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EUR/USD – Triangle Breakout After Fed’s Cautious CutThe Fed cut rates by 25 bps, but Powell’s cautious tone killed the dovish mood — hinting this might be the last cut for a while. That shift powered the USD back up, leaving the euro on the defensive. Technically, EUR/USD broke out below a contracting triangle that had been squeezing price for days. The breakout near 1.1615 shows that the range has resolved to the downside, confirming fresh bearish momentum. As long as the pair trades below 1.1650, I’m eyeing 1.1550–1.1530 as the next target zone. For me, both sides align perfectly — fundamental disappointment + technical breakout = clean bearish setup.
Short
by ClearTradingMind
Bitcoin Approaches Key Resistance — Bulls Eye 117K BreakoutHello traders, I want to share my view on Bitcoin (BTCUSD). The current market structure shows a gradual recovery phase following the previous breakdown from a large range near the 118,000 level. After a sharp decline and retest of the 106,400 support zone, the market found strong buying interest, forming a new ascending channel structure. This setup has been characterized by steady higher highs and higher lows, confirming the presence of short-term bullish momentum. At this stage, BTCUSD is approaching a key resistance level around 116,000, which aligns with both the upper boundary of the current channel and the prior horizontal resistance zone — a region that previously acted as a strong supply area. This confluence suggests that the market could face a short-term pause or pullback before attempting another bullish impulse. My primary scenario anticipates that if the price holds above the support line near 113,000–113,500, buyers may maintain control and push toward the 117,000 target (TP1) — the next logical resistance level and the top of the channel. However, a clear rejection from 116,000 without follow-through could open the door to a corrective pullback toward 110,500–111,000 for another demand test. In my opinion, the structure remains bullish in the short term, as long as the lower boundary of the ascending channel holds. Therefore, I continue to favor a long scenario with a TP at 117,000, expecting a potential breakout or test of the upper resistance. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
19
Fed Overview: The Good and the Not So GoodDriven by an euphoric phase, the S&P 500 has approached 7,000 points, nearing its 2000 valuation record, with six consecutive months of gains without retracement. The key question for investors is now clear: has the Federal Reserve provided enough justification for this confidence, or does Jerome Powell’s caution mark the beginning of the end of this euphoric phase? 1) A Fed slowing the pace without complacency On Wednesday, October 29, the Fed announced another 25-basis-point rate cut, bringing the federal funds rate into the 3.75%–4.00% range. This is the second consecutive reduction, aimed at countering the labor market slowdown. However, the FOMC vote revealed strong internal divisions: one member wanted a deeper cut, another preferred no change. This reflects the delicate balance between supporting employment and avoiding renewed inflationary pressure. Another key signal: the Fed decided to pause its balance sheet reduction (quantitative tightening) starting December 1st, in order to preserve financial system liquidity, as credit markets show early signs of stress. Powell clarified that this pause does not imply a lasting return to an expansionary stance. Finally, Powell cooled expectations for another rate cut in December, stating that “nothing is guaranteed.” Money markets now price roughly a 70% chance of a hold in December, down from nearly 90% odds of a cut before the meeting. 2) Between monetary realism and market excess The Fed is not ruling out further easing, but it refuses to fuel a bullish rally in the S&P 500 that is now considered excessive relative to fundamentals. Current valuations rely heavily on expectations of continued rate cuts. If that narrative weakens, the likelihood of a technical correction in the S&P 500 rises. At this stage, however, the index has not yet signaled a reversal. 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SP:SPXEducation
by Swissquote
1
Short trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry Pair: EURUSD Direction: Sell-Side Trade Date: Thu 30 Oct 25 Time: 3:30 am Session: London Session AM Timeframe: 15 Min 🔹 Trade Details Metric Value Entry 1.16190 Profit Level (TP) 1.15480 (+0.61%) Stop Level (SL) 1.16379 (–0.16%) Risk–Reward (RR) 3.76 R 🔸 Technical Context Market Structure: Price printed a lower-high formation following a weak London open. After multiple sweeps above intraday liquidity, the pair shifted structure with a clear CHOCH (15 min) and BOS confirmation. Key Zones: Entry Zone: 1.1618 – 1.1620 (Sell-side rejection area / FVG 15 min) Target Zone: 1.1548 – 1.1540 (Demand + daily low cluster) Stop Zone: Above previous swing high and adaptive MA crossover Confluences: Price rejection at KAMA (adaptive MA) acting as dynamic resistance. 5 min BDS and FVG overlap aligned with premium pricing. Volume expansion on the bearish impulse post-CHOCH. Liquidity draw visible below prior daily lows (1.1550 handle). 🔹 Narrative & Bias The short entry follows a liquidity sweep + structure break model within the London session. The 15 min CHOCH signalled that buy-side liquidity was exhausted, creating a sell-off aligned with the higher-timeframe narrative of Euro correction and renewed USD demand. Sentiment Context: Macro tone supported by stronger USD data and intraday Dollar index recovery. Euro showing exhaustion after prior session rallies; correlated GBP pairs confirm relative Euro out-performance but broader USD dominance. Projection: Expect price to continue seeking sell-side liquidity toward 1.1550 – 1.1540 before consolidation or a retracement into the broken structure zone for potential re-entry.
Short
by davidjulien369
GOLD ; How far down?Hello friends Well, after the good rise we had, the price needed a correction, which happened with a double top pattern. Now the main question is, how far will the fall go? Well, in the short term, the price can fall to the specified limits, and if the support areas are broken, the fall will continue, and on the other hand, an important resistance has been created, which the price needs to break for the new ATH. With this decline, it is unlikely that the price will suffer for a while and correct because it has grown a lot and everything will end one day... Support levels can be good points for buying, of course with capital and risk management. *Trade safely with us*
FX:XAUUSD
by TheHunters_Company
Chart Analysis (XAUUSD-15 M)🟢 Chart Analysis (XAU/USD – 15M) Current Price: $3,964 Resistance Zone: $3,980 – $3,983 Support Zone: $3,950 – $3,951 Major Support: $3,910 📊 Technical Outlook: Price Action: Gold has rebounded strongly from the $3,910 zone, forming higher lows — a sign of short-term bullish momentum. Structure: The chart shows a range-bound pattern between $3,950 and $3,983. A breakout above $3,983 could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection here could push the price back toward $3,950 or even $3,910. RSI Indicator (53.47): RSI is currently neutral but trending upward — indicating mild bullish strength. A move above 60 would confirm momentum toward $3,983. Volume: Recent candles show increasing volume on bullish moves, suggesting buying pressure is returning. 🎯 Trade Idea (1:1 Risk–Reward Example) Scenario 1 – Buy Setup: Entry: Above $3,966 Take Profit (TP): $3,978 Stop Loss (SL): $3,954 Bias: Bullish above $3,960 Scenario 2 – Sell Setup: Entry: Below $3,950 Take Profit (TP): $3,938 Stop Loss (SL): $3,962 Bias: Bearish below $3,950 🧭 Summary: Gold is consolidating within a tight range. ➡️ A break above $3,983 will likely open room for upside momentum. ➡️ A drop below $3,950 can shift bias back to bearish, targeting $3,910. Overall Bias: Neutral to bullish (as long as price holds above $3,950).
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by carlos_fx2
1
Phemex Analysis #110: TRUMP’s Strong Week (So Far)Since Monday, TRUMP has been grinding higher from the mid-$7s, shaking out late shorts and building momentum into Thursday. Spot participation improved, funding cooled, and the tape now reads “accumulation with intent,” not a one-off spike. The real question: does this push have enough fuel to clear the next band of resistance, or do we need a reset before the next leg? Possible Scenarios 1) Momentum Extension — Break and Run After a strong run so far this week, price continues to stair-step higher. A decisive break-and-hold above $8.40 puts the next supply zones in play at $8.80 and $9.50; if momentum persists, $11.90 is the stretch target. Pro Tips: Entry: Wait for a clean break-and-hold above $8.80 on rising volume; avoid front-running wicks. Risk: Initial stop just below the recent low (e.g., $8.40). Exits: Scale profits into $11.90, leave a runner toward $14.70 with a trailing stop. 2) Cool-Off & Coil — Range Before the Next Move After this fabulous run since Monday, TRUMP cools into a $7.20–$8.80 box. Volatility compresses, open interest normalizes, and the market builds energy for the next decisive push. Pro Tips: Plan the box: Accumulate closer to $7.20–$7.60; trim exposure into $8.60–$8.80. Grid-friendly: A light long-grid near the lower third can harvest chop while you wait for a breakout cue. Break tells: A volume expansion at the range edge often telegraphs direction—react, don’t predict. 3) Giveback & Reset — Bears Take a Swing If momentum stalls and price loses $7.00 on strong sell volume, the path opens to $6.00–$5.00 (psychological) and, in a sharper risk-off, $4.00. That would convert this week’s move into a lower-high failure. Pro Tips: Defense first: Cut risk on a daily close below $7.00; don’t fight a heavy tape. Buy-the-dip only with signals: Look for stabilization (shrinking candles, waning sell volume, higher-low attempts) before scaling bids at $6.00–$5.00. Flip criteria: A strong reclaim of the lost level with follow-through breadth. Conclusion TRUMP has delivered an impressive week so far—enough to earn the benefit of the doubt if it can convert momentum into structure. Trade the if/then map: press strength through $8.80, play the box while it coils, and respect the downside if $7.00 snaps. Let the levels—and only the levels—decide the story’s next chapter. 🔥 Tips: Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
