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Usdchfanalysis

USD/CHF Bullish Break-and-Retest Setup – 2H Timeframe1. Overall Trend Price had been in a downtrend but recently reversed into a rising channel (highlighted in pink). The price broke below the lower trendline of the channel, indicating a potential pullback or temporary correction. 2. Chart Pattern & Idea After breaking the ascending channel, the chart suggests a potential bullish continuation (a breakout-retest strategy). The drawn pattern shows a pullback to a support zone (highlighted in blue box) where price may bounce. 🟦 Trade Setup Component Value Comment Entry Point 0.79596 Current price, just above support zone Stop Loss 0.79180 Below key support area Target Point 0.80550 At prior resistance / measured move ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio Risk: ~41 pips (0.79596 - 0.79180) Reward: ~95 pips (0.80550 - 0.79596) R:R Ratio: ~2.3:1 — favorable 📌 Key Technical Observations Support Zone (Buy Area) Between 0.79209 and 0.79550, this is a demand zone where price is expected to bounce. Marked by a consolidation area and minor structure support. Target Area 0.80550 aligns with a previous high and resistance level. Also matches a measured move of the previous channel height. Bullish Confirmation Price might need to form a higher low or bullish candlestick pattern inside the support zone to validate entry. ⚠️ Potential Risks If price breaks and closes below 0.79180, it invalidates the bullish thesis. Market may retest lower support levels or re-enter the downtrend. USD/CHF is also impacted by USD strength/weakness and Swiss Franc safe-haven flows (watch news). 📈 Summary: Trade Plan Bias: Bullish Entry: Buy around 0.79596 (or on bullish confirmation within support zone) Stop Loss: 0.79180 Take Profit: 0.80550 Risk-Reward: Good (2.3:1)
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
4
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank DecisionUSD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank Decision Today, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to keep its interest rate unchanged at zero, in line with analysts’ expectations. Notably: → The SNB’s interest rate remains arguably the lowest among central banks of developed economies; → According to official statements, the main obstacle to Swiss economic growth is Trump’s tariffs. Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart In 2025, the Swiss franc strengthened — which is unsurprising given the high demand for safe‑haven assets (as evidenced by gold’s record high) amid rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. At the same time, lower highs and lows have allowed the construction of a descending channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red). However, a closer look at recent price dynamics suggests there are grounds to believe that the downtrend may be coming to an end. Why? Firstly, the price is holding in the upper half of the channel, indicating insufficient selling pressure. Secondly, consider the strength of the 0.7900 support level. In July, it prevented the market from falling further after the breach of the 0.8080 support level, and it continues to hold in September — note the price behaviour indicated by the arrow: → A bearish breakout attempt failed. After a brief dip below 0.7900, the price confidently returned above this level. → The median of the descending channel acted as support, and the chart shows lows that exhibit signs of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. This suggests that: → The current red channel may be broken in the near term, potentially driven by factors supporting USD strength; → There may be a bullish attempt to establish a rally, with targets indicated in blue. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF – Bearish Channel Rejection | Short Setup Towards 0.7800 Pair & Timeframe Pair: USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) Timeframe: 4H (4-hour chart) 2. Pattern Falling Channel: Price has been trending downwards inside a descending channel (highlighted in blue). Recently, price bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a short-term bullish retracement. 3. Key Levels Entry Zone (Sell Area): Around 0.79727 – 0.80080 (gray + green box). This is a supply zone / resistance area where sellers might step in. Stop Loss: Just above 0.80080 (green zone suggests a safe stop loss). Take Profit: Around 0.78021 (bottom of the channel, marked with blue line). 4. Trade Idea This looks like a sell setup: Expectation is price will move slightly higher into the resistance box. Then reverse back down, continuing the main bearish trend toward the lower channel boundary. 5. Risk-Reward Risk: Small (green zone is tight, just above resistance). Reward: Large (target is far below near 0.7800). This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, which is attractive for swing traders. 6. Confirmation The setup assumes rejection from the resistance zone. Confirmation might come from bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing) on the 4H chart before entering short. ✅ Summary: This is a bearish continuation setup inside a descending channel. The plan is to sell around 0.797–0.801 zone with a stop loss above 0.801 and target near 0.7800. Good R:R ratio — but entry should wait for rejection/confirmation.
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 The pair is coiling around 0.7910, right under a cluster of juicy 1H Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and stacked resistance. Momentum is building—here’s the play: 🟢 Bullish Path Strong push above 0.7926 → 0.7933 → 0.7944 could ignite a run toward 0.7948/0.7950+. A clean breakout here would signal fresh upside fuel. 🔴 Bearish Trap Sharp rejection from the 1H resistance zone? Watch for a slide back to 0.7900 and the liquidity pocket near 0.7888. 🎯 Key Focus Lower-timeframe confirmation around that first resistance band. Breakers & order-block reactions will be the tell for the next directional wave. ⚡️ Patience pays—wait for the candle close and let the market show its hand. What’s your bias: Breakout 🚀 or Fade 🔻? Greetings, MrYounity
Long
by MrYounity
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀 🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault, This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time. 📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan) Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨) Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱: 0.79000 0.79300 0.79500 0.79700 0.80000 (add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯) 💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000 Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500 ⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style. 🎯 Target Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000 Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨) 🔔 Important Reminder ✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it. ✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style. ✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint. 💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵. Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF Bulls Eye 0.8060 as Support Holds FirmUSDCHF has bounced strongly from the 0.7920 support zone, with buyers showing commitment to defend this base. The pair is building momentum for a push toward the 0.7990 and 0.8060 levels as dollar strength combines with fading CHF demand. With the Swiss franc losing some safe-haven appeal and the Fed remaining cautious but still tighter than the SNB, the path of least resistance favors further upside. Current Bias Bullish – Momentum is shifting upward after defending 0.7920 support. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Slower pace of cuts than initially expected keeps USD relatively firm. Swiss National Bank (SNB): Maintains accommodative stance with minimal inflation pressure, weighing on CHF. Risk Sentiment: Reduced safe-haven demand for CHF as equities stabilize and US yields remain attractive. Macro Context Interest rates: Fed is more hawkish relative to SNB, supporting USDCHF upside. Economic growth: US remains resilient, while Swiss growth is subdued. Commodity flows: Limited direct impact, but safe-haven demand dynamics remain key. Geopolitical themes: CHF lags as safe-haven flows rotate into gold and USD instead. Primary Risk to the Trend A renewed surge in global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical shocks or equity sell-offs) could reignite CHF strength, capping USDCHF upside. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed guidance – main drivers for USD momentum. SNB policy commentary – could impact if there’s any surprise tightening language. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF tends to be a lagger to broader USD moves (following EURUSD and DXY). However, it can lead CHF crosses such as EURCHF and CADCHF, particularly when safe-haven flows dominate. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7920, 0.7910 Resistance Levels: 0.7990, 0.8060 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7910 (below key support zone) Take Profit (TP): 0.8060 (major resistance target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF is shaping up for a bullish continuation as long as the 0.7920 base holds. The bias is bullish, with SL set at 0.7910 and TP at 0.8060. Fed-SNB policy divergence and softer CHF safe-haven flows keep momentum tilted higher, but the key risk is a sudden return of global risk-off sentiment. Watch US inflation and Fed commentary as the deciding catalysts for a push toward the 0.8060 resistance zone.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead. Current Bias Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts. Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions. Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable. Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted. Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments. Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD. Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations. SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918 Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
USDCHF - Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USD/CHF: Swiss Slide to 0.79795 Ahead? FX:USDCHF is showing signs of a bearish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone at the red box around 0.8065 near a key resistance level. The target at 0.79795 aligns with the next support zone, offering a clear downside potential. Set a stop loss at 0.81 on a close above to manage risk effectively. A break below 0.805 with increasing volume could confirm this slide, driven by USD weakness and CHF strength. Watch Swiss economic data and global risk sentiment as catalysts. Ready for this move? Do you see this USD/CHF slide coming? Share your view! #USDCHF #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CurrencyPairs #DayTrading #MarketSignals
Short
by Master_Hunter
USDCHF - GET READY TO KILL THE MARKETTeam, my track record last 3 months almost impossible to achieve on USDCHF results.. here is the plan for you to trade on USDCHF in 3 houses 30 mins before release → Market often drifts sideways, thinner liquidity, algos waiting. At release → Massive whipsaws (first move often a fake-out). 15–30 mins after → Real direction emerges once the dust settles. Buy small now at 0.8030 - very small volume, make sure buy at sweep 0.8000-7985 ranges MAKE SURE STOP LOSS FIRST AT 0.7920 AVOID STOP LOSS, once it ride up above 8030- bring stop loss toward 0.7960 REMEMBER to hold tight until next week, I want to see above 0.8055-60 resistance - take 50%-70% and bring stop loss to BE, Next target at 0.8078-0.8085 and possible heading toward 0.8100 PLAN CAREFULLY AND LETS BUILT THE WEALTH TOGETHER. IMPORTANT NOTE: WORK OUT YOUR RISK, how much are you you risking.. that the most important concept. NOW, LETS GO AND MAKE MILLIONS.
Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
USDCHF Long Selling IdeaHello Traders In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Short
by ForexMasters2000
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh Upside USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward 0.8100. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8020 zone. - There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair declined from the 0.8075 barrier and tested the 0.7985 zone. The US Dollar traded as low as 0.7983 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc. The pair climbed above 0.8020 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8076 swing high to the 0.7983 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000. The bulls are now facing hurdles near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.8055. The next major area of interest could be 0.8075. The main sell region could be near 0.8100. If there is a clear break above 0.8100 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8150. If there is another decline, the pair might test the 50-hour simple moving average at 0.8020. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near 0.8000. A downside break below 0.8000 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is 0.7880. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7840 in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Bearish Bat Pattern Forms – USDCHF Looks Ready to DropToday, I want to review USDCHF ( OANDA:USDCHF ) and lay out the fundamental and technical reasons supporting a Short position bias. 1-Fed policy expectations are the main focus — attention is on the Jackson Hole symposium and signals about the Fed’s path; this has tilted market pricing toward a less hawkish Fed. 2-Dovish bets weigh on the USD — markets are pricing in a softer Fed outlook (rate-cut expectations/pauses), which weakens the dollar. 3-CHF supported by safe-haven flows — amid global uncertainty, the Swiss franc tends to attract demand; SNB’s stance also matters for medium-term flows. Fundamental takeaway: weaker USD (on Fed expectations) + safe-haven CHF demand = a reinforced bearish case for USDCHF in the short term. ----------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the USDCHF chart on the 4-hour time frame . USDCHF is trading in the Resistance zone(0.819 CHF-0.804 CHF) and near the Resistance line . It also looks like USDCHF could continue its downtrend with the help of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern . I expect USDCHF to decline at least to the Support lines . Second Target: Support zone(0.783 CHF-0.767 CHF) Note: Stop Loss(SL): 0.818 CHF Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. U.S Dollar/Swiss Franc Analysis (USDCHF), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
12
USDCHF longs due to better than expected eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
Long
by NDOBObanks