USDJPY Long Setup – Liquidity Sweep + Manipulation Zone EntryUSDJPY created a clean opportunity after sweeping liquidity below a major support zone. Price briefly broke lower, collecting stops and breakout entries, before rejecting strongly from a manipulation area. This rejection signals smart money involvement and provides a solid long entry.
The stop is placed just beneath the manipulation zone for clear invalidation. The upside targets are mapped at key resistance and imbalance areas above, where the market is likely to rebalance. By scaling out at multiple levels, the trade secures profit while leaving room to capture the larger move.
This setup works because liquidity is predictable. Retail traders place stops in obvious spots, and once that liquidity is taken, institutions move the market the other way. By waiting for the sweep and entering on rejection, we align with that flow instead of being trapped.
Risk-to-reward is favorable, and management is simple: cut losses if price breaks the manipulation zone, and ride the move toward imbalance levels if momentum continues.
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Usdjpylong
USD/JPY 1D Forex Chart - August 12, 2025daily performance of the U.S. Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY) as of August 12, 2025. The current exchange rate is 148.277, reflecting a 0.09% increase (+0.136). The chart includes a trendline indicating a potential upward movement, with a buy signal at 148.277 and a sell signal at the same level. Key support and resistance levels are marked, with a notable range between 146.786 and 151.234. The chart spans from early 2025 to mid-2026, showing historical price action and future projections.
USD/JPY Poised for Breakout as Fundamentals & Technicals AlignUSDJPY is entering a critical juncture where both macroeconomic conditions and price structure are pointing toward a potential bullish continuation. The pair has been consolidating just under a descending trendline after a sharp drop from July’s highs, but strong US fundamentals, a persistently dovish Bank of Japan, and upcoming political catalysts are creating the perfect environment for an upside breakout. If buyers can reclaim momentum above near-term resistance, the path toward retesting multi-month highs appears open, with yen crosses likely to follow the lead.
Technical Analysis (4H Chart)
Price is consolidating around 147.46 after falling from the 150.91 high.
A descending trendline from the late-July peak is being tested. A confirmed breakout would likely accelerate bullish momentum.
Key upside targets:
148.96 – immediate resistance & short-term target (previous swing high).
150.91 – major resistance at July’s high.
Stop-loss at 146.43 safeguards against deeper retracements.
The structure reflects a series of bullish continuation patterns (flags, breakouts, retracements).
Fundamental Analysis
Current Bias: Bullish
USD Strength: Strong US data and anticipation of Trump’s “major” economic announcement are lifting the dollar.
JPY Weakness: Despite better-than-expected Japan Eco Watchers Survey, the BoJ’s ultra-loose stance continues to suppress yen demand.
Rate Differentials: Still heavily in USD’s favor, sustaining upward pressure on USD/JPY.
Risk Sentiment: Even with mild geopolitical tensions, USD’s safe-haven appeal is preventing JPY from benefiting.
Risks:
Disappointing US political announcements.
Hawkish surprises from the BoJ.
Sharp swings in risk sentiment favoring the yen.
Key News/Events Ahead:
Trump’s economic policy reveal.
US CPI & PPI releases.
BoJ policy signals or commentary.
Leader/Lagger Dynamics:
USDJPY is the leader for yen crosses, often setting the tone for GBPJPY, AUDJPY, and CHFJPY.
Summary:
USDJPY’s bullish outlook is reinforced by the combination of favorable fundamentals and a technical setup pointing toward a breakout. A move above 147.80–148.00 could open the door to 148.96 in the short term and 150.91 in the medium term. With yen crosses closely tied to USDJPY’s movements, this pair’s breakout could spark broader JPY weakness across the board, making it a pivotal chart to watch in the days ahead.
USD/JPY Robbery Route | Enter at Dip, Exit Before Police💥USD/JPY Forex Money Heist Plan 🎯 — Ninja Robbery at 146.000💥
🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟
Dear Market Bandits, Money Makers & Risky Robbers 🤑💰💸✈️
Welcome to another Thief Trader-style operation. We've cracked open the USD/JPY vault (aka "The Gopher" 💹), and here's the blueprint to pull off this forex heist like true professionals. 💼🎭💵
🚨 Strategy Overview
This isn't just a trade – it’s a well-researched, precision-timed robbery mission based on technicals, macro analysis, sentiment, and the bigger global picture.
Expect action near critical zones – especially the moving average barricade, where police (aka risk) is waiting. Stay sharp.
🔓 Entry Point – Unlock the Vault
📈 Watch for bullish pullbacks near 146.000.
Whether it's a dip, zone test, or wick bounce — you’re looking to layer buy limit orders like a seasoned thief using DCA tactics.
Enter on swings or any bullish confirmation.
Heist Window is Open.
🛑 Stop Loss – Escape Route
📍 SL near 143.000 (1D swing low) — adjust based on your capital and position size.
💡 Don’t go blind — SL is your backup plan, not an optional accessory.
Custom-fit it based on how many entries you’re stacking.
🎯 Target – Vault Exit Point
🏁 151.000 or exit before resistance heat catches on.
No greedy thieves here — precision exit is key.
Lock profits, vanish in style. 🕶️💼💸
🧲 Scalpers Take Note
Only long side raids are valid. Scalping against the trend? That's walking into a trap.
Use trailing SLs and protect your loot.
Small bag or big vault — play your game smart. 🎯💰
📢 Fundamental Boosters
USD/JPY’s bullish run isn’t random — it’s backed by:
📊 Macro shifts,
📈 COT reports,
🧠 Sentiment drivers,
📉 Intermarket trends,
And a whole mix of thief-level intel 🔍
🧭 Dive deeper before acting. The map’s been provided. 🔗🌍
🗞 News Traps Ahead – Move Cautiously
🚫 Avoid new trades during major releases
🔁 Use trailing SLs on open positions
💡 Position management is a thief’s best defense. Risk management keeps you in the game. 🎯🧠
🔥💖 Support the Heist Crew
Smash that ❤️🔥 Boost Button to keep our robbery engine running.
Each boost = strength for our crew.
💬 Share the love, spread the intel, and trade like a rogue with brains. 🤝💵
👀 Stay tuned for more high-profile FX heists from Thief Trader.
Until next time — loot wisely, vanish clean. 🐱👤💨
USD/JPY) support boost Bullish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/JPY on the 4-hour timeframe, based on a rejection from a key support zone and signs of trend continuation toward a higher target.
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Support Level:
Price has bounced from a clearly defined support zone around 146.00 – 146.50, which has held multiple times in the past.
This zone is acting as a strong demand area where buyers are stepping in.
2. Bullish Rejection + Structure:
A bullish candle has formed from the support area, signaling potential reversal.
The drawn projection suggests higher highs and higher lows forming — indicating bullish continuation.
3. EMA (200):
Price has respected the 200 EMA (blue line), bouncing off it — a strong confluence for bullish trend continuation.
EMA is slightly upward sloping, indicating a longer-term bullish bias remains intact.
4. RSI (14):
RSI is rising from oversold territory (42.09), indicating a bullish momentum shift.
A potential bullish divergence might be forming (price made lower low, RSI made higher low).
5. Target Point:
Price is projected to reach 150.904, giving a potential move of ~2.91% (426 pips) from current levels.
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Zone: 146.90 – 147.30 (current levels or slight pullback)
Stop Loss: Below the support zone (~145.90)
Take Profit (TP): 150.900 (key resistance / previous high)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Attractive, based on the size of the support zone vs. projected move
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Key Insights:
Strong confluence between price structure, support zone, and 200 EMA bounce.
Favorable risk-reward ratio for swing or intraday traders.
Best confirmation would come from a bullish engulfing candle or break above minor resistance near 147.80.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
USDJPY BUYThe year will be politically marked by Trump’s return to the White House. A Republican government is seen as positive for financial markets, but Trump’s pledge to cut taxes and impose tariffs on foreign goods and services may introduce uncertainty to both the political and economic landscape.
In Japan, political uncertainty looms, as the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) lacks a parliamentary majority and may call fresh elections. An LDP victory could strengthen the Yen by ensuring stability, while opposition gains might lead to fiscal expansion and weaken the currency. If no elections occur, a modest budget would likely keep the Yen supported.
In terms of monetary policy, the Fed and BoJ are set to diverge in monetary policy. The Fed expects to deliver only two additional rate cuts in 2025, the BoJ is expected to maintain its dovish stance, avoiding rate hikes amid weak inflation and a shrinking economy, leaving the Yen vulnerable to market disappointment over policy inaction
SUPPORT 149.232
SUPPORT 148.598
SUPPORT 147.963
RESISTANCE 147.285
RESISTANCE 146.913
USD/JPY: Fifth Wave Target in SightUSD/JPY is painting a textbook five-wave impulse structure from the recent lows, and we're now positioned for what could be the final act of this motive sequence.
Current Wave Count
✅ Waves 1-3 Complete: Clean impulsive structure with wave 3 showing strong extension
✅ Wave 4 in Progress: Currently correcting from the 150.94 high
🎯 Wave 5 Setup: Targeting completion around 151.95 - 152.20
Key Levels to Watch
Support Zone: 150.00 area (ideal wave 4 retracement)
This aligns with wave principle fourth-wave correction parameters
Provides a healthy pullback without threatening wave 1 overlap
Target: 151.95 - 152.20 zone for wave 5 completion
Classic 5 vs 1+3 projection
Trade Strategy
Monitor for supportive price action near 150.00
Look for an impulsive price action to confirm wave 5 beginning
Structure suggests one more leg higher before a larger correction
The beauty of Elliott Wave: when the count is this clean, the roadmap becomes crystal clear. Let's see if USD/JPY delivers this final push to complete the sequence.
USDJPY Setup: Prime Buy Zone with a Clear Target!Good morning my friends,
I've prepared a fresh USDJPY analysis just for you.
Currently, the most logical buy zone sits at 147.170. If price reaches this level and performs a retest, it’s likely to target the 149.185 level.
I'll personally be entering at 147.170 and waiting for my target: 149.000.
This setup is based on the 4-hour timeframe, so it may take some time to reach the target.
Every single like you give is a major source of motivation for me to keep sharing these analyses.
Thanks so much to everyone supporting with a like!
#USDJPY: Swing Buy Almost +2000 Pips! Dear Traders,
The USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase at the moment, as evidenced by the lack of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments will have substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there’s a possibility that the price may experience a decline before initiating a bullish trend. We’ve recently seen a strong bullish candle, which suggests a strong bullish move in the coming weeks. Additionally, the strong USD could continue rising, while the JPY is dropping.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will indicate potential reversal zones.
It’s crucial to conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be used solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it’s advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Please share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, don’t hesitate to comment below. We’re here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
USDJPY Forming Bullish MomemtumUSDJPY is currently exhibiting strong bullish momentum following a clean breakout from a bullish pennant formation on the 2H timeframe. The market formed higher lows and consolidated within a tight structure, creating compression that has now resolved upward. This breakout indicates continuation of the prior bullish impulse, and price is now targeting the key resistance zone between 148.80 and 149.30. This area previously acted as a strong supply zone, and a clean break above could open the path toward 150.00 psychological levels.
Fundamentally, the US dollar remains supported by expectations of a hawkish tone from the Federal Reserve. Despite mixed economic data recently, the US economy remains resilient, with GDP growth and labor market data showing strength. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan continues to maintain an ultra-loose monetary stance, offering little rate-hike guidance. This divergence in monetary policy keeps the dollar well-bid against the yen. Any further yield differential expansion will continue to support USDJPY to the upside.
From a technical perspective, the structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the 147.65–147.50 breakout support. Momentum is aligning well with the current price action, and volume confirmation on the breakout adds confidence to the bullish scenario. Traders should watch the reaction around the 149.00–149.30 zone carefully, as this is the last major barrier before we potentially see continuation toward multi-month highs.
Overall, the bullish continuation pattern suggests that USDJPY is preparing for another leg higher. With both technical and fundamental factors aligning, this pair remains a key watch for trend-following traders. Patience and precision remain critical here—watch for potential retests and build positions on confirmation.
USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25📊USDJPY Q3 | D24 | W30 | Y25
Daily Forecast🔍📅
Here’s a short diagnosis of the current chart setup 🧠📈
Higher time frame order blocks have been identified — these are our patient points of interest 🎯🧭.
It’s crucial to wait for a confirmed break of structure 🧱✅ before forming a directional bias.
This keeps us disciplined and aligned with what price action is truly telling us.
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
FRGNT
FX:USDJPY
USDJPY 4H Chart Analysis – Bullish Setup in PlayThe USDJPY pair is currently showing signs of a bullish continuation after completing a corrective wave pattern (ABC) down into a strong confluence zone.
📌 Key Technical Insights:
✅ Wave Structure:
The market appears to have completed a 5-wave impulse up, followed by an ABC corrective pattern.
The final leg C has touched the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, aligning with a bullish reaction zone.
✅ Support & Confluence Zone:
Price retraced into the green demand zone marked around the 146.5 level.
This area also aligns with the Fair Value Gap (FVG) and the midpoint of the impulse leg, indicating strong demand interest.
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price respected the FVG region twice – first as a breakout, now as a retest.
FVG acts as a dynamic support zone around 146.8–147.2.
✅ Key Resistance & Target Zones:
Immediate resistance lies at 149.30 (previous high and supply zone).
A breakout above this level can trigger a rally toward the 151.50 target, aligning with higher-timeframe resistance.
📈 Potential Bullish Pathway:
As shown on the projection path, price is expected to:
Hold above the 146.5–147.0 demand zone.
Retest 149.30 as resistance.
Continue to push higher toward 151.50, completing a larger bullish leg.
💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! Will USDJPY break 151 next?
#USDJPY #ForexAnalysis #ElliottWave #SmartMoney #PriceAction #FVG #TradingView #FX
USDJPY is continuing its uptrend, let's BUY✏️ OANDA:USDJPY broke the price channel and continued its uptrend at 151,000. The previous h4 candle wick had a liquidity sweep to 147,000, showing that the buyers are dominating the market. The USDJPY trading strategy will mainly BUY to the old peak around 151,000. When the price breaks 147,000, a corrective downtrend will begin to form.
📉 Key Levels
Support: 148.200 - 147.200
Resistance: 150.100 - 151.100
Buy trigger: Breakout above 148,800
BUY 147,200 (buyer liquidity zone)
Target: 145,000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
USDJPY Falling Fast Bearish Momentum or Reversal Zone?USDJPY has dropped significantly and is now trading around 147.730, nearing a key historical support zone near 147.20 – 147.00.
This area previously acted as a strong demand zone and may trigger a bounce or a breakdown depending on market sentiment.
🔹 Technical Overview (4H Chart):
• Current Price: 147.73
• Support Zone: 147.20 – 147.00
• Resistance: 149.00
• Breakdown Target: 145.80
• Possible Bounce Target: 148.80 – 149.30
📊 Bias:
I'm watching this zone closely.
• If price holds above 147.00 with bullish candle – Long Setup toward 149.00
• If price breaks below 147.00 and closes on 4H – Short Setup toward 145.80
⚠️ Use tight SL below support zone if buying.
USDJPY Possible long for 149.60#usdjpy started rally from the start of the month of July. Price consolidate in range between 142.85-10. Then started rally. price again consolidate in range between 147.15-145.76 area. Market build energy and institutional add further longs and broke above the daily resistance line 148.60. Need to sell off / retracement to test demand zone range 146.37-145.78 area to test and filled remaining institutional orders for long. Buying area 146.37-145.76. stop loss: 145.60. Target: 149.60
#USDJPY: Price is currently accumulating ! Wait For DistributionAt present, the USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase, as evidenced by the absence of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments hold substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there exists a possibility that the price may experience a decline prior to initiating a bullish trend.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will serve as an indicator of the potential reversal zones.
It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be utilised solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it is advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Kindly share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to provide support.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
USD/JPY - Triangle Pattern (18.07.2025)The USD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 149.93
2nd Resistance – 150.65
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USD/JPY(20250717)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of PPI in the United States in June was 2.3%, lower than the expected 2.5%, the lowest since September 2024, and the previous value was revised up from 2.6% to 2.7%. Federal Reserve Beige Book: The economic outlook is neutral to slightly pessimistic. Manufacturing activity declined slightly, and corporate recruitment remained cautious.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
147.97
Support and resistance levels:
150.23
149.38
148.84
147.11
146.56
145.72
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 147.97, consider buying in, and the first target price is 148.84
If it breaks through 147.11, consider selling in, and the first target price is 146.56
USDJPY H1 Support & Resistance Levels🚀 Here are some key zones I've identified on the 15m timeframe.
These zones are based on real-time data analysis performed by a custom software I personally developed.
The tool is designed to scan the market continuously and highlight potential areas of interest based on price action behavior and volume dynamics.
Your feedback is welcome!
Fundamental Market Analysis for July 16, 2025 USDJPYEvent to Watch Today:
15:30 EET. USD – Producer Price Index
USDJPY:
USD/JPY has stabilized around 148.900, maintaining upside potential due to:
Interest Rates: The Fed keeps yields elevated (10-year bonds at 4.46%), while the Bank of Japan maintains an ultra-loose policy, keeping real yields negative.
Political Uncertainty: Upcoming elections in Japan and possible fiscal tightening reduce the yen’s appeal.
Dollar Demand: Trade frictions and geopolitical risks drive safe-haven flows into the dollar.
A break above 149.000 could open the path to 149.500. Support at 148.600 remains a critical barrier for the bullish scenario.
Trade Recommendation: BUY 149.000, SL 148.700, TP 149.900