DJ FXCM Index
USDCNY Bearish Leg confirmed after this 1D MA50 failure.The USDCNY pair has technically topped as it broke below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and upon a re-test, it got rejected. This test-and-fail pattern is seen during both previous Bearish Legs in the past 15 months.
Even the 1D RSI is identical among all three fractals and they both ended up declining by roughly -3.60%. As a result, we turn bearish here on a confirmed break-out signal, targeting 7.0800.
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gold on sideways move#XAUUSD can retrace back below 2759 or more but firstly we await 2770.99 on double breakout before selling, TP 2759-2750, SL 2780. Now above 2787.57 price have multiple breakout before possibly bullish which will break above 2800-2810 will occur, but if price reject on multiple and touch 2790 former ATH then full retracment on sell will start from therr.
GBP/USD Wedge Breakout (30.1.2025)The GBP/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.2519
2nd Resistance – 1.2571
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$USINTR -U.S Interest Rates ECONOMICS:USINTR
(January 2025)
source: Federal Reserve
-The Fed kept the funds rate steady at the 4.25%-4.5% range as expected, pausing its rate-cutting cycle after three consecutive reductions in 2024.
The Fed showed more optimism about the labor market and noted that inflation remains somewhat elevated, removing the reference to ongoing progress toward the 2% target.
The Fed also said the economic outlook is uncertain, and is attentive to the risks to both sides of its dual mandate.
gold on bearish if price falls below 2756#XAUUSD price have recorrect back from bearish now on buy, but based on the third pattern price can still fall back 2740 or more if the drops retrace below 2756 which holds bearish flag. Entry 2756, Target 2740 or more, Stop loss 2767. Above 2767 on 2 times touch will bring price on new time high which likely will touch 2792-2800.
FOREX AUDUSD LONGAUDUSD appears to have formed a fakeout at the lower end of the range. This suggests that traders who entered short positions when support was broken are now either closing their positions or adding to their losing trades to avoid liquidation. This dynamic could fuel the price toward 0.64, where the 21-week exponential moving average is located.
I'm watching for the price to reach the nPOC zone. However, if the price finds support around the 21-day EMA within the next 1–2 days, I plan to enter with half of my position.
USDINR Best sell signal you can find.The USDINR pair has been rising parabolically since the late September 2024 bottom. This rise has however most likely come to an end as the 1W RSI hit the top of its 16-year Resistance Zone.
This Zone has been holding since the October 2008 High and as you can see, it has offered 7 excellent sell signals. Most of those times, the rejection hit at least the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), so if you are looking for a long-term short trade, you can consider this.
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DXY rebounding on the 1D MA50 and bottom of Channel Up.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been trading within a Channel Up since the November 05 2024 Low and the break-out above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Yesterday it made a new Higher Low exactly at the bottom of the Channel and shortly after breaching the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
This MA recovery confirms the start of the pattern's new Bullish Leg. The previous two delivered a rise of exactly +4.50%, and as such we will be looking for a similar Target at 111.650.
Note that, even though the 1D RSI resembles the May 15 2024 Low, which despite an initial rebound, it was rejected on the Lower Highs trend-line at the time, now the long-term trend has shifted to bullish as that Lower Highs trend-line turned into Support on the December 06 2024 contact.
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USD/JPY -H1- Bearish FlagThe USD/JPY Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 154.30
2nd Support – 153.52
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Bullish bounce?US Dollar Index (DXY) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 107.16
1st Support: 106.51
1st Resistance: 107.92
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GBPUSD: Channel Down forming a top on the 1D MA50.GBPUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 54.465, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 25.916) hitting today its 1D MA50 for the first time after October 9th 2024. By doing so, it reached the top of the 4 month Channel Down and is technically the best level to short. Attention is required as the 1D RSI broke over its 4 month Rectangle, so it may be an early bullish breakout signal, but until we close a candle over the 1D MA50, the trend is bearish and this is the most cost-effective short. The last 0.5 Fibonacci rejection (December 6th) targeted the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. This time we will aim a little higher than that (TP = 1.1950) to match the % decline of the previous bearish waves.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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