FireHoseReel | USDT Dominance & BTC Dominance Overview😄 Hey! How’s everything? Hope you’re doing great!
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😎 Let’s dive into the analysis of two major crypto dominances: USDT and Bitcoin.
✔️ USDT Dominance Technical Analysis
• On the 4-hour timeframe of USDT dominance, we can see that after repeatedly breaking through multiple resistance levels on the chart, USDT.D has reached a point of heavy overbought conditions. It’s now sitting at a strong resistance zone.
If this resistance breaks, USDT dominance could push even higher, which would bring additional downward pressure on the market, especially on Bitcoin and altcoins, leading to another wave of selling.
• If USDT dominance rejects from this zone and starts moving downward, the nearest support to be tested is around 6.148%. Losing this support would signal the beginning of the first bullish wave in the market, giving us a potential opportunity to start opening long positions once this level breaks down.
• Another key level is the resistance at 6.623%.
If USDT dominance breaks above this level, it could trigger an even stronger bearish wave compared to the previous one, causing a deeper correction across the market.
✔️ BTC Dominance Technical Analysis
• On the 4-hour timeframe of Bitcoin dominance, we can see that after the recent market drop, BTC.D also moved downward and went through a relatively deep correction.
What’s important here is that despite the decline in Bitcoin dominance, altcoins did not experience a heavy correction, and most of them held their levels without major downside movement.
• If Bitcoin dominance loses the 58.80% level, it could extend its correction even further.
However, the key reversal zone for the 4-hour trend lies at 59.31%. A breakout above this level can trigger a solid bullish wave in BTC.D.
• Our confirmation for this bullish wave would be the formation of a higher low above this resistance zone, signaling a potential upward trend continuation.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
Usdt-dominance
USDT Dominance (USDT.D) – 4H Technical AnalysisUSDT Dominance (USDT.D) – 4H Technical Analysis
Current Level: 5.36% (+0.49%)
Trend: Bullish with short-term correction
Technical Overview
USDT Dominance has been maintaining a bullish market structure, supported by a strong recovery from the 5.0%–4.9% equilibrium zone. The recent candle shows a short-term retracement after rejecting from the 5.45% resistance area (PDH zone).
Price is currently holding above the 50 EMA (white) and 200 EMA (yellow) — a signal that the overall market sentiment remains risk-off, favoring stablecoins over risk assets like BTC or altcoins.
Key Levels
Resistance:
5.45% → Previous Day High (PDH) and Supply Zone
5.50%–5.55% → Major resistance, previous liquidity zone
Support:
5.20% (Equilibrium) → Key structural support, aligns with PWH
4.95% → Dynamic support near 200 EMA
4.70%–4.75% → Strong Low / Demand Zone
Indicators
Stochastic RSI shows a recovery from the oversold area but still below 50, suggesting momentum is cooling down — a possible range or minor pullback before another push up.
The price is consolidating after a strong bullish impulse, indicating accumulation before potential continuation higher.
Market Implication
Rising USDT Dominance means traders are moving capital out of risk assets (BTC, ETH) into stablecoins — a bearish signal for crypto prices.
If dominance breaks above 5.45%, expect further downside in BTC and altcoins.
Conversely, if it drops below 5.20%, it could trigger a short-term crypto relief rally.
Summary
Bias: Bullish but in consolidation
Short-Term Expectation: Pullback to 5.20%–5.25%, then potential bounce
Invalidation: Close below 4.95% would shift structure to neutral
USDT.D – 4H Technical Summary (Oct 26, 2025)USDT.D – 4H Technical Summary (Oct 26, 2025)
Structure: USDT Dominance has broken below the short-term BOS (Break of Structure) after multiple rejections from the premium zone, indicating a potential shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
Price Action: The dominance failed to hold above Equilibrium (≈4.84%) and is now trading toward the discount zone, signaling risk-on sentiment across crypto assets.
Moving Averages: Price is currently testing below the EMA89 (blue) while the EMA200 (yellow) sits near 4.70% — a key area for reaction. A clean break below this confluence would reinforce further downside.
Liquidity Zones:
Immediate support: 4.70% (discount / EMA confluence)
Next target: 4.40% – 4.20% (strong demand & previous accumulation zone)
Resistance: 4.90% – 5.00% (equilibrium retest / prior supply)
Momentum: The stochastic oscillator remains in the oversold region, hinting at a possible short-term bounce, but structure favors continued downside after retracements.
Trading Plan:
Bias: Bearish – expecting further decline in USDT dominance.
Scenario: Watch for minor pullback to 4.85% – 4.90% to confirm rejection before continuation lower.
Targets: 4.70% → 4.40%.
Invalidation: Sustained move back above 5.00%.
➡️ Outlook: Weakening USDT dominance supports bullish continuation for Bitcoin and altcoins as capital rotates out of stable assets into risk-on markets.
USDT Dominance Eyes Continuation After Double BottomUSDT dominance (USDT.B) on the daily timeframe has shown a strong shift in momentum. After breaking the trendline, price action confirmed a double bottom formation, pushing dominance steadily upward. Right now, there’s a small chance of a retracement around the 4.56% area, where order flow could reset before continuation.
Technically, the chart has already posted two lower highs, forming a bullish setup that favors another higher low before moving higher. If dominance keeps climbing, the crypto market may face strong selling pressure—Bitcoin and altcoins could bleed in the coming week.
However, the invalidation point sits below 4.2%. A breakdown from that level would signal weakness, potentially giving relief to Bitcoin and altcoins for an upward move.
👉 Keep an eye on 4.56% for a possible bounce and 4.2% as a key invalidation. The next few sessions may decide whether USDT dominance continues its bullish leg or offers crypto traders a breather.
USDT Dominance at a Critical Turning Point–Will Correction BeginIn my previous analysis, I highlighted that USDT dominance had likely completed a 5-wave Elliott structure around 4.60%–4.65%, suggesting that a corrective ABC decline could follow.
That call played out accurately, with dominance stalling right at the projected resistance zone.
🔎 Current Update:
• Price has now hit the top of the larger descending channel as well as the upper boundary of the short-term rising channel → creating a confluence resistance near 4.70%.
• This level remains a high-probability reversal zone.
📊 Scenarios:
• 🔻 Bearish (More Likely):
Rejection from 4.65%–4.70% could confirm the corrective ABC pattern, targeting 4.30%–4.20% next.
👉 This would signal capital rotation back into crypto & altcoins.
• 🟢 Bullish (Alternative):
A confirmed breakout above 4.70% would open the door toward 4.90%, extending pressure on the crypto market.
⸻
📌 Conclusion:
Given the technical confluence, the odds still favor a pullback in USDT dominance, which could give altcoins some room to breathe in the coming sessions.
USDT Dominance on Thin Ice – Breakdown Likely AheadThe USDT dominance chart remains trapped inside a descending channel, with the key resistance sitting around 4.40%.
Despite short-term bounces, the structure still favors a bearish continuation.
The critical support zone lies at 3.85% – 3.70%, which is the most likely target if dominance fails to break above 4.40%.
🔑 Key Points:
• Main resistance: 4.40% – 4.60%
• Bearish target: 3.85% – 3.70%
• Overall structure still bearish unless 4.60% is reclaimed.
👉 A breakdown here would be bullish for altcoins, as money flows out of USDT.
USDT.D 1H Analysis !!USDT.D 1H Analysis
Price is consolidating inside a descending triangle (lower highs + flat bottom).
Currently sitting around 4.44%.
50MA (red) is acting as dynamic resistance, keeping pressure on dominance.
Support Zone
Key support lies near 4.35% (triangle bottom).
A breakdown below this zone could send dominance lower toward 4.32% (orange line).
Resistance
The upper trendline around 4.48%–4.50% is the first big resistance.
Break above → short-term relief rally in dominance.
📈 Outlook
Bullish case: If USDT.D breaks above 4.48%, dominance may rise toward 4.55%–4.60%, usually bearish for crypto prices.
Bearish case: If it rejects and breaks below 4.35%, we can see a move toward 4.32%, which would support bullish momentum in BTC/altcoins.
👉 In simple terms:
Watch 4.48% (resistance) and 4.35% (support).
A breakout = bearish for crypto.
A breakdown = bullish for crypto.
USDT Dominance Weekly Chart Update!!USDT Dominance Weekly Chart Update
USDT dominance continues to decline and is hitting lower highs. This indicates that capital is slowly shifting from stablecoins (USDT) to crypto assets (BTC, ETH, and altcoins).
Support Zone: The main support is between 3.5% - 2.5%. If dominance falls into this zone, it could trigger a strong bullish move in altcoins and BTC.
Perspective: A decline of 2-2.5% would signal the start of a big altcoin season.
⚡ Current Status (4.49%): The market is moving in an uptrend. If dominance continues to decline, expect strong inflows into crypto.
DYOR | NFA
Tether Dominance: Wave B Bounce Before the Next Drop?This 1H chart of USDT Dominance shows the completion of a clear 5-wave impulsive advance, followed by a corrective decline that we can label as Wave A.
Now, signs suggest that Wave A is completed, and the market is preparing for a Wave B bounce.
🔹 Key observations:
• Wave A corrective structure has likely bottomed.
• Wave B is expected to retrace upward, targeting the descending trendline resistance.
• Once Wave B is complete, a Wave C decline is anticipated, continuing the corrective phase.
⚠️ Invalidation: A decisive breakout above the trendline would negate the corrective count and signal a potential bullish extension.
⸻
📌 Summary
Near-term outlook suggests a relief rally (Wave B) toward resistance, followed by a Wave C correction lower, as long as price respects the descending trendline.
Don’t Panic — It’s Just a Healthy Crypto Correction!While the crypto market has seen some red this week, the bigger picture remains intact. Let’s zoom out and make sense of the current correction.
🔸 TOTAL Market Cap (left chart)
The structure remains overall bullish, trading inside the red rising channel.
After a solid rally, the market is currently pulling back toward a strong demand zone – perfectly aligned with the lower trendline. This area is likely to act as a major support, from which the next bullish impulse could kick off.
🔸 USDT Dominance (right chart)
USDT.D remains overall bearish, trading inside the red falling channel.
It’s currently pushing higher toward a well-defined supply zone, which also intersects with the upper red trendline. As long as this area holds, we expect sellers to take over again — giving altcoins the space they need to bounce back.
📌 In simple terms:
The market is in a healthy correction. Don’t let short-term dips shake your long-term view. The trend is still your friend.
➡️ As always, speak with your financial advisor and do your own research before making any investment decisions.
📚 Always follow your trading plan => including entry, risk management, and trade execution.
Good luck!
All strategies are good, if managed properly.
~ Richard Nasr
Bearish Breakdown in USDT Dominance - Altseason Loading?The chart shows a clear long-term descending trendline acting as resistance since mid-2023. After multiple failed attempts to break this trendline, USDT dominance has broken below a key horizontal support around ~4.35% on strong bearish momentum.
- Weekly close below the ~4.35% horizontal support.
Next key support zone: ~3.65–3.70% (marked by previous 2023 lows).
- Strong bearish engulfing candle confirming breakdown.
- Bearish continuation expected if dominance remains below 4.35%.
Further drop of the usdt dominance will start the altseason
Cheers
GreenCrypto
BTC & USDT.D => Bullish Correction Incoming?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Both BTC and USDT.D are sitting around key rejection zones.
💰 BTC is hovering near the $100,000 level — a major previous low and a psychological round number.
📊 Meanwhile, USDT.D is testing the 5% resistance — a supply zone and another critical round number.
As long as $100,000 holds as support on BTC and 5.1% holds as resistance on USDT.D, we could expect a bullish correction across the crypto market.
What do you think? Will these levels hold or break? 🤔
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
USDT.D Original idea inspired by trader SpartaBTC — highly recommend checking out their page.
On the chart, we can clearly see a descending channel. Historically, every time the price touched the upper boundary and started moving down toward the lower one, it marked the beginning of a broader crypto market rally.
Potential targets are shown on the chart.
Altseason is cancelled for now. But Should resume soon.If you're interested in altcoins, be sure to check out my ideas. I’m closely tracking CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , and you’ll find plenty of valuable insights in those analyses.
So, what’s going on? My CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS prediction played out — May was bullish. But was it the real altseason? Not quite. The true altseason typically begins at the end of the Bitcoin cycle, and we’re not there yet.
Right now, we’re seeing price action reminiscent of December 2024. Bitcoin maximalists are aggressively buying BTC during a time it should be correcting, which is inflating BTC dominance and crushing any momentum for an altseason. They appear to be using altcoins as exit liquidity to pump BTC, especially as retail investors hesitate to buy Bitcoin above $100K.
What’s next?
The daily MACD suggests we’re entering a correction phase that could last around two weeks. A drop toward $1.2T is likely, as there's a major order block between the current level and that target. However, the real support lies below $900B — my "green box" — which I view as the ideal buy zone.
Historically, entries in this green box have offered 2x–3x returns on high-volatility altcoins from the top 100, especially in sectors like memes, DeFi, and AI.
I expect altcoins to correct into that zone in the coming weeks — keep an eye on it.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
#Crypto #Altcoins #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCdominance #Altseason #CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #DeFi #MemeCoins #AIcoins #AltcoinSeason #DYOR
USDT.DSecond Point:
The USDT Dominance on the daily timeframe is showing the exact opposite behavior of Bitcoin. It has reached a supportive trendline which, for the past 3 months, has led to a reversal every time the index has touched it — pushing the market one level lower. And now, we're back at that critical zone again.
Will things be different this time?
This current touch appears to be a wave F, and perhaps we could even consider a potential wave G, which would imply one final leg up for USDT Dominance. However, there’s no certainty. There’s also the possibility that the trendline breaks, tether gets deployed, and the market becomes just a little — just a little — more pleasant.
We're literally on the edge right now, and this is where market pumps and dumps tend to occur — right in these key zones.
When will the situation become clear?
We have an important time zone coming up, and it’s likely that within the next couple of days, market makers will show their hand.
What do you think will happen?
Trendline breaks → Market pump
Trendline holds → Market dump ❤️
USDT.D - The dominance of real moneyThe dominance of the dollar over cryptocurrencies is a real indicator of the growth status of ETH!
The last wave of correction and decline is happening now! Pay attention to the accumulation zone before the Bitcoin price drops/inflates.
Money is being transferred to BTC=>ETH=>ALT=>USDT=>BTC and so on in a circle, during the active participation phase of DOU, money is being transferred to ETH and beyond, so be vigilant
In addition, I would like to draw your attention to the BTC.D indicator.
bear market confirmationIf the chart will consolidates above 5.81%, i.e. above the sloping downtrend line, this would be an early indicator of the start of a bear market, because this line is global for the current bull market.
The second confirmation will be if dominance will bumped at 3.94 - 4.30% range as wave B and will update the end of wave A.
USDT.DOMINANCE WEEKLY CHART UPDATE. Current Market Structure:
Breakout Confirmation: USDT Dominance has broken out of its descending trendline and is now in a retest phase.
50MA as Support: The 50-week moving average now acts as dynamic support, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
Rejection or Breakout? The price is currently testing resistance. If it gets rejected, a temporary pullback is likely before further gains.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA






















