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Usdchfsignal

USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend USD/CHF – Bullish Marubozu Signal Aligns With Trend (76% Probability) A fresh BUY signal has been triggered on USD/CHF following the formation of a Marubozu candlestick pattern on the current timeframe. Our model assigns a 76% historical backtest probability to this setup, highlighting a statistically strong bullish continuation opportunity. 🔍 Technical Analysis & Price Structure The recent Marubozu candle signals strong buyer dominance, where price closes near the high with minimal wicks — a hallmark of decisive bullish control. This pattern suggests: A resumption of the prevailing uptrend after a brief corrective pullback Strong participation by buyers at current levels Rejection of lower liquidity zones Upside continuation potential toward key resistance levels Combined with trend-following model confirmation, the setup carries high technical validity. 🌍 Market Context & Macro Overview Market sentiment around USD/CHF remains constructive: USD performance is mixed, but the pair benefits from safe-haven dynamics Swiss Franc strength seems muted as global risk sentiment stabilizes Interest rate differentials still broadly favor the USD Market expectations around upcoming US economic data may add bullish pressure Overall, macro conditions support potential upside continuation. 📌 Key Technical Levels to Watch These levels will guide short-term price action: Immediate Resistance – 0.79866 A short-term ceiling; clearing this opens the path to higher levels. Immediate Support – 0.79388 A key zone where buyers stepped in to confirm the Marubozu formation. Major Resistance – 0.80423 Primary bullish target if momentum sustains. Major Support – 0.78831 Critical structure invalidation for the bullish bias. 🎯 Trade Setup Parameters (0.10 Lot Example) Parameter Level Entry 0.79627 Stop Loss (SL) 0.79427 Take Profit (TP) 0.80027 Risk $50 Potential Profit $100 Risk–Reward Ratio 1 : 2 The setup presents a clean, mechanical bullish continuation structure with clearly defined risk boundaries. 🛡 Risk Management Guidance Maintain professional-grade discipline: Keep risk per position between 1–2% of your capital Scale in on retests or partial confirmations if volatility increases Move to break-even or trailing stop once price clears the first resistance Avoid entering before high-impact USD or CHF data releases Lock profits if momentum begins to flatten near major resistance Marubozu-driven setups often follow through quickly — managing the trade dynamically is essential. 📌 Final Thoughts USD/CHF is presenting a well-defined bullish continuation opportunity, supported by a high-probability Marubozu signal, trend alignment, and supportive macro conditions. A break above 0.79866 could accelerate momentum toward 0.80423, while maintaining SL discipline below 0.79427 keeps risk controlled. This setup fits well for traders looking for a structured, statistically tested trend continuation entry.
Long
by SivaArjun
Will USD/CHF Sustain Its Bullish Structure with Layered Entries?🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - BULLISH SWING SETUP | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 💰 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW Pair: USD/CHF (The Swissy) Trade Type: Swing Trade - Bullish Bias Strategy: Thief's Multi-Layer Entry Method 🎭 🔥 THE SETUP 💎 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYER METHOD Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Layering Style): Layer 1: 0.79000 🎯 Layer 2: 0.79200 🎯 Layer 3: 0.79400 🎯 📝 Note: You can add MORE layers based on YOUR capital & risk appetite. This averaging-down approach works when trend aligns with your direction! 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT Thief's Stop Loss: 0.78600 ⚠️ ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY stop loss level. You MUST adjust YOUR stop loss based on: Your own risk tolerance Your account size Your trading strategy Your psychology I'm NOT recommending you copy my SL blindly. Trade at YOUR OWN RISK! 🎲 🎯 PROFIT TARGET Primary Target: 0.81000 🚀 📍 Why This Level? Moving Average acting as STRONG resistance zone Overbought conditions expected Potential bull trap zone - ESCAPE with profits here! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY take profit level. You can exit earlier/later based on YOUR strategy. Make money, TAKE money at YOUR OWN RISK! 💪 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together): EUR/CHF - Swiss Franc weakness benefits both GBP/CHF - CHF weakness across the board DXY (US Dollar Index) - USD strength drives USD/CHF up 📉 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite): EUR/USD - When USD strengthens, EUR/USD typically falls XAU/USD (Gold) - Gold often drops when USD gains CHF/JPY - Inverse CHF movement 🎯 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS: DXY above 106.00 = Bullish fuel for USD/CHF 🔥 Swiss National Bank dovish = CHF weakness expected US Treasury Yields rising = USD strength catalyst Risk-ON sentiment = CHF (safe haven) typically weakens 📊 KEY TECHNICAL FACTORS ✅ Bullish Catalysts: Multiple support levels holding USD showing relative strength CHF facing headwinds from SNB policy Layer entry allows better average price ⚠️ Watch Out For: Strong resistance at 0.81000 zone Potential overbought conditions near target Risk-OFF events trigger CHF safe-haven demand SNB surprise interventions 💡 THIEF'S FINAL WORDS "The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." This is a SWING trade - not a sprint! 🏃‍♂️ Layer your entries, manage your risk, and let the trade breathe. Remember: ✅ YOUR money = YOUR rules ✅ YOUR risk = YOUR decision ✅ YOUR profit = YOUR timing Trade smart, not hard! See you at 0.81000! 🎯💰 #USDCHF #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TheSwissy #LayeringStrategy #RiskManagement #TradingView #ForexIdeas #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis 📈💪🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you're watching this pair! Drop a 💬 with your TP level!
