AUDUSD: Upward Support And ResistanceHi everyone,
AUDUSD is in uptrend momentum move of support and resistance, the pair have been scaling on bullish rise, for a long time now, with the formation of higher highs, higher lows and support and resistance. price is presently at the resistance zone, in respect of the structure. we anticipate a short below this resistance.
Possible scenario:
More retracement confirmation, would trigger a sell position down to 0.6879 as potential support and target.
Thanks for reading.
Trend Analysis
BTCUSD Heavy Dump → Buyers Step In at SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has experienced a strong bearish impulse, breaking multiple intraday supports and printing lower lows. After this aggressive sell-off, price is now showing signs of short-term stabilization near a key demand zone, where buyers are attempting to step in.
The current structure suggests a potential corrective rebound if price holds above the recent low. A higher low formation could open the door for a short-term recovery toward the next resistance zone. However, overall momentum remains bearish, and any upside move should be treated as a pullback unless a clear structure break occurs.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
– Demand zone reaction
– Higher low confirmation
– Break above short-term resistance for trend shift
⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always manage risk properly.
Bitcoin: Bullish Reversal Setup 80K From Here.Bitcoin 4 hour setting up for a long swing trade. Broader structure is bearish and this is now a confirmed broad Wave 2 (I talked about this possibility for months). This means while price is attempting to retrace, the bigger picture now favors a test of the 59K low, and potentially a test of the lower 50Ks. This is what CHART structure says BUT this can CHANGE VERY QUICKLY based on how the fundamental outlook unfolds over the coming weeks, months.
Short term, a bullish retrace is developing and profit objectives around 73K, 80K are within reason. The more aggressive way to justify risk is WAITING for a retrace into the order block or "demand" zone based on the 4 hour time frame. IF the higher low confirms, risk is relatively low (can be defined by the 60K whole number area) while first reward objective is 70 to 73K region.
The more conservative route is to WAIT for liquidity breaches or price break outs at the "lower high" levels on the chart (break out strategy). 80K, 84K and 90K areas are all bullish confirmations that if compromised, increase the likelihood of a retest of the 95K to 100K area. Again to drive this kind of momentum, there has to be a fundamental catalyst or series of catalysts to help propel such a move. So what can this look like?
We need more weak employment numbers to change the FED's position from no likely rate cut, to pricing a rate cut at next meeting, this would be a good start. NFP was moved to this Wednesday because of backlog at Bureau of Labor Statistics (what's going on here!?). Another area to watch is 10 Year note Yield which has been moving the wrong way. One factor that is aligned is the Manufacturing PMI which servers as a proxy of global liquidity. This number produced a positive print, but not enough to change the short term perception.
Also keep an eye on the the new Fed Chairman nominee Warsh. He is perceived as "bad" for Bitcoin because of his philosophy of shrinking Fed balance sheet which is a negative for global liquidity which Bitcoin and alts depend on. In my opinion he is a trojan horse. Why would he be nominated if he is going to be even more defiant than Powell?
In summary: Short term bullish reversal likely but confirmation required. Keep bullish expectations limited until broader structure changes. Currently in a broad Wave 2 which means bigger picture may be somewhat bearish to range bound for months and/or years. This may unfold like a multiyear Gold consolidation. Keep an eye on broader price structures as they develop in light of oncoming catalysts.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
SOLUSDT: Get Ready For 300 Mark, This Time Reversal BigSOLUSDT has the potential to reach the 300 price range once it falls to our buying zone, defined by two horizontal white lines. Upon reaching this area we can target the 300 price level. Please exercise accurate risk management when trading cryptocurrencies.
For further analysis please like and comment.
Team Setupsfx_
US Oil: Buy The Pullback!In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the US OIL for the week of Feb. 9-13th.
US Crude Oil had a very strong January. December we see the market in a pullback, correcting the Jan impulsive move.
This market is still ranging, and valid shorts or longs are difficult to recognize.
Wait for PD Arrays to be respected or disrespected. Highs/lows, FVGs and OBs.
Price is being supported by an +OB now. The move up and away from it is worth buying. If the +OB fails, and price trades through the lows of the consolidation, then sells are valid.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
BTC Stalling Under Resistance — $63K Next?CRYPTOCAP:BTC quick update if you’re watching price right now 👇
#Bitcoin is still stuck under the same downtrend line. Every bounce into it keeps getting sold, which tells me this move is still weak.
We’re going sideways here, but honestly… this looks more like a pause than a real reversal.
If this range gives way, I wouldn’t be surprised to see $65K–$63K next.
For this to flip bullish, BTC needs to break and hold above the trendline. Until that happens, caution makes sense.
Let’s see how this level plays out.
DYOR, NFA
Stock Market Forecast | BTC TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META MSFTWelcome to your essential weekly guide for navigating the dynamic stock market! In this in-depth analysis, we provide a comprehensive stock market forecast covering key movers like the S&P 500 CME_MINI:ES1! (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 CME_MINI:NQ1! NASDAQ:NDX (QQQ), alongside a detailed Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) analysis. We dive deep into major large-cap stocks, including Tesla (TSLA), Nvidia (NVDA), Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), and Microsoft (MSFT), offering crucial insights for your day trading and investing strategies.
This video breaks down complex market movements using advanced technical analysis, identifying critical support and resistance levels. We also analyze sector rotation, market sentiment, dark pool activity, and upcoming earnings reports, integrating key macroeconomic data to pinpoint high-probability market scenarios for the week ahead. Whether you're focused on individual stocks or broader market trends, our financial analysis aims to equip you with actionable knowledge. Discover the future of the stock market and gain valuable trading tips to stay ahead!
Timestamps are provided below so you can easily jump to specific tickers and chart analysis that matter most to your portfolio.
0:00 Intro
0:14 Sector Data & Rotation
1:49 Sentiment Data
2:07 Dark Pools (QQQ / PSQ)
4:03 Rate Cut Odds
4:29 Earnings Calendar
4:53 Economic Data Next Week
5:21 SPY Technicals
7:36 MAG7 Dark Pool Context
9:23 QQQ Technicals
11:58 Bitcoin Technicals
18:01 Tesla (TSLA)
20:02 Meta (META)
23:50 Amazon (AMZN)
26:30 Microsoft (MSFT)
30:18 Google (GOOGL)
32:15 Apple (AAPL)
34:12 Nvidia (NVDA)
35:39 Wrap Up
EURUSD Monthly chart and directional bias.Eurusd current price close of Friday =1.18168 exchange rate in the fx window.
the Eurusd monthly story wont be complete without looking back in time from the November 2005-jun2010-july2012 ascending trendline and it breakout followed by a retest on monthly on February 2018,this breakout zone becomes a technical supply roof and resistance to upswing.
on monthly timeframe we rejected 1.20887 due to dollar index DXY sudden bullish reversal on the descending trendline and it was posted for your reference on the dollar chart on tradingview.com.
if the dollar index and the US10Y keep the bullish trajectory then we should expect capital outflow from EURO zone into a more yielding economy.
key demand floor to watch will be 1.10426 and sell confirmation will be on monthly break and close 1.17898 while i watch the demand floor at 1.10426 closely.
EURUSD technical consideration to guide trading bias.
The current Governing Council ECB has decided to keep key interest rates unchanged, citing stabilizing inflation near the 2% target and economic resilience amid global challenges. the next scheduled for monitory policy will be March 19.
Current Rates
Deposit facility: 2.00%
Main refinancing operations: 2.15%
Marginal lending facility: 2.40%
the rate meaning to a common man.
Deposit Facility (2.00%)
Banks earn this interest rate on excess reserves deposited overnight with the ECB, acting as the lower bound of the corridor to encourage lending over hoarding.
Main Refinancing Operations (2.15%)
This is the rate banks pay to borrow funds from the ECB for one week (via regular auctions), serving as the primary policy rate and corridor midpoint that influences overall market rates.
Marginal Lending Facility (2.40%)
Banks pay this higher rate for emergency overnight loans from the ECB (backed by collateral), setting the corridor's upper bound to discourage over-reliance while ensuring liquidity access.
ECB Head
Christine Lagarde serves as President of the European Central Bank, a role she has held since 2019 with her term extending to October 2027.
EU10Y=2.841%
USD outlook.
The Federal Reserve's latest FOMC meeting on January 28, 2026, maintained the federal funds target range at 3.5%–3.75%. Monetary policy outlook emphasizes data-dependent decisions amid solid growth, stabilizing unemployment, and somewhat elevated inflation, with potential for future adjustments if risks to employment or 2% inflation emerge
US10y=4.208%
head of federal reserve=Jerome H. Powell remains Chair, leading the January vote, though President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as successor on January 30, 2026—pending confirmation.
interest rate differential=1.5% favor usd shot
bond yield differential= 1,439% favour usd shot
carry trade advantage=favour EURUSD sell correction and target demand floor on the structure .its key to keep the dollar index and us10y as trade barometer in check.
wish you goodluck
#eurusd #us10y #eu10y #dxy #dollar
ETH: Macro Accumulation And Levels I’m WatchingHere are the indicators and levels I use for macro accumulation, and how I combine them to decide when risk/reward starts to favor buying not trading, not guessing bottoms, but long-term positioning.
1️⃣ $2150 — 0.5 Fibonacci Level
The $2150 zone aligns with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement of the larger move.
Why this matters:
* The 0.5 fib often acts as a psychological midpoint
* In previous cycles, this level frequently acted as:
- a reaction zone
- a pause before continuation
- or the first area where long-term buyers step in
I don’t treat this as a guaranteed bottom but it’s a first macro accumulation interest zone, especially if other conditions align.
2️⃣ $1400 — 2018 Top + April 2025 Rejection
The $1400 zone is structurally much stronger.
It represents:
* the 2018 cycle top (former resistance → potential support)
* a clear rejection area in April 2025, confirming it as a key market memory level
Markets tend to respect old highs and lows because:
* long-term participants anchor to them
* they often become zones of high liquidity
* they attract both defensive buyers and late sellers
3️⃣ RSI Below 30 — Macro Oversold
Historically, RSI below 30 on higher timeframes has marked:
* periods of extreme pessimism
* forced selling
* long-term opportunity, not comfort
Important:
* RSI < 30 does not mean price must reverse immediately
* it signals risk asymmetry starting to favor buyers
4️⃣ Below the Weekly 200 Moving Average
The Weekly 200 MA is one of the most important cycle filters.
In past bear markets:
* price often trades below the Weekly 200 MA
* true macro bottoms usually form after this condition is met
Being below it doesn’t mean cheap”by default but it confirms bear-market territory, which is where long-term accumulation historically makes sense.
5️⃣ Below the Monthly 100 Moving Average
The Monthly 100 MA adds a higher-timeframe confirmation.
When price is: below the Monthly 100 MA, it signals
* long-term trend damage
* compressed expectations
* reduced speculative excess
This combination has historically aligned with multi-year accumulation zones, not local pullbacks.
6️⃣ USDT.D Above 7%
Stablecoin dominance is a risk-off indicator.
When USDT.D is above ~7%:
* capital is parked on the sidelines
* fear is elevated
* risk appetite is suppressed
Macro accumulation tends to work best when:
* fear is high
* liquidity is defensive
* sentiment is negative
If this framework is useful, let me know if you’d like to see similar macro accumulation analysis for other assets.
Happy to break down additional charts using the same approach.
Gold to 6000GOLD: ATH Break = EXPLOSION MODE
This is not a normal cycle.
• Fiat debasement accelerating
• Central banks absorbing supply
• Real yields breaking down
• Global risk = permanent
• Supply is capped — demand is not
ATH is the final ceiling.
Once cleared, price enters discovery phase.
🎯 Targets: 3,500 → 4,200 → 6,000
❌ Invalidation: Sustained breakdown below major HTF support
No resistance above ATH.
Only liquidity, momentum, and fear of missing out.
6,000 isn’t bullish hype — it’s macro math.
Tracking > Prediction(This Is the Edge Most Traders Never Develop)
Most traders lose not because they lack setups…
but because they stop listening once they form a bias.
The moment you predict, you mentally lock in.
The moment you lock in, you stop tracking.
And when tracking stops, awareness dies.
⸻
📍 Structure Is Not a Signal — It’s a Living Framework
Structure isn’t a line you draw and defend.
It’s a story that updates in real time.
If you’re not actively observing:
• which highs/lows are protected
• how price reacts after liquidity is tapped
• whether displacement follows intent
Then you’re not trading structure —
you’re hoping structure holds.
Hope is not a strategy.
⸻
💧 Liquidity Is Taken Before Direction Is Paid
Price doesn’t move because it “looks bullish” or “looks bearish.”
It moves because:
• inducement was completed
• imbalance was engineered
• positioning was finalized
If liquidity hasn’t been taken properly,
direction is early — no matter how clean the setup looks.
Tracking keeps you patient enough to let price earn the move.
⸻
👀 Tracking Is Awareness in Motion
Awareness isn’t knowing concepts.
Awareness is watching price prove or disprove your idea.
Tracking means:
• observing reaction quality, not just levels
• noticing when structure weakens before it breaks
• accepting when price shifts character
• standing down when alignment disappears
This is how you stay in sync instead of stuck in bias.
⸻
⏳ The Best Trades Feel Boring First
If you’re excited early, you’re probably early.
Real moves:
• build slowly
• frustrate impatient traders
• reward those who wait through nothing
Tracking teaches you to sit through the quiet without forcing action.
Boredom is often confirmation.
⸻
🚫 Missed Trades Are Part of the Edge
You don’t get paid for being present.
You get paid for being aligned.
If price didn’t:
• respect structure
• complete inducement
• confirm intent
You let it go.
Capital preservation is awareness applied.
⸻
🔑 THE LAW THAT RULES THEM ALL
Tracking beats prediction every time.
The moment you guess, you stop listening.
Structure is the map.
Tracking is walking the path.
Awareness is knowing when to pause, continue, or step aside.
That’s how clean entries show up.
That’s how losses stay small.
That’s how traders last.
“Structure is the map.
Tracking is walking the path.
Awareness is knowing when to stop.”
BTC Bull Run For Wave 5🅶🅷🅾🆂🆃 _ 🆃🆁🅰🅳🅴🆁 _ 🆂🅰
Guys, I'm hoping everyone is doing well and printing a lot of pips 💵💵💵😊💵💵💵 during this bear move...
We might have completed (wave(4)) then we should expect more BULLS to get on board now to ride us all the way UP. for wave 5
Please make sure you validate this pattern.
I wish you all the best💵💵💵😊💵💵💵
ETHUSD(ethereum)The chart speaks for itself. As you can see, the price is moving inside a very large wedge. If the price finds support in the PRZ zone, it could rise toward the top of the wedge — and I believe this is likely. After completing the five-wave Elliott impulse, the market has finished its ABC corrective structure, and now it’s time for a new five‑wave bullish cycle to begin. If this upward wave sequence starts, the price could potentially rise to around $5,700.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin Isn’t a Trap for Money — It’s a Trap for EmotionsBody / Analysis:
When traders look at Bitcoin, many think the biggest risk is financial loss. But in reality, Bitcoin isn’t just a trap for your money — it’s a trap for your emotions. The volatile nature of crypto markets triggers fear, greed, and impulsive decisions more than it threatens your actual capital.
1️⃣ Emotional Trading: The Real Trap
Bitcoin’s price can swing 5–10% in a single day. This volatility can make even experienced traders second-guess their strategies. Emotional reactions like panic selling during dips or FOMO buying during rallies often lead to losses, even for traders who understand market fundamentals.
2️⃣ Understanding Market Psychology
Success in Bitcoin trading isn’t just about numbers—it’s about mindset. Traders who control their emotions and stick to clear entry and exit strategies outperform those who react to price spikes. Recognizing the psychological traps of fear and greed is key to staying consistent.
3️⃣ Strategies to Avoid Emotional Traps
Plan your trades: Set clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels.
Stick to your strategy: Avoid impulsive decisions based on market hype.
Journal your trades: Track decisions and emotions to learn patterns.
Use technical indicators wisely: RSI, FVG, and support/resistance levels can guide decisions without emotional bias.
4️⃣ Why Long-Term Mindset Wins
Traders focused solely on short-term profits are more prone to emotional mistakes. A long-term mindset, combined with disciplined risk management, can transform Bitcoin from an emotional trap into a strategic opportunity.
💡 Key Takeaway:
Bitcoin doesn’t steal your money—it exposes your emotional weaknesses. The best traders aren’t those who predict every price move, but those who control fear and greed, sticking to their plan regardless of market chaos.
XAGUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on SILVER?
Silver experienced a sharp decline after a strong rally and printing a local high, correcting nearly 50% from its peak. Upon reaching the highlighted support zone, price showed a bullish reaction, indicating the presence of buyers and the validity of this demand area.
At this stage, we expect price to spend some time moving sideways and ranging within this zone before attempting a bullish corrective move toward the specified upside levels.
As long as price remains below the key resistance areas, any upside move should be considered corrective rather than trend-reversing.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Bitcoin the END
Why I Believe Bitcoin Will Die
From my point of view, Bitcoin is heading toward an eventual collapse because the fundamentals simply don’t support long-term survival. First, the technology itself is outdated. It was revolutionary in 2009, but today it is slow, inefficient, and expensive compared to newer blockchain systems. Other networks offer faster transactions, lower fees, smart contracts, and real utility, while Bitcoin remains mostly a speculative asset with limited real-world use.
Second, Bitcoin relies heavily on hype and investor belief rather than intrinsic value. Its price swings wildly based on sentiment, and without continuous inflows of new money, the entire system struggles to stay afloat. To me, that looks more like a speculative bubble than a sustainable currency.
