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US100 M15 FVG Reaction and Bullish Continuation Setup📝 Description US100 on M15 is trading inside a corrective phase after a clear impulse. Price has dipped into a 15M FVG and is showing early signs of support and absorption, suggesting this move is a liquidity-driven pullback rather than a trend reversal. ________________________________________ 📈 Signal / Analysis Primary Bias: Short-term bullish continuation while holding above 25,540–25,560 Long Setup (Preferred): • Entry (Buy): 25,560 • Stop Loss: Below 25,530 • TP1: 25,597 • TP2: 25,620 (15M FVG) • TP3: 25,657 (BSL / range high) ________________________________________ 🎯 ICT & SMC Notes • Clean pullback into 15M FVG • Signs of absorption, not acceptance lower • Market structure still bullish on LTF • BSL resting above recent highs ________________________________________ 🧩 Summary This looks like a classic pullback-to-continue setup. As long as US100 holds the current FVG, odds favor a push higher to collect buy-side liquidity near the highs. Acceptance below the FVG invalidates the long idea. ________________________________________ 🌍 Fundamental Notes / Sentiment With US indices still sensitive to macro headlines and rate expectations, shallow pullbacks into liquidity zones often resolve with continuation. Trade reactions, keep risk tight, and scale out into targets. ________________________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclosure Trading involves substantial risk and may result in capital loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always apply proper risk management, predefined stop-loss levels, and disciplined position sizing aligned with your trading plan.
IG:NASDAQLong
by TFlab
1
NASDAQ is on the verge of collapse.Nasdaq (NDX) completed its 'Santa rally' on December 26 and since then it's been pulling back, breaking below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), despite today's early rise in the aftermath of Maduro's capture over the weekend. Technically, it is repeating the Cycle Top formation of 2021. That was achieved under a Lower Highs trend-line, which as soon as the very first week of 2022, started a violent correction that extended well beyond the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), making a first stop on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension, before a dead-cat-bounce kicked in. Right now, the latest Lower High was that 'Santa rally' and since we've just started the first week of 2026, there are high probabilities that a new collapse will begin. Even the 1D RSI comes to confirm this, being very similar to that of late 2021. If the market repeats the 2022 Bear Cycle, then we are looking at a first Low at 21000 (Fib 2.618) by March. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
1
Bullish bounce off?US100 has bounced off the support level, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 25,253.06 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 24.919.12 Why we like it: There is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 25,837.82 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by Vantage
QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026QQQ Weekly Outlook – Week 1 of 2026 Technical Look: Price moved exactly as planned in my December 21 Weekly QQQ outlook (you can check the linked idea). The market bottomed on December 17, as anticipated in my December 14 Weekly QQQ prediction, and then started to move higher. Price reached both of my targets and began retracing from those levels. (Please refer to the linked post for details) Currently, QQQ is retracing from the highs and appears to be seeking additional liquidity and energy before any continuation higher. This consolidation phase may take longer than initially expected. Scenarios – Prediction: Scenario 1: Bullish Scenario I am looking for price to break and close above the 614.5 level on the 4H timeframe. A confirmed 4H close above 614.5 would indicate that the bullish scenario is in play, and I would consider engaging on the long side. Potential upside targets for this scenario: 621.75 – 629.5 Scenario 2: Bearish Scenario If price fails to break above 614.5, I would consider that QQQ is shifting into a bearish flow and seeking lower prices. In that case, I would look to engage on the short side. Downside targets for this scenario: 610 – 606.25 – 600 – 588.5 The 588.5 level represents the most extended bearish scenario. If price breaks 600 aggressively , I would then expect a move toward 588.5. Position Management Notes: Each target level may trigger significant pullbacks or reversals. Personally, I take partial profits at these levels and keep the remaining position open toward the next targets, while trailing the stop loss to breakeven. This is how I manage my positions. I share deeper US Market breakdowns and weekly scenario updates on Substack. Link is in my profile. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by UA_CAPITAL
US100 / NDX - Bullish setup for 2026. Look at this 12M yearly candle chart of NDX, Text book setup of bullish as per volume and PA. Max volume buyers for the year at bottom 20% of candle, they managed to close the candle as bullish big body hammer. So 2026 - Possible liquidity grab at FVG fill and head higher, so watch out for bigger stocks level NVDA near154, NFLX near 80 an tesla near 380... when all dots connect rocket should fire for huge run of 2026. We don't know where we will close for 2026 at the moment, but there will be good run for upside. Until this dots connect expect choppy action. BTC may also fill 75k level when these dots connect.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by VenugopalAru
SELLside Liquidity got Cleaned Below...VANTAGE:NAS100 price is trading below the major supply band at 25,800 – 26,000. This zone is the origin of the last impulsive sell-off and remains unmitigated supply. As long as price stays below 26,000, the higher-timeframe bias remains bearish 🐼 On H1, market structure confirms this bias: • Lower highs • Weak reactions from demand • Repeated failures below supply The recent sell-off cleaned sell-side liquidity below 25,300, followed by a sharp reaction. This move is not accumulation. It is a liquidity grab followed by a corrective pullback. 🦈 Scalp While the higher-timeframe bias remains bearish, a short-term scalp long 🦖 is possible only after a clear rejection from OG demand zones on lower timeframes. • Sell-side liquidity already taken • Execution strictly based on M15 / M5 / M3 Scalp activation criteria (OG Concept) on M15 / M5 / M3: • Price taps OG demand zone • Clear rejection from the OG zone (wick + displacement) • Momentum shift with follow-through • Failure to continue lower after the liquidity sweep Scalp plan: • Long only after OG zone rejection is confirmed • Target: 25,480 – 25,520 (≈ 25,500 supply) • This move is reactional, not a trend reversal 📌 No OG rejection = no trade. 🔴 Primary Scenario Main idea: SELL the pullback • Key supply zone: 25,480 – 25,520 • This zone aligns with: • H1 supply • Prior breakdown area • Premium pricing within the current range Execution logic: • Price reaches supply • Momentum weakens • Rejection / failure to hold above the zone • Continuation to the downside Targets: • 25,300 → partial profit • 25,250 → liquidity retest • 25,180 – 25,200 → extension ❌ Invalidation • M15 close above 25,550 • Acceptance above supply invalidates the short idea 🧠 Smart Money Logic (OG Concept) • Panic sell triggers liquidity • Sell-side gets cleaned • Price is pushed back into premium • Retail chases the bounce • Smart money distributes into supply Two-phase play: • Reaction long → into supply • Distribution short → continuation dump Bias remains sell-side while price trades below higher-timeframe supply.
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
NASDAQ doesn’t move randomly. It hunts liquidity.CAPITALCOM:US100 Price is currently trading inside a broken OG zone, after a clear distribution phase from the premium area. Market structure remains bearish, with lower highs and weak upside reactions. Short-term outlook (15M) • Price failed to hold above the broken OG zone • No strong bullish displacement or acceptance above resistance • Liquidity is still resting below current price • Expectation: continuation to the downside to sweep short-term liquidity Mid-term outlook (1H) • Overall structure remains bearish • Previous OG zone acting as resistance • Unfilled liquidity remains below the range lows • As long as price stays below the broken zone, shorts remain valid My expectation I expect price to take the liquidity below and deliver a minimum 50-point drop from the current levels. Any pullback into the broken OG zone can be considered a sell opportunity, as long as structure does not shift.
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
2
NASDAQ100 Market Structure & Pullback Strategy📈 NAS100 / US100 — NASDAQ100 Index Market Trade Opportunity Guide (Day / Swing Trade) 🔵 Market Bias Bullish Plan Active 🟢 Momentum structure remains positive with buyers defending higher demand zones on pullbacks. 🎯 Entry Strategy (Pullback-Based Execution) Pullback-1: Buy above 25200 🔁 Pullback-2: Buy above 24900 🔁 📌 This plan focuses on buying controlled retracements within a bullish structure rather than chasing highs. 🛑 Risk Management (Stop Loss) SL for Pullback-1: 25000 SL for Pullback-2: 24700 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), adjust your Stop Loss based on your own strategy and risk tolerance. I am not recommending using only my SL — risk management is fully your responsibility. 🏁 Take Profit / Exit Zone Target: 26000 🎯 🚨 Police Force zone ahead: Strong resistance + overbought conditions + potential bull trap + corrective risk detected. ➡️ Kindly escape with profits once price reacts in this zone. ⚠️ TP Disclaimer: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending using only my TP. Protect profits based on your own execution rules. 👀 Related Pairs & Assets to Watch ($ Correlation) CAPITALCOM:US30 (Dow Jones) 🏭 Confirms broader US equity strength; divergence may warn of NAS100 slowdown. FOREXCOM:SPX500 (S&P 500) 📊 Healthy correlation — continuation supports bullish NAS100 bias. TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) 💵 Sharp USD strength can pressure tech valuations. TVC:US10Y / US Treasury Yields 📉 Rising yields = headwind for growth & tech stocks. 🧠 Fundamental & Economic Factors to Consider 🔹 Federal Reserve Outlook: Rate-cut expectations or dovish commentary tend to support NASDAQ upside. Hawkish tone or delayed cuts may trigger volatility or pullbacks. 🔹 Inflation Data (CPI / PCE): Cooling inflation = bullish for growth stocks Sticky inflation = risk of corrective moves 🔹 US Labor Market (NFP / Jobless Claims): Weakening data supports rate-cut narrative → bullish NAS100 Overheating labor data may pressure equities 🔹 Big Tech Earnings & Guidance: NAS100 is highly sensitive to mega-cap tech outlooks (AI, cloud, semiconductors). Positive guidance fuels continuation; cautious outlooks invite corrections. 🔹 Upcoming High-Impact Events: FOMC statements US CPI / PCE releases Major US tech earnings weeks 📌 Always reduce risk or lock profits ahead of high-impact economic releases. 🧩 Final Trading Insight 📈 Trend favors buy-the-dip, not emotional breakouts. 🎯 Respect resistance zones, secure profits early, and let structure — not emotions — guide execution. 👍 If this setup adds value, support with a LIKE, BOOST, or FOLLOW for more professional index trade plans. Trade smart. Protect capital. Let the market pay you. 💼📊
SKILLING:US100
by The-Thief
Falling towards 50% Fib support?US100 is falling towards the support levle which has been identified as an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 25,253.06 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 24,919.12 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 25,723.79 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:NAS100Long
by Vantage
NASDAQ Will this rejection lead to a bearish 2026 opening?Nasdaq (NDX) just got rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line that started after its October 30 All Time High (ATH). With the 4H RSI also rejected on its own Lower Highs trend-line and the 4H MACD forming a Bearish Cross already, we expect this to be the start of a new Bearish Leg, similar to the previous two that followed such Lower Highs rejections. As a result, the most likely scenario as long as this trend-line remains intact, is for the index to approach the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) again. We expect it to hit at least 24800. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
1
APPL (APPLE) BUY IDEAAPPL (APPLE) BUY IDEA 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment is bullish, driven by expectations of the FED’s potential rate cut in December. In addition, Trump’s likely nominee for the new FED Chair is Kevin Hassett a strong supporter of aggressive rate cuts. This possibility has pushed markets higher as participants began pricing in earlier and more aggressive cuts for 2026. 📈 Technical Analysis AAPL remains one of the most bullish stocks in the U.S. market. All higher timeframes are strongly bullish. We are currently seeing a retracement from recent all time highs, which in my opinion is simply a healthy pullback to build momentum for higher prices. 📌 Game Plan I have two key Points of Interest for potential long entries. Both support a bullish continuation thesis, and I do not expect a major bearish shift for AAPL anytime soon. Scenario 1: Price taps 276.25 and bounces. I will wait for a daily bullish close to confirm the continuation. Scenario 2: Price dips into 271 and bounces. I will again look for a daily bullish close as confirmation. Note: The FED’s rate decision will be released on Wednesday at 2 PM. Until then, I expect price to potentially move into an accumulation or range phase. If I see strong movement earlier in the week, I won’t hesitate to take a long position. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. ⚠️ This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by UA_CAPITAL
QQQ (NQ-US100) Weekly Prediction – Outlook (21 DEC)QQQ (NQ-US100) Weekly Prediction – Outlook (21 DEC) 📊 Market Sentiment Market sentiment turned fully bullish after the CPI data came in significantly lower than expected on Thursday. While the consensus expectation was 3.1%, the actual CPI print came at 2.7%, representing a meaningful downside surprise. This data does not directly determine the outcome of the January FED meeting, as another CPI report will be released on January 13, 2026, which will be far more critical for the FED’s decision making process. However, the current soft inflation trend increased the probability of another lower CPI reading in January, which positively impacted risk sentiment across markets. 📈 Technical Analysis Last week’s QQQ analysis played out perfectly. I hope you were able to capitalize on it. Price reversed precisely from the levels we anticipated following the CPI release. I am linking last week’s QQQ weekly analysis below for reference. After the CPI data, price transitioned back into a clean bullish structure on both the daily and weekly timeframes. On Friday, QQQ rallied impulsively and closed the week with strong bullish momentum. Overall, I think the market structure supports bullish continuation. 📌 Game Plan I think QQQ may directly test 618.5 (Target 1) early in the week, followed by a move toward 625.75. These are the two bullish targets I expect to be reached within this week. Price may also move toward these targets without any meaningful retracement. I plan to close one third of my call options at 618.5 and the remaining portion at 625.75 from the positions I am holding since Thursday. If price pulls back to 611.75 or 607 before reaching 625.75 and prints strong 1H or 4H bullish candle closes, I will look to add new call option positions targeting 625.75. In the event of a developing bearish structure, I will provide updates. However, at this stage, I do not see any clear bearish signals. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack free access available. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
1
NAS100 Shows Strong Bullish Structure After Pullback📈 NASDAQ100 (NAS100) | Bullish Swing Trade Opportunity 🎯 Market Trade Opportunity Guide — SMA Pullback Strategy 🔥 TRADE SETUP SUMMARY Asset: NAS100/US100 (NASDAQ-100 Index) Timeframe: Swing Trade Strategy: Bullish Simple Moving Average (SMA) Pullback Bias: 🟢 BULLISH CONFIRMED 📍 ENTRY POINTS Flexible Entry Strategy: ✅ Any price level entry acceptable (DCA approach recommended) ✅ Optimal entry zones: SMA support pullback levels ✅ Consider scaling into positions on dips ✅ Volume confirmation at entry crucial for momentum 🛑 STOP LOSS MANAGEMENT Primary SL Level: 25,200 ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is a reference level only. Adjust your stop loss based on: ✓ Your personal risk management strategy ✓ Individual account risk tolerance ✓ Position sizing preferences ✓ Your trading experience & capital allocation Your responsibility: Set SL that fits YOUR risk profile. Don't rely solely on suggested levels. 