Long
by The-Thief
Is This an Early Reversal Signal on USD/CHF This Week? (The full story: buyer strength forming above the Weekly Low) NFA – Educational purpose only USD/CHF has been trading inside a weekly range, and price has just reacted sharply from the Weekly Low at 0.78290 — an area where buyers often step in. This reaction has created the first meaningful signs of a potential shift inside the broader range. Let’s walk through the full structure. 1️⃣ Weekly Context — Range + Strong Reaction at 0.78290 The Weekly timeframe is still inside a large consolidation zone, with key boundaries: • Weekly Low: 0.78290 • Weekly Range Resistance / LH: 0.81714 Price tapped the Weekly Low and bounced immediately — a typical behavior when buyers defend the bottom of a range. 2️⃣ Daily: First Structural Sign of Strength Following the bounce from 0.78290, the Daily chart printed: • A Higher Low (HL) • A Higher High (HH) This doesn’t confirm a full trend reversal yet, but it does show that bearish momentum has weakened and buyers are gaining control inside the weekly range. This is often how early shifts begin. 3️⃣ 1H: Potential Origin of the Next Daily HL The 1H chart shows the clearest short-term shift: • A clean bullish leg • A MSS to the upside • A fresh FVG created during expansion • Buyers defending demand on every dip This type of 1H structure is exactly what often forms the next Daily HL during the early stages of a larger shift. If buyers continue holding this zone through the week, the Daily may confirm another wave upward. 4️⃣ Key Zones to Watch This Week If the bullish structure continues: • 0.81244 → next Daily target • 0.81714 → Weekly Range Resistance These are the natural magnet zones if buyers maintain control. ⸻ 5️⃣ The Bigger Story We are not looking at a confirmed macro reversal yet. But we are seeing: • Weekly = range • Daily = HL → HH above the Weekly Low • 1H = potential foundation of the next Daily HL This is how early reversals typically begin inside higher-timeframe ranges. A full reversal requires a Weekly close above 0.81714 — but for now, internal structure is clearly shifting upward. ⸻ ⭐ Educational Purpose Only This idea is shared to provide clarity and to show my personal vision of the current structure. If this analysis helped you or aligned with your view, I’d appreciate your support: 👍 Like 💬 Comment ⭐ Follow 🔄 Share Your engagement motivates me to keep providing more structured and educational analysis to the community.
