USD/CHF Bulls Charge Forward – Key Breakout Setup Unfolding🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - FOREX PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP
Bullish Momentum | Day Trade | Moving Average Breakout Confirmed
📊 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW
🔔 Asset: USD/CHF (The Swiss Franc Pair)
📈 Bias: BULLISH ✅
⏱️ Timeframe: Intraday (Day Trade)
🎲 Strategy: Moving Average Breakout + Layered Entry System
💡 ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN
The USD/CHF has successfully confirmed a bullish breakout above key Moving Average resistance levels. Price structure indicates a strong push higher with multiple confluence zones supporting upward momentum. The setup respects recent market structure and provides a clean risk-to-reward opportunity for tactical intraday traders.
🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY - "The Thief Method" 💼
Layered Buy Limit Entry System (Multiple Order Placement):
🔹 Layer 1: Buy Limit @ 0.80000
🔹 Layer 2: Buy Limit @ 0.80250
🔹 Layer 3: Buy Limit @ 0.80500
🔹 Layer 4: Buy Limit @ 0.80750
💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scale into positions rather than going all-in.
🛑 STOP LOSS - "The Thief's Insurance" 🎯
Stop Loss Level: 0.79500
Reasoning: Previous market structure | Nearest Lower Low | Candle Wick consideration
This SL respects mechanical support and provides defined risk parameters.
🚨 TAKE PROFIT - "Police Barricade Zone" 💰
Target Level: 0.81900
Resistance Indicators:
Strong Historical Resistance 📍
Overbought Zone Alert ⚠️
Profit Taking Trap Zone 🎣
⚡ Recommendation: Consider taking partial profits at 0.81900 to secure gains before potential pullback.
📌 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 🌍
Correlated Pairs & Key Levels:
💵
EURCHF
- Watch for inverse correlation; if USD/CHF rallies, EUR/CHF often consolidates. Key level: 0.94500
📊
GBPCHF
- Similar dynamics; acts as confirmation. Watch resistance near 1.08200
🎲
USDJPY
- Risk sentiment indicator; strong risk-on when USD/CHF pushes higher. Level: 155.500
🔗 CHF Crosses Generally - When USD strengthens, all CHF pairs weaken; observe overall CHF weakness
🧠 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS
✅ Moving Average Alignment - Price above key MA(s) = bullish continuation signal
✅ Breakout Confirmation - Clear resistance break with momentum
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - Favorable setup with defined entry zones
✅ Layering Advantage - Multiple entries reduce average cost and emotional decision-making
✅ Structure Respect - SL places at logical market structure levels
⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS & NOTES
🎪 "Thief Style" Trading Strategy - This is a tactical, fun-oriented approach to forex trading. NOT financial advice.
Risk Warning:
🔴 Past performance ≠ Future results
🔴 Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss
🔴 Position sizing is YOUR responsibility
🔴 Stop losses and take profits are RECOMMENDATIONS, not guarantees
🔴 Only risk capital you can afford to lose
Your Trading Journey:
YOUR entry decisions = YOUR profits/losses
YOUR stop loss placement = YOUR risk management
YOUR take profit timing = YOUR discipline
Manage your own risk. Make your own choices. Own your results.
🌐 CORRELATION & WATCHLIST
Monitor these instruments for USD/CHF confirmation:
🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index) - Strength confirmation
🇨🇭 SNB Policy - Swiss National Bank decisions = CHF mover
📊 Interest Rate Differentials - USD vs CHF rate spreads
🎯 Risk Sentiment - Risk-on favors USD, risk-off favors CHF
✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!
#USDCHF #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #MovingAverage #Breakout #ThiefStyle #SwissFranc #TradingCommunity #FXTrading #RiskManagement #TradingPlan #ProfitPathway
Usdchfanalysis
USDCHF possible Bullish for 0.8165#USDCHF broke 0.8076 which is strong monthly resistance level and high of 9th October. Daily chart is forming higher high and higher low. price moving down as a corrective move. 0.7958-25 daily demand zone. price may test the mentioned support level for another leg higher. stop loss at 0.7910. Target: 0.8165
USDCHF 4H: CRTH to CRTL—The Bearish FVG TrapThe USDCHF 4-hour chart is presenting a high-probability sell setup that aligns perfectly with the Candle 3 (Distribution) phase of the CRT model. Price has aggressively broken down after reaching a local high, a move that is characteristic of a smart money reversal. This initial break left behind a clear Fair Value Gap (FVG), marking our ideal re-entry zone before the major downside expansion. We are positioning to join the move from a premium price.
The Bearish Trade Thesis: Selling the Retracement
The core of this strategy is to sell into the expected price retracement to the FVG, securing a premium entry price. The market is anticipated to pull back and fill the imbalance in the FVG box (roughly 0.80514 to 0.80800). This move back up is the final Manipulation phase (Candle 2) designed to trap late buyers. We will monitor the price action for a clear rejection within this zone, confirming the entry for the massive downward push.
Risk Management and Targets
Our risk is strictly defined by the structural high of the move, aligning with the concept of using the Trend Start (TS) for the Stop Loss. The CRTH-TS at 0.80514 defines the low end of the invalidation zone. A clean close above the upper boundary of the FVG would suggest the bearish intent is temporarily paused or invalidated, serving as our Stop Loss (SL). The target for this trade is the swing low CRTL (Control Low) at 0.79238. This level represents a critical low-liquidity objective where the smart money is expected to take profit, offering an outstanding risk-reward opportunity.
Greetings,
MrYounity
USDCHF Long Selling IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
USDCHF Long Selling IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
USDCHF Forming Bullish WaveUSDCHF is currently positioned in a consolidating range after a recent rebound, as buyers appear to test the breakout zone around 0.8030-0.8200. The technical structure suggests that if price can hold above the upper boundary of the recent consolidation, we could see a bullish push toward 0.8350 and possibly extend to 0.8400. Until then, watch for signs of exhaustion or a break below 0.8030, which could invalidate the bullish case and open a retest of lower support near 0.7900.
On the fundamental front, the U.S. dollar remains relatively firm thanks to resilient labor market data and the Federal Reserve indicating that it may keep interest rates elevated for longer if inflation remains sticky. Meanwhile, the Swiss franc, which traditionally strengthens during global uncertainty, is under pressure as the Swiss National Bank contemplates policy moves in the face of sluggish domestic growth and deflationary risks. The divergence in monetary paths—firm U.S. rates vs. cautious Swiss policy—supports a bullish edge for USDCHF.
That said, risk remains skewed to the downside if global risk sentiment shifts or the franc’s safe-haven status becomes dominant again. Upcoming Swiss inflation or SNB commentary could trigger surprise moves. For now, the setup favors continuation, but confirmation is key: a clean breakout above 0.8200 with follow-through would underpin the bullish scenario, while a failure to hold above support would elevate the risk of a deeper pullback toward the 0.7900 zone.
USDCHF Just Revealed Its Hand — Don’t Miss This Move!One more interesting pair to look at USDCHF.
PMH and internal liquidity have been taken yesterday. Today USDCHF just did MS on 1h time frame , potentially this is good short opportunity till discount before further move upwards
can open short position with SL at 0.81244
with tp at 0.80245 or 0.7985
SHORT 📉
SL: 0.81244
TP: 0.80245 or 0.7985
Will the Swissy Bounce Back? LSMA Pullback Setup Inside!🥳 Swissy Heist: Bullish Swing Playbook (LSMA Pullback Strategy) 💰
Alright, Thief OGs! 👋 The USD/CHF ("Swissy") is setting up for a potential bullish move, and we've got the blueprints. This isn't a "get rich quick" scheme; it's a calculated swing trade plan using a classic pullback strategy. Let's get into it!
📊 The Master Plan (Analysis)
Bias: Bullish ✅
Strategy: LSMA Moving Average Pullback & Continuation.
Confirmation: We're looking for a pullback to a key demand zone where price respects the dynamic support offered by the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). A bounce from here signals the next leg up is likely starting.
🎯 Entry, Stop & Target (The "Thief" Logistics)
This is where the "Thief" layer strategy comes into play. Instead of one all-in entry, we scale in with precision.
🎪 Entry Method (Layered Limit Orders):
We're setting multiple buy limit orders to catch the dip at these key levels:
Layer 1: 0.79000
Layer 2: 0.79200
Layer 3: 0.79400
Layer 4: 0.79600
Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure.
🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management):
A decisive break below the structure suggests the plan is invalid. The suggested stop loss for this setup is below the key support at 0.78800.
