spikes into 4373 but fails to hold, it often provides a textbook reaction sell setup.
Alternative Scenario – If the POC Is Broken
If price breaks below 4295 and clearly closes an H1 candle beneath this level, I will not force buy positions. Priority then shifts to waiting for price to react at:
4238 – 4241, or
deeper towards the lower balance / POC zone.
Always keep in mind that 4191 is the invalidation level.
News Context (to Avoid Being Stopped Out)
Trump has expressed concerns that economic impacts have “not fully filtered through yet”, increasing political risk and market sensitivity.
Comments from Williams (FOMC, New York Fed) on the economic outlook may trigger short-term volatility in USD and yields, leading to sharp moves in gold.
Tip: Avoid late entries during news-driven spikes. Only execute trades when price reaches the predefined zones.
Risk Management
Maximum risk per trade: 1–2%
Do not trade in the middle of the range. Trade only at key levels.
If you are also monitoring 4295 and 4373, share your view:
👉 Are you leaning towards a BUY on pullback or a SELL on reaction today?
XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at ...XAUUSD – Early Week Buying Continues, Watch for Closing at Fibo Extension Zone
Gold enters the week in a very special context:
+6.0% in November, marking the fourth consecutive month of increase.
This streak follows a +3.7% in October and +11.9% in September.
Since the beginning of the year, gold has increased by about 60.7%, on track to become the strongest year in nearly half a century.
With a market making such history, I am not looking for a peak. I continue to prioritize buying with the trend, only selling briefly when the price hits the high Fibo extension zone.
🎯 Scenario 1 – BUY THE DIP FOLLOWING THE UPWARD TREND
Buy: 4,194 – 4,195
SL: 4,185
TP: 4,210 – 4,235 – 4,270 – 4,295
The 4,194–4,195 zone on H1 is the VAL/volume distribution bottom area after a steep increase, coinciding with the short-term support zone in the current structure. If the price neatly adjusts back here and shows a good reaction candle, I prioritize accumulating more BUY positions following the trend.
Profit targets are:
4,210 – 4,235: near resistance zone, also around the 1.618 Fibo of the increase.
4,270 – 4,295: 2.618 Fibonacci extension zone – where profit-taking pressure and short-term reversal potential may appear stronger.
🔁 Scenario 2 – SELL SHORT-TERM AT 2.618 EXTENSION ZONE
Sell: 4,285 – 4,287
SL: 4,295
TP: 4,262 – 4,240 – 4,210
This is a scenario against the main trend, only for small volume short-term orders.
If the price is pushed to the 4,285–4,287 zone (near the 2.618 Fibo peak) but cannot maintain the upward momentum, leaving a long upper shadow or a clear reversal candle pattern, I will consider SELLing back to the 4.26x–4.24x zone and deeper to 4,210.
1. Technical Perspective from the Chart
The trend on H1/H4 is still clearly upward, with a series of higher lows, and the price clinging along the upward channel.
The most recent increase has extended above the 1.618 Fibo mark, currently heading towards the 2.618 zone around 4.28x–4.29x.
Below, the VAL around 4.19x is the first support; deeper is the sell-side liquidity zone around 4.16x – where many buyer stops are concentrated, only suitable for a deeper intraday adjustment scenario.
With this structure, any pullback to the immediate support zone I see as an opportunity to join the upward wave, not a reversal signal.
2. Market Sentiment & Action Plan
After a strong multi-month increase, the market is in a "chasing gold" state – FOMO is quite evident. This is why I no longer buy near the resistance zone, but wait for the price to return to the market-accepted zone (VAL/POC) for a good R:R entry point.
The SELL scenario is only a backup plan when the price is pushed to the high Fibo extension zone and fails, triggering massive profit-taking from previous buy positions.
My plan:
Prioritize BUY 4,194–4,195, SL 4,185, TP 4,210–4,235–4,270–4,295.
Only SELL short at 4,285–4,287 if there is a clear reversal signal, SL 4,295, TP 4,262–4,240–4,210.
In each scenario, the risk is limited to 1–2% of the account, no widening of SL, and ready to stay out if the price breaks the established structure.
XAUUSD – TUESDAY PRIORITIZE BUYING ON BREAKOUT, WATCH FOR ...💛 XAUUSD – TUESDAY PRIORITIZE BUYING ON BREAKOUT, WATCH FOR REACTION AT FIBO 1.618–2.618 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone, Lana here 💬
After several days of being compressed in a triangle pattern, gold has broken the downtrend line on H1, reclaimed liquidity around the FVG area, and continues to hold above the breakout zone. This indicates that the money flow is prioritizing a short-term upward scenario, targeting the upper Fibonacci extension areas.
Today the market awaits a series of important data: CPI, PPI, sales figures… – these numbers can cause strong volatility, especially when gold is in an "overcrowded trade" state. If US consumer data is positive, the price may experience a deep correction after sweeping liquidity.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT perspective)
On H1, the price has: Broken the downtrend line of the accumulation triangle.
Retested the FVG area + liquidity repurchase around 4.101–4.105 and bounced back.
The 4.133–4.135 area is now a resistance that has been breached and is turning into support – suitable for a buy on dip strategy.
Technical target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 of the current upward move is around 4.16xx,
Fibonacci Extension 2.618 + large liquidity zone is above the 4.23xx–4.24xx area, coinciding with the old peak – where a strong reaction from sellers is likely to occur.
Overall, as long as the price remains above the 4.10–4.11 area, the short-term upward structure is maintained.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario – prioritize following the trend
Buy on breakout – current price area
Entry: 4.130–4.133
SL: 4.125
TP: 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198 → 4.230
Buy when price retests deeper
Entry: 4.100–4.103
SL: 4.095 (you may consider a tighter SL instead of 3.995 to optimize R:R)
TP: 4.125 → 4.150 → 4.175 → 4.198
💢 SELL Scenario – only a short-term reaction at resistance
Sell: 4.167–4.169
SL: 4.175
TP: 4.150 → 4.133 → 4.110 → 3.990
This Sell order is only for scalping against the trend, prioritize quick profit-taking when reaching nearby TP areas.
⚠️ Important Notes
Today there are CPI, PPI, sales figures, and other US data – spreads may widen, prices can swing both ways.
Gold is a crowded trade, so after hot upward moves, a deep sell-off is likely to shake off weak positions.
Reasonable strategy: Prioritize buying with the trend at identified support areas.
Reduce volume before news time, do not hold through the release of important data.
Sell should only be considered as a short, quick trade.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction – with LanaM2
In summary, the breakout from the triangle on H1 supports the scenario of gold continuing to rise towards the Fibo 1.618–2.618 area, as long as the price stays above the 4.10–4.11 area 💛
Today, focus on finding a good buying point instead of chasing the price, and be especially cautious when CPI, PPI data is released.
