Trendanalyisis
GC Futures 15m: 6.6:1 trade executed using Sigma Trading SystemStep 1: wait for a sweep of daily liquidity
Note: the sweep must be confirmed for any of the other confluences to be valid
Step 2: wait for a bullish marker to be drawn by the Reversal Print indicator
Tip: set an alert if you don’t want to spend all day staring at the chart
Step 3: look for a divergence with either the PowerDelta Oscillator or, in this case, the Manipulation Ribbon
Info: the Manipulation Ribbon detects areas of price manipulation by Market Makers vs areas where it is trading in a natural, price-driven state
Step 4: the entry is a tap of the most recent confirmed FVG
FYI: all the drawings on the main chart are created by the Sigma 5-in-1 indicator
SL: low of first candle that forms the entry FVG
Tip: for a more conservative approach the recent swing low could also be used
TP: bearish divergence with the PowerDelta Oscillator
Note: gold was at an all-time high so anything beyond the Previous Day High (PDH) posed a risk however for a more conservative approach you could exit half your position at the PDH
GOLD - Long📊 XAUUSD – 4H Setup
Gold finally broke out of the descending trendline 📈 after days of bearish movement.
Price tapped into the 3325 demand zone and pushed higher, showing fresh bullish intent.
Right now a clean retest of support could open the door for continuation into key resistance.
📍 Key Levels
Buy zone: 3350 demand retest level
First target: 3400 short-term resistance
Extended target: 3439 supply zone
Invalidation: Close below 3310 ⚠️
💡 Risks
False breakout above trendline trapping longs
Weak follow-through volume could send price back into the range
Macro pressure from USD strength keeping gold capped under 3380
✨ Big Picture
Gold has been coiling for weeks. If buyers defend 3325, we could see this breakout develop into a bigger bullish leg 🚀
👇 What’s your take traders? Breakout or fakeout?
🟢 Education only 🟢
❤️ Like + Follow for consistent swing ideas.
XAUUSD - Next Big Move. Expecting ATHBIAS
LTCC(Last two Candle Close)
As we can clearly see that the market is struggling to close below the previous day lows and only the previous day low liquidity being taken, Expecting buyers to pitch in. Clear Sign of BULLISH BIAS
LTCD(Last two Candle Divergence)
Present day shows a Bullish divergence with XAGUSD creating a Lower Low in it and XAGUSD Failing to do so.(Sign of Smart Money)
IRL to ERL(Internal Range Liquidity)
Momentum in Daily TF is Speed Up + Slow Down which is a clear sign of Strong Buyer and Weak Seller in the Market. In the current trading range of daily time frame XAUUSD has now reached to its discount level approaching a daily imbalance with LTCC and LTCD indicating Buyers in the Market.
Confirmation
In the H1 time frame we have a Strong Close above the OF(Order Flow), which is confirmation for our entry.
Disclaimer: The Above Analysis is for Educational Purpose Only and is not indented as investment purposes.
___________________________________
Thanks for your support!
If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Elliott Wave Analysis of Kirloskar Brothers KIRLOSBROSThe script is currently in 4th wave of hourly chart. The 4th wave seems to be ending, which means a 5th wave will start from here. The wave patters and patterns, retracements and analysis have been highlighted on the chart. Will update this as it progresses.
Potential Double Top on AUS200 — 4HPotential Double Top on AUS200 — 4H 📉
I’m watching the AUS200 index closely for a potential short setup.
The pattern in focus is a double top forming on the 4-hour timeframe.
#GTradingMethod Tip: Always manage your risk first before dreaming about the profits.
Trade Details:
📊 Risk/Reward: 3.9
🎯 Entry: 8 906.3
🛑 Stop Loss: 8 941.8
💰 Take Profit 1 (50%): 8 788.9
💰 Take Profit 2 (50%): 8 726.2
Please note: This is not financial advice. This content is to track my trading journey and for educational purposes only.
Three patterns - one move!GRT is sitting on triple confluence — small pennant support, Fib 0.236, and the golden pocket — inside a larger pennant, which itself sits inside a larger bullish wedge.
Apex of the micro-pennant hits Tuesday morning, with alt season still ahead. If support holds, watch for a breakout toward $0.099–0.103 and then $0.105–0.113.
Selling volume spike + break below support? Then eyes on the lower liquidity zone near $0.085–0.087.
SYRUP Priming for a 12% Pop - Longterm ~20% PotentialHey Guys, My last posts were hidden (Again) ty TV, so I'm back at it and keeping it clean and to the point:
Maple Finance
SYRUPUSD
is forming a base at the $0.40 zone after a steep downtrend. Looks like the bleeding's slowing down and we're seeing signs of accumulation.
🍯 Entry: $0.402 - $0.4045
🛑 Stop: $0.3825 (5.4% risk)
🎯 Target 1: $0.4479 (+12.1%)
🚀 Target 2: $0.5100 (+20.6%)
📐 R/R Ratio: ~2.2
This is a structure-based long setup:
Flattening EMAs
Volume compression
Lower wick absorption (buyer presence showing up quietly)
💡 Target 2 ($0.5100) is not a short-term scalp – that's the stretch target IF this turns into full accumulation. Full exit at T1 is a solid take.
More setups on the way.
XAU/USD Intraday Plan | Support & Resistance to WatchGold remains in a bullish structure after breaking above the $3,348 level late last week. Price has since advanced into the $3,368–$3,387 resistance zone and is currently consolidating just beneath $3,387.
A clean break and hold above $3,387 would open the path toward the next upside level at $3,422, with $3,445 as the higher target above.
If price rejects here, watch for a pullback into the $3,358–$3,344 zone. This area is now acting as the first support, backed by the rising 50MA which may act as dynamic support. If buyers fail to hold that zone, focus shifts to the $3,329–$3,313 pullback zone — a deeper support where the 200MA is also positioned, adding confluence.
Failure to hold that area would open the door to a drop into the Secondary Support Zone around $3,295–$3,281, followed by the HTF Support Zone at $3,229–$3,208 if bearish pressure accelerates.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
‣ $3,387 ‣ $3,422 ‣ $3,445
Support:
‣ $3,358 ‣ $3,344 ‣ $3,329 ‣ $3,313 ‣ $3,295 ‣ $3,281 ‣ $3,254
🔎Fundamental Focus:
Today’s key event: ISM Services PMI (4:00pm) – high-impact for USD and gold volatility.
Earlier data (Trade Balance, PMI) may cause intraday spikes.
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Avoid chasing. Let price react, then confirm. Stay sharp around news.
Aussie Shorts Looks Promising This is a pullback trend trade anticipating trend continuation. Entry is based on LVN (low volume node) for entry. Also looking on the footprint chart there is a high volume node with -ve delta that was traded at 0.64715.
If the sellers return to defend that price then this pullback should give some strong rejection once we pierce the entry zone and send bulls packing.
TP1 - First swing low
TP2 - Value area low of the range, which also is in confluence with the ExoFade peak on the 1HR timeframe. ExoFade peaks always gets taken out in a strong trend, that's why i love using them as price targets for exits. ExoFade is free on Tradingview for those curious about it. Just search for it.
Fibonacci Retracement: The Hidden Key to Better EntriesIf you’ve ever wondered how professional traders predict where price might pull back before continuing... the secret lies in Fibonacci Retracement.
In this post, you’ll learn:
What Fibonacci retracement is
Why it works
How to use it on your charts (step-by-step)
Pro tips to increase accuracy in the market
🧠 What Is Fibonacci Retracement?:
Fibonacci Retracement is a technical analysis tool that helps traders identify potential support or resistance zones where price is likely to pause or reverse during a pullback.
It’s based on a mathematical sequence called the Fibonacci Sequence, found everywhere in nature — from galaxies to sunflowers — and yes, even in the markets.
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of numbers where each number is the sum of the two preceding ones, starting with 0 and 1. The sequence typically begins with 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, and so on. This pattern can be expressed as a formula: F(n) = F(n-1) + F(n-2), where F(n) is the nth Fibonacci number.
The key Fibonacci levels traders use are:
23.6%
38.2%
50%
61.8%
78.6%
These levels represent percentages of a previous price move, and they give us reference points for where price might pull back before resuming its trend and where we can anticipate price to move before showing support or resistance to the trend you are following.
💡Breakdown of Each Fib Level:
💎 0.236 (23.6%) – Shallow Pullback
What it indicates:
Weak retracement, often signals strong trend momentum.
Buyers/sellers are aggressively holding the trend.
Best action:
Aggressive entry zone for continuation traders.
Look for momentum signals (break of minor structure, bullish/bearish candles). Stay out of the market until you see more confirmation.
💎 0.382 (38.2%) – First Strong Area of Interest
What it indicates:
Healthy pullback in a trending market.
Seen as a key area for trend followers to step in.
Best action:
Look for entry confirmation: bullish/bearish engulfing, pin bars, Elliott Waves, or break/retest setups.
Ideal for setting up trend continuation trades.
Stop Loss 0.618 Level
💎 0.500 (50.0%) – Neutral Ground
What it indicates:
Often marks the midpoint of a significant price move.
Market is undecided, can go either way.
Best action:
Wait for additional confirmation before entering.
Combine with support/resistance or a confluence zone.
Useful for re-entry on strong trends with good risk/reward.
Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Levels
💎 0.618 (61.8%) – The “Golden Ratio”
What it indicates:
Deep pullback, often seen as the last line of defense before trend reversal.
High-probability area for big players to enter or add to positions.
Best action:
Look for strong reversal patterns (double bottoms/tops, engulfing candles).
Excellent area for entering swing trades with tight risk and high reward.
Use confluence (structure zones, moving averages, psychological levels, Elliott Waves).
Wait for close above or below depending on the momentum of the market.
Stop Loss 1.1 Fib Level
💎 0.786 (78.6%) – Deep Correction Zone
What it indicates:
Very deep retracement. Often a final “trap” zone before price reverses.
Risk of trend failure is higher.
Best action:
Only trade if there's strong reversal evidence.
Use smaller position size or avoid unless other confluences are aligned.
Can act as an entry for counter-trend trades in weaker markets.
Stop Loss around 1.1 and 1.2 Fib Levels
⏱️Best Timeframe to Use Fibs for Day Traders and Swing Traders:
Day trading:
Day traders, focused on capturing short-term price movements and making quick decisions within a single day, typically utilize shorter timeframes for Fibonacci retracement analysis, such as 15-minute through hourly charts.
They may also use tighter Fibonacci levels (like 23.6%, 38.2%, and 50%) to identify more frequent signals and exploit short-term fluctuations.
Combining Fibonacci levels with other indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD, and focusing on shorter timeframes (e.g., 5-minute or 15-minute charts) can enhance signal confirmation for day traders.
However, relying on very short timeframes for Fibonacci can lead to less reliable retracement levels due to increased volatility and potential for false signals.
Swing trading:
Swing traders aim to capture intermediate trends, which necessitates giving trades more room to fluctuate over several days or weeks.
They typically prefer utilizing broader Fibonacci levels (like 38.2%, 50%, and 61.8%) to identify significant retracement points for entering and exiting trades.
Swing traders often focus on 4-hour and daily charts for their analysis, and may even consult weekly charts for a broader market perspective.
🎯 Why Does Fibonacci Work?:
Fibonacci levels work because of:
Mass psychology – many traders use them
Natural rhythm – markets move in waves, not straight lines
Institutional footprint – smart money often scales in around key retracement zones
It's not magic — it's structure, and it's surprisingly reliable when used correctly.
🛠 How to Draw Fibonacci Retracement (Step-by-Step):
Let’s say you want to trade XAU/USD (Gold), and price just had a strong bullish run.
✏️ Follow These Steps:
Identify the swing low (start of move)
Identify the swing high (end of move)
Use your Fibonacci tool to draw from low to high (for a bullish move)
The tool will automatically mark levels like 38.2%, 50%, 61.8%, etc.
These levels act as pullback zones, and your job is to look for entry confirmation around them.
🔁 For bearish moves, draw from high to low. (I will show a bearish example later)
Now let’s throw some examples and pictures into play to get a better understanding.
📈 XAU/USD BULLISH Example:
1.First we Identify the direction of the market:
2.Now we set our fibs by looking for confirmations to get possible entry point:
Lets zoom in a bit:
Now that we have a break of the trendline we wait for confirmation and look for confluence:
Now we set our fibs from the last low to the last high:
This will act as our entry point for the trade.
3. Now we can look for our stop loss and take profit levels:
Stop Loss:
For the stop loss I like to use the fib levels 1.1 and 1.2 when I make an entry based upon the 0.618 level. These levels to me typically indicate that the trade idea is invalid once crossed because it will usually violate the prior confirmations
Take Profit:
For the take profit I like to use the Fib levels 0.236, 0, -0.27, and -0.618. This is based upon your personal risk tolerance and overall analysis. You can use 0.236 and 0 level as areas to take partial profits.
Re-Entry Point Using Elliott Waves as Confluence Example:
This is an example of how I used Elliott Waves to enter the trade again from the prior entry point. If you don’t know what Elliott Waves are I will link my other educational post so you can read up on it and have a better understanding my explanation to follow.
After seeing all of our prior confirmations I am now confident that our trend is still strongly bullish so I will mark my Waves and look for an entry point.
As we can see price dipped into the 0.38-0.5 Fib level and rejected it nicely which is also in confluence with the Elliott Wave Theory for the creation of wave 5 which is the last impulse leg before correction.
🔻 In a downtrend:
Same steps, but reverse the direction — draw from high to low and look to short the pullback.
XAU/USD Example:
As you can see the same basic principles applied for bearish movement as well.
⚠️ Pro Tips for Accuracy:
✅ Always use Fib in confluence with:
Market structure (higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows)
Key support/resistance zones
Volume or momentum indicators
Candle Patterns
Elliott Waves, etc.
❌ Don’t trade Fib levels blindly — they are zones, not guarantees.
📊 Use higher timeframes for cleaner levels (4H, Daily)
💡 Final Thought
Fibonacci retracement doesn’t predict the future — it reveals probability zones where price is likely to react.
When combined with structure and confirmation, it becomes one of the most reliable tools for new and experienced traders alike.
🔥 Drop a comment if this helped — or if you want a Part 2 where I break down Fibonacci Extensions and how to use them for take-profit targets.
💬 Tag or share with a beginner who needs to see this!
GBPCAD bearish for expect
OANDA:GBPCAD last 4 ideas on this pair attached, we are have one strong fall, price is make few pushes on sup zone (violet doted), which taking for legal zone, currently price in ASCENDING TRIANGL better visible on 15TF (will make in note), expecting break of same and higher bearish continuation.
SUP zone: 1.85750
RES zone: 1.84500
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner)
• Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years
• Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD
• Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history
• New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets
• Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history
Possible Reasons for the Move
• Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security
• Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered
• Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off
• Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms
• Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs
• Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup
• OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale
• Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market
• Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction
Market Reaction
• COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move
• ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows
Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment.
• What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling
Near term support & resistance
$106000 support
$109500 first resistance
👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍
Best Reguards
MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart?
Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal.
This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next?
📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown
The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal.
Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence.
🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern?
3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows)
Each drive followed by a shallow pullback
Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms)
Fibonacci symmetry often present:
- Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8%
- Pullbacks: usually 61.8%
📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend):
Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum
Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength
Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence
Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure
🎯Entry Criteria:
Wait for all 3 drives to form
Confirm with divergence on Drive 3
Use a confirmation candle or structure break
Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high
🎯 Targets:
Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base
Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement)
🧠 Pro Tips:
Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes
Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence
Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones
💡 Summary:
The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
Exact Entry Levels & Profit Potential (July 3, 2025)🎯 Market Structure Breakdown – Exact Entry Levels & Profit Potential (July 3, 2025)
📊 In today’s session, I revisit the market for the second time – and you’ll see why I’m ruling out some setups altogether. There’s value in looking twice. What did I miss earlier? It's all in the structure.
I break down price action step by step, highlight precise entry zones, and show where the real potential for movement lies. Clean levels, no guessing.
⚠️ Note: I don’t trade the first 10 seconds – all orders are placed after 9:30:10 and I'm looking for entries only until 11:30:00.
👉 Check out the full breakdown and stay ahead of the game.
NASDAQ:AMZN
NYSE:ANET
NASDAQ:AVGO
NYSE:BA
NASDAQ:COIN
NASDAQ:CZR
NYSE:DELL
NASDAQ:GOOG
NASDAQ:MSFT
NASDAQ:AMD
NASDAQ:RKLB
NASDAQ:SBUX
NASDAQ:SMCI
NYSE:VRT
NASDAQ:NVDA
XAUUSD - High possibility of volatile market opening (20250616)Well, it is quite obvious we have a volatile geo-political crisis this weekend, so market may overreact once again to bring Gold to at least 3500 opening.
Looking at volume, though Gold is in uncharted territory and it can be move as high as 3550 - 3600, I rather play for a quick profit.
Hope later this Sunday, we can find some positive news that can at least hold the surge of Gold to minimum.
Trade safe, Trade wisely. Monday will be a very volatile opening.
USDJPY higher bullish for exepct
FX:USDJPY PA based analysis, price is bounce few times on bottom line of PA, last we have bullish push with short revers till zone 144.000, which taking here for sup zone from which expecting higher bullish continuation.
Technicalls are here same strong bullish for expect
SUP zone: 144.000
RES zone: 146.900






















