USDJPY exactly dropped from the liquidity zone!As our previous prediction on USDJPY for the potential down trend upon liquidity sweep price in fact started to move in the major direction of the trend. There was few pip over extension which may drive the price now well below the support level. Multiple timeframe trend on USDJPY is bearish, price may continue to drop to the long term monthly supprt 144.81
Usdjpyidea
USDJPY possible drop to monthly supportwith weak US job data has weakens the Dollar Index which led USDJPY to break from the resistance. Price has formed currently a bearish market structure which is maintaining series of lower high's showing a probability to drop the price to monthly support. If further downtrend continuation, entry at break of structure is expected.
USDJPY Sell zone to look forWith NFP 22k weaker job data, USDJPY along with DXY rejected from the higher price to the major direction of the trend. Price has got strongly rejected from the monthly, weekly and daily level of resistance. As price approaching the high liquidity zone 147.87, we may expect a strong rejection from the higher price.
147.87 can be a sell level upon price action confirmation.
The Trapdoor Series | USDJPY and the Illusion of StabilityHello traders,
"Markets often build structures that look strong from the outside, but inside they hide a trapdoor waiting to open. On this chart, USDJPY is trading within a rising channel, showing strength at first glance. Yet, multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) points reveal that momentum is fragile every rise carries a hidden weakness.
📌 What stands out here:
Middle Zone has acted as a deceptive balance point, pulling price back again and again, but never giving clear continuation.
Liquidity Pool below, where sell-side orders remain untouched, acts as the hidden floor that price could test at any time.
Gap Fill reaction shows how quickly the market closes imbalances before deciding on its next move.
BSL vs SSL battle highlights how traders are tricked between the highs and lows of the channel, unsure which side will truly break.
This structure is like walking on a floor that looks solid but has a trapdoor hidden beneath. Each candle is a step some are firm, some are fragile and traders who rush forward risk falling through the false ground.
💡 Lesson: A trapdoor only opens when enough weight is placed on it. Similarly, in markets, the real move only happens after enough liquidity has been built to justify a breakout. Until then, what looks like stability can simply be a false stage covering the real path.
👉 The question is: will USDJPY’s next move reveal the hidden trapdoor below 🔻, or will it defy expectations and climb higher 🔺 before the floor gives way? Share your perspective — every view adds another piece to the puzzle."
Can USDJPY Sustain Bullish Momentum or Face a Sharp Reversal?🚀 USD/JPY "The Ninja" Forex Bank Heist Plan 🏦🎯
Swing/Day Trade | Bullish MA Breakout | Layer Entry Strategy
📊 WHY THIS PLAN? THE THIEF'S LOGIC
Professional analysis combining technical, fundamental, and sentiment factors for high-probability execution.
📈 Technical Edge: Critical 4H close above 148.500 confirms moving average breakout momentum and a shift in market structure, signaling the next leg up.
🎯 Layered Entries (Thief Strategy): Using multiple limit orders at 148.500, 148.300, 148.000, 147.800, and 147.700 ensures a better average entry price and allows us to "steal" pips from the market efficiently. You can add more layers based on your own risk!
⚖️ Bullish Sentiment Alignment: Both retail (60% Bullish 🐂) and institutional (55% Bullish 🐂) sentiment show a slight bullish tilt, supporting our technical thesis.
😎 Neutral Market Mood: The Fear & Greed Index at 53/100 (Neutral) indicates a balanced market with no extreme emotions. This provides a stable foundation for a breakout play without FOMO driving the price.
🌍 Fundamental & Macro Backdrop: A Fundamental Score of 6.5/10 highlights moderate USD strength from US economic stability, countered by JPY support from BoJ policy rumors. The Macro Score of 6/10 reflects global uncertainties but also potential volatility we can capitalize on.
🗺️ TRADE PLAN: THE HEIST BLUEPRINT
Entry Conditions
✅ CONFIRMATION: 4H candle MUST CLOSE ABOVE 148.500 (Wait for the confirmation candle to avoid fakeouts!)
🔫 ENTRY: Use the Thief's layered limit order strategy:
Layer 1: 148.500
Layer 2: 148.300
Layer 3: 148.000
Layer 4: 147.800
Layer 5: 147.700
You can increase or adjust these limit layers based on your own strategy and capital.
Risk Management
⛔ STOP LOSS: This thief's SL is 146.700. Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) 👑, adjust your SL based on your own strategy & risk. I am not responsible for your results.
🎯 TARGET: Escape with the stolen money at 151.000. This target aligns with a key resistance and "tarap zone." Consider taking partial profits on the way up.