Third, governments and regulators are becoming more aggressive. As countries develop central bank digital currencies and crack down on unregulated crypto, Bitcoin’s role diminishes even further. It’s hard to imagine major economies allowing a borderless, uncontrollable currency to dominate their financial systems.
Finally, Bitcoin mining is extremely energy-intensive. As climate regulations tighten and environmental awareness grows, the pressure on proof-of-work systems will only increase. Newer technologies are greener and more scalable.
For all these reasons, I believe Bitcoin is gradually losing its relevance and will eventually fade out!
XAUUSD H1 – Trendline Retest Could Spark the Next Bullish LegMarket Context (Macro → Flow)
Gold remains highly sensitive to macro headlines as markets continue to price in policy uncertainty around the Fed path and real yields. While no major shock hit today, flows show defensive positioning returning on dips, keeping gold supported despite recent volatility.
➡️ This environment favors buy-the-reaction, not chasing breakouts.
Technical Structure (H1)
Price is still trading below a descending trendline, but momentum to the downside is weakening.
Current move is a technical pullback into Fibonacci discount + structure support.
No confirmed bearish continuation — sellers are losing follow-through.
➡️ This is a decision zone, where reaction will define the next leg.
Key Trading Zones & Levels
🔹 BUY ZONE (Reaction Area):
4,880 – 4,870
(Trendline support + Fib 0.618–0.786 + prior reaction zone)
🔹 Invalidation:
H1 close below 4,820 → bullish idea weakens
Upside Targets (If Bullish Reaction Holds):
🎯 TP1: 5,070
🎯 TP2: 5,333 (1.618 extension / major recovery target)
Execution Notes
No blind entries → wait for bullish candle reaction or higher-low confirmation
Expect volatility spikes; manage size accordingly
Structure > headlines
Summary
Gold is compressing at a high-confluence support zone.
If buyers defend this area, a strong recovery leg toward 5,070 → 5,333 is in play.
If not, patience beats prediction.
📌 Trade reactions, not expectations.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 1H Chart AnalysisMarket Structure & Key Levels
Gold recently experienced a strong bearish impulse after failing to hold above previous highs. The prior support zones have flipped into resistance, confirming a change in short-term market structure.
After the sell-off, price moved into a descending channel, indicating controlled bearish retracement rather than a strong bullish reversal. Recently, price broke above the descending channel, suggesting short-term bullish momentum, but this move is still corrective unless key resistance levels are cleared.
🔍 Technical Observations
Previous support has turned into resistance, aligning with classical S/R flip behavior
Breakout above the descending channel shows short-term strength
Price is currently approaching a major resistance zone
Overall structure remains range to bearish unless higher resistance is reclaimed
📈 Possible Scenarios (Educational View)
🔹 Scenario 1: Rejection from Resistance
If price fails to break and hold above the highlighted resistance zone, a pullback toward lower support areas is possible.
🔹 Scenario 2: Acceptance Above Resistance
A strong close above resistance could open the door for continuation toward the next resistance zone, confirming bullish follow-through.
⚠️ Important Notes
This analysis is based purely on price action & structure
No guaranteed outcomes — market behavior depends on confirmation
Always wait for candle close & confirmation
Proper risk management is essential
📌 This idea is shared for educational and analytical purposes only.
📌 Not financial advice.
Bought some $JD yesterday - a few reasons why :Bought some NASDAQ:JD yesterday — thanks to a sharp member who brought it to my attention.
A few reasons why the probability vs. risk/reward looks favorable here:
• A large bear wedge — historically these resolve higher roughly 70% of the time
• The China index is forming a double bottom, which could provide tailwinds
• With a stop below Thursday’s low, risk is about $1 per share, while a move to the middle of the wedge already offers ~$7 upside
Even if it takes a few attempts to catch the bottom, this setup remains profitable over time. The most logical target more than compensates for the failed attempts — that’s how edge plays out.
#RIVER/USDT Descending channel ?#RIVER
The price is moving within a descending channel on the hourly timeframe. It has reached the upper boundary and is heading towards breaking it. A retest of this boundary is expected.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing an upward trend, as it has approached the upper boundary. A bearish reversal is expected.
There is a key support zone in green at 11.65. The price has bounced from this zone several times and is expected to bounce again.
A consolidation trend is observed above the 100-period moving average, which we are approaching. This trend supports a decline towards this level.
Entry Price: 11.30
Target 1: 14.55
Target 2: 16.11
Target 3: 18.40
Stop Loss: Above the green support zone.
Don't forget one simple thing: Money Management.
For any questions, please leave a comment.
Thank you.






















