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Is This an Early Reversal Signal on USD/CHF This Week? (The full story: buyer strength forming above the Weekly Low) NFA – Educational purpose only USD/CHF has been trading inside a weekly range, and price has just reacted sharply from the Weekly Low at 0.78290 — an area where buyers often step in. This reaction has created the first meaningful signs of a potential shift inside the broader range. Let’s walk through the full structure. 1️⃣ Weekly Context — Range + Strong Reaction at 0.78290 The Weekly timeframe is still inside a large consolidation zone, with key boundaries: • Weekly Low: 0.78290 • Weekly Range Resistance / LH: 0.81714 Price tapped the Weekly Low and bounced immediately — a typical behavior when buyers defend the bottom of a range. 2️⃣ Daily: First Structural Sign of Strength Following the bounce from 0.78290, the Daily chart printed: • A Higher Low (HL) • A Higher High (HH) This doesn’t confirm a full trend reversal yet, but it does show that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are gaining control inside the weekly range. This is often how early shifts begin. 3️⃣ 1H: Potential Origin of the Next Daily HL The 1H chart shows the clearest short-term shift: • A clean bullish leg • A MSS to the upside • A fresh FVG created during expansion • Buyers defending demand on every dip This type of 1H structure is exactly what often forms the next Daily HL during the early stages of a larger shift. If buyers continue holding this zone through the week, the Daily may confirm another wave upward. 4️⃣ Key Zones to Watch This Week If the bullish structure continues: • 0.81244 → next Daily target • 0.81714 → Weekly Range Resistance These are the natural magnet zones if buyers maintain control. ⸻ 5️⃣ The Bigger Story We are not looking at a confirmed macro reversal yet. But we are seeing: • Weekly = range • Daily = HL → HH above the Weekly Low • 1H = potential foundation of the next Daily HL This is how early reversals typically begin inside higher-timeframe ranges. A full reversal requires a Weekly close above 0.81714 — but for now, internal structure is clearly shifting upward. ⸻ ⭐ Educational Purpose Only This idea is shared to provide clarity and to show my personal vision of the current structure. If this analysis helped you or aligned with your view, I’d appreciate your support: 👍 Like 💬 Comment ⭐ Follow 🔄 Share Your engagement motivates me to keep providing more structured and educational analysis to the community.
Long
by Price-Action-Art
USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening – Will There Be a Wave 5 or a Crash to 0.75? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bearish scenario (main): Price holds below ~0.8080 → wave 5 develops → possible decline to ~0.7700–0.7500. Consolidation: Price may remain stuck in the ~0.7900–0.8080 range, awaiting further signal. Alternative bullish scenario: Breakout and fixation above ~0.8080 → corrective rise to ~0.8350 or higher. ✅ Conclusion USD/CHF on the weekly timeframe looks aggressively bearish, but not without the possibility of an unexpected rebound. The key to further direction is a reaction to the ~0.8080 and ~0.7900 levels. If the price consolidates below 0.8080, there's a high probability of a new downward wave. A breakout above this level could provide a chance for a correction or reversal.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. Uptrend line breakout. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact. Current Bias Bullish – momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102. Key Fundamental Drivers USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand. CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening. Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further. Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum. Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence. Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone. Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7969 0.7909 Resistance Levels: 0.8033 0.8102 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909 Take Profit (TP): 0.8102 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF possible bullish for 0.8165-70#usdchf made extreme low at 0.7873 on 1st July. After one and half month on 16th September price broker and closed below that support level to attract breakout sellers. 17th September formed a daily key reversal bar i.e. made a new low and closed off the high which is early and aggressive indication for trend reversal. 18th September daily insurance bar confirmed that was a fake breakout to trap sellers. first market caught stop losses of longer who placed their stop loss 0.7873. Better to wait for correction to test daily demand zone i.e. 0.7968-46 for low risk & high reward trade setup. stop loss below 0.7920. Target might be 0.8165 but before this level there are some resistance levels before target price i.e. 0.8095, 0.8120 & 0.8165.
Long
by PyramidFx
USD/CHF Swing Trade Plan — Breakout Setup + Layered Entries📊 USD/CHF "SWISSY" | Swing/Day Trade + Market Sentiment Report 🕶️💵 Date: September 2, 2025 (🟢 +0.56% daily change) 📈 Key Market Metrics 52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202 Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8061 1-Month Change: +0.21% 12-Month Change: +5.24% 😰 Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment) Current Value: 64/100 (Greed 😊) Driven by rate cut hopes + strong equity performance 1-Year Average: 49 (Neutral) Greed Signals: Stocks outperform bonds, low volatility, bullish options 🧠 Trader Positioning Retail Traders: 55% Long 📈 | 45% Short 📉 Institutions: 60% Long 🏦 | 40% Short 💼 ➡️ Overall sentiment: Moderately bullish, with Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD, but CHF safe-haven flows capping upside. 🏦 Macro & Fundamental Drivers US Dollar (USD): Fed rate cut probability: 90% (Sept) 🕊️ CPI: 2.7% (above 2% target) Labor market cooling (weak NFPs) Tariff/political risks pressuring USD Swiss Franc (CHF): SNB policy rate: 0.0% (room for negatives) CPI: 0.2% (ultra-low, no hawkish push) CHF demand supported by Ukraine-Russia tensions CHF up +5.24% YoY vs USD 🛠️ Trade Plan (Thief Strategy) 📌 Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Setup) 📌 Entry Trigger: Breakout above 0.80700 ⚡ (Set TradingView alert to catch breakout fast!) Layered Entry (Thief Method): Limit Buy Orders at: 0.80300 | 0.80400 | 0.80500 | 0.80600 Add more limit layers as per your risk appetite ✅ Always confirm breakout (0.80700) before layering in Stop Loss (Thief SL): Protective SL @ 0.80000 (after breakout confirm) Adjust based on your risk & strategy Take Profit 🎯: Target @ 0.81800 ⚡ Expect resistance + overbought signals near this zone Reminder: Secure profits quick — “escape with the bag” before reversal 🏃‍♂️💨 🎯 Market Outlook Bullish Score: 65/100 🐂 Bearish Score: 35/100 🐻 ➡️ Bias is short-term bullish on Fed dovish stance, but upside capped by CHF safe-haven demand. ⚠️ Risks to Watch Fed Decision (Sept 17) US NFP Data (Upcoming) Swiss CPI (Sept 4) Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia) 💡 Quick Summary USD/CHF shows bullish momentum with breakout potential above 0.80700. Thief strategy layering provides multiple low-risk entries. Fundamentals support USD strength short term, but CHF safe-haven demand could slow gains. Trade with alerts, protect capital, and execute layered entries wisely. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch 💲 FX:EURUSD | FX:GBPUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutTrading #ForexStrategy #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #MarketSentiment
Long
by The-Thief
USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup – High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend Price was in a strong uptrend first. Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend. 2. Breakout Zone Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected. The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area. 3. Entry Point Entry point is around 0.79798. This is where a buy trade is planned. 4. Stop Loss (Risk Control) Stop loss is between 0.79764 – 0.79619. If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses. 5. Target Point (Take Profit) Target is around 0.80334. This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy). 6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio. Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens. --- 📊 Summary Trade Type: Buy Setup Entry: ~0.79798 Stop Loss: Below 0.79619 Take Profit: ~0.80334 Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀 🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault, This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time. 📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan) Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨) Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱: 0.79000 0.79300 0.79500 0.79700 0.80000 (add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯) 💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000 Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500 ⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style. 🎯 Target Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000 Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨) 🔔 Important Reminder ✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it. ✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style. ✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint. 💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵. Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF Bulls Eye 0.8060 as Support Holds FirmUSDCHF has bounced strongly from the 0.7920 support zone, with buyers showing commitment to defend this base. The pair is building momentum for a push toward the 0.7990 and 0.8060 levels as dollar strength combines with fading CHF demand. With the Swiss franc losing some safe-haven appeal and the Fed remaining cautious but still tighter than the SNB, the path of least resistance favors further upside. Current Bias Bullish – Momentum is shifting upward after defending 0.7920 support. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Slower pace of cuts than initially expected keeps USD relatively firm. Swiss National Bank (SNB): Maintains accommodative stance with minimal inflation pressure, weighing on CHF. Risk Sentiment: Reduced safe-haven demand for CHF as equities stabilize and US yields remain attractive. Macro Context Interest rates: Fed is more hawkish relative to SNB, supporting USDCHF upside. Economic growth: US remains resilient, while Swiss growth is subdued. Commodity flows: Limited direct impact, but safe-haven demand dynamics remain key. Geopolitical themes: CHF lags as safe-haven flows rotate into gold and USD instead. Primary Risk to the Trend A renewed surge in global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical shocks or equity sell-offs) could reignite CHF strength, capping USDCHF upside. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed guidance – main drivers for USD momentum. SNB policy commentary – could impact if there’s any surprise tightening language. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF tends to be a lagger to broader USD moves (following EURUSD and DXY). However, it can lead CHF crosses such as EURCHF and CADCHF, particularly when safe-haven flows dominate. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7920, 0.7910 Resistance Levels: 0.7990, 0.8060 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7910 (below key support zone) Take Profit (TP): 0.8060 (major resistance target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF is shaping up for a bullish continuation as long as the 0.7920 base holds. The bias is bullish, with SL set at 0.7910 and TP at 0.8060. Fed-SNB policy divergence and softer CHF safe-haven flows keep momentum tilted higher, but the key risk is a sudden return of global risk-off sentiment. Watch US inflation and Fed commentary as the deciding catalysts for a push toward the 0.8060 resistance zone.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead. Current Bias Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts. Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions. Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable. Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted. Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments. Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD. Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations. SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918 Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
USDCHF - Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USD/CHF: Swiss Slide to 0.79795 Ahead? FX:USDCHF is showing signs of a bearish move on the 4-hour chart , with an entry zone at the red box around 0.8065 near a key resistance level. The target at 0.79795 aligns with the next support zone, offering a clear downside potential. Set a stop loss at 0.81 on a close above to manage risk effectively. A break below 0.805 with increasing volume could confirm this slide, driven by USD weakness and CHF strength. Watch Swiss economic data and global risk sentiment as catalysts. Ready for this move? Do you see this USD/CHF slide coming? Share your view! #USDCHF #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CurrencyPairs #DayTrading #MarketSignals
Short
by Master_Hunter