Falling towards major support?Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.7875
1st Support: 0.7739
1st Resistance: 0.8084
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
USDCHF
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Reversal Off 50% Fibonacci ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price has rejected the sell entry, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
Sell Entry: 0.8043
Pullback resistance
50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 0.8063
Pullback resistance
61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.7990
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
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USDCHF: Bears Will Push Lower
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current USDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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USDCHF H1 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently above the ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.80088
- Pullback support
- 61.8% Fib retracement
Stop Loss: 0.7989
- Swing low support
Take Profit: 0.8038
- Multi-swing high resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Swissie Breakout Retest: Are Buyers Preparing a Major Push?USD/CHF BULLISH SETUP | HMA Pullback + TMA Breakout Retest (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀
📈 Asset: USD/CHF - "The Swissie"
⏰ Timeframe: 4H & Daily (Swing) / 1H & 15M (Day Entry)
🔄 Style: Bullish Continuation | Pullback & Breakout Retest
⚡ Strategy: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Order Entry
✨ Executive Summary
A technically sound bullish opportunity is forming on USD/CHF! We are identifying a high-probability pullback to a confluence zone, confirmed by the adaptive Hull Moving Average (HMA) and awaiting a decisive breakout & retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA). This plan uses a strategic, risk-managed entry method.
📊 Technical Rationale & Confirmation
✅ Trend Filter: Price above the key Hull Moving Average (HMA) on the 4H chart confirms the primary bullish structure. The current move is treated as a healthy pullback within the uptrend.
🔺 Key Signal: We are watching for a breakout and bullish retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA), which often acts as dynamic support in a trend. A successful hold here is our confirmation trigger.
🎯 Precision Entry Zone: The confluence area between 0.8000 - 0.8040 provides a high-value zone for action.
⚔️ Trade Plan: "The Thief" Layered Entry Strategy
This plan uses multiple limit orders to "steal" the best average entry price, scaling into the position.
🟢 ENTRY (Layered Limit Orders):
Layer 1: 0.8040
Layer 2: 0.8020
Layer 3: 0.8000
🔹 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite.
⛔ STOP LOSS (Risk Management):
Initial/Thief SL: 0.7970 (Below the entry zone and key structure).
📢 IMPORTANT NOTE, THIEF CREW: I provide a framework, not financial advice. YOU MUST adjust your SL based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital first! 💰
🎯 TAKE PROFIT Target:
Primary Target: 0.8150 (A strong resistance and potential overbought/trap zone).
Tactical Exit: Consider partial profits on the way up. "Escape with profits" when momentum wanes.
📢 REMINDER: This is MY target based on my analysis. YOU are responsible for your own exits. Take money at your own risk and comfort level.
🌍 Related Pairs & Key Correlations (Must Watch!)
Monitoring correlated pairs increases context and confidence.
FX:EURUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. If USD/CHF is bullish (USD strong), EURUSD is often bearish. Watch for USD strength confirmation here.
OANDA:EURCHF : POSITIVE Correlation. Often moves in tandem with USD/CHF. A strong Euro can also support CHF pairs. Confirm trend alignment.
FX:GBPUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. Another major USD pair. Broad USD strength (helping USD/CHF) should pressure GBPUSD lower.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): INVERSE Correlation to USD. A falling Gold price ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) typically signals USD strength, which could support this USD/CHF bullish thesis.
🔑 Key Point: For this USD/CHF bullish idea to thrive, we want to see broad USD strength (DXY ⬆️) and/or CHF weakness against other majors. Watch TVC:DXY for the clearest USD direction clue.
📌 Final Notes & Disclaimer
This is a STRATEGY GUIDE, not a signal.
The "Thief" method smooths your entry but requires discipline.
Always use proper risk management (<1-2% per trade).
Like 👍 and Follow if you find this detailed breakdown useful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more content coming!
Comment below! What's your take on this setup? Are you watching the same correlations?
🚀 Trade Safe, Thief Crew! Let's get those pips!
#Forex #USDCHF #Swissie #TradingView #TradingIdea #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #HMA #TMA #Breakout #ForexStrategy #RiskManagement
USDCHF resistance retest at 0.7980The USDCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.7980 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.7980 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8060 – initial resistance
0.8070 – psychological and structural level
0.8090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.7980 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.7960 – minor support
0.7935 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.7980 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF: bullish breakout🛠 Technical Analysis: On the 4-hour timeframe, USDCHF triggered a "Global bullish signal" with the completion of a SMA lines (100 and 200), confirming a shift in momentum. The price has successfully broken out of a local descending correction channel and is currently stabilizing above the significant SMA cluster support. The technical setup projects a continuation of the rally towards the immediate resistance at 0.81115, with a potential growth to the 0.8200 handle.
———————————————
❗️ Trade Parameters (BUY)
———————————————
➡️ Entry Point: Approx. 0.8050
🎯 Take Profit: 0.81115 (Resistance), medium-term target at 0.8200
🔴 Stop Loss: Below the recent consolidation structure and SMA cluster (approx. 0.80200)
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a potential trade idea based on current analysis; market conditions and price direction are subject to change based on news factors and volatility.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?Swissie (USD/CHF) could fall towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that aligns witht he 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8014
1st Support: 0.7987
1st Resistance: 0.8069
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Potential bullish reversal?USD/CHF has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support, and could rise from this level to our take profit.
USD/CHF has bounced off the support level which is an overlap support, and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8006
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.7968
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 61.85 Fibonacci retracement.
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USD/CHF Hints at Swing Low at Round NumberA bullish engulfing candle formed around the 0.80 handle on Thursday, closing back above the monthly pivot point and the 50- and 20-day EMAs. The 4-hour chart shows momentum turning higher after a correction from ~0.81, with the upswing supported by rising volumes — signalling bullish initiation.
Note the high-volume node (HVN) around 0.8050, which may act as near-term resistance and trigger a pullback. Bulls could look for dips within Thursday’s range in anticipation of a move towards 0.81.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
USD/CHF – Watching for liquidity sweep into origin demandPrice is trading inside a clean descending channel.
Below current price sits untouched inducement — a liquidity pool that lines up perfectly with the origin demand zone where the previous impulsive rally started.
If price sweeps that inducement and taps the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation (MSS + FVG/OB) for a potential move back toward the channel midline or upper boundary.
Bias: Bullish upon sweep + tap
Invalidation: Clean break below demand
Confluence: Channel low + origin demand + resting liquidity
Not financial advice.
USDCHF H1 | Bullish Reversal SetupMomentum: Bullish
The price is falling towards the buy entry, which has been identified as an overlap support.
Buy entry: 0.8004
Overlap support
Stop loss: 0.7974
Pullback support
138.2% Fibonaci extension
Take profit 0.8062
Pullback resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USDCHF H4 | Falling Towards Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is pulling back toward the buy entry, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection while remaining above the Ichimoku cloud.
Buy Entry: 0.8041
Strong overlap support
78.6% Fibonacci projection
Stop Loss: 0.7971
Pullback support
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 0.8067
Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
Stop!Loss|Market View: USDCAD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the USDCAD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.32468
💰TP: 1.33901
⛔️SL: 1.31035
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: The USD will likely continue to decline in the short term, but the mid-term outlook remains favorable for buyers. For USDCAD, 1.39000 and 1.38500 are likely potential buying opportunities in the mid-term. Currently, given the price accumulation near the support level of 1.39385, a breakout to the levels outlined above is expected.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
USDCHF: Swing Trading & Technical Analysis
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy USDCHF.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDCHF corrective pullback supported at 0.7980The USDCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.7980 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.7980 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8060 – initial resistance
0.8070 – psychological and structural level
0.8090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.7980 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.7960 – minor support
0.7935 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.7980 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF H4 | Bearish Drop In PlayMomentum: Bullish
The price has reacted off the sell entry and is trading below the descending trendline and the Ichimoku cloud.
Sell entry: 0.8026
Pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 0.8063
Pullback resistance.
Take profit: 0.7970
Pullback support
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bullish bounce of pullback support?Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1sr resistance.
Pivot: 0.7992
1st Support: 0.8063
1st Resistance: 0.8063
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
USDCHF Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.801.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.805 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCHF D11️⃣ Market Context
USDCHF on the D1 timeframe continues to respect a long-term sideways range with clear rejection zones.
The pair is repeatedly failing to break above 0.8097 – 0.8130, which is your marked major supply zone.
Right now, price has tapped the zone, formed a lower high, and started to turn down → classic distribution behavior.
2️⃣ Key Levels
🔴 Resistance (Supply Zone)
0.8097 – 0.8130
This region has caused multiple rejections since July.
Sellers consistently dominate here.
🔵 Support Levels
0.7967 → mid-range liquidity zone
0.7828 → your target, major support + range bottom
These are exactly in line with previous swing lows and liquidity pools.
3️⃣ Market Structure
Price failed to break the higher high from early November.
Formed a lower high near resistance → bearish structure shift.
The current candle behavior shows momentum slowing and a likely bearish continuation pattern.
This suggests USDCHF may be entering a down cycle inside the range.
4️⃣ Expected Move (Matches Your Projection)
Your chart suggests:
✔️ Retest & rejection from 0.8090–0.8130
✔️ Downside continuation toward:
First support: 0.7967
Main target: 0.7828 (range floor)
This projection is highly valid based on:
Repeated rejections from supply
Lower high formation
No bullish structure break
Volume drop at resistance
5️⃣ Trading Bias
📌 Bias: Bearish
As long as price stays below 0.8097, bears stay in control.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Key SupportMomentum: Bullish
Price is currently within the bullish ichimoku cloud.
Buy entry: 0.79918
- Strong overlap support
- 50% Fib retracement
- 100% Fib projection
Stop Loss: 0.79423
- Overlap support
Take Profit: 0.80445
- Overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
USDCHF corrective pullback supported at 0.7980The USDCHF remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 0.7980 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 0.7980 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
0.8060 – initial resistance
0.8070 – psychological and structural level
0.8090 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 0.7980 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
0.7960 – minor support
0.7935 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the USDCHF holds above 0.7980 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.






















