Trend Analysis
Nifty levels - Sep 11, 2025Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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CROUSDT Trading IdeaThe price is currently moving within a falling wedge pattern and trapped between immediate resistance and support lines. Breakout from this range will determine the CRO's major direction. Although Elliot wave pointing towards potential downward move, I will prefer to trade the range.
Targets for both bullish and bearish breaks are shown on the chart.
Stay tuned for more updates and trade safe!
XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?XAUUSD Ready for the Next Big Move?
📊 Gold (XAUUSD) Market Report
Gold continues to trade within a strong bullish cycle, supported by both macro fundamentals and technical structure.
From a fundamental perspective, the precious metal remains underpinned by softer U.S. dollar dynamics, moderating bond yields, and persistent safe-haven demand amid global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. Inflationary pressures and the cautious stance of central banks further enhance gold’s role as a defensive asset, keeping institutional interest alive.
On the technical side, the market has shown a clear sequence of bullish impulses following multiple market structure shifts (MSS) and breaks of structure (BOS). Each expansion phase has been driven by strong order flow, with shallow retracements reflecting consistent buyer control. The current leg higher has pushed into an area of potential liquidity grab, suggesting that while the broader trend remains constructive, near-term exhaustion and corrective movement cannot be ruled out.
Taken together, the outlook for gold remains broadly bullish in the medium term, with fundamentals providing a supportive backdrop and technicals confirming momentum. However, traders should be mindful of short-term volatility as the market balances out after recent sharp gains.
Gold (XAU/USD) - Look at Williams %RGold (XAU/USD) - Look at Williams %R
Take a look at the Buy-the-Dip Opportunities in Gold for Swing-Trader whenever Williams %% was in the lower extreme in H8.
We are already slowly coming down. I'd be inclined to take longs in the area I marked on the chart.
If you're a swing-trader, that is a great opportunity.
Let me know what you think,
Meikel
Gold trend analysis continues to rise after consolidationGold trend: Today, gold focuses on the impact of CPI data, which may impact the temporary technical view. Today, the Asian and European sessions maintain a low-long bullish trend, with support at 3620-3610 and short-term focus on 3645-3655. The US data has little impact, so it depends on the range. If the data has a large impact, focus on 3600 below and 3680-3690 above. Gold has risen unilaterally in two transactions and fluctuated for one trading day this week. The current high of gold is 3675, and the decline is only around 3620. Therefore, it is obvious that gold is rising slowly under the bullish trend, and even if it fluctuates, it will not fall much. Then, to determine the direction, we must look at the upward space under the direction. We still don’t guess the top, but under the influence of data, we still have to discuss whether there will be a change in direction or a shift in strength in the near future.
From a technical point of view, the daily line is still above the support of the 5-day moving average. If the 5-day moving average is not broken, there is no possibility of weakening. Although the 4-hour Bollinger Bands have closed, the middle track has not broken, and it is difficult to have a major adjustment. Therefore, the current market is still in a strong position. It is not clear whether gold has peaked or has a larger adjustment space. Therefore, if you want to trade, you still have to go long on the decline. So, today's market can be viewed in two steps. The European session is expected to fluctuate upward. Operate at key points and go long in the 3620-3610 support area below. Look at the 3645-3655 area above. If the US data has a greater impact, pay attention to the gains and losses of the 3600 key point below. It is still a good time to go long if it does not break.
USOIL SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 63.28
Target Level: 61.46
Stop Loss: 64.49
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
EFERT PROBABLY IN WAVE " 3 "- LONGThis is in continuation of our ongoing EFERT wave tracking
Last week price just broke above 214 (check previous posted idea/chart) providing confirmation that either the 4th wave is completed or it will further unfold into a complex correction.
Our preferred wave count suggest that wave 4 is over and we are in the 5th wave which will take price toward 265 - 270 and then 310 - 330 levels
Alternately, prices will consolidate sideward for a couple of more weeks before starting its upside move.
Unfortunately, we are not trading this setup at the moment because our hands are full.
Let see how this plays, Good Luck!
Disclaimer: The information presented in this wave analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute financial or trading advice, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy or sell any securities.
BTCUSD – Fresh Short Setup Inside Supply Zone
Bitcoin has reached a confluence of Daily + 4H supply zones , marked in the red band, after a weak reaction from demand areas over the past two weeks. Instead of showing follow-through strength, the market is struggling to sustain higher levels – a classic indication of buyer exhaustion and renewed seller aggression .
On the 4H and Daily charts, structure has shifted towards weakness:
• Lower highs and lower lows remain intact.
• Supply zones are respected while demand zones are failing to generate momentum.
• Price is now testing overhead supply, offering a clear short entry opportunity.
Trade Plan:
• Bias: Short
• Entry Zone: Within the highlighted red supply band
• Stop-Loss: Just above the supply zone
• Targets:
• First objective: 106,500
• Extended target: 103,000
This setup provides a tight stop relative to the potential downside , creating a favorable risk-to-reward profile. With the path of least resistance currently tilted lower, sellers have the upper hand.
SOL: Eyeing the 210 Level – Waiting for the Green LightHello everyone, this week SOL is trading in a tight band around 203–205, with the spotlight firmly on US NFP data and the potential Spot SOL ETF. On the H4 chart, the decisive level remains 210: just above, a supply FVG stretches from 207.5–210, while below we only see support steps at 201–199 and deeper at 196–193.
My bias leans bullish. Should the data turn risk-friendly (soft NFP, cooler USD, steady BTC, positive ETF headlines), the odds of SOL clearing 210 rise considerably. A breakout could naturally extend towards 214–216 and even 219–221. On the flip side, only a close below 199 on H4 would invalidate this view, signalling a possible retreat to 196–193.
For now, I favour the scenario of a post-NFP breakout above 210 leading to further upside. As long as price holds above 199, this bullish tilt stays intact.
Do you believe SOL can finally push through 210 and target 219+, or will resistance hold firm once again?
NZDUSD BUY TRADE PLANPAIR & DATE: NZDUSD – 2025-09-10
PLAN ID: NZDUSD_2025-09-10_v1
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PLAN OVERVIEW
• Category: Intra-Day / Swing
• Trade Type: Liquidity Sweep Reversal → WITH-trend continuation
• Direction: BUY
• Confidence: 74%
• Min R:R: 1:3 (to TP2)
• Status: ✅ VALID
⸻
MACRO ALIGNMENT NOTE (Mandatory)
• Trend: WITH (vs W1/D1/H4 structure – current leg bullish from Aug swing low)
• Macro Bias: COUNTER (NZ macro softer than USD, but DXY is showing short-term weakness post-data)
• Implication: Technicals favor a bullish continuation, but macro headwind means targets beyond TP2 require active management.
⸻
LEVELS CARD (Quick Action)
Primary Setup (Higher Probability) – BUY
• Entry 01: 0.5925 – 0.5932 (H4 demand + D1 bullish OB retest)
• Entry 02: No valid Entry 02 — omitted.
• Stop Loss: 0.5902 (below OB & liquidity shelf)
• TP1: 0.5962 • TP2: 0.5994 • TP3: 0.6035
• Order: Market (after H1 bullish engulf / pin bar confirmation)
• Session: London / NY
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Alternate Setup: No valid alternate setup meets ≥70% confidence — omitted.
⸻
Future Setup (Pre-Mapped) – WITH-Trend Continuation
• Bias Tag: WITH-trend continuation
• Entry: 0.5995 – 0.6005 (next D1 supply flip)
• Stop Loss: 0.5970
• TP1: 0.6045 • TP2: 0.6080 • TP3: 0.6125
• Session: London / NY
• Trigger: H1/H4 bullish engulf
• Zone Status: Fresh Tap Pending
⸻
EXECUTION CHECKLIST
1. News Blackout Gate: 15m pre / 60m post red USD/NZD events.
2. Price taps 0.5925-0.5932 zone during London/NY.
3. Confirmation on H1/H4 (engulf / pin).
4. Execute order type as defined.
5. Partial at TP1 → SL BE → trail by structure.
6. Exit on invalidation close below 0.5902.
7. Skip if no trigger.
8. If EMA stack flattens at zone, skip.
⸻
FUNDAMENTALS & NEWS
• CB Bias: RBNZ on hold; Fed still restrictive but data softens USD.
• Key Data (7d): US CPI, NZ GDP.
• Cross-Asset: DXY softening, US yields pulling back; risk sentiment mixed-positive.
• Macro Lean: Tactical bullish window before US CPI event risk.
⸻
MARKET MAP
• W1: Bullish corrective leg from Aug swing low inside mid-term range.
• D1: Impulse leg up from 0.5860 demand zone; premium space not yet filled.
• H4: Demand at 0.5925-0.5932; liquidity sweep last session.
• Play Type: Liquidity Sweep Reversal → WITH-trend continuation.
⸻
RISK & MONEY MANAGEMENT
• Risk 1% per idea; basket cap 2%.
• R:R ≥1:3 to TP2; ATR/spread OK.
• Trailing by structure after TP1.
⸻
CONFIDENCE
74% — HTF bullish leg intact, clean demand retest, but macro slightly counter.
⸻
FINAL EXECUTION STRATEGY
• On Primary trigger: Buy 0.5925-0.5932, confirm on H1 close, manage actively beyond TP2.
• No Alternate.
• Zone Status: Fresh tap pending.
NIFTY 1D Time frame📊 NIFTY 50 Snapshot
Current Price: Approximately 24,991
Change: Up ~0.49% from the previous close
Trend: Fifth consecutive day of gains
🔎 Key Levels
Resistance: Near 25,000 — psychological level and recent high
Support: Around 24,800 — recent low and consolidation zone
📈 Technical Indicators
RSI (14): Approximately 58 — neutral to slightly bullish
MACD: Positive — indicating upward momentum
Moving Averages: Price trading above key moving averages, suggesting a bullish trend
📌 Market Sentiment
Catalysts: Optimism over potential GST cuts and revival of trade talks with the U.S.
Sector Performance: Broad-based gains across sectors, with IT and financials leading
📅 Outlook
Bullish Scenario: Sustained trading above 25,000 could lead to a push toward 25,200–25,300.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below 24,800 may test support around 24,600.
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,644 after multiple ChoCHs, showing engineered liquidity grabs. Price has defined clear demand footprints at 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is stacked near 3,673–3,680. This structure suggests a possible retracement into discount zones before expansion toward premium liquidity.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep, high R:R demand area.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket for short-term liquidity grabs.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium zones.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Ideal entry for swing traders seeking higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp opportunity at premium supply; bias remains bullish so manage risk tightly.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a dip into 3,620 or deeper 3,593 demand before expansion. Cleaner setups favor buying dips; shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalp plays only.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With CPI news today, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
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📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
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🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favors:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
XAUUSD | Bullish Setup from Demand Zone towards HTF LiquidityPrice is currently respecting a higher timeframe demand zone (3638–3642) after a sweep of liquidity (SSL) and a confirmed break of structure (BOS).
This indicates potential continuation to the upside targeting higher liquidity levels.
Plan:
• Looking for buy opportunities within the demand zone.
• Stop Loss: Below the zone (invalidates setup).
• Take Profit 1: 3652 (intra-day liquidity).
• Take Profit 2: 3676 (HTF BSL target).
Risk-to-Reward:
Approx. 1:2 to TP1 and up to 1:6 if extended to TP2.
Notes:
• Partial profits at TP1, then move SL to breakeven.
• Setup invalid if price closes below 3634 demand zone.
BTCUSD 4-Hour Chart AnalysisLooking at the BTCUSD 4-hour chart, the price has recently exhibited a dynamic trend. After a prior upward movement, it underwent a pullback. Now, it has found solid support at the 112,500 level. This support zone appears reliable, as the price has stabilized above it, indicating that buying interest has emerged here to prevent further declines.
In terms of resistance, the 116,000 level is a key hurdle to watch. If the price can successfully break through 116,000 with strong momentum, it would open the door to further upside potential. Before that, the 115,000 level could act as a near-term resistance to test the bulls' strength.
For traders, the strategy could be to monitor the price action around the 112,500 support. If the support holds and there are signs of a bullish reversal , it may be an opportunity to consider long positions with a target towards 115,000 and then 116,000. Conversely, a breakdown below 112,500 would shift the bias to the downside, with the next support level to watch at 110,640
Overall, the near-term trend hinges on the price's interaction with the 112,500 support and the subsequent attempt to challenge the 115,000 - 116,000 resistance zone.
Buy 112500 - 113500
TP 114500 - 115500 - 116000
Daily-updated accurate signals are at your disposal. If you run into any problems while trading, these signals serve as a reliable reference—don’t hesitate to use them! I truly hope they bring you significant assistance
BCHUSD H1 | Bearish reversalBCH/USD has rejected off the sell entry, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the downside.
Sell entry is at 595.66, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 613.25, which is a swing high resistance.
Take profit is at 571.96, which is a pullback support.
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