If you find this useful, please 💛 Like – 💬 Comment – 🔔 Follow LanaM2 to update the gold perspective with me every day on TradingView ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday Scenario LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Monday Scenario
Wait for gold to retest the upper trendline before choosing a direction
Quick Overview
On the H1 chart, gold is still oscillating within a triangle pattern with a descending upper trendline and a gradually rising lower trendline. In my opinion, the price still needs an upward move to retest the upper trendline – coinciding with the FVG + POC Volume Profile area – before deciding to create a new trend (either breaking upwards or continuing to decline).
Regarding the USD, many Fed officials have started signaling a potential rate cut, but remain very cautious. UBS and Barclays both lean towards the scenario of the Fed cutting rates in December if upcoming data continues to be weak. This makes it difficult for the USD to break out too strongly, creating room for gold to technically rebound to resistance areas.
Technical Analysis H1
Current structure: price is moving sideways accumulating, with lower highs following the descending trendline, and lows supported by the lower trendline.
Area 4079–4081:
FVG + POC Volume Profile.
Coinciding with the upper trendline → a very strong resistance convergence area, suitable for a sell scenario based on reaction.
Nearest support area: around 4040–4035; if this area breaks, the likelihood of the price returning to test 4010–4000 is quite high.
A clear bullish reversal signal is only evident if the Dow structure increases again, at least when the price breaks above and holds above 4061 and then surpasses the descending trendline.
Reference Trading Scenario
Sell at FVG + POC + trendline (priority)
Entry: 4079–4081
SL: 4086
TP: 4060 → 4045 → 4010
Logic: The price is expected to be pushed up to fill the FVG and touch the POC/trendline before sellers return. This area converges many technical factors, so the win rate is better compared to selling in the middle of the sideways range.
Buy when the bullish structure is confirmed
Condition: price breaks above 4061 and closes the H1 candle holding above this area, while also escaping the descending trendline.
Reference Entry: 4061–4068 (retest the breakout area)
SL: 4050
TP: 4095 → 4130 → 4150
At that point, the triangle pattern is broken upwards, the Dow increase returns, prioritizing buying according to the new trend instead of trying to sell the top.
Trading Notes
Areas for short scalping: 4060, 4040, 4010, 4130 – always wait for clear candle reactions on M5–M15 before entering orders.
Each order should only risk 0.5–1% of the account; when the order reaches about 1R, move SL to breakeven to protect capital.
If you have a different scenario for XAUUSD H1 today, leave a comment and follow the LiamTrading channel to update the daily gold plan on TradingView.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold holds 0.618, prioritize ...💛 LiamTrading – XAUUSD H1 | Gold holds 0.618, prioritize bullish scenario for Wednesday 🎯
Gold continues to recover after the previous decline and is currently right at the 0.618 Fibonacci level on H1 – indicating that buyers still hold the advantage. The price is also clinging to the upward trendline and the thick Volume Profile area around 407x, so today I continue to prioritize the BUY scenario following the trend.
📰 Macro – news context
After the US government reopened, the market is preparing to receive a series of economic data today and tomorrow → USD and gold can both fluctuate strongly according to the news.
President Trump attacked Fed Chairman Powell, calling him "stupid and incompetent," expressing that he wanted to fire him immediately but was prevented by advisors.
👉 Therefore, market sentiment is quite sensitive: just a tilt towards a rate cut scenario in the data could further support gold.
📊 Technical – H1 with Fibonacci, Trendline & Volume Profile
Fibonacci 0.618: The price is at the 0.618 level of the most recent decline; if it holds above this level, the natural target will be the FVG area + resistance above 4120–4150.
Upward trendline H1: The trendline from the most recent bottom is supporting the price very well; each touch back to the trendline results in a rebound → this will be an ideal area to wait for a BUY.
Volume Profile & Liquidity:
Cluster 4075–4080 is the Buy Liquidity area – thick volume, many orders exchanged → very suitable as an entry point if the price retests.
VAL ~4040 and the Support + FVG area around 4020 are the next defense lines if the market is swept deeply.
Upside liquidity: The past FVG on H1 is still open to at least 4150, so if the bullish scenario succeeds, gold can fully extend to this area.
🎯 Reference trading scenario (LiamTrading)
1️⃣ BUY following the trend – main priority
Entry: 4078–4080 (retest trendline + strong volume cluster)
SL: 4073
TP: 4094 → 4120 → 4140 → 4175
💡 Note:
Wait for M5–M15 to have a nice reaction candle (long lower tail, pin bar, or bullish engulfing) around 4078–4080 before entering the order.
When the price moves ~1R, move SL to breakeven to protect the account.
2️⃣ Price area for short scalping
Support – quick buy: 4048 – 4023 (VAL + lower FVG area).
Resistance – quick sell: 4121 – 4151 (FVG + upper liquidity area).
This is just a scalping area, so:
Enter orders on small frames (M5–M15).
Close quickly, do not hold orders through strong news.
✅ Summary
Short-term trend: leaning towards bullish, as the price holds above the H1 trendline and the 0.618 area.
Main plan: wait for BUY 4078–4080, target direction 4120 → 4140 → 4175.
Do you think gold will go straight to 4150 today or will it be swept back to 404x first?
👉 Comment your perspective & Follow LiamTrading channel to receive daily XAUUSD plans on TradingView.
LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to...LiamTrading –XAUUSD H1|Gold approaches trendline – ready to explode, waiting for a breakout to choose direction!
Gold is moving close to the lower trendline of the ascending channel, indicating an accumulation state – waiting to choose direction. The price has not broken the 4210 resistance zone, but neither has it breached the trendline, so today's fluctuation will revolve around this structure.
If the buying force is strong enough and closes the H1 candle above 4210, the upward trend will be reactivated with a broader target. Conversely, if the price breaks below the trendline, gold may fall to the POC area according to Volume Profile/Fibonacci around 4126–4130, where it will prioritize finding buy signals according to the main trend.
🔍 Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
H1 Ascending Channel: Price is testing the trendline for the second time → a pullback bounce is likely if the selling force is weak.
Strong Resistance:
4210: hard resistance – needs to break to confirm an increase.
4230: extended area, coinciding with the channel peak – likely to have strong reactions.
Important Support:
4174: intermediate support; breaking this level will trigger a short-term decline.
4126–4130: POC + large liquidity according to Volume Profile – the best buying area if a deep correction occurs.
Market Signal: Weak candles in the 4180–4190 area indicate gold is waiting for USD information before making a move.
📈 Daily Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy according to trend (priority)
Entry: 4126–4128 (POC + Volume Profile support)
SL: 4120
TP: 4140 → 4156 → 4180 → 4198
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle or reversal pattern at 412x.
