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Usdchfforecast

USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead. Current Bias Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts. Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions. Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable. Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted. Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments. Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD. Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations. SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918 Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
USD/CHF: Swiss Slide to 0.79795 Ahead? FX:USDCHF is showing signs of a bearish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone at the red box around 0.8065 near a key resistance level. The target at 0.79795 aligns with the next support zone, offering a clear downside potential. Set a stop loss at 0.81 on a close above to manage risk effectively. A break below 0.805 with increasing volume could confirm this slide, driven by USD weakness and CHF strength. Watch Swiss economic data and global risk sentiment as catalysts. Ready for this move? Do you see this USD/CHF slide coming? Share your view! #USDCHF #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CurrencyPairs #DayTrading #MarketSignals
Short
by Master_Hunter
USDCHF - GET READY TO KILL THE MARKETTeam, my track record last 3 months almost impossible to achieve on USDCHF results.. here is the plan for you to trade on USDCHF in 3 houses 30 mins before release → Market often drifts sideways, thinner liquidity, algos waiting. At release → Massive whipsaws (first move often a fake-out). 15–30 mins after → Real direction emerges once the dust settles. Buy small now at 0.8030 - very small volume, make sure buy at sweep 0.8000-7985 ranges MAKE SURE STOP LOSS FIRST AT 0.7920 AVOID STOP LOSS, once it ride up above 8030- bring stop loss toward 0.7960 REMEMBER to hold tight until next week, I want to see above 0.8055-60 resistance - take 50%-70% and bring stop loss to BE, Next target at 0.8078-0.8085 and possible heading toward 0.8100 PLAN CAREFULLY AND LETS BUILT THE WEALTH TOGETHER. IMPORTANT NOTE: WORK OUT YOUR RISK, how much are you you risking.. that the most important concept. NOW, LETS GO AND MAKE MILLIONS.
Long
by ActiveTraderRoom
USD/CHF Swing Trade Plan — Breakout Setup + Layered Entries📊 USD/CHF "SWISSY" | Swing/Day Trade + Market Sentiment Report 🕶️💵 Date: September 2, 2025 (🟢 +0.56% daily change) 📈 Key Market Metrics 52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202 Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8061 1-Month Change: +0.21% 12-Month Change: +5.24% 😰 Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment) Current Value: 64/100 (Greed 😊) Driven by rate cut hopes + strong equity performance 1-Year Average: 49 (Neutral) Greed Signals: Stocks outperform bonds, low volatility, bullish options 🧠 Trader Positioning Retail Traders: 55% Long 📈 | 45% Short 📉 Institutions: 60% Long 🏦 | 40% Short 💼 ➡️ Overall sentiment: Moderately bullish, with Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD, but CHF safe-haven flows capping upside. 🏦 Macro & Fundamental Drivers US Dollar (USD): Fed rate cut probability: 90% (Sept) 🕊️ CPI: 2.7% (above 2% target) Labor market cooling (weak NFPs) Tariff/political risks pressuring USD Swiss Franc (CHF): SNB policy rate: 0.0% (room for negatives) CPI: 0.2% (ultra-low, no hawkish push) CHF demand supported by Ukraine-Russia tensions CHF up +5.24% YoY vs USD 🛠️ Trade Plan (Thief Strategy) 📌 Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Setup) 📌 Entry Trigger: Breakout above 0.80700 ⚡ (Set TradingView alert to catch breakout fast!) Layered Entry (Thief Method): Limit Buy Orders at: 0.80300 | 0.80400 | 0.80500 | 0.80600 Add more limit layers as per your risk appetite ✅ Always confirm breakout (0.80700) before layering in Stop Loss (Thief SL): Protective SL @ 0.80000 (after breakout confirm) Adjust based on your risk & strategy Take Profit 🎯: Target @ 0.81800 ⚡ Expect resistance + overbought signals near this zone Reminder: Secure profits quick — “escape with the bag” before reversal 🏃‍♂️💨 🎯 Market Outlook Bullish Score: 65/100 🐂 Bearish Score: 35/100 🐻 ➡️ Bias is short-term bullish on Fed dovish stance, but upside capped by CHF safe-haven demand. ⚠️ Risks to Watch Fed Decision (Sept 17) US NFP Data (Upcoming) Swiss CPI (Sept 4) Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia) 💡 Quick Summary USD/CHF shows bullish momentum with breakout potential above 0.80700. Thief strategy layering provides multiple low-risk entries. Fundamentals support USD strength short term, but CHF safe-haven demand could slow gains. Trade with alerts, protect capital, and execute layered entries wisely. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch 💲 FX:EURUSD | FX:GBPUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutTrading #ForexStrategy #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #MarketSentiment
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF longs due to better than expected eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
Long
by NDOBObanks
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀 🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault, This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time. 📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan) Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨) Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱: 0.79000 0.79300 0.79500 0.79700 0.80000 (add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯) 💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000 Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500 ⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style. 🎯 Target Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000 Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨) 🔔 Important Reminder ✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it. ✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style. ✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint. 💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵. Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF - Looking To Buy Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - We have a clean bullish trend with the price creating a series of higher highs, higher lows structure. This strong bullish momentum is followed by a pullback. No opposite signs. Until the two Fibonacci support zones hold I expect the price to move higher further. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Long
by VladimirRibakov
Liquidity Grab Complete? Why USDCHF Could Be Heading South📉 USDCHF remains firmly in a downtrend on both the weekly (1W) and daily (1D) timeframes. The recent bullish retracement is now confronting a critical resistance zone 🔒 — defined by a descending trendline and a daily order block between 0.8150–0.8200. 🧱 Price action at this level shows clear signs of rejection, aligning with a bear flag formation, which could pave the way for continued downside toward the 0.7800–0.7600 region. 📊 Fundamentally, the Swiss Franc (CHF) continues to gain strength, supported by Switzerland’s stable economic outlook and ongoing safe-haven demand. Meanwhile, the US Dollar faces headwinds from dovish Fed expectations and rising political uncertainty in the US 🇺🇸. 🔮 From a Wyckoff/ICT perspective, this upward move appears to be a liquidity grab into a premium zone, with smart money likely distributing positions before initiating a new markdown phase. A sell bias is favored below 0.8200, with downside targets set at 0.8000 and beyond. 📅 Keep a close eye on this week’s US NFP and Swiss CPI releases — both could inject fresh volatility into the pair.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Consolidates GainsMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Consolidates Gains USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward the 0.8120 resistance. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8040 resistance zone. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.7990 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from the 0.7910 support. The US Dollar climbed above the 0.8000 resistance zone against the Swiss Franc. The bulls were able to pump the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8040. A high was formed at 0.8079 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7911 swing low to the 0.8079 high. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.7990. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 0.8080. The main resistance is now near 0.8120. If there is a clear break above the 0.8120 resistance zone and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8200. If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 0.7990 level. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near the 0.7950 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level. The next key support is near 0.7910. A downside break below 0.7910 might spark bearish moves. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move towards the 0.7850 level in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Is USDCHF Ready to Drop? Short Setup Explained📉 USDCHF Trade Idea Breakdown Taking a close look at USDCHF, we’re currently in a clear downtrend 🔻. Price is under pressure on the higher timeframes, but on the lower timeframes (15m & 30m), we’re seeing a pullback 🌀. What I’m watching for now is a rejection at resistance 🔄 followed by a bearish break in market structure ⛔️. If that confirms, I’ll be looking to take a short entry with targets set at the two previous lows marked out in the video 🎯📉. Stop loss placement would be just above the recent swing high for risk management 🛑. As always — this is not financial advice ⚠️.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
USDCHF – Reversal Setup Building Above 0.79 SupportUSDCHF has broken out of its steep downward channel and is now forming a potential bullish reversal base above the key support zone at 0.7940–0.7870. Price action suggests momentum could be shifting in favor of the bulls, with upside targets sitting at 0.8100 (Fibonacci 38.2%) and 0.8210 (previous resistance and 61.8% retracement). 🔍 Technical Structure: Clean descending channel now broken. Price holding above May–June lows, forming a potential higher low. First target: 0.8100 zone. Final target: 0.8210 resistance. Stop: Below 0.7870 structure low. 🧠 Fundamentals: USD Outlook: Bullish tilt as Fed members push back against early cuts. Markets eye July 11 CPI, which could confirm inflation stickiness and reinforce USD strength. CHF Outlook: Weak bias, as the SNB has turned more dovish. With safe-haven demand easing and growth outlook softening, CHF is losing favor across the board. Global sentiment: Risk appetite improving as geopolitical concerns (e.g., Strait of Hormuz, Iran) temporarily ease—removing upward pressure on CHF. ⚠️ Risk Factors: A surprise drop in U.S. CPI this week could shift USDCHF sharply lower. Renewed geopolitical tensions may revive CHF demand suddenly. Fed speak and yields must remain supportive for this structure to play out. 🔁 Asset Dynamics: USDCHF tends to lag behind DXY and USDJPY. Watch those pairs for confirmation. It can also follow moves in US10Y yields and react inversely to Gold volatility (safe-haven flow shifts). ✅ Trade Bias: Bullish TP1: 0.8100 TP2: 0.8210 SL: Below 0.7870 Event to Watch: 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI – July 11 📌 If CPI confirms sticky inflation, USDCHF could rally toward the upper retracement zones quickly. Watch for confirmation candles near breakout.
Long
by ultreosforex
10
#USDCHF: Will USD Breakthrough The Strong Bearish Downtrend? The USDCHF currency pair has experienced significant volatility due to the ongoing trade dispute between the United States and China, which has led to a substantial decline in the DXY index. Consequently, CHF and JPY have emerged as the most stable currencies in the market. Despite the USDCHF currency pair reversing its bullish trend, we anticipate a potential reversal back to a bearish position. We believe this reversal may be a temporary trap, and the currency pair is likely to regain its bullish position in the future. There are two potential areas where the USDCHF currency pair could reverse from its current trend. The first area is relatively early, and if the USDCHF currency pair crosses a specific region, we may have a second safe option that could provide greater stability. We extend our best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly appreciated. If you wish to contribute, here are several ways you can assist us: - Like our ideas - Comment on our ideas - Share our ideas Team Setupsfx_🚀❤️
Short
by Setupsfx_
45
#USDCHF: 878+ PIPS Swing Buy In Making! Good Luck! Dear Traders, OANDA:USDCHF Price has been dropping since we had a change of character, there are many factors that are helping in USDCHF to drop. The mainly the first reason is CHF dominance in the market, CHF has been bullish ever since Gold continued the bullish trend, CHF, AUD and GOLD all of these three are positively correlated. Other fundamental reason is the blooming fear of recession in the US Market, on Friday we saw indices and stocks drop record high similarly to the first announcement of covid lockdown. USD index saw sharp drop due to this and it is likely that price will continue to do that on dxy index.
Long
by Setupsfx_
18