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Tron

TRX: Bullish with high confidenceHey guys, let's break down what's happening with Tron on the 1-hour timeframe because we're seeing some textbook oversold conditions that could set up a solid mean reversion play. TRX is currently trading at $0.2772, down 1.29% over the last 24 hours and sitting dangerously close to the daily low at $0.2767. The price action has been grinding lower throughout the session, but what's really catching my eye is the confluence of extreme oversold readings across multiple momentum oscillators. RSI has crashed to 19.2, Stochastic is pinned at 9.7, and Money Flow Index is absolutely wrecked at 11.3 - these are capitulation-level numbers that we don't see every day. When you get RSI below 20 and Stochastic under 10 simultaneously, you're typically looking at selling exhaustion rather than the start of a fresh breakdown. The ADX reading of 59.1 confirms we're in a strong trending environment, but here's the thing: strong trends paired with extreme oversold conditions often mark the final flush before a bounce. Price is literally kissing the lower Bollinger Band at $0.2766, which has been acting as a technical support floor. The 4.5% lower wick on recent candles tells us buyers are already starting to defend these levels, even if hesitantly. From a moving average perspective, the picture is clearly bearish. TRX is trading below the EMA20 ($0.2795), EMA50 ($0.2811), and EMA200 ($0.2825), with a confirmed lower high formation that validates the downtrend structure. The HMA55 sits at $0.2795, creating a resistance cluster right around that EMA20 level. This convergence zone between $0.2795 and $0.2801 (Bollinger middle band) is going to be your first major hurdle on any bounce attempt. The MACD remains bearish with the histogram negative (MACD at -0.0011, Signal at -0.0008), so we're definitely fighting against the prevailing momentum here. But here's where it gets interesting: volume analysis is showing a completely different story. Current volume sits at just $3.26M compared to the 24-hour average of $8.43M - that's only 39% of normal activity. When you see price making new lows on significantly below-average volume, it's a red flag that the move lacks conviction. Sellers aren't piling in with force here; instead, we're seeing passive drifting lower, which often precedes reversals. The 24-hour volume of $64.7M is decent, but the intraday weakness in participation suggests this decline is running on fumes. Let's talk support and resistance levels because these are critical for framing any trade setup. Immediate support is the 24-hour low at $0.2767, which coincides almost perfectly with the lower Bollinger Band at $0.2766. This is your line in the sand - hold here and we're looking at a bounce; break below with volume and the oversold condition could extend further (though that seems less likely given current momentum exhaustion). On the upside, first resistance is that EMA20/HMA55 cluster at $0.2795, followed quickly by the Bollinger middle band at $0.2801. These levels will likely act as magnets for any mean reversion move. Beyond that initial resistance zone, the EMA50 at $0.2811 and EMA200 at $0.2825 represent more substantial barriers. The EMA200 in particular is significant because it's been capping rallies and would mark a full retracement of today's decline. The 24-hour high at $0.2834 sits just above that and represents the upper boundary of today's range - breaking above that would flip the short-term structure and potentially signal a trend reversal rather than just a bounce. For a trading setup, I'm favoring a counter-trend long position here with tight risk management. Entry zone would be in the $0.2770 area, essentially current price levels while we're testing support. Your stop loss needs to be tight given we're fighting the trend - I'd place it below $0.2760 to give about 10 pips of breathing room below the support cluster. That's roughly a $0.001 risk per unit. Take profit targets would be layered: TP1 at $0.2795 (EMA20/HMA55, about 2.5:1 RR), TP2 at $0.2801 (Bollinger middle band, about 3:1 RR), and TP3 at $0.2825 (EMA200, roughly 5.5:1 RR) for those wanting to ride extended bounces. The risk-reward here is favorable if you're disciplined with your stops. This isn't a high-conviction trend-following setup - it's a tactical mean reversion play based on extreme oversold conditions and weak selling volume. The confidence level sits around 73%, which reflects the fact that we're trading against the prevailing trend but with strong technical justification from momentum indicators. You're essentially betting that the rubber band has stretched too far and needs to snap back toward the mean. One scenario to watch: if we do get that bounce to the $0.2795-$0.2801 zone and price gets rejected hard with increasing volume, that would actually be a great short setup for continuation lower. But right now, at these oversold levels with price testing support, the path of least resistance for a short-term move appears to be up rather than down. The bearish structure remains intact on higher timeframes, so this would be a scalp rather than a swing trade - get in, take profits at resistance, and don't overstay your welcome. What are you thinking on this setup? Are you comfortable fading this weakness for a bounce, or would you rather wait for confirmation above $0.2795 before getting involved?
Long
by MonoCoinSignal
TRX/USDT — Long-Term Trendline Test: Bounce or Breakdown?TRX has maintained a multi-year higher-high, higher-low structure, making it one of the most stable altcoins in a volatile market cycle. But now, price is sitting directly above the primary ascending trendline — the same trendline that has supported TRX’s entire bullish expansion since early 2023. This weekly zone is a major decision point: Will TRX extend its long-term bullish structure, or will it break down and enter a deeper correction phase if the trendline and the $0.212 support fail? --- The long-term uptrend remains intact as long as the trendline holds. The price is currently retesting the trendline — a zone that historically triggers strong reactions (powerful bounce or sharp breakdown). The horizontal level at $0.212 acts as the critical structural support. Current movement looks like a healthy pullback, not a full reversal (unless the trendline breaks). --- 📈 Bullish Scenario — “The Continuation Rally” If TRX successfully holds the trendline and forms a bullish reaction, the next leg of the uptrend may begin. Bullish Confirmation Signals: Strong weekly close above the trendline Bullish reversal candle (pin bar, hammer, or engulfing) Increase in buy volume during the trendline retest Bullish Targets: 1. $0.32 – $0.35 → first resistance zone 2. $0.45 → major 2025 peak 3. Break above $0.45 → potential long-term price discovery Bullish Narrative: “As long as the trendline holds, this is not a correction — it’s a refueling phase before the next rally.” --- 📉 Bearish Scenario — “Trendline Breakdown Phase” If TRX loses the trendline on a weekly close, the long-standing bullish structure may break for the first time since 2023. Bearish Confirmation Signals: Weekly close below the trendline Retest of the trendline turning into resistance Weekly close below $0.212 → full structure breakdown Bearish Targets: Deeper correction into the next major demand zones Larger volatility due to long positions liquidating below the trendline Bearish Narrative: “A trendline breakdown is not a pullback — it signals a structural reversal.” --- 📌 Pattern Summary Primary Pattern: Long-term rising trendline Current Phase: Controlled weekly pullback Possible Outcomes: Bull Flag continuation (if price bounces) Trendline Breakdown (if price closes below support) --- 🎯 Final Conclusion TRX is positioned at a critical structural level where the market will decide between a continuation of the multi-year uptrend or a macro correction phase. The next few weekly candles will be decisive. --- #TRX #TRXUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Trendline #WeeklyChart #Altcoins #BullishScenario #BearishScenario
Long
by CryptoNuclear
FireHoseReel | TRX Technical Outlook After Resistance Break🔥 Welcome to FireHoseReel! Let’s jump into the TRX market structure analysis. 👀 TRX – 4H Overview TRX has successfully broken above the $0.2824 resistance and is now pushing higher. Over the past 24 hours, TRX trading volume has dropped by 20%. 📊 Volume Analysis Watch the volume closely on the chart. Every time price previously reached $0.2824, it faced strong sell pressure and sell orders were heavily filled. On the third and current test, fewer sell orders were present, and with a slight increase in volume, this resistance was finally broken. ✍️ TRX Trading Scenarios Below are the active scenarios you can use alongside your trading strategy: 🟢 Long Scenario Since TRX has broken this resistance, you can enter a long position, placing your stop-loss below the current low. Alternatively, wait for better consolidation above this level and enter on the pullback for a safer setup. 🔴 Short Scenario A break below the $0.2791 support, accompanied by strong selling pressure, could lead to a deeper drop and offers a valid short setup. 🧠 Protect your capital first. No setup is worth blowing your account. If risk isn’t controlled, profit means nothing. Trade with rules, not emotions.
Long
by FireHoseReel
The end of crypto being an alt investment?If ever there was evidence that crypto has become normalized and absorbed into mainstream institutional behaviour—moving more like a unified asset class and less like a collection of wild outliers—this is it. Across four randomly selected coins with very different purposes and market caps ( COINBASE:BTCUSD - top left, COINBASE:XRPUSD - top right, COINBASE:SOLUSD - bottom left and BINANCE:TRXUSD - bottom right): 2 out of 4 ranged 35–40% in an almost identical pattern over the same period 3 out of 4 ranged 35–48% in an almost identical pattern over the same period 4 out of 4 ranged 20–48% in an almost identical pattern over the same period These similarities raise the question: are we now past the era of: Huge, isolated crypto swings? Crypto consistently moving counter to the S&P, FTSE and other indices? Crypto acting as a true alternative asset class? Not quite. Yes, institutional capital is now clearly in the market, but how crypto behaves still depends heavily on how those institutions manage their allocations. Crypto remains capable of sharp, counter-intuitive moves—but with less of the explosive upside (or catastrophic downside) that defined the early years. Crypto volatility is likely to be lower than before—but still far above that of major indices or mega-cap equities (the “Apple/Google/Amazon equivalents” of traditional markets). And crucially, crypto can still move counter to the stock market, as shown in the second image where BTC (and most major coins) fell while equities rallied. This also leads us to the following - the three investor archetypes now dominating crypto: The Whales – Formerly wealthy early adopters, but now overwhelmingly institutional players. Their capital, risk management structure and access to liquidity eclipse everyone beneath them. The Sharks – Yesterday’s whales. Powerful enough to cause volatility and trigger widespread stop-loss cascades, but no longer able to dictate the market the way they once could. The Nemos – Retail investors, small and scattered, swimming in the wake of the larger fishes while trying (often desperately) to “find Dory*.” At the same time, crypto has shown increasing correlation with stock market trends—particularly between April and October—further evidence of institutional influence and a sign that crypto is becoming mainstream, integrated, and less viable as a true alternative asset class capable of life-changing returns (or losses). Notes: * Dory: Alpha – mythical, elusive, and mostly found in pixel form (cinemas, and charts on social media trading apps :-) ).
by slip_stream
TRON below its 1W MA50 after 2.5 years! Is Bear Cycle confirmed?Tron (TRXUSD) closed last week below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since March 20 2023. Those +2.5 years it has been riding the new Bull Cycle within a Channel Up that peaked on the December 02 2024 1W candle, around the majority of the altcoin market. The current 1W MA50 break seems similar to the December 13 2021 one that was also initiated after a 0.236 Fibonacci level rejection and confirmed the subsequent Bear Cycle. With the 1M RSI brutally falling below its MA, we believe the market may have again confirmed the new Bear Cycle and the next target (as then) is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). Our long-term projection for a Cycle bottom is the 0.786 Fib, unless the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) gets hit after August 2026. If not we believe the market may bottom around at least 0.16500, which is still a more optimistic scenario as it falls even above the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the November 14 2022 (previous) bottom. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:TRXUSDShort
by TradingShot
3
TRON (CRYPTO: $TRX) Shift After Ending USDJ Strengthens Its CoreTRON (CRYPTO: CRYPTOCAP:TRX ) has entered a new phase after officially retiring USDJ, its algorithmic stablecoin that has existed for over five years. Holders can now redeem at a fixed rate of 1 USDJ = 1.5532 TRX, closing the chapter cleanly and without market disruption. The shutdown signals TRON’s transition toward fully collateral-backed stablecoins like USDD and the massive USDT supply already dominating the chain. Globally, regulatory pressure continues moving the industry away from algorithmic models, making TRON’s timing strategic and aligned with long-term stability. The shift also clears legacy risks and simplifies the ecosystem, helping new users and institutions navigate TRON more easily. Analysts view this move as a maturity milestone that prepares TRON for its next wave of products and infrastructure upgrades. TRON’s dominance in the stablecoin sector remains unmatched. The network now hosts over 60% of the entire USDT supply, exceeding $78.5 billion, and continues to lead global settlement volume. In October, TRON processed $775.2 billion in monthly transactions, supported 76.4 million transfers, and maintained near-zero fees with sub-second finality. These metrics highlight why TRC-20 USDT is the preferred digital dollar across emerging markets, remittance corridors, and high-frequency commercial systems. This dominance directly reinforces TRX utility. Higher settlement flows create more demand for bandwidth and energy, increasing long-term token usage. TRON’s infrastructure remains reliable, with protocols like JustLend, SunSwap, WINkLink, and JustStables anchoring billions in TVL. Tether’s consistent preference for TRON further accelerates liquidity growth. Technicals TRX rebounded strongly from the $0.28 demand cluster, forming a narrowing wedge with higher lows. Holding above $0.280–$0.285 keeps bullish momentum intact. Breaking $0.31 opens the path to $0.34, with a stretch target at $0.37. Losing support risks another retest of lower levels.