Scenario 2 – Sell when breaking trendline (counter-trend)
Condition: H1 breaks below trendline + retest fails
Entry: 4174–4176
SL: 4182
TP: 4150 → 4135 → 4110
Note: Only sell when there is a confirmation candle; this is a short-term scalping order.
Scenario 3 – Buy when breaking and holding above 4210 (Break & Retest)
Entry: 4212–4216
SL: 4202
TP: 4230 → 4260 → 4285
🌍 Macro Analysis – USD under pressure from new tariff plans
President Trump is preparing to cut tariffs on goods from many Latin American countries (beef, bananas, coffee...).
Objective: reduce domestic food prices, lower import costs.
This could weaken the USD when officially announced → gold benefits in the medium term.
⚠️ Invalid Conditions
H1 closes below 4120 → loses upward structure, may slide to 4090–4100.
H1 closes above 4230 → cancel all sell orders, prioritize buying on breakout.
Which price area are you observing?
Please comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel to receive the earliest analysis every day!
LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD M45 | Fibonacci Perspective on the Uptrend: watch for a sell at 2.618 @ 4229–4231, wait to buy at FVG 4174–4172
Quick Context: News about the U.S. government reopening eases tensions, but gold prices in the Asian session this morning only rose slightly before moving sideways – accumulating. On M45, the triangle has broken upwards but the buying momentum hasn't truly exploded; the market might retest the Fair Value Gaps (FVG) before choosing the next direction.
Technical Analysis
Trendline & M45 Structure: The uptrend after the breakout is running along a short-term rising trendline; the old triangle top becomes resistance near 4215.
Fibonacci Extension:
2.272 ≈ 4215: pivot point; staying above this level opens the path to higher levels.
2.618 ≈ 4229–4231: extended resistance – an area prone to rejection/short-term reversal.
FVG & Liquidity Zones:
FVG #1: 4195–4198 – likely to fill before continuing upward.
Liquidity: 4184–4188 – volume attraction zone between FVG and trendline.
Fibo 0.618 + FVG: 4172–4174 – strong confluence for a buy-back scenario following the trend.
Invalidation Level: breaking 4166 weakens the M45 uptrend structure, risking a pullback to lower zones.
Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Trend-following Buy (priority)
Entry: 4172–4174 (Fibo 0.618 + FVG)
SL: 4166
TP: 4190 → 4215 → 4240 → 4280
Note: Prioritize if a clear rejection/long lower wick candle appears at 417x.
Scenario 2 – Counter-trend Sell Scalp at Extended Resistance
Entry: 4229–4231 (Fibo 2.618)
SL: 4236 (above the nearest peak)
TP: 4215 → 4196 → 4186 → 4175
Note: Quick trade; abandon if M45 closes strongly above 4231–4233.
Scenario 3 – Buy on Break & Hold of 4215
Condition: M45 closes above 4215, retest holds 4212–4216
Entry: 4216–4218
SL: 4207
TP: 4229–4231 → 4260 → 4285–4300
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading for the latest updates.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold ...LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | USD strengthens again, gold consolidates in an upward channel; waiting for a correction to 4090/4041 – breaking 4145 confirms further rise
Quick Context: USD recovery causes gold to move sideways during the Asian session. Prices are moving within an upward channel, touching the upper trendline and reacting around 4100, without forming a lower low. To confirm the continuation of the upward momentum, 4145 needs to be broken; otherwise, prioritize the technical correction scenario to liquidity zones.
Technical Analysis (Volume Profile • Trendline • S/R • Fibonacci)
Channel & Trendline: Channel top coincides with 4135–4145 → likely to see profit-taking pressure. Maintaining the lower edge of the channel ~4085–4090 keeps the upward structure valid.
Liquidity & FVG:
Liquidity 4090: price pull/volume attraction zone before choosing a direction.
Fibonacci Retracement + old resistance ~4041–4043: strong confluence for a bounce if a deep correction occurs.
Main Resistance: 4130–4135 (retest channel top), 4145 (pivot confirming rise), 4200 (sell scalp area if clear rejection appears).
Main Support: 4084–4086 (channel edge/liq), 4041–4043 (Fib + S/R), deeper 4020 is a defensive level for buyers.
Trading Scenarios (optimized for mobile reading)
Scenario 1 – Buy shallow pullback (trend-following priority)
Entry: 4084–4086
SL: 4078
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4135 → 4160
Suggestion: Wait for a rejection candle at 4090 or an M15 reversal signal before executing.
Scenario 2 – Buy deep (Fib + S/R)
Entry: 4041–4043
SL: 4036
TP: 4056 → 4072 → 4095 → 4120
Suggestion: Prioritize when price fills the gap and leaves a clear lower wick.
Scenario 3 – Sell scalp at resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4130–4132
SL: 4138
TP: 4112 → 4100 → 4088 → 4060
Note: Only quick scalps; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4145.
Bonus – Sell scalp 4200
Condition: Clear rejection appears on smaller frames.
SL: above the nearest new peak.
Reference TP: 4185 → 4166 → 4145.
Risk Management & Invalidation
Short-term bullish bias remains valid when price holds above 4085–4090.
H2 closes above 4145 → prioritize buying on breakout, limit all sell orders.
H2 closes below 4036 → risk of deeper test around 4020.
Risk per trade 0.5–1%, move SL to breakeven at +1R, do not average down against the trend.
Which price zone do you find noteworthy today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the earliest updates.
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON PRICE CORRECTION💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON PRICE CORRECTION 🎯
🌤Overview
Good morning traders 💬
Gold is experiencing a slight correction after hitting resistance at the VAH area on the Volume Profile. This is a natural reaction in the current uptrend.
The price observation area for today's correction is around the H4 trendline at 4078, deeper is the VAH area at 4020, where there is good liquidity for buyers.
Although there is a possibility of short-term correction, the main trend remains upward. Therefore, I prioritize waiting to Buy at the support area, rather than entering against the trend.
💹 Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 The price is maintaining a medium-term uptrend structure, with no reversal signals yet.
🟣 The 4075–4078 area coincides with the trendline + liquidity zone – a potential buying area for short orders.
🔹 VAH around 4020 is a strong support, suitable for long-term Buy if the price corrects deeply.
💫 The 4200–4203 area remains a major resistance (Sell Zone) – expect a downward reaction when the price approaches.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💖 Buy scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4075–4078 | SL: 4070
TP: 4095 – 4105
💖 Buy zone (main priority)
Entry: 4018–4021 | SL: 4011
TP: 4035 – 4042 – 4075 – 4095
💢 Sell zone (short reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 | SL: 4210
TP: 4186 – 4165 – 4140
💢 Sell scalping (short-term)
Entry: 4122–4124 | SL: 4130
TP: 4105 – 4086 – 4060 – 4040
⚠️ Important Note
The 4048 area is strong resistance – closely observe price reactions here.
Prioritize Buy according to the main trend, Sell should only be considered as a short-term reaction.
🌷Be patient and wait for the price to correct to the support area to buy according to Smart Money flow.
If you find this useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 for daily gold insights ✨
LiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective move may occur todayLiamTrading – XAUUSD H2 | A corrective move may occur today
Follow Liquidity 4090, FVG 4053–4069 & VAH ~4025
Quick note: Gold remains in an uptrend but shows signs of stalling at the upper boundary of the ascending channel. Amid the backdrop of potential USD fluctuations as the US nears reopening, a technical correction towards liquidity zones is a scenario to prepare for.
Technical Analysis
Trendline/Price Channel: Price is moving within an ascending channel; the channel top at 4130–4140 is prone to profit-taking/stalling.
Liquidity: 4085–4092 – a price pull/volume attraction point before choosing the next direction.
FVG #1: 4053–4069 – a price gap with a probability of filling and reversing.
VAH (Volume Profile): 4023–4028 – volume value peak; strong confluence support in case of a deep correction.
POC: ~3985–3990 – a magnetic point if the market weakens more than expected.
Resistance: 4135–4140 (near channel top + short-term offer), further out 4166 (Fibo/channel top extension).
Fibonacci: The latest upward wave shows the expansion area around 4135–4166 as a “liquidity pocket” – suitable for scalp sell upon clear rejection; retracement levels 0.382–0.5 converge around 406x–402x, aligning with FVG & VAH → preferred buy point if price corrects.
Trading Scenarios
Buy shallow pullback (trend-following)
Entry: 4083–4085
SL: 4077
TP: 4098 → 4112 → 4140 → 4166
Note: Requires rejection/candle wick at Liquidity 4090; move SL to breakeven at +1R.
Buy deep at VAH/Volume Profile
Entry: 4025–4028
SL: 4020
TP: 4040 → 4065 → 4100 → 4112
Note: Prioritize when FVG 4053–4069 fills and reverses; exercise caution with volume.
Sell scalp at channel resistance (counter-trend)
Entry: 4135–4140
SL: 4148
TP: 4122 → 4105 → 4090
Note: This is a scalp trade; abandon if H1/H2 closes strongly above 4140.
H1/H2 closes below 4077 → risk of testing 4053–4069; further breach of 4020 may drag to POC ~3990.
Each trade risks 0.5–1%, do not average down against the trend; adhere to Dow (enter only upon confirmed support/resistance break on entry timeframe).
What level are you watching for gold today? Comment below & hit Follow on LiamTrading channel for the fastest updates.
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON TUESDAY💛 XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING ON TUESDAY 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold continues its upward momentum in the first two days of the week, supported by cash distribution policies for low-income individuals and the reopening actions by the U.S. government under President Trump.
These factors are putting downward pressure on the USD, helping gold maintain its short-term upward trend.
💹 Technical Analysis
🟣 Currently, the price is touching the VAH zone according to the Volume Profile and showing a slight reaction – however, the support trendline around 4110–4113 remains an ideal buying zone to continue following the trend.
🔹 The 4200–4203 zone (Fibonacci Extension 2.618) coincides with strong resistance on H4, likely to see a short adjustment reaction before continuing to expand to the 43xx zone.
🎯 Trading Plan Reference
💖 BUY Scenario (priority following the trend)
Entry: 4110–4113 | SL: 4106
TP: 4132 – 4150 – 4175 – 4200 – 4250
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term reaction)
Entry: 4200–4203 | SL: 4207
TP: 4188 – 4165 – 4148
⚠️ Important Notes
Prioritize buying according to the main upward trend, especially when the price reacts at the H4 trendline.
Sell orders are only for short-term reactions, need to take profit early when reaching the first TP.
USD volatility remains a key factor to closely monitor this week.
🌷 Conclusion
The upward trend of gold is still maintained 💛
Be patient to wait for the price to react at the 4110–4113 zone to buy according to the trend, and take advantage of pullbacks at resistance to manage orders effectively.
If you find it useful, don't forget to 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update your daily gold insights ✨
XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING...💛 XAUUSD – PRICE STRUCTURE UPDATE: MAINTAINING THE TRADING SCENARIO 🎯
🌤 Overview
Hello everyone 💬
The price structure of gold is still on track as per the previous scenario — those who bought according to the earlier plan might have already profited and should continue to hold their position.
The price in the early Asian session has risen steadily, breaking through the 4021 area, confirming a short-term uptrend and aiming to retest the upper edge of the H4 price channel.
This is a positive signal before the market might enter a deeper correction in the mid-week sessions.
In terms of news, the latest statement from US President Trump indicates that the government shutdown might soon end — this is a factor that could cause significant USD volatility, thereby having a short-term impact on gold prices.
💹 Technical Analysis
📈 On the H4 timeframe, the price remains within the medium-term uptrend channel, maintaining the structure of “higher lows.”
🟣 The break of the 4021 area confirms that bullish momentum is prevailing, and the Sell Zone Liquidity area of 4090–4100 continues to be a short-term target for retesting.
🔹 After reaching this area, a correction is expected towards the 3920 – 3785 area (Buy Zone Fibonacci) – where buyers might return strongly.
💫 The current price signal perfectly aligns with the previous technical scenario, with no need to change the trading plan.
🎯 Reference Trading Plan
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY Scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
🌷 Conclusion
Gold prices are moving exactly as predicted by the structure 💛
Be patient, stay disciplined, and stick to the key price areas – this is the time when persistence will provide the greatest advantage.
LiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of NovemberLiamTrading – XAUUSD D1 | Scenario for Week 2 of November
Accumulation range 4047–3928, prioritize buying on breakout – watch for short at 4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Overview: After the adjustment from the historical peak, gold is forming a bottom – accumulating in the price range of 4047–3928. The D1 structure still leans towards a medium-term uptrend if the price holds above 3928; the ~4200 area coinciding with a wide FVG + Fib 0.382 is a “liquidity pool” where strong reactions are likely.
Macro Summary
Hedge funds against public debt/deficit risks and net buying demand from some central banks/Asian blocs support the long-term trend.
The expectation of a cooling interest rate path in 2026 helps reduce pressure on gold, but pullbacks may still occur before major technical milestones.
Technical Analysis (D1 Frame – Trendline | S/R | Volume zone | Fibonacci)
Accumulation Range: 4047 (top of the box) ↔️ 3928 (bottom of the box). D1 closing above 4047 confirms an upper range expansion; breaking 3928 triggers a deeper drop to lower Fib levels.
Fibonacci of the latest upward wave:
Price is oscillating around 0.618 → tendency to form a base.
Deeper area if the base breaks: 0.5 ~ 3850 and 0.382 ~ 3710.
Key Resistance: 4090–4120 (mid-box area), ~4200 (FVG + Fib 0.382) – expected large liquidity/short-term reversal area.
Important Support: 3990–4010 (psychological/trading buffer level), 3928 (lower range boundary – breakout point).
Trendline: The medium-term uptrend remains if corrections do not close below 3928.
Trading Scenario for the New Week
Scenario 1 – Buy on trend when breaking the upper range
Condition: D1 closes above 4047, retest holds firm at 4038–4047.
Entry: 4048–4055
SL: 4018
TP: 4090 → 4120 → 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382)
Management: Take partial profit at 4090/4120, move SL to breakeven when reaching +1R.
Scenario 1b – Buy at the bottom of the box (fade range)
Entry: 3935–3945 (when there is a clear rejection candle/tail at 3928–3945)
SL: 3895
TP: 3995–4010 → 4040–4047
Note: If D1 closes below 3928, cancel the plan and switch bias to the bearish scenario.
Scenario 2 – Short reaction at the liquidity area 4200
Entry: 4185–4205 (FVG + Fib 0.382) when a clear rejection appears on D1/H4
SL: 4225
TP: 4120 → 4047 → 4010 (extended target: 3850 if there is a breakdown signal)
Note: Counter-trend order; reduce volume, exit quickly if D1 closes above 4205.
Risk & Invalidation
The medium-term bullish bias remains valid as long as D1 does not close below 3928.
D1 closing below 3928 paves the way to 3850 (Fib 0.5), even 3710 (Fib 0.382).
Strong news (CPI, employment, central bank speeches) may disrupt signals; wait for candle closure according to the chosen frame.
Summary
Gold is “spring-loaded” within 4047–3928. Priority plan: Buy on breakout–hold 4047 to target 4090–4120 and test ~4200; simultaneously watch for short reactions at 4200. If breaking 3928, switch scenario to bearish towards 3850 → 3710.
XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP...💛 XAUUSD – H4 PERSPECTIVE: WAIT FOR LIQUIDITY TEST BEFORE DEEP DECLINE 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold just wrapped up the week with a candle closing at the 4001 zone, after a slight increase and then holding steady within the upward channel on the H4 frame.
The current sideways movement is causing many traders difficulty in finding short-term entry points.
However, the 4090 zone still has an unfilled liquidity gap (FVG), which coincides with the upper edge of the price channel. This could be the next short-term target before the market adjusts for a deeper decline.
From my perspective, gold might rise another step to sweep the liquidity in the upper region, then adjust back to the 3785 area – a crucial Fibonacci Retracement zone, where a strong reaction from buyers is highly likely.
💹 2. Technical Analysis
📈 The price structure is still maintaining an upward trend within the H4 price channel, with each subsequent low higher than the previous.
🟣 The 4090–4102 zone is an untested liquidity area, located at the channel peak – a high chance of a downward reaction.
🔹 Potential Buy zone around 3785–3789 coincides with Fibonacci 0.618 and a strong historical support area.
💫 Main Scenario: Price may rise to test the upper liquidity zone, then adjust down to the Buy Zone before forming a larger upward momentum.
🎯 3. Trading Plan Reference
💢 SELL Scenario (short-term)
Entry: 4098–4102 | SL: 4112
TP: 4078 – 4025 – 3998 – 3920 – 3875 – 3785
💖 BUY Scenario (long-term strategy)
Entry: 3785–3789 | SL: 3777
TP: 3810 – 3865 – 3925 – 3988
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Prioritize short-term Sell if price reacts strongly at the 4090–4100 zone.
Long-term Buy only if price adjusts deeply to the 3785–3790 zone.
Avoid emotional trading – this is a liquidity accumulation phase before a major move.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is on the right path of accumulation before forming a big wave 💛
Be patient and observe reactions at the two critical zones 4090 and 3785, as these could be the pivot points for the upcoming week.
LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for...LiamTrading – Gold compressed at the triangle peak; watch for a break at 4020 (H2)
After a week of accumulation, the price is pressing into the triangle peak between the descending trendline (from late October) and the ascending trendline (from 11/5). The advantage will lean towards an increase if 4020 is broken and sustained.
Technical Analysis (priority H2, Volume Profile – Trendline – S/R – Fibonacci)
Trendline & Structure
The descending trendline is blocking the recovery waves; the ascending trendline supports the adjustment waves.
Closing the H2 candle above the confluence zone ~4020 will confirm a clear upward movement.
Support / Resistance (S/R)
Main support: 3970–3972 (swing low & “Key level Support”).
Decision zone: 4014–4020 (break–retest zone).
Resistance: 4045 (medium-term), 4050 (supply for scalp orders), upper band 4105–4110.
Volume Profile (recent session / composite)
POC magnet: 4015–4017 → likely to have profit-taking/fluctuations; staying above POC turns this area into a launchpad.
LVN: around 4020 → beautiful break-and-go; failing to hold often pulls back to 4015/4010.
Fibonacci Extension (H2 swing)
1.618 coincides with 4045–4050 → first upward target.
2.272/2.618 creates a liquidity zone 4095–4110 → area may weaken/strong profit-taking.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy on breakout
Entry: 4020–4022 after closing above trendline + retest holding 4018–4020
SL: 4014
TP: 4045 → 4070 → 4100–4110
Management: Take partial profit at 4045; move SL to break-even when reaching +1R. Staying above 4020 turns POC 4015–4017 into support.
Scenario 1b – Buy on pullback (before breakout, cautious volume)
Entry: 3998–4002 (“400x”) when there is an upward reaction at the ascending trendline
SL: 3988
TP: 4017 → 4045
Note: H2 closes below 3988 → cancel the order.
Scenario 2 – Sell scalp at resistance
Entry: 4048–4052 (confluence of Fibo 1.618 + supply zone)
SL: 4056
TP: 4040 → 4030 → 4020
Note: This is counter-trend. Ignore if H2 closes strongly above 4052.
Summary
The upward bias is confirmed when breaking–holding 4020, opening targets 4045 → 4070 → 4100+. Before that signal, trade within the range respecting POC 4015–4017 and ceiling 4045/4050. Risk per order 0.5–1%, move SL to BE when reaching +1R.
XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 💛 XAUUSD – WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF UPTREND – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Gold today is still in a phase of hesitation – waiting for signals to confirm a new trend.
On the H2 chart, the price has broken the downtrend line and is retesting this line. The structure of “higher lows” indicates that buying power is gradually gaining the upper hand.
The previous peak around 4018 is currently the decisive point for the trend – if the price confirms a breakout above, the uptrend could extend towards the 4050 area.
Currently, the market is fluctuating within the range of 3964 – 4018, and needs to break out of this range to determine a clearer direction.
💹 2. ICT Perspective
📈 The price has broken the downtrend line and retested the structure on the H2 chart – an early signal for the potential formation of an uptrend.
🟣 The 3964–4018 area is a short-term liquidity accumulation zone before the price expands.
🔹 OB 4040–4042 coincides with significant resistance, suitable for short sell (scalp) orders if there is a strong reaction.
💫 When the price exceeds 4018, the uptrend structure will be confirmed and the expansion target could head towards 4050 – 4077.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 BUY Scenario (priority when confirmed)
Entry: above 4018 | SL: 4011
TP: 4025 – 4033 – 4050 – 4077
💢 Short SELL Scenario (scalping)
Entry: 4040–4042 | SL: 4046
TP: 4022 – 4015 – 3998
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Clear confirmation is needed when breaking the 4018 area before entering a buy order.
If the price continues to fluctuate within the 3964–4018 range, trading should be limited.
Today is Friday, manage risk more strictly, prioritize accuracy in each order.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions around the 4018 area – this could be the start of a new uptrend if clearly confirmed.
LiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term UptrendLiamTrading – Gold Confirms Medium-Term Uptrend
Gold has officially broken through the descending trendline, confirming a transition to a medium-term uptrend. After a prolonged accumulation phase, the market is beginning to show clear buying strength, and the potential for an extended rally is gradually forming.
Macroeconomic – Fundamental Analysis
The latest report from the World Gold Council (WGC) shows that central banks continued to increase their gold purchases significantly in September, totaling 39 tons, the highest level since the beginning of the year.
Most notably, the Central Bank of Brazil added 15 tons of gold to its national reserves for the first time this year.
Since the beginning of the year, net purchases by central banks have reached 200 tons, clearly reflecting a shift away from the USD amidst global economic and geopolitical instability. This capital flow provides a solid foundation for gold's medium- and long-term uptrend.
Technical Analysis
On the H2 chart, gold prices have broken the descending trendline, signaling a reversal and establishing a new upward structure.
The 3985–3988 zone is acting as dynamic support, potentially serving as a retest point before prices continue to rise.
The POC of the Volume Profile at the 4015–4017 zone is a short-term resistance, where the market may see profit-taking reactions before breaking higher.
The 4046 mark is considered a decisive area; if surpassed and maintained, the medium-term uptrend will be strongly reinforced.
Today's Trading Scenarios
Scenario 1 – Buy in line with the uptrend:
Entry: 3986–3988 (may wait for retest confirmation)
SL: 3980
TP: 4020 – 4045 – 4090
Scenario 2 – Short sell at resistance:
Entry: 4015–4017
SL: 4023
TP: 4002 – 3986
Summary
Gold is signaling a clear establishment of a medium-term uptrend, supported by central bank buying flows. Traders should prioritize buying positions at strategic support zones and observe price reactions around the POC to confirm the next direction.
XAU/USD – Smart Money Awakens, Targeting Premium Liquidity ZonesGold has shown a powerful Change of Character (CHoCH) on the H4 timeframe — signaling a potential shift in short-term market structure. After sweeping liquidity beneath 3,940, price rebounded decisively, breaking minor highs and forming a Break of Structure (BOS) around 3,981 — a clear footprint of Smart Money re-entry at discount levels.
💭 1️⃣ Market Structure – From Weakness to Strength
For several sessions, Gold moved within a declining structure, printing lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent BOS and CHoCH indicate that the bearish momentum is fading.
Smart Money seems to have absorbed liquidity below 3,940 — where retail sellers were trapped — and is now repositioning for a possible move toward premium supply zones above 4,030.
The key structure level 3,981 – 3,948 now acts as the accumulation base, where institutional buy orders were likely placed.
🩶 2️⃣ Supply & Demand – The Footprints of Smart Money
Karina identifies three critical levels shaping this next movement:
Demand Zones:
3,981 – 3,948: Recent bullish order block (H4) and structural demand zone — price should ideally retest this before expanding higher.
3,937: Deep liquidity pocket from previous sweep; if retested, it could be a strong re-entry area for Smart Money.
Supply Zones:
4,030 – 4,047: A key bearish order block (OB) and first liquidity magnet for buyers.
4,047 – 4,051: Final buy-side liquidity zone, where price could face institutional distribution.
🧭 3️⃣ Liquidity Context – When the Market Breathes Before Expansion
The sell-side liquidity at 3,886 has already been taken, leaving buy-side liquidity resting above 4,030+.
This suggests the next directional play is upward, targeting premium levels to rebalance inefficiency and collect orders before any deeper retracement.
Karina expects price to potentially pull back to 3,981 – 3,948, find support, then push toward 4,047 – 4,051 before reacting downward — a classic SMC retracement-expansion pattern.
🌙 4️⃣ Trading Outlook – Align With Institutional Flow
Bias: Short-term bullish into supply; mid-term neutral awaiting distribution.
Scenario:
If Gold retests 3,981 – 3,948 and forms a bullish confirmation (rejection wick or engulfing candle), Smart Money likely aims for the 4,030 – 4,051 region.
Entry Zone: 3,948 – 3,981
Stop Loss: below 3,937
Take Profit: 4,047 – 4,051
This setup offers a clean 1:4 R:R, aligning perfectly with liquidity-based execution principles.
🌷 5️⃣ Reflection – When the Market Speaks Softly, Smart Money Listens Closely
Gold is whispering signs of strength after weeks of uncertainty. For Karina, this is a phase of quiet accumulation — not chaos, but calm intent.
In moments like these, patience becomes power 🌙 — and the most elegant trades often come from listening, not chasing.
This analysis reflects Karina’s personal perspective and is not financial advice.
Do you think Gold will sweep the 4,050 liquidity before reversing? Let’s discuss below 💬
XAUUSD – DAILY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050💛 XAUUSD – DAILY BULLISH SCENARIO – TARGET 4050 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
Although the larger trend for gold leans towards a downtrend, today I prioritize a bullish scenario in the short term.
On the M30 chart, the price structure is gradually increasing, indicating that short-term capital is shifting towards buyers.
The 3990 zone is a very important area – where a Break of Structure (BOS) has just appeared and is also a strong resistance that has reacted multiple times before.
Price needs to confirm a break above this area to continue expanding the bullish trend.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
📈 An ascending structure (BOS) has formed on M30.
🟣 Buy Zone 3977–3979 coincides with the support trendline – a beautiful confluence point for buyers.
🔹 Resistance zone 3990–4000 is the area to confirm the main direction.
