USDCHF Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.79950 zone, USDCHF was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.79950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead.
Current Bias
Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000.
Key Fundamental Drivers
U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts.
Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions.
Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable.
Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted.
Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments.
Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD.
Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations.
SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918
Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070
Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010
Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.799.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.794 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USD/CHF BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
USD/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 6H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.801 level.
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USDCHF downtrend resistance at 0.7985The USDCHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.7985, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.7985 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7915, followed by 0.7890 and 0.7870 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.7985 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8000, then 0.8030.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.7985. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bearish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8084
1st Support: 0.7894
1st Resistance: 0.8198
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in a
Downtrend but the pair
Is making a bullish rebound
So after the retest of the
Horizontal resistance above
At 0.7992 we will be
Expecting a local
Bearish correction
On Monday!
Sell!
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USDCHF Massive Long! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDCHF is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.7975
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8006
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USD/CHF: Swiss Slide to 0.79795 Ahead? FX:USDCHF is showing signs of a bearish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone at the red box around 0.8065 near a key resistance level. The target at 0.79795 aligns with the next support zone, offering a clear downside potential. Set a stop loss at 0.81 on a close above to manage risk effectively.
A break below 0.805 with increasing volume could confirm this slide, driven by USD weakness and CHF strength. Watch Swiss economic data and global risk sentiment as catalysts.
Ready for this move? Do you see this USD/CHF slide coming? Share your view!
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USD/CHF - H1 - Channel Breakout (NFP) (05.09.2025)The USD/CHF Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Channel Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.8011
2nd Support – 0.7988
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USDCHF - GET READY TO KILL THE MARKETTeam, my track record last 3 months almost impossible to achieve on USDCHF results..
here is the plan for you to trade on USDCHF in 3 houses
30 mins before release → Market often drifts sideways, thinner liquidity, algos waiting.
At release → Massive whipsaws (first move often a fake-out).
15–30 mins after → Real direction emerges once the dust settles.
Buy small now at 0.8030 - very small volume,
make sure buy at sweep 0.8000-7985 ranges
MAKE SURE STOP LOSS FIRST AT 0.7920 AVOID STOP LOSS, once it ride up above 8030- bring stop loss toward 0.7960
REMEMBER to hold tight until next week, I want to see above 0.8055-60 resistance - take 50%-70% and bring stop loss to BE,
Next target at 0.8078-0.8085 and possible heading toward 0.8100
PLAN CAREFULLY AND LETS BUILT THE WEALTH TOGETHER.
IMPORTANT NOTE: WORK OUT YOUR RISK, how much are you you risking.. that the most important concept.
NOW, LETS GO AND MAKE MILLIONS.
USDCHF H1 | Falling towards major supportUSD/CHF is falling towards the buy entry which acts as an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.8027, which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8008, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.8067, which is a pullback resistance.
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USDCHF resistance retestThe USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.8076, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.8076 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.8000, followed by 0.7970 and 0.7940 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.8076 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.8110, then 0.8140.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.8076. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USD-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF made a nice
Bullish move up and
The pair made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8076 from where
We are already seeing a bearish
Reaction and so we will be
Expecting a further move down
Sell!
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“EUR/USD 15m Outlook | Bullish Bias from Demand ZonePrice is currently balancing between the demand zone (buyers at 1.1607 – 1.1635) and the supply zone (1.1680 – 1.1720).
📌 If demand holds → Expect liquidity grab → retest → bullish continuation into supply.
📌 If supply reacts → Watch for rejection → intraday shorts possible before next rally.
This setup is not about guessing direction — it’s about hacking the structure: let price tell the story, then follow the flow.
USDCHF Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.805.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.810 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Key Level for USDCHF: 0.8125USDCHF has been trending down since late 2021 and is currently near the lower end of its trend channel. Low inflation and a weak dollar index have contributed to the downward pressure seen in 2025. The Swiss National Bank (SNB) has avoided reintroducing negative rates, and the latest inflation data may support keeping rates at zero. Yearly CPI remains at 0.2 percent, still in positive territory, but barely. According to SNB Vice Chair Antoine Martin, they do not see any risk of deflation at the moment, and forecasts suggest an uptick in inflation in the coming quarters.
Still, the 39 percent US tariff poses a significant problem for Switzerland, which counts the US as its largest single-country trading partner, or second if Europe is considered as a whole. This year’s weak dollar index, combined with very high tariffs, may create challenges for exporters. The saving grace is the exemption of gold and pharmaceuticals, which are by far Switzerland’s largest exports. According to the Financial Times, the effective average tariff is slightly above 12 percent. When combined with the Swiss franc’s 11 percent gain against the dollar, the burden on exporters remains heavy.
Following the tariff shock, services PMI collapsed while manufacturing PMI held relatively steady. In Monday’s update, both manufacturing and services showed signs of recovery, although services PMI still indicated a rapid contraction. The data supports expectations for the SNB to hold rates at the September meeting.
USDCHF bounced more than 2 percent from the lower boundary of the channel, breaking above the 2025 downward trendline before retesting it multiple times. The chart suggests USDCHF is attempting an upward reaction. If the SNB maintains its stance despite low inflation, that would be bullish for the franc, but a possible hawkish Fed rate cut at the September meeting are likely to have a larger effect on the currency and could trigger a breakout. The biggest obstacle is the 76.4 percent parallel of the trendline, currently at 0.8125, which may become the key resistance level to watch for USDCHF bulls.
Bullish bounce off?The Swissie (USD/CHF) has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8024
1st Support: 0.7981
1st Resistance: 0.8088
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Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF Long Selling IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh Upside
USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward 0.8100.
Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today
- USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8020 zone.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000 on the hourly chart.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair declined from the 0.8075 barrier and tested the 0.7985 zone. The US Dollar traded as low as 0.7983 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc.
The pair climbed above 0.8020 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8076 swing high to the 0.7983 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000.
The bulls are now facing hurdles near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.8055. The next major area of interest could be 0.8075. The main sell region could be near 0.8100.
If there is a clear break above 0.8100 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8150.
If there is another decline, the pair might test the 50-hour simple moving average at 0.8020. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near 0.8000. A downside break below 0.8000 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is 0.7880. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7840 in the near term.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.