USDT Dominance (USDT.D) – 4H Chart AnalysisUSDT Dominance (USDT.D) – 4H Chart Analysis
Price compressing inside a symmetrical triangle
Ichimoku: Price moving inside / above the cloud → neutral to slightly bullish bias
Major Resistance Zones: 6.45% – 6.60% (strong supply area)
Support Zone: 6.20% – 6.10%
Trendlines are squeezing → volatility expansion soon
Bearish for Crypto (Altcoin Bullish):
Rejection + breakdown below 6.20% → USDT.D drops toward 6.00% / 5.85%
Positive for BTC & Altcoins
Risk-Off / Bearish Crypto:
Break & hold above 6.45% → move to 6.60%+
👉 Pressure on BTC & Alts
Market View
USDT dominance at the decision point. The triangle breakout will define the next market leg.
Best strategy: wait for confirmation, avoid over-leverage.
Usdtd
$USDT Dominance Is it really different this time?CRYPTOCAP:USDT has broken a major resistance across multiple timeframes, showing clear strength.
Technically, this is not a positive sign for CRYPTOCAP:BTC and other altcoins.
Tether has been in an uptrend for the last 75 days. A reversal could be around the corner in Q1 2025, but for now, the structure does not favour the bulls.
This is not FUD; it's simply clear observations based on the chart.
There has been no major altcoin season this year. Every KOL, including myself, has been wrong in calling an altseason so far.
Is it really different this time?
Only time will tell.
Do share your views in the comments and hit the like button if you like it.
Thank you
#PEACE
USDT dominance (USDT.D) USDT dominance (USDT.D) remains elevated and is in a major uptrend, indicating that a significant portion of crypto capital is still parked in stablecoins and in a risk-off position.
Current Structure:
USDT.D is around 5-6%, having broken above a long-term descending trendline that had capped dominance since 2022. This is typically a cautionary signal for risk assets when it remains above that breakout level.
From a technical perspective, USDT.D still appears to be in a large corrective pattern, with significant downside support around 4.2% and 3.8%; losing those levels would confirm a new downtrend in dominance and is usually accompanied by a strong rally in BTC and altcoins.
DYOR | NFA,
Critical USDT.D Test: Altcoin Relief or More Pain?USDT dominance is pushing into its long-term trendline resistance again. If this level rejects, it usually signals fresh money rotating back into altcoins.
But if USDT.D breaks out and holds above the trendline, it could put pressure on alts and slow down their momentum.
This is a key spot for the altcoin market.
DYOR, NFA
Please hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
#USDT.D: My expectations and possible scenarios.This metric is very important. It enables us to determine the overall direction of the crypto market.
The higher the USDT.D, the more cash is flowing out of assets.
Conversely, the lower USDT.D is, the more cash is flowing into assets.
My expectations are as follows:
A further decline in USDT.D will cause the entire crypto market to grow, albeit only locally.
However, there is one caveat: technically, the previous high has not been surpassed. We could easily return to that level and remove it, and only then continue the decline in dominance. Moreover, the Fed is meeting soon, and they may make a similar move by then. However, I am optimistic that the market will show local growth and that USDT.D will continue its downward trend.
USDT.D: Smart Money Indicator for Bitcoin & Altcoin CyclesUSDT.D Dominance: The Hidden Cycle Behind Crypto Bull & Bear Markets (2021–2026)
The USDT.D dominance chart offers a clear window into the underlying market sentiment: when stablecoin dominance rises, the market tends to weaken, and when it falls, risk-on assets thrive.
From late 2021 , USDT.D saw a steady rise, signaling capital flowing out of risk assets . This climaxed in late 2022 , aligning with Bitcoin’s historic drop from $69k to $15k (~-74%).
Following this, USDT.D entered a downtrend and consolidated for over a year, a period that coincided with multiple altcoin bull runs , highlighting the inverse relationship between USDT.D and alt markets.
Recent months have shown breakout dynamics , as USDT.D reclaimed its long-term downtrend resistance. The market now faces a crucial retest around 5–5.1% , which could act as a springboard for the next major rally.
🔹 Market Implications:
Short-term: Bitcoin & Ethereum likely to see significant upward momentum during early 2026.
Mid-term: USDT.D may form a Bullish Cup & Handle , targeting 8–9% by late 2026 , signaling potential market corrections.
Key takeaway: Stablecoin dominance is a leading indicator —tracking its patterns can provide insight into market cycles, risk periods, and optimal entry/exit windows.
💡 Pro Tip: Always combine dominance analysis with price action and volume for better timing in crypto markets.
FireHoseReel | USDT.D 4H Analysis🔥 Welcome FireHoseReel !
Let’s jump into the Tether Dominance Analysis , one of the most Popular Crypto Index .
👀 USDT Dominance – 4H Timeframe
USDT dominance has reached a major resistance level after a very strong upward rally. At this point, I personally have a bearish bias, expecting a rejection and the completion of a multi-timeframe secondary trend. This view is also supported by my mentor, Arshia Azizpour.
📉 RSI Analysis
Since volume isn’t very reliable on dominance charts, we use the RSI oscillator instead.
RSI has just rejected from the 81 zone, which is a strong static resistance inside the overbought area.
This rejection suggests potential cooldown, pullback, or loss of momentum.
📌 Key Levels to Watch
USDT dominance currently has three major levels:
🔺 6.623% – major top resistance
🔸 6.427% – multi-timeframe trend-shift zone
🔸 6.148% – secondary multi-timeframe trend-shift zone
A clean break and candle close below these levels can give us a bearish bias on dominance, which naturally creates a bullish bias for crypto assets.
⚠️ Important Note
USDT dominance still has strong trend momentum.
If it breaks above the current top, it could trigger another wave of downward pressure on Bitcoin and altcoins.
Historically, these dominance spikes hit BTC and ETH the hardest, while altcoins don’t always fall as aggressively.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
USDT Dominance Weekly Chart Analysis. USDT Dominance Weekly Chart Analysis
USDT dominance has been in a wide downtrend since mid-2022, repeatedly making lower highs along a major descending trendline.
Resistance Test: The dominance index is currently retesting the upper boundary of a key supply zone (5.5–6.2%), where it has previously faced sharp rejections (marked 1, 2, 3, 4).
Breakout Risk: Despite the latest rally, the price shows potential for another rejection at this supply zone, with the trendline acting as resistance.
Downside Projections: If rejected, USDT dominance may head for significant support near 4.0% and then 3.8%, with further targets at the green accumulation zone around 2.5–3.0%. This would suggest capital rotation out of stablecoins and back into crypto assets.
USDT dominance is at a major resistance, historically rejecting this trendline and zone. Another rejection here could mean reduced market fear and capital flowing back into riskier crypto assets. A sustained breakout above 6.2% would signal increased stablecoin preference and ongoing risk aversion.
DYOR | NFA
#USDT This is the most Crucial Level for ALTCOINS!CRYPTOCAP:USDT is hitting a crucial level right now. How the price reacts here will decide the next market direction.
The blue trendline has been acting as resistance since January 2024, and this level is far more important than most realise.
For now, the best move is to wait and watch how the index behaves over the next few days.
A close above this level could make things ugly, but honestly, I think it’ll get rejected, and the market could go insane in the coming days or weeks.
We’ve already seen maximum pain and liquidation. This is that phase where people are bored and rekt, just before something big happens.
This is just my view; always do your own research.
Invalidation: Close above 5.70%
Let me know what you think in the comments, and don’t forget to hit that like 👍
Peace ✌️
#Altcoins
Altseason Setup? Dominance Charts Flash Key Confluence!BTC.D & USDT.D Combined Outlook 🧩
BTC Dominance is approaching the 61.8%–62.6% Fibonacci zone, a strong resistance where Bitcoin usually cools off, often leading to a liquidity shift toward altcoins.
USDT Dominance is also heading into the 6% resistance zone, which has historically acted as support for altcoins. A rejection here would signal funds rotating from stablecoins into risk assets, favoring alts.
In short:
If both BTC.D and USDT.D get rejected from their current resistance zones, we could see a strong rebound in altcoins soon. But continued strength in both would keep pressure on alts for now.
DYOR, NFA
Thanks for reading! Appreciate your support and engagement
$USDT.D Cycle Top Indicator HIT !A THIRD CYCLE TOP INDICATOR HAS FLASHED ⚠️
YES this chart is complete chicken scratch, and my mad scientist approach to viewing different trends in USDT Dominance.
I’ve had this November 3rd intersection mapped out for years now.
NO, I do not believe we are anywhere close to the top (see pinned tweet).
Bulls REALLY need to step up big this week with a rally.
We cannot afford two consecutive weeks above 5.5%
USDT.D - Watch the Blue Zone: Break = Bullish for CryptoUSDT dominance ripped into the 4.55–4.60 supply and stalled. Price is hovering on the blue support zone at 4.44–4.48.
This area is key 🔑. If the blue zone breaks down and holds below 4.44–4.48, that’s bullish for crypto (alts + BTC) as dominance rotates lower toward 4.30–4.25, even 4.22.
If the zone holds and 4.60 is reclaimed, dominance can push higher and keep pressure on risk assets.
What’s your plan => wait for a confirmed break of the blue zone to flip risk-on, or fade the first rejection at 4.60? 🤔
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk properly.
📚 Stick to your trading plan regarding entries, risk, and management.
Good luck! 🍀
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
USDT DOMINANCE UPDATE (12H)After Bitcoin’s recent drop, USDT dominance has bounced back above a key resistance level. We’re now sitting right inside the “Danger Zone.”
If the last top wick is broken, a flash crash across the entire market could follow.
The plan hasn’t changed — still targeting 3.75% before 2026, as long as the structure doesn’t shift.
If 4.60% breaks, brace for a major red weekly candle.
For now, conditions remain stable.
USDT DOMINANCE UPDATE (4H)As I mentioned in my previous analysis, USDT.D has pumped strongly into a major supply zone and faced a perfect rejection.
Currently, it looks like we’re setting up for a minor upward retracement before moving towards lower levels.
Key Level to Watch:
4.36% – 4.40% should be considered as the optimal buy zone.
$BTC Macrolast idea remains intact—we are still bullish. Alts have held strong while BTC plunged. (I don’t own any BTC, and neither should you above $100K.)
I predicted the exact $15.5K bottom on X, as well as the August 5th crash and bottom. Unfortunately, I wasn’t on the charts in December and missed the biggest, clearest signal on USDT.D for a potential local top, which otherwise would have 2x'd my current portfolio but mistakes were made)
BTC taking the hits while alts hold steady is a strong sign that whales are taking profits from Bitcoin and preparing for "rotation".
Most traders believe the cycle is over—and there are valid reasons for that (some of them are):
- A monthly bearish engulfing candle
- A structure resembling the 2021 top, suggesting one last rally before the bear market
- Worst of all, double bearish divergence on the monthly, which worries me too
However, there are strong counterarguments.
The biggest? The cycle has never topped with BTC.D this weak. That’s why I’m still leaning toward a bullish scenario until proven otherwise.
Update on the above chart:
The parabola is intact with a beautiful reaction. That doesn’t mean we can’t still visit the red box—there’s only air between them—but I’m holding, and that remains my primary scenario.
Alts can make new lows, but RR isn’t worth it. As I’ve said before, the time to sell spot bags has passed. You don’t sell in between unless invalidation occurs.
Timing is everything. We failed to time this market, assuming it would mimic past cycles—but everyone was wrong. Traders won this cycle, while investors (except BTC holders) struggled... until now, at least.
ONLY DIFFERENCE BETWEEN BOTH SCENARIOS (MENTIONED ON CHART) FOR ALTS?
You have to wait way longer on the second scenario but both would take us to our goal.
Worst case? We break and HTF close on USDT.D - last hope, officially ending bull market!
Tether Rakes in $4.9B Q2 Profit, Cementing Its Reign as Crypto’sTether Q2 Net Profit Hits $4.9 Billion, Pushing Total Earnings to $5.7 Billion: What It Means for the Crypto Industry
Tether Holdings Ltd., the issuer of the world’s largest stablecoin USDT, has once again made headlines with its Q2 2025 earnings report, revealing a staggering net profit of $4.96 billion. This brings the company’s total profits for the first half of the year to $5.7 billion—a record-breaking milestone for both the company and the broader stablecoin ecosystem.
This article explores the implications of Tether’s Q2 performance, the sources of its revenue, its impact on the crypto markets, and the growing significance of stablecoins in the evolving financial landscape.
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A Record-Setting Quarter for Tether
Tether’s Q2 2025 results have astonished even seasoned analysts. The company’s reported $4.96 billion in net profit in a single quarter represents one of the most profitable periods in the history of any fintech or crypto-native company. What’s even more remarkable is that this profit was not driven by speculative trading or token sales, but by conservative, yield-generating strategies rooted in traditional finance.
The company’s Q1 earnings were already impressive at $0.76 billion, but Q2’s results eclipse those numbers entirely. Tether’s cumulative profit year-to-date now stands at $5.72 billion, putting it on track to potentially exceed $10 billion in earnings for the full year if current trends continue.
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What’s Driving Tether’s Massive Profit?
Tether’s incredible profitability is primarily fueled by one key factor: the interest earned on its reserves. As the issuer of USDT, Tether is responsible for maintaining a 1:1 backing of every token in circulation. These reserves are primarily held in short-term U.S. Treasury Bills (T-Bills), reverse repos, and cash equivalents.
Here’s a breakdown of the main profit drivers:
1. High Interest Rates on U.S. Treasuries
With the U.S. Federal Reserve maintaining elevated interest rates to combat inflation, short-term T-Bills have become highly lucrative. Tether holds tens of billions of dollars in these instruments, generating billions in annual interest income.
For example, the yield on a 3-month Treasury bill in Q2 2025 averaged around 5.2%, and Tether’s reserve base has hovered near $90 billion to $100 billion. Even a conservative allocation can earn several billion dollars in annual yield.
2. Reverse Repurchase Agreements (Reverse Repos)
Tether has also expanded its use of reverse repos, which allow it to lend cash to counterparties in exchange for securities, earning a premium on the transaction. This has contributed significantly to its earnings, especially in a high-yield environment.
3. Gold Holdings and Bitcoin Exposure
Tether has acknowledged that a small portion of its reserves includes gold and Bitcoin holdings. These assets appreciated in Q2, contributing to the overall profit. While not the primary revenue source, their performance added notable value during the quarter.
4. Equity Investments
The company has begun investing in infrastructure and technology firms related to blockchain and AI. While these investments are not liquid, mark-to-market gains may have also contributed to the net profit figure.
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A Closer Look at Tether’s Reserve Report
Tether’s Q2 attestation report, published alongside its earnings update, provides transparency into how its assets are allocated. Here are some highlights:
• Over 85% of reserves are held in U.S. Treasury instruments
• $5.4 billion in excess reserves—a buffer above the value of circulating USDT
• $3.3 billion in gold and Bitcoin holdings
• Minimal exposure to unsecured commercial paper or riskier debt instruments
Tether has continuously emphasized its commitment to transparency and risk management. Unlike in its early years, when it faced criticism over opaque reserve practices, the company now releases quarterly attestations audited by third-party firms such as BDO Italia.
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USDT’s Growing Dominance
Tether’s profits are closely tied to the growth of its flagship product: USDT, the world’s largest stablecoin by market cap. As of August 2025, USDT has a circulating supply exceeding $110 billion, giving it a dominant share of the stablecoin market.
This growth can be attributed to several factors:
1. Increased Adoption in Emerging Markets
USDT is widely used in countries with unstable fiat currencies, such as Argentina, Nigeria, and Turkey. For many users, USDT represents a dollar-denominated safe haven in environments plagued by inflation and capital controls.
2. DeFi and Cross-border Payments
USDT continues to be a core asset in decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols, serving as a stable medium of exchange and collateral. It's also a preferred tool for cross-border remittances, given its speed and low transaction costs compared to traditional banking systems.
3. Institutional Integration
Major crypto exchanges, custodians, and payment processors have incorporated USDT into their platforms, driving further liquidity and utility. In many cases, USDT is preferred over fiat due to its 24/7 availability and blockchain-native nature.
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What Does This Mean for the Crypto Industry?
Tether’s Q2 performance is more than just a corporate milestone—it’s a bellwether moment for the crypto industry. It signifies the maturation and institutionalization of digital assets and stablecoins. Here’s what it means for the broader ecosystem:
1. Stablecoins as Profitable Financial Products
Tether’s profitability proves that stablecoins are no longer just “crypto plumbing.” They are now financial products generating billions in yield, much like money market funds. This is reshaping how investors and regulators think about stablecoins—not as speculative tools, but as interest-bearing assets backed by real-world securities.
2. Regulatory Scrutiny Will Intensify
With Tether generating profits that rival traditional banks, expect regulators to increase oversight. Stablecoins have long been in the crosshairs of the U.S. Treasury, SEC, and global central banks, and Tether’s dominant market share will likely place it under further examination.
However, Tether’s transparency efforts, including quarterly attestations and reserve disclosures, may help it navigate these regulatory waters more effectively than in the past.
3. Competition Will Escalate
Tether’s extraordinary profits will likely attract new entrants and existing competitors to the stablecoin arena. Circle’s USDC, PayPal’s PYUSD, and even central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are all vying for market share.
Tether’s early-mover advantage, global reach, and deep liquidity make it hard to displace, but increased competition could pressure margins in the long term.
4. Decentralized Alternatives Will Seek Market Share
Decentralized stablecoins like DAI, FRAX, and USDD aim to offer alternatives to centralized issuers like Tether. While they remain relatively small, the ethos of decentralization might gain appeal, especially in regulatory-heavy environments.
Still, decentralized stablecoins have struggled to maintain pegs during market stress, giving Tether an edge in terms of trust and resilience.
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The Road Ahead for Tether
As Tether moves into the second half of 2025, several strategic themes will define its trajectory:
Continued Profitability
If interest rates remain elevated and USDT circulation continues to grow, Tether’s annual profit could reach or exceed $10 billion—putting it in league with the most profitable fintech firms globally. This surplus could be reinvested in:
• Infrastructure expansion
• Strategic acquisitions
• Reserve diversification
• R&D for stablecoin innovation
Expansion into Emerging Markets
Tether has hinted at expanding its presence in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia, where demand for dollar-denominated assets is high and banking infrastructure is limited. Expect to see more localized partnerships and on-ramp/off-ramp solutions.
Embracing Blockchain Innovation
Tether is already deployed on multiple blockchains—Ethereum, Tron, Solana, and more. The company is likely to support new Layer 1s and Layer 2s to enhance speed, reduce costs, and maintain competitiveness in the DeFi space.
There are also rumors that Tether may be exploring tokenized asset offerings and programmable money features, allowing USDT to integrate more deeply with smart contracts and enterprise use cases.
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Criticisms and Controversies: Still Lingering?
Despite its success, Tether continues to face criticism from parts of the crypto community and regulatory world. Concerns include:
• Lack of full audits (attestations are not the same as full financial audits)
• Opaque ownership structure
• Past legal issues, including settlements with the New York Attorney General and the U.S. CFTC
However, it’s worth noting that Tether has addressed many of these concerns over the past two years. Its transparency has improved, and its operations have become more conservative and professional.
Still, its scale and impact on the crypto market mean that any misstep could have systemic consequences. Investors and regulators alike will continue to scrutinize its activities.
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Final Thoughts: Tether’s Moment of Ascendance
Tether’s Q2 2025 net profit of $4.96 billion doesn’t just reflect a successful quarter—it marks a paradigm shift in crypto finance. What began as a controversial stablecoin project has evolved into a global financial powerhouse, rivaling traditional banks and asset managers in profitability.
More than just a win for Tether, this moment signals the growing legitimacy of stablecoins in the global financial system. It shows that crypto-native firms can not only survive but thrive in traditional financial environments, leveraging yield, transparency, and blockchain infrastructure to create sustainable business models.
As the world watches, Tether’s next chapters will likely be shaped by innovation, regulation, and global expansion. But for now, with $5.7 billion in profits in just six months, one thing is clear:
Tether is no longer just a stablecoin issuer—it’s one of the most powerful financial entities
in the digital age.
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.






















