Stop!Loss|Market View: GOLD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for GOLD ☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 4330.320
💰TP: 4023.981
⛔️SL: 4544.296
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
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💬 Description: Gold has been showing signs of a possible "double top," but an update of the high may happen. While gold is testing its all-time high once more, silver and platinum have not yet recovered from their decline at the end of last week. Given that the USD index has been rising alongside gold since mid-September, it can be assumed that gold's current rally is a culmination of retail buying. The likelihood of a downward reversal has increased.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
USDJPY
Fundamental Market Analysis for October 22, 2025 USDJPYThe yen finds support amid rising market volatility and position trimming ahead of the Bank of Japan meeting on October 29–30. Political changes in Tokyo come with an emphasis on sustained wage growth as a condition for meeting the price objective, increasing market sensitivity to potential tightening signals in the coming months.
At the same time, expectations of a Fed rate cut at the end of October limit the upside in U.S. Treasury yields and reduce the dollar’s appeal versus the yen. The mere possibility that the BoJ may take further steps toward normalization keeps USDJPY from revisiting yearly highs.
Additional support for the yen comes from improving trade indicators and vigilance over the risk of verbal intervention by Japanese authorities if the currency weakens excessively. The combination of these factors provides a fundamental case for a downward correction in USDJPY.
Trade recommendation: SELL 151.650, SL 152.150, TP 150.900
USDJPY Long #confluence country #trade the stacks. OANDA:USDJPY
Fundamental: Bullish (5)
Technical: Bullish (6/7) — actionable threshold met (≥6)
20-word summary: Dollar-yen supported by rate differentials; EMAs aligned; momentum constructive; watch 152 zone and intervention risk while trend persists this week.
Actionable Trade (Long): ATR 1.181 → SL distance 1.79512; Stop 150.08088; TP 156.54331 (2.6R).
USDJPY Had its 1st 1D Golden Cross since Dec 2024.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 2025 market bottom and just last week, it formed the first 1D Golden Cross since December 16 2024. As you can see, all three 1D Golden Crosses since June 2023 have been strong Buy Signals.
All have been formed within Channel Up patterns that formed Higher Highs just after the crosses. The target of the current Channel Up is 154.000, which represents a +6.06% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs of this pattern. The uptrend is so far restricted by the presence of the Lower Highs trend-line that started back on the July 03 2024 market Top.
This time however we may see this break as the 1W RSI has already broken above its own Lower Highs trend-line, signaling an early bullish warning. As a result, if the July 2024 Lower Highs trend-line breaks, we expect the pair to eye the upper Resistance at 159.000.
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Bullish momentum set to continue?USD/JPY is falling towards the support level, which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 151.21
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 150.41
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 153.13
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance level.
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#USDJPY: 1300+ Pips Swing Buy, Comment Your Views! Dear Traders,
We hope you are trading successfully.
The price has filled the liquidity gap and reversed positively with strong volume emerging. While the USD was extremely bearish, the DXY has begun to show bullish momentum which will directly affect the DXY and the future of the USDJPY.
We have identified two potential targets. The first is a nearby target. If the DXY continues to remain bullish we may see the price reach this target soon. The second target is a swing entry.
We wish you the best of luck and trade safely.
Team Setupsfx
USDJPY: Will Start Falling! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the USDJPY pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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USDJPY: Waiting for a pullback signal on the lower timeframe
* Trend: assessed using at least three trend indicators, with market structure as the primary guide.
** Weak or Reversal Signals: Assessed based on one of our criteria for trend reversal signals.
*** Support/Resistance: Selected from multiple factors – static (Swing High, Swing Low, etc.), dynamic (EMA, MA, etc.), psychological (Fibonacci, RSI, etc.) – and determined based on the trader’s discretion.
**** Our advice takes into account all factors, including both fundamental and technical analysis. It is not intended as a profit target. We hope it can serve as a reference to help you trade more effectively. This advice is for informational purposes only and we assume no responsibility for any trading results based on it.
