USDCHFUSDCHF
- Bearish Channel as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves
- Fibonacci Level - 38.20% / 50.00%
Usdchfforecast
USD/CHF Price Outlook โ Trade Setup๐ Technical Structure
OANDA:USDCHF USD/CHF remains under downside pressure after a sharp selloff from the recent highs. Price rebounded briefly from the 0.7888โ0.7880 support zone but failed to sustain upside momentum, and is now stalling beneath the 0.7925โ0.7936 resistance zone.
The broader structure still points to a bearish continuation bias. The recent recovery appears corrective in nature, forming a lower high beneath resistance. As long as price remains capped below the resistance zone, the pair is vulnerable to renewed selling pressure toward the lower support area.
๐ฏ Trade Setup (Bearish Bias)
Entry Zone: 0.7925 โ 0.7936
Stop Loss: 0.7940
Take Profit 1: 0.7888
Take Profit 2: 0.7880
RiskโReward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.41
๐ Invalidation
A sustained break and close above 0.7940 would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a deeper upside recovery.
๐ Macro Background
The short-term macro backdrop remains unfavourable for USD/CHF. The US Dollar continues to weaken amid uncertainty surrounding President Trumpโs upcoming announcement of the next Federal Reserve Chairman, raising concerns that future Fed leadership may lean toward a more politically accommodative policy stance.
Additionally, the Swiss Franc has found relative support after Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel warned that negative inflation prints are possible this year, while downplaying the likelihood of a return to negative interest rates. This has reinforced CHFโs defensive appeal in the near term.
Although the US Dollar briefly regained ground after the EUโUS Greenland dispute was de-escalated and tariff threats were rolled back, broader sentiment toward the Greenback remains fragile, keeping downside risks dominant for USD/CHF.
๐ Key Technical Levels
Resistance Zone: 0.7925 โ 0.7936
Support Zone: 0.7888 โ 0.7880
Bearish Invalidation: Above 0.7940
๐ Trade Summary
USD/CHF is trading beneath a key resistance zone after a corrective rebound from support. As long as price remains capped below 0.7936, the bias favours a sell-on-rallies approach, targeting a renewed move lower toward the 0.7900โ0.7888 support region.
โ ๏ธ Disclaimer
This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Financial markets involve risk, and traders should manage positions according to their own risk tolerance.
USDCHFUSDCHF
- Symmetrical Triangle as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame and Long Time Frame
- Break of Structure
- Fair Value Gap
- Consolidation Phase
- Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves
The franc strengthens its position: pressure on the dollarAfter recent strengthening, USDCHF has shifted into a declining phase. The chart shows that upward impulses are losing momentum, while the movement is gradually transitioning into a bearish structure. Sellers are beginning to dominate, limiting growth attempts and pushing the price lower.
Fundamental factors add pressure to the pair. Dollar weakness is linked to expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy and the decline of the DXY index, which is losing ground amid weak U.S. economic data. At the same time, the Swiss franc gains support as a safe-haven asset, especially under conditions of geopolitical uncertainty.
An additional signal favoring the downside comes from the technical picture: the breakdown of key levels and the price holding within a bearish channel confirm seller interest.
Thus, USDCHF remains under pressure, and the marketโs next steps will determine whether the current decline develops into a sustained downtrend.
A compressed spring on the chart: readiness for a breakoutOn the four-hour chart, USDCHF is forming a โsymmetrical triangleโ pattern. After a period of consolidation, the price is gradually narrowing its range, indicating energy accumulation ahead of a new impulse.
The triangle is a model of uncertainty, but its completion often leads to a strong move. In the current structure, it is evident that buyers are holding the asset above key levels, which increases the probability of an upward breakout.
Trading tactics for this formation are usually based on waiting for a breakout of the triangleโs boundaries. A close above the upper line opens the scenario for continued growth, while a break below suggests a decline. However, given the overall bias toward dollar strength, the upward breakout remains the priority scenario.
Thus, USDCHF is in a phase of preparation for an impulse, and the upcoming breakout of the triangle will be the key signal for opening positions.
USDCHFUSDCHF
- Bearish Channel as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Break of Structure
- RSI - Divergence
- Order Block
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Wave
Is This an Early Reversal Signal on USD/CHF This Week?
(The full story: buyer strength forming above the Weekly Low)
NFA โ Educational purpose only
USD/CHF has been trading inside a weekly range, and price has just reacted sharply from the Weekly Low at 0.78290 โ an area where buyers often step in.
This reaction has created the first meaningful signs of a potential shift inside the broader range.
Letโs walk through the full structure.
1๏ธโฃ Weekly Context โ Range + Strong Reaction at 0.78290
The Weekly timeframe is still inside a large consolidation zone, with key boundaries:
โข Weekly Low: 0.78290
โข Weekly Range Resistance / LH: 0.81714
Price tapped the Weekly Low and bounced immediately โ a typical behavior when buyers defend the bottom of a range.
2๏ธโฃ Daily: First Structural Sign of Strength
Following the bounce from 0.78290, the Daily chart printed:
โข A Higher Low (HL)
โข A Higher High (HH)
This doesnโt confirm a full trend reversal yet,
but it does show that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are gaining control inside the weekly range.
This is often how early shifts begin.
3๏ธโฃ 1H: Potential Origin of the Next Daily HL
The 1H chart shows the clearest short-term shift:
โข A clean bullish leg
โข A MSS to the upside
โข A fresh FVG created during expansion
โข Buyers defending demand on every dip
This type of 1H structure is exactly what often forms the next Daily HL during the early stages of a larger shift.
If buyers continue holding this zone through the week,
the Daily may confirm another wave upward.
4๏ธโฃ Key Zones to Watch This Week
If the bullish structure continues:
โข 0.81244 โ next Daily target
โข 0.81714 โ Weekly Range Resistance
These are the natural magnet zones if buyers maintain control.
โธป
5๏ธโฃ The Bigger Story
We are not looking at a confirmed macro reversal yet.
But we are seeing:
โข Weekly = range
โข Daily = HL โ HH above the Weekly Low
โข 1H = potential foundation of the next Daily HL
This is how early reversals typically begin inside higher-timeframe ranges.
A full reversal requires a Weekly close above 0.81714 โ
but for now, internal structure is clearly shifting upward.
โธป
โญ Educational Purpose Only
This idea is shared to provide clarity and to show my personal vision of the current structure.
If this analysis helped you or aligned with your view, Iโd appreciate your support:
๐ Like
๐ฌ Comment
โญ Follow
๐ Share
Your engagement motivates me to keep providing more structured and educational analysis to the community.
USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening โ Will There Be a Wave 5 or a Crash to 0.75?
๐ Weekly Scenarios
Bearish scenario (main): Price holds below ~0.8080 โ wave 5 develops โ possible decline to ~0.7700โ0.7500.
Consolidation: Price may remain stuck in the ~0.7900โ0.8080 range, awaiting further signal.
Alternative bullish scenario: Breakout and fixation above ~0.8080 โ corrective rise to ~0.8350 or higher.
โ
Conclusion
USD/CHF on the weekly timeframe looks aggressively bearish, but not without the possibility of an unexpected rebound. The key to further direction is a reaction to the ~0.8080 and ~0.7900 levels.
If the price consolidates below 0.8080, there's a high probability of a new downward wave.
A breakout above this level could provide a chance for a correction or reversal.
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USDCHF - SWING TRADETeam, we been doing very well on USDCHF the last 3-6 months on swing trade
but when you buy, make sure add slowly
LAST HIGH was 0.8117
Our entry at 0.7965, add more at 0.7930-15
if you want to have STOP LOSS - safe at 0.7830-50
Target 1 at 0.8000-0.8015
Target 2 at 0.8045-78
LETS GO
USDCHFUSDCHF
- Bearish Channel as an corrective pattern in Short Time Frame
- Support Level
- RSI - Divergence
- Double Bottom in Long Time Frame
- Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " ABC " Corrective Waves
USDCHF Just Revealed Its Hand โ Donโt Miss This Move!One more interesting pair to look at USDCHF.
PMH and internal liquidity have been taken yesterday. Today USDCHF just did MS on 1h time frame , potentially this is good short opportunity till discount before further move upwards
can open short position with SL at 0.81244
with tp at 0.80245 or 0.7985
SHORT ๐
SL: 0.81244
TP: 0.80245 or 0.7985
USDCHF Potential Short!
HI,Traders !
#USDCHF is growing Nicely but will
Soon hit a horizontal resistance
Of 0.80587 so after the
Retest a local bearish
Pullback is to be expected !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
USDCHF Bearish Breakout!
HI,Traders !
#USDCHF made a bearish
Breakout of the rising support
Line and we are bearish biased
So we will be expecting a
Further bearish move down !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move.
Uptrend line breakout.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds.
If you enjoy this idea, donโt forget to LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ
, SHARE ๐, and COMMENT โ! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! ๐
Setupsfx_ | USDCHF: A Big Major Swing Sell In Making 760+ Pips The USDCHF pair has dropped significantly since our last update. We anticipate another drop before price may reverse. DXY is also dropping and may continue to decline. Thereโs a major swing target that will take time to complete successfully. Use risk management according to your own risk tolerance.
Thank you for your continued support!
Team Setupsfx_
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact.
Current Bias
Bullish โ momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102.
Key Fundamental Drivers
USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand.
CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening.
Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets.
Macro Context
Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further.
Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum.
Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence.
Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone.
Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
0.7969
0.7909
Resistance Levels:
0.8033
0.8102
Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909
Take Profit (TP): 0.8102
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
USDCHF possible bullish for 0.8165-70#usdchf made extreme low at 0.7873 on 1st July. After one and half month on 16th September price broker and closed below that support level to attract breakout sellers. 17th September formed a daily key reversal bar i.e. made a new low and closed off the high which is early and aggressive indication for trend reversal. 18th September daily insurance bar confirmed that was a fake breakout to trap sellers. first market caught stop losses of longer who placed their stop loss 0.7873.
Better to wait for correction to test daily demand zone i.e. 0.7968-46 for low risk & high reward trade setup. stop loss below 0.7920. Target might be 0.8165 but before this level there are some resistance levels before target price i.e. 0.8095, 0.8120 & 0.8165.
USD/CHF Swing Trade Plan โ Breakout Setup + Layered Entries๐ USD/CHF "SWISSY" | Swing/Day Trade + Market Sentiment Report ๐ถ๏ธ๐ต
Date: September 2, 2025 (๐ข +0.56% daily change)
๐ Key Market Metrics
52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202
Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8061
1-Month Change: +0.21%
12-Month Change: +5.24%
๐ฐ Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment)
Current Value: 64/100 (Greed ๐)
Driven by rate cut hopes + strong equity performance
1-Year Average: 49 (Neutral)
Greed Signals: Stocks outperform bonds, low volatility, bullish options
๐ง Trader Positioning
Retail Traders: 55% Long ๐ | 45% Short ๐
Institutions: 60% Long ๐ฆ | 40% Short ๐ผ
โก๏ธ Overall sentiment: Moderately bullish, with Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD, but CHF safe-haven flows capping upside.
๐ฆ Macro & Fundamental Drivers
US Dollar (USD):
Fed rate cut probability: 90% (Sept) ๐๏ธ
CPI: 2.7% (above 2% target)
Labor market cooling (weak NFPs)
Tariff/political risks pressuring USD
Swiss Franc (CHF):
SNB policy rate: 0.0% (room for negatives)
CPI: 0.2% (ultra-low, no hawkish push)
CHF demand supported by Ukraine-Russia tensions
CHF up +5.24% YoY vs USD
๐ ๏ธ Trade Plan (Thief Strategy)
๐ Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Setup)
๐ Entry Trigger: Breakout above 0.80700 โก (Set TradingView alert to catch breakout fast!)
Layered Entry (Thief Method):
Limit Buy Orders at: 0.80300 | 0.80400 | 0.80500 | 0.80600
Add more limit layers as per your risk appetite โ
Always confirm breakout (0.80700) before layering in
Stop Loss (Thief SL):
Protective SL @ 0.80000 (after breakout confirm)
Adjust based on your risk & strategy
Take Profit ๐ฏ:
Target @ 0.81800
โก Expect resistance + overbought signals near this zone
Reminder: Secure profits quick โ โescape with the bagโ before reversal ๐โโ๏ธ๐จ
๐ฏ Market Outlook
Bullish Score: 65/100 ๐
Bearish Score: 35/100 ๐ป
โก๏ธ Bias is short-term bullish on Fed dovish stance, but upside capped by CHF safe-haven demand.
โ ๏ธ Risks to Watch
Fed Decision (Sept 17)
US NFP Data (Upcoming)
Swiss CPI (Sept 4)
Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia)
๐ก Quick Summary
USD/CHF shows bullish momentum with breakout potential above 0.80700. Thief strategy layering provides multiple low-risk entries. Fundamentals support USD strength short term, but CHF safe-haven demand could slow gains. Trade with alerts, protect capital, and execute layered entries wisely.
๐ Related Pairs to Watch
๐ฒ FX:EURUSD | FX:GBPUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold)
โจ โIf you find value in my analysis, a ๐ and ๐ boost is much appreciated โ it helps me share more setups with the community!โ
#USDCHF #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutTrading #ForexStrategy #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #MarketSentiment
USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup โ High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend
Price was in a strong uptrend first.
Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend.
2. Breakout Zone
Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected.
The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area.
3. Entry Point
Entry point is around 0.79798.
This is where a buy trade is planned.
4. Stop Loss (Risk Control)
Stop loss is between 0.79764 โ 0.79619.
If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses.
5. Target Point (Take Profit)
Target is around 0.80334.
This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy).
6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio
The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio.
Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens.
---
๐ Summary
Trade Type: Buy Setup
Entry: ~0.79798
Stop Loss: Below 0.79619
Take Profit: ~0.80334
Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
USDCHF โ Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss francโs own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB).
Current Bias
Bullish โ recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported.
Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge.
Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big roleโwhen global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure.
Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy.
Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility.
Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
U.S. PCE inflation release
Fed speakers on rate outlook
Swiss CPI updates
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829
Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026
Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support)
Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881โ0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closelyโany flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!๐ต๐ต๏ธ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) ๐๐
๐ Dear Thieves, Robbers & OGโs of the Market Vault,
This is our master robbery blueprint based on ๐ฅThief Strategy๐ฅ using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time.
๐ Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan)
Breakout Entry โก: 0.81100 (set your alarms, donโt miss the crack in the vault ๐จ)
Pullback Entries (Layer Method) ๐งฑ:
0.79000
0.79300
0.79500
0.79700
0.80000
(add more layers if needed, stack your bullets ๐ฏ)
๐ก Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100.
๐ Stop Loss (SL)
Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000
Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500
โ ๏ธ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style.
๐ฏ Target
Police barricade spotted ๐ around 0.83000
Escape Target ๐: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in ๐๐จ)
๐ Important Reminder
โ
Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it.
โ
SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method โ tweak them for your style.
โ
This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint.
๐ If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew ๐๐ต.
Together we raid the market vaults daily! ๐๐ธ
USDCHF Rebound Ahead!
HI,Traders !
#USDCHF made a retest
Of the horizontal support
Of 0.79224 from where we
Are already seeing a bullish
Rebound and we will be
Expecting a further bullish
Move up !
Comment and subscribe to help us grow !
