GOLD → Mixed data forms a symmetrical triangle FX:XAUUSD is bouncing off support at 4030, with bulls trying to maintain the current trend. The fundamental backdrop is currently weak for gold, which is why there are bears in the market. The PMI report is coming up...
Mixed US employment data (NFP growth to 119K, but unemployment rose to 4.4%) has created uncertainty. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December remains at 40%. Fed officials remain cautious, warning of the risks of premature easing.
Focus on the 4070-4082 area and local trend resistance...
Gold is awaiting new signals from PMI data. A breakout of the range is likely if there are significant deviations from forecasts (Manufacturing PMI: 52, Services PMI: 54.8)
Technically, a symmetrical triangle is forming on the chart, which could keep the market within its boundaries if the fundamental background remains unchanged. However, a breakout of either boundary could trigger a distribution in the direction of the break
Resistance levels: 4080, 4110
Support levels: 4040, 4030, 4006
In the medium term, gold currently looks weak. The reaction to support is weakening, a cascade of levels and a downward resistance line are forming. The market may test the 4080 area, but if the PMI is weak, gold will return to attack the trend support. However, a break above 4082 and a close above this zone could give us a chance for growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Trend Analysis
Bitcoin - Approaching the Make or Break ZoneBitcoin continues to bleed lower after multiple liquidity sweeps, and the decline is beginning to compress into a more controlled down move. The chart shows a clear shift in sentiment after the all time high sweep, then another daily sweep that helped close both the daily and 4H imbalance. Since losing the mid range zone and treating it as resistance, the market has been trending toward the next major area of interest.
Consolidation Structure
The structure is currently defined by a clean series of lower highs combined with sharp impulsive down legs. These moves are driven by liquidity grabs followed by displacement, which fits the narrative of a market hunting demand. The previously supportive gray zone has now flipped into resistance, confirming that the current trend remains heavy until a deeper demand zone is reached.
Key Support Zone and Expectations
The most important area beneath price sits around the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range, which is the closest meaningful support left on the higher time frame. This zone has been untested since the last major accumulation phase, and as long as price reaches it with a clean move, the reaction can form the base for a bullish leg. If this zone fails to hold, the next meaningful support sits deeper, and the downside extension could accelerate before any recovery starts.
Bullish Scenario
If Bitcoin reaches the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand range and prints a clear rejection with displacement back upward, the market can set the foundation for a strong bullish bounce. Ideally, we see a final liquidity sweep beneath that range, followed by a sharp market structure shift on the lower time frames. That would open the door for a sustained recovery toward the mid range inefficiencies left behind during the selloff.
Bearish Scenario
If the key zone does not hold, the current support gives way and the market moves into a much deeper discount. That would shift the bias toward continuation lower, targeting untouched liquidity pools further down. In this scenario, any attempt to bounce would likely be corrective rather than the start of a true reversal.
Conclusion
I expect Bitcoin to deliver a meaningful bullish bounce once the seventy two thousand to seventy five thousand zone is tapped, as long as the level holds cleanly. If it fails, the decline continues into a deeper support, but the higher time frame idea remains that the next strong reaction will come from that region. Until then, patience is key while the market completes the move into higher time frame demand.
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NQ Year End Range (11-17-25)Recent price action is looking like what we saw late 2024 into 2025, prior to 26% drop (Feb,25). You can view the Post here:
The lift back up from the 26% drop has been a 60% run up on low volume, including the 10 minute 12% pop from Wash ST. "time to buy" Tweet. NAZ under long term TL (Orange trendline), needs to get above. Yellow line is drop trade and white is drop/pop trade. 294,910 - 25,910 is the Churn Range and look for a breakout. Below 24,910 is drop testing and looking for bounce back up, any lift near 25,910 (during the Overnight) should drop back inside Churn Zone.
Gold possible move Gold is currently bouncing from a rising trendline support around 4022–4040, indicating buyers are still active in this zone. If price holds above this support, we may see a bullish move toward the first resistance at 4089, followed by 4133. A breakout above these levels can push price toward the upper target zone around 4212–4243.
However, if price breaks below the trendline, further downside toward 3996 may follow.
CAD/JPY – Wedge Breakout Pattern (21.11.2025)📝 Setup Overview OANDA:CADJPY
CAD/JPY has broken below a rising wedge structure, signaling weakening bullish momentum. After multiple rejections at the resistance zone, price is now losing steam below the Ichimoku cloud, showing early bearish pressure.A clean breakout + retest scenario opens the door for downside continuation toward the next demand zones.
📌 Trading Plan📍 Entry Idea:
Look for bearish continuation below the wedge support + cloud rejection.
🎯 Targets (Support Levels):
1st Support: 111.022
2nd Support: 110.561
🛑 Resistance Zone:
112.014 – 112.294
This zone continues to act as a strong supply area where sellers took control repeatedly.
📉 Today’s Fundamentals – Bearish CAD Bias
1️⃣ Crude Oil Pullback → Weakens CAD
Canada’s economy is heavily tied to oil prices. Today’s dip in crude oil puts pressure on the CAD, giving JPY an advantage.
2️⃣ Safe-Haven Demand Supports JPY
With global markets showing risk-off sentiment (concerns over slowing global growth + uncertain central bank guidance), investors favor safe-haven currencies like the Japanese Yen.
3️⃣ BoC Policy Tone Still Cautious
Recent Bank of Canada communications show limited confidence in economic momentum.
Markets expect slower growth → bearish CAD outlook.
➡️ Combination of oil weakness + JPY strength + wedge breakdown = bearish continuation setup.
🔖 Hashtags
#CADJPY #ForexAnalysis #PriceAction #WedgeBreakout #Ichimoku #FXTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #FundamentalAnalysis #SmartMoney #TradingViewCommunity #Kabhi_TA_Trading
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk and trade based on your plan.
💬 Support the Work
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Smart Money Liquidity Trap Explained⭐ Smart Money Liquidity Trap Explained
✨ A deep dive into how institutions manipulate price before major moves ✨
In every financial market — Forex, Crypto, Stocks, Indices — price doesn’t simply move at random. Behind the scenes, Smart Money (institutions, banks, hedge funds) engineer setups that allow them to enter positions at the best possible price. One of their most effective tools is the Liquidity Trap.
Let’s break it down beautifully and clearly. 👇
🔥 What Is a Liquidity Trap?
A Liquidity Trap occurs when Smart Money deliberately pushes price into areas loaded with:
❌ Stop-loss orders
📉 Sell-side liquidity
📈 Buy-side liquidity
😰 Emotional retail entries
🔥 Breakout traders placing pending orders
These areas become liquidity pools — perfect fuel for institutions to fill their massive positions.
Retail traders think it’s a breakout…
But Smart Money thinks:
➡️ "Thank you for the liquidity."
🧩 How Smart Money Creates the Trap
1️⃣ Phase 1: Build the Setup
Smart Money guides price slowly toward an obvious level:
A clean high
A clean low
A trendline
A double top/bottom
Retail traders get excited:
📢 “Breakout coming!”
But institutions are simply gathering attention.
2️⃣ Phase 2: The Liquidity Grab ⚡
Price spikes violently above/below the obvious level.
This move triggers:
🟥 Stop-loss hunts
📉 Forced liquidations
💥 Breakouts that fail instantly
This sudden spike gives institutions the liquidity needed to place large buy or sell orders without causing massive slippage.
This is why the spike is often fast and dramatic.
3️⃣ Phase 3: The Real Move Begins 🚀
After the liquidity is collected, price reverses sharply.
This is the moment Smart Money actually commits to the real direction.
Retail traders feel:
🤯 “Why did it reverse?!”
😭 “I got stopped out for nothing!”
😵 “The breakout was fake!”
But Smart Money simply executed their strategy perfectly.
🎯 How to Use Liquidity Traps in Your Trading
Study where retail traders commonly place:
⛔ Stops
📌 Breakout orders
❗ Predictable entries
Then wait for the fast liquidity grab followed by:
A displacement 🎇
A sharp wick rejection
A structure shift (CHoCH / BOS)
These signals often reveal the true direction of the upcoming move.
💡 Key Features of a Smart Money Liquidity Trap
✨ Sudden spike into obvious areas
✨ Fast liquidation and stop-hunting behavior
✨ Sharp wick rejections
✨ Structure shift after the spike
✨ Smooth continuation in the real direction
🚀 Why This Concept Is So Powerful
Recognizing liquidity traps allows you to:
❌ Avoid fake breakouts
🛡️ Protect yourself from stop-hunts
🎯 Enter the market at premium/discount levels
🤝 Align with Smart Money
💼 Improve long-term consistency
This is how professional traders stay on the right side of volatility — by understanding why the market moves, not just where it moves.
BITCOIN Is the first Bear Cycle RALLY approaching?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a brutal (but technically anticipated) correction ever since its October 06 All Time High (ATH), registering 6 red candles out of last 7. We have shown in previous analyses why the Bear Cycle has technically started, how the market lost the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now about to touch the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
This is the time where we may see a counter-trend rally, the first within this Bear Cycle. First of all, BTC has just completed a total decline of -32.30%, exactly like the January - April 2025 correction and identical to the -33.55% March - August 2024 correction. This is why we project the 86600 - 83600 range as the first technical Support Zone of this Bear Cycle and potential rebound candidate. In the meantime, the 1W RSI is approaching the 30.00 oversold barrier, which further enhances the probabilities for a relief rally.
If materialized, it can technically rise even as high as the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, where it may make contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), even above the 1W MA50. The 1D MA200 has been the counter-trend rally rejection trendline and Resistance of the previous two Bear Cycles. Coupled with the 0.618 Fib, it forms a formidable market Resistance Zone.
This rally may coincide with a final stock market rally, what is traditionally called 'the Santa Rally', which is the end-of-year rise on the markets. Technically that can be the perfect Bull Trap that rejects the rebound and resumes the bearish trend towards Lower Lows and eventually the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
So do you think we are finally about to see the first rally of this Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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GOLD → Waiting for NFP... High importance level!FX:XAUUSD is stagnating ahead of the news. The market is in a phase of uncertainty, with long shadows and short candlestick bodies. The key factor will be the US employment data for September.
We have not seen unemployment data for more than seven weeks, which makes this data highly significant. Complete uncertainty. Significant deviations from forecasts could significantly change expectations for Fed rates. The probability of a Fed rate cut in December fell to 33% after the publication of the minutes, in which the regulator expressed concerns about inflation.
The market expects 50K jobs to be created in September, compared to 22K in August.
The unemployment rate is forecast at 4.3%, with wage growth at 3.7% year-on-year.
The further dynamics of gold depend on the NFP data. Weaker indicators may reinforce expectations of Fed policy easing and support price growth, while strong data will put pressure on the metal
Resistance levels: 4082 - 4111
Support levels: 4040, 4006
In the current circumstances, having only one scenario means narrowing your view of the situation as much as possible. The market can be aggressive on news. Weak data could lock the price within the current range (trading between graces). However, a breakout of resistance at 4082 - 4111 and a close above this level could trigger growth. Otherwise, a breakdown and consolidation below 4040 could break the current bullish trend and trigger a sell-off to 3930 (especially against the backdrop of the Fed's weak but hawkish stance).
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD Channel Support Holds as Price Targets $85K PullbackHello traders! Let’s break down the current BTCUSD market structure. Bitcoin is trading inside a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure confirms that the market is still moving within a broader bearish trend. Earlier, BTC created a large range phase on the left side of the chart, showing indecision before breaking down and starting the current downtrend. Each approach to the upper trendline (Resistance Line) resulted in a clear turnaround, proving that sellers continue to defend this zone aggressively. During the recent decline, BTC made multiple corrections inside the channel, but every upward move was short-lived and rejected by the descending resistance. A recent breakout attempt failed, and price quickly returned back into the channel, signaling that bullish momentum remains weak. Currently, Bitcoin is testing the Support Line of the descending channel near the $81,400–$82,000 zone. This level has acted as a key demand area within the trend. A short-term bounce from support is possible, and the chart shows a projected move toward TP1 near $85,000, which aligns with a minor internal resistance level. However, as long as BTC trades below the major Resistance Level around $94,000 and within the descending channel, the market maintains a bearish bias. Any bullish recovery is likely to be limited unless price can break above the channel and secure structure above $94,000. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GOLD?
Gold reached the resistance zone and the upper boundary of the descending channel, but failed to break above it and was strongly rejected.
This reaction indicates that selling pressure remains dominant in this area.
The ongoing downward correction is expected to continue at least toward the support zone and the lower boundary of the channel.
While the long-term trend remains bullish, gold may remain corrective and slightly bearish in the medium term until key levels are reclaimed.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Saylor’s Master Plan at Risk? MSCI Drops the HammerMSCI May Exclude Crypto-Heavy Companies: What It Means for MicroStrategy and the Market
MSCI recently published a proposal that could dramatically reshape how global indices treat companies with large crypto exposure.
According to the framework, companies holding more than 50% of their market capitalization in digital assets may be excluded from national and international indices.
This sounds technical - but the consequences are huge.
What This Means in Practice
If the rule is implemented, companies like MicroStrategy, Bitfarms, Marathon, Hut8, Coinbase, or any firm holding a large percentage of crypto on their balance sheet, may:
be excluded from major indices,
lose exposure to institutional investors,
be off-limits for pension funds, insurers and conservative hedge funds,
face reduced liquidity and forced selling.
This is not a small development.
This is a structural shift.
🧩 Why MicroStrategy Is the Most Exposed
MicroStrategy’s business model has been extremely straightforward:
issue new shares
raise debt (including convertible notes)
use the proceeds to buy Bitcoin
rising BTC → rising MSTR
rising MSTR → more borrowing capacity
A perpetual loop.
But if MSTR gets excluded from key indices, the loop breaks:
passive funds must sell
institutional investors face compliance risk
liquidity dries up
volatility increases
borrowing costs rise
And remember:
MicroStrategy currently trades below the fair value of its Bitcoin holdings.
A forced outflow amplifies the structural imbalance.
⚠️ Why Institutions Bought MicroStrategy Instead of Bitcoin
Many funds legally cannot buy Bitcoin.
They also cannot buy high-risk crypto exchange stocks like Coinbase.
But they can buy:
reputable corporate debt
convertible notes
equity from a listed U.S. corporation
Michael Saylor gave them a regulatory loophole:
“Want Bitcoin exposure? Buy my convertible debt.
If BTC rises, convert the notes into shares.”
This workaround is now cracking.
Convertible Debt Holders Are in a Tough Spot
If MSTR is excluded from indices:
index funds sell → share price drops
falling price → convertible notes lose value
institutions holding the debt face losses
the balance sheet risk increases
This is why regulatory decisions matter so much.
Insider Selling: VP of Bitcoin at MicroStrategy Sells ~$19.7M Worth of Stock
The timing is… interesting.
Started selling on September 18
Sold options-based shares in multiple lots
Continued selling until November 14
Total realized profit: ~$19.69M
Selling into regulatory uncertainty is not random behavior.
It’s a signal.
Key Takeaways
1. MSCI’s proposal changes the rules:
companies with >50% crypto exposure may become “non-indexable”.
2. MicroStrategy’s core model—borrowing to buy BTC—depends on institutional inflows.
Index exclusion disrupts it.
3. Convertible note investors may face severe pressure.
4. Insider selling suggests internal awareness of structural risk.
5. If MSTR is removed from indices, forced selling could create significant downside pressure.
📉 Conclusion
MicroStrategy has long been a “Bitcoin ETF before ETFs existed”.
Institutions bought MSTR because they couldn’t buy BTC directly.
But now:
Bitcoin ETFs exist,
regulations are tightening,
index providers are updating risk frameworks.
MicroStrategy may become a victim of its own success strategy.
Best regards EXCAVO
XAUUSD: Price Holds Triangle Support, Aiming for $4,120Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
XAUUSD is trading within a broad symmetrical triangle structure, where price continues to respect both the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. After a strong bullish rally inside the Upward Channel earlier, Gold reached the Resistance Area around $4,120–$4,130, where a sharp reversal occurred. This zone has consistently acted as a major supply level, triggering multiple corrections in recent sessions. Following the breakout below the Upward Channel, XAUUSD entered a consolidation phase supported by the Support Zone near $4,000, which aligns with the lower triangle boundary. This level has proven to be a key reaction zone, showing strong buyer interest each time price tested it.
Currently, Gold attempted another bullish push after bouncing from the Triangle Support Line. Price is now approaching the Resistance Area once again, but buyers face strong selling pressure around $4,080–$4,120, which overlaps with both horizontal resistance and the descending triangle boundary. A break and close above the Triangle Resistance Line would confirm bullish continuation and likely lead to a retest of higher liquidity levels near $4,180–$4,200. As long as XAUUSD stays above the $4,000 Support Zone, the broader structure remains bullish. However, sustained failure to break the resistance area may result in another corrective move back toward the Triangle Support Line.
My Scenario & Strategy
From my perspective, as long as Gold holds above $4,000, the bullish bias remains intact.
My near-term target (TP1) is the $4,120 Resistance Area, with potential extension toward $4,160–$4,200 if buyers manage a clean breakout above the triangle resistance. I will look for long entries on pullbacks toward the Triangle Support Line or the Support Zone around $4,000–$4,020, especially if bullish rejection patterns appear.
If XAUUSD breaks below the $4,000 level, the bullish setup becomes invalid and deeper correction toward $3,960–$3,920 may follow. For now, price action favors a bullish continuation setup, provided support continues to hold.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
GBP/JPY Rejection at Supply → Next Stop: 204.00 !The GBP/JPY Pair, Price has been trading within a Trendline Breakout on the M30 chart, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. Price action is now testing the lower boundary of the pattern, signalling a possible breakdown.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Downward structure building inside the pattern.
2️⃣Sellers are showing strength near support levels.
3️⃣Breakdown below the trendline indicates momentum continuation toward lower zones.
✅Trade Plan :
Entry: Sell after confirmed breakdown below the support (Candle close below trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – major support area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Above the pattern structure / recent swing high.
✅Psychological Discipline:
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as part of the strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
✅ Support this analysis with a
LIKE 👍 | COMMENT 💬 | FOLLOW 🔔
It helps a lot & keeps the ideas coming!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT): Approaching a Major Turning PointHI!
Trend Structure
Since mid-October 2025, ETH has been trending inside a well-defined descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows. The break of the previous bullish trendline back in July 2025 confirmed the shift into a corrective phase.
Key Support Zone (S&D)
Price is now around $2,730 (Nov 2025) and heading toward the crucial $2,450–$2,300 S&D zone, a strong support area that held the market firmly between May and July 2025.
Expected Price Behavior
A final liquidity sweep toward $2,300–$2,200 is possible before any sustainable upside move. This aligns with the lower boundary of the descending channel.
Deeper Support (DP)
If this level fails, the next major demand sits at $1,950–$1,800, last touched in March 2025.
Bias Still Bearish, But Confirmation Below 4050 Is Needed1. What Happened Yesterday
Gold continued to trade inside the well-defined 4050–4100 range discussed in the previous analysis.
Aside from a few small spikes, price respected the boundaries perfectly, confirming this as the current “decision zone” for the market.
2. Current Market Context
My outlook remains bearish, but as mentioned yesterday, nothing meaningful happens until 4050 breaks cleanly.
This level is acting as the floor of the range, while 4100 caps every bullish attempt.
We are simply waiting for confirmation.
3. Technical Outlook
The levels are very straightforward:
- Below 4050 → bearish continuation
A decisive break opens the path toward 3900, which remains the primary downside target.
- Above 4100 → bullish extension
A clear breakout and stabilization above 4100 would give scope for a move toward 4200.
Until one of these levels goes, expect more range-bound trading.
4. Trading Plan
No changes from yesterday:
Bias stays bearish, but only with confirmation below 4050.
If price breaks above 4100, short-term upside to 4200 becomes the higher-probability scenario.
5. Conclusion
Gold is trapped in a tight range, and the next major move will be decided by a clean breakout from 4050 or 4100.
For now, patience is key.
BTCUSD Next Buying Move AnalysisPrice is sitting inside a strong demand zone.
If BTC breaks below this support, more downside can open.
But if it holds, expect a pullback toward the mid-resistance zone, and only a break above that can target the upper resistance.
Focus Levels
Support: Current lower pink zone
Resistance: Mid-zone + upper target zone
Trend: Bearish unless a strong reversal candle forms
Please kindly support with Boost and Comments.
Litecoin LTC/USD Buy The Fear Sell The EuphoriaI haven't made a Litecoin chart in a while. We've been sideways and uneventful, figured I would wait till something eventful happens. Well here it is folks , the moment before we actually move up everyone is selling except for a few smart hands. This fractal says it all in my opinion. fractals are usually very similar but not exact. Where we are now in price for Litecoin around 83 is really close to the bottom of this pullback. It washed out and cleaned up all the leverage, a very common occurrence in this market before large moves up. The move will be absolutely explosive and probably no meaningful pullback until we break the all time high. I see a pullback to retest the high before the next massive leg up.
Right now in my opinion is the worst place to sell. I know this "bear market" is not a real bear market because of how many people are saying it is. The whole world says its a bear market right now, every youtube grifter has pivoted to bear market recently with this drop, every news channel is saying it is. Thats why its not, most have sold already and now the price I believe will rebound so fast it'll shock everyone and the ones who sold will be in denial waiting for the "next low". When that low doesn't come and we break the highs they will all pile back in.
Everyone says oh this moving average, or this indicator, or this RSI. Look its all helpful stuff but its also all imaginary lines. Who says that we MUST be in a bear market because we broke a 200 day moving average. Who says because RSI is overbought we must go down. RSI has infinite different adjustments so whos to say that the 14 length is correct? These indicators will begin to fail over time as more and more people look at them. Right now there is more traders and wanna be traders in the world than ever before so if everyone is looking at the same thing all the time then most likely those will start to fail. Oh its happened every time before , I know , I know. Come on at the end of the day Bitcoin is still in its infancy. I dont buy the four year cycle, or seasonality crap, its foolish and betting your portfolio on those factors alone is a recipe for BROKE! I still stand by my previous long term predictions. Obviously its taking much longer than I expected but timing these things is nearly impossible on the long term time frame. While all the youtube grifters flip flop weekly I listen to the Billonaires and people who MAKE the markets. Saylor said three days ago the pullback is almost over and hes buying. Blackrocks Robbie Mitchnick says this is a good buying area and thats just a couple theres dozens of big wigs saying the same thing.
So to wrap this up I believe we are at the point of rocket ship. Look at economic factors, liquidity worldwide is expanding, stimulus is coming, tightening is ending, rates are coming down. Fiat currencies worldwide are about to go into hyperinflation and certain cryptos will reap the benefit of that. Bitcoin and Litecoin being the top gainers in this next phase of hyperinflation in my opinion. This is just my opinion and not financial advice. Thank you
GOLD DAILY CHART ROUTE MAPHey everyone,
Here’s the Daily Chart idea we’ve been tracking. The swing move into 4145 has now produced a candle body close above that level, which keeps the long term gap open toward 4325. We also saw a rejection with a candle body close below 4145, leaving 3165 open beneath. However, note that this rejection touched the channel half line, which based on our uniquely drawn goldturn channel typically provides strong support.
We’re seeing that support play out now with a bounce off the half-line.
At the moment, our key levels are:
Primary support: Channel half-line
Secondary support: 3961
Primary resistance: 4145
Long range gap target: 4325, which becomes more significant if we see the EMA5 cross and hold above 4145.
We’ll keep everyone updated as the week progresses.
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
SOLUSDT: Liquidity Tightens – Every Pullback Drops Even Deeper!When talking about Solana right now, the clearest feeling is that the market is losing strength day by day . Recent news shows that SOL has dropped sharply in November, and large capital keeps exiting the market — turning every bounce into an excuse for holders to sell rather than a sign of reversal.
On the H4 chart, SOL is trapped inside a descending wedge , repeatedly rejected by the Ichimoku cloud — an area that has consistently blocked every recovery attempt. Each previous bounce has only led to an even stronger downward leg.
The $130 level is the nearest immediate resistance and also aligns with the descending trendline. If price pulls back to this zone, there is a high probability of fresh selling pressure emerging. When that happens, SOL could continue dropping toward the psychological support at $100 — the key target in the current bearish outlook.
In summary, with both negative news and a weak technical structure, the most reasonable strategy now is to follow the downtrend , wait for price to pull back into resistance to find cleaner entries, and avoid catching bottoms when the market shows no clear reversal signals.
Bitcoin Monthly Chart — Fisher Transform Oscillator AnalysisThis chart displays the long-term monthly price evolution of Bitcoin alongside the Fisher Transform oscillator, highlighting key turning points and trend reversals from bear market lows.
Fisher Transform measures market cycles and helps visualize extreme conditions, with horizontal dashed lines marking typical reference levels near ±2.0.
By spotting these extreme negative values, long-term investors can use the Fisher Transform as a guide for systematic accumulation—gradually averaging in when the oscillator bottoms out and signals oversold conditions. This approach aligns with dollar-cost averaging and can help build a position ahead of subsequent bull runs, without relying on perfect market timing.
BTC 1D: watching 64–73k box for Nov 25–26 FED weekBearish channel intact unless 80k is reclaimed. Map, not signal.
Key idea: the bearish channel guides price into 64–73k. If we drift there by Nov 25–26, FED could trigger the next major move.
Not advice: I act only if price respects the box and vol/volume confirm. Until then this is a roadmap, not a signal.
Which side of 64–73k breaks first?
EURUSD: Targets focus on declines to 1.1480 support levelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
EURUSD continues to trade within a clear Downward Channel, maintaining a strong bearish structure characterized by consistent lower highs and lower lows. Early in the chart, the pair formed a prolonged Range Phase, signaling indecision before sellers eventually took control and pushed the price downward. After breaking below the range, EURUSD repeatedly retested the Resistance Area around 1.1550, where the market showed strong bearish reactions. Each bounce into this resistance zone resulted in a clear rejection, proving that sellers consistently defend this area. The chart also highlights multiple Breakout attempts, all of which failed to sustain upward continuation, confirming a lack of bullish strength. Additionally, the chart shows the formation of a Triangle Pattern, with price reacting between the Triangle Resistance Line and the Triangle Support Line. Despite temporary recoveries, every move upward was limited and capped by descending trendline pressure.
Currently, EURUSD broke below the minor structure support again, demonstrating that bearish momentum remains dominant. Price is now heading toward the Support Zone near 1.1480, which aligns with both horizontal demand and the Triangle Support Line. This confluence makes it a key level to watch. As long as EURUSD trades below the 1.1550 Resistance Area and stays inside the Downward Channel, the bearish structure remains intact. Any bullish recovery is likely to be corrective rather than trend-changing unless buyers manage to break above major resistance.
My Scenario & Strategy
I expect EURUSD to continue edging lower toward the 1.1480 Support Zone, following the recent rejection from resistance. A minor upward correction may occur, potentially retesting broken support or the Triangle Resistance Line, but such a move would likely be short-lived without strong bullish confirmation.
A confirmed breakdown below 1.1480 would open the path for deeper bearish continuation within the Downward Channel. Only a solid breakout above 1.1550, backed by strong buying pressure, would challenge the prevailing bearish trend. For now, selling the pullbacks remains the more favorable strategy while price stays below major resistance.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.






















