While we await earnings from Nvidia (on 22 May) that will be influential on future market direction, we move into the tail-end of US quarterly earnings, but also past a dovish Fed meeting, a strong US ECI report and weaker-than-expected US nonfarm payrolls and 2 hefty bouts of MoF/BoJ intervention. Yet, despite these landmines, a gentle calm descends over...
The USDSEK pair hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous Lower High of the long-term Channel Down and has immediately reacted with a rejection. This rejection is the ideal short-term sell entry for a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test, which the current Bullish Leg hasn't tested since March 21 2024. Our Target is...
The USDSEK pair followed our trading plan to perfection last time we made a sell call on it (October 06 2023, see chart below) as it completed the Head and Shoulders pattern and aggressively declined to hit our 10.4500 Target: At the moment the price is ranging within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) being Support and Resistance...
USDSEK crossed over the LH trend-line as well as the 1D MA50, ending the 1 month pullback and turning the 1D timeframe bullish again (RSI = 57.915, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 28.535). According to two same fractals within 2023, we should be expecting at least a test of the Resistance, if not the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, we are short term...
We haven't looked at the USDSEK pair in exactly 1 year but it was that Higher Higher rejection (see chart below) that gave us the best sell opportunity since COVID: On the 1D time-frame an Ascending Triangle has emerged since and the price has been rejected on the latest September 21 Higher High. We can see the emergence of a Head and Shoulders pattern that...
USDSEK is trying to confirm a Right Shoulder of a Bearish Head and Shoudlers Pattern at the PCZ of a Harmonic Bearish AB=CD. If it is able to goback down from here and break through the neckline then we could see action similar to what we saw on the EURHUF.
With the global economy showing more resilience and the Fed slowing its pace of tightening, we believe EM currencies can outperform relative to G10 peer currencies this year. Attractive real yields should result in market participants accumulating exposure to developing currencies, while our assumption for contained banking sector stresses should lead to improved...
In this update we review the recent price action in the USDSEK and identify the next high probability trading opportunities and price objectives to target
Despite some slow down of inflation in Sweden, this one looks to be ready to break down from a triangle soon. If FED dissapoints to bring more hawks after US PCI miss last week, I think this one can easily break down into a fifth wave.
USDSEK - Let's sit & wait... Most favourite plan to do on the weekend is my weekend analysis. The market is close, going through higher TF, getting into the zone and ready to crush another week of trading! USDSEK - Another trading pair I occasionally trade. I feel the behaviour of SEK is very interesting, i'd say I do trade relatively small on this pair but the...
USDSEK Target Price 10.53910. Buy Limit Entry At 10.42160.
Looking for sells on USDSEK. Hopefully USD news does not cause an issue.
The USDSEK pair has been rising parabolically all year due to the well-known fundamental reasons empowering the USD amidst the high inflation. The price has finally reached though a technical level that we have to consider as it has been forming long-term tops over the past 7 years. As you see on this 1W chart, the Resistance we are referring to is the Higher...
Buying abc 100% retracement for another push higher R:R 3.5
By the close of last week's trading session, the top 3 worst performing currency pairs came out to be the USD/PKR (-4.91%), NZD/USD (-2.61%), and USD/SEK (-2.04%). To help determine the direction that these pairs will take this week, we will use the Hacolt Indicator (Vervoort Heiken-Ashi Longterm Candlestick Oscillator). Will the pairs continue to slide, or are...
1 hour short. Maybe Im a little too early. But hey. - USD might be over extended here. - Seasonality - Small heads and shoulder Tight stop and see if it can break the smaller trend line and then carry on further down. The idea is that we will see some counter-trend move until new year. Seasonally it can be a bit more risk on.