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Will the Swissy Bounce Back? LSMA Pullback Setup Inside!🥳 Swissy Heist: Bullish Swing Playbook (LSMA Pullback Strategy) 💰 Alright, Thief OGs! 👋 The USD/CHF ("Swissy") is setting up for a potential bullish move, and we've got the blueprints. This isn't a "get rich quick" scheme; it's a calculated swing trade plan using a classic pullback strategy. Let's get into it! 📊 The Master Plan (Analysis) Bias: Bullish ✅ Strategy: LSMA Moving Average Pullback & Continuation. Confirmation: We're looking for a pullback to a key demand zone where price respects the dynamic support offered by the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). A bounce from here signals the next leg up is likely starting. 🎯 Entry, Stop & Target (The "Thief" Logistics) This is where the "Thief" layer strategy comes into play. Instead of one all-in entry, we scale in with precision. 🎪 Entry Method (Layered Limit Orders): We're setting multiple buy limit orders to catch the dip at these key levels: Layer 1: 0.79000 Layer 2: 0.79200 Layer 3: 0.79400 Layer 4: 0.79600 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure. 🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management): A decisive break below the structure suggests the plan is invalid. The suggested stop loss for this setup is below the key support at 0.78800. Disclaimer: This is MY stop level. You are the captain of your own ship—manage your risk according to your own trading plan and risk tolerance! 🧭 🎯 Take Profit (The Escape Plan): Our primary target is 0.80400. Why? This area represents a confluence of resistance: the moving average may act as resistance, and we could see some overbought pressure. The goal is to "escape with profits" before any potential trap snaps shut! 🪤 Reminder: Just like the SL, this is MY target. Feel free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop—you do what's best for YOUR pockets! 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch $EUR/CHF: Often moves in correlation with USD/CHF due to the shared CHF (Swiss Franc). A strong CHF will affect both pairs. $EUR/USD: The "anti-dollar" pair. A strong bullish move in USD/CHF often coincides with a bearish move in EUR/USD. Watch this for overall USD strength clues. $GBP/CHF: Another CHF-cross that can show similar sentiment towards the Swiss Franc. Key Correlation Point: If the USD is strengthening broadly, we'll likely see bullish momentum in USD/CHF and bearish momentum in pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD. ✨ Final Notes from the "Thief" Vault This is a swing trade idea, so patience is key! ⌛ The "Thief" style is all about strategic, layered entries—not reckless gambling. Always trade with a plan and never risk more than you can afford to lose. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #Forex #USDCHF #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #DXY #Swissy
by The-Thief
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. Uptrend line breakout. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USD/CHF Falls to Two-Week LowUSD/CHF Falls to Two-Week Low This morning, the USD/CHF exchange rate slipped below 0.7944 for the first time since 1 October, as demand for safe-haven assets intensified — a trend also reflected in yesterday’s record gold price above $4,200. The traditionally stable Swiss franc is strengthening amid rising global uncertainty and risk aversion: → In Japan, the upcoming prime ministerial election could significantly impact monetary policy, while France faces ongoing political turmoil. → In the United States, the government shutdown continues, and traders are closely watching developments around a potential trade deal with China, possibly to be discussed during an expected meeting between the two countries’ leaders. Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart As noted in our 25 September analysis, the Swiss franc has appreciated through 2025 amid elevated geopolitical and macroeconomic risks, forming a downward channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red). We also highlighted: → the possibility of a trend reversal around the 0.7900 support area; → potential breakout targets (shown in blue). Since then, the bulls have indeed made progress, driving the price up towards point A and: → breaking above the red channel’s upper boundary; → overcoming the psychological 0.8000 level. However, that progress has not been sustained. Among the bearish signals: → the median line of the blue channel acted as resistance; → the brief move above local highs around 0.8072 resembles a bearish liquidity grab. From the bullish perspective, USD/CHF has now retreated into a zone that could act as support: → the upper boundary of the red channel; → the lower boundary of the blue channel. The arrow highlights signs of a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting that buyers may be using these support zones to stage a rebound within the blue channel. The 0.8000 psychological mark could serve as the first key test of their resolve. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF Day Trade Idea: Hull MA Break Signals Sellers’ Control💵 USD/CHF "THE SWISS" – Forex Market Profit Pathway Setup (Day Trade) 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Bias The Hull Moving Average (HMA) was recently breached by sellers, confirming the downtrend momentum. 🔑 Entry Approach (Layering Style) Instead of a single entry, I’m applying a layered sell-limit strategy: Sell Limit Layers: 0.79200 | 0.79000 | 0.78800 | 0.78650 (you can adjust/add more layers based on your own trade management) 🛑 Stop Loss Idea My protective SL: 0.79500 👉 Note: This is my preferred stop level, but you can always customize risk based on your comfort. Trade at your own discretion. 🎯 Target Zone Key support + oversold conditions + potential liquidity trap → Exit zone around 0.78000. 👉 Again, this is my take-profit preference — but you can scale out or close earlier if you catch profits. 📌 Key Notes for Traders ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is my trading idea, not financial advice. Everyone’s money-management style is unique. ✅ The setup is designed for day trade positioning with controlled risk. 💡 Use flexible TP/SL rules — your risk tolerance = your decision. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FX:EURUSD → Often inversely correlated with USD/CHF (when EUR rises, USD/CHF tends to fall). FX:USDJPY → Strong USD pairs can give clues about broader USD strength/weakness. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) → A safe-haven asset like CHF; if Gold gains, CHF can strengthen too. TVC:DXY (Dollar Index) → Always a must-watch for confirming USD direction. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #DayTrading #HullMovingAverage #SwingTrade #ForexSignals #TradingPlan #DXY #GoldCorrelation #ThiefStyle
Short
by The-Thief
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact. Current Bias Bullish – momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102. Key Fundamental Drivers USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand. CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening. Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further. Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum. Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence. Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone. Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7969 0.7909 Resistance Levels: 0.8033 0.8102 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909 Take Profit (TP): 0.8102 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF Swing Trade Plan — Breakout Setup + Layered Entries📊 USD/CHF "SWISSY" | Swing/Day Trade + Market Sentiment Report 🕶️💵 Date: September 2, 2025 (🟢 +0.56% daily change) 📈 Key Market Metrics 52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202 Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8061 1-Month Change: +0.21% 12-Month Change: +5.24% 😰 Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment) Current Value: 64/100 (Greed 😊) Driven by rate cut hopes + strong equity performance 1-Year Average: 49 (Neutral) Greed Signals: Stocks outperform bonds, low volatility, bullish options 🧠 Trader Positioning Retail Traders: 55% Long 📈 | 45% Short 📉 Institutions: 60% Long 🏦 | 40% Short 💼 ➡️ Overall sentiment: Moderately bullish, with Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD, but CHF safe-haven flows capping upside. 🏦 Macro & Fundamental Drivers US Dollar (USD): Fed rate cut probability: 90% (Sept) 🕊️ CPI: 2.7% (above 2% target) Labor market cooling (weak NFPs) Tariff/political risks pressuring USD Swiss Franc (CHF): SNB policy rate: 0.0% (room for negatives) CPI: 0.2% (ultra-low, no hawkish push) CHF demand supported by Ukraine-Russia tensions CHF up +5.24% YoY vs USD 🛠️ Trade Plan (Thief Strategy) 📌 Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Setup) 📌 Entry Trigger: Breakout above 0.80700 ⚡ (Set TradingView alert to catch breakout fast!) Layered Entry (Thief Method): Limit Buy Orders at: 0.80300 | 0.80400 | 0.80500 | 0.80600 Add more limit layers as per your risk appetite ✅ Always confirm breakout (0.80700) before layering in Stop Loss (Thief SL): Protective SL @ 0.80000 (after breakout confirm) Adjust based on your risk & strategy Take Profit 🎯: Target @ 0.81800 ⚡ Expect resistance + overbought signals near this zone Reminder: Secure profits quick — “escape with the bag” before reversal 🏃‍♂️💨 🎯 Market Outlook Bullish Score: 65/100 🐂 Bearish Score: 35/100 🐻 ➡️ Bias is short-term bullish on Fed dovish stance, but upside capped by CHF safe-haven demand. ⚠️ Risks to Watch Fed Decision (Sept 17) US NFP Data (Upcoming) Swiss CPI (Sept 4) Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia) 💡 Quick Summary USD/CHF shows bullish momentum with breakout potential above 0.80700. Thief strategy layering provides multiple low-risk entries. Fundamentals support USD strength short term, but CHF safe-haven demand could slow gains. Trade with alerts, protect capital, and execute layered entries wisely. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch 💲 FX:EURUSD | FX:GBPUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutTrading #ForexStrategy #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #MarketSentiment
Long
by The-Thief
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Corrects LowerMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Corrects Lower USD/CHF declined from 0.8000 and is now struggling to stay above 0.7945. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF declined below the 0.7985 and 0.7965 support levels. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7965 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above 0.8000. The US Dollar dropped below 0.7985 to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7902 swing low to the 0.8014 high. The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7965. Finally, the pair tested the 61.8% Fib retracement at 0.7945. It is now consolidating losses and facing resistance near the 50-hour simple moving average and a major bearish trend line at 0.7965. A clear move above the trend line could send the pair to 0.7985. The next major barrier for the bulls might be 0.8015, above which the pair could test the 0.8050 level. If there is a clear break above 0.8050, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8100. On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7945. The first major area of interest could be 0.7925. Any more losses may possibly open the path for a move toward the 0.7900 level in the coming sessions. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup – High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend Price was in a strong uptrend first. Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend. 2. Breakout Zone Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected. The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area. 3. Entry Point Entry point is around 0.79798. This is where a buy trade is planned. 4. Stop Loss (Risk Control) Stop loss is between 0.79764 – 0.79619. If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses. 5. Target Point (Take Profit) Target is around 0.80334. This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy). 6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio. Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens. --- 📊 Summary Trade Type: Buy Setup Entry: ~0.79798 Stop Loss: Below 0.79619 Take Profit: ~0.80334 Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank DecisionUSD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank Decision Today, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to keep its interest rate unchanged at zero, in line with analysts’ expectations. Notably: → The SNB’s interest rate remains arguably the lowest among central banks of developed economies; → According to official statements, the main obstacle to Swiss economic growth is Trump’s tariffs. Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart In 2025, the Swiss franc strengthened — which is unsurprising given the high demand for safe‑haven assets (as evidenced by gold’s record high) amid rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. At the same time, lower highs and lows have allowed the construction of a descending channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red). However, a closer look at recent price dynamics suggests there are grounds to believe that the downtrend may be coming to an end. Why? Firstly, the price is holding in the upper half of the channel, indicating insufficient selling pressure. Secondly, consider the strength of the 0.7900 support level. In July, it prevented the market from falling further after the breach of the 0.8080 support level, and it continues to hold in September — note the price behaviour indicated by the arrow: → A bearish breakout attempt failed. After a brief dip below 0.7900, the price confidently returned above this level. → The median of the descending channel acted as support, and the chart shows lows that exhibit signs of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. This suggests that: → The current red channel may be broken in the near term, potentially driven by factors supporting USD strength; → There may be a bullish attempt to establish a rally, with targets indicated in blue. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF – Bearish Channel Rejection | Short Setup Towards 0.7800 Pair & Timeframe Pair: USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) Timeframe: 4H (4-hour chart) 2. Pattern Falling Channel: Price has been trending downwards inside a descending channel (highlighted in blue). Recently, price bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a short-term bullish retracement. 3. Key Levels Entry Zone (Sell Area): Around 0.79727 – 0.80080 (gray + green box). This is a supply zone / resistance area where sellers might step in. Stop Loss: Just above 0.80080 (green zone suggests a safe stop loss). Take Profit: Around 0.78021 (bottom of the channel, marked with blue line). 4. Trade Idea This looks like a sell setup: Expectation is price will move slightly higher into the resistance box. Then reverse back down, continuing the main bearish trend toward the lower channel boundary. 5. Risk-Reward Risk: Small (green zone is tight, just above resistance). Reward: Large (target is far below near 0.7800). This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, which is attractive for swing traders. 6. Confirmation The setup assumes rejection from the resistance zone. Confirmation might come from bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing) on the 4H chart before entering short. ✅ Summary: This is a bearish continuation setup inside a descending channel. The plan is to sell around 0.797–0.801 zone with a stop loss above 0.801 and target near 0.7800. Good R:R ratio — but entry should wait for rejection/confirmation.
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
Swiss-Dollar Bank Job: Breakout or Bust!💵🕵️ USD/CHF "Swiss-dollar" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade) 💎🚀 🌍 Dear Thieves, Robbers & OG’s of the Market Vault, This is our master robbery blueprint based on 🔥Thief Strategy🔥 using layered entries & alarms to catch the breakout in real-time. 📈 Plan: Bullish (Pending Order Plan) Breakout Entry ⚡: 0.81100 (set your alarms, don’t miss the crack in the vault 🚨) Pullback Entries (Layer Method) 🧱: 0.79000 0.79300 0.79500 0.79700 0.80000 (add more layers if needed, stack your bullets 🎯) 💡 Thief Layer Strategy: Place multiple buy limit orders like thieves placing ladders at different points of entry. Confirm every layer only after breakout @0.81100. 🛑 Stop Loss (SL) Breakout Entry SL: 0.80000 Pullback Entry SL: 0.78500 ⚠️ Place your SL only after breakout/pullback confirms. Adjust as per your own risk appetite & layering style. 🎯 Target Police barricade spotted 🚓 around 0.83000 Escape Target 🎒: 0.82500 (collect profits before the cops close in 🚔💨) 🔔 Important Reminder ✅ Always set alarms in TradingView so you catch the breakout without missing it. ✅ SL & Target levels are based on Thief OG method — tweak them for your style. ✅ This is not financial advice, just a robbery blueprint. 💖 If you enjoyed this heist plan, boost the idea & join the Thief Crew 🚀💵. Together we raid the market vaults daily! 🏆💸
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF Bulls Eye 0.8060 as Support Holds FirmUSDCHF has bounced strongly from the 0.7920 support zone, with buyers showing commitment to defend this base. The pair is building momentum for a push toward the 0.7990 and 0.8060 levels as dollar strength combines with fading CHF demand. With the Swiss franc losing some safe-haven appeal and the Fed remaining cautious but still tighter than the SNB, the path of least resistance favors further upside. Current Bias Bullish – Momentum is shifting upward after defending 0.7920 support. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Slower pace of cuts than initially expected keeps USD relatively firm. Swiss National Bank (SNB): Maintains accommodative stance with minimal inflation pressure, weighing on CHF. Risk Sentiment: Reduced safe-haven demand for CHF as equities stabilize and US yields remain attractive. Macro Context Interest rates: Fed is more hawkish relative to SNB, supporting USDCHF upside. Economic growth: US remains resilient, while Swiss growth is subdued. Commodity flows: Limited direct impact, but safe-haven demand dynamics remain key. Geopolitical themes: CHF lags as safe-haven flows rotate into gold and USD instead. Primary Risk to the Trend A renewed surge in global risk aversion (e.g., geopolitical shocks or equity sell-offs) could reignite CHF strength, capping USDCHF upside. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed guidance – main drivers for USD momentum. SNB policy commentary – could impact if there’s any surprise tightening language. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF tends to be a lagger to broader USD moves (following EURUSD and DXY). However, it can lead CHF crosses such as EURCHF and CADCHF, particularly when safe-haven flows dominate. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7920, 0.7910 Resistance Levels: 0.7990, 0.8060 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7910 (below key support zone) Take Profit (TP): 0.8060 (major resistance target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF is shaping up for a bullish continuation as long as the 0.7920 base holds. The bias is bullish, with SL set at 0.7910 and TP at 0.8060. Fed-SNB policy divergence and softer CHF safe-haven flows keep momentum tilted higher, but the key risk is a sudden return of global risk-off sentiment. Watch US inflation and Fed commentary as the deciding catalysts for a push toward the 0.8060 resistance zone.
Long
by ultreosforex
USDCHF Fresh Breakdown Opens the Door for Deeper LossesUSDCHF has cracked below the 0.8000 handle with strong bearish momentum. The pair has been grinding lower in a descending channel, and this latest push confirms sellers are in control. With the market leaning toward further Fed easing and the Swiss franc supported by safe-haven demand, the path of least resistance points lower, with room to test key support zones ahead. Current Bias Bearish downside momentum accelerating after a clean break below 0.8000. Key Fundamental Drivers U.S.: August NFP showed softer jobs growth and unemployment ticking up to 4.3%. Core PCE eased to 2.9%, keeping the Fed on track for cuts. Switzerland: CPI cooled to 1.0% y/y, giving the SNB room to stay neutral. However, CHF continues to benefit from haven flows tied to Middle East and trade tensions. Risk Sentiment: Heightened geopolitical uncertainty (Israel–Hamas tensions, OPEC+ supply moves, Trump tariff push) supports CHF demand. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed cuts priced in for late 2025, while SNB keeps policy cautious but stable. Economic Growth: U.S. growth slowing; Swiss growth steady but muted. Commodities/Flows: Oil’s weakness pressures USD indirectly via risk sentiment, while CHF gains from capital inflows in risk-off environments. Geopolitics: Middle East conflict headlines, U.S.–China trade disputes, and Russia sanctions remain CHF-positive. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp rebound in U.S. inflation or CPI surprise could stall Fed cut bets, boosting USD. Rapid de-escalation in geopolitical tensions could unwind CHF safe-haven flows. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. CPI release will set the tone for Fed rate expectations. SNB September policy meeting — potential signals on FX intervention or inflation outlook. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is a lagger, often following broader USD direction (DXY) and global risk sentiment. CHF strength typically mirrors moves in gold and JPY, especially during periods of geopolitical stress. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7949, 0.7918 Resistance Levels: 0.8010, 0.8070 Stop Loss (SL): 0.8010 Take Profit (TP): 0.7949 (first), 0.7918 (extended) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF has turned decisively bearish with momentum pressing the pair below 0.8000. The trade setup favors selling rallies with a stop above 0.8010 and targets at 0.7949 and 0.7918. Fundamentals back the downside as Fed cut expectations weigh on the dollar and safe-haven demand keeps CHF supported. The key watchpoint is the upcoming U.S. CPI release, which could make or break the move softer inflation would accelerate the drop, while a strong surprise could provide USD relief. Until then, the bias stays bearish.
Short
by ultreosforex
1
USDCHF - Short Term Sell IdeaH4 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh UpsideMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Targets Fresh Upside USD/CHF is rising and might aim for a move toward 0.8100. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF is showing positive signs above the 0.8020 zone. - There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair declined from the 0.8075 barrier and tested the 0.7985 zone. The US Dollar traded as low as 0.7983 and recently started a fresh increase against the Swiss Franc. The pair climbed above 0.8020 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a break above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8076 swing high to the 0.7983 low. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.8000. The bulls are now facing hurdles near the 76.4% Fib retracement at 0.8055. The next major area of interest could be 0.8075. The main sell region could be near 0.8100. If there is a clear break above 0.8100 and the RSI remains above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8150. If there is another decline, the pair might test the 50-hour simple moving average at 0.8020. The first major support on the USD/CHF chart is near 0.8000. A downside break below 0.8000 might spark bearish moves. The next major support is 0.7880. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7840 in the near term. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF Swissie Heist Plan: Rob the Trend, Ride the Bull!🔐💰 USD/CHF Swissie Forex Heist 💰🔐 “Rob the Trend, Escape the Trap – Thief Style Day/Swing Master Plan” 🌎 Hola! Hello! Ola! Marhaba! Bonjour! Hallo! Dear Market Looters, Swing Snipers & Scalping Shadows, 🕶️💼💸 Welcome to another elite Thief Trading Operation, targeting the USD/CHF "SWISSIE" vault with precision. Based on sharp technical blueprints & macroeconomic footprints, we're not just trading – we're executing a Forex Bank Heist. This robbery mission is based on our day/swing Thief strategy – perfect for those who plan, act smart, and love stacking pips like bricks of cash. 💵🧱 💹 Mission Brief (Trade Setup): 🎯 Entry Point – Open the Vault: Swipe the Bullish Loot! Price is prepped for an upside raid – jump in at any live price OR set smart Buy Limit orders near the 15m/30m recent pullback zones (last swing low/high). Use DCA / Layering for better entries, thief-style. 🧠 Thief Logic: Let the market come to you. Pullbacks are entry doors – robbers don’t rush into traps. 🛑 Stop Loss – Exit Strategy If Caught: 📍 Primary SL: Below recent swing low on the 4H chart (around 0.79430) 📍 Adjust based on lot size, risk, and number of stacked entries. This SL isn’t your leash – it’s your getaway route in case the plan backfires. 🏴‍☠️ Profit Target – Escape Before the Cops Arrive: 🎯 Target Zone: 0.81900 (Or dip out earlier if the vault cracks fast – Robbers exit before alarms trigger!) 📌 Trailing SL recommended as we climb up the electric red zone. 🔥 Swissie Heist Conditions: 📈 USD/CHF showing upward bias based on: Momentum shift Reversal zone bounce Strong USD sentiment & macro factors ✅ COT positioning ✅ Intermarket correlations ✅ Sentiment & Quant data ➡️ Do your fundamental recon 🔎 ⚔️ Scalpers – Here's Your Mini-Mission: Only play LONGS. No counter-robbing. 💸 Big bags? Enter with aggression. 💼 Small stack? Follow the swing crew. 💾 Always trail your SL – protect the stash. 🚨 News Alert – Avoid Laser Alarms: 🗓️ During high-volatility releases: ⚠️ No new trades ⚠️ Use trailing SLs ⚠️ Watch for spikes & fakeouts – the vault traps amateurs 💣 Community Boost Request: If this plan helps you loot the market: 💥 Smash that Boost Button 💥 Let’s strengthen the Thief Army 💼 The more we grow, the faster we move, and the deeper we steal. Every like = one more bulletproof trade. #TradeLikeAThief 🏆🚨💰 📌 Legal Escape Note: This chart is a strategic overview, not personalized advice. Always use your judgment, manage risk, and review updated data before executing trades. 📌 Market is dynamic – so keep your eyes sharp, your plan tighter, and your strategy ruthless. 🕶️ Stay dangerous. Stay profitable. See you soon for the next Forex Vault Hit. Until then – Lock. Load. Loot.
Long
by The-Thief
USDCHF Precision Heist Strategy – Buy Dips, Bag Pips💼💸 USDCHF "SWISSIE" – Bullish Vault Infiltration Plan 🕶️📈 "Plan the Layer. Stack the Cash. Escape Clean." 🧠 Mastermind Setup (Thief Trader Blueprint) 🔍 Asset: USDCHF – “The Swissie” 📊 Market Bias: Bullish 🎯 Method: Multi-limit Entry via GRID / Layering / DCA Strategy 🔓 Entry Point: Any live price – thief never waits for permission 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.80000 – the trapdoor in case of reversal 🎯 Target: 0.82400 – cash out before the sirens blare 🧰 Tactical Details: 🎯 Entry Strategy: Layer entries like a precision bank job – DCA into support zones or pullback levels. Let price come to your ambush. “A wise thief doesn't chase the vault – he waits in the shadow.” 🧠 Thief Psychology: We're hunting liquidity pools. Every fake-out is a distraction. Our plan? Predict the move, then ambush it. 🔥 Fundamentals Fueling the Heist: ✅ USD Strengthening on macro pressure ✅ CHF weakening under global risk reset ✅ Institutional net long bias in USD ✅ Intermarket confluence supports USD/CHF upside “Read the tape. Watch the flows. Follow the smart money.” 📛 Stop Loss Plan: Set SL below 0.80000 – deeper than the market’s false traps. Use dynamic SL with trade size + risk model. SL = Exit plan, not an emotion control leash. Be tactical, not scared. 🎯 Take Profit Tactics: Target zone at 0.82400 – near historical resistance vault. Use trailing SL as price flies to protect the bag. Partial exit if momentum wanes. ⚔️ Scalper's Mini Mission: 🕵️‍♂️ Focus ONLY on longs – counter moves are traps 💰 Fast fingers? Ride intraday pullbacks 📍 Secure profits fast – alarms ring quick in Forex banks 🚨 Risk Event Alert: 🗓️ Avoid execution during major USD/CHF economic reports ⚠️ Pause entries ⚠️ Use trail SLs if active ⚠️ Expect fakeouts – vault traps trigger easily during news bombs 🔊 Call to Thief Army – Boost This Plan 📣💥 If this setup lights up your chart like a vault scanner: 👍 Smash that LIKE 💬 Drop your entry below 🔁 Share with the crew Every boost = another brick stacked in our empire 💼 “Pips build pyramids. But unity builds empires.” #TradeLikeAThief #ForexHeist #SwissieSnatch 📌 Legal Escape Note: This is not financial advice. It’s a battle plan. Stay sharp. Manage risk. Execute with precision. 🕶️ Until next vault… Lock it. Load it. Loot it. 🔥 The Swissie won’t rob itself.
Long
by The-Thief