Long
by Price-Action-Art
USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening – Will There Be a Wave 5 or a Crash to 0.75? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bearish scenario (main): Price holds below ~0.8080 → wave 5 develops → possible decline to ~0.7700–0.7500. Consolidation: Price may remain stuck in the ~0.7900–0.8080 range, awaiting further signal. Alternative bullish scenario: Breakout and fixation above ~0.8080 → corrective rise to ~0.8350 or higher. ✅ Conclusion USD/CHF on the weekly timeframe looks aggressively bearish, but not without the possibility of an unexpected rebound. The key to further direction is a reaction to the ~0.8080 and ~0.7900 levels. If the price consolidates below 0.8080, there's a high probability of a new downward wave. A breakout above this level could provide a chance for a correction or reversal.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USD/CHF Bulls Charge Forward – Key Breakout Setup Unfolding🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - FOREX PROFIT PATHWAY SETUP Bullish Momentum | Day Trade | Moving Average Breakout Confirmed 📊 TRADE SETUP OVERVIEW 🔔 Asset: USD/CHF (The Swiss Franc Pair) 📈 Bias: BULLISH ✅ ⏱️ Timeframe: Intraday (Day Trade) 🎲 Strategy: Moving Average Breakout + Layered Entry System 💡 ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN The USD/CHF has successfully confirmed a bullish breakout above key Moving Average resistance levels. Price structure indicates a strong push higher with multiple confluence zones supporting upward momentum. The setup respects recent market structure and provides a clean risk-to-reward opportunity for tactical intraday traders. 🎪 ENTRY STRATEGY - "The Thief Method" 💼 Layered Buy Limit Entry System (Multiple Order Placement): 🔹 Layer 1: Buy Limit @ 0.80000 🔹 Layer 2: Buy Limit @ 0.80250 🔹 Layer 3: Buy Limit @ 0.80500 🔹 Layer 4: Buy Limit @ 0.80750 💡 Pro Tip: Adjust layers based on your risk tolerance and account size. Scale into positions rather than going all-in. 🛑 STOP LOSS - "The Thief's Insurance" 🎯 Stop Loss Level: 0.79500 Reasoning: Previous market structure | Nearest Lower Low | Candle Wick consideration This SL respects mechanical support and provides defined risk parameters. 🚨 TAKE PROFIT - "Police Barricade Zone" 💰 Target Level: 0.81900 Resistance Indicators: Strong Historical Resistance 📍 Overbought Zone Alert ⚠️ Profit Taking Trap Zone 🎣 ⚡ Recommendation: Consider taking partial profits at 0.81900 to secure gains before potential pullback. 📌 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR 🌍 Correlated Pairs & Key Levels: 💵 EURCHF - Watch for inverse correlation; if USD/CHF rallies, EUR/CHF often consolidates. Key level: 0.94500 📊 GBPCHF - Similar dynamics; acts as confirmation. Watch resistance near 1.08200 🎲 USDJPY - Risk sentiment indicator; strong risk-on when USD/CHF pushes higher. Level: 155.500 🔗 CHF Crosses Generally - When USD strengthens, all CHF pairs weaken; observe overall CHF weakness 🧠 KEY TECHNICAL POINTS ✅ Moving Average Alignment - Price above key MA(s) = bullish continuation signal ✅ Breakout Confirmation - Clear resistance break with momentum ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio - Favorable setup with defined entry zones ✅ Layering Advantage - Multiple entries reduce average cost and emotional decision-making ✅ Structure Respect - SL places at logical market structure levels ⚠️ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS & NOTES 🎪 "Thief Style" Trading Strategy - This is a tactical, fun-oriented approach to forex trading. NOT financial advice. Risk Warning: 🔴 Past performance ≠ Future results 🔴 Forex trading involves substantial risk of loss 🔴 Position sizing is YOUR responsibility 🔴 Stop losses and take profits are RECOMMENDATIONS, not guarantees 🔴 Only risk capital you can afford to lose Your Trading Journey: YOUR entry decisions = YOUR profits/losses YOUR stop loss placement = YOUR risk management YOUR take profit timing = YOUR discipline Manage your own risk. Make your own choices. Own your results. 🌐 CORRELATION & WATCHLIST Monitor these instruments for USD/CHF confirmation: 🇺🇸 DXY (US Dollar Index) - Strength confirmation 🇨🇭 SNB Policy - Swiss National Bank decisions = CHF mover 📊 Interest Rate Differentials - USD vs CHF rate spreads 🎯 Risk Sentiment - Risk-on favors USD, risk-off favors CHF ✨ If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community! #USDCHF #ForexTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishSetup #MovingAverage #Breakout #ThiefStyle #SwissFranc #TradingCommunity #FXTrading #RiskManagement #TradingPlan #ProfitPathway
Long
by The-Thief
1
USDCHF Long Selling IdeaHello Traders In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Short
by ForexMasters2000
USDCHF Will Fly towards Resistance Hello Traders In This Chart USDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today USDCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (USDCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart.
Long
by ForexMasters2000
USD/CHF Day Trade Idea: Hull MA Break Signals Sellers’ Control💵 USD/CHF "THE SWISS" – Forex Market Profit Pathway Setup (Day Trade) 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Bias The Hull Moving Average (HMA) was recently breached by sellers, confirming the downtrend momentum. 🔑 Entry Approach (Layering Style) Instead of a single entry, I’m applying a layered sell-limit strategy: Sell Limit Layers: 0.79200 | 0.79000 | 0.78800 | 0.78650 (you can adjust/add more layers based on your own trade management) 🛑 Stop Loss Idea My protective SL: 0.79500 👉 Note: This is my preferred stop level, but you can always customize risk based on your comfort. Trade at your own discretion. 🎯 Target Zone Key support + oversold conditions + potential liquidity trap → Exit zone around 0.78000. 👉 Again, this is my take-profit preference — but you can scale out or close earlier if you catch profits. 📌 Key Notes for Traders ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is my trading idea, not financial advice. Everyone’s money-management style is unique. ✅ The setup is designed for day trade positioning with controlled risk. 💡 Use flexible TP/SL rules — your risk tolerance = your decision. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FX:EURUSD → Often inversely correlated with USD/CHF (when EUR rises, USD/CHF tends to fall). FX:USDJPY → Strong USD pairs can give clues about broader USD strength/weakness. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) → A safe-haven asset like CHF; if Gold gains, CHF can strengthen too. TVC:DXY (Dollar Index) → Always a must-watch for confirming USD direction. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #DayTrading #HullMovingAverage #SwingTrade #ForexSignals #TradingPlan #DXY #GoldCorrelation #ThiefStyle
Short
by The-Thief
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact. Current Bias Bullish – momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102. Key Fundamental Drivers USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand. CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening. Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further. Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum. Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence. Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone. Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7969 0.7909 Resistance Levels: 0.8033 0.8102 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909 Take Profit (TP): 0.8102 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF possible bullish for 0.8165-70#usdchf made extreme low at 0.7873 on 1st July. After one and half month on 16th September price broker and closed below that support level to attract breakout sellers. 17th September formed a daily key reversal bar i.e. made a new low and closed off the high which is early and aggressive indication for trend reversal. 18th September daily insurance bar confirmed that was a fake breakout to trap sellers. first market caught stop losses of longer who placed their stop loss 0.7873. Better to wait for correction to test daily demand zone i.e. 0.7968-46 for low risk & high reward trade setup. stop loss below 0.7920. Target might be 0.8165 but before this level there are some resistance levels before target price i.e. 0.8095, 0.8120 & 0.8165.
Long
by PyramidFx
USDCHF – A Slow Mover Showing Big Signs of ReversalAlthough USDCHF is not the most volatile pair out there, it has been on my radar lately — especially after printing a low near 0.78, a level unseen since 2011. Since June, the overall price action has been suggesting that we are approaching a major bottom. As shown on the daily chart, a falling wedge has developed over the past four months — a pattern that typically signals the end of a downtrend. If we look closer, there’s even an argument for an inverted Head & Shoulders, with a descending neckline connecting the previous lower highs. After the latest dip to 0.78, the pair bounced strongly, touched the neckline, and then consolidated for a few sessions — forming what looks like the right shoulder with a higher low structure. Yesterday, USDCHF finally broke above the falling trendline, confirming the breakout. At this point, the odds favour a medium-term reversal. • 🎯 First target: 0.8170 zone • 🚀 Medium-term target: 0.83 area That being said, my plan is simple: → Buy dips near 0.80 or slightly under, aiming for a 1:3 risk-to-reward setup. The structure looks strong, the momentum shift is visible, and the timing couldn’t be better for a potential reversal.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
USD/CHF Swing Trade Plan — Breakout Setup + Layered Entries📊 USD/CHF "SWISSY" | Swing/Day Trade + Market Sentiment Report 🕶️💵 Date: September 2, 2025 (🟢 +0.56% daily change) 📈 Key Market Metrics 52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202 Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8061 1-Month Change: +0.21% 12-Month Change: +5.24% 😰 Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment) Current Value: 64/100 (Greed 😊) Driven by rate cut hopes + strong equity performance 1-Year Average: 49 (Neutral) Greed Signals: Stocks outperform bonds, low volatility, bullish options 🧠 Trader Positioning Retail Traders: 55% Long 📈 | 45% Short 📉 Institutions: 60% Long 🏦 | 40% Short 💼 ➡️ Overall sentiment: Moderately bullish, with Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD, but CHF safe-haven flows capping upside. 🏦 Macro & Fundamental Drivers US Dollar (USD): Fed rate cut probability: 90% (Sept) 🕊️ CPI: 2.7% (above 2% target) Labor market cooling (weak NFPs) Tariff/political risks pressuring USD Swiss Franc (CHF): SNB policy rate: 0.0% (room for negatives) CPI: 0.2% (ultra-low, no hawkish push) CHF demand supported by Ukraine-Russia tensions CHF up +5.24% YoY vs USD 🛠️ Trade Plan (Thief Strategy) 📌 Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Setup) 📌 Entry Trigger: Breakout above 0.80700 ⚡ (Set TradingView alert to catch breakout fast!) Layered Entry (Thief Method): Limit Buy Orders at: 0.80300 | 0.80400 | 0.80500 | 0.80600 Add more limit layers as per your risk appetite ✅ Always confirm breakout (0.80700) before layering in Stop Loss (Thief SL): Protective SL @ 0.80000 (after breakout confirm) Adjust based on your risk & strategy Take Profit 🎯: Target @ 0.81800 ⚡ Expect resistance + overbought signals near this zone Reminder: Secure profits quick — “escape with the bag” before reversal 🏃‍♂️💨 🎯 Market Outlook Bullish Score: 65/100 🐂 Bearish Score: 35/100 🐻 ➡️ Bias is short-term bullish on Fed dovish stance, but upside capped by CHF safe-haven demand. ⚠️ Risks to Watch Fed Decision (Sept 17) US NFP Data (Upcoming) Swiss CPI (Sept 4) Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia) 💡 Quick Summary USD/CHF shows bullish momentum with breakout potential above 0.80700. Thief strategy layering provides multiple low-risk entries. Fundamentals support USD strength short term, but CHF safe-haven demand could slow gains. Trade with alerts, protect capital, and execute layered entries wisely. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch 💲 FX:EURUSD | FX:GBPUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutTrading #ForexStrategy #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #MarketSentiment
Long
by The-Thief
USD/CHF Bullish Break-and-Retest Setup – 2H Timeframe1. Overall Trend Price had been in a downtrend but recently reversed into a rising channel (highlighted in pink). The price broke below the lower trendline of the channel, indicating a potential pullback or temporary correction. 2. Chart Pattern & Idea After breaking the ascending channel, the chart suggests a potential bullish continuation (a breakout-retest strategy). The drawn pattern shows a pullback to a support zone (highlighted in blue box) where price may bounce. 🟦 Trade Setup Component Value Comment Entry Point 0.79596 Current price, just above support zone Stop Loss 0.79180 Below key support area Target Point 0.80550 At prior resistance / measured move ✅ Risk/Reward Ratio Risk: ~41 pips (0.79596 - 0.79180) Reward: ~95 pips (0.80550 - 0.79596) R:R Ratio: ~2.3:1 — favorable 📌 Key Technical Observations Support Zone (Buy Area) Between 0.79209 and 0.79550, this is a demand zone where price is expected to bounce. Marked by a consolidation area and minor structure support. Target Area 0.80550 aligns with a previous high and resistance level. Also matches a measured move of the previous channel height. Bullish Confirmation Price might need to form a higher low or bullish candlestick pattern inside the support zone to validate entry. ⚠️ Potential Risks If price breaks and closes below 0.79180, it invalidates the bullish thesis. Market may retest lower support levels or re-enter the downtrend. USD/CHF is also impacted by USD strength/weakness and Swiss Franc safe-haven flows (watch news). 📈 Summary: Trade Plan Bias: Bullish Entry: Buy around 0.79596 (or on bullish confirmation within support zone) Stop Loss: 0.79180 Take Profit: 0.80550 Risk-Reward: Good (2.3:1)
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
4
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex