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The franc strengthens its position: pressure on the dollarAfter recent strengthening, USDCHF has shifted into a declining phase. The chart shows that upward impulses are losing momentum, while the movement is gradually transitioning into a bearish structure. Sellers are beginning to dominate, limiting growth attempts and pushing the price lower. Fundamental factors add pressure to the pair. Dollar weakness is linked to expectations of a dovish Federal Reserve policy and the decline of the DXY index, which is losing ground amid weak U.S. economic data. At the same time, the Swiss franc gains support as a safe-haven asset, especially under conditions of geopolitical uncertainty. An additional signal favoring the downside comes from the technical picture: the breakdown of key levels and the price holding within a bearish channel confirm seller interest. Thus, USDCHF remains under pressure, and the market’s next steps will determine whether the current decline develops into a sustained downtrend.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
Swissie Breakout Retest: Are Buyers Preparing a Major Push?USD/CHF BULLISH SETUP | HMA Pullback + TMA Breakout Retest (Swing/Day Trade) 🚀 📈 Asset: USD/CHF - "The Swissie" ⏰ Timeframe: 4H & Daily (Swing) / 1H & 15M (Day Entry) 🔄 Style: Bullish Continuation | Pullback & Breakout Retest ⚡ Strategy: "Thief Method" - Layered Limit Order Entry ✨ Executive Summary A technically sound bullish opportunity is forming on USD/CHF! We are identifying a high-probability pullback to a confluence zone, confirmed by the adaptive Hull Moving Average (HMA) and awaiting a decisive breakout & retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA). This plan uses a strategic, risk-managed entry method. 📊 Technical Rationale & Confirmation ✅ Trend Filter: Price above the key Hull Moving Average (HMA) on the 4H chart confirms the primary bullish structure. The current move is treated as a healthy pullback within the uptrend. 🔺 Key Signal: We are watching for a breakout and bullish retest of the Triangular Moving Average (TMA), which often acts as dynamic support in a trend. A successful hold here is our confirmation trigger. 🎯 Precision Entry Zone: The confluence area between 0.8000 - 0.8040 provides a high-value zone for action. ⚔️ Trade Plan: "The Thief" Layered Entry Strategy This plan uses multiple limit orders to "steal" the best average entry price, scaling into the position. 🟢 ENTRY (Layered Limit Orders): Layer 1: 0.8040 Layer 2: 0.8020 Layer 3: 0.8000 🔹 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital & risk appetite. ⛔ STOP LOSS (Risk Management): Initial/Thief SL: 0.7970 (Below the entry zone and key structure). 📢 IMPORTANT NOTE, THIEF CREW: I provide a framework, not financial advice. YOU MUST adjust your SL based on your personal risk tolerance and strategy. Protect your capital first! 💰 🎯 TAKE PROFIT Target: Primary Target: 0.8150 (A strong resistance and potential overbought/trap zone). Tactical Exit: Consider partial profits on the way up. "Escape with profits" when momentum wanes. 📢 REMINDER: This is MY target based on my analysis. YOU are responsible for your own exits. Take money at your own risk and comfort level. 🌍 Related Pairs & Key Correlations (Must Watch!) Monitoring correlated pairs increases context and confidence. FX:EURUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. If USD/CHF is bullish (USD strong), EURUSD is often bearish. Watch for USD strength confirmation here. OANDA:EURCHF : POSITIVE Correlation. Often moves in tandem with USD/CHF. A strong Euro can also support CHF pairs. Confirm trend alignment. FX:GBPUSD : NEGATIVE Correlation. Another major USD pair. Broad USD strength (helping USD/CHF) should pressure GBPUSD lower. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold): INVERSE Correlation to USD. A falling Gold price ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) typically signals USD strength, which could support this USD/CHF bullish thesis. 🔑 Key Point: For this USD/CHF bullish idea to thrive, we want to see broad USD strength (DXY ⬆️) and/or CHF weakness against other majors. Watch TVC:DXY for the clearest USD direction clue. 📌 Final Notes & Disclaimer This is a STRATEGY GUIDE, not a signal. The "Thief" method smooths your entry but requires discipline. Always use proper risk management (<1-2% per trade). Like 👍 and Follow if you find this detailed breakdown useful! It helps the algorithm and keeps more content coming! Comment below! What's your take on this setup? Are you watching the same correlations? 🚀 Trade Safe, Thief Crew! Let's get those pips! #Forex #USDCHF #Swissie #TradingView #TradingIdea #SwingTrading #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #HMA #TMA #Breakout #ForexStrategy #RiskManagement
by The-Thief
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Coils for Next MoveMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Coils for Next Move USD/CHF climbed higher above 0.8050 and might correct some gains. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF climbed higher above 0.8050 and 0.8080 before it faced hurdles. - There was a break below a bullish trend line with support at 0.8085 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair started a decent increase from 0.7940. The US Dollar climbed above the 0.8000 handle against the Swiss Franc. The bulls were able to pump the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8050. Finally, the pair tested 0.8100. A high was formed near 0.8101 and the pair is now consolidating gains. The pair dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7937 swing low to the 0.8101 high. Besides, there was a break below a bullish trend line at 0.8085. On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is near 0.8040. The first key area of interest might be near the 50% Fib retracement at 0.8020. A downside break below 0.8020 might call for a drop to 0.7975. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a move toward 0.7940. On the upside, the pair could struggle near 0.8080. The first major barrier for bulls is 0.8100. If there is a clear break above 0.8100 and the RSI climbs above 50, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could test 0.8150. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Will USD/CHF Sustain Its Bullish Structure with Layered Entries?🎯 USD/CHF "THE SWISSY" - BULLISH SWING SETUP | Multi-Layer Entry Strategy 💰 📊 MARKET OVERVIEW Pair: USD/CHF (The Swissy) Trade Type: Swing Trade - Bullish Bias Strategy: Thief's Multi-Layer Entry Method 🎭 🔥 THE SETUP 💎 ENTRY STRATEGY - LAYER METHOD Using Multiple Buy Limit Orders (Layering Style): Layer 1: 0.79000 🎯 Layer 2: 0.79200 🎯 Layer 3: 0.79400 🎯 📝 Note: You can add MORE layers based on YOUR capital & risk appetite. This averaging-down approach works when trend aligns with your direction! 🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT Thief's Stop Loss: 0.78600 ⚠️ ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY stop loss level. You MUST adjust YOUR stop loss based on: Your own risk tolerance Your account size Your trading strategy Your psychology I'm NOT recommending you copy my SL blindly. Trade at YOUR OWN RISK! 🎲 🎯 PROFIT TARGET Primary Target: 0.81000 🚀 📍 Why This Level? Moving Average acting as STRONG resistance zone Overbought conditions expected Potential bull trap zone - ESCAPE with profits here! ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's) - This is MY take profit level. You can exit earlier/later based on YOUR strategy. Make money, TAKE money at YOUR OWN RISK! 💪 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📈 POSITIVE CORRELATION (Move Together): EUR/CHF - Swiss Franc weakness benefits both GBP/CHF - CHF weakness across the board DXY (US Dollar Index) - USD strength drives USD/CHF up 📉 INVERSE CORRELATION (Move Opposite): EUR/USD - When USD strengthens, EUR/USD typically falls XAU/USD (Gold) - Gold often drops when USD gains CHF/JPY - Inverse CHF movement 🎯 KEY CORRELATION INSIGHTS: DXY above 106.00 = Bullish fuel for USD/CHF 🔥 Swiss National Bank dovish = CHF weakness expected US Treasury Yields rising = USD strength catalyst Risk-ON sentiment = CHF (safe haven) typically weakens 📊 KEY TECHNICAL FACTORS ✅ Bullish Catalysts: Multiple support levels holding USD showing relative strength CHF facing headwinds from SNB policy Layer entry allows better average price ⚠️ Watch Out For: Strong resistance at 0.81000 zone Potential overbought conditions near target Risk-OFF events trigger CHF safe-haven demand SNB surprise interventions 💡 THIEF'S FINAL WORDS "The market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient." This is a SWING trade - not a sprint! 🏃‍♂️ Layer your entries, manage your risk, and let the trade breathe. Remember: ✅ YOUR money = YOUR rules ✅ YOUR risk = YOUR decision ✅ YOUR profit = YOUR timing Trade smart, not hard! See you at 0.81000! 🎯💰 #USDCHF #ForexTrading #SwingTrade #TheSwissy #LayeringStrategy #RiskManagement #TradingView #ForexIdeas #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis 📈💪🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you're watching this pair! Drop a 💬 with your TP level!
Long
by The-Thief
USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening USD/CHF: The Franc is Awakening – Will There Be a Wave 5 or a Crash to 0.75? 📈 Weekly Scenarios Bearish scenario (main): Price holds below ~0.8080 → wave 5 develops → possible decline to ~0.7700–0.7500. Consolidation: Price may remain stuck in the ~0.7900–0.8080 range, awaiting further signal. Alternative bullish scenario: Breakout and fixation above ~0.8080 → corrective rise to ~0.8350 or higher. ✅ Conclusion USD/CHF on the weekly timeframe looks aggressively bearish, but not without the possibility of an unexpected rebound. The key to further direction is a reaction to the ~0.8080 and ~0.7900 levels. If the price consolidates below 0.8080, there's a high probability of a new downward wave. A breakout above this level could provide a chance for a correction or reversal.
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move. No opposite signs. Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by VladimirRibakov
Will the Swissy Bounce Back? LSMA Pullback Setup Inside!🥳 Swissy Heist: Bullish Swing Playbook (LSMA Pullback Strategy) 💰 Alright, Thief OGs! 👋 The USD/CHF ("Swissy") is setting up for a potential bullish move, and we've got the blueprints. This isn't a "get rich quick" scheme; it's a calculated swing trade plan using a classic pullback strategy. Let's get into it! 📊 The Master Plan (Analysis) Bias: Bullish ✅ Strategy: LSMA Moving Average Pullback & Continuation. Confirmation: We're looking for a pullback to a key demand zone where price respects the dynamic support offered by the LSMA (Least Squares Moving Average). A bounce from here signals the next leg up is likely starting. 🎯 Entry, Stop & Target (The "Thief" Logistics) This is where the "Thief" layer strategy comes into play. Instead of one all-in entry, we scale in with precision. 🎪 Entry Method (Layered Limit Orders): We're setting multiple buy limit orders to catch the dip at these key levels: Layer 1: 0.79000 Layer 2: 0.79200 Layer 3: 0.79400 Layer 4: 0.79600 Pro Tip: You can adjust the number of layers and levels based on your own risk appetite and market structure. 🚨 Stop Loss (Risk Management): A decisive break below the structure suggests the plan is invalid. The suggested stop loss for this setup is below the key support at 0.78800. Disclaimer: This is MY stop level. You are the captain of your own ship—manage your risk according to your own trading plan and risk tolerance! 🧭 🎯 Take Profit (The Escape Plan): Our primary target is 0.80400. Why? This area represents a confluence of resistance: the moving average may act as resistance, and we could see some overbought pressure. The goal is to "escape with profits" before any potential trap snaps shut! 🪤 Reminder: Just like the SL, this is MY target. Feel free to take partial profits earlier or trail your stop—you do what's best for YOUR pockets! 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch $EUR/CHF: Often moves in correlation with USD/CHF due to the shared CHF (Swiss Franc). A strong CHF will affect both pairs. $EUR/USD: The "anti-dollar" pair. A strong bullish move in USD/CHF often coincides with a bearish move in EUR/USD. Watch this for overall USD strength clues. $GBP/CHF: Another CHF-cross that can show similar sentiment towards the Swiss Franc. Key Correlation Point: If the USD is strengthening broadly, we'll likely see bullish momentum in USD/CHF and bearish momentum in pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD. ✨ Final Notes from the "Thief" Vault This is a swing trade idea, so patience is key! ⌛ The "Thief" style is all about strategic, layered entries—not reckless gambling. Always trade with a plan and never risk more than you can afford to lose. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #Forex #USDCHF #Trading #SwingTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LSMA #TradingSetup #ForexSignals #DXY #Swissy
by The-Thief
USDCHF - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH4 - Strong bearish move. Uptrend line breakout. No opposite signs. Currently it looks like a pullback is happening. Expecting bearish continuation after pullback until the strong resistance zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
Short
by VladimirRibakov
USD/CHF Falls to Two-Week LowUSD/CHF Falls to Two-Week Low This morning, the USD/CHF exchange rate slipped below 0.7944 for the first time since 1 October, as demand for safe-haven assets intensified — a trend also reflected in yesterday’s record gold price above $4,200. The traditionally stable Swiss franc is strengthening amid rising global uncertainty and risk aversion: → In Japan, the upcoming prime ministerial election could significantly impact monetary policy, while France faces ongoing political turmoil. → In the United States, the government shutdown continues, and traders are closely watching developments around a potential trade deal with China, possibly to be discussed during an expected meeting between the two countries’ leaders. Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart As noted in our 25 September analysis, the Swiss franc has appreciated through 2025 amid elevated geopolitical and macroeconomic risks, forming a downward channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red). We also highlighted: → the possibility of a trend reversal around the 0.7900 support area; → potential breakout targets (shown in blue). Since then, the bulls have indeed made progress, driving the price up towards point A and: → breaking above the red channel’s upper boundary; → overcoming the psychological 0.8000 level. However, that progress has not been sustained. Among the bearish signals: → the median line of the blue channel acted as resistance; → the brief move above local highs around 0.8072 resembles a bearish liquidity grab. From the bullish perspective, USD/CHF has now retreated into a zone that could act as support: → the upper boundary of the red channel; → the lower boundary of the blue channel. The arrow highlights signs of a bullish engulfing pattern, suggesting that buyers may be using these support zones to stage a rebound within the blue channel. The 0.8000 psychological mark could serve as the first key test of their resolve. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF Day Trade Idea: Hull MA Break Signals Sellers’ Control💵 USD/CHF "THE SWISS" – Forex Market Profit Pathway Setup (Day Trade) 📉 Trading Plan: Bearish Bias The Hull Moving Average (HMA) was recently breached by sellers, confirming the downtrend momentum. 🔑 Entry Approach (Layering Style) Instead of a single entry, I’m applying a layered sell-limit strategy: Sell Limit Layers: 0.79200 | 0.79000 | 0.78800 | 0.78650 (you can adjust/add more layers based on your own trade management) 🛑 Stop Loss Idea My protective SL: 0.79500 👉 Note: This is my preferred stop level, but you can always customize risk based on your comfort. Trade at your own discretion. 🎯 Target Zone Key support + oversold conditions + potential liquidity trap → Exit zone around 0.78000. 👉 Again, this is my take-profit preference — but you can scale out or close earlier if you catch profits. 📌 Key Notes for Traders ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is my trading idea, not financial advice. Everyone’s money-management style is unique. ✅ The setup is designed for day trade positioning with controlled risk. 💡 Use flexible TP/SL rules — your risk tolerance = your decision. 🔗 Related Pairs to Watch FX:EURUSD → Often inversely correlated with USD/CHF (when EUR rises, USD/CHF tends to fall). FX:USDJPY → Strong USD pairs can give clues about broader USD strength/weakness. OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) → A safe-haven asset like CHF; if Gold gains, CHF can strengthen too. TVC:DXY (Dollar Index) → Always a must-watch for confirming USD direction. ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #DayTrading #HullMovingAverage #SwingTrade #ForexSignals #TradingPlan #DXY #GoldCorrelation #ThiefStyle
Short
by The-Thief
USDCHF Dollar Holds the Edge as Swissy Faces Safe-Haven FatigueUSDCHF has pulled back into a key support zone but remains inside its broader bullish channel. The pair has been climbing steadily on the back of USD strength, while the Swiss franc is losing some of its safe-haven shine as global markets stabilize. With the Fed holding firm on policy and the SNB leaning dovish, the dollar has the upper hand, keeping the upside bias intact. Current Bias Bullish – momentum remains positive as long as price respects the channel support, with upside targets at 0.8033 and 0.8102. Key Fundamental Drivers USD Support: Sticky US inflation and Fed reluctance to accelerate cuts underpin dollar demand. CHF Weakness: SNB maintains a dovish tone, with inflation under control and policymakers cautious about overtightening. Risk Sentiment: Reduced demand for CHF as haven flows ease with calmer equity and bond markets. Macro Context Interest Rate Expectations: Fed policy rate staying higher for longer; SNB unlikely to tighten further. Economic Growth Trends: US economy resilient; Switzerland showing slower momentum. Commodity Flows: Not directly impactful, but oil-driven inflation risk supports USD policy divergence. Geopolitical Themes: Any flare-up in Middle East or tariff disputes could briefly favor CHF, but the USD remains the dominant global hedge. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp escalation in geopolitical tensions or unexpected SNB policy tightening could drive renewed CHF strength and weigh on USDCHF. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event US CPI and Fed commentary will set the USD tone. Swiss trade data could give short-term moves but is secondary compared to US releases. Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF acts as a lagger, mostly reacting to USD-driven moves and global risk sentiment. It often mirrors inverse EURUSD moves and follows USD performance across majors. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7969 0.7909 Resistance Levels: 0.8033 0.8102 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7909 Take Profit (TP): 0.8102 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF bias is bullish, with channel support holding and room for continuation toward 0.8102. Fundamentals favor the dollar over the franc, as Fed policy diverges from a softer SNB stance and risk appetite reduces CHF demand. The stop loss is set at 0.7909 to protect against downside reversal, while take profit is targeted at 0.8102. Watch US inflation and Fed communication closely, as these remain the biggest drivers of direction. While CHF can regain short bursts of strength during geopolitical shocks, USDCHF remains tilted to the upside.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF Swing Trade Plan — Breakout Setup + Layered Entries📊 USD/CHF "SWISSY" | Swing/Day Trade + Market Sentiment Report 🕶️💵 Date: September 2, 2025 (🟢 +0.56% daily change) 📈 Key Market Metrics 52-Week Range: 0.7871 - 0.9202 Day's Range: 0.8000 - 0.8061 1-Month Change: +0.21% 12-Month Change: +5.24% 😰 Fear & Greed Index (Market Sentiment) Current Value: 64/100 (Greed 😊) Driven by rate cut hopes + strong equity performance 1-Year Average: 49 (Neutral) Greed Signals: Stocks outperform bonds, low volatility, bullish options 🧠 Trader Positioning Retail Traders: 55% Long 📈 | 45% Short 📉 Institutions: 60% Long 🏦 | 40% Short 💼 ➡️ Overall sentiment: Moderately bullish, with Fed rate cut expectations supporting USD, but CHF safe-haven flows capping upside. 🏦 Macro & Fundamental Drivers US Dollar (USD): Fed rate cut probability: 90% (Sept) 🕊️ CPI: 2.7% (above 2% target) Labor market cooling (weak NFPs) Tariff/political risks pressuring USD Swiss Franc (CHF): SNB policy rate: 0.0% (room for negatives) CPI: 0.2% (ultra-low, no hawkish push) CHF demand supported by Ukraine-Russia tensions CHF up +5.24% YoY vs USD 🛠️ Trade Plan (Thief Strategy) 📌 Bias: Bullish (Pending Order Setup) 📌 Entry Trigger: Breakout above 0.80700 ⚡ (Set TradingView alert to catch breakout fast!) Layered Entry (Thief Method): Limit Buy Orders at: 0.80300 | 0.80400 | 0.80500 | 0.80600 Add more limit layers as per your risk appetite ✅ Always confirm breakout (0.80700) before layering in Stop Loss (Thief SL): Protective SL @ 0.80000 (after breakout confirm) Adjust based on your risk & strategy Take Profit 🎯: Target @ 0.81800 ⚡ Expect resistance + overbought signals near this zone Reminder: Secure profits quick — “escape with the bag” before reversal 🏃‍♂️💨 🎯 Market Outlook Bullish Score: 65/100 🐂 Bearish Score: 35/100 🐻 ➡️ Bias is short-term bullish on Fed dovish stance, but upside capped by CHF safe-haven demand. ⚠️ Risks to Watch Fed Decision (Sept 17) US NFP Data (Upcoming) Swiss CPI (Sept 4) Geopolitical tensions (Ukraine-Russia) 💡 Quick Summary USD/CHF shows bullish momentum with breakout potential above 0.80700. Thief strategy layering provides multiple low-risk entries. Fundamentals support USD strength short term, but CHF safe-haven demand could slow gains. Trade with alerts, protect capital, and execute layered entries wisely. 🔍 Related Pairs to Watch 💲 FX:EURUSD | FX:GBPUSD | FX:USDJPY | OANDA:XAUUSD (Gold) ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” #USDCHF #Forex #SwingTrade #DayTrading #BreakoutTrading #ForexStrategy #LayeredEntries #ThiefTrading #PriceAction #TradingViewIdeas #MarketSentiment
Long
by The-Thief
Market Analysis: USD/CHF Corrects LowerMarket Analysis: USD/CHF Corrects Lower USD/CHF declined from 0.8000 and is now struggling to stay above 0.7945. Important Takeaways for USD/CHF Analysis Today - USD/CHF declined below the 0.7985 and 0.7965 support levels. - There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance near 0.7965 on the hourly chart. USD/CHF Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CHF, the pair started a fresh decline after it failed to stay above 0.8000. The US Dollar dropped below 0.7985 to move into a negative zone against the Swiss Franc. There was a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.7902 swing low to the 0.8014 high. The bears pushed the pair below the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.7965. Finally, the pair tested the 61.8% Fib retracement at 0.7945. It is now consolidating losses and facing resistance near the 50-hour simple moving average and a major bearish trend line at 0.7965. A clear move above the trend line could send the pair to 0.7985. The next major barrier for the bulls might be 0.8015, above which the pair could test the 0.8050 level. If there is a clear break above 0.8050, the pair could start another increase. In the stated case, it could even surpass 0.8100. On the downside, immediate support on the USD/CHF chart is 0.7945. The first major area of interest could be 0.7925. Any more losses may possibly open the path for a move toward the 0.7900 level in the coming sessions. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF Bullish Breakout Buy Setup – High R:R Trade Idea1. Overall Trend Price was in a strong uptrend first. Then, it formed a small downward channel (green area) which is usually a consolidation phase in an uptrend. 2. Breakout Zone Price is near the end of the channel and a potential bullish breakout is expected. The yellow box (Entry Zone) shows the buying area. 3. Entry Point Entry point is around 0.79798. This is where a buy trade is planned. 4. Stop Loss (Risk Control) Stop loss is between 0.79764 – 0.79619. If price breaks below this zone, the trade should be closed to limit losses. 5. Target Point (Take Profit) Target is around 0.80334. This is based on the height of the previous move (measured move strategy). 6. Risk-to-Reward Ratio The green box shows Risk/Reward ratio. Reward is higher than risk, which makes this a good setup if breakout happens. --- 📊 Summary Trade Type: Buy Setup Entry: ~0.79798 Stop Loss: Below 0.79619 Take Profit: ~0.80334 Idea: Expect price to reverse from entry zone and move up toward the target.
Long
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING
USDCHF – Dollar Clawing Back Ground Against the FrancUSDCHF is showing signs of recovery after testing key demand zones, with buyers stepping in to defend support. The pair is caught between U.S. dollar strength on safe-haven flows and the Swiss franc’s own defensive appeal. With both currencies serving as havens, the tug-of-war often comes down to relative policy stances between the Fed and the Swiss National Bank (SNB). Current Bias Bullish – recovering from strong support, with upside potential toward resistance. Key Fundamental Drivers Federal Reserve: Inflation remains above comfort levels, limiting aggressive cuts and keeping the USD supported. Swiss National Bank: With Swiss inflation still subdued, the SNB remains under little pressure to tighten, giving USD an edge. Market Flows: Risk sentiment plays a big role—when global markets stabilize, USD tends to outperform CHF due to policy divergence. Macro Context Interest Rates: Fed is leaning toward a gradual easing path, but less aggressively than peers, while SNB has limited tightening pressure. Economic Growth: U.S. growth is still relatively stronger compared to the stagnant Swiss economy. Commodity & Trade Flows: CHF gains mainly during global uncertainty, while U.S. tariffs and fiscal concerns add some volatility. Geopolitical Themes: U.S. trade policies and Middle East tensions could tilt demand back toward the USD over CHF. Primary Risk to the Trend A sharp risk-off wave (geopolitical shock or equity selloff) could strengthen CHF and undermine USDCHF bullish momentum. Most Critical Upcoming News/Event U.S. PCE inflation release Fed speakers on rate outlook Swiss