USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup – High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend
Price was in a strong uptrend first.
Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend.
2. Breakout Zone
Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected.
The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area.
3. Entry Point
Entry point is around 0.79798.
This is where a buy trade is planned.
4. Stop Loss (Risk Control)
Stop loss is between 0.79764 – 0.79619.
If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses.
5. Target Point (Take Profit)
Target is around 0.80334.
This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy).
6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio
The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio.
Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens.
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📊 Summary
Trade Type: Buy Setup
Entry: ~0.79798
Stop Loss: Below 0.79619
Take Profit: ~0.80334
Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
Usdchflong
USD/CHF Bullish Break-and-Retest Setup – 2H Timeframe1. Overall Trend
Price had been in a downtrend but recently reversed into a rising channel (highlighted in pink).
The price broke below the lower trendline of the channel, indicating a potential pullback or temporary correction.
2. Chart Pattern & Idea
After breaking the ascending channel, the chart suggests a potential bullish continuation (a breakout-retest strategy).
The drawn pattern shows a pullback to a support zone (highlighted in blue box) where price may bounce.
🟦 Trade Setup
Component Value Comment
Entry Point 0.79596 Current price, just above support zone
Stop Loss 0.79180 Below key support area
Target Point 0.80550 At prior resistance / measured move
✅ Risk/Reward Ratio
Risk: ~41 pips (0.79596 - 0.79180)
Reward: ~95 pips (0.80550 - 0.79596)
R:R Ratio: ~2.3:1 — favorable
📌 Key Technical Observations
Support Zone (Buy Area)
Between 0.79209 and 0.79550, this is a demand zone where price is expected to bounce.
Marked by a consolidation area and minor structure support.
Target Area
0.80550 aligns with a previous high and resistance level.
Also matches a measured move of the previous channel height.
Bullish Confirmation
Price might need to form a higher low or bullish candlestick pattern inside the support zone to validate entry.
⚠️ Potential Risks
If price breaks and closes below 0.79180, it invalidates the bullish thesis.
Market may retest lower support levels or re-enter the downtrend.
USD/CHF is also impacted by USD strength/weakness and Swiss Franc safe-haven flows (watch news).
📈 Summary: Trade Plan
Bias: Bullish
Entry: Buy around 0.79596 (or on bullish confirmation within support zone)
Stop Loss: 0.79180
Take Profit: 0.80550
Risk-Reward: Good (2.3:1)
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB).
Current Bias
Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported.
Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge.
Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure.
Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy.
Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility.
Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
U.S. PCE inflation release
Fed speakers on rate outlook
Swiss CPI updates
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829
Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026
Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support)
Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
USDCHF - The LONG Shift At Extreme & Confluence Points North🔱 Could this is the turn for USDCHF? 🔱
🏦 Some condensed economic fundamental points first 🏦
📈 Rate Differential: Fed ≈ 5.25-5.50 % vs SNB 0 % → strong yield advantage for USD. Growth Gap: U.S. GDP resilient; Swiss economy soft from tariffs and weak demand → CHF under pressure.
💰 Carry & Flows: Higher U.S. yields attract capital into USD assets.
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: If markets stay risk-on, CHF’s safe-haven bid fades. Sudden risk-off shocks, faster Fed cuts, or unexpected SNB tightening.
🌍 Bias: USD supported by yield spread and stronger growth unless risk-off returns.
🔱 What The Chart Is Telling Us 🔱
he white pitchfork seems to be catching price rather loosely around the centerline — and only now do we see why. It’s likely due to a shift in play.
See the orange parallel? It’s shifted upward if we use the overshoot above the centerline as the reference for the parallel lines.
The red, downward-sloping pitchfork gives us a strong confluence point where price stops falling. It’s also sitting at the L-MLH, the extreme relative to the red fork.
HAGOPIAN?
Yes! If we start to trade away from the red centerline, then I also expect a Hagopian is cooking and we go up farther than from where we came!
I’ll be watching it on lower timeframes, looking to catch the bus north. If this setup plays out, it could be a significant move, so the stop-loss needs to be well-placed.
Just follow me and maybe we can travel together 🚌💨
Trendline w Liquidity The liquidity that has accumulated along this trend line is evident.
It seems that the price has a magnet that induces it to take advantage of that liquidity.
By implementing your own strategy, you can take advantage of a pullback and take advantage of the purchases!
Keep It Simple!
If you like it, don't forget to follow me.
USDCHF BUY OPPORTUNITYHello traders I wish you a great WEDNESDAY, Here's my point of view about OANDA:USDCHF
TECHNICALLY:
Last week we had a Massive momentum shift due to US DOLLAR BULLISH momentum. The JULY monthly time frame low acted as support. Price re-integrated the area as traders Digest first FED first rate cut. Price re integrated as form of pullback and we might see more upside momentum as long as we stay above the 0.79000.
FUNDAMENTALLY
change in the US DOLLAR SENTIMENT can invalidate the setup! However, if we stick with the same tone, then US will likely continue bullish!
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck! MAKE SURE TO STAY STRICT WITH YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day.
USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀 USD/CHF – Big Move Loading! 🚀
The pair is coiling around 0.7910, right under a cluster of juicy 1H Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and stacked resistance. Momentum is building—here’s the play:
🟢 Bullish Path
Strong push above 0.7926 → 0.7933 → 0.7944 could ignite a run toward 0.7948/0.7950+.
A clean breakout here would signal fresh upside fuel.
🔴 Bearish Trap
Sharp rejection from the 1H resistance zone? Watch for a slide back to 0.7900 and the liquidity pocket near 0.7888.
🎯 Key Focus
Lower-timeframe confirmation around that first resistance band.
Breakers & order-block reactions will be the tell for the next directional wave.
⚡️ Patience pays—wait for the candle close and let the market show its hand.
What’s your bias: Breakout 🚀 or Fade 🔻?
Greetings,
MrYounity
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀
🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault,
This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time.
📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan)
Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨)
Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱:
0.79000
0.79300
0.79500
0.79700
0.80000
(add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯)
💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100.
🛑 Stop Loss (SL)
Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000
Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500
⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style.
🎯 Target
Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000
Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨)
🔔 Important Reminder
✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it.
✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style.
✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint.
💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵.
Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸
USDCHF Bulls Eye 0.8060 as Support Holds FirmUSDCHF has bounced strongly from the 0.7920 support zone, with buyers showing commitment to defend this base. The pair is building momentum for a push toward the 0.7990 and 0.8060 levels as dollar strength combines with fading CHF demand. With the Swiss franc losing some safe-haven appeal and the Fed remaining cautious but still tighter than the SNB, the path of least resistance favors further upside.
Current Bias
Bullish – Momentum is shifting upward after defending 0.7920 support.
Key Fundamental Drivers
Federal Reserve: Slower pace of cuts than initially expected keeps USD relatively firm.
Swiss National Bank (SNB): Maintains accommodative stance with minimal inflation pressure, weighing on CHF.
Risk Sentiment: Reduced safe-haven demand for CHF as equities stabilize and US yields remain attractive.
Macro Context
Interest rates: Fed is more hawkish relative to SNB, supporting USDCHF upside.
Economic growth: US remains resilient, while Swiss growth is subdued.
Commodity flows: Limited direct impact, but safe-haven demand dynamics remain key.
Geopolitical themes: CHF lags as safe-haven flows rotate into gold and USD instead.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A renewed surge in global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical shocks or equity sell-offs) could reignite CHF strength, capping USDCHF upside.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
US CPI and Fed guidance – main drivers for USD momentum.
SNB policy commentary – could impact if there’s any surprise tightening language.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF tends to be a lagger to broader USD moves (following EURUSD and DXY). However, it can lead CHF crosses such as EURCHF and CADCHF, particularly when safe-haven flows dominate.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 0.7920, 0.7910
Resistance Levels: 0.7990, 0.8060
Stop Loss (SL): 0.7910 (below key support zone)
Take Profit (TP): 0.8060 (major resistance target)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF is shaping up for a bullish continuation as long as the 0.7920 base holds. The bias is bullish, with SL set at 0.7910 and TP at 0.8060. Fed-SNB policy divergence and softer CHF safe-haven flows keep momentum tilted higher, but the key risk is a sudden return of global risk-off sentiment. Watch US inflation and Fed commentary as the deciding catalysts for a push toward the 0.8060 resistance zone.
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead.
Current Bias
Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000.
Key Fundamental Drivers
U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts.
Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions.
Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable.
Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted.
Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments.
Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD.
Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations.
SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress.
Key Levels
Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918
Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070
Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010
Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended)
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
USDCHF daily chart ,the corridor paysThe USDCHF daily chart looks like a corridor battle the price continues to move between support at 0.7910 and resistance at 0.8170 and as long as these levels hold the swing trading strategy remains valid buying near support and taking profits near resistance works textbook style if resistance at 0.8170 is broken the next logical target shifts to the 0.8440 zone where significant volume is concentrated technically the structure still points to a sideways market with possible false breakouts fundamentally the pair remains driven by the US dollar index and Fed policy while the franc traditionally acts as a safe haven any shifts in Fed rhetoric or SNB actions could trigger a breakout from the range in conclusion as long as USDCHF trades in this corridor it is a convenient instrument for range trading and breakouts should only be traded with volume confirmation and price consolidation above key levels
USDCHF - GET READY TO KILL THE MARKETTeam, my track record last 3 months almost impossible to achieve on USDCHF results..
here is the plan for you to trade on USDCHF in 3 houses
30 mins before release → Market often drifts sideways, thinner liquidity, algos waiting.
At release → Massive whipsaws (first move often a fake-out).
15–30 mins after → Real direction emerges once the dust settles.
Buy small now at 0.8030 - very small volume,
make sure buy at sweep 0.8000-7985 ranges
MAKE SURE STOP LOSS FIRST AT 0.7920 AVOID STOP LOSS, once it ride up above 8030- bring stop loss toward 0.7960
REMEMBER to hold tight until next week, I want to see above 0.8055-60 resistance - take 50%-70% and bring stop loss to BE,
Next target at 0.8078-0.8085 and possible heading toward 0.8100
PLAN CAREFULLY AND LETS BUILT THE WEALTH TOGETHER.
IMPORTANT NOTE: WORK OUT YOUR RISK, how much are you you risking.. that the most important concept.
NOW, LETS GO AND MAKE MILLIONS.
USD/CHF - Wedge Breakout (02.09.2025)The USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8048
2nd Resistance – 0.8067
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USDCHF longs due to better than expected eco dataFor the week ending August 23, 2025, U.S. initial jobless claims were 229,000, below the forecast of 231,000 and down from the previous week's revised figure of 234,000. This suggests a slight improvement in new unemployment filings.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 3.3 percent (0.8 percent at a quarterly rate) in the second quarter of 2025 (April, May, and June), according to the second estimate released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
Due to the above data being better than expected, we can expect the dollar to increase in strength over the short term.
USDCHF - enter the zone with caution, follow the plan Team,
please follow the guideline carefully! we been killing the USDCHF last few months with proper strategy
The first probe (0.8055–0.8060) is absorbing, but sellers still have momentum.
A wick down into 0.8045–0.8035 would be the “capitulation flush” — weak longs stop out, liquidity
Phase 1 (light probe): You’re already in smal
Phase 2 (storm entry): Add heavier size at 0.8045–0.8035 (but keep stops just below 0.8020).
Phase 3 (ride the wave): If price reclaims 0.8080 → momentum flips bullish, shorts trapped.
Upside magnet: 0.8120 zone (prior supply).
USDCHF - lets restock and stacking them upTeam, we have been successfully trade USDCHF last few week.
The CURRENT price is 0.8033 - entry range at 0.8020-0.8036
STOP LOSS at 0.7960
Once the price hit above 0.8050 - bring stop loss to BE
Target 1 at 0.8080-90 - take 50%
Target 2 at 0.8120-0.8145 - take 30%
NOTE: If you can hold until December, we may see at least 0.8250-0.8300
LETS GO
USDCHF Bullish Continuation ?Preparing to shoot up again. Keep your support and resistance in eyes and do entries on breakout. Can touch 0.81715 again.
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