⚖️ Note: This is your heist. You can take money at your own risk and discretion.
📌 MARKET SNAPSHOT & KEY DRIVERS
💸 Current Price: 148.1540 (Up 0.55%)
📊 Overall Market Outlook: Neutral with a Slight Bullish Bias 🐂
✨ Key Takeaway: USD/JPY is stable but range-bound. Watch for a break above 148.8–149.0 for a confirmed upside breakout, or a break below 146.65 for a failure.
Related Pairs & Assets to Watch
$EUR/PY - High correlation to USDJPY moves.
OANDA:GBPJPY - Another liquid Yen cross to gauge risk sentiment.
TVC:DXY - US Dollar Index strength directly impacts this pair.
TVC:US10Y - Watch US Treasury yields for USD momentum clues.
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
⚠️ DISCLAIMER
This idea is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. You are solely responsible for your own trading decisions and capital. Trading forex carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
#Forex #USDJPY #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #BankHeist #SwingTrading #DayTrading #ForexSignals #TradingView
USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY Analysis - SELL 👆
In this Chart USDJPY H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions.
❤️This Chart is for USDJPY market analysis.
❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy.
This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts.
The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDJPY, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management.
🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢
❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D5 | Y25
📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D4 | Y25
📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:USDJPY
USD/JPY Swing Setup ⁝ Why Thief Layer Strategy Wins Here📊 Asset: USD/JPY — "The Ninja" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day Trade)
🎯 USD/JPY Quick Snapshot
🔸 Daily Change: +0.39% (↑)
🔸 52-Week Range: 139.57 - 158.89
📊 Retail & Institutional Sentiment
🔹 Retail Traders: Bearish (60%) – Caution due to political uncertainty in Japan.
🔹 Institutional Traders: Bullish (70%) – Expect USD strength amid BOJ-Fed policy divergence.
🔹 Fear & Greed Index: 62/100 (Greed) – Moderate risk appetite favoring USD.
🔍 Fundamental & Macro Score
🏦 BOJ Policy Outlook:
• Rate hike uncertainty keeps JPY weak.
• Score: 3/10 (Bearish for JPY) 🐻
💵 Fed Policy Outlook:
• 90% chance of 25bps rate cut in September.
• Score: 7/10 (Bullish for USD) 🐂
🇯🇵 Political Risk (Japan):
• Leadership uncertainty weighs on JPY.
• Score: 4/10 (Negative for JPY) ⚠️
🌐 Trade War Risks:
• US tariff tensions may dampen USD strength.
• Score: 5/10 (Neutral)
🎯 Overall Market Outlook
🟢 Bullish (Long) Score: 65% ✅
🔴 Bearish (Short) Score: 35% ❌
📌 Summary: USD/JPY leans bullish due to BOJ hesitation, Fed cuts, and JPY political risks.
❓ WHY THIS Setup?
🔸 USD/JPY is respecting bullish structure while retail is mostly short → contrarian signal 🚨.
🔸 Institutional flow shows confidence in USD strength vs JPY weakness 📈.
🔸 BOJ hesitation + political instability in Japan continues to suppress JPY demand 🐻.
🔸 Layered entry strategy reduces risk of bad timing + maximizes capture of bullish wave ⚡.
🔸 Key target zone 151.500–152.000 offers strong risk/reward for swing & day traders 🎯.
✅ Thief Trading Plan: Bullish Setup
🔸 Entry (Thief Style Layer Strategy 🪤):
• 147.500
• 148.000
• 148.500
• 149.000
(Increase/adjust layers as per your own strategy.)
🔸 Stop Loss (Thief SL 🔒):
• Base SL @146.000
• Adjust according to risk tolerance & personal strategy
🔸 Target 🎯:
• Trap/reversal zone near 152.000
• Safer exit before reversal @ 151.500
⚡ Strategy Breakdown
🔹 Method: Thief OG Layer Strategy = scaling with multiple limit orders instead of single-entry.
🔹 Benefit: Absorbs noise, builds positions step-by-step, reduces FOMO.
🔹 Bias: Swing/Day trade friendly with bullish momentum in higher zones.
👀 Related Pairs to Watch:
💷 OANDA:GBPJPY
💶 OANDA:EURJPY
🇨🇭 OANDA:CHFJPY
💵 OANDA:USDCHF
✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!”
#USDJPY #Forex #SwingTrading #DayTrading #JPY #ForexStrategy #TradingPlan #FXThief #LayerStrategy #SmartMoney
USDJPY Daily Forecast -Q3 | W36 | D2 | Y25📅 Q3 | W36 | D2 | Y25
📊 USDJPY Daily Forecast
🔍 Analysis Approach:
I’m applying Smart Money Concepts, focusing on:
Identifying Points of Interest on the Higher Time Frames (HTFs) 🕰️
Using those POIs to define a clear trading range 📐
Refining those zones on Lower Time Frames (LTFs) 🔎
Waiting for a Break of Structure (BoS) for confirmation ✅
This method allows me to stay precise, disciplined, and aligned with the market narrative, rather than chasing price.
💡 My Motto:
"Capital management, discipline, and consistency in your trading edge."
A positive risk-to-reward ratio, paired with a high win rate, is the backbone of any solid trading plan 📈🔐
⚠️ Losses?
They’re part of the mathematical game of trading 🎲
They don’t define you — they’re necessary, they happen, and we move forward 📊➡️
🙏 I appreciate you taking the time to review my Daily Forecast.
Stay sharp, stay consistent, and protect your capital
— FRNGT 🚀
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY Long Bias Forecast Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session 🗓️ USDJPY Long Bias Forecast
Q3 W35 D28 Y25 – NY Session
Top-Down Technical Outlook
🔹 Weekly Timeframe
Price Action: Strong rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA, acting as dynamic support.
Note: With two trading days left in the week, the previous weekly wick remains a key area — it may still fill, suggesting further upside potential.
Implication: Structure suggests continuation to the upside, but current price must confirm with internal shifts before entry.
🔹 Daily Timeframe
Current Price: Hovering around the Daily 50 EMA – a key equilibrium level.
Expectation: Potential bullish reaction if buyers defend this zone.
Risk Consideration: Aggressive long entries must be approached cautiously without a confirmed change in internal structure (CHOIS).
🔹 4H Timeframe
Confluence:
Bullish wick closure on the last candle suggests rejection from lower prices.
Order Block (OB) identified near Daily 50 EMA – an ideal POI.
Narrative: Structure is preparing for a potential shift. Look for breaks of internal structure (BOS) to confirm bullish intent.
🔹 1H Timeframe
Candlestick Confirmation: Last 3 consecutive bullish candles forming a classic bullish continuation pattern.
Order Block in alignment with 4H and Daily 50 EMA adds weight to the area.
Bias: Bullish – pending confirmation via BOS and clean pullbacks.
🔹 5-Minute Timeframe
Microstructure:
Refined entry points within OB zone.
Ideal for tight stop entries post BOS and retest of lower-timeframe OB.
Watch For:
Shift from bearish to bullish market structure.
Entry following a break + retest of a demand zone or OB.
✅ Confluences for Longs
Rejection from Weekly 50 EMA.
Price respecting Daily 50 EMA.
4H OB + Bullish candle closure.
1H Bullish formation + OB.
5M potential BOS/CHOIS for refined entry.
⚠️ Cautions / Trade Management
Wait for internal structure shift on lower timeframes before full commitment.
Liquidity sweeps below current price are still possible before upside continuation.
Maintain awareness of macroeconomic catalysts (e.g., U.S. or Japan economic data or central bank commentary).
FRGNT
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25📊 USDJPY – DAILY FORECAST
Q3 | W35 | D28 | Y25
🔍 Daily Forecast | USDJPY
Here’s a concise breakdown of the current chart setup 🧠📈:
📌 Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
We wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before executing any position.
This keeps us disciplined, and in sync with what the price action is actually telling us — not what we want it to say.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core Principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Execute only at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan (minimum 1:2)
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take — you're paid for how well you manage risk.
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work for you. 🎯📊
FRGNT
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast Top-Down Analysis | USDJPY — Q3 W35 Mid-Week Forecast - Top-Down Analysis |
mid-week forecast for USDJPY — let’s break it down top to bottom:
🕰️ Weekly Outlook:
No clear structure or trend bias from the weekly candle 🕯️
However, price closed below the Weekly 50 EMA 📉, leaving a bearish upper wick
This signals a possible continuation to the downside this week
But — as always — wicks tend to get filled first on lower timeframes before short setups play out
📌 Key Reminder:
"Sell from the highs, buy from the lows." 🔁
📆 Daily Structure:
Daily candles have been pushing into lower-timeframe POIs
This aligns with potential sell zones, building confluence
If candles continue to push up, we're watching closely for rejection from the Weekly 50 EMA
⚠️ Don’t be thrown off by a bullish weekly candle midweek — we're anticipating a rejection wick and bearish close.
Let structure confirm.
⏱️ Lower Time Frame Confluence:
🔻 Primary Short Bias (High Confidence Zone):
🔸 4H POI containing:
A clean Order Block (OB)
A void (imbalance)
🔹 Within that, a 1H OB + void adds strong confluence 🔐
Once price enters the zone:
⬇️ Scale to 5-min
Wait for Break of Structure (BoS)
Execute the short ✅
🔺 Optional Long Setup (If Structure Shifts):
While short bias is primary, longs are not off the table
A separate POI based on 4H / 1H / 15' exists for a possible long
If price hits this zone:
Wait for LTF BoS (1' or 5')
Consider long entries, only if confluence stacks
🧠 Key Takeaways:
Weekly close below 50 EMA = bearish tilt, but lower timeframe confirmation needed
Let the wicks fill before forcing shorts
Only take longs with strong confluence
As always — one trade at a time, risk managed, confluence stacked
Trade safe, stay disciplined.
FRGNT
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY may drop to daily low!USDJPY from the daily there is a sideway move, with a strong rejection from the daily resistance 148.78. Today's price so far tested the daily high and currently from the hourly perspective price is creating multiple doji with liquidity grab from the daily resistance giving a high probability for the price to drop to daily support level.
A possible buy trade is high probable.
USDJPY has done false breakdown?USDJPY trade setup for today :
Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market.
Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top
Weekly: After multiple doji formation, price is about to bounce off the support level potentially move back to the upside.
Daily: With a massive rejection on Friday, USDJPY started to fill the imbalance and price may continue to move back to the upside.
Entry timeframe 4H : Upon rejection from any previous candles support, price may continue to bounce.
Possible trade recommendation : Bullish entry with SL above sessions high
USDJPY Set to drop to support?USDJPY trade setup for today :
Before we look at potential entry in this pair first let’s look at multiple timeframe analysis in this market.
Monthly: 150.79 Monthly resistance price has got rejection strongly from the top
Weekly: Previous weekly closed with bearish engulfing patter with liquidity grab.
Daily: Upon formation of head and shoulder price has got rejection with a strong momentum and price may continue to drop to support level.
Entry timeframe 4H : As price has confirmed cross over of 20ema and 10ema we may see price continue to drop to daily support level.
Possible trade recommendation : Bearish with SL above the sessions high.
USD/JPY) Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY (2H) analysis you shared:
---
Technical Breakdown
1. Price Action & Zone
Price retraced into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) / demand zone (yellow box) around 147.00 – 147.40.
Strong buying interest is visible from this zone.
2. Falling Wedge Pattern
A falling wedge has formed, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
Price is attempting to break out above wedge resistance, showing potential for upside momentum.
3. EMA (200 Close)
Price is interacting with the 200 EMA (147.58), serving as dynamic resistance.
A sustained breakout above this EMA would confirm bullish continuation.
4. RSI (14)
RSI currently around 46–50, suggesting neutral momentum with room for upside.
---
Trade Idea
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: On breakout & retest of wedge / demand zone.
Target: 148.680 (as marked).
Invalidation: Below 146.60 (clear break under demand/FVG zone).
Mr SMC Trading point
---
This setup suggests a bullish reversal from support, with a likely push toward 148.68 after wedge breakout.
please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY: Multi-Timeframe Liquidity Hunt Setup - Monthly OutlookSharing my longer-term perspective on USDJPY with a two-phase liquidity scenario. 📊
**🎯 The Big Picture:**
I'm expecting a classic two-phase move: first a liquidity hunt down to the lower purple line (white-boxed zone), followed by a strong rally up to the upper purple line. This would represent my ideal scenario for the coming months. 📈
**📍 Liquidity Zones Explained:**
The purple lines (highlighted in white boxes) represent key liquidity zones where stops are likely parked. Markets love to sweep these levels before making their real moves - it's textbook institutional behavior. 💰
**⏰ Timing Expectations:**
I expect the downside liquidity hunt to occur within the remaining days of this month or early next month. These moves often happen faster than people anticipate. ⚡
**🛡️ Invalidation Level:**
The yellow line marks the low of a strong weekly bullish candle - a significant structural point. If price breaks below this level, it would invalidate this bullish scenario entirely. 🚨
**🧠 Why This Setup Makes Sense:**
This type of liquidity grab followed by reversal is classic market mechanics. The lower liquidity zone represents trapped shorts and protective stops - perfect fuel for the eventual rally to the upper target. 🔄
**⚠️ Risk Management:**
Clear invalidation point below the yellow line, targeting the upper liquidity zone for a clean setup with defined parameters. 🎯
📈 **This trade setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 5:1.** Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 16.67%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading. 🧠
💡 **Pro Tip**: If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement. ✅
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**Trading is simple.** You don't need multiple indicators or dozens of lines on your chart. A clean and simple chart often works best — it keeps your decisions consistent and reduces uncertainty. Sure, it might not look flashy, and my analysis may seem a bit "plain" compared to others… but that's how I like it. If you find this analysis useful, feel free to follow me for more updates.
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*Disclaimer: This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
"The USDJPY Ninja Trade – Silent Entry, Big Exit!"🚨💰 USD/JPY “The Ninja” Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing Trade) 🐱👤💴💵
🎭 Dear Money Makers, Robbers & Thief OG’s,
It’s time to gear up for our biggest Ninja heist on the Forex streets!
We’re breaking into the USD/JPY vault with a Bullish Master Plan – grab your mask, load your limit orders, and let’s rob the market clean! 💰🔫
🗡️ Heist Entry (Layering Style) 📈
Thief doesn’t enter with one bullet – we spray the vault with multiple limit orders! 🎯
First layer: 147.600
Second layer: 147.400
Third layer: 147.200
👉 Add more layers if you want a deeper pullback entry – the more locks you pick, the bigger the loot! 🏦💎
🛑 Thief Stop Loss
This is Thief SL 🔒: 146.500
But remember, dear ladies & gentlemen (Thief OG’s) – adjust your SL based on your own strategy, capital & risk appetite. Stay slick, don’t get caught! 🚔💨
🎯 Target Escape Zone
Police barricade spotted 🚨👮 @ 150.700
Our heist exit point is locked at 150.000 🏃♂️💨
👉 Make sure you grab the loot & escape before the cops arrive. Take profit & celebrate with stolen sushi 🍣 & sake 🍶!
⚠️ Thief Trading Notes
News drops = extra police patrols 🚔 – avoid opening fresh entries during major releases.
Trail your stops to lock in profits – no thief leaves empty-handed!
Stay alert to price traps – don’t get stuck behind enemy lines.
💎 If this heist plan made you some loot, smash that 💖 & BOOST button to power up the Thief Gang 🚀🤝💰
The more boosts, the bigger our robbery squad becomes!
Stay tuned, Ninjas 🐱👤 … the next heist plan is already loading.
💵💎🚀 Thief Trader OUT.
USDJPY Next Week | Short From 147.56 Targeting Liquidity SweepHere’s my outlook for USDJPY in the coming week.
If price rises to around 147.56 in the early part of next week (Aug 18–22), I believe it’s a good area to consider going short. This level has acted as resistance several times recently, and I expect it could hold once again.
If price fails to reach 147.56, I won’t take the trade — in that case, the risk-to-reward profile would likely deteriorate, and I prefer to avoid setups where my predefined advantage is weakened.
The stop loss should be placed above the white line. From experience, once price breaks above that line, it often continues to take out the highs above it. That’s why I believe placing a stop here is both reasonable and sufficient.
The purple line below marks a level where I expect price could extend to if it sweeps the liquidity (stop losses) resting around recent lows. This purple line is located roughly halfway between the previous low and the nearby high beneath it. Based on my years of trading experience, when price breaks a low, it rarely reverses immediately; more often, it continues a bit further before turning around.
For that reason, I allow a small buffer and set my take profit around the 0.382 Fibonacci level between those two price points.
My plan is to hold the short position until that level, then take profit and start looking for a potential long setup from there.
In my view, 147.56 is likely to be reached sometime next week, so I will post an update once we see how the market reacts.
This trade setup gives a risk-to-reward ratio of 6.5. Without including fees, the breakeven win rate for this trade would be approximately 13.33%. Knowing these figures in advance helps me avoid emotional trading.
If you often find yourself trading based on emotions, I recommend doing this type of pre-planning and quantifying your setups before execution — it can be a simple yet highly effective improvement.
I’ll be sharing updates on how this idea plays out, so if you want to follow along and see the outcome, consider following me here on TradingView.
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*This post is for general informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or a service targeting specific investors, and should not be considered illegal or restricted information in any jurisdiction.*
USDJPY - ShortUSDJPY Analysis - SELL 👆
In this Chart USDJPY H4 Timeframe: By Nii_Billions.
❤️This Chart is for USDJPY market analysis.
❤️Entry, SL, and Target is based off our Strategy.
This chart analysis uses multiple timeframes to analyze the market and to help see the bigger picture on the charts.
The strategy uses technical and fundamental factors, and market sentiment to predict a BEARISH trend in USDJPY, with well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit levels for risk management.
🟢This idea is purely for educational purposes.🟢
❤️Please, support our work with like & comment!❤️