Usdchf!
USDCHF Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.797.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.792 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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BUY US Dollar! Sell xxxUSD Pairs! Buy USDxxx Pairs!This is the FOREX futures outlook for the Sept 30th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, CAD, CHF, and JPY.
Keep it simple! Buy USDxxx pairs. Sell xxxUSD pairs. Just wait for valid setups. Once price shows a valid change in the state of delivery on your entry TFs, enter.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
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USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup – High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend
Price was in a strong uptrend first.
Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend.
2. Breakout Zone
Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected.
The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area.
3. Entry Point
Entry point is around 0.79798.
This is where a buy trade is planned.
4. Stop Loss (Risk Control)
Stop loss is between 0.79764 – 0.79619.
If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses.
5. Target Point (Take Profit)
Target is around 0.80334.
This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy).
6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio
The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio.
Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens.
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📊 Summary
Trade Type: Buy Setup
Entry: ~0.79798
Stop Loss: Below 0.79619
Take Profit: ~0.80334
Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
USDCHF resistance retest The USD/CHF pair is currently trading with a bearish bias, aligned with the broader downward trend. Recent price action shows a retest of the falling resistance, suggesting a temporary relief rally within the downtrend.
Key resistance is located at 0.7970, a prior consolidation zone. This level will be critical in determining the next directional move.
A bearish rejection from 0.7970 could confirm the resumption of the downtrend, targeting the next support levels at 0.7900, followed by 0.7860 and 0.7830 over a longer timeframe.
Conversely, a decisive breakout and daily close above 0.7970 would invalidate the current bearish setup, shifting sentiment to bullish and potentially triggering a move towards 0.7990, then 0.8010.
Conclusion:
The short-term outlook remains bearish unless the pair breaks and holds above 0.7970. Traders should watch for price action signals around this key level to confirm direction. A rejection favours fresh downside continuation, while a breakout signals a potential trend reversal or deeper correction.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
USDCHF H4 | Bullish reaction at 50% Fibonacci retracement levelUSD/CHF is reacting off the buy entry which acts as a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.7968, which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.79088, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.8056, which is a swing high resistance that lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF Bullish Break-and-Retest Setup – 2H Timeframe1. Overall Trend
Price had been in a downtrend but recently reversed into a rising channel (highlighted in pink).
The price broke below the lower trendline of the channel, indicating a potential pullback or temporary correction.
2. Chart Pattern & Idea
After breaking the ascending channel, the chart suggests a potential bullish continuation (a breakout-retest strategy).
The drawn pattern shows a pullback to a support zone (highlighted in blue box) where price may bounce.
🟦 Trade Setup
Component Value Comment
Entry Point 0.79596 Current price, just above support zone
Stop Loss 0.79180 Below key support area
Target Point 0.80550 At prior resistance / measured move
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio
Risk: ~41 pips (0.79596 - 0.79180)
Reward: ~95 pips (0.80550 - 0.79596)
R:R Ratio: ~2.3:1 — favorable
📌 Key Technical Observations
Support Zone (Buy Area)
Between 0.79209 and 0.79550, this is a demand zone where price is expected to bounce.
Marked by a consolidation area and minor structure support.
Target Area
0.80550 aligns with a previous high and resistance level.
Also matches a measured move of the previous channel height.
Bullish Confirmation
Price might need to form a higher low or bullish candlestick pattern inside the support zone to validate entry.
⚠️ Potential Risks
If price breaks and closes below 0.79180, it invalidates the bullish thesis.
Market may retest lower support levels or re-enter the downtrend.
USD/CHF is also impacted by USD strength/weakness and Swiss Franc safe-haven flows (watch news).
📈 Summary: Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Buy around 0.79596 (or on bullish confirmation within support zone)
Stop Loss: 0.79180
Take Profit: 0.80550
Risk-Reward: Good (2.3:1)
Bearish continuation?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.8027
1st Support: 0.7853
1st Resistance: 0.8169
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD-CHF Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USDCHF Price reacts from horizontal demand area, confirming bullish order flow shift. SMC framework highlights engineered liquidity, with Smart Money aiming toward inefficiency at 0.7986.
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Stop Loss: 0.7964
Take Profit: 0.7986
Entry: 0.7977
Time Frame: 1H
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Buy!
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POTENTIAL USDCHF BUYDaily Created a HL Followed by two Strong Bullish Candles, with a Slight Pullback.
H4 Timeframes looks Beautiful for Potential Buys around 0.79600.
A Text book Break of Resistance is Shown, currently waiting for price to find a Floor. ( 0.79600)
As long as Price prints a Bullish Engulfing (Or Bullish Variation) generating a HL, this could push Price past the Key Lvl 0.80000.
TP1 :0.80386
TP2 : 0.80751
USDCHF Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.80000 zone, USDCHF is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase on which it is approaching the trend at 0.80000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB).
Current Bias
Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported.
Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge.
Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure.
Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy.
Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility.
Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
U.S. PCE inflation release
Fed speakers on rate outlook
Swiss CPI updates
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829
Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026
Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support)
Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
USDCHF: Bearish Forecast & Bearish Scenario
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USDCHF pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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USDCHF Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDCHF is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8002
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.79766
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
SHORT ON USD/CHFUSD/CHF is pulling back to a major supply area/zone
News today for the dollar (PCE) will most likely push price into these zone before dropping.
If news for the dollar comes out negative we might see a drop without the rise to supply.
But its always better to SELL HIGH so set sell limit orders in these zones to take full advantage.
150-200 pips on the table.
Enjoy!
USDCHF H4 | Bullish bounce off pullback supportUSD/CHF is falling towards the buy entry whichis a pullback support and could bounce from this level to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.7969, which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.7908, which is a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.8067, whichis a multi swing high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.7972
1st R+Support: 0.7914
1st Resistance: 0.8031
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?USD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8024
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.8072
Why we like it:
There is a multi-swing high resistance level that is slightly below the 145% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.7970
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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SNB holds interest rates, US GDP revised higher, Swissy slips The Swiss franc is sharply lower on Thursday. In the North American session, USD/CHF is trading at 0.8013, up 0.78% on the day.
The Swiss National Bank held its benchmark rate at zero earlier today. The decision was widely expected. The Swiss franc has fallen sharply today but that is more likely due to the surprising strong US GDP release, rather than the SNB rate cut.
The SNB statement noted that inflation had remained virtually the same in the second quarter and the inflation outlook called for little change. However, members expressed concern about the slowdown in global economic growth and the uncertainty over US tariffs.
The statement said that the Swiss economy had been affected by the US tariffs, dampening the export sector. In particular, the machinery and watchmaking industries had been hit, but the impact on the services sector had been limited.
Switzerland has been hit with massive tariffs of 39% on Swiss goods, and the statement warned that the economic outllook for the country remains "uncertain".
Third-estimate GDP climbed to 3.8% in the second quarter, a strong improvement from the 3.3% gain in the second estimate. This was above the consensus of 3.3%. The gain was driven by stronger consumer spending and a sharp decline in US imports.
The tariffs continue to create uncertainty and could dampen consumer spending as the price of imports rise. There are concerns that GDP will fall significantly in the second half of the year.
The Federal Reserve signaled at last week's meeting that it planned to cut rates twice more before the end of the year, but today's strong GDP data lowers the pressure on the Fed to ease policy. The markets have priced in an October rate cut at 88%, according to CME's FedWatch.
Trendline w Liquidity The liquidity that has accumulated along this trend line is evident.
It seems that the price has a magnet that induces it to take advantage of that liquidity.
By implementing your own strategy, you can take advantage of a pullback and take advantage of the purchases!
Keep It Simple!
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