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GBPUSD: Cable slides under 1.35 handle after triple blow!Cable faces a crucial test at 1.3500 following yesterday's triple blow from disappointing UK PMI data, hawkish comments from Powell, and concerning UK public sector borrowing figures ahead of November's Budget. In this ThinkMarkets analysis, we break down the key technical levels as GBPUSD loses the round 1.3500 support but remains within its upward channel. Key focus areas : Immediate Risk : Break below channel support targeting 1.3372 double bottom Critical Level : 1.3335 - invalidation of inverse head & shoulders pattern Fibonacci Support : 61.8% retracement cluster around 1.3340 Trading Strategies : Three approaches for the potential breakdown Key Levels to Watch : Support : 1.3500 (breaking), 1.3450, 1.3372, 1.3340 Resistance : 1.3550 bounce target Bias : Cautiously bearish while below channel support The pound continues to face domestic headwinds with stalling economic data and fiscal concerns, making any recovery challenging despite potential Fed dovishness. Cable traders, watch this critical technical juncture closely. Trade responsibly with ThinkMarkets - your trusted forex partner. This content is not directed to residents of the EU or UK. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information contained on this website is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice. ThinkMarkets will not accept liability for any loss or damage including, without limitation, to any loss of profit which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
Short
by ThinkMarkets
1
GBP/USD slips on record debt, soft PMIsThe British pound has posted slight gains on Tuesday. In the European session, GBP/USD is trading at 1.2302, down 0.60%. UK debt costs soared in December, sending the budget deficit to a record 27.4 billion pounds. This was sharply higher than the November reading of 18.8 billion pounds and the consensus of 17.3 billion pounds. The drivers behind the sharp upturn were rising interest payments and government subsidies for gas and electricity. The government's bill for the subsidies in December was some 7 billion pounds. Despite the grim debt news, the pound remains steady, thanks to broad US dollar weakness. UK PMIs for December didn't help matters, as both the Services and Manufacturing PMIs came in below the 50 level, which indicates contraction. Manufacturing rose slightly to 46.7, up from 45.3 in November and above the forecast of 45.0 points. The Services PMI fell to 48.0, down from the November read and the forecast, both of which were 49.9 points. The soaring debt and soft PMIs are further signs of a weak UK economy. These are clearly not ideal conditions for raising interest rates, but with inflation at 10.5%, the Bank of England doesn't really have much choice, as entrenched inflation could cause more damage to the economy than high interest rates. The road back to low inflation promises to be a long one, with the BoE projecting that inflation won't drop to 5% until late this year. The US will release Manufacturing and Services PMIs which are expected to remain in contraction territory. Manufacturing is expected to tick lower to 46.1 (46.2 prev.), while Services is forecast to dip to 44.5 (44.7 prev.). If the releases are softer than expected, the US dollar could lose ground as speculation will rise that the Fed may have to ease up on the pace of rates. GBP/USD is testing support at 1.2335. Below, there is support at 1.2233 There is resistance at 1.2499 and 1.2601
by OANDA