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USDJPY

USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D20 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
Fundamental Market Analysis for August 20, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese yen (JPY) recovered from a slight decline during the Asian session caused by mixed domestic data and on Wednesday showed positive dynamics for the second day in a row against the strengthening US dollar (USD). A government report showed that core orders for machinery and equipment in Japan unexpectedly rose in June. However, this was offset by a decline in Japanese exports in July for the third consecutive month, raising concerns about the outlook for the export-dependent economy. This added to uncertainty about the likely timing of the next interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and triggered some intraday selling of the Japanese yen. On the other hand, the US dollar is attracting some follow-up buying for the third day in a row amid a decline in the likelihood of more aggressive easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This is proving to be another factor providing some support for the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, traders still consider it more likely that the Fed will resume its cycle of rate cuts in September. In contrast, the Bank of Japan is expected to stick to its policy normalization course and raise interest rates before the end of the year. This, in turn, could limit the US dollar's gains and help contain deeper losses for the lower-yielding Japanese yen ahead of the FOMC minutes release. Trade recommendation: SELL 147.10, SL 148.00, TP 146.20
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
USDJPY: Multi-Timeframe Liquidity Hunt Setup - Monthly OutlookSharing my longer-term perspective on USDJPY with a two-phase liquidity scenario. 📊 **🎯 The Big Picture:** I'm expecting a classic two-phase move: first a liquidity hunt down to the lower purple line (white-boxed zone), followed by a strong rally up to the upper purple line. This would represent my ideal scenario for the coming months. 📈 **📍 Liquidity Zones Explained:** The purple lines (highlighted in white boxes) represent key liquidity zones where stops are likely parked. Markets love to sweep these levels before making their real moves - it's textbook institutional behavior. 💰 **⏰ Timing Expectations:** I expect the downside liquidity hunt to occur within the remaining days of this month or early next month. These moves often happen faster than people anticipate. ⚡ **🛡️ Invalidation Level:** The yellow line marks the low of a strong weekly bullish candle - a significant structural point. If price breaks below this level, it would invalidate this bullish scenario entirely. 🚨 **🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense:** This type of liquidity grab followed by reversal is classic market mechanics. The lower liquidity zone represents trapped shorts and protective stops - perfect fuel for the eventual rally to the upper target. 🔄 **⚠️ Risk Management:** Clear invalidation point below the yellow line, targeting the upper liquidity zone for a clean setup with defined parameters. 🎯 📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠 💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Long
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
USD/JPY - Triangle Breakout (20.08.2025)The USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Ascending Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 146.82 2nd Support – 146.40 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
37
USDJPY: Simple Role Reversal Play - Fibonacci RetracementSharing my straightforward read on USDJPY for the immediate term. 🎯 **📍 The Setup:** I'm expecting a role reversal move back toward the recent range highs. After that initial bounce, I'm looking for a stronger upward move targeting approximately the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the larger range structure. 📊 **⏰ Timing Expectations:** If this scenario plays out, it should happen within the next day or two. Currency moves often have tight timing windows, and this setup has that "ready to go" feel to it. ⚡ **🎯 Why This Makes Sense:** Role reversals at key levels are bread-and-butter setups. Former resistance becomes support, and the market often tests these flipped levels before continuing the broader move. Simple market mechanics. 🔄 **🧠 Keep It Simple:** Sometimes the best trades are the most obvious ones. No complex analysis needed here - just clean technical levels and patient execution. 📈 📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠 💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅ --- **Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates. --- *Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Long
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
3
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot, which acts as a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 148.73 1st Support: 146.91 1st Resistance: 150.78 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout Bearish Reversal : 147.650 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute. 1 hour ago Trade closed manually Avoid Closed Near entry 147.800
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout Bearish Reversal : 147.700 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
1
