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Trend Analysis

Hype testing resistanceIn my previous idea on Hype I was looking at 3 probabilities. Now I am waiting to see if the resistance is broken or not. Even if this is the case I would still wait for a test of the broken level and a flip into support. We also got a 900 ema on top of the resistance so thats an important area. The are 2 prices on wich net longs showed interest recently , one is 30 and the other one is 31.5. This shows that theres a chance we break the resistance. If not then we go low and im interested only in shorts, at least to the lower levels pointed out in previous post.
Long
by MathProoo
4
BTCUSD — Daily Bearish Bias Remains IntactOn the Daily timeframe, Bitcoin continues to trade within a strong bearish environment, with downside pressure still dominating the broader structure. Price recently attempted to retest the Daily resistance zone, but the market failed to achieve acceptance above the level. The rejection from this area suggests that supply remains active, and sellers are still defending the upper boundary. Analyst Perspective: As long as BTC remains below the Daily resistance, the probability favors a continuation move to the downside, with price potentially revisiting lower support regions. Key Levels to Watch: Daily Resistance: Supply zone overhead Next Supports: Lower daily demand areas as downside objectives A sustained break and close above resistance would weaken this bearish outlook, but until then, the trend remains corrective to the downside. This is a directional bias based on market structure — always apply proper risk management and avoid overexposure.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by Fredolin
2
BTC: Holds $70K, but the trend is weakAfter a brutal sell-off during the past few weeks, BTC spent one relatively quiet week, with a major movement during the Fridays inflation data and Saturdays trading session. The lowest weekly level was at $65,5K, after which BTC tried to regain higher levels, closing the week around the $70K for one more time. It is important to note that the risk-off mode is still active on financial markets, including the US equity market, in which sense, time for higher grounds might still not be right for BTC. The RSI continues to chop in the oversold area of charts. The end of the week brought a slight increase in the indicator to the level of 34, but it was quite a weak move, so it could be concluded that BTC is still in the oversold territory. Both MA50 and MA200 are moving as two parallel lines with a downtrend, without a clear indication that the potential cross is coming in the near term. Charts are still not clearly pointing to the recovery of BTC. It is currently in some sort of status-quo mood. There are some indications that the price could go higher from the $70K, where the level of $80K is the first level. However, there is no indication that the price could go significantly higher from the range of $80K-$85K. A move toward the downside is also possible. At this moment, a potential drop in price could lead to levels between $65K to $60K. At this moment, there are no clear signs of the potential price moves with higher level of probability.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
1
USDJPY | Sharp 3.5% Drop in 3 DaysPrice remains within a broader descending channel, respecting the upper and lower boundaries shown on the chart. After the impulsive leg lower, we are now seeing a smaller corrective structure forming near the lower half of the channel. The 152.50 region stands out as a key support zone. It has acted as a reaction base previously and now aligns with the lower channel structure, making it a clear inflection area. The recent bounce appears corrective rather than impulsive. Momentum has stabilised, but there is no strong evidence yet of a sustained trend reversal. Scenarios: If the corrective bounce loses momentum below the recent swing highs → price may rotate lower and test, or potentially break, the 152.50 support region. If 152.50 holds firmly → we could see a broader consolidation develop before any further downside attempt. Catalysts: Upcoming US data releases and rate expectations will likely determine whether this is simply a positioning unwind or the beginning of a deeper USD repricing. Takeaway: 152.50 is the key decision point. The recent 3-day drop has shifted short-term structure lower, and unless momentum reclaims higher ground convincingly, the pair remains vulnerable to further pressure into support.
by Alchemy Markets
1
BTCUSDT Long: Higher Lows Forming Above Key DemandHello traders! Here’s my technical outlook on BTCUSDT (4H) based on the current chart structure. Bitcoin was previously trading within a clearly defined descending channel, where price consistently respected both the upper resistance and lower support boundaries. This structure was characterized by a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, confirming sustained bearish control and a controlled downside movement rather than panic-driven selling. Sellers remained dominant throughout this phase, using every pullback toward the channel resistance to add pressure. Eventually, price broke down below the lower boundary of the descending channel, confirming continuation of the bearish leg and reinforcing seller dominance. This breakdown led to a sharp impulsive move to the downside, culminating in a pivot point, where aggressive selling was finally met by strong buyer reaction. This area marked the first significant demand response, resulting in a sharp rebound and signaling short-term exhaustion from sellers. Currently, following this rebound, BTC entered a consolidation phase, forming a horizontal range between a clearly defined Demand Zone near 68,000 and a Supply Zone around 71,700–71,800. During this phase, price moved sideways as buyers attempted to build a base while sellers defended overhead resistance. The market then began forming a rising demand trend line, showing gradually improving buyer strength and higher lows, while supply above continued to cap price advances. At the moment, BTC is trading between rising demand from below and strong supply from above, creating a compression structure that often precedes a directional move. As long as price remains below the Supply Zone, the current upside move can still be viewed as corrective within a broader bearish context, rather than a confirmed trend reversal. My primary scenario favors long continuation on pullbacks into the rising demand line or the 68,800–69,000 support area, provided price shows bullish reaction (strong candles, rejection wicks, or structure holding). A sustained move higher would target the 71,700–71,800 Supply Zone (TP1), where partial profit-taking is reasonable due to expected seller reaction. A clean breakout and acceptance above the 71,800 supply would confirm a trend shift and open the door for further upside continuation toward higher resistance levels. Manage your risk!
Long
by heniitrading
3
Bitcoin Daily Market Analysis📊 Bitcoin Daily Market Analysis Today's core Bitcoin price action is characterized by "weak consolidation," with neither bulls nor bears showing strong momentum. It's highly likely to remain within the $67,500-$69,500 range, with a low probability of extreme price action. ⚖️ The core trading strategy should focus on "buying low and selling high within this range," with strict position sizing and stop-loss orders. ⚠️ Avoid blindly chasing highs and lows; wait for clear confirmation signals before considering breakouts to avoid falling into false breakout traps. 🚀 Bitcoin Trading Strategy 🟢 BUY：67500-68500 🎯 TP: 69500-70500
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Daniel-Foster
1
SOL/USDT CHART UPDATE. SOL is trading around 85, sitting exactly at the intersection of descending resistance and mid-range support. Price is compressing inside a narrowing structure after the recent push toward 90. Lower highs still valid (macro downtrend intact) Short-term higher lows forming from 77.5 base Volatility contracting → breakout likely soon Support: 83.5 Major Support: 77.5–78 Resistance: 87–88 Breakout Level: 90+ Strong reclaim above 88–90 → opens room toward 95 and potentially 105 if momentum accelerates. Rejection here → move back toward 80 and possibly a sweep of 77.5 liquidity before any bounce. Momentum shift only confirmed above 90. ⚠️ This is a decision zone — next 1–2 candles could define direction.
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
1
BTC/USDT Day & Swing Trade Idea – Short⚡ BTC/USDT Day & Swing Trade Idea – Short 📉 Pair: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Timeframe: 4H 🔑 Key Points: - ❌ Price rejected near resistance → bearish pressure - ❌ Sell Stop placed below 67,631 → breakdown trigger - ❌ Risk/Reward ratio > 2 → favorable setup - ❌ Clear downside target at 66,171 🎯 Trade Plan: - Entry Zone: Sell Stop at 67,631 - Stop Loss: Above 69,357 🚫 - Target: - TP: 66,171 🧭 Idea: BTC/USDT shows weakness after failing to hold higher levels. A breakdown below 67,631 could open the way for a short swing move toward 66,171. Risk is defined, reward potential is strong. 💡 Day/Swing trade setup: Short below breakdown, hold until TP. 🔥 Bias: Short BTC/USD
Short
by ICT_Trader_SB
1
ID – 1H Descending Channel With Short Term AccumulationOn the 1H timeframe, ID is clearly trading inside a well defined descending channel, respecting lower highs and lower lows. The macro intraday trend remains bearish as long as price stays inside that channel. 🔍 Current Structure Recently, price formed a short term ascending mini range / rising structure near the lower half of the channel. This suggests local accumulation after a strong sell off. We are currently sitting around the 0.0515 – 0.0530 area, which is acting as an intraday pivot zone. 📌 Key Levels • 0.0515 → Local support / flip Level • 0.0445 – 0.0460 → Major channel support & liquidity area • 0.0652 → Resistance Level • 0.0926 → Higher timeframe major resistance 🧠 Possible Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Case If price holds above 0.0515 and breaks the descending channel resistance, we can expect continuation toward 0.065 first, and potentially expansion toward 0.09 zone. 🔴 Bearish Case If the current structure fails and 0.051 breaks with momentum, market could sweep liquidity around 0.0445 before any meaningful bounce. For now, short term structure is improving, but confirmation only comes with a clean channel breakout.
by CryptoCoinsCoach
1
DOGE 1D TFI am bearish on Doge. I dont think any support will hold until we reach 0.063 first. That area for me represents the real value. From there we might see a bounce, or even a small fall a bit under 0.06. At the moment there is a small area, 0.094 in wich we might see a pump , but I dont think buyers will take over control and push price above the resistance. In case we do fall to 0.063, there is another level of resistance in wich I will be interested in shorting as showed in TA. Will see how this goes.
Short
by MathProoo
2
AUDUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST | Q1 | W7 | Y26📅 Q1 | W7 | Y26 📊 AUDUSD | FRGNT WEEKLY FORECAST | 🔍 Analysis Approach I’m applying a developed version of Smart Money Concepts, with a structured focus on: • Identifying Key Points of Interest (POIs) on Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ • Using those POIs to define a clear and controlled trading range 📐 • Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 • Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) as confirmation ✅ This process keeps me precise, disciplined, and aligned with market narrative, rather than reacting emotionally or chasing price. 💡 My Motto “Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge.” A positive risk-to-reward ratio, combined with a high-probability execution model, is the backbone of any sustainable trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ On Losses Losses are part of the mathematical reality of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they are necessary, expected, and managed. We acknowledge them, learn, and move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Further context and supporting material can be found in the Links section. Stay sharp 🧠 Stay consistent 🎯 Protect your capital 🔐 — FRGNT 🚀📈 FX:AUDUSD
Short
by JCFRGNT
4
Gold Technical Outlook - Bullish Structure Still Intact?Gold is currently trading near 5042 and moving within a rising structure after forming a strong base from the February lows. Price is respecting the ascending trendline and holding above the key demand zone around 4900-4950 which keeps the short term bullish structure intact. However the market is still capped below the range high and weak high area near 5110-5130 showing hesitation and liquidity resting above. Price is holding above the rising trendline and the 5116 but is still struggling below the range high and weak high zone. This structure suggests accumulation where a minor pullback into support could be followed by a continuation move toward the upper channel and liquidity zone around 5300-5400. Trade Plan Buy Zone: 4950 – 4900 Buy Trigger: Clean breakout and close above 5115 – 5120 with continuation momentum Targets: 5170 → 5290 → 5350-4000 Invalidation: H4 or Daily close below 4880 Bias : Bullish continuation favored while price holds above the demand zone and trendline. Pullbacks are considered buying opportunities not selling zones. Note Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SibiSh
2