George Vann @ ZuperView
Yen May Stabilise Following Prime Minister’s ElectionUSD/JPY Analysis: Yen May Stabilise Following Prime Minister’s Election
According to media reports, conservative politician Sanae Takaichi has been elected Japan’s first female Prime Minister. As we noted on 7 October, she is a supporter of former Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Abenomics strategy, aimed at stimulating the economy through aggressive fiscal spending and ultra-loose monetary policy — a factor that fuelled the sharp A→B rally to an eight-month high.
Meanwhile, the most likely candidate for the position of Finance Minister is Satsuki Katayama, a former Minister for Regional Revitalisation, who has previously expressed support for a stronger yen.
Fluctuations on the USD/JPY chart reflect the uncertainty traders currently face as they attempt to gauge the future direction of the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy.
Technical Analysis of the USD/JPY Chart
The yen’s sharp weakening, which began on 6 October, led to:
→ the formation of a bullish gap around the 147.5–149 area;
→ an expansion of the previously established R1–S channel to R2–S.
After reversing from the R2 resistance level, the pair fell back towards the R1 line, which now acts as the channel’s median — a zone where supply and demand tend to balance. This supports the view that USD/JPY could stabilise in the near term.
From a bullish perspective:
→ The key 149–150 area (highlighted in purple) has shifted from resistance to support (as shown by the blue arrows).
From a bearish perspective:
→ Price action between 15 and 21 October indicates that sellers remain in control near the 151.7 level.
In this context, reduced volatility and consolidation of USD/JPY around the ¥151 per dollar level appear to be the most likely scenario — though this could change abruptly in response to major political announcements regarding the new cabinet or the Bank of Japan’s policy stance.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 78.6% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 150.95
1st Support: 150.09
1st Resistance: 152.43
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDJPY Holds Firm Above 151, Dollar Strength Faces Yen’s Haven USDJPY has surged to fresh highs above 153 before pulling back, showing how stretched the pair has become after weeks of relentless dollar strength. The dollar continues to benefit from sticky US inflation and hawkish Fed expectations, but the yen is finding some defensive flows as Japanese politics and global risk aversion come into play. This leaves USDJPY in a pivotal zone: either buyers defend the 151 handle for another push higher, or yen resilience drags the pair into a deeper correction.
Current Bias
Bullish – Despite the pullback, the trend remains tilted toward further USD strength as long as price stays above 151.00.
Key Fundamental Drivers
US Dollar (USD): Firm inflation, resilient labor data, and higher Treasury yields keep the dollar bid. The Fed is signaling patience before cutting, supporting front-end yield spreads in favor of the USD.
Japanese Yen (JPY): BOJ remains ultra-loose, but rising domestic political pressure and stronger wages are fueling speculation that policy normalization could come earlier than expected.
Risk Sentiment: JPY gains when equities wobble, while USD stays supported by yield and safe-haven flows.
Macro Context
Interest Rates: Fed is cautious about cutting, while BOJ is still holding rates near zero. The divergence remains a powerful driver of USDJPY.
Economic Growth: US growth has outpaced expectations, while Japan shows modest recovery but still depends heavily on exports.
Geopolitical Themes: US–China tariffs, Middle East risks, and Japanese election speculation all tilt in favor of JPY demand on risk-off days, but USD retains the upper hand when markets stabilize.
Primary Risk to the Trend
A sharp shift in BOJ guidance or surprise yen-supportive intervention could trigger a rapid unwind in USDJPY longs.
Most Critical Upcoming News/Event
US CPI data – any upside surprise could cement Fed caution and push USDJPY back to highs.
BOJ commentary – signals of policy adjustment would likely strengthen the yen.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics
USDJPY is a leader in yen pairs, often setting direction for EURJPY, GBPJPY, and CADJPY. It also acts as a barometer for global risk sentiment, with USDJPY strength often reflecting broad dollar dominance.
Key Levels
Support Levels:
151.50
149.95
Resistance Levels:
153.15
154.00
Stop Loss (SL): 148.40
Take Profit (TP): 153.15
Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
USDJPY remains bullish above 151.00, with a stop placed at 148.40 to guard against deeper corrections. A take-profit zone near 153.15 aligns with the recent rejection point. The key watchpoints are US inflation data and BOJ communication, both of which could determine if this move extends higher or stalls. For now, USDJPY remains the dominant driver of yen flows, keeping its role as a leader among JPY crosses.
USD/JPY 30-Min — Volume Buy & Sell Reversals TriggeredStatus: Active Reversal Protocol
Symbol: USD/JPY
Session: London–New York Overlap (Smart Exit Window)
➕Bias: Bullish & bearish Reversal
➕ Bearish Reversal " 151.850 Zone
➕Bullish Reversal : 150.500
🩸 Volume Surge Confirmed — Institutional buyers active
🩸 Session Aligned — Timing matches liquidity expansion window
🩸 Cluster Shield Formed — Demand imbalance verified
🩸 Delta Shift Positive — Accumulation phase confirmed
🩸 POC Retest Completed — Weak shorts absorbed
🩸 Structure Break Pending — Bullish intention verified
Logic: This is engineered reversal, not prediction.
💯 Objective: Controlled execution with minimal draw
USDJPY Holds Gains Above 150The USDJPY is currently trading above the mid-zone of a well-respected ascending channel that has been in place since the April 2025 lows, and below its upper boundary. Two critical confirmation levels define the near-term projection:
• Bullish Scenario:
o A sustained hold above 150 (the channel’s mid-zone) keeps the price aligned with the upper boundary near 153.30.
o A confirmed breakout above 153.30 would signal a continuation toward the 2025 highs near 157, and potentially higher — supported by a bullish rebound in the weekly RSI from oversold territory (as shown in the upcoming chart).
• Bearish Scenario:
o A close back below 150 would expose the pair to a deeper correction toward the channel’s lower boundary near 147.30, which also aligns with the 0.44 Fibonacci retracement of the rebound between April 2025 (139.88) and October 2025 (151.16).
o Should the lower boundary break, the bullish scenario would fade, with potential downside targets at 145.00 and 142.80.
- Razan Hilal, CMT
USDJPY – Yen Weakens as Japan Forms New Coalition👋Hello everyone, what are your thoughts on FX:USDJPY ?
At the start of the new week, USDJPY is showing interesting movements following news that Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and the Japan Innovation Party have agreed to form a coalition government. This development paves the way for Sanae Takaichi to become Japan’s first female Prime Minister, sparking market expectations of increased fiscal spending and a more accommodative monetary policy.
From a market perspective, these expectations tend to weaken the yen, as investors anticipate low interest rates to continue and ample liquidity support from the Bank of Japan.
As a result, USDJPY is likely to maintain its upward momentum, with potential for further gains if the U.S. dollar continues to be supported by higher Treasury yields and solid U.S. economic data.
What about you — do you think USDJPY will keep rising or start to fall? 💬Share your thoughts in the comments below!
Good luck!
Stop!Loss|Market View: EURUSD🙌 Stop!Loss team welcomes you❗️
In this post, we're going to talk about the near-term outlook for the EURUSD currency pair☝️
Potential trade setup:
🔔Entry level: 1.15425
💰TP: 1.14149
⛔️SL: 1.16114
"Market View" - a brief analysis of trading instruments, covering the most important aspects of the FOREX market.
👇 In the comments 👇 you can type the trading instrument you'd like to analyze, and we'll talk about it in our next posts.
💬 Description: Bearish mood for the euro persists. A strengthening of the USD is expected in the mid- and short term. The most aggressive sell scenario is to look for an entry point at the current price level below 1.16600 (alternative scenario). A more conservative scenario (main scenario) suggests an approach to support at 1.15500 and then a breakout towards 1.14000.
Thanks for your support 🚀
Profits for all ✅
❗️ Updates on this idea can be found below 👇
USDJPY: Holds Above HTLOn the daily timeframe, price broke through a previous HTL, which is now acting as support. There's also uptrend confluence signaled by price remaining above the EMAs and EMA20 being above EMA60.
Over on the H1 timeframe, price is also beginning to deviating away from the EMAs, which signals to me that there's momentum picking up.
In addition, price is also breaking above the DTL right now, which indicates that the counter-trend move is likely over.
USDJPY Rally Faces Pressure Near 151.250 on Safe-Haven FlowsHey Traders, in the coming week we’re monitoring USDJPY for a selling opportunity around the 151.250 zone.
The pair remains in a broader downtrend, currently in a corrective phase as it approaches this key resistance level.
Meanwhile, DXY is also correcting within its own downtrend, approaching resistance near 98.600, which reinforces the bearish bias on USD pairs.
With US–China tensions escalating, we’re seeing renewed safe-haven demand for JPY, potentially setting the stage for another leg lower in USDJPY.
Trade safe,
Joe
USD/JPY turns lowerFollowing the overnight gains, the USD/JPY has now turned negative on the day after failing to hold above Friday's hammer candle. The pair hit resistance around the 151.00 level, and has now fallen below the head of the hammer candle from Friday's range at 150.64. Short-term bias bearish now while it holds below 150.64. Next target for bears is 150.0 and then liquidity below Friday's range at 149.37. If the selling gathers momentum, then why stop there? Why not dip back to 148.00 where 200 day meets trend line?
Fundamentally, the yen has been caught between a hawkish leaning BOJ and dovish fiscal expectations following the Japanese parliamentary vote last week where hard-line conservative Sanae Takaichi is almost certain to become Japan’s first female prime minister. It is worth keeping a close eye on Japanese markets. The yen could rally if BoJ hawks become more vocal again, which is what I would be expecting.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
XAU/USD | First LONG, then SHORT! (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Gold (XAUUSD) chart on the 15-minute timeframe, we can see that gold hit all targets between $4,300 and $4,350 and even rallied to $4,380.99, marking a new all-time high (ATH)!
After that, gold started to correct below $4,300, briefly dipping to $4,258 before bouncing back above $4,285. I expect that if the price moves into the $4,300–$4,317 zone, we may see a negative reaction or rejection from this area.
If that scenario plays out, gold could drop toward $4,250 as its first key target.
Keep a close eye on these levels — and if you have questions about gold’s trend, feel free to leave a comment using the link below!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDJPY D1 TRADE IDEA FRAMEWORK, FOR 20TH OCT, 2025.The UJ market is overall on an uptrend and currently in and out of range, which seems the price is trying to retrace downwards a bit to fill the Gap Area indicated below.
Now let's talk a little bit about Market Gaps...
One of the regular behaviour of the markets that happens is that usually after a sessional jump(GAPS) most times which is created after the weekend of a past trading week, the markets usually most times make a Gap because of the lack of trading activity over the weekend that create a void in prices, so in other for the market to create a balance before the market continues in its determined direction? It usually, as always, comes back to fill the Gaps of inactivity before it resumes on a balanced trajectory.
This is why, in most cases, holding trades over the weekend isn't advisable to avoid overnight fees, swaps, and drawdowns in capital or profits when holding a position, especially when under-capitalized, because these kinds of Gaps or Jumps in price happen due to fresh information that comes into the market before a new session begins.
USDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for USDJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 150.77
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 150.37
My Stop Loss - 151.04
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
USDJPY H4 | Could We See A Reversal From Here?USD/JPY is reacting off the sell entry which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to the take profit.
Sell entry is at 151.08, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 152.49, which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 149.17, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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