CPI updates Leader/Lagger Dynamics USDCHF is typically a lagger, reflecting the balance of flows between stronger risk assets and other USD pairs like EURUSD and USDJPY. However, during safe-haven stress, it can temporarily act as a leader for CHF crosses such as EURCHF and GBPCHF. Key Levels Support Levels: 0.7881, 0.7829 Resistance Levels: 0.7960, 0.8026 Stop Loss (SL): 0.7829 (below structural support) Take Profit (TP): 0.7960 (first target), 0.8026 (secondary target) Summary: Bias and Watchpoints USDCHF holds a bullish bias, with buyers defending key support at 0.7881–0.7829 and aiming for a push toward 0.7960 and possibly 0.8026. A stop loss under 0.7829 protects against a deeper reversal, while U.S. inflation data and Fed tone remain the main drivers. The pair usually lags EURUSD and USDJPY but can lead CHF crosses in risk-sensitive markets. Watch risk sentiment closely—any flare-up in global uncertainty could strengthen CHF and stall the bullish push.
Long
by ultreosforex
USD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank DecisionUSD/CHF Holds Steady Following Central Bank Decision Today, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided to keep its interest rate unchanged at zero, in line with analysts’ expectations. Notably: → The SNB’s interest rate remains arguably the lowest among central banks of developed economies; → According to official statements, the main obstacle to Swiss economic growth is Trump’s tariffs. Technical Analysis of the USD/CHF Chart In 2025, the Swiss franc strengthened — which is unsurprising given the high demand for safe‑haven assets (as evidenced by gold’s record high) amid rising geopolitical and macroeconomic risks. At the same time, lower highs and lows have allowed the construction of a descending channel on the USD/CHF chart (shown in red). However, a closer look at recent price dynamics suggests there are grounds to believe that the downtrend may be coming to an end. Why? Firstly, the price is holding in the upper half of the channel, indicating insufficient selling pressure. Secondly, consider the strength of the 0.7900 support level. In July, it prevented the market from falling further after the breach of the 0.8080 support level, and it continues to hold in September — note the price behaviour indicated by the arrow: → A bearish breakout attempt failed. After a brief dip below 0.7900, the price confidently returned above this level. → The median of the descending channel acted as support, and the chart shows lows that exhibit signs of an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. This suggests that: → The current red channel may be broken in the near term, potentially driven by factors supporting USD strength; → There may be a bullish attempt to establish a rally, with targets indicated in blue. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
USD/CHF – Bearish Channel Rejection | Short Setup Towards 0.7800 Pair & Timeframe Pair: USD/CHF (U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc) Timeframe: 4H (4-hour chart) 2. Pattern Falling Channel: Price has been trending downwards inside a descending channel (highlighted in blue). Recently, price bounced from the lower boundary of the channel, indicating a short-term bullish retracement. 3. Key Levels Entry Zone (Sell Area): Around 0.79727 – 0.80080 (gray + green box). This is a supply zone / resistance area where sellers might step in. Stop Loss: Just above 0.80080 (green zone suggests a safe stop loss). Take Profit: Around 0.78021 (bottom of the channel, marked with blue line). 4. Trade Idea This looks like a sell setup: Expectation is price will move slightly higher into the resistance box. Then reverse back down, continuing the main bearish trend toward the lower channel boundary. 5. Risk-Reward Risk: Small (green zone is tight, just above resistance). Reward: Large (target is far below near 0.7800). This gives a good risk-to-reward ratio, which is attractive for swing traders. 6. Confirmation The setup assumes rejection from the resistance zone. Confirmation might come from bearish candlestick patterns (pin bar, engulfing) on the 4H chart before entering short. ✅ Summary: This is a bearish continuation setup inside a descending channel. The plan is to sell around 0.797–0.801 zone with a stop loss above 0.801 and target near 0.7800. Good R:R ratio — but entry should wait for rejection/confirmation.
Short
by LABA_GOLD_TRADING