USDTRY, Correction then Growth. Update Hello traders and arkadaslarim, Everything is clear on the chart for you like always. So monitor the price's action in the circle. After breakout the resistance zone and fixation, we can buy and for lower risk after pullback.
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USDTRY
USD/TRY's dramatic intervened drop is stablising around 11.0000The USD/TRY pair extended its dramatic turnaround from a record high touched earlier this week and continued losing ground through the mid-European session on Thursday. This marked the fourth successive day of a negative move and dragged spot prices to a six-week low, around the 10.20 region in the last hour. The pair, however, found some support at lower levels and quickly bounced back above the 11.00 round-figure mark.
The Turkish lira's recent strong gains came after the government announced extraordinary measures on Monday, which include the introduction of a new program to protect savings from currency fluctuations. Adding to this, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said the government and the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) would guarantee certain local currency deposits against losses from FX depreciation.
Erdoğan also reassured that citizens would not have to convert lira savings into foreign exchange due to volatility and emphasized that Turkey is committed to the free market economy. The President further underlined that Turkey is adamant about its new economic model and stuck to his unconventional policy to use lower interest rates to combat inflation.
Nevertheless, the lira remains on track to record its best weekly gains ever, of around 40% and seemed rather unaffected by a modest pickup in US dollar demand. That said, extremely overstretched conditions prompted some short-covering amid relatively thin liquidity ahead of the year-end holiday season.
- USD/TRY remained under intense selling pressure for the fourth successive day on Thursday.
- The recent measures announced by the Turkish government continued lending support to the lira.
- Extremely overstretched conditions prompted intraday short-covering move amid thin liquidity.
>Dollar Edges Lower as Confidence Over Omicron Supports High Yielders
The dollar traded marginally lower early in the European session Thursday, near a one-week low, amid growing optimism for the global economic outlook despite the surge of Omicron-variant Covid cases.
At 2:50 AM ET (0750 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, fell 0.1% to 96.043, having earlier fallen to 96.018 for the first time since Dec. 17.
USD/JPY rose 0.1% to 114.19, with the yen, another safe haven, slipping despite Japan upgrading earlier Thursday its growth projections for the next fiscal year starting in April.
The growth projection was raised to 3.2% for fiscal 2022 from a forecast 2.2% real GDP growth seen at a mid-year review in July. This would be the fastest growth since fiscal 2010.
EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.1338, adding to its overnight advance, GBP/USD climbed 0.1% to 1.3354, while the risk-sensitive AUD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.7218, after Wednesday’s surge of almost 1%.
Risk sentiment has improved as the week has progressed, helped by a couple of studies suggesting that patients with the Omicron variant face a lower risk of hospitalization and severe disease compared with the Delta variant, the previously dominant strain.
Also helping was the release of positive U.S. economic data on Wednesday, with GDP growing 2.3% quarter-on-quarter in the third quarter and existing home sales rising 1.9% in November. However, it was U.S. consumer confidence improving more than expected in December despite the resurgence in Covid-19 infections which had the biggest impact.
“Expectations about short-term growth prospects improved, setting the stage for continued growth in early 2022. The proportion of consumers planning to purchase homes, automobiles, major appliances, and vacations over the next six months all increased,” said a Conference Board spokeswoman.
The economic data slate is packed Thursday, including initial jobless claims, new home sales, durable goods orders, and the PCE price index. It also includes personal income and spending, as well as the University of Michigan consumer sentiment and expectations indexes.
Elsewhere, USD/TRY dropped 1.8% to 11.8270, with the lira continuing to rebound after President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Wednesday that measures to protect the Turkish lira bank deposits from depreciation amid a currency crisis have achieved their goal.
That said, the currency is still about 40% down so far this year after a series of interest rate cuts, engineered by the president, despite inflation soaring over 20%.
Elsewhere, the Russian ruble rose to its highest level in over a month ahead of President Vladimir Putin's annual press conference, against a backdrop of continued tension on the Ukrainian border, where over 100,000 Russian troops have massed. Analysts will want to see whether Putin repeats to a more general audience the hawkish comments that he made to his defense chiefs earlier in the week.
>USD/TRY's dramatic intervened drop is stablising around 12.0000
USD/TRY is stabilising following three consecutive days of falling prices that have wiped out the November rally. At the time of writing, USD/TRY is trading at 12.0354 and in between an 11.9655 and 12.0828 range so far.
President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ordered the Turkish central bank to start reducing interest rates earlier in the year which led to the currency falling around 50% since September. Inflation rose 21.31% in November compared to the same period last year. On a monthly basis inflation rose 3.51% compared to October. The president insisted on four interest rate cuts over the four months despite surging inflation and the market responded in kind.
However, on Monday 20 December the TRY weakened significantly when President Erdoğan said in a televised speech that he will continue cutting interest rates after rates were cut by 100 basis points. This took the rate to -6%, the lowest in the world and the TRY to the weakest level since the 1980s. However, there was a dramatic comeback in the currency when the government announced a series of measures to support the currency on Monday.
Amongst other measures, including direct FX forward contracts from the central bank for companies heading overseas business, Erdoğan explained that the government will protect lira deposits by making up for the losses incurred. TRY has rallied, and the plan is working, so far. However, if the president is intent on cutting rates in an inflationary environment, then the lira will be left vulnerable to further weakness.
Technicals are futile under such fundamental drivers and wild price action as this, but nevertheless, if there is to be stability, then the range are between 11.0000 - 14.0000 .
- BUYING PRESSURE PRICE 10.2000 - 11.3000
- Our option for #USDTRY is TO WAIT FOR BUYERS DECISION PRICE ACTION WITH A CONFIRMATION.
- Economy BUBBLE has happened or is close to !!
- The outlook and the overall trend for the pair is BULLISH.
Prev. Close 12.0373
Bid 11.3001
Day's Range 10.2329 - 12.3582
Open 16.4798
Ask 11.494752
wk Range 6.8882 - 18.36741
Year Change 57.36%
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| Review and analysis by Samadi.Finance |
USDTRY - Bullish Bias RemainsAs for now, Turkish Lira is still ABOVE 2021´s Close (Black Line) and Came back to Restest it.
Hence the Bullish Bias Remains. If price starts going up it will end at yearly R3.
If price breaks below yearly S1 (what I find unlikely) the yearly downtrend will be to S3.
For Educational Purposes Only.
#USDT.DOMINANCE 1HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERS !!Hello, dear traders welcome you to this USDT.DOMINANCE 1hr chart analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
Hello dear traders, we here new so we ask you to support our ideas with your LIKE and COMMENT, also be free to ask any question in the comments, and we will try to answer for all, thank you, guys.
In scenario 1, we can see that whenever 100D MA cuts the candles below then USDT.D becomes bullish.
In scenario 2, we can see that 100D MA crossed the candles and it becomes bearish.
In scenario 3, we can seas the same scenario as scenario 2 where agin 100D MA crossed the candles and USDT.D moving downside.
Here I am expecting a break below this channel pattern which will be the indication to go long in different USDT pair ALTCOINS.
Thanks for your time, we hope our work is good for you, and you are satisfied, we wish you a good day and big profits.
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Correction will be continued upThe price for USD/TRY drew the interesting schedule, but correction is not ended. I expect continuation of the movement up in the short term to the level 15.19 where the next resistance is located.
Purchase at the current price.
TP = 15.17.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
USDTRY- 28Apr2022USDTRY- 28Apr2022
On the H4, price once again bounced back strongly from the interim resistance-turned-support at 14.7500. If USD continues to strengthen, we could expect USDTRY to bounce higher to 1st Resistance at 14.8800.
Disclaimer: This is for personal work record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
So You Also Trade USDTRY? Buy Now!Not a lot of people trade USDTRY. If you are one of them, maybe you want to consider long positions. I am long on this pair.
Price failed to break below major support and my fav indicator, stochastic is turning bullish
Long positions at market this morning
Stop: 14.5414
#USDT.DOMINANCE 1HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSHello, welcome to this USDT.D 1hr chart update by CRYPTOSANDERS.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome to this chart.
Show some support do hit the like button, follow and comment in the comment section. this motivates me to bring this kind of chart analysis on regular basis.
CHART ANALYSIS :
As we can see from the above-mentioned chart that USDT.D was rejected from the blue MA and moved down towards the lower support line which is 4.42% and if broke the support line then it can move down to 4.35%.
IMO we can see a bounce from the 4.42% level towards the 4.52% in which ALTS will bleed.
So in my opinion still we should wait for the right time to enter the long positions.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
Thank you...
USDTRY: ABCD on Daily chart looks promisingWeekly 44&77 MAs have just crossed, so it looks like the Bearish sign has happened. ABCD on Daily chart looks promising however daily 44&77 MAs have not crossed yet. This mean that this trade is very risky and not for beginners or those who prefer careful approach.
USDTRY- 06Apr2022USDTRY- 06Apr2022
On the H4, price is still consolidating sideways trying to bounce above 20EMA and 50MA. Price action is mixed for today and we need to wait and see whether it can bounce above 1st Resistance at 14.88.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 28Mar2022USDTRY- 28Mar2022
Price action for USDTRY last week was pretty much just sideway consolidation.
On the H4, price is retesting the 61.8% Fib resistance at 14.80. With the overall strength in USD, we could expect price to bounce higher to 78.6% Fib at 14.88. If it can close above, the next resistance will be at 15.08, in-line with daily resistance.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 24Mar2022USDTRY- 24Mar2022
On the H4, price is retesting the 61.8% Fib resistance at 14.80. Once price can close back above 78.6% Fib at 14.88, we could expect price to bounce higher to 1st Resistance at 15.08, in-line with daily resistance.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDTRY- 21Mar2022USDTRY- 21Mar2022
On the weekly / daily, USDTRY has been on an uptrend since closing above the previous pivot at 13.90. The next resistance will be at 15.1800.
On the H4, price is retesting the 61.8% Fib resistance at 14.80. Once price can close back above 78.6% Fib at 14.88, we could expect price to bounce higher to 1st Resistance at 15.08.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
#USDT.DOMINANCE 4HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTOSANDERSWelcome to this quick USDT.DOMINANCE analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
Hello members, welcome to USDT.D 4hr quick update by CRYPTOSANDERS.
As we can see at above-mentiond chart that usdt.d broke the lower trend line.
In current scenario its retesting the lower trend line so, here we are expecting a down fall which will be the opportunity for us to take some position in ALT coins.
Will be posting some ALT coin setup in a while.
If USDT.D once again moves inside the triangle pattern then our this chart will be invalidate.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
THANK YOU...
USDTRY- 18Mar2022USDTRY- 18Mar2022
USDTRY bounced back once again, confirming above the 3MAs on all the time frame. Price action also broke above parallel channel on the H1.
With reference to daily, price is more likely to bounce higher to 1st Resistance at 15.18 after it can clear H4 78.6% Fib at 14.880 today.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.
USDT.DOMINANCE 4HOUR UPDATE BY CRYPTUSANDERSWelcome to this quick USDT.DOMINANCE analysis.
I have tried my best to bring the best possible outcome in this chart.
Hello folks,
Hello members, welcome you all to our USDT.D quick update.
As we mentioned in our previous chart that USDT.D should retest the lower trend line for confirmation and it fell right after the breakout.
In the current scenario, it’s also rejected from the blue MA.
So we are expecting it can come down to 4.15% mark which is also a strong support.
Now it’s an opportunity for us to take a position in some ALT coins.
Sorry for my English it is not my native language.
Do hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section.
THANK YOU...
USDTRY- 17Mar2022USDTRY- 17Mar2022
Price have confirmed below the MAs in both H1 and H4 to drop lower to daily support around 14.28. If the price can bounce back to H4 1st Resistance at 14.700, we could expect price to face bearish pressure at this level.
This is for personal record purposes only, not financial advise or solicitation of trade.






