💫 Higher target: Fibonacci Extension 1.618 area around 4049–4050, coinciding with the psychological resistance at 4050.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Plan
💖 Main BUY (priority)
Entry: 3977–3979 | SL: 3970
TP: 3988 – 4000 – 4022 – 4040 – 4050
💢 Short SELL (when price reacts strongly at resistance)
Entry: 4012–4014 | SL: 4020
TP: 4002 – 3988 – 3965
⚠️ 4. Important Notes
Price needs to confirm above the 3990 area to solidify the bullish trend.
If it breaks below 3970, the ascending structure is temporarily invalidated.
Today, prioritize buying according to the capital flow, sell only when there is a clear signal at the resistance zone.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is showing positive signals 💛
Be patient and wait for reactions at the Buy Zone 3977–3979, this could be the starting point for a new upward move towards 4050.
This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal view according to the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2 to update gold analysis with me every day ✨
XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040XAUUSD – PRIORITIZE BUYING, TARGET 4040 🎯
🌤 1. Overview
Hello everyone 💬
My perspective on gold today is still to prioritize buying, as there hasn't been a clear deep decline.
The price is currently consolidating in a narrow range, needing more time to build momentum before breaking out.
I will wait to buy again at the OB area – where there is high liquidity, this is a zone likely to see strong price reactions.
The best scenario today: the price may sell off slightly at FVG, then drop to OB to trigger the buy setup.
💹 2. Technical Analysis (ICT Perspective)
💜 Price Structure: Gold still maintains a short-term uptrend, the main trend hasn't been broken.
💎 Liquidity: Liquidity is concentrated below the 3940 area – a potential buying OB.
💫 FVG: The 3975–3980 area is a zone where a slight bearish reaction may occur.
⚙️ Order Block (OB): 3938–3945 is a crucial support zone, with the potential for a strong price rebound from here.
📈 Main Target: 4040 – a high liquidity zone, coinciding with a large frame FVG.
🎯 3. Reference Trading Scenarios
💢 Short SELL (scalping)
Entry: 3980 | SL: 3988
TP: 3972 – 3960 – 3940
💖 Main BUY (priority)
Entry: 3940 | SL: 3932
TP: 3952 – 3968 – 3990 – 4012 – 4035
✨ 4. Important Notes
🔹 Observe price reactions at FVG and OB before taking action.
🔹 If the price exceeds 3988, the bearish scenario is temporarily invalidated.
🔹 The main direction is still to buy according to the Smart Money trend – only consider short selling when confirmed.
🌷 5. Conclusion & Interaction with LanaM2
Gold is still following the Smart Money Flow trajectory,
patiently waiting for the price to reach a favorable zone to act 💪
This is not an investment recommendation, just a personal perspective based on the ICT method.
If you find it useful, please 💛 like – 💬 comment – 🔔 follow LanaM2
to stay updated with the latest gold insights every day.
LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Prospect of $5,000 USD and Priority BUY...LiamTrading - XAUUSD: Prospect of $5,000 USD and Priority BUY Strategy at POC $3973
Hello traders community,
Gold is positioned between an extremely optimistic long-term outlook (forecast of $5,000 USD in the next 12-18 months by Bank of America) and short-term technical adjustments.
Although Gold has broken the upward trendline, a sustainable downward trend has not been confirmed.
BUY positions are still prioritized!
🔥 LONG-TERM CONTEXT & INFLATION
Long-Term Driver: Gold prices adjusted for inflation have DOUBLED over the past 4 years.
Highlight: Gold reinforces its role as an anti-inflation asset as real prices soar to all-time highs.
📊 DETAILED TRADING PLAN (ACTION PLAN)
Strategy: Buy at POC Zone to leverage liquidity advantage.
🟢 BUY Scenario (BUY Primary) - Buy at High Value Zone
Logic: The $3973 - 3975$ zone is right above the Buy POC (highest value zone).
Entry (BUY): $3973 - 3975$
SL: $3968$
TP1: $3988$ | TP2: $4000
Buy Target 2: Buy when price retests the trendline around $4002$.
🔴 SELL Scenario (SELL Scalping) - Preemptive strike at resistance zone
Entry (SELL): $4032 - 4034$
SL: $4040$
TP1: $4022$ | TP2: $4015
📌 SUMMARY & DISCIPLINE (Liam's Note)With the $5,000 USD forecast and inflation factors, the risk of SELL is increasing.
Focus on BUY at POC $3973$ and absolute SL.
Trade responsibly and with discipline!
Global Commodity Trends: An In-Depth Analysis1. Overview of Commodity Categories
Commodities can broadly be categorized into three segments:
Energy Commodities – including crude oil, natural gas, coal, and renewable energy components.
Metal Commodities – comprising precious metals (gold, silver, platinum) and industrial metals (copper, aluminum, nickel, lithium).
Agricultural Commodities – such as grains, oilseeds, coffee, cotton, and sugar.
Each sector operates under different economic drivers but shares common threads: cyclical demand, global trade dependency, and vulnerability to geopolitical and climatic disruptions.
2. Energy Commodities: Shifting Power Dynamics
Oil Market Evolution
Crude oil remains the most influential commodity, dictating the rhythm of the global economy. After years of volatility, oil prices in 2025 have stabilized between $75–$90 per barrel, balancing between OPEC+ production controls and demand recovery in post-pandemic industrial economies. Key trends influencing the oil market include:
Geopolitical Tensions: Conflicts in the Middle East, Russia-Ukraine tensions, and sanctions have repeatedly disrupted supply routes and reshaped trade alliances.
Energy Transition: Many nations are reducing fossil fuel dependence, creating dual effects—investment withdrawal from oil projects and short-term supply tightness.
US Shale Resurgence: Technological improvements have revived U.S. shale production, moderating price spikes and diversifying global supply sources.
Natural Gas and LNG Boom
The liquefied natural gas (LNG) market has become a critical player in global energy security. Europe’s pivot away from Russian pipeline gas has spurred demand for LNG imports from the U.S., Qatar, and Australia. Asian markets—particularly India, Japan, and South Korea—are also expanding their LNG infrastructure. Prices remain elevated due to limited shipping capacity and long-term contract negotiations.
Renewable Commodities
The renewable sector is emerging as a commodity class of its own. Materials essential for wind turbines, solar panels, and batteries—like lithium, cobalt, and rare earth elements—are now strategically significant. Nations rich in these resources, such as Chile (lithium), the Democratic Republic of Congo (cobalt), and China (rare earths), have gained economic leverage in the green transition era.
3. Metal Commodities: Industrial and Technological Backbone
Copper: The ‘New Oil’ of Electrification
Copper is a vital indicator of global industrial health and the clean energy revolution. With rising demand from electric vehicles (EVs), grid expansion, and renewable infrastructure, copper prices have remained strong, hovering near $9,000–$10,000 per metric ton in 2025. However, supply shortages from major producers like Chile and Peru continue to pressure the market. Technological exploration and recycling have become key to meeting demand sustainably.
Aluminum and Steel: Industrial Expansion
Global infrastructure projects—particularly in India, Southeast Asia, and Africa—have driven demand for aluminum and steel. China’s gradual construction slowdown has been offset by growth in emerging markets. Decarbonization efforts have also led to “green steel” innovations, with major producers investing in hydrogen-based smelting technologies.
Precious Metals: Inflation Hedges
Gold remains a preferred hedge against inflation, currency devaluation, and financial instability. In 2025, gold prices are resilient around $2,100 per ounce, supported by central bank purchases and investor uncertainty about global debt sustainability. Silver, platinum, and palladium also benefit from industrial use in electronics, solar energy, and automotive catalysis.
Critical Minerals and Rare Earths
The rise of electric mobility and digital technologies has made critical minerals central to geopolitical competition. Nations are now securing mineral supply chains to reduce dependence on single-country producers. The U.S. and EU have launched strategic mineral alliances to diversify sourcing and encourage domestic mining.
4. Agricultural Commodities: Weather, Demand, and Technology
Food Security Challenges
Global food prices have experienced volatility due to extreme weather, conflict disruptions, and changing consumption patterns. Droughts in key grain-producing regions (such as North America and Australia) have tightened wheat and corn supplies, while El Niño weather patterns have affected rice production in Asia.
Grains and Oilseeds
Wheat and Corn: Prices remain firm as global demand for animal feed and biofuels continues to grow.
Soybeans: Driven by rising protein consumption in developing economies and biofuel production in the U.S. and Brazil, soybean demand remains robust.
Rice: Export restrictions by major producers like India in 2024–25 have kept rice prices elevated, intensifying food inflation pressures in Africa and Asia.
Soft Commodities: Coffee, Cocoa, and Cotton
Coffee and cocoa markets face supply disruptions due to unpredictable weather and labor shortages. Meanwhile, cotton prices have stabilized as global textile demand recovers post-pandemic. However, sustainability standards and organic production are reshaping trade patterns, with premium pricing for ethically sourced materials.
Technological Innovation in Agriculture
Precision farming, AI-driven weather forecasting, and genetically resilient crops are transforming agricultural productivity. These innovations aim to balance yield improvements with sustainability and environmental preservation, reducing the carbon footprint of global agriculture.
5. Geopolitical and Economic Influences
Global commodity trends are closely tied to geopolitics and macroeconomics. Several key developments have reshaped the landscape:
Trade Wars and Sanctions: The U.S.–China trade rivalry and sanctions on Russia and Iran have disrupted traditional commodity flows, leading to new alliances among BRICS nations.
Currency Movements: A strong U.S. dollar often suppresses commodity prices by making them costlier for non-dollar economies. However, increasing talk of “de-dollarization” could redefine commodity pricing in the long term.
Global Inflation and Interest Rates: Higher interest rates have tempered speculative investments in commodities, yet inflationary pressures from supply chain disruptions continue to sustain price floors.
Environmental Regulations: Climate policies and carbon taxes are influencing production costs and trade competitiveness, particularly in energy and metals sectors.
6. Technological and Structural Shifts
Digitalization and Smart Commodities
Blockchain and AI technologies are revolutionizing commodity trading systems. Digital platforms now enable transparent pricing, efficient logistics, and reduced transaction costs. Smart contracts in blockchain-based trade reduce fraud and enhance traceability from mines to markets.
Green Commodities and ESG Investments
Investors increasingly favor environmentally and socially responsible commodities. ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) frameworks are pushing companies to disclose emissions data, human rights practices, and sustainability metrics. This shift is influencing how commodity-backed financial instruments are structured and traded.
Automation in Mining and Logistics
Robotics, automation, and remote monitoring have transformed mining and shipping operations, reducing costs and improving safety. Autonomous drilling and AI-based maintenance systems enhance operational efficiency across industries dependent on raw materials.
7. Regional Insights
Asia-Pacific
Asia remains the largest consumer of commodities, with China and India leading demand for energy, metals, and food. India’s industrial expansion and renewable energy programs are reshaping regional trade flows. Southeast Asian nations are emerging as key exporters of palm oil, rubber, and rare earths.
North America
The U.S. and Canada benefit from abundant energy and agricultural resources. The shale industry revival and strategic mineral exploration position North America as a stable supplier amidst global uncertainty.
Europe
Europe’s energy diversification post-Ukraine war has accelerated investment in renewables, hydrogen, and circular economy practices. High carbon pricing has also made European industries more sustainable but less cost-competitive globally.
Africa and Latin America
These regions are rich in untapped resources, from lithium in Chile and Argentina to cobalt in the DRC and oil in Nigeria. However, political instability and infrastructure challenges hinder full potential. Strategic partnerships with China and Western investors aim to modernize extraction and processing industries.
8. Challenges Ahead
Despite progress, several structural challenges persist in global commodity markets:
Supply Chain Fragmentation: Geopolitical rivalries threaten trade connectivity.
Climate Risks: Extreme weather events continue to impact yields, mining operations, and energy supply.
Resource Nationalism: Governments are asserting greater control over natural resources, imposing export restrictions or windfall taxes.
Market Volatility: Speculative trading and financial derivatives amplify short-term price fluctuations, complicating investment planning.
Sustainability Pressure: Transitioning to low-carbon operations requires significant capital and policy alignment across nations.
9. The Future of Commodity Markets
Looking ahead to 2030 and beyond, the global commodity landscape is expected to be shaped by four major forces:
Energy Transition Acceleration: The world will see greater integration of renewables, hydrogen, and energy storage, reducing fossil fuel dependency but increasing demand for critical minerals.
Technological Integration: AI, blockchain, and predictive analytics will dominate commodity trading, making markets more transparent and efficient.
Sustainable Agriculture: Climate-resilient crops and smart irrigation will redefine global food systems.
Geopolitical Realignment: Multipolar trade networks among BRICS+ nations will challenge traditional commodity pricing systems dominated by Western economies.
Conclusion
Global commodity trends in 2025 reveal a dynamic interplay of energy transformation, technological evolution, and geopolitical recalibration. While oil and gas remain vital to short-term stability, the long-term trajectory points toward green minerals, digital commodities, and sustainable agriculture. The world is navigating a complex transition where supply chains, trade policies, and investment strategies must adapt to environmental and political realities. In essence, commodities have evolved from mere tradable goods into strategic instruments of power, policy, and progress. Managing this transformation with foresight, equity, and sustainability will define the resilience of the global economy in the years ahead.






