Disclaimer: This is MY stop level. You are the captain of your own ship—manage your risk according to your own trading plan and risk tolerance! 🧭
🎯 Take Profit (The Escape Plan):
Our primary target is 0.80400.
Why? This area represents a confluence of resistance: the moving average may act as resistance, and we could see some overbought pressure. The goal is to "escape with profits" before any potential trap snaps shut! 🪤
Reminder: Just like the SL, this is MY target. Feel free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop—you do what's best for YOUR pockets!
🔍 Related Pairs to Watch
$EUR/CHF: Often moves in correlation with USD/CHF due to the shared CHF (Swiss Franc). A strong CHF will affect both pairs.
$EUR/USD: The "anti-dollar" pair. A strong bullish move in USD/CHF often coincides with a bearish move in EUR/USD. Watch this for overall USD strength clues.
$GBP/CHF: Another CHF-cross that can show similar sentiment towards the Swiss Franc.
Key Correlation Point: If the USD is strengthening broadly, we'll likely see bullish momentum in USD/CHF and bearish momentum in pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
✨ Final Notes from the "Thief" Vault
This is a swing trade idea, so patience is key! ⌛
The "Thief" style is all about strategic, layered entries—not reckless gambling.
Always trade with a plan and never risk more than you can afford to lose.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#Forex #USDCHF #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #DXY #Swissy
USDCHF Forming Bullish BreakoutUSDCHF is showing a strong bullish breakout from a key resistance zone around the 0.8030–0.8050 level, now acting as support. The pair has been gaining upside momentum following a clean break above this structure, indicating a potential continuation toward the 0.8150–0.8200 region. On the 4-hour timeframe, the bullish impulse leg suggests that buyers are firmly in control, and a short-term retest of the breakout area could provide an ideal opportunity for continuation trades in line with the prevailing trend.
From a fundamental standpoint, the U.S. dollar is holding firm after the latest FOMC statement, where the Federal Reserve maintained its cautious stance while signaling flexibility toward rate cuts in 2026 if inflation continues easing. The Swiss franc, traditionally a safe-haven asset, has weakened slightly due to improved global risk sentiment and softer-than-expected inflation data from Switzerland. The widening interest rate differential between the U.S. and Switzerland continues to support upward pressure on USDCHF.
Technically, as long as the pair sustains above the 0.8030–0.8050 support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. Traders are closely watching for bullish confirmation candles on a retest to reinforce upside potential. A clear continuation could open the path toward 0.8200 and beyond in the coming sessions, aligning with current dollar strength and market momentum across major USD pairs.
USDCHF is ready to reverse to the downside! SELL NOWEURUSD has been stuck in between 2 support and resistance trendlines but has now broken a powerful support zone today. The price is now below the recent support zone which means it is very likely to head to the next major support level (the green trend line below) SELL now!
USDCHF – Potential Third Wave FormationUSDCHF – Potential Third Wave Formation
Current price: 0.7969
The U.S. dollar against the Swiss franc is showing a potential bullish reversal setup after completing a corrective decline. Price action structure suggests the start of an impulsive wave sequence, targeting higher Fibonacci extensions.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The pair successfully rebounded from 0.7910–0.7920 support, forming a clean base structure at the lower boundary of the short-term channel.
• A breakout above 0.7980–0.8000 signals early confirmation of a potential wave 3 development.
• The pattern is forming a symmetrical recovery phase consistent with Fibonacci expansion ratios.
📈 Scenario
• Stop-loss: below 0.7920, under the last structural low.
• Upside targets:
– 0.8095–0.8100 — short-term objective / 1.0 Fib projection
– 0.8085–0.8090 — possible consolidation / wave 4 area
– 0.8170–0.8180 — extended upside target (2.618 Fib projection)
• Break and 4H close above 0.8000 would confirm wave 3 continuation.
⚙️ Market Context
• USDCHF is recovering from oversold conditions within a broader consolidation phase.
• The recent correction likely completed a wave 2, setting the stage for renewed bullish momentum.
• Dollar demand remains supported by stable U.S. yields, while CHF underperforms amid reduced safe-haven flows.
🧭 Summary
USDCHF shows a clear potential wave 3 setup, with momentum shifting upward.
• As long as price holds above 0.7920, structure favors continuation toward 0.8095 → 0.8170.
• A confirmed breakout above 0.8000 will solidify the bullish scenario, while a return below 0.7920 invalidates it.
USD/CHF Monthly: Bearish Continuation after Liquidity Retest - TTimeframe: Monthly (M1)
Current Market Thesis:
USD/CHF has undergone a significant structural break to the downside on the monthly chart. After a deep retracement, price is now showing signs of rejection from a key bearish liquidity zone. Our analysis anticipates a strong bearish continuation, targeting fresh multi-year lows.
The Bearish Setup (The Catalyst):
Massive Bearish Structure: The dominant theme is the clear break of market structure (BOS) to the downside, indicated by the strong bearish impulse move.
Liquidity Sweep (Turtle Soup - TS) & Retracement: Price has retraced deeply into a critical zone. We've seen a potential 'Turtle Soup' (TS) developing, where price sweeps liquidity above previous swing highs (e.g., around 0.81516 and the 'CRTL + TS' line at 0.80720). This liquidity grab often precedes a strong reversal or continuation in the dominant direction.
High-Probability Sell Zone: The region around 0.80720 - 0.81516 is a confluence of:
Prior structural resistance.
Areas where smart money would likely seek to distribute (sell) to trap late buyers.
The rejection from this zone signifies the potential exhaustion of buyers and the re-assertion of bearish pressure.
The Target (The Destination): Fresh Multi-Year Lows
The anticipated bearish impulse is expected to drive price significantly lower, past current support levels:
Immediate Support: The 'XL' (e.g., around 0.79360) and 'CRTL' (0.78290) lines represent intermediate support levels that are expected to be broken decisively.
Primary Target (Long-Term): The ultimate target is the 0.77121 level and potentially much lower, as indicated by the extended dashed bearish path. This area represents fresh lows not seen in a long time, aligning with the powerful monthly bearish structure.
Plan Summary:
Entry: Look for bearish confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., daily/4H structure breaks) as price rejects the 0.80720-0.81516 zone.
Target 1 (Intermediate): Break below 0.78290.
Target 2 (Primary): The 0.77121 level and beyond, projecting new lows.
Risk Management: Place stop-loss comfortably above the highest point of the liquidity sweep/rejection zone (e.g., above 0.82000 or the 'BSL' lines) to account for potential wicks.
This is not financial advice. Trade what you see, not what I say.
Greetings,
MrYounity
USDCHF Forming Bullish ReversalUSDCHF on the 4H timeframe is currently showing signs of a bullish reversal after forming a short-term corrective flag pattern. Price action indicates that buyers have stepped in around the 0.7900 region, creating a strong base of support. The recent breakout from the minor descending channel signals renewed bullish momentum, with the pair likely to target the 0.8000 psychological level in the coming sessions if momentum sustains.
From a fundamental standpoint, the US dollar is gaining strength due to improving US economic data and hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials hinting that higher rates may persist for longer. On the other hand, the Swiss franc remains slightly weaker amid reduced demand for safe-haven assets as global risk sentiment stabilizes. This fundamental divergence favors continued upside potential for USDCHF.
If price successfully retests the breakout area and holds above 0.7930, buyers could push higher toward 0.8020 and 0.8070 next. Maintaining structure above the recent swing low would confirm a bullish continuation, aligning with the current market bias and presenting a profitable opportunity for traders positioning with the broader USD strength.
USDCHF Will Fly towards Resistance Hello Traders
In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDCHF analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart.
USDCHF – Bearish Continuation Setup#USDCHF – Bearish Continuation Setup
Current price: 0.7958
The pair is forming a bearish continuation structure after a failed rebound attempt. The chart shows signs of renewed downside momentum, consistent with the broader corrective bias in USD pairs.
🧩 Technical Overview
• The price was rejected from the 0.7980–0.8010 resistance zone after a corrective bounce.
• A descending pattern remains intact, with lower highs confirming persistent selling pressure.
• The structure suggests another potential downward swing as long as the pair stays below 0.7980.
📉 Scenario
• The market appears to be setting up for a new impulsive leg lower, resuming the prior downtrend.
• Stop-loss: above 0.7980, protecting against false breakouts.
• Downside focus:
– First support near 0.7920–0.7910
– Next zone at 0.7880 (0.786 Fib retracement)
– Extended objectives at 0.7828 and 0.7780, aligning with Fibonacci projections.
• A clean break below 0.7920 would confirm momentum continuation toward the lower levels.
⚙️ Market Context
• The USD shows mild weakness as short-term yields stabilize.
• CHF remains supported by risk-off sentiment and defensive flows.
• Until price reclaims 0.8010, the pair is expected to stay under bearish pressure.
🧭 Summary
USD/CHF maintains a bearish setup within the H4 structure.
Below 0.7980, momentum favors continued downside toward 0.7880–0.7820, with an extended target near 0.7780.
Trend bias: Bearish, unless price re-enters above 0.8010.
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
Uptrend line breakout.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds.
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USD/CHF Falls to Two-Week LowUSD/CHF Falls to Two-Week Low
This morning, the USD/CHF exchange rate slipped below 0.7944 for the first time since 1 October, as demand for safe-haven assets intensified — a trend also reflected in yesterday’s record gold price above $4,200.
The traditionally stable Swiss franc is strengthening amid rising global uncertainty and risk aversion:
→ In Japan, the upcoming prime ministerial election could significantly impact monetary policy, while France faces ongoing political turmoil.
→ In the United States, the government shutdown continues, and traders are closely watching developments around a potential trade deal with China, possibly to be discussed during an expected meeting between the two countries’ leaders.
Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart
As noted in our 25 September analysis, the Swiss franc has appreciated through 2025 amid elevated geopolitical and macroeconomic risks, forming a downward channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red).
We also highlighted:
→ the possibility of a trend reversal around the 0.7900 support area;
→ potential breakout targets (shown in blue).
Since then, the bulls have indeed made progress, driving the price up towards point A and:
→ breaking above the red channel’s upper boundary;
→ overcoming the psychological 0.8000 level.
However, that progress has not been sustained. Among the bearish signals:
→ the median line of the blue channel acted as resistance;
→ the brief move above local highs around 0.8072 resembles a bearish liquidity grab.
From the bullish perspective, USD/CHF has now retreated into a zone that could act as support:
→ the upper boundary of the red channel;
→ the lower boundary of the blue channel.
The arrow highlights signs of a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting that buyers may be using these support zones to stage a rebound within the blue channel. The 0.8000 psychological mark could serve as the first key test of their resolve.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Setupsfx_ | USDCHF: A Big Major Swing Sell In Making 760+ Pips The USDCHF pair has dropped significantly since our last update. We anticipate another drop before price may reverse. DXY is also dropping and may continue to decline. There’s a major swing target that will take time to complete successfully. Use risk management according to your own risk tolerance.
Thank you for your continued support!
Team Setupsfx_
USD/CHF Day Trade Idea: Hull MA Break Signals Sellers’ Control💵 USD/CHF "THE SWISS" – Forex Market Profit Pathway Setup (Day Trade)
📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Bias
The Hull Moving Average (HMA) was recently breached by sellers, confirming the downtrend momentum.
🔑 Entry Approach (Layering Style)
Instead of a single entry, I’m applying a layered sell-limit strategy:
Sell Limit Layers: 0.79200 | 0.79000 | 0.78800 | 0.78650
(you can adjust/add more layers based on your own trade management)
🛑 Stop Loss Idea
My protective SL: 0.79500
👉 Note: This is my preferred stop level, but you can always customize risk based on your comfort. Trade at your own discretion.
🎯 Target Zone
Key support + oversold conditions + potential liquidity trap → Exit zone around 0.78000.
👉 Again, this is my take-profit preference — but you can scale out or close earlier if you catch profits.
📌 Key Notes for Traders
⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is my trading idea, not financial advice. Everyone’s money-management style is unique.
✅ The setup is designed for day trade positioning with controlled risk.
💡 Use flexible TP/SL rules — your risk tolerance = your decision.
🔗 Related Pairs to Watch
FX:EURUSD → Often inversely correlated with USD/CHF (when EUR rises, USD/CHF tends to fall).
FX:USDJPY → Strong USD pairs can give clues about broader USD strength/weakness.
OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) → A safe-haven asset like CHF; if Gold gains, CHF can strengthen too.
TVC:DXY (Dollar Index) → Always a must-watch for confirming USD direction.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#USDCHF #Forex #DayTrading #HullMovingAverage #SwingTrade #ForexSignals #TradingPlan #DXY #GoldCorrelation #ThiefStyle






