BINANCE:TRXUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
TRON: an inverse Head and Shoulders Hi! Trend Overview: The chart shows a prolonged downtrend, highlighted by the steady descending trendline. Price has been making lower highs and lower lows, consistent with a bearish market structure. Trendline Break: Recently, a shorter-term descending trendline was broken to the upside, signaling potential bullish pressure and a shift in momentum. Pattern Formation: A classic inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed: Left Shoulder: 0.2900 level Head: 0.2765 level Right Shoulder: ~0.2920 level This pattern suggests a potential reversal from the prior downtrend to an upward move. Target Zone: The target of the head and shoulders pattern is marked around 0.3140–0.3180, representing the measured move from the head to the neckline. This is a key resistance zone where sellers might appear.
Long
by melikatrader94
16
Could TRON #TRX 6X v #BITCOIN TRXBTC has very good market structure (higher high's , higher lows's) for the past 3 years. Overlooked , & under-appreciated it seems like, in my view on it's sentiment on Justin's success of network adoption. We can see a clear Inverse head and shoulders with a very key neckline level that if broken with strength could a indicate a run at the LOG target. A disappointing TRX may only reach the linear target and not much beyond. My TRXUSD chart which I am watching also does point to a stellar Bull market for TRX
Long
by BallaJi
TRX/USD Breakout Watch – Can Bulls Sustain This Move?🔥 TRX/USD — "TRON vs U.S. Dollar" 🚀 Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Swing Trade Edition) 💎 Plan: Bullish 🎯 Entry: Any price level after a confirmed breakout — patience is profit, my friends! 🛑 Stop-Loss: This is the Thief SL @ 0.28500 ⚔️ Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), please adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk tolerance. Trade smart — not just fast! 💰 Target: Aim for 0.31000 — but remember, the police barricade might show up before that! 🏃‍♂️💨 Escape with profits before they catch you! Not financial advice — your bag, your plan, your escape route. 🧠 Note: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), these are my personal setups. You’re free to customize entries, exits, and targets to fit your strategy. Always manage your own risk like a pro! ⚡ Trade with discipline. Escape with profits. #TRXUSD #TRON #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #ThiefTrader #CryptoBlueprint #BullishSetup #TradePlan
CAPITALCOM:TRXUSDLong
by The-Thief
Will #TRXUSDT Slide Down Further or Recover? Must Watch Yello Paradisers! Are you actually watching what’s developing on #TRXUSDT? Because if you’re not, you could be caught completely off guard by this sneaky bearish setup unfolding right now. Let’s break down #TRON Setup: 💎#TRX has been trading inside a textbook Ascending Channel, but that structure is breaking down fast. After losing the ascending support, the price is now retesting it as resistance — and it’s not looking good for the bulls. Adding to the pressure? The 50 EMA, which is now acting as dynamic resistance, reinforces the potential for further downside. 💎Current price of #TRXUSD is $0.30, and this level is absolutely critical. If this rejection holds and we get a clean fail from this zone, the bearish scenario becomes highly probable. Momentum is already leaning bearish, and this breakdown could trigger a deeper flush. 💎If the rejection confirms and sellers take control, we could see price cascade down toward the Support Zone at $0.26, and if that level gives way, a much more aggressive drop into the Strong Demand Zone around $0.18 becomes likely — where bigger buyers might finally show up. 💎However, this bearish structure gets invalidated if #TRX can reclaim and close above the $0.3696 resistance. A breakout above that level would trap late bears and flip the narrative bullish, with room to squeeze higher toward the $0.42 region. Trade smart, Paradisers. This setup will reward only the disciplined. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
TRON Consolidating Before Potential Drop Toward 0.27–0.26 ZoneHi guys! TRON touched the Decision Point (DP) and has been consolidating inside a descending triangle pattern. After the triangle’s support line was tested several times, the price broke below the broken ascending trendline, confirming weakness in bullish momentum. Currently, the market seems to be forming a short-term correction before continuing its downward movement. If this scenario plays out, the next potential bearish targets will be around 0.2746 and 0.2623, which also align with the target zone of the triangle pattern. As long as TRX remains below the broken structure, the overall sentiment stays bearish. A daily close above the triangle’s upper boundary would be required to invalidate this setup and shift bias back to the upside.
Short
by melikatrader94
16
Long TronTrading Fam, A rare buy signal was given a few days ago by my indicator. Tron is one of the few altcoins that remains above the 350 SMA, while at the same time, BTC.D is currently below the 350 SMA. Additionally, you can see that Tron is testing the bottom side of our triangle. I am expecting a bounce from here to go back up to the top. If we break, I have my target set at .37, though we could go as high as .40 cents with a breakout. You can see we are in a large buy-side liquidity block, meaning there are a lot of institutional buyer at this level. Finally, you can see that red 200 dma, which will also help support price should we get that low. All this being said, this is a higher risk trade since most alts are obviously in a local downtrend. Therefore, I am not willing to take more than a 5% loss on the trade. ✌️Stew
KRAKEN:TRXUSDLong
by stewdamus
1
TRON on its absolute Bull Cycle Support. Can it hold?Tron (TRXUSD) is on its 3rd straight week trading on the 1W MA20 (red trend-line). In fact that level has held and closed both previous 1W candles above it, despite getting breached marginally. The current Bull Cycle since the November 2022 bottom, has been dominated entirely by a Channel Up, that only broke once on the December 2024 massive spike. Besides that, it has been using the 1W MA20 as its pull-back and buy signal. The zone it has created along with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has been the ultimate Buy Zone of this pattern. As a result, this is technically a strong Buy Signal for TRX, most likely targeting 0.47000, representing a +60.48% rise, which has been the minimum Bullish Leg rise within this Channel Up. If however it breaks below its 1W MA50, we will have the strongest confirmation that the new Bear Cycle has technically begun, and the first Target would be 0.16000, potentially going for a contact with its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:TRXUSD
by TradingShot
$TRX — The “protected child” of Justin SunOnce again, AMEX:TRX has proven it’s the “favorite child” of its creator, Justin Sun. Despite the market chaos, OKX:TRXUSDT dropped only ~10%, showing exceptional resilience while many altcoins suffered deep crashes. The next key support zone is $0.25–0.27, (based on trend line) which previously marked bottoms during the COVID crash (March 2020) and November 2022. If buyers defend this level, it could act as a strong base for a rebound — possibly up to $1.7. This structure continues to reflect steady demand and long-term accumulation rather than exit pressure. 💭 Will #Tron repeat its historical bounce from this range, or is the sentiment shifting this time? ______________ ◆ Follow us ❤️ for daily crypto insights & updates! 🚀 Don’t miss out on important market moves 🧠 DYOR | This is not financial advice, just thinking out loud
by P_S_trade
TRON/USDT: Watching Head and Shoulders FormationHi guys! I’m watching TRON/USDT on the 1-hour chart, and we’re nearing the end of a compression phase (highlighted in the chart). The price has been consolidating, and I believe a breakout could happen soon. What stands out to me is the Head and Shoulders pattern forming . I’ve marked the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder on the chart. If the price breaks the neckline, I’m expecting a bullish move to follow (around 0.3466 ). I’m also keeping an eye on the descending trendline. If the price breaks above this trendline, it could strengthen the case for an upward move. In short, if the price breaks the neckline and the trendline, I’m expecting a bullish move to around 0.3466. If these breaks happen, I’ll be watching for further upside potential.
Long
by melikatrader94
20
TRON Major rally to 0.4200 ahead.Tron (TRXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the February 03 Low. Its most recent Higher Low was on its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) on September 06 and right now it is attempting to break above the Lower Highs trend-line of the previous High, in order to confirm the next Bullish Leg. This sequence is similar to the March 08 - April 07 fractal, where the price broke out to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension before the 1D RSI turned overbought (above 80.00) and started to decline. As a result, if the price breaks above the current Lower Highs, we will take it as a buy signal, targeting 0.4200 (Fib 1.618 ext). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:TRXUSDLong
by TradingShot
DeGRAM | TRXUSD rebound📊 Technical Analysis ● TRX/USD rebounded sharply from 0.3212 support, breaking above the descending channel’s upper boundary and signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. ● Price is consolidating near 0.3345 resistance; a sustained break higher opens the way to 0.3420 and potentially 0.3500. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● TRON’s TVL expansion and rising stablecoin transfers provide fresh tailwinds, while improved crypto sentiment from BTC stability supports altcoin recoveries. ✨ Summary Bullish above 0.3345; targets 0.3420 → 0.3500. Invalidation on a close below 0.3212. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
3