USDJPY H4 | Bearish reversal USD/JPY is rising towards the sell entry, which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to the downside. Sell entry is at 148.67, which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 150.81, which is a swing high resistance. Take profit is at 146.37, which is a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 65% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Would Firm Treasury Yield Continue to Support USDJPY?Fundamental approach: - USDJPY edged higher this week amid resilient US growth signals and firm Treasury yields, while dovish-leaning BoJ communication kept Japanese rates anchored. Risk sentiment was mixed ahead of Fed minutes and Jackson Hole. - US data and Fed repricing supported the US dollar as markets weighed sticky services momentum and steady consumption into Jul, focusing on how minutes may shape Sep cut odds. - In Japan, authorities maintained vigilance on FX moves and inflation normalization, but BoJ policy settings and modest wage/inflation follow-through limited Yen support. - USDJPY could remain supported if Fed minutes and Jackson Hole skew hawkish, while any signs of softer US demand or a stronger BoJ tilt could cap gains. Upcoming US PMIs and durable goods, plus Tokyo CPI, may recalibrate rate differentials. Technical approach: - USDJPY is sideways above the key support at 147.00. The price is slightly above both EMAs and within the ascending channels, indicating a potential upward movement. - If USDJY remains above 147.00 and both EMAs, the price may retest the resistance at 148.60. - On the contrary, closing below support at 147.00 may prompt a decline to retest the following support at 146.00, which is confluent with the ascending channel's lower bound. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
Long
by DatTong
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W34 | D19 | Y25 Daily Forecast 🔍📅 Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭. It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias. This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us. 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core principles: Max 1% risk per trade Only execute at pre-identified levels Use alerts, not emotion Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2 🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight "Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants." Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work. FX:USDJPY
Short
by JCFRGNT
Nikkei 225 & USD/JPY AnalysisThe Nikkei 225 has reached new all-time highs (almost reaching 44,000), driven by strong domestic economic indicators and robust corporate earnings. The yen has strengthened against the US dollar, influenced by 1) speculation over the timing of a rate cut from the FOMC, and 2) the Bank of Japan's hawkish stance and expectations of interest rate hikes. (narrowing of monetary policy between the two countries) Historically, a weaker yen (rising USD/JPY - thin blue line) has been beneficial for Japanese exporters, leading to increased corporate earnings and, consequently, a rising Nikkei 225. But, at times, this inverse relationship has shown signs of divergence. The current divergence between the USDJPY and the Nikkei 225 suggests that the Nikkei 225 is increasingly driven by domestic economic factors rather than the traditional USD/JPY correlation. In the short term, the Nikkei 225 may continue its upward momentum, supported by strong economic fundamentals and investor confidence. With the price breaking out and staying above the upward channel, climbing toward the 45,000 price level. Medium-Term Risks: Potential geopolitical tensions and shifts in global economic conditions could introduce volatility in the medium term. This could lead to a retracement down to 42,000 before trading higher again. While the traditional correlation has weakened, ongoing monitoring of USD/JPY movements remains essential, as significant fluctuations could still impact investor sentiment.
SPREADEX:NIKKEILong
by JinDao_Tai
"The USDJPY Ninja Trade – Silent Entry, Big Exit!"🚨💰 USD/JPY “The Ninja” Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🐱‍👤💴💵 🎭 Dear Money Makers, Robbers & Thief OG’s, It’s time to gear up for our biggest Ninja heist on the Forex streets! We’re breaking into the USD/JPY vault with a Bullish Master Plan – grab your mask, load your limit orders, and let’s rob the market clean! 💰🔫 🗡️ Heist Entry (Layering Style) 📈 Thief doesn’t enter with one bullet – we spray the vault with multiple limit orders! 🎯 First layer: 147.600 Second layer: 147.400 Third layer: 147.200 👉 Add more layers if you want a deeper pullback entry – the more locks you pick, the bigger the loot! 🏦💎 🛑 Thief Stop Loss This is Thief SL 🔒: 146.500 But remember, dear ladies & gentlemen (Thief OG’s) – adjust your SL based on your own strategy, capital & risk appetite. Stay slick, don’t get caught! 🚔💨 🎯 Target Escape Zone Police barricade spotted 🚨👮 @ 150.700 Our heist exit point is locked at 150.000 🏃‍♂️💨 👉 Make sure you grab the loot & escape before the cops arrive. Take profit & celebrate with stolen sushi 🍣 & sake 🍶! ⚠️ Thief Trading Notes News drops = extra police patrols 🚔 – avoid opening fresh entries during major releases. Trail your stops to lock in profits – no thief leaves empty-handed! Stay alert to price traps – don’t get stuck behind enemy lines. 💎 If this heist plan made you some loot, smash that 💖 & BOOST button to power up the Thief Gang 🚀🤝💰 The more boosts, the bigger our robbery squad becomes! Stay tuned, Ninjas 🐱‍👤 … the next heist plan is already loading. 💵💎🚀 Thief Trader OUT.
Long
by The-Thief
USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL! My dear subscribers, USDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 147.73 pivot level. Bias - Bearish My Stop Loss - 147.86 Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation. Target - 147.44 About Used Indicators: The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
USD/JPY: Liquidity Hunts Inside the RangeHello guys. After the sharp drop at the end of July, USD/JPY has been consolidating inside a well-defined range. We’ve now seen two classic liquidity hunts: Hunt 1 (top of range): Price spiked above resistance, took stops, and quickly rejected. Hunt 2 (bottom of range): Price swept liquidity below support before bouncing back inside the range. This type of price action suggests accumulation of orders before the next expansion. Currently, price is rebounding from the second liquidity hunt, showing signs of strength. If buyers can hold above the 146.80 range low, we may see continuation toward the 149.04 resistance zone, which is the next liquidity pool above. Levels to Watch: Support: 146.80 (range low) Resistance: 148.00 (mid-range resistance) Target: 149.04 Short-term bullish as long as 146.80 holds. A clean break above 148.00 could open the path to 149.04.
Long
by melikatrader94
9
USDJPY Next Week | Short From 147.56 Targeting Liquidity SweepHere’s my outlook for USDJPY in the coming week. If price rises to around 147.56 in the early part of next week (Aug 18–22), I believe it’s a good area to consider going short. This level has acted as resistance several times recently, and I expect it could hold once again. If price fails to reach 147.56, I won’t take the trade — in that case, the risk-to-reward profile would likely deteriorate, and I prefer to avoid setups where my predefined advantage is weakened. The stop loss should be placed above the white line. From experience, once price breaks above that line, it often continues to take out the highs above it. That’s why I believe placing a stop here is both reasonable and sufficient. The purple line below marks a level where I expect price could extend to if it sweeps the liquidity (stop losses) resting around recent lows. This purple line is located roughly halfway between the previous low and the nearby high beneath it. Based on my years of trading experience, when price breaks a low, it rarely reverses immediately; more often, it continues a bit further before turning around. For that reason, I allow a small buffer and set my take profit around the 0.382 Fibonacci level between those two price points. My plan is to hold the short position until that level, then take profit and start looking for a potential long setup from there. In my view, 147.56 is likely to be reached sometime next week, so I will post an update once we see how the market reacts. This trade setup gives a risk-to-reward ratio of 6.5. Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 13.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. I’ll be sharing updates on how this idea plays out, so if you want to follow along and see the outcome, consider following me here on TradingView. --- *This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
Short
by Hiroyuki-Suzuki
2
Big Bounce from 146.20! Is USDJPY Heading for 149.00?The USDJPY 4H chart is showing signs of recovery after a period of volatility. Price recently bounced from the 146.20–146.70 support zone 🛡️, which has acted as a strong demand area multiple times in the past week. Buyers have stepped in strongly from that level, and the pair is now trading around 147.60–147.85, pushing upward with a constructive bullish structure. Looking at the broader picture, USDJPY had been under pressure earlier, printing lower highs and testing deeper supports. However, the rejection near 146.20 marks a potential swing low formation 🔄, as price immediately rallied higher with strong bullish candles. Importantly, the market has shifted above the mid-level 147.20–147.40 area, turning it into a short-term base for buyers. On the upside, the immediate resistance 🚧 lies at 147.85–148.00, which is already being tested. A breakout above this zone would expose the higher resistance at 148.52, a key level where sellers previously rejected price. If bulls clear 148.52 decisively, the next possible leg could target the 149.00 handle, a psychological level and prior supply zone. The trade setup 🎯 as shown on the chart is structured with bullish bias: • Entry: Around 147.60–147.85 (already activated) • Stop Loss (SL): Near 147.18 (just below recent consolidation base 🛡️) • Target (TP): First target near 148.00–148.10, extended target at 148.52 🚀 This gives a risk-to-reward ratio better than 2:1 ✅, which is favorable for continuation trades. The structure also shows multiple “Buy (B)” markers clustering at the bottom around 146.20–146.70, confirming that dip-buying interest is strong. On the other hand, the “Sell (S)” markers above 148.50 highlight the importance of this resistance zone. Bulls need strong momentum to flip this level; otherwise, price may stall temporarily. In terms of strategy, the bullish trade remains valid as long as USDJPY holds above 147.20. Traders can consider booking partial profits 💰 near 148.00 and leaving the rest toward 148.50. Once price moves in profit, it’s wise to trail the stop-loss 🔒 to breakeven or slightly in the green to protect against sudden pullbacks. ✅ Conclusion: USDJPY is looking bullish in the short term 📈 after bouncing from 146.20–146.70 support. A move toward 148.00–148.50 is favored, with potential extension toward 149.00 if momentum stays strong. However, active risk management is key—secure small profits at intermediate levels and trail stops as the trend progresses.
Long
by SupertradeOfficial
USDJPY 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bearish Reversal From : 147.700 ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Short
by Path_Of_Hanzo
4
Bullish bounce off 61.8% Fibonacci support?USD/JPY is falling towards the pivot that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a multi-swing high resistance. Pivot: 145.96 1st Support: 142.37 1st Resistance: 150.98 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets