US100 – Dark Cloud Cover Signals Possible Reversal AheadAfter the drop to 22,800, NAS100 recovered strongly and yesterday retested the recent ATH in the 23,800 zone.
However, by the close of the trading day, the index erased the entire intraday advance and closed in the red – leaving a Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation on the daily chart.
As explained in my previous analysis, I believe the US indices are ready for a deeper correction after the incredible run-up since April.
Technical Outlook:
• The US100 is still holding above its recent ascending trend line.
• A confirmed break below this trend line could trigger an acceleration in selling pressure.
• The first downside target for bears is the recent low at 22,800.
• In the medium term, if a full reversal unfolds, I would not be surprised to see the index trading near 20,000 within the next 2–3 months.
The market has been on an extraordinary bullish streak, but this candle formation combined with extended price action could be the first sign that momentum is shifting.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Us100
US100 Bullish Momentum Targets AheadThe US100 shows strong bullish structure after completing an ABCD correction, with price eyeing a potential move towards the 1st target at 23,791 and possibly the 2nd target at 24,053. A brief pullback may precede the continuation towards these key resistance levels.
1. Current Structure
The chart follows an ABCD pattern after a strong bullish impulse from the early August lows.
Points A–B–C–D suggest a completed correction phase, with momentum now shifting upward.
Price is currently around 23,629, approaching the first resistance zone.
2. Key Levels
Immediate Support: ~23,500 (recent swing low, short-term demand zone)
1st Target: 23,791 (minor resistance, potential profit-taking zone)
2nd Target: 24,053 (major resistance, psychological round area)
Major Support: 23,200 (break below here could invalidate bullish momentum)
3. Price Action Expectation
Short term:
A small pullback toward 23,500–23,550 is possible before continuing upward (healthy retracement to build buying pressure).
US100 Bullish Momentum Targets AheadThe US100 shows strong bullish structure after completing an ABCD correction, with price eyeing a potential move towards the 1st target at 23,791 and possibly the 2nd target at 24,053. A brief pullback may precede the continuation towards these key resistance levels.
1. Current Structure
The chart follows an ABCD pattern after a strong bullish impulse from the early August lows.
Points A–B–C–D suggest a completed correction phase, with momentum now shifting upward.
Price is currently around 23,629, approaching the first resistance zone.
2. Key Levels
Immediate Support: ~23,500 (recent swing low, short-term demand zone)
1st Target: 23,791 (minor resistance, potential profit-taking zone)
2nd Target: 24,053 (major resistance, psychological round area)
Major Support: 23,200 (break below here could invalidate bullish momentum)
3. Price Action Expectation
Short term:
A small pullback toward 23,500–23,550 is possible before continuing upward (healthy retracement to build buying pressure).
NAS100 - Stock market awaits an important week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects downwards towards the drawn trend line or the specified demand zone, you can buy Nasdaq with better reward for risk.
Many Federal Reserve officials believe that tariffs could weaken the U.S. economy and push inflation higher—a dilemma that forces policymakers to choose between cutting interest rates to support growth or keeping them unchanged to control prices.
However, Miran—the economic adviser President Donald Trump intends to nominate to the Fed’s Board of Governors—rejects this view. He argues that tariffs will ultimately benefit the economy and will not significantly impact prices, allowing the Fed to resume the rate-cutting cycle it halted earlier this year.
The key question now is whether Miran’s arguments will be persuasive enough to sway the broader thinking of the central bank’s policy committee, or whether concerns over labor market weakness might prompt rate cuts regardless, rendering his arguments unnecessary.
According to analysis from The Wall Street Journal, beyond the policy disagreements, Miran has also challenged the institutional legitimacy of the Federal Reserve. He has accused Fed officials of having political motivations and criticized them for what he calls the “tariff disruption syndrome.” In a paper published last year, he argued that all senior Fed officials should be subject to dismissal at the White House’s discretion. If appointed, he would give Trump a loyal ally inside the Fed’s boardroom—someone capable of promoting the president’s views and challenging the institution’s consensus-driven culture and influential research staff.
Meanwhile, JPMorgan has revised its monetary policy forecast for 2025, now expecting the Fed to deliver three 25-basis-point rate cuts starting in September 2025, compared to its earlier projection of just one cut in December.
Miran, who holds a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University, currently serves as Chairman of the White House Council of Economic Advisers. On Thursday, Trump announced his intention to nominate him for a newly vacant Fed board seat. This position became available unexpectedly after Adriana Kugler’s resignation last week and will expire in January. Trump also revealed plans to nominate another individual to fill this seat, who could potentially replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair in the spring. Miran’s appointment would give Trump additional time to evaluate how candidates—whether Miran himself or Christopher Waller, whom he appointed during his first term—align with his policy views and vote on interest rates.
This week’s economic calendar is once again crowded, with a series of key inflation reports and consumer-related indicators in the spotlight.
Early Tuesday, the Reserve Bank of Australia will announce its interest rate decision, with markets expecting a 25-basis-point cut from 3.85% to 3.60%. Shortly after, traders’ attention will shift to the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July, where core inflation is expected to rise from 0.2% in June to 0.3%.
Wednesday will be relatively quiet, with the main highlight being speeches from Fed officials Austan Goolsbee and Raphael Bostic. On Thursday, focus will return to major data releases, including the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI), which is projected to see its core measure increase by 0.2% after holding steady in June. Weekly jobless claims figures will also be released that day.
The week will conclude with a broader look at U.S. consumer activity. July retail sales are forecast to slow from 0.6% to 0.5%, while core retail sales are expected to drop from 0.6% to 0.3%. Hours later, the preliminary August reading of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index will be released, providing insights into consumer expectations and confidence.
According to ISM data, pricing pressures have eased in the manufacturing sector but have jumped sharply in the services sector, which makes up a much larger share of the U.S. economy. This suggests that upcoming CPI and PPI reports carry an upside risk relative to forecasts. Inflation readings above expectations—even before fully factoring in the impact of retaliatory tariffs—could erase part of the market’s anticipated rate-cut outlook.
NAS100 H4 | Bullish bounce offUS100 (NAS100) has bounced off the buy entry which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to the take profit.
Buy entry is at 23,276.48, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 23,029.35, which is an overlap support that aligns with he 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 23,736.91, which is a swing high resistance.
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US100 - Bullish trajectory to fill the inbalance zones!Over the past week, the US Tech 100 (US100) experienced a sharp decline, dropping into a significant support zone. During this bearish move, several fair value gaps (FVGs) formed on both the 4-hour and 1-hour timeframes, which remain unfilled. Currently, price action is retracing upward, aiming to fill these imbalances. The structure of the market suggests that both bullish and bearish scenarios are in play, depending on how price reacts to key levels marked by these FVGs and Fibonacci retracement zones.
Bearish Resistance
The first major area of resistance is located around the $23,160 level, which has just been tapped. This zone presents a strong potential turning point due to the confluence of a 1-hour and a 4-hour fair value gap, which perfectly align with the 0.618–0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, also known as the golden pocket. This cluster of technical signals increases the probability that this level will act as a strong supply zone, potentially initiating a rejection back toward the lower support area.
Bullish Support
On the downside, a key level to watch is around $22,900. This zone marks a 4-hour FVG that was formed during the recent upward move. Importantly, this area also coincides with the golden pocket from that very same leg up, offering a compelling confluence for bullish support. If price revisits this level, it may act as a strong demand zone, providing a springboard for the next leg higher, particularly if buyers step in aggressively to defend it.
Bullish Trajectory
If support at $22,900 holds, the bullish trajectory suggests a possible continuation toward the $23,400 region. This upper target contains a large overlapping 1-hour and 4-hour FVG that remains unfilled. Historically, price tends to revisit and fill such imbalances before choosing a definitive direction. A bounce from the lower support zone and a successful break of the $23,160 resistance could pave the way for a clean move toward this higher target, completing the FVG fill sequence.
Final Thoughts
The US100 is currently navigating a key technical crossroads. With multiple unfilled fair value gaps and well-aligned Fibonacci levels on both the upside and downside, the next few sessions will be critical in determining short-term direction. If the $23,160 resistance continues to hold, a pullback to $22,900 could offer a high-probability long setup, while a clean break above this resistance opens the door to filling the higher FVGs.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Technical Analysis of US100 on TradingView A trader is analyzing the US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index) using a 4-hour chart on TradingView. The chart displays a clear upward channel, with price action bouncing off the lower boundary and heading toward the upper trendline. A blue arrow indicates a bullish prediction, anticipating further upward movement. Support and resistance zones are highlighted, and the setup suggests a continuation of the bullish trend.
📊 Chart Overview:
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Instrument: US100 (Nasdaq 100 Index)
Platform: TradingView via Capital.com
Date/Time in Chart: 25th August, 10:00 (likely UTC)
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📈 Trend Analysis:
The price is moving within an upward parallel channel, indicating a strong bullish trend.
The chart shows multiple touches of both the upper and lower bounds of the channel, confirming its validity.
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🟩 Support and Resistance:
Support Zone: Around 22,850–23,050 (highlighted by the green rectangular box).
Price bounced sharply from this area, showing buyers are defending it.
Resistance Area (Projected): Upper bound of the channel, which aligns with the 24,000 level.
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🕊️ Current Market Behavior:
The price recently bounced off the lower channel boundary and the key support zone.
A strong bullish candle broke through a mini pullback area, suggesting momentum is favoring buyers.
The blue arrow indicates an expected continuation upward toward the upper resistance line.
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📌 Technical Implications:
Bullish Bias: As long as price remains inside the channel and above the support zone, the bullish trend is intact.
A retest of the upper channel line (~24,000) is a realistic target if momentum continues.
Invalidation Level: A clean break below the support zone (~22,850) and out of the channel could shift sentiment to bearish.
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✅ Possible Trade Idea (for Educational Purposes):
Entry: Around 23,400–23,500 (already in motion)
Target: 23,900–24,000 (upper channel line)
Stop-loss: Below 22,850 (beneath the support zone)
Trade The Trend – Quick Guide In 5 StepsWhat is Trading the Trend?
Trading the trend means buying when the market is going up, and selling when it’s going down.
You're following the direction of the market, not fighting it.
If the trend is up:
Price makes higher highs and higher lows
You look for chances to buy (go long)
If the trend is down:
Price makes lower highs and lower lows
You look for chances to sell (go short)
Why it works:
You’re going with momentum
Simple rule:
Buy in an uptrend, sell in a downtrend — never trade against the flow
1. Assess the chart. Where is it headed? It's headed up.
2. Place your trend line by connecting the first two points.
3. Let the chart play out for a bit. Afterwards prepare your entry on previous failed trend line retest. Set your stop loss below the previous trend line retest, and your TP just before the previous sweep above.
4. Proceed to let the chart play out, then set your pending order.
5. Watch the Trade enter and play out with patience.
This method works for bearish trends as well, just reversed.
If you would like to see more 5 step guides, comment down below.
Thank you!
BTC - Short Setup at 0.702 Fibonacci & Fair Value GapMarket Context
Bitcoin recently rejected from a major resistance area and has since been retracing downward, finding temporary support inside a bullish Fair Value Gap. The market is currently in a corrective phase, with buyers attempting to defend lower levels while sellers look for optimal positions to reload shorts. This environment shows a classic tug-of-war between these two forces as price moves between supply and demand zones.
Consolidation and Current Phase
Although the prior consolidation has been broken, the current price action can still be described as corrective, with intraday structure forming lower highs. The bullish Fair Value Gap beneath price has been respected so far, creating a temporary base. However, the path remains complex, as the market has unfilled imbalances both above and below.
Bearish Retest Scenario
One key scenario involves a retracement toward the bearish Fair Value Gap near 117K, which also aligns with the 0.702 Fibonacci retracement level. This confluence makes it a high-probability area for sellers to step in again. A rejection from that zone would likely resume the downtrend, with the next logical target being the deeper unfilled bullish Fair Value Gap around 110K. This zone acts as a magnet for price due to the inefficiency left behind during the last rally.
Bullish Defense Scenario
For bulls to regain control, the current Fair Value Gap at 114K must hold, followed by a strong move that invalidates the lower-high structure. Such a move would need to break above the 117K bearish FVG with conviction. Only then could momentum shift back to the upside, opening the door for another challenge of the higher resistance zones.
Final Words
Patience and precision are key when dealing with setups like this. Let the market come to your level — and react with intent.
If you found this breakdown helpful, a like is much appreciated! Let me know in the comments what you think or if you’re watching the same zones.
NAS100 Trade Idea: Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Reversal Potential📊 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) Trade Outlook 📈
The NASDAQ 100 is holding a strong bullish trend on the higher timeframes 🟢. However, we’re currently seeing a notable pullback into a key support zone ⚠️ — price has dipped beneath previous lows, tapping into what appears to be an institutional accumulation range 🏦.
This move is likely targeting the liquidity resting below those lows 💧, where sell stops are positioned. Price is also reacting off a significant bullish order block 🧱 — a confluence area that could produce a strong reversal.
🎯 What to look for next:
Wait for a bullish break in market structure 🔁 to confirm a potential entry. If that occurs, consider a long setup with your stop loss below the swing low 🛑 and a 1:2 risk-to-reward target 🎯.
🚫 This is for educational purposes only and not financial advice.
NAS100 - Stock Market Heading Down?!The index is trading in its medium-term ascending channel on the four-hour timeframe between the EMA200 and EMA50. However, if the index corrects upward towards the specified supply zone, it is possible to sell Nasdaq with better risk-reward.
In recent days and weeks, the Nasdaq Composite Index once again approached its historic highs, even setting a new all-time record. However, following the latest jobs data and the Federal Reserve meeting, the index experienced a price correction.
Unlike many previous bullish phases that were driven largely by short-term momentum or emotional reactions, the current upward trend in the Nasdaq reflects structural maturity and market stabilization. Institutional capital inflows and strong corporate earnings have together painted a picture of a more stable and predictable future for this index.
According to recent financial data, U.S. equity funds received over $6.3 billion in net inflows during the final week of July—marking the first positive inflow after three consecutive weeks of outflows.
The key engine behind this growth continues to be the robust performance of tech companies. Firms such as Meta, Microsoft, and AI-oriented companies like Nvidia and Broadcom posted exceptionally strong earnings reports. These results not only exceeded analysts’ expectations but also fueled significant gains in their stock prices, contributing to the Nasdaq’s momentum. Despite some sector-specific concerns—for instance, regarding Qualcomm in the semiconductor space—the broader tech sector has sustained its upward trajectory and even extended that momentum to adjacent industries, especially those involved in cloud and AI supply chains.
Meanwhile, advisors to Donald Trump revealed that he plans sweeping reforms at the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). This announcement followed the July jobs report, which showed only 73,000 new jobs and sharp downward revisions to prior months’ figures.
On Truth Social, Trump accused the current BLS Commissioner, Erica McEnturfer, of politically manipulating employment data and ordered her immediate removal. Secretary of Labor Lori Chavez-DeRemer subsequently announced that Deputy Commissioner William Witrofsky would serve as acting head. Trump emphasized that economic data must be accurate, impartial, and trustworthy—and not politically skewed.
Following this leadership change, a broader debate has emerged around how employment statistics are collected and reported. While statistical revisions have long been a routine, non-political process since 1979, there are now growing questions about whether a better system for gathering and publishing this critical data could be developed.
As a nonpartisan branch of the Department of Labor, the BLS publishes its monthly employment report at 8:30 AM Eastern on the first Friday of each month. The data is gathered from surveys of around 629,000 business establishments.
Analysts have cited several reasons for the frequent need for revisions:
• Late responses from firms
• Delays from large corporations that distort preliminary figures
• Recalculations due to seasonal adjustments (e.g., holidays or weather)
• Demographic shifts impacted by immigration or deportation
• Annual revisions based on finalized tax records
With a relatively light economic calendar in the U.S. this week, traders have turned their focus to the latest developments in trade negotiations—particularly talks with countries that have yet to finalize trade agreements with Washington.
Although the U.S. has reached deals with key partners including the UK, EU, Japan, and South Korea, no formal agreement has yet been made with China to extend the current trade truce, which is set to expire on August 12.
The new U.S. tariff plan proposes a baseline 10% rate for most countries, but some—like India and Switzerland—face much higher rates of 25% and 39%, respectively. However, since implementation of the tariffs has been postponed until August 7, there’s still time for further negotiations and possible rate reductions. Sources close to the White House suggest the administration is eager to continue talks.
What’s now becoming clear is the sheer magnitude of the proposed tariff shifts—far beyond pre-trade-war averages. These changes could have more severe consequences than previously estimated, potentially pushing up U.S. inflation while simultaneously threatening global growth. As such, markets may be entering a fresh wave of volatility.
Compounding these concerns is the U.S. Treasury’s upcoming bond issuance schedule, which could add to market instability.
Also on the radar is the ISM Services PMI for July, due Tuesday. Its results will be closely watched for signs on the U.S. dollar’s direction and the Fed’s potential actions at its September meeting.
Notably, as of July 18, 2025, the widely-followed Buffett Indicator—measuring the ratio of market capitalization to GDP—was 2.3 standard deviations above its historical average. This level surpasses even the dot-com bubble era of the early 2000s. The indicator is now firmly in the “overvalued” zone, which often precedes market corrections or even crashes. For context, during the 2008 financial crisis, it was roughly 1.5 standard deviations below the historical norm.
NQ | NASDAQ - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context:
The market is pricing in a potential 0.25% rate cut in the September FOMC meeting, keeping the overall structure bullish.
Although we saw a retracement after the Non-Farm Employment Change came in weaker than expected, bullish sentiment remains intact.
Currently, market sentiment has shifted to neutral from last week’s greed. Augusts are often choppy and prone to retracement/accumulation, but structurally, bulls still hold the upper hand.
🧾 Weekly Recap:
• NQ started the week strong with price discovery, pushing higher from Monday to Thursday.
• Eventually, price ran a key 4H swing liquidity, which led to another all-time high.
• That move was followed by the start of a healthy retracement, signaling short-term distribution.
📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan:
→ I'm expecting price to run into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a major liquidity magnet in my model.
→ That move could generate significant bullish energy — at least a short-term bounce, if not a full reversal.
→ Until then, I remain bearish targeting 22,583 (my marked black line).
🎯 Setup Trigger:
After price takes 22,583, I’ll watch for:
• 4H–1H break of structure (BOS)
• Formation of fresh demand zones
→ Upon LTF confirmation, I’ll look to go long aiming for another test of all-time highs.
📋 Trade Management:
• Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand zone
• Target: Trailing stop strategy; aggressive profit-taking on the way up
• Note: Final target could be all-time highs, but I’ll manage the position actively
💬 Like, follow, and comment if this outlook adds value to your trading. Educational content and more setups are coming soon — stay tuned!
US100The US100 (Nasdaq 100) has shown a dramatic shift in trend, forming what appears to be a large-scale bearish harmonic pattern or potential M-top structure. After reaching its peak in mid-2025, the index has entered a sharp downward trajectory, shedding significant value in a short span.
This chart raises a critical question for long-term investors and traders:
Are we witnessing the early phase of a prolonged bear market that could stretch into 2026 and beyond?
🔻 Key Observations:
Bearish structure developing with aggressive selling pressure.
Potential breakdown from long-term support trendlines.
Momentum suggests institutional risk-off behavior.
Stay alert for macroeconomic cues, interest rate policy, and earnings season signals. A break below 13,000 could confirm a deeper bear cycle
NSDQ100 ahead of US Employment data After the US close, Apple and Amazon posted mixed results:
Apple rose ~2% after-hours on a strong revenue beat ($94bn vs $89.3bn est.) and broad-based growth, especially in China — its first sales increase there in two years.
Amazon fell after projecting weaker Q3 operating profits ($15.5–$20.5bn vs $19.4bn est.) and showing slower cloud growth than competitors, raising concerns over its AI strategy.
These results pulled NASDAQ 100 futures down by -0.20%, as investors digested disappointing Amazon guidance despite Apple’s strength.
Additional Drivers:
US July Jobs Report due today may add volatility. Slower payroll growth (+75k est.) and a rise in the unemployment rate (to 4.2%) could support a dovish Fed narrative.
Trump’s Global Tariff Announcement added macro uncertainty, with sharp tariff hikes on countries with trade surpluses, including a 35% hit to Canada and 39% to Switzerland. This weighs on global trade sentiment.
Pharma Pressure: Trump is also targeting drugmakers on pricing. AstraZeneca hinted at unsustainability, suggesting regulatory risk may be rising for the sector.
Conclusion for NASDAQ 100 Trading:
The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 faces near-term downside pressure, driven by Amazon’s weak outlook, broader macro headwinds from tariffs, and potential labor market softness. However, Apple's strong China rebound and stabilizing consumer trends (e.g., Target) offer some support. Expect choppy trade as markets await clarity from the jobs report and tariff policy impact.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 23424
Resistance Level 2: 23565
Resistance Level 3: 23720
Support Level 1: 22815
Support Level 2: 22673
Support Level 3: 22500
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Fibonacci Retrace Strategy NAS100 Trade Idea📈 NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) is holding a strong bullish trend 🚀. After a weekend gap-up 🕳️➡️📈, price retraced back into the gap zone—exactly what you'd expect in a healthy trending market.
🔍 I'm applying my Fibonacci Expansion + Retrace Strategy 🔢, watching closely for a pullback into equilibrium ⚖️ within the previous price swing. That’s where I’ll be waiting for a bullish market structure break 🔓📊 to confirm my long bias.
🧠 Patience is key here—let the setup come to you.
📌 As always, this is not financial advice!
US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone🧠 US100 Index – Potential Bearish Reversal in Key Resistance Zone
Timeframe: 30-Minute | Chart Published: July 24, 2025
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🔍 Overview
The US100 (NASDAQ) has been trading in a well-structured ascending channel, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action suggests that the index is testing a critical supply zone near 23,400, with signs of weakening bullish momentum. This may signal a potential corrective phase or bearish reversal.
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📈 Technical Analysis Breakdown
🔵 Trend Structure:
Price is respecting a clear ascending trendline (blue), connecting multiple higher lows.
Multiple bullish flag/channel formations have been completed within the uptrend, showing healthy momentum until the current point.
🟥 Resistance Zone:
Strong supply zone marked between 23,250 – 23,450.
Price action shows stalling candles and rejection wicks within this zone, indicating buyer exhaustion.
⚠ Bearish Patterns:
The red path projection suggests a head and shoulders-like structure forming at the top of the channel.
This, along with divergence in wave strength and shrinking momentum, supports a potential reversal.
🔵 Key Support:
First support lies around 23,000 — aligning with the ascending trendline and previous consolidation.
If broken, next demand zone is around 22,835 – 22,900, where historical consolidation took place.
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🔁 Projected Scenario (as per visual path)
1. Price may attempt one last push into the 23,400–23,450 zone (possible false breakout).
2. Rejection from this level could trigger a fall toward the ascending trendline support.
3. A confirmed break of the trendline can lead to a larger correction toward the 22,800 zone.
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🧠 Unique Insight
This chart combines multi-timeframe structure recognition with a real-time reversal formation inside a long-standing bullish trend. The analysis doesn’t just rely on textbook patterns—it recognizes real-time price behavior shifts, which makes it valuable for proactive traders.
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📌 Conclusion
While the trend remains bullish overall, caution is warranted as the US100 approaches a historically significant resistance zone. The setup offers a compelling risk-reward short opportunity for aggressive traders, especially if the price confirms a break below trendline support.
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🔧 Next Steps for Viewers
> “Watch for a clean rejection candle or lower high at resistance before entering short. If trendline breaks cleanly, 22,835 could be the next target zone.”
Trend Exhaustion Detected – Bearish Structure AheadUS100 (NASDAQ) 30-minute chart as of July 26, 2025, with technical insights based on the visible elements.
🔍 1. Trend Analysis
Primary Trend: Uptrend (bullish structure)
The price has been respecting a rising parallel channel, marked by:
Ascending support (lower boundary)
Ascending resistance (upper boundary)
Market structure shows:
Higher Highs (HH)
Higher Lows (HL)
✅ This indicates continuation of bullish momentum until structure breaks.
📐 2. Market Structure Elements
Structure Type Label on Chart Price Zone (approx.)
Break of Structure (BOS) BOS (center-left) ~22,950
Higher Low (HL) HL (2x) ~22,700 (1st), ~23,050 (2nd)
Higher High (HH) HH (2x) ~23,150 and ~23,300
Resistance Labelled ~23,300–23,320
Demand Zones Labelled ~22,450–22,700
🔁 Break of Structure (BOS)
The BOS occurred after a prior swing low was broken, followed by a new higher high, confirming a bullish shift.
🧱 3. Support / Resistance Analysis
🔼 Resistance Zone
The price is testing strong resistance around 23,300–23,320
Multiple rejections in this area
Trendline resistance also aligns here
A rejection arrow is drawn, indicating potential bearish reaction
🔽 Support Zone (Immediate)
23,180–23,220: highlighted green box is a local support block
If broken, likely to revisit 23,000–23,050, or even down to 22,900 range
🟩 4. Demand Zones
Zone 1:
22,450–22,600: Strong bullish reaction historically — likely to act as a key demand if a deeper pullback occurs
Zone 2:
22,850–22,950: Validated with prior accumulation & BOS event
🧠 5. Key Observations
Price is at a critical inflection zone:
Testing a resistance zone
At the upper trendline of an ascending channel
A bearish reaction is projected (black arrow)
Possibly targeting the green support zone around 23,180–23,220
If that fails, demand at ~23,000 will likely be tested
Ichimoku Cloud:
Currently price is above the cloud → still bullish
Cloud is thin → potential weakness or upcoming consolidation
⚠️ 6. Trading Bias & Setup Ideas
✅ Bullish Bias (if price holds above ~23,180)
Long entries can be considered on bullish reaction from support
Target: retest of 23,300–23,350 or even breakout continuation
❌ Bearish Bias (if breakdown below support)
Short entry valid below 23,180 with:
TP1: 23,050
TP2: 22,900
A breakdown from the ascending channel would signal trend exhaustion
🔚 Conclusion
Current Price: 23,298.4
Trend: Bullish, but at resistance
Next move: Watch for reaction at resistance and support box below
Bias: Neutral-to-bullish unless the structure breaks below ~23,180
Chart Patterns - How to read them like a ProChart patterns are visual formations on price charts that help traders anticipate potential market movements.
These patterns fall into three main categories: bullish , bearish , and indecisive .
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1. Bullish Chart Patterns
Bullish patterns often signal that price is likely to move upward.
1.1 Bull Flag
* What it looks like: A sharp upward move followed by a small downward-sloping rectangle (the flag).
* Meaning: After a strong rally, the price consolidates briefly before continuing higher.
* Key insight: A breakout above the flag typically signals a continuation of the trend.
1.2 Pennant (Bullish)
* What it looks like: A strong upward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle.
* Meaning: Similar to the bull flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form.
* Key insight: Once price breaks above the pennant, the uptrend often resumes.
1.3 Cup & Handle
* What it looks like: A “U”-shaped curve (the cup) followed by a small downward drift (the handle).
* Meaning: This pattern suggests a period of accumulation before price breaks higher.
* Key insight: A breakout above the handle signals the beginning of a new bullish leg.
1.4 Inverse Head & Shoulders
* What it looks like: Three low points, with the middle low being the deepest.
* Meaning: This reversal pattern appears after a downtrend and signals a potential change to an uptrend.
* Key insight: A breakout above the “neckline” confirms the reversal.
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2. Indecisive Chart Patterns
These patterns show market hesitation, where neither bulls nor bears are clearly in control.
2.1 Consolidation Channel
* What it looks like: Price moves within a horizontal channel.
* Meaning: Market is moving sideways with no strong trend.
* Key insight: A breakout in either direction often leads to a significant move.
2.2 Symmetrical Triangle
* What it looks like: Two converging trend lines forming a triangle.
* Meaning: This is a neutral pattern that can break out in either direction.
* Key insight: Traders wait for a breakout before taking a position.
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3. Bearish Chart Patterns
Bearish patterns signal a high probability of downward price movement.
3.1 Bear Flag
* What it looks like: A sharp decline followed by a small upward-sloping rectangle.
* Meaning: After a strong drop, price consolidates before continuing lower.
* Key insight: A breakout below the flag suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
3.2 Pennant (Bearish)
* What it looks like: A sharp downward move followed by a small symmetrical triangle.
* Meaning: Similar to the bear flag, but the consolidation takes a triangular form.
* Key insight: A breakout downward typically resumes the bearish trend.
3.3 Inverse Cup & Handle
* What it looks like: An upside-down cup with a small upward drift forming the handle.
* Meaning: Indicates weakness after an uptrend, often followed by a drop.
* Key insight: A break below the handle usually signals a strong bearish move.
3.4 Head & Shoulders
* What it looks like: Three peaks, with the middle one being the highest.
* Meaning: A classic reversal pattern that indicates a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
* Key insight: A break below the “neckline” confirms the bearish reversal.
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How to Use These Patterns
* Combine pattern recognition with support/resistance, volume, and indicators for stronger confirmation.
* Always wait for breakouts and avoid acting too early.
* Manage risk with stop-loss orders.
BTC - Bulls vs Bears: who will win?Market Context
Bitcoin is trading in a tight consolidation just below its all-time high after a strong impulsive rally. This phase represents a balance of power between buyers and sellers, with neither side able to take control yet. Such a pause in momentum at this key level often builds pressure for a breakout move as liquidity pools accumulate above and below the range.
Consolidation Phase
The current range is clearly defined by a resistance area at the top and a support area at the bottom. Price has been oscillating within these boundaries without any sustained breakout attempts. This range-bound behavior is an essential part of the market cycle, as it allows larger players to build or distribute positions. The longer price stays in this box, the more significant the breakout that follows tends to be.
Bullish Breakout Scenario
If price breaks out decisively above resistance, it would indicate buyers have absorbed all the supply at these levels. Such a breakout opens the path to a new all-time high and could potentially extend far beyond as trapped shorts are forced to cover. For traders, a retest of the breakout level on lower timeframes could provide a low-risk entry point for continuation to the upside.
Bearish Breakout Scenario
On the flip side, if support fails, the market will likely gravitate toward the unfilled Fair Value Gap left behind during the previous rally. This inefficiency becomes a natural draw for price, offering a logical downside target for a corrective move. A clean break below the range followed by a retest from underneath could present shorting opportunities for those aiming to capture that move into the FVG.
Final Words
Patience and precision are key when dealing with setups like this. Let the market come to your level — and react with intent.
If you found this breakdown helpful, a like is much appreciated! Let me know in the comments what you think or if you’re watching the same zones.






















