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Usdcadanalysis

USD/CAD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure USD/CAD found solid support around the 1.3724–1.3740 zone after a sharp decline earlier in the month and has since rebounded steadily. Price is now consolidating below the 1.3807–1.3822 resistance area, which also marks a key supply zone from the previous breakdown. On the 4-hour chart, the pair remains above a trendline, suggesting that the broader structure is still corrective-to-bullish rather than a trend reversal. As long as price holds above the 1.3724 support, the technical bias favours a buy-on-dip scenario, with upside potential toward the upper resistance band. A decisive breakdown below the support zone would invalidate the bullish structure and shift the bias back to neutral or bearish. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias) Entry Zone: 1.3740 – 1.3724 Stop Loss: 1.3717 Take Profit 1: 1.3807 Take Profit 2: 1.3822 Estimated Risk-to-Reward: approx. 1 : 2.86 This bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above 1.3724 on a 4-hour closing basis. 🌐 Macro Background (Simplified) The Canadian Dollar has come under pressure following weaker-than-expected Canadian Retail Sales, highlighting soft household demand. This has reinforced expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) may need to deliver additional rate cuts, which weighs on CAD sentiment. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains relatively stable ahead of key US data releases, including preliminary Q3 GDP. Although USD momentum is not aggressive, relative CAD weakness continues to provide underlying support for USD/CAD. In short, soft Canadian data + rate-cut expectations create a supportive macro backdrop for USD/CAD on dips. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3807 – 1.3822 Support Zone: 1.3740 – 1.3724 Bullish Invalidation: 4-hour close below 1.3724 📌 Trade Summary USD/CAD is holding above trend support after a corrective pullback, maintaining a constructive bullish structure. As long as 1.3724 remains intact, a continuation move toward 1.3807–1.3822 is favoured. A clear break below support would invalidate this bullish view and require a reassessment of market direction. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; please manage position size and risk appropriately.
Long
by ATFX_Global
USCAD FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY -Q4 | W51 | D19 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D19 | Y25 | 📊 USCAD FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDCAD
Short
by JCFRGNT
USD/CAD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure USD/CAD remains in a short-term consolidation phase but continues to hold above the key support zone around 1.3789–1.3779, indicating that downside pressure is limited. Price action over the past sessions shows repeated defences of this support area, followed by higher lows, suggesting buyers are gradually regaining control. On the 1-hour chart, the pair is attempting to build a base above the support zone while pressing toward the 1.3820 resistance area. As long as price holds above 1.3779, the technical structure favours a continuation move higher toward the 1.3820–1.3830 resistance zone. A clear breakdown below support would invalidate the bullish continuation scenario. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias) Entry Zone: 1.3789 – 1.3779 Stop Loss: 1.3773 Take Profit 1: 1.3820 Take Profit 2: 1.3830 Estimated Risk-to-Reward: approx. 1 : 2.47 The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above 1.3779 on an hourly closing basis. 🌐 Macro Background (Simplified) The US Dollar has found short-term support after rebounding from softer US CPI data, as markets reassess the pace and timing of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. While inflation has cooled, expectations for aggressive easing remain measured, allowing the USD to stabilize in the near term. Meanwhile, the Canadian Dollar remains cautious ahead of key domestic data, particularly Canadian Retail Sales, which could influence near-term CAD volatility. With oil prices offering limited directional support and macro uncertainty persisting, USD/CAD remains sensitive to relative data surprises. In short: macro conditions are neutral-to-supportive for USD in the short term, allowing technical factors to take the lead. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3820 – 1.3830 Support Zone: 1.3789 – 1.3779 Bullish Invalidation: Hourly close below 1.3779 📌 Trade Summary USD/CAD is consolidating above a well-defined support zone, with price structure suggesting accumulation rather than distribution. As long as 1.3779 support holds, a push higher toward 1.3820–1.3830 is favoured. The bullish view remains intact unless price breaks decisively below support, which would shift the bias back to range-bound or bearish conditions. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trading involves risk; please manage position size and risk appropriately.
Long
by ATFX_Global
USDCAD BUY | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Price reversal going up, levels for BUY .. GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Long
by TheGrove
11
USD/CAD(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The European Central Bank (ECB) held rates steady for the fourth consecutive meeting, adopting a more positive outlook on the Eurozone economy. The ECB kept the deposit facility rate unchanged at 2%, in line with market expectations. The main refinancing rate and marginal lending rate remained unchanged at 2.15% and 2.40%, respectively. The euro rose briefly against the dollar. Traders' bets on ECB rates remained stable, with expectations of a 3 basis point rate hike in 2026. The money market now anticipates a greater than 50% chance of an ECB rate hike before March 2027, up from 35% before the ECB's statement. The ECB raised several of its forecasts for Eurozone economic growth and inflation, a move that may close the door on further rate cuts in the near future. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 1.3775 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3815 1.3800 1.3790 1.3760 1.3750 1.3735 Trading Strategy: Consider buying if the price breaks above 1.3790, with a first target price of 1.3815. Consider selling if the price breaks below 1.3775, with a first target price of 1.3760.
Short
by FlyingTowardsWealth
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Slides FurtherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Slides Further USD/CAD declined and is now consolidating losses below 1.3800. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above 1.3800. - There is a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3780 on the hourly chart. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD, the pair climbed toward 1.3880 before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3872 and recently declined below 1.3800 against the Canadian Dollar. There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3780. The bulls are now active near 1.3730, but they might fail to protect more losses. If there is an upside correction, the pair could face resistance near 1.3780 and a connecting bearish trend line. An upside break above the trend line might send the pair toward the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3872 swing high to the 1.3730 low. The next key hurdle on the USD/CAD chart is near the 61.8% Fib retracement at 1.3815. If there is a close above 1.3815, the pair could rise toward 1.3870. The next major sell zone is 1.3900, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4000 handle. Immediate support is near the 1.3750 level. The first major area of interest for the bulls could be 1.3730. A close below the 1.3730 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3650. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward 1.3600. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 | 📊 USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDCAD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
#USDCAD: A Perfect Selling Zone For The Week 15/12/2025Dear Traders, Overview On USDCAD📈 🔺Price has left a great area of selling zone which need to be filled; we already have given an entry point and an exit point for you to identify the selling zone easily. USD is likely to show some minor bullish behaviour which will push the price of USDCAD to our point of interest. 🔺There is only one swing selling target that we currently have, this is not a long term trade instead or intraday trade. Entry and Stop Loss Planning📊 🔺You must use your own knowledge to establish trading plan successfully, entry at the area as described in the chart only if it matches your bias. 🔺Use 'Red Line' as a exit point or as a stop loss also trade with accurate lot size based on your account. 🔺Take Profit Set at the 'Black Arrow' Ends. Support and Encouragement ❤️🏆 If you like our idea then please like and comment which will encourage us to post such more ideas. Also share your views in the comment sections. Tean Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
24
Smart Money Levels on USD/CAD – What’s Next for the Loonie?“USD/CAD – The LOONIE Profit Playbook (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀💰” 📋 Description: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), Here’s the plan for our favourite cross, USD/CAD – “The Loonie”: Plan: Bullish bias (with a setup for a potential bearish flip if you like to dance with the other side) Entry (Bullish): Pullback-1: 1.39400 Pullback-2: 1.39000 Enter at a dip into one of those levels, let the market breathe, then ride the wave. Stop Loss: This is Thief SL at 1.38800 — place your stop after the pullback level you used. Target (Bullish): Our target zone: 1.41000 — watch for strong resistance, overbought signals & a possible trap. Escape with profit when you see the signs. Entry (Bearish): If you prefer the short side: you may enter anywhere, but keep sharp eyes on pullback zones and the target levels below. Bearish Targets: 1.39400 & 1.39000 🔍 More to watch – Related Pairs & Correlations: OANDA:USDCHF (often moves inversely with USD/CAD) OANDA:AUDUSD (commodity-linked crosses, relevant when commodities shift) OANDA:CADJPY (Canadian dollar strength/weakness can show up across CAD pairs) Watch how CAD strength or USD strength flows across pairs. When CAD weakens, USD/CAD rises — when CAD strengthens, USD/CAD dips. ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending you set only my stop-loss or take-profit rules. It’s your own choice — make money, then take money — at your own risk. ✨ Footer: “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📌 Disclaimer: This is Thief style trading strategy just for fun. #USDCAD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Loonie #ForexSetup #ThiefTrader #TradingViewIdeas #ForexAnalysis #CurrencyPairs
by The-Thief
2
Is the USD/CAD Re-Accumulation Zone the Next Bullish Launchpad?💰 USD/CAD “THE LOONIE” — Forex Market Profit Playbook (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Plan: BULLISH Bias confirmed by Re-Accumulation Zone (Smart Money activity detected!) The “Thief Strategy” hunts liquidity smartly — using layered limit buys at key levels to capture institutional footprints without chasing candles. 🎯 Entry Plan (Layering Strategy Style) The Thief strategy uses multiple buy limit layers — a smart method to scale into a position without full exposure at once. Buy Limit Layers: 1️⃣ 1.39800 2️⃣ 1.39900 3️⃣ 1.40000 4️⃣ 1.40200 💡 You can adjust or increase the limit layers based on your own trade risk and capital exposure. 🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): 📍 Suggested protective stop: 1.39600 Not financial advice — each trader’s risk tolerance may vary. Manage risk wisely like a pro! 💵 Target (Take Profit Zone): 🎯 1.41300 — The “Police Barricade” (major resistance area). This zone may act as a strong barrier due to overbought conditions and potential liquidity traps. Take your profits smartly and escape before the cops arrive! 🚓💨 ⚠️ Notes to Thief OGs: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — this isn’t a signal, it’s a playbook idea. You’re free to adjust entries, SLs, and TPs based on your own analysis and money management plan. Trade smart. Take profits wisely. Risk what you can afford to lose. 🧠💼 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → USD strength driver, watch for momentum continuation. BLACKBULL:WTI (Crude Oil) → Strong inverse correlation with CAD; rising oil often boosts CAD (bearish USD/CAD). FX:USDCNH → USD sentiment barometer — positive correlation with USD/CAD. OANDA:AUDCAD / OANDA:NZDCAD → Cross-check for CAD sentiment confirmation across commodity pairs. 🧭 Key Catalysts & Correlations: USD fundamentals: Fed stance, CPI, and bond yields continue to influence direction. CAD sentiment: Oil price movement and BoC tone will shape the medium-term bias. Risk sentiment: Strong equity rally = weaker USD; risk-off tone = stronger USD. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared for educational and entertainment purposes only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly and with discipline. #USDCAD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #SmartMoney #Reaccumulation #PriceAction #LiquidityHunt #TradingStrategy #MarketPlaybook #FXAnalysis #DollarIndex #ThiefStrategy #TradingViewIdeas #BullishSetup #ForexCommunity
Long
by The-Thief
USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY📅 Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 | 📊 USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 💰FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDCAD
Long
by JCFRGNT
UASDCAD: Bearish! A Little Pullback, Then Down!The USD has been weakened over the past couple of weeks. Markets are at a 90% pchance the Fed cut rates by .25 bp, and that Trump will be installing Hasset, a loyalist, as Fed Chair. Couple that with the positive job numbers that Canada announced last week, and you see the downward trajectory of the USDCAD heading down. It seems very likely that we will see more movement downtown this week. I am expecting an OHLC candle for the week ahead. The Draw on liquidity (DOL) would likely be the relative equal lows to the left. May profits be upon you. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
1
USDCAD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDCAD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Long
by TheGrove
1
USD/CAD Recovers From a 2.5-Month LowUSD/CAD Recovers From a 2.5-Month Low The main driver of the decline was a sharp shift in sentiment and diverging expectations for policy actions in the United States and Canada. → Canada: Friday’s employment data came in far stronger than forecast. As a result, traders sharply reduced the likelihood of a Bank of Canada rate cut at the next meeting, judging the economy resilient enough to pause its easing cycle. → United States: Markets are pricing in a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at tomorrow’s meeting (22:00 GMT+3). This contrast pushed USD/CAD to a 2.5-month low. However, the chart shows that the bulls may still have some grounds for optimism. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On 1 December we analysed the USD/CAD chart and: → drew an ascending channel (shown in blue) and noted several bearish signals; → suggested that the 1.4000 level would act as resistance in the near term, with bears likely to attempt to resume the downward move in USD/CAD. Indeed, as the arrow indicates, the bears managed to restart the downtrend, which led to: → a breakout below the lower boundary of the channel; → the need to map out a descending trajectory (shown in red), with its median potentially acting as resistance going forward. In this context, it is reasonable to assume that the bulls have some cause for hope in the short term, as: → the price is rebounding from the lower boundary of the red channel, indicating demand; → the RSI has risen from extreme oversold levels; → the candle highlighted by the second arrow looks bullish – it closed near the top of its range, forming a long lower shadow. Given the above, traders should not rule out a corrective recovery in USD/CAD until the Federal Reserve releases its decision, which could significantly impact financial markets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDCAD - Breakout Will Flip the Trend BullishUSDCAD has been sliding inside a well-defined descending channel, completing a full five-wave drop toward the support zone. The structure from the top looks corrective rather than impulsive. That means the downtrend is weakening as it reaches its final leg. Your count shows Wave 3 finishing at the dashed red line zone, followed by a small Wave 4 bounce, and now the market is pushing into the last Wave 5. This final drop is expected to target the Fibonacci levels near 1.3915 and 1.3895 . Nothing suggests strength until those levels are tested. The price is still trapped inside the downward channel, and every bounce has been getting sold. That confirms sellers are still in control for now. Wave (C) is close to completion, but buyers haven’t proven anything yet. The bullish outlook only becomes valid after a clean breakout above the channel. Without that break, any upside move is just noise inside a bearish structure. The breakout must hold with a higher low to confirm a trend reversal. If the channel breaks decisively, a strong bullish reversal toward 1.40+ becomes possible. The entire structure suggests the downtrend is aging, so a major upside swing is likely once sellers exhaust. Until then, downside targets remain open and caution is necessary. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
by Money_Dictators
1