🎯 PROFIT TARGETS Primary Target: 26,100 Key Resistance Factors: 📊 High voltage resistance zone 📈 Overbought conditions detected ⚡ Trap risk at elevated levels 💡 Recommend: Take partial profits, don't go all-in ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: TP level is reference only. Manage profits based on: ✓ Your personal trading objectives ✓ Risk/reward ratio preferences ✓ Market momentum confirmation ✓ Your own technical analysis Exit Strategy: Capture gains systematically. Don't be greedy—take money when available. 📊 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR (Correlation Analysis) Major USD Pairs to Monitor: EUR/USD 💶 — Current: 1.1713 | Bias: 🔵 Bearish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Risk sentiment driver) GBP/USD 🇬🇧 — Current: 1.3381 | Bias: 🔵 Bearish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Tech growth proxy) USD/JPY 🇯🇵 — Current: 155.00 | Bias: 🟢 Bullish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Carry trade impact) USD/CAD 🇨🇦 — Current: 1.38 | Bias: 🔵 Bearish $ | Correlation: INVERSE (Risk-off correlation) Correlation Insights: Weaker USD = Better for tech stocks (positive NAS100). Stronger JPY carry = Risk-off mood (negative NAS100). Watch EUR/USD & GBP/USD for broader sentiment shifts—these are your early warning indicators for tech sector rotation. 🌍 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS (December 2025) Fed Monetary Policy 🏦 ✅ Latest Decision (December 10, 2025): Rate cut: 25 basis points (0.25%) New target range: 3.50%-3.75% 3rd consecutive rate cut in 2025 Divided vote: 9 for cuts, 3 dissenting Market Implication: Powell signals "patience" on further cuts—limited cuts expected in 2026 (only 1-2 projected). This is a headwind for aggressive tech rallies but supports intermediate tech strength. Inflation Status 📊 PCE Inflation (September 2025): 2.8% (above 2% target) Trend: Inflation moved UP since earlier 2025, remains "somewhat elevated" Outlook: Expected to remain above 2% through 2026 Tariff Risk: Trump tariffs expected to push inflation higher in 2026 Market Implication: Persistent inflation limits Fed's ability to cut rates aggressively. Tech valuations face pressure from higher rates. Expect volatility from tariff-related inflation surprises. Employment & Labor Market 👥 Job gains: Slowed significantly in 2025 Unemployment rate: Edged up through September (at 4.4%) Fed assessment: "Downside risks to employment rose in recent months" Tone: Labor market showing weakness, supporting rate cuts Market Implication: Weaker jobs data = positive for equities (lower rates). But lack of October/November data due to govt shutdown creates uncertainty going into 2026. Economic Growth 📈 GDP Growth (Fed projection 2026): 2.3% (raised from 2.0%) Current pace: "Moderate expansion" of economic activity Outlook: Modest growth expected, not recessionary Market Implication: No recession expected. Growth supports equity rallies like NAS100, but tariffs could dampen 2026 growth trajectory. Key Macro Risks for 2026 ⚠️ Tariff Impact: Trump tariffs likely to increase inflation and reduce growth Rate Uncertainty: Fed Chairman succession unclear; policy direction murky Government Data Gaps: October/November data delayed; information asymmetry high Market Expectations Divergence: Fed members divided on future rate path Bond Yields: Higher yields = headwind for high-multiple tech stocks 📅 KEY UPCOMING EVENTS TO WATCH January 2026: Fed Chair decision; delayed employment/inflation data releases Q1 2026: Tariff implementation timeline clarity 2026 FOMC Meetings: Only 1-2 rate cuts priced vs. 3+ in 2025 🎯 TRADE BIAS CONCLUSION Technical: 🟢 Bullish (SMA support confirmed) Macro: 🟡 Cautious (Fed pause, tariff uncertainty) Composite: 🟢 BUY dips toward 25,200 | Target 26,100 | Manage risk aggressively 📌 RISK DISCLAIMER ✅ All trading involves risk. No guarantees on outcomes. ✅ Past performance ≠ future results ✅ Use proper position sizing & risk management ✅ Trade with only capital you can afford to lose ✅ This is analysis, not financial advice
SKILLING:US100
by The-Thief
NASDAQ One final Santa push??Nasdaq (NDX) is rebounding today on its 1H MA50 (blue trend-line), capitalizing on the short 6-day Channel Up that it's been trading in. With a 1H MACD Bullish Cross confirming the start of the new Bullish Leg, we can expect at least a +2.11% rise (similar to the 1st Bullish Leg) on this one, targeting 25900, as part of the final 'Santa rally' push. --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot