USDSGD
Bullish Liquidity Grab on USD/SGD ExpectedTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
On the monthly chart, USD/SGD has shown a recovery after testing significant support zones, indicating that buyers stepped in to defend these levels. However, the recent upward movement appears overextended, suggesting a potential slowdown or correction in the near term. This aligns with broader market dynamics and the technical exhaustion seen after extended bullish runs.
Daily Chart:
The daily chart offers more clarity on current price action:
Double High Formation: Two equal highs have formed on the chart, a classic indication of liquidity resting above these levels. From a price behavior perspective, this suggests that the market is likely to push upward to liquidate these equal highs before considering a significant move lower.
Consolidation Zone: The price is currently consolidating, which often precedes a breakout. This consolidation reinforces the likelihood of a push higher to clear liquidity, especially when aligned with the broader USD dynamics.
Fundamental Analysis
U.S. Dollar Factors Impacting USD/SGD:
The strength of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) plays a crucial role in USD/SGD movements. Here's how recent developments affect the pair:
Liquidity Grab in DXY: The DXY recently breached its key level of 107.348 and is now showing bearish tendencies. However, short-term bullish corrections could provide temporary support for USD/SGD, aligning with the potential liquidity grab above the equal highs on the daily chart.
Interest Rate Outlook:
The Federal Reserve has shown hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns.
Robust labor market conditions, especially during the holiday season, reduce the immediate likelihood of aggressive rate cuts.
However, rising unemployment or stable-to-declining inflation could shift this outlook, leading to USD weakness and potential corrections in USD/SGD.
Upcoming Economic Catalysts:
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment data later this week are expected to influence USD sentiment significantly. If unemployment increases as expected, it could lead to a broader decline in the U.S. Dollar, impacting USD/SGD.
Summary and Outlook
Technical Expectations:
Short-Term: USD/SGD is likely to push higher to liquidate the equal highs on the daily chart, given the consolidation and market behavior around these liquidity zones.
Post-Liquidity Grab: After clearing the highs, a correction is probable, particularly if the broader U.S. Dollar weakens. This correction could take the pair back toward key support levels, depending on fundamental triggers.
Key Factors to Monitor:
DXY price action, particularly around its short-term support zones.
NFP and unemployment data for clues on the U.S. labor market and inflation trends.
Any changes in Federal Reserve policy outlook or macroeconomic developments in Singapore.
Price Outlook:
In the short term, USD/SGD may target the equal highs as a liquidity zone.
In the medium term, the pair could correct lower following the liquidity grab, aligning with overextended technical patterns and potential USD weakness driven by fundamental factors.
By aligning technical insights with the fundamental outlook for the U.S. Dollar, traders can anticipate near-term bullish moves in USD/SGD, followed by a potential correction.
USD/SGD Price Action: A Bearish Outlook EmergesYesterday, the USD/SGD currency pair rebounded at a supply zone around 1.34500, creating a bearish candle that has persisted into today. As I write this, the price is currently around 1.34195.
Analyzing the technical landscape, the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders remain in long positions, while other market participants have adopted a more neutral stance without clear positioning. This scenario could allow the Singapore Dollar to capitalize on a potential retracement of the US Dollar, potentially enhancing its value.
Looking at historical trends, our forecasting data indicates that over the past decade, this period of the year has frequently seen bearish retracements for the USD against the Singapore Dollar. Given the prevailing market conditions, traders may want to consider positioning themselves for short opportunities.
As the market evolves, it is crucial to monitor price movements and broader economic trends closely to make well-informed trading decisions.
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USDSGD Time to sell this rally.The USDSGD pair has been rebounding non-stop since the September 27 bottom and yesterday broke above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 3 months (since July 04). This confirmed that the correction since July is over but with the 1D RSI above 60.00 and heading towards the overbought barrier (70.00), we expect a rejection there.
In fact, there was a similar fractal that was rejected on March 10 2023, on the correction's 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level a little after the 1D RSI turned overbought. This resulted into a test of the 0.618 Fib of the rebound Leg.
As a result, we are expecting a rejection on the 0.382 Fib or when the 1D RSI gets overbought above 70.00 and our Target is the 0.618 Fib at 1.29150.
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USD/SGD Approaches Key Demand Zone: Anticipating a ReboundUSD/SGD is steadily declining towards our identified Demand area around the 1.31128 level. At this juncture, we anticipate a potential price rebound that could present a promising opportunity for a long trade setup. Our analysis is rooted in a combination of Supply and Demand principles, which help us understand the underlying market forces, as well as a thorough review of the latest COT (Commitment of Traders) report, offering insights into the positioning of major market participants. By integrating these critical factors, we have strategically placed a Buy limit order, positioning ourselves to capitalize on a potential upward movement in the price from this key support zone.
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USDSGD Buy signal at the bottom of a Channel Down.The USDSGD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the April 16 2024 High and today almost touched its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). That is a technical short-term buy opportunity towards its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
The previous Bullish Leg of the pattern registered a +1.31% rise. Our Target is slightly lower than a new potential rise of this magnitude at 1.35000.
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USDSGD Bullish unless this Support breaks.The USDSGD pair is on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) currently but within conflicting Channels. The long-term one is a Channel Up that hasn't yet been invalidated, the medium term one a Channel Down and the shortest term a Channel Up.
As long as Support 1 (1.34225) holds, we will go with the short-term Channel Up and stay bullish, targeting 1.37250, which will be a Lower High on the medium-term Channel Down. If on the other hand, Support 1 breaks, we will take the loss and go short instead, targeting 1.32725 (Support 2).
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USDSGD Still a buy but not for long.The USDSGD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern (blue) since the February 02 2023 Low but on December 28 2023 it posted a Lower Low, so we have to consider the possibility of an emerging (dotted) Channel Down.
As a result, the trend remains bullish but technically we should be careful and only target the top of Channel Down at 1.37350 (symmetrical Bullish Leg at +4.49%).
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USDSGD Buy signal Hey guys! its your girl forex potatoe, i have posted this analysis sometime back and the price never really held as there was no clear direction.
So now here is a longterm position or swing trade on this pair with a very clear buy direction
Confluences:
Double or W pattern
RSI Divergence
Price currently above the moving averages
Third touch
Let me get your opinion on this analysis
USDSGD Strong bullish signal above the 1D MA200It's been again a long time since we traded the USDSGD pair (October 03 2023, see chart below) but it did manage to give us a low risk sell opportunity:
The price hit today the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in exactly 2 months (since November 17). That is a major pressure level as it is also exactly where Resistance 1 (1.34550) is. The long-term pattern is a Channel Up and technically this is the 3rd Bullish Leg. The previous two rose by more than +4.00% but the 2nd made a temporary pause at +3.44%.
That is our 1D MA200 break-out target and it interestingly falls almost exactly on Resistance 2. We are targeting 1.36100 but if the 1D MACD forms a Bearish Cross earlier, we will the the profit on that market price.
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Usdsgd still bearish bias Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Last week, i mentioned about USDSGD having to make more downwards movement (in my tradingview stream), this coming week i believe it would be the same considering the break of the support and currently just tested and seems rejecting it.
Let's see how it unfolds next week.
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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USDSGD: Breakout supported by the 4H MA50.USDSGD is trading inside a Channel Up pattern on the 4H timeframe, on a bullish technical outlook both on the 4H and 1D charts (RSI = 57.738, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 20.427). Yesterday it crossed over the LH trendline and has up to now stayed supported on the 4H MA50. The 4H MACD Bullish Cross has originated this breakout and it appears that it is fairly symmetric with the one in September. Both around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. As such, we turn bullish and target Fibonacci 1.236 (TP = 1.3800).
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USDSGD - Text Book Reversal!USDSGD has recent topped with a beautiful rejection! We had the 50 fibonacci, channel AND an ending diagonal, all indicating a reversal!
Now that we've topped, we can look for any pullbacks to add a position for the massive drop.
Trade idea:
- Watch for pullback
- once pullback appears, look for a trendline break or structure rejection
- Enter with stops above the highs (above 50 fib)
- Targets: 1.305 (700pips), 1.27 (1000pips)
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
USDSGD Head & Soolders Chart Pattern.Hello everyone
AS you could see we have here a head and shoulders pattern with a Break of structure
for The Higher high with creating lower low to retest the ascending channel
You could set a SL : 1.35000
TP : 1.37900
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Michigan consumer sentiment will shock us all In 6 days we have a major update to come and technically speaking we have what i call a sandwich panel set up in which a bearish candle is stocked in between 2 bullish ones now once the said second bullish candle close exceeds the high of the said bearish lone candle we can count on a perfect trend reversal .
Long USDSGDIt appears that USDSGD may be setting up for a multi-day bull run.
Last week USDSGD posted a green weekly Heiken Ashi candle and I suspect it may do it again.
It is also the case that USDSGD posted a green daily Heiken Ashi candle after multiple red Heiken Ashi candles on the daily.
This signals to me that we may be in for a bull run this week.
Technical Analysis: USDSGD Forex Pair 📈 #ForexAnalysis #USDSGD #ShortPosition #BearishPressure 📉
🔍 Technical Analysis: USDSGD Forex Pair 🔍
Hey traders! 📊 Today, let's take a closer look at the US Dollar/Singapore Dollar (USDSGD) Forex pair and explore some interesting insights that could potentially guide our trading decisions. 🤝
📉 Price Action and Trend Observation:
The USDSGD pair has recently experienced a significant event - the breaking of its support levels from January 4th, 2021. 📅 This bearish move suggests a potential shift in the trend, indicating a possible downward direction.
💔 Broken Flag Support:
As of now, the price is testing the broken flag support, which could act as a resistance level. 🚧 This retest offers traders an opportunity to take advantage of the bearish momentum in the market.
🐻 Too Much Bearish Pressure:
The prevailing bearish sentiment is evident, and it appears that there is substantial bearish pressure that may deter any immediate bullish comeback. 📉 The sellers seem to be waiting eagerly to add to their positions if the price attempts to rally, which might act as a barrier to any upward movement.
📉 Short Position Strategy:
Given the bearish environment, I have just opened a short position in the USDSGD pair. If the price happens to rally, I'm prepared to add another short position to capitalize on potential further downside. 💼 However, it is essential to stay cautious and manage risk appropriately, considering the volatile nature of the Forex market.
⏳ Time Frame and Potential Scenario:
This analysis is based on a 1-week time frame, suggesting that the anticipated downward move may take a few more days to unfold. But keep in mind, when the price falls, it often does so rapidly, offering excellent trading opportunities for short-term gains.
Remember, successful trading involves a combination of analysis, risk management, and discipline. 🚀 Always use proper risk-to-reward ratios and employ stop-loss orders to protect your capital.
#ForexTrading #TradingOpportunities #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortingOpportunity #TradeSmart #RiskManagement #USDSGDAnalysis
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading Forex involves substantial risk, and traders should exercise caution and conduct their research before making any trading decisions. Always do your due diligence and consult with a qualified financial advisor if needed. Happy trading! 📈📉
Usdsgd watching for pullbacks to short
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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USDSGD ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys,
As I had previously published, the dollar index seems to be setting up for a bullish rally (analysis inserted below) and USDSGD which is correlated with the dollar index is aligning accordingly.
You will also notice that the price has buy-side liquidity to hunt. I have set an alert to know when price trades into the daily order block from which I will be looking out for a CHOCH on the 1-hour timeframe to go long.
Also, USDCHF is aligning for this long (analysis inserted below)
Follow me for more updates.
US DOLLAR INDEX ANALYSIS
USDCHF ANALYSIS
Cheers,
Jabari