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Usdcadanalysis

USD/CAD(20251218)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The European Central Bank (ECB) held rates steady for the fourth consecutive meeting, adopting a more positive outlook on the Eurozone economy. The ECB kept the deposit facility rate unchanged at 2%, in line with market expectations. The main refinancing rate and marginal lending rate remained unchanged at 2.15% and 2.40%, respectively. The euro rose briefly against the dollar. Traders' bets on ECB rates remained stable, with expectations of a 3 basis point rate hike in 2026. The money market now anticipates a greater than 50% chance of an ECB rate hike before March 2027, up from 35% before the ECB's statement. The ECB raised several of its forecasts for Eurozone economic growth and inflation, a move that may close the door on further rate cuts in the near future. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Threshold: 1.3775 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3815 1.3800 1.3790 1.3760 1.3750 1.3735 Trading Strategy: Consider buying if the price breaks above 1.3790, with a first target price of 1.3815. Consider selling if the price breaks below 1.3775, with a first target price of 1.3760.
Short
by FlyingTowardsWealth
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Slides FurtherMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Slides Further USD/CAD declined and is now consolidating losses below 1.3800. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above 1.3800. - There is a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3780 on the hourly chart. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD, the pair climbed toward 1.3880 before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.3872 and recently declined below 1.3800 against the Canadian Dollar. There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3780. The bulls are now active near 1.3730, but they might fail to protect more losses. If there is an upside correction, the pair could face resistance near 1.3780 and a connecting bearish trend line. An upside break above the trend line might send the pair toward the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3872 swing high to the 1.3730 low. The next key hurdle on the USD/CAD chart is near the 61.8% Fib retracement at 1.3815. If there is a close above 1.3815, the pair could rise toward 1.3870. The next major sell zone is 1.3900, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4000 handle. Immediate support is near the 1.3750 level. The first major area of interest for the bulls could be 1.3730. A close below the 1.3730 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.3650. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward 1.3600. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
USDCAD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 |📅 Q4 | W51 | D15 | Y25 | 📊 USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDCAD
Long
by JCFRGNT
1
Smart Money Levels on USD/CAD – What’s Next for the Loonie?“USD/CAD – The LOONIE Profit Playbook (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀💰” 📋 Description: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), Here’s the plan for our favourite cross, USD/CAD – “The Loonie”: Plan: Bullish bias (with a setup for a potential bearish flip if you like to dance with the other side) Entry (Bullish): Pullback-1: 1.39400 Pullback-2: 1.39000 Enter at a dip into one of those levels, let the market breathe, then ride the wave. Stop Loss: This is Thief SL at 1.38800 — place your stop after the pullback level you used. Target (Bullish): Our target zone: 1.41000 — watch for strong resistance, overbought signals & a possible trap. Escape with profit when you see the signs. Entry (Bearish): If you prefer the short side: you may enter anywhere, but keep sharp eyes on pullback zones and the target levels below. Bearish Targets: 1.39400 & 1.39000 🔍 More to watch – Related Pairs & Correlations: OANDA:USDCHF (often moves inversely with USD/CAD) OANDA:AUDUSD (commodity-linked crosses, relevant when commodities shift) OANDA:CADJPY (Canadian dollar strength/weakness can show up across CAD pairs) Watch how CAD strength or USD strength flows across pairs. When CAD weakens, USD/CAD rises — when CAD strengthens, USD/CAD dips. ⚠️ Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG’s), I am not recommending you set only my stop-loss or take-profit rules. It’s your own choice — make money, then take money — at your own risk. ✨ Footer: “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📌 Disclaimer: This is Thief style trading strategy just for fun. #USDCAD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #Loonie #ForexSetup #ThiefTrader #TradingViewIdeas #ForexAnalysis #CurrencyPairs
by The-Thief
2
Is the USD/CAD Re-Accumulation Zone the Next Bullish Launchpad?💰 USD/CAD “THE LOONIE” — Forex Market Profit Playbook (Swing/Day Trade) 📊 Plan: BULLISH Bias confirmed by Re-Accumulation Zone (Smart Money activity detected!) The “Thief Strategy” hunts liquidity smartly — using layered limit buys at key levels to capture institutional footprints without chasing candles. 🎯 Entry Plan (Layering Strategy Style) The Thief strategy uses multiple buy limit layers — a smart method to scale into a position without full exposure at once. Buy Limit Layers: 1️⃣ 1.39800 2️⃣ 1.39900 3️⃣ 1.40000 4️⃣ 1.40200 💡 You can adjust or increase the limit layers based on your own trade risk and capital exposure. 🛡️ Stop Loss (SL): 📍 Suggested protective stop: 1.39600 Not financial advice — each trader’s risk tolerance may vary. Manage risk wisely like a pro! 💵 Target (Take Profit Zone): 🎯 1.41300 — The “Police Barricade” (major resistance area). This zone may act as a strong barrier due to overbought conditions and potential liquidity traps. Take your profits smartly and escape before the cops arrive! 🚓💨 ⚠️ Notes to Thief OGs: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OGs) — this isn’t a signal, it’s a playbook idea. You’re free to adjust entries, SLs, and TPs based on your own analysis and money management plan. Trade smart. Take profits wisely. Risk what you can afford to lose. 🧠💼 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) → USD strength driver, watch for momentum continuation. BLACKBULL:WTI (Crude Oil) → Strong inverse correlation with CAD; rising oil often boosts CAD (bearish USD/CAD). FX:USDCNH → USD sentiment barometer — positive correlation with USD/CAD. OANDA:AUDCAD / OANDA:NZDCAD → Cross-check for CAD sentiment confirmation across commodity pairs. 🧭 Key Catalysts & Correlations: USD fundamentals: Fed stance, CPI, and bond yields continue to influence direction. CAD sentiment: Oil price movement and BoC tone will shape the medium-term bias. Risk sentiment: Strong equity rally = weaker USD; risk-off tone = stronger USD. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy shared for educational and entertainment purposes only — not financial advice. Trade responsibly and with discipline. #USDCAD #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrade #SmartMoney #Reaccumulation #PriceAction #LiquidityHunt #TradingStrategy #MarketPlaybook #FXAnalysis #DollarIndex #ThiefStrategy #TradingViewIdeas #BullishSetup #ForexCommunity
Long
by The-Thief
USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST - FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY📅 Q4 | W50 | D12 | Y25 | 📊 USDCAD FRGNT DAILY FORECAST 💰FRGNT FUN COUPON FRIDAY 🔍 Analysis Approach: I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on: Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️ Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐 Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎 Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅ This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price. 💡 My Motto: "Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge." A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐 ⚠️ Losses? They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲 They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️ 🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast. Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital — FRNGT 🚀 FX:USDCAD
Long
by JCFRGNT
UASDCAD: Bearish! A Little Pullback, Then Down!The USD has been weakened over the past couple of weeks. Markets are at a 90% pchance the Fed cut rates by .25 bp, and that Trump will be installing Hasset, a loyalist, as Fed Chair. Couple that with the positive job numbers that Canada announced last week, and you see the downward trajectory of the USDCAD heading down. It seems very likely that we will see more movement downtown this week. I am expecting an OHLC candle for the week ahead. The Draw on liquidity (DOL) would likely be the relative equal lows to the left. May profits be upon you. Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Short
by RT_Money
1
USDCAD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDCAD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity USDCAD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Long
by TheGrove
1
USD/CAD Recovers From a 2.5-Month LowUSD/CAD Recovers From a 2.5-Month Low The main driver of the decline was a sharp shift in sentiment and diverging expectations for policy actions in the United States and Canada. → Canada: Friday’s employment data came in far stronger than forecast. As a result, traders sharply reduced the likelihood of a Bank of Canada rate cut at the next meeting, judging the economy resilient enough to pause its easing cycle. → United States: Markets are pricing in a high probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut at tomorrow’s meeting (22:00 GMT+3). This contrast pushed USD/CAD to a 2.5-month low. However, the chart shows that the bulls may still have some grounds for optimism. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On 1 December we analysed the USD/CAD chart and: → drew an ascending channel (shown in blue) and noted several bearish signals; → suggested that the 1.4000 level would act as resistance in the near term, with bears likely to attempt to resume the downward move in USD/CAD. Indeed, as the arrow indicates, the bears managed to restart the downtrend, which led to: → a breakout below the lower boundary of the channel; → the need to map out a descending trajectory (shown in red), with its median potentially acting as resistance going forward. In this context, it is reasonable to assume that the bulls have some cause for hope in the short term, as: → the price is rebounding from the lower boundary of the red channel, indicating demand; → the RSI has risen from extreme oversold levels; → the candle highlighted by the second arrow looks bullish – it closed near the top of its range, forming a long lower shadow. Given the above, traders should not rule out a corrective recovery in USD/CAD until the Federal Reserve releases its decision, which could significantly impact financial markets. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USDCAD - Breakout Will Flip the Trend BullishUSDCAD has been sliding inside a well-defined descending channel, completing a full five-wave drop toward the support zone. The structure from the top looks corrective rather than impulsive. That means the downtrend is weakening as it reaches its final leg. Your count shows Wave 3 finishing at the dashed red line zone, followed by a small Wave 4 bounce, and now the market is pushing into the last Wave 5. This final drop is expected to target the Fibonacci levels near 1.3915 and 1.3895 . Nothing suggests strength until those levels are tested. The price is still trapped inside the downward channel, and every bounce has been getting sold. That confirms sellers are still in control for now. Wave (C) is close to completion, but buyers haven’t proven anything yet. The bullish outlook only becomes valid after a clean breakout above the channel. Without that break, any upside move is just noise inside a bearish structure. The breakout must hold with a higher low to confirm a trend reversal. If the channel breaks decisively, a strong bullish reversal toward 1.40+ becomes possible. The entire structure suggests the downtrend is aging, so a major upside swing is likely once sellers exhaust. Until then, downside targets remain open and caution is necessary. Stay Tuned! @Money_Dictators
by Money_Dictators
1
USD/CAD Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure OANDA:USDCAD USD/CAD is trading flat around 1.3950, holding below the 1.3966–1.3975 Resistance Zone, where repeated rejections keep the short-term bias tilted to the downside. The pair continues to oscillate within a compressed structure, failing to sustain any break above resistance, while the 1.3928–1.3937 Support Zone remains untested below. As long as price stays under the resistance band, the structure favours another push lower toward support. A clean hourly close above 1.3975 would invalidate the bearish setup and shift momentum back upward. 🎯 Trade Setup Entry: 1.3966 – 1.3975 Stop Loss: 1.3980 Take Profit 1: 1.3937 Take Profit 2: 1.3928 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approximately 1 : 2.5 Bearish structure remains valid below 1.3975. A breakout above this level invalidates the setup. 🌐 Macro Background USD/CAD trades in a tight range ahead of Canada’s November employment report. Markets expect the Unemployment Rate to rise to 7%, signalling slower labour-market conditions and increasing the likelihood that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could extend its easing cycle at next week’s policy meeting. Soft Canadian data would generally weaken the CAD. Meanwhile, the US Dollar remains subdued as traders firmly price in a 25 bps Fed rate cut at the December 9–10 meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a cut stands near 87%. Weakening labour-market indicators in the US and expectations that tariff-driven inflation is non-persistent add to the dovish pressure on the USD. Overall, both currencies face macro headwinds, but the technical picture for USD/CAD favours a downside continuation toward support unless Canada’s jobs report surprises significantly. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 1.3966 – 1.3975 Support Zone: 1.3928 – 1.3937 Structure Break (Invalidation): 1.3980 Targets: 1.3937 / 1.3928 📌 Trade Summary USD/CAD remains capped beneath the resistance zone, preserving a short-term bearish structure. The preferred approach is to sell into 1.3966–1.3975, targeting a move back toward 1.3928–1.3937 support. A sustained move above 1.3980 cancels the setup. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute trading advice. Trading involves significant risk, and proper risk management is essential.
Short
by ATFX_Global
Canadian Dollar Strengthened Sharply After Unexpected GDP DataThe Canadian Dollar Strengthened Sharply After Unexpected GDP Data Statistics Canada reported on Friday that real GDP grew by 2.6% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025, which means: → a significant beat compared with analysts’ expectations of just 0.5% year-on-year growth; → Canada avoided a technical recession (two consecutive quarters of contraction) following a 1.8% decline in the previous quarter. The release triggered a strong rally in the Canadian dollar, as markets may have concluded that the Bank of Canada has less need to support the economy with additional liquidity, making the loonie more attractive to hold. On the other hand, the unexpected GDP rise may partly be a statistical artefact linked to calculation methodology and the impact of tariffs introduced into global trade by the Trump administration. It is possible that GDP grew due to falling imports — meaning that even with strong headline numbers, the underlying economy may remain fragile. Technical Analysis of USD/CAD On Friday, the USD/CAD rate fell to its lowest level in a month. The price then rebounded (as shown by the arrow) from the lower boundary of the channel that has been in place for most of the autumn. This bounce not only confirmed the relevance of the channel but also highlighted strong buying interest around 1.3940. But should the bulls feel confident? Note that: → throughout November, the price repeatedly slipped below 1.4000 — and each time failed to consolidate beneath this psychological level; → Friday’s bearish breakout looked exceptionally strong, with wide bearish candles closing near their lows, signalling clear dominance by sellers; → the 50% retracement of the A→B impulse sits near 1.4000. Given these factors, it is entirely possible that 1.4000 will act as resistance in the short term, and that bears will attempt to resume the downward trend in USD/CAD. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: USD/CAD Maintains Bullish StrengthMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Maintains Bullish Strength USD/CAD is showing positive signs and might aim for more gains above 1.4130. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD rallied above 1.4000 and 1.4050 before the bears appeared. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 1.4085 on the hourly chart. USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD, the pair formed a strong support base above the 1.3970 level. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above 1.4000 against the Canadian Dollar. The pair cleared the 50-hour simple moving average and climbed above 1.4050. Finally, it tested the 1.4130 zone before the bears appeared. The pair traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3971 swing low to the 1.4130 high. Initial support is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.4085 and the 50-hour simple moving average. A downside break below the trend line might send the pair toward 1.4050. The next major area on the USD/CAD chart could be the 76.4% Fib retracement at 1.4010. A close below 1.4010 could push the pair further lower. In the stated case, the bears might aim for a test of 1.3970. On the upside, Initial resistance sits near 1.4105. The main breakout zone could be 1.4130. A clear upside break above 1.4130 could start another steady increase. The next major stop for the bulls might be 1.4200. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of 1.4250. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1