This week’s inflation data could be decisive for traders as markets weigh whether the Fed will cut rates by 25 or 50 basis points. Last week’s jobs report did not sway the market from its current consensus.
The US economy added 142,000 jobs in August 2024, falling short of the expected 160,000, based on the latest NFP data. According to the CME FedWatch Tool,...
The USDUB pair is on the 2nd straight red candle following yesterday's strong rejection near the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Down. At the same time, the 1D RSI almost broke above the overbought barrier (70.00), a level last visited on April 16 2024.
As a result, we believe that this is the start of the new Bearish Leg of the pattern. Our...
The USDRUB pair has confirmed the transition from a 2-year long-term bullish trend to a bearish one, after closing below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The technical pattern that prevailed is a Channel Down, which last week almost touched the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), a level intact since February 06 2023, and instantly rebounded closing the 1W candle almost...
The USDRUB pair has bee trading within a Channel Up pattern for the past 5 months and yet again is testing the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is a highly important Support level as it has been tested 4 times in 2024 and held (even closed the 1W candles above it) on all occasions.
Naturally, as long as it holds, we remain bullish targeting 96.8000 (1.236 Fibonacci...
Russia’s trapped domestic investors push stock market to 2-years high.
Russia’s stock market (so-called, Moscow Exchange Index MOEX:IMOEX ) has climbed recently to its highest level in 2 years as domestic retail investors with nowhere else to go snap up the dividend-paying stocks that sold off heavily following the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
A rise of more than...
We last looked into the USDRUB pair 4 months ago (October 06 2023, see chart below) when we got the most optimal sell entry and easily hit our 95.000 target:
This time we transition to the 1W time-frame where the long-term trend is more evident, and it remains bullish within a Channel Up pattern that is holding since The June 27 2022 market bottom. The 1D...
The USDRUB pair is trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) providing the first level of Support. Coming of a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, the price is on the 3rd mini Channel phase (orange) within the 1.0 and 1.5 Fibonacci levels, same as the previous (green) has been within 0.5 - 1.0 Fib and the one before (blue) within the 0.0 - 0.5...
Short term:
USD/RUB right now in resistance zone MOEX:USDRUB_TOM (95.5).
DXY right now touched strong resistance area TVC:DXY (104.5).
But globally:
RSI in USD/RUB show great correction that mean unloading before next rising moves.
RUB continue feel heaviness by no investments.
Government have no critical ideas to solve the problems.
My position:
I wait...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts 📈💰
The 15th BRICS summit was held in South Africa from August 22-24, 2023. There have been some important updates that concluded from this summit and if you're an active trader / speculator in the Forex, stocks or commodities market, you NEED to know about this.
The BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China,...
Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts 📈💰
The 15th BRICS summit is being held in South Africa from August 22-24, 2023 and will undoubtedly affect the Forex market. The main reason for this, is the commonly know agenda of BRICS to implement a new reserve currency instead of the USD. More details on that topic here:
The 5 Forex markets we'll consider...
Price has reached strong fibo level (96.64) and we can see bearish 1 Week engulfing candle forming that shows selling presure.
Generally what is happening? I draw 2 scenarios how price can act in the nearest future.
1 scenario: price will revers at about 97 rubles or 113 rubles by making sellers liquidity area and will head down to grab buyers liquidity (...
No new known macroeconomic factors could cause the current ruble devaluation. They say sanctions, some say a drop in imports ECONOMICS:RUIMP , others drop in exports ECONOMICS:RUEXP , brain drain, discounts on Russian oil, etc. Some blame the Prigozhin mutiny, but it doesn't change economic or political perspectives of Russia.
In my opinion, all these factors...
FX_IDC:USDRUB Price is at a significant resistance zone. Currently, price is overbought and should have a pullback regardless. This will either retest the support line, continue up, or make its way back down to the bottom of the ascending triangle. From there we will see if price breaks, retests, and continues downwards to the next daily support zone or bounces...
usd/Rub it would cross latest resistance ( according analysis) and Russia would see the result of Ukraine war . and unfortunately Russia people must pay this....
step movement shows USDRUB = 260 $ Target
I know you Forex people are all experts so there is no need for much "talking"/writing.
USDRUB goes above EMA50 weekly.
Bullish wave confirmed.
Potential targets are marked with a black dashed line on the chart.
This rally should last 2-3 months more or less.
Going below EMA50 invalidates most of the bullish momentum.
Namaste.
Mutiny Sends Ruble to Lowest in 15 Months
In one of the most turbulent trading sessions this year, the Russian ruble reached its lowest point against the US dollar in nearly 15 months on Monday. This decline followed the failed mutiny attempt by The Wagner group’s armed mercenaries over the weekend, which caused significant concern among traders. Initially...