Gold 1H - Intraday Trading Plan 📅 Date: October 29, 2025 | Session Update: 13:00 VN Time 📈 Market Context Gold remains under pressure after yesterday’s failed recovery above the $4,030 mark. Stronger U.S. economic data and firm Treasury yields continue to weigh on the metal, while investors await upcoming inflation expectations data for further direction. Despite short-term bearish sentiment, the $3,975 – $4,000 region continues to act as a key liquidity and accumulation zone, where large orders from institutional players may still be positioned. For today’s session, expect choppy movement within $3,970 – $4,040, with possible liquidity sweeps around both ends before the next impulsive leg forms. 🔎 Technical Outlook (1H / Smart Money Concept) Overall market structure: Corrective, following a failure to hold above $4,050 in the previous session. Liquidity grab: Below $3,980 and above $4,030 has created short-term imbalance zones. Discount demand zone: $3,975 – $3,985 Premium supply zone: $4,035 – $4,050 A confirmed BOS (Break of Structure) above $4,015 on the 15M timeframe would signal a potential bullish intraday reversal. 🟢 Buy Setup (Reversal / Accumulation Bias) Entry Zone: 3,975 – 3,985 Stop-Loss: 3,968 Take-Profit Targets: → TP1: 4,015 → TP2: 4,035 → TP3: 4,060 Rationale: Price continues to respect the psychological level at $4,000, suggesting possible accumulation. Wait for BOS or ChoCH confirmation on M15 before executing buy positions. A push above $4,015 could signal the start of a reaccumulation phase toward the premium zone. 🔴 Sell Setup (Continuation Scenario) Entry Zone: 4,035 – 4,050 Stop-Loss: 4,062 Take-Profit Targets: → TP1: 4,010 → TP2: 3,980 → TP3: 3,950 Rationale: The $4,035 – $4,050 area aligns with a premium pricing zone, where short-term sellers may defend liquidity. Look for bearish ChoCH confirmation on the lower timeframe to confirm rejection. This setup favors continuation trades in case gold fails to reclaim the intraday structure. ⚠️ Risk Management Tips Avoid entries during major U.S. data releases — high volatility can trigger fakeouts and wide spreads. Always wait for clear market structure confirmation before execution. Take partial profits at near-term liquidity pools and trail stop-loss as the trade progresses. Keep your risk per position below 1% — volatility remains elevated within this tight range. ✅ Summary Gold is consolidating near the $4,000 key support zone, showing early signs of reaccumulation but still lacking confirmation. A break and hold above $4,015 could ignite a short-term bullish move toward $4,050 – $4,060. Conversely, a clean break below $3,970 would likely expose $3,950 and extend the bearish correction. Patience and structure confirmation remain the key — liquidity traps are likely before any clear directional move. FOLLOW KHANG_TRADER for precision market insights ⚡
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Lucy_Avana
1
Potential bullish reversal?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 1.3913 1st Support: 1.3864 1st Resistance: 1.3981 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by IC Markets
EURUSD Shorterm Forecast on 4hrsOn shorterm bases price reversed at 1.16 and is heading high. My target is at 1.1680 but I think it will touch 1.17 again and seems like it will go higher to 1.185. For now, price will not go to 1.15 as I initially thought (currently there are no indications of the reversal of uptrend on minor timeframes). Shortterm I had to change my stance for bullish on 4 hrs due to the price action which developed last week due to US CPI release and continued government shutdown in the USA. However longterm, we will be reversing before 1.20. EURUSD tends to range a lot though. So it will stay in this area for a while. Watch the minor downtrend (lower highs on daily). I think price is likely to violate the last lower high on daily. FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY
Long
by ICFX
2
SOLANA: The last wave before takeoff or a deep pullbackSOLANA: The last wave before takeoff or a deep pullback 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bullish scenario: SOL holds above ~$190, breaks through ~$260.83 → start of uptrend → target ~$300+. Consolidation: price trades between ~$190 and ~$260, wave structure not defined until breakout. Bearish scenario: breakout of support at ~$190 with volume → likelihood of a significant correction to ~$150–$160. ✅ Conclusion Solana is at a key decision point for the coming week: The ~$260.83 level is a benchmark for a bullish resumption. The ~$190 level is a critical support level. A breakout upward will provide upward momentum; a breakout downwards is likely a pullback. Follow price reactions at the highlighted levels and confirmation of the wave structure before making trading decisions.
CRYPTO:SOLUSDLong
by Trade_Hive_Signals