GBP/USD - H1 - Bearish Flag (28.04.2025)FX:GBPUSD The GBP/USD Pair on the H1 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bearish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.3209
2nd Support – 1.3151
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Fundamental Update :
on Monday as the trade tensions between the U.S. and China provided some relief to investors, while a stronger dollar further weighed on prices.
The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY rose 0.2% against a basket of currencies, making bullion more expensive for overseas buyers. TVC:DJI SP:SPX NASDAQ:IXIC also rising .
USD (US Dollar)
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD: Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest support and resistance analysis for EURUSD
for next week.
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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EURUSD below its 4H MA50 signals more selling.The EURUSD pair broke last Wednesday below its 4H MA50 for the first time since the start of April and is now consolidating under it. Within its 3-month Channel Up, this has always been a signal of more downtrend to come as it was technically halfway through the Bearish Legs of the pattern.
Given that the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is the medium-term Support, our Target is at 1.12500, just above the Internal Higher Lows trend-line. Check also the 4H RSI sequences between these 3 Bearish Legs. It is exactly ranging between the levels it did half-way through those Legs.
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Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and also lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse to from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 144.37
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and is also slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 145.43
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 142.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bullish rise?XAG/USD is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 33.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 32.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 34.51
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60000 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
DXY Printing a Bullish Triangle??The DXY on the 1 Hr Chart is forming a potential continuation pattern, the Bullish Triangle!
Currently Price is testing the 99.6 - 99.8 Resistance Area and battling with the 200 EMA and 34 EMA Band. The reaction to this conjunction could be pivotal in who overcomes: Buyers or Sellers.
Now during the formation of the potential pattern, Price on the RSI has stayed relatively Above the 50 mark being Bullish Territory suggesting Buyers could win the Bull-Bear battle.
Until Price breaks either the Resistance Area or the Rising Support, we will not have a definitive direction in which USD will strengthen or weaken.
*Wait For The Break*
-If Price breaks the Resistance Area, USD will strength possibly heading to the 100.8 - 101 Area
-If Price breaks the Rising Support, USD will weaken possibly heading to the 98.5 - 98.3 Area
Fundamentally, it is said China and USA are possibly getting closer to potentially ending the Reciprocal Tariff War going on with both sides willing to negotiate.
With the USA being the #1 Consumer of Goods globally, other economies can not afford us to not buy their things so I continue to see the Tariff War more as a Strong-Arm for the USA to be able to negotiate better terms!
USD News:
JOLTS - Tuesday, Apr. 29th
GDP - Wednesday, Apr. 30th
Unemployment Claims / ISM Manu. PMI - Thursday, May 1st
Non-Farm Employment Change / Avg Hourly Earnings / Unemployment Rate - Friday, May 2nd
For all things Currency,
Keep it Current,
With Novi_Fibonacci
Bearish reversal?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 94,852.52
1st Support: 88,147.57
1st Resistance: 106.444.58
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1,808.27
1st Support: 1,451.43
1st Resistance: 2,102.09
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price reverse from here?USD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resitance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 145.61
1st Support: 140.60
1st Resistance: 147.84
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bulllish continuation for the Cable?GBP/USD is fallling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.3110
1st Support: 1.3005
1st Resistance: 1.3415
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Falling towards pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is fallling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.1192
1st Support: 1.1051
1st Resistance: 1.1512
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin Analysis Anticipated Bullish Rebound Toward $95,000! This 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) recent price action around key support and resistance zones. After a sharp dip to the lower green support area (~$92,500), the price is showing signs of a bullish reversal. The forecasted trajectory (highlighted in yellow) anticipates a corrective move before resuming an upward climb toward the $95,000 resistance target. Previous consolidation phases and a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern are also noted, suggesting a technical recovery is underway. Traders are watching for confirmation of this bullish setup.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) is risng towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st suport which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 65.64
1st Support: 57.71
1st Resistance: 71.18
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Swissie (USD/CHF) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.8400
1st Support: 0.8089
1st Resistance: 0.8604
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
GBPUSD - Big Move Setting Up - Elliott Wave AnalysisGBPUSD is currently unfolding a 5-wave impulsive move according to Elliott Wave Theory.
At the moment, we are in Wave 4, which typically corrects against the larger trend.
Key Points:
Wave 2 was a simple correction, so based on alternation, Wave 4 is expected to be more complex (likely an ABC structure).
Wave 4 often retraces to the 38.2% Fibonacci level — in this case, aligning perfectly with a long-term ascending trendline, providing additional confluence for a potential buy zone.
Trade Plan:
- Monitor the ABC correction for completion near the 38.2% retracement.
- Look for bullish confirmation (trendline break, bullish structure shifts, BOS, etc.).
- Entries will be considered after clear signs of bullish pressure.
- Stoploss: Below the lows formed during the Wave 4 correction.
Targets:
First Target: 1.3400 (450 pips)
Second Target: 1.3750 (800 pips)
Summary:
Patience is key during the Wave 4 correction. Once the setup confirms, this could offer a strong risk-reward opportunity within the overall bullish impulsive structure.
See our past GBPUSD setups below:
Swing 1:
Swing 2:
Swing 3:
USD/JPY(20250428)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The Fed's subsequent policy path considers two scenarios: First, there is no substantial progress in the negotiations between the United States and its trading partners. After 90 days, the US tariffs are still high. Weakened economic demand may prompt the Fed to cut interest rates starting in July, and the annual rate cut may reach 100 basis points; second, the negotiations are fruitful, tariffs are reduced, and the demand shock is small, but inflationary pressure continues. The Fed may postpone easing and only cut interest rates slightly in December. For the market, although the easing comes early in the first scenario, the "recession-style" rate cut may suppress risky assets.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
143.40
Support and resistance levels:
144.89
144.33
143.97
142.83
142.47
141.91
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 143.97, consider buying, the first target price is 144.33
If the price breaks through 143.40, consider selling, the first target price is 142.83
GBPUSD - Bearish Pressure Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈As per our last GBPUSD analysis, it rejected the $1.27 - $1.28 support zone and has been trading higher.
This week, GBPUSD is approaching the upper bound of its rising wedge pattern marked in red.
Moreover, the blue zone around $1.34 is a strong resistance and previous weekly high.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red trendline and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #GBPUSD retests the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSD - Gold trend reversed?!Gold is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the hourly timeframe and is in the specified pattern. The continuation of gold's movement depends on the breakdown of one of the two established trend lines, and after a valid breakdown, we expect to reach the established targets.
In recent weeks, gold prices have experienced significant volatility. This precious metal, long regarded as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty, faced a decline in Monday’s trading session. The primary reason behind this drop was signs of easing trade tensions between the United States and China, leading to decreased demand for safe assets. This decline occurred while investors awaited clarity regarding ongoing trade negotiations between the two countries.
Last week, media reports indicated that China exempted some American imports from 125% tariffs, signaling a reduction in bilateral tensions. In response, Donald Trump stated that trade talks were underway; however, this claim was rejected by China. Additionally, the U.S. Treasury Secretary announced that he was unaware of any active negotiations, further fueling market doubts.
According to a recent Federal Reserve survey, participants cited the outflow of foreign capital from U.S. assets and a decline in the dollar’s value as potential new economic shocks. Some respondents believed that increased tariffs might only cause limited market disruptions. The survey indicated that despite market turmoil in April, prices remained elevated relative to fundamental indicators.
Meanwhile, investors were closely awaiting key U.S. economic data set to be released over the coming week. While the previous week was relatively quiet in terms of economic indicators, market focus has shifted toward a series of critical U.S. employment reports. These include the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) on Tuesday, the ADP private-sector employment report on Wednesday, and weekly jobless claims on Thursday—all paving the way for the most crucial event of the week: the April Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, to be released Friday morning.
Beyond these reports, several major events are scheduled in the economic calendar: Canada’s federal election on Monday, the U.S. Consumer Confidence Index on Tuesday, preliminary first-quarter GDP data, pending home sales figures, and the Bank of Japan’s monetary policy decision on Wednesday, followed by the U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI on Thursday—all of which could impact market sentiment.
On another front, the China Gold Association reported that gold consumption fell by 5.96% in the first quarter of 2025, reaching 290,492 tons. Although gold jewelry demand declined by 26.85%, investment-related gold demand surged by 29.81%, reflecting investors’ pursuit of safe assets amid economic and geopolitical uncertainty.
Domestic gold production in China increased by 1.49%, and assets held in gold ETFs rose sharply by 327.73%, indicating heightened financial caution among Chinese consumers in 2025.
A recent report from Goldman Sachs suggests that the downward trend of the U.S. dollar is far from over and that the currency remains significantly overvalued. Jan Hatzius, the bank’s chief economist, stated that despite the dollar’s recent 5% drop, it still stands roughly two standard deviations above its long-term real average since 1973. Historically, such levels have marked the beginning of multi-year correction cycles for the dollar.
Similar patterns occurred during the mid-1980s and early 2000s when the U.S. dollar experienced declines of around 25% to 30% following such valuations. Based on this, Goldman Sachs expects a similar scenario to unfold in the coming years.
One of the key structural factors fueling this anticipated correction is the portfolio composition of global investors. Specifically, non-U.S. investors hold about $22 trillion worth of assets in the United States, roughly one-third of their total portfolios.Half of these investments are unhedged against currency risk, which could lead to sharp fluctuations in the currency markets if investor sentiment shifts.
Goldman Sachs analysts believe that even a modest reallocation of global capital away from U.S. assets could significantly lower the dollar’s value. Therefore, they view the dollar’s gradual yet sustained decline not as a temporary fluctuation, but as a long-term structural trend.
Bitcoin: Will Bitcoin reach $100,000?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. The continuation of Bitcoin's upward movement towards the supply zone will provide us with its next selling position with an appropriate reward to risk. In case of Bitcoin's downward movement towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying positions.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
During the recent trading week, from April 21 to April 25, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded over $3 billion in capital inflows. This figure marks the second-largest weekly inflow in the history of these ETFs, following the $3.4 billion inflow recorded in November 2024.
Thanks to this momentum, Bitcoin managed to climb above the $95,000 mark for the first time since February. Data reveals a notable increase in market participants’ optimism, with bullish posts on social media reaching their highest level since the night of Trump’s election victory on November 5, 2024.
More than 7,000 Bitcoins, worth over $500 million, were withdrawn from the Coinbase exchange. This trend could signal institutional accumulation and reflect a strongly bullish sentiment in the market.
During the 2018 trade tariff war, Bitcoin experienced a sharp 84.5% collapse, plunging from around $19,400 in December 2017 to approximately $3,000 by December 2018. This price decline coincided with intensifying global trade tensions.
However, Bitcoin’s price later rebounded following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate cuts and an improvement in liquidity conditions. The attached price chart clearly illustrates Bitcoin’s steep decline between December 2017 and December 2018.
According to data released in March 2025, major global corporations have significantly strengthened their presence in the digital asset market. At the top of the list stands MicroStrategy, holding over 500,000 BTC — far surpassing other companies.
Following MicroStrategy, companies such as Marathon, Galaxy Digital, Tesla, Coinbase Global, Hut 8 Mining, Riot Platforms, Block, CleanSpark, and Metaplanet respectively hold the largest Bitcoin reserves. This group of key players from technology, mining, and financial services sectors view Bitcoin as a critical part of their long-term strategies.Moreover, between April 7 and April 13, MicroStrategy purchased 3,459 Bitcoins at an average price of $82,618 per coin, totaling $285.8 million.
MARKETS week ahead: April 28– May 4Last week in the news
The market is currently perceiving that there is sort of relaxation in the US-China trade war. This was the major premise which boosted US equity markets. The S&P 500 gained around 4,6% on a weekly level. A positive market sentiment and short relaxation on uncertainty brought the price of gold lower by 2% on Friday, ending the week at the level of $3.318. On the same premise reacted the US Treasury bond market. The 10Y US benchmark closed the week lower, at the level of 4,25%. The crypto market was also part of the positive sentiment, as BTC managed to make a break-through from previous levels and reach levels above the $95K.
The US-China trade war continues, however, with a softener rhetoric, which brought market sentiment to the positive side. Still, it remains quite confusing, where the majority of analysts are not sure what the final deal would look like. Actually, it seems that nobody knows, even the US Administration. The latest comment from the US President on the topic is that eventually tariff rates will “come down substantially, but it won't be zero”. Also, the US President commented that he has no intention of “firing Powell”.
The Financial Times posted an article in which the journal noted that Apple was planning to shift all Iphones assembly to India. Analysts, involved in the matter, reacted to this news with arguments that such a move is highly questionable, both from the logistic side and from a tariffs side.
The federal Reserve withdraws crypto guidance for banks. The Federal Reserve revoked its 2022 and 2023 guidance that required banks to notify or get approval before engaging in crypto or stablecoin activities.
As Reuters reported during the previous week, based on six sources, the ECB is considering further cutting of its policy rates at the June meeting. The relaxing inflation and drop in the economic outlook ECB members see as a good reason to further decrease their reference interest rates.
China is targeting the supremacy in the AI industry and development in comparison to its US counterparts. As news reported, the China President Xi Jinping called during the previous week for a “self-reliance and self-strengthening” in China within artificial intelligence. This now represents a key strategic area for China when it comes to their US counterparts.
JPMorgan published the results of a survey among investors over their perception of the US economy in the future period. There has been a consensus on a high potential of stagflation, while the majority of participants perceive the weak US Dollar during this year. The major risk is coming from the ongoing trade war, which will have a negative impact on the US economy, as per survey.
Crypto market cap
The crypto market is in green again. After several weeks of struggling, the crypto market finally made its final break-through and increased the value of the total market capitalization. This move was supported by the relaxation of rhetoric of the US Administration in an US-China trade war. Total crypto market capitalization was increased by 10% on a weekly basis, increasing its total value by $262B. Daily trading volumes almost doubled from the week before, trading around $166B on a daily basis. Total crypto market increase from the beginning of this year, currently stands at -10%, with $318B outflow of funds.
The major coins which drew the total crypto market to the higher grounds was BTC. The coin added $183B to its market cap, increasing it by more than 10% on a weekly basis. ETH also performed well, with an weekly inflow of $ 23B, which increased its market cap by 12%. Other major coins also performed well during the week. Solana added $5,4B to its market cap, which was an increase of 7,5%. DOGE surged by 14,8%, adding $3,4B to its market cap. Among higher gainers was IOTA, with a surge in value of 27,3%, LINK was traded higher by 15%, Algorand gained around 19% w/w. The majority of other coins gained above 10% on a weekly basis. This week there were almost no losers on the crypto market.
As for coins in circulation, this week Polkadot and Filecoin added 0,6% of new coins to the market, same as EOS. Maker made a significant increase of 0,8% within a single week. Stablecoin Tether increased its number of coins by 1,7%, which was one of the highest increases for this stablecoin within this year.
Crypto futures market
The crypto futures market also reacted on a positive sentiment caused by relaxation in rhetoric regarding trade tariffs. BTC futures were traded higher by more than 12% for all maturities. The positive development is that the long term futures returned to the levels above the $100K. Futures maturing in December this year closed the week at $99.770, and those maturing a year later were last traded at $105.755.
Similar situation is also with ETH futures. Positive is that the long term maturities reached levels above the $2K. In this sense December 2026 was closed at price $2.043, while futures maturing in December this year were last traded at round $1,9K.