Intc 3 months chartIntel stock (INTC)
If it closes above the $36.30 level by the end of this year,
it will turn bullish 😉😉
Wish you a good catch! 🎣
Ahmad adly🃏
Trend Analysis
GSY - Looks GoodThe reason I made this trade today:
Looks like it is going above the EMA and potentially go towards the longer term upper trend line.
Company's profile looks good.
chatgpt.com
XAUUSD: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in Safe-Haven Asset XAUUSD: Exploring Potential 30% Upside in Safe-Haven Asset Amid Geopolitical Tensions – SWOT and Intrinsic Value Insights
📊 Introduction
As of October 28, 2025, XAUUSD (Gold/USD) is experiencing a short-term correction following record highs above $4,300 earlier this month, trading around $3,950 per ounce. This pullback reflects improved risk appetite in equity markets amid stabilizing U.S. economic data and reduced recession fears, with the S&P 500 up 2% week-to-date. However, broader macroeconomic factors, including persistent inflation at 3.2% year-over-year and central bank gold purchases exceeding 800 tonnes year-to-date, underpin a supportive environment. Sector dynamics highlight gold's role as a hedge against geopolitical risks, such as escalating Middle East tensions and U.S.-China trade uncertainties, though volatility is elevated due to a strengthening USD index near 105.
🔍 SWOT Analysis
**Strengths 💪**: Gold serves as a proven inflation hedge and store of value, with central banks accumulating over 900 tonnes projected for 2025 per analyst estimates, driving demand. Its liquidity is unmatched, with daily trading volumes surpassing $200 billion, and physical holdings in ETFs like GLD have risen 15% year-over-year to 1,200 tonnes. Low correlation to equities (0.2 beta) enhances portfolio diversification, while above-ground stocks of approximately 218,000 tonnes ensure scarcity amid annual mine production of just 3,500 tonnes.
**Weaknesses ⚠️**: As a non-yielding asset, gold incurs opportunity costs in high-interest environments, with U.S. 10-year real yields at 1.8% pressuring holdings. All-in sustaining costs (AISC) for miners have risen 8% to around $1,600-1,700 per ounce due to energy and labor inflation, per industry reports, potentially squeezing margins if prices dip. Storage and insurance fees add 0.5-1% annual costs for physical investors.
**Opportunities 🌟**: Heightened geopolitical risks, including potential escalations in Ukraine and Taiwan, could boost safe-haven inflows, similar to the 25% price surge post-2024 elections. Monetary policy easing by the Fed (projected 50bps cuts by year-end) and ECB may weaken the USD, favoring gold, with forecasts targeting $4,500+ by mid-2026. Emerging market demand, led by India and China (combined 1,500 tonnes annual consumption), offers growth amid de-dollarization trends.
**Threats 🚩**: A stronger USD from hawkish Fed pivots or robust U.S. growth could cap upside, as seen in the recent 5% correction. Competition from high-yield bonds and cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin up 25% YTD) diverts capital, while environmental regulations may increase AISC by 10-15% over the next five years. Oversupply risks from recycled gold (1,200 tonnes annually) persist if economic slowdowns reduce jewelry demand.
💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation
Adopting a value investing approach for commodities, we estimate gold's intrinsic value using a monetary backing model, which assesses its role as a reserve asset relative to money supply, incorporating a margin of safety (20% discount). Key inputs from public data: U.S. M2 money supply at $22.195 trillion, U.S. gold reserves at 8,133 tonnes (≈261.5 million ounces), and an assumed fair coverage ratio of 6% (historical average post-Bretton Woods, adjusted for modern dilution; current coverage ≈4.7% at $3,950/oz).
Formula: Intrinsic Value per Ounce = (M2 Money Supply × Coverage Ratio) / Gold Reserves in Ounces
- M2 × 6% = $22.195T × 0.06 ≈ $1.332T
- $1.332T / 261.5M ounces ≈ $5,092
Apply 20% margin of safety: $5,092 × 0.8 ≈ $4,074
At current price ≈$3,950, XAUUSD appears undervalued by ≈3-29% (factoring upside to $5,092 fair value aligned with central bank demand and inflation metrics). No debt flags apply directly, but sustainability relies on demand outpacing monetary expansion. 📈 Undervalued.
📈 Entry Strategy Insights
Institutional strategies emphasize support zones near $3,900-3,940 (aligned with 50-day SMA and recent lows) for unleveraged, long-term positions through dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Scale in during 3-5% dips, leveraging non-repainting volume indicators to validate rebounds from oversold levels. Ideal for building 5-10% allocations over 1-3 months, with targets at $4,200 for partial exits on breakouts. 🚀 Spot zones.
⚠️ Risk Management
Allocate 1-5% of portfolio to gold to buffer against volatility, diversifying with bonds or equities for balance. Implement trailing stops 5-10% below entry (e.g., $3,750) and maintain long-term holds if macroeconomic hedges strengthen, tracking central bank reports and USD trends. Caution on sharp reversals from rate hikes or equity rallies.
🔚 Conclusion
Gold's entrenched role as a monetary hedge, coupled with undervalued metrics and robust demand drivers, supports potential growth to $4,074+, with safety margins embedded. Key takeaways: Prioritize geopolitical monitoring for demand spikes, cross-verify money supply data independently.
This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
XAUUSD H4 | Potential Bearish Drop Off?Based on the H4 chart analysis, we could see the price rise to the sell entry at 4,053.43, which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to the take profit.
Stop loss is at 4,149.54, which is a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 3,690.65, which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GBP/JPY 1-hour timeframe ...GBP/JPY 1-hour timeframe — and based on my setup with Ichimoku and the trendline break:
Current price: around 202.96
The pair has broken below the ascending trendline and the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting a bearish move is expected.
I have two “Target Points” marked below current price.
From what’s visible:
First Target Point: around 202.05 – 202.10
Second Target Point: around 201.20 – 201.30
So my potential targets are:
🎯 Target 1: 202.05 – 202.10
🎯 Target 2: 201.20 – 201.30
This setup aligns with a short continuation pattern after a trendline and cloud break, with likely retest confirmation near the broken trendline (around 203.40).
USD/CHF: Bearish Move From Key LevelThe 📉USDCHF pair showed a notable reaction to a significant horizontal support level on a 4-hour timeframe.
Following the test, the pair started to consolidate, forming a horizontal trading range.
A breach of the support level of this range constitutes a strong bearish signal
It is currently retesting the previously broken support, which suggests the potential for further downward movement. Target: 0.7916
Bearish drop off?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.4012
1st Support: 1.3969
1st Resistance: 1.4073
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Tesla - Here comes the third breakout!🚀Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out:
🔎Analysis summary:
For the past four years, Tesla has been trading in a very clear ascending triangle pattern. But just last month, we finally saw the expected bullish triangle breakout. Considering all of the previous triangle breakouts, Tesla is setting up for another parabolic rally soon.
📝Levels to watch:
$450
SwingTraderPhil
SwingTrading.Simplified. | Investing.Simplified. | #LONGTERMVISION
EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe...EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe — I can see that my drawn Ichimoku Clouds and have marked two “Target Points” on the chart.
From the image:
Current price: around 1.1664
First target (lower one): approximately 1.1740 – 1.1750
Second target (upper one): approximately 1.1835 – 1.1850
So my potential targets would be:
🎯 Target 1: 1.1740 – 1.1750
🎯 Target 2: 1.1835 – 1.1850
It looks like my analysis is expecting a bullish breakout above the Ichimoku cloud and prior resistance, aiming for those next resistance levels.
gold price📈 Trend Overview
Overall trend: Strong uptrend since early August 2025.
The price has moved within a rising channel (drawn with two parallel blue lines).
Recently, gold has touched the lower boundary of the channel — a critical area for potential trend continuation or breakdown.
🔍 Current Price Action
Current price: ~IDR 2,123,000 per gram.
Resistance zone: Around 2,320,000 – 2,470,000 — price failed to sustain this level twice, forming a double-top–like structure.
Support zone: Around 2,070,000 — marked by your note and coincides with the channel support trendline.
If this level breaks, the next strong support lies near 1,730,000–1,750,000, aligning with the previous base from early September.
⚙️ Momentum and Pattern Insight
Short-term trend: Weakening — the slope of the last leg down is sharp.
Momentum: Selling pressure increasing; candles show lower highs and lower lows.
Pattern: Possible rising wedge breakdown (bearish structure) forming as price exits the upward channel.
If confirmed, target area would be:
First target: ~2,070,000 (short-term support)
Second target: ~1,730,000 (wider correction target)
🧭 Scenarios
Bullish case (rebound)
Price bounces off 2,070,000, regains footing inside the channel.
Must close above 2,180,000 on strong volume to confirm recovery.
Upside targets: 2,280,000 → 2,320,000 → 2,470,000.
Bearish case (breakdown)
A decisive break and close below 2,070,000 could lead to accelerated selling.
Potential correction toward 1,730,000 — the lower blue projection line in your chart.
💡 Summary
Aspect Observation Implication
Trend Uptrend but weakening Watch for channel break
Momentum Bearish short-term Possible correction
Key Support 2,070,000 Crucial pivot for next move
Key Resistance 2,320,000 Must break for bullish continuation
Risk Level Elevated Protect profit if holding long
Gold downtrend, accumulation below 4000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) picks up modestly in Tuesday’s Asian session, rebounding from a two-week low near $3,972. A softer US Dollar, pressured by expectations of two more Fed rate cuts this year, supports the non-yielding metal. Ongoing geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine conflict also add to its safe-haven appeal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
There is still selling pressure, gold is definitely correcting below 4000, the market is waiting for interest rate results
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 4090 - 4092 SL 4097
TP1: $4080
TP2: $4070
TP3: $4050
🔥BUY GOLD zone: 3941 - 3943 SL 3936
TP1: $3960
TP2: $3980
TP3: $4000
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 28, 2025
Bullish Channel Intact | Buyers Target 1.1670 Zone
The EUR/USD pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel on the 15-minute timeframe, showing consistent higher highs and higher lows. After several sessions of sideways accumulation around 1.1630–1.1645, price has regained momentum and is currently heading toward the upper boundary of the channel near 1.1670.
From a technical perspective:
Trend structure: The pair respects a clear bullish channel, with dynamic support near 1.1620 and resistance around 1.1670–1.1680.
Momentum: RSI remains firm above the 50-level, suggesting ongoing buying pressure.
EMA alignment: Short-term EMAs (20-50) point upward, confirming intraday bullish momentum.
Liquidity zone: The previous consolidation block near 1.1630 may now act as strong support for potential pullbacks.
- Trading Plan Suggestion:
Buy on dips toward 1.1635–1.1640 with stop loss below 1.1620.
Take-profit targets: 1.1670, and extended target 1.1690 if bullish momentum accelerates.
Invalidation: A breakout below 1.1620 could shift short-term bias back to neutral.
As long as EUR/USD stays above the channel’s midline and the U.S. dollar remains under moderate pressure, the path of least resistance favors the upside.
Stay tuned for more actionable setups — follow to get daily strategies and precision entries.
Gold Tests Critical Support as Sellers DominateHello everyone, after the sharp decline late last week, gold (XAU/USD) continues to face selling pressure and is currently trading around $3,977, down more than 3% in just two sessions. This is the strongest correction in the past three weeks and has put the market into a defensive phase as price approaches the key psychological support zone at $4,000.
Observing the chart, we can see selling momentum is slowing as price nears the lower Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $3,950 – $3,970. This is an unfinished liquidity zone as well as an important technical support area where buyers may attempt a short-term reaction.
The scenario I favour at the moment is a liquidity sweep toward the $3,950 – $3,970 area before a technical rebound takes place. The nearest resistance to watch lies at $4,100 – $4,200, where multiple FVG clusters and potential selling pressure exist.
Ethereum at a Crossroads: Accumulation vs. Profit-Taking DynamicHello everyone,
ETH is currently in an intriguing trading phase as technical factors and market capital flows are creating a clear conflict. Recent on-chain data shows that large wallets (whales) holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH are accumulating again – a sign that “smart money” is positioning ahead of a medium-term uptrend. However, in contrast, traditional institutional investors are reducing exposure or taking short-term profits, leaving the market without consensus and susceptible to strong liquidity sweeps in both directions.
On the macro front, the primary support for ETH comes from expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates by around 25 basis points at the next meeting. This would ease liquidity and drive capital back into risk assets like crypto. Simultaneously, ETH is no longer viewed merely as an altcoin – it is increasingly being positioned as a store of value and a core platform for tokenized assets, drawing serious attention from long-term investment funds.
On the 4H chart, ETH is trading around $4,214 after a strong rebound from the $3,900–$4,000 support zone. While the recovery is solid, price is approaching the technical resistance range of $4,220–$4,400, where unfilled liquidity gaps (FVGs) exist. This implies that profit-taking pressure is real, and rejection risks at this level are high without sufficiently strong news catalysts.
Personally, I lean towards the scenario where ETH may reach ~$4,270–$4,300 to test the upper resistance/liquidity zone, before potentially retracing to ~$4,000–$4,050 to retest buying strength. If support holds amid positive news (rate cuts, capital inflows), I believe ETH could pave the way for a more robust rally towards ~$4,500 or higher.
Which scenario do you favour – ETH preparing to “gather momentum” or merely a technical rebound before stronger selling pressure?
EUR/USD – Triangle Breakout (CPI Data ahead)EUR/USD – Buy Entry (M30- Channel Breakout Pattern)
The EUR/USD Pair, Price has been trading within a Triangle Breakout Pattern on the M30 chart, forming consistent higher highs and higher lows. Price action is now testing the upper boundary of the Pattern, signalling a possible breakout.
✅Market Context:
1️⃣Strong Upward Structure Inside the Pattern.
2️⃣Buyers are showing strength near Resistance.
3️⃣Breakout above the Trendline indicates Momentum continuation toward higher zones.
✅Trade Plan:
Entry: Buy after Confirmed Breakout above the Resistance (m30 candle close above trendline or retest of the breakout).
💰Take Profit (TP): At the Key Zone – a Major Resistance area identified ahead.
🛑Stop Loss (SL): Below the Pattern Structure.
✅Psychological Discipline :
1️⃣Stick to plan – No Revenge Trades.
2️⃣Accept losing trades as Part of the Strategy.
3️⃣Risk only 1–2% of your account balance per trade.
💬 Support the community: If you found this useful, drop a 👍 like and share your thoughts in the comments!
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Forex trading involves high risk. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose and always do your own research.
Can LITECOIN copy ZEC's enormous rally?Zcash (ZECUSD) marginally broke its May 10 2021 Cycle Top (orange trend-line) this week, rising by more than +800% in just 2 months.
Throughout its trading history, it has been tightly correlated with Litecoin (LTCUSD). It's not uncommon to see ZEC lead the way and then LTC (purple) follow. As this chart shows, whenever the two diverged, the one always caught up with the other and converged again.
Does this mean that LTC will eventually catch up to this enormous rally? If it does indeed, the Top of the previous Cycle that it 'has to' fill is at $415.
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XAUUSD Double Top Breakdown and Bearish Flag in PlayGold has completed a double top reversal, hitting its measured target before forming a bearish flag under the key supply zone.
As price remains capped below $4,050–$4,200, bearish momentum could continue toward the $3,700 region, aligning with the flag target.
We should watch the $4,020 POI zone closely any retest and rejection from that area could confirm continuation to the downside.
💬 Share your thoughts below and don’t forget to like & share if this analysis adds value!
GOLD Still Very Bearish , 2 Short Setups Valid To Get 500 Pips !Here is My 30 Mins Gold Chart , and here is my opinion , we are Below 3972.00 With 4H Candle And this never happened for a long time ! and we have a 4H Candle closure below it And Perfect Breakout and this give us a very good confirmation , so we have a good confirmation now to can sell after the price go back to retest the broken area 3972.00 and this will be my best place to sell to can use small stop loss , and i have another place if he price will not go up more to retest 3972.00 m we have a very good res level 3940.00 , if we have a good bearish price action when the price touch it we can sell from it and targeting 100 to 200 pips , and if the price didn`t give us a good bearish price action from it i will wait the price at 3972.00 to can sell and targeting 200 to 500 pips , if we have a daily closure above this area this mean this idea will not be valid anymore .
Reasons To Enter :
1- Perfect Breakout .
2- Clear Bearish Price Action .
3- Bigger T.F Giving Good Bearish P.A .
4- Bearish Control .
5- Perfect 4H Mins Closure .
#BNBUSDT: Targeting 1450, One Swing Entry And Target**BINANCE:BNBUSDT**
Buyers still have control in the market in the daily time frame. However, there is still sellers’ pressure for the short term which is favourable. We want the price to reach our buying zone and move sharply upwards.
This is possible as there is major news coming up this week on Friday which is the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data. This economic data will influence the crypto market and other financial instruments.
Our target is to swing buy and close the position at 1450. However, the final closing price is at your discretion.
If you find our work helpful please like and comment.
Team Setupsfx_
retracement ?$3,500!With the reduction of international tensions and geopolitical risks in the last days of 2025 and of course the end of the fiscal year of international banks and financial institutions, as well as large companies in international stock markets, I think we can expect a two- or three-month break and price correction in the global gold price. The specified range can be re-tested by the average price.
USDCHF – Bears Still in Control👋 Hello everyone ! What do you think about the OANDA:USDCHF trend?
Today, I’m analyzing this pair on the 1D chart. Currently, USDCHF is trading around 0.7960, and overall, the bearish trend remains dominant.
The price structure stays below the descending trendline, while both EMA 34 and EMA 89 are sloping downward, limiting any potential recovery.
The 0.8040–0.8050 area is now acting as a key resistance zone. If price fails to break above this trendline, USDCHF is likely to turn lower again, heading toward lower support levels and possibly testing the bottom boundary of the trend channel.
What about you — 💬do you think USDCHF can reverse soon, or will the downtrend extend even further?
