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USOIL Analysis: Oil Testing Critical 63.85 Pivot Zone!Crude Oil (USOIL) Technical Analysis Date: February 9, 2026 Pivot Point: 63.85 The price is currently hovering around the 63.85 level. This is the decisive zone for the next market move. 📉 Bearish Scenario (Main Outlook): As long as the price remains below the 63.85 pivot point, the downward trend prevails: First Target: A decline toward the support level at 62.40. Second Target: Breaking below this level will drive the price further down to 61.40. Bullish Scenario (Alternative Outlook): If the price manages to break above the 63.85 pivot and stabilizes, the trend will flip to bullish: First Resistance: The target will be 64.65. Further Gains: A breakout above this resistance will push the price toward 65.20 and potentially reach 65.95. Key Summary: Below 63.85: Bearish momentum dominates. Above 63.85: Bullish reversal confirmed. Support & Resistance Levels: Resistance: 64.65 | 65.20 | 65.95 Support: 62.40 | 61.40
TVC:USOILShort
by EvarMayi
Crude Oil (USOIL): Bullish Structure + Mean Reversion Entry⚡ WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) - BULLISH SWING STRATEGY 🛢️ 📊 Institutional Trading Plan | Global Energy Market 🎯 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Market: USOIL (WTI Crude Oil Spot) Session: Day/Swing Trading Direction: BULLISH (Confirmation) Current Level: $63.65 USD/barrel 52-Week Range: $54.98 - $78.40 📈 TECHNICAL STRUCTURE OF THE PLAN ✅ Bullish Confirmation WTI has formed a "Channel Up" monthly pattern, showing: ✨ Multiple Higher Highs and Higher Lows confirmed ✨ Positive response to key support levels (channel bottom) ✨ Technical pullback on Strategic Moving Averages ✨ Positive momentum with institutional volume Recent: Crude oil bounced from $62.14 USD on February 2 session, validating key support after initial euphoria. 🔌 ENTRY STRATEGY - PROFESSIONAL LAYERING SYSTEM Important Note: You are absolutely responsible for your trading decisions. This plan is educational, not financial recommendation. 📍 Entry Levels (Layering System - "Thief Strategy") Layer 1 - Aggressive Entry: $62.00 USD → Strong support + Technical confluence Layer 2 - Strategic Entry: $62.50 USD → 50-period Moving Average approximation Layer 3 - Balanced Entry: $63.00 USD → Neutral/pullback zone (current area) Layer 4 - Conservative Entry: $63.50 USD → Secondary impulse confirmation Flexibility: Any entry level is viable according to your risk profile and preferred timeframe. 🎯 PRICE TARGET (TP) - INSTITUTIONAL RESISTANCE Main Target: $66.50 USD/barrel Technical Reasons: ✅ Historical structure resistance + expected pullback zone ✅ Overbought conditions detected on oscillators ✅ "Bullish trap" zone - institutional density ✅ Correlation with Brent ($68-70) suggests probable peak here ✅ Institutional profit-taking expected at this level Secondary Scenario: If you break $66.50 with volume, next TP = $67.50-68.00 USD 🛑 STOP LOSS (SL) - RISK MANAGEMENT Professional Stop Loss: $61.00 USD/barrel Justification: 🛡️ Base support of monthly bullish channel 🛡️ Breaking below invalidates bullish thesis 🛡️ Optimal distance for favorable risk/reward ratio 🛡️ Technical level backed by multi-timeframe analysis Your Responsibility: Setting SL is YOUR PERSONAL DECISION. Manage your capital according to risk tolerance. 💰 RELATED PAIRS TO MONITOR | CORRELATION ANALYSIS 🌍 Correlated Pairs: 1. BRENT CRUDE (EUCRUDE) Current Price: $65.92 USD/barrel Correlation: +0.92 (Highly correlated) WTI/Brent Ratio: 1.04 (WTI slight discount) Monitoring: If USOIL rises, EUCRUDE typically follows +1-2% Key Point: Brent acts as "global barometer" of energy demand 2. US DOLLAR (DXY) Correlation: -0.73 (Strong inverse) Impact: Stronger USD = Cheaper oil (non-USD buyers lose purchasing power) Critical Level: DXY > 107.50 generates downward pressure on USOIL Strategy: Monitor Fed + interest rates 3. STOCK INDICES (S&P 500 / SPY) Correlation: +0.68 (Risk-sentiment) Dynamic: Bullish markets = Higher future energy demand Bullish Divergence: If SPY rises but USOIL doesn't, speculative opportunity 4. RELATED ENERGY PAIRS Gasoline (GASOLINE Futures): +0.85 correlation Natural Gas (NGT): +0.45 correlation (weaker relationship) Uranium (URA): +0.20 correlation (independent) 5. CHINESE YUAN PAIR (CNYRUB) Correlation: +0.55 (Asian demand) Context: China is world's largest crude importer Indicator: Yuan weakness = Lower oil purchases 📰 CRITICAL FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS 🚨 GEOPOLITICS - RISK FACTOR #1 🔴 Current Situation (February 2026): US-IRAN NEGOTIATIONS (Most Recent: February 6, 2026) ✅ Diplomatic conversations confirmed in Oman (February 6) ✅ Reduction of geopolitical risk premium since January highs ⚠️ Uncertainty: Disagreement on scope of negotiations persists 📊 Price Impact: Each "progress" news = -2 to -4% in WTI 📊 Price Impact: Collapse in negotiations = +3 to +8% in WTI Critical Fact: Iran represents ~30% of OPEC production = Massive disruption potential RUSSIA-UKRAINE TENSION 🔴 Recent attacks on Ukrainian energy infrastructure ⚖️ Possible high-level negotiations between Washington and Moscow 📍 Impact: Russian supplies (11% global) at potential risk 🎯 Monitoring: Any escalation = +$2-5 automatically in WTI 📊 SUPPLY AND DEMAND (Fundamentals) OPEC+ DECISION (February 1, 2026) ✅ 8 OPEC+ countries reaffirm freeze on production increase for March ✅ DELAY OF INCREMENTS: Reason = weak seasonal demand (Q1) 📋 Reserve of cuts: 1.65 million barrels/day still available if market requires 🔄 Next Meeting: March 1, 2026 - Market Review Excess Capacity: 🛢️ Spare capacity (~2.5 million bbl/day) mainly in Saudi Arabia 🛢️ Acts as "safety net" if Iran disconnects 💡 OPEC+ Strategy: Keep prices "comfortable" without deeper cuts NORTH AMERICAN INVENTORIES (EIA - Last Week January 2026) ✅ DECLINE: -3.5 million barrels in week ending January 30 ✅ Bullish signal = Reduction of surplus 📈 Critical next reports: every Thursday at 10:30 AM EST GLOBAL PRODUCTION (Q3 2025 - Latest Data) 📊 OPEC Production: 106.03 million bbl/day 📊 Global Production (IEA): 108.06 million bbl/day ⚠️ 2026 Projection: Possible oversupply of 3.8 million bbl/day (per IEA) ⚠️ Long-term downward pressure 💱 GLOBAL ECONOMIC FACTORS GLOBAL ENERGY DEMAND 🌐 Global economic growth 2026 = 3.1% (OPEC) 🌐 Energy demand growth 2026 = +1.4 million bbl/day (vs 2025) 🌐 OECD: +0.2 mb/d | Non-OECD: +1.2 mb/d 🎯 Impact: Lower growth = Limited upward pressure KEY MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS 📉 Weak private employment data (USA) = Slowdown concerns 📉 Milder weather forecasts = Lower heating consumption 💪 ISM Manufacturing PMI (January USA): Next February 3 = Key for sentiment DOLLAR STRENGTH 💹 DXY (Dollar Index) at relative highs 💹 Stronger dollar = More expensive oil in foreign currencies = Lower demand 💹 Change: Fed could hold rates or reduce based on February data TRADE AGREEMENTS (Emerging Factor) 🤝 Trump-India: Oil tariff reduction (25% → 0%) 🤝 India can increase US crude purchases 📊 Impact: Potential demand +500k-1M bbl/day in US Oil 🎤 UPCOMING CRITICAL EVENTS TO MONITOR 📅 February 6 → US-Iran Negotiations in Oman 🔴 VERY HIGH IMPACT (Geopolitical Key) 📅 February 10 → ISM Services PMI (USA) 🟠 HIGH IMPACT (Economic Health) 📅 February 13 → Weekly EIA Inventories 🟡 MEDIUM-HIGH IMPACT (Real Demand) 📅 March 1 → OPEC+ Meeting Decision 🟠 HIGH IMPACT (Production Policy) 📅 February → Energy Corporate Earnings 🟡 MEDIUM IMPACT (Investment Guidance) 💎 "THIEF OG" TRADER WISHLIST - MOTIVATION & MINDSET "In the energy market, patience is power. Institutions build positions slowly, while emotional traders lose fast." 🚀 Professional Trading Principles: ✨ "Lay Your Traps, Not Your Emotions" Layered entries allow you to break even even on losing trades Each dip is an opportunity to average down, not to panic ✨ "Follow the Institutions, Not the Hype" Big funds wait at $62-63, they don't jump at $65 Institutional volumes confirm = USOIL will rise sustainably ✨ "Geopolitics is the New Fundamentals" 2026 is a year of uncertainty: Iran, Russia-Ukraine, China Each news = Volatility = Opportunity for prepared traders ✨ "Risk Management is Not Boring, It's Freedom" SL at $61.00 = Maximum -$2.65 loss per barrel TP at $66.50 = Maximum +$3.85 gain per barrel Ratio 1:1.45 = Professional, sustainable, repeatable ✨ "Trade the Plan, Not Your Dreams" Layered entry = Don't perfect the timing (impossible) Fixed TP = Take profits without regrets Fixed SL = Controlled losses = Portfolio preserved 📈 CONCLUSION: WHY NOW IS THE TIME? BULLISH SCENARIO: The confluence of technical factors + seasonality + controlled geopolitics = Clear swing trade opportunity Ideal Setup: ✅ Confirmed monthly channel pattern bullish ✅ Technical pullback offers staggered entries ✅ Clear targets at institutional resistance ✅ Defined and rational stop loss ✅ Secondary correlations confirm energy panorama Horizon: 5-15 days (Swing Trade) | Potential: +$2.85 - $3.85 per barrel 🛢️ "Oil doesn't lie. Fundamentals align with technicals. The question isn't 'if' USOIL rises to $66.50, but 'when'." 🎯 LET'S WIN, TRADER OG'S! RESPECT THE PLAN. 💪
FX:USOILSPOT
by The-Thief
Will #USOIL (WTI Crude) Falling Channel Rise? –Weekly Timeframe Will #USOIL USOIL (WTI Crude) Falling Channel Rise? – Weekly Timeframe Technical Analysis Current Price: 61.1 Market Structure WTI remains in a long-term corrective phase following the 2022 peak - Over 50% Retracement. Price action is clearly contained within a well-defined descending channel (red), characterised by lower highs and lower lows. This confirms that, structurally, the market is still bearish on a primary timeframe. However, price is now trading very close to the lower boundary of the channel with a double bottom, where downside momentum historically weakens. Key Support & Demand Zone Major support is between 56.00 – 61.00 This zone has acted as a multi-year demand area, repeatedly absorbing selling pressure. The most recent weekly candles show **rejection wicks and reduced downside follow-through**, suggesting seller exhaustion rather than aggressive distribution. A sustained weekly close **below 56** would invalidate this current recovery and expose the low-40s. Resistance & Upside Levels If price holds above support and breaks channel resistance, the following upside levels come into focus: 73.96 Prior structural resistance and midpoint reaction zone 91.95 Major range resistance from previous distribution 111.65: Upper macro resistance 127.95: Long-term target aligned with prior highs. These levels align well with historical supply zones and would likely trigger profit-taking on any rally. Momentum, Bias and Invalidation Momentum remains neutral-to-bearish but losing downside strength A weekly close above the descending channel would signal a structural shift from bearish continuation to bullish recovery. Until that breakout occurs, rallies should still be treated as corrective within a broader downtrend. Invalidation and Bearish Continuation lives below 56 (A weekly close below) Conclusion WTI is at a critical inflection point. While the dominant trend remains bearish, price location favours a potential upside reaction due to strong historical demand and channel compression. Confirmation, not anticipation, is key. Not Financial Advice!!
TVC:USOILLong
by Ifiok-Trades
WTI (USOIL) Price Outlook – Trade Setup📊 Technical Structure TVC:USOIL WTI is currently trading within a rising channel, after rebounding from the recent swing lows. Price has found support around the $60.15–$60.33 support zone, where buying interest has emerged and downside momentum has slowed. The market structure suggests a potential bullish continuation. As long as WTI holds above the support zone, price action favours a rebound toward the $61.04–$61.21 resistance zone. The projected path indicates a brief consolidation near current levels, followed by an upside push into the resistance band, rather than an immediate breakdown. 🎯 Trade Setup (Bullish Bias) Entry Zone: 60.15 – 60.33 Stop Loss: 59.99 Take Profit 1: 61.04 Take Profit 2: 61.20 Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1 : 2.26 📌 Invalidation A sustained break and close below $59.99 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a deeper downside correction. 🌐 Macro Background The broader macro backdrop remains mixed but supportive for WTI in the near term. Easing geopolitical tensions after President Trump stepped back from tariff threats against European nations have helped stabilize risk sentiment, providing short-term support for crude prices. At the same time, signals of temporary supply disruptions in Kazakhstan have added upside pressure, as production at major oilfields was halted following power outages. However, the upside remains capped by persistent oversupply concerns, with the International Energy Agency (IEA) reiterating that global oil supply is expected to significantly exceed demand this year. In the short term, markets are digesting these opposing forces, with price action favouring range-based recovery moves when crude stabilizes at well-defined technical support. 🔑 Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone: 61.04 – 61.21 Support Zone: 60.15 – 60.33 Bullish Invalidation: Below 59.99 📌 Trade Summary WTI is holding above a critical support zone within a rising channel after a corrective pullback. As long as price remains supported above $60.15, the bias favours a buy-on-dips approach, targeting a continuation move toward the upper resistance band. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for reference only and does not constitute investment or trading advice. Financial markets involve risk, and traders should manage positions according to their own risk tolerance.
TVC:USOIL
by ATFX_Global
Crude Oil Technical Blueprint | Bullish Momentum Setup🛢️ USOIL Energy Market Blueprint | Swing/Day Trade Setup 🎯 📊 ASSET OVERVIEW Crude Oil (USOIL) | WTI Crude Oil Futures Market: Energies | Commodities Sector Strategy Type: Capital Flow Analysis + Triangular MA Breakout System Trading Style: Swing Trading & Day Trading Hybrid Approach 🔥 MARKET BIAS: BULLISH MOMENTUM CONFIRMED ✅ Technical Setup: ✨ Triangular Moving Average (TMA) BREAKOUT + RETEST pattern completed ✨ Price action showing bullish institutional order flow ✨ Momentum indicators aligning with upside continuation ✨ Volume profile supporting buyer dominance 🎯 ENTRY STRATEGY: "THIEF LAYERING METHOD" 💰 Entry Type: Multi-Layer Limit Orders (Smart Money Accumulation Style) 🔹 Layer 1: $57.50 🔹 Layer 2: $58.00 🔹 Layer 3: $58.50 🔹 Layer 4: $59.00 OR ✅ Market Entry: Any current price level (For aggressive traders) 💡 Pro Tip: The "Thief Strategy" uses multiple limit orders at strategic support zones to capture optimal average entry price. You can add more layers based on your risk appetite and position sizing plan! 🚨 TARGET ZONE: "POLICE FORCE LEVEL" 🎖️ Primary Target (TP): $61.50 ⚠️ IMPORTANT: This level acts as: ✔️ Strong historical resistance zone ✔️ Overbought territory trap area ✔️ Institutional profit-taking zone 🛡️ Exit Strategy: Take partial profits at target. Don't be greedy—when money is on the table, secure your gains! This is YOUR trade, YOUR rules, YOUR profits. Adjust TP based on your personal trading plan and risk management. 🛑 STOP LOSS: "THIEF PROTECTION LEVEL" 🔒 SL Placement: $57.00 ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This SL is suggested based on technical structure invalidation point. However, YOU are the boss of your own trading account. Set your stop loss according to YOUR risk tolerance, account size, and trading psychology. Never risk more than you can afford to lose! 🌍 RELATED PAIRS TO WATCH 📈 Correlated Assets (Positive Correlation): AMEX:XLE (Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund) 🔗 +0.85 correlation NYSE:XOM (Exxon Mobil) 🔗 +0.78 correlation NYSE:CVX (Chevron Corporation) 🔗 +0.76 correlation TVC:UKOIL (Brent Crude Oil) 🔗 +0.92 correlation Inverse Correlation: TVC:DXY (US Dollar Index) 🔗 -0.65 correlation (Strong dollar = Pressure on oil) NASDAQ:TLT (US Treasury Bonds) 🔗 -0.45 correlation Currency Pairs (Oil-Sensitive): USDCAD 🇺🇸🇨🇦 (Canadian Dollar strengthens with oil) USDNOK 🇺🇸🇳🇴 (Norwegian Krone tied to oil exports) USDRUB 🇺🇸🇷🇺 (Russian Ruble oil-dependent) 💡 Trading Insight: When USOIL rallies, energy stocks typically follow. Watch DXY weakness for confirmation—falling dollar = bullish catalyst for oil! 📰 FUNDAMENTAL & ECONOMIC FACTORS 🌐 Current Market Drivers (Real-Time Feed): 🔴 OPEC+ Production Decisions: Saudi Arabia & Russia production cut extensions impacting supply Tighter supply = Bullish pressure on prices 🔴 US Crude Oil Inventories (EIA Reports): Weekly inventory data showing drawdowns = Bullish signal Watch Wednesday 10:30 AM EST releases 🔴 Geopolitical Tensions: Middle East tensions (Iran, Israel, regional conflicts) Ukraine-Russia energy disruptions Red Sea shipping route disruptions = Supply chain fears 🔴 Global Demand Outlook: China economic recovery (world's largest oil importer) US economic data (PMI, manufacturing, employment) Winter heating demand seasonality 🔴 US Dollar Strength (DXY): Fed interest rate policy (dovish = bullish oil) Dollar weakness = Oil priced in USD becomes cheaper for foreign buyers Upcoming Events to Watch: 📅 ✅ OPEC+ Meeting - Monitor production quota announcements ✅ US EIA Crude Inventory Reports - Every Wednesday ✅ Fed Interest Rate Decisions - Impact on USD and commodity prices ✅ China Economic Data - PMI, GDP, industrial output ✅ Geopolitical Developments - Middle East news, sanctions updates ⚡ KEY TECHNICAL LEVELS 📊 Support Zones: 🟢 $57.00 (Critical SL level) $56.20 (Secondary support) $55.50 (Major demand zone) Resistance Zones: 🔴 $61.50 (Target / Police Force level) $63.00 (Psychological barrier) $65.00 (Major supply zone) 💎 FINAL WORDS: THIEF OG'S PHILOSOPHY 🎩 Dear Ladies & Gentlemen, Thief OG Traders 🎯 📌 This is NOT financial advice—this is a technical blueprint based on chart analysis and market structure. 📌 YOU control your destiny. YOU decide entry, exit, and risk. 📌 Take profits when YOU see fit. Don't let greed rob your gains! 📌 Manage risk like a professional. Position sizing > Being right. 📌 The market doesn't care about your feelings. Stick to your plan! 🔥 Trade smart. Trade safe. Make money, then TAKE money. 🔥 📢 Engagement Call-to-Action: 💬 Drop a comment with your thoughts! 👍 Smash that LIKE button if this setup resonates! 🔔 FOLLOW for more market blueprints and Thief OG setups! 🚀 Let's make those pips together, traders! Happy Trading, Thief OG's! 🎩✨
TRADU:USOILSPOT
by The-Thief
2
WTI Energy Markets: Are Buyers Still in Control?🛢️ WTI / USOIL — Bullish Energy Momentum Play Energies • Commodities CFD • Day / Swing Trade 📌 Market Bias 🟢 Bullish Plan Active WTI crude oil is trading with strong upside momentum, supported by trend structure and energy-sector flows. Buyers continue to defend dips while price respects bullish continuation behavior. 🎯 Trade Plan Entry: ✅ Flexible entry allowed — you may enter at any price level, depending on your execution model and risk profile. Stop Loss: ⛔ Reference SL: 56.000 ⚠️ Risk disclaimer: Adjust your stop-loss based on your strategy, position sizing, and account risk rules. Take Profit Zone: 🚨 Primary Objective: 60.000 📉 The moving average zone acts as a “police force” resistance — expect: Overbought conditions Liquidity traps Potential corrective reactions 💡 Protect profits aggressively near resistance. 🧠 Technical Logic (Why This Works) ✔️ Bullish trend structure intact ✔️ Higher-low defense suggests dip buyers are active ✔️ Moving average acting as dynamic resistance → profit-booking zone ✔️ Momentum favors continuation until supply absorbs demand 🔗 Related Markets to Watch (Correlation Guide) 💵 USD-Based Pairs DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) → Inverse correlation 📉 Weaker USD often supports higher oil prices. USD/CAD → Strong negative correlation 🛢️ Rising oil typically strengthens CAD. 🛢️ Energy Instruments BRENT Crude → Directional confirmation XLE (Energy Sector ETF) → Institutional energy flow tracker Natural Gas (XNG/USD) → Sentiment cross-check (not direct correlation) 📈 Risk Sentiment US30 / S&P500 → Risk-on flows support commodity demand Bond Yields → Rising yields can cap aggressive oil rallies 🌍 Fundamental & Economic Factors to Monitor 📊 (Current & upcoming macro drivers) 🛢️ OPEC+ supply guidance (production discipline impacts price stability) 🏭 U.S. crude inventory data (supply-demand imbalance signals) 🌍 Global growth outlook (energy consumption expectations) 🚢 Geopolitical supply risks (shipping routes & production regions) 💵 U.S. Dollar strength (pricing pressure on commodities) 🏦 Central bank policy tone (risk appetite & inflation hedging) 📌 These factors can accelerate or cap bullish momentum, especially near resistance zones. ⚠️ Risk Note This idea provides market structure and directional context only. You control: Position size Risk exposure Entry & exit execution Trade responsibly and manage capital professionally. 💬 If this setup adds value, hit 👍 and ⭐ to support quality analysis. 📌 Follow for more structured energy & macro-driven trade ideas.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by The-Thief
WTI Crude Oil 4H Setup – Liquidity Zones & FVG ReactionThis 4-hour chart of WTI Crude Oil (FXCM) highlights a potential trade setup based on liquidity structure and Fair Value Gaps (FVG). Key zones include Buy Side Liquidity (BSL), Sell Side Liquidity (SSL), and both 4H and Daily FVGs. An Optimal Trade Entry (OTE) is marked, with entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels clearly defined. Price action suggests a reaction from the FVG zone, with structure favoring a move toward the next liquidity pool. The setup reflects Smart Money Concepts and precision-based execution.
FX:USOILLong
by ZayanHassan7
USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup USOIL (WTI) – High-Probability Bullish Setup from Strong Demand Zone 🔍 Market Structure & Price Action Insight USOIL is currently trading inside a well-defined and repeatedly tested demand zone between 55.10 – 56.50. This zone has proven its strength by rejecting price three times in the past, each time producing a meaningful bullish reaction. The current revisit into this zone offers a high-quality risk-defined buying opportunity for swing and positional traders. 📌 Trade Execution Plan (Bullish Bias) 🟢 Entry Zone: 55.10 – 56.50 🔴 Stop Loss: 50.00 (Below the demand structure to avoid false breakdowns) 🎯 Target 1: 64.00 (Previous structure + supply reaction area) 📊 Technical Confluence ✔ Multiple demand-zone validations ✔ Price reacting at historical accumulation area ✔ Clear structure-based invalidation level ✔ Favorable Risk : Reward profile 🧠 Professional Trading Insight Strong trades are not created by prediction, but by location and confirmation. When price revisits a proven demand zone, patience and discipline offer an edge. Entries taken close to demand provide superior psychology and controlled risk. 📈 Trade Management Note Partial booking can be considered near intermediate resistance levels. Trail stop only after structure confirmation — let the market do the work.
FX:USOILLong
by BK_QuantDesk
2
USOIL - Bullish Reversal Brewing?Hello Traders!👋 As we close out 2025 and head into the New Year, I'm turning bullish on USOIL (WTI Crude Oil). After a tough year of downside pressure, I see clear signs of a potential trend reversal—here's why: Technical Overview (Daily/Weekly Timeframe): Price has firmly bounced from the critical $55 support zone—a multi-year low and psychological floor that's held multiple times this year. We're seeing fresh buying momentum: Higher lows forming, potential bullish divergence on RSI (oversold conditions easing), and volume picking up on the rebound. Historically, crude often shifts direction around year-end/New Year—I've observed this pattern over many years, with bounces turning into larger moves as new trends emerge. Key resistance to watch: $58–60 (recent highs and 50% Fib retracement). A clean break above could confirm bullish continuation. Why Bullish Now? (My View): The world is stabilizing: Geopolitical tensions easing (progress on peace talks), which could boost global growth and oil demand in 2026 without extreme risk premiums. Recent U.S. sanctions on Venezuelan/Russian tankers adding short-term supply tightness, fueling the rebound from lows. Oversupply fears are priced in at these depressed levels—any positive demand surprise or inventory draws could spark a sharp squeeze higher. Holding this $55 base feels like a classic bottom, with new buyers stepping in aggressively. Trade Idea (Bullish Scenario): Long bias as long as price holds above $55.00. Potential targets: $58.30 (near-term, 61.8% Fib), $59.20–$60.00 (mid-term), $60.42+ if breaks higher. Stop Loss: Below $54.90 (recent low) for risk control. Risk/Reward looks favorable here for swings into the New Year. Is this the start of a real reversal, or just a temporary bounce in the bear trend? Bulls charging or still cautious on the glut? I will be happy if you will share me your thoughts. Always make your research!!! This is not financial advice!!!
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by elmakacho
USOIL Breakout Confirmed—Is the Uptrend Ready to Extend?📈 WTI CRUDE OIL (USOIL) – SWING TRADE SETUP | VWMA BREAKOUT CONFIRMED 🛢️⚡ 🎯 TRADE OVERVIEW Asset: WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) – Energies Market Trade Type: Swing Trade (Multi-Day Position) Bias: 🟢 BULLISH – Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) breakout confirmed near $61.00 📊 TRADE PLAN 🔹 Entry Strategy: "Thief Layering Method" Primary Entry Zone: Post-VWMA breakout above $61.00 Layered Limit Orders (Multiple Entry Points): 🟦 Layer 1: $59.00 🟦 Layer 2: $59.50 🟦 Layer 3: $60.00 🟦 Layer 4: $60.50 Note: You can add more layers based on your capital allocation and risk tolerance. This strategy allows averaging into the position as price pulls back. 🛑 Stop Loss Management Thief's SL: $58.00 ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), This is MY stop loss level. Adjust YOUR stop loss based on YOUR strategy and risk management plan. I do not recommend blindly following my SL – manage your own risk and capital accordingly. 🎯 Take Profit Target Primary Target: $64.00 Technical Reasoning: SuperTrend ATR line acts as strong dynamic resistance Potential overbought zone + bull trap risk Escape with profits before reversal pressure ⚠️ IMPORTANT: Dear Ladies & Gentlemen (Thief OG's), This is MY take profit target. Take YOUR money at YOUR own risk. You are responsible for your profit-taking strategy – trail stops, scale out, or exit fully based on YOUR trading plan. 🔗 CORRELATED PAIRS TO WATCH (USD-Denominated) Monitor these related assets for confirmation and risk assessment: 🛢️ Energy Sector: Brent Crude Oil (UKOIL) – Typically trades $2-5 above WTI; if Brent is bullish, WTI usually follows Natural Gas (NATGAS) – Energy sector sentiment indicator 💵 Currency Pairs: USD/CAD – Inverse correlation to oil (CAD = petro-currency). If oil rises, USD/CAD typically falls DXY (US Dollar Index) – Strong dollar = bearish pressure on oil. Watch for weakness in DXY to support oil rally 📈 Equity Markets: Energy Sector ETFs (XLE) – Tracks US energy stocks; bullish XLE confirms oil sector strength S&P 500 (SPX) – Risk-on sentiment supports commodity prices ⚡ Key Correlation Points: Oil ↑ + USD/CAD ↓ = Strong bullish confirmation Oil ↑ + DXY ↓ = Supportive macro environment Oil ↑ + XLE ↑ = Energy sector momentum aligned 💬 Engagement Call-to-Action 👍 If you found this analysis helpful, smash that LIKE button! 💬 Drop your thoughts in the comments – are you bullish or bearish on oil? 🔔 FOLLOW for more professional trade setups and market insights!
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by The-Thief
usoil : live tradeHello friends Well, according to the channel we had, you can see that the sellers broke the specified support with strength and caused the price to fall. Now, given that it has become clear to us that the power is in the hands of the sellers, we can re-enter the sell trade if the price rebounds or pullbacks in the specified area, of course with the necessary confirmations... This analysis is purely technical and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation, so please observe risk and capital management and avoid emotional movements. *Trade safely with us*
TVC:USOILShort
by TheHunters_Company
Weekly USOIL Trend SummaryOverall, USOIL oscillated at a low level with a slight upward trend during the period from November 24 to November 28, 2025. Despite minor fluctuations of gains and losses throughout the week, it hovered around $59 per barrel and failed to break free from the consecutive monthly decline trend that began this month. The specific trend is detailed in segments as follows: 1.Modest Gain at Week's Start with Synchronous Weakening Price Spread (November 24) USOIL kicked off the week with a slight upturn. It closed at $58.89 per barrel that day, rising $0.91 or 1.57% compared with the previous week's closing price of $57.98 per barrel. 2.Oscillating Consolidation in Mid-Week, with Gains Constrained by Oversupply Expectations (November 25 - 26) On November 25, oil prices traded sideways, hovering around $58.77 per barrel with a slight drop of approximately 0.91%. On November 26, the market rebounded, and the growth rate of the relevant oil and gas index expanded to 0.87%. Oil prices followed suit with an upward movement. However, they failed to break through the earlier oscillating range overall. Meanwhile, potential incremental pressure on the supply side left the oil price rally lacking strong momentum. 3.Minor Fluctuations at Week's End Awaiting Policy Signals (November 27 - 28) On November 27, oil prices pulled back slightly, and the corresponding oil and gas index edged down by 0.08%. After encountering resistance near $59 per barrel, oil prices retreated moderately. Market sentiment turned increasingly cautious as investors focused on the OPEC+ production policy meeting scheduled for Sunday. On November 28, oil prices inched up again, and the oil and gas index rose by 0.67%, hitting a weekly closing high of 309.33 points. Overall, although USOIL recorded a slight increase this week, it remained trapped in a low - range. Moreover, this month marks its fourth consecutive monthly decline, the longest losing streak since 2023. The main bearish factors weighing on oil prices include the expected lifting of sanctions on Russian oil driven by progress in the Ukraine peace talks and weak demand caused by the unexpected growth in U.S. crude oil inventories. Conversely, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve have provided some support for oil prices. Going forward, the production decisions of OPEC+ and changes in the geopolitical landscape will be the key factors determining the future trend of oil prices.
TVC:USOILLong
by KingArthur_
USOIL : Don't be fooledHello friends Well, you see that we have a descending channel that has hit the ceiling twice and the ceiling three times. Well, in the third encounter with the bottom or support, you see that the buyers provided good support for the price and pushed it up and broke our medium-term ceiling. Now, if the breakdown is confirmed, the price will go to the ceiling of the channel and from there, a price correction can be expected. The specified range is very important for a sell trade. Why? Because there are many orders here, if the price reaches this area, it will inevitably correct. And there is another reason that we have, and the most important reason is that our trend is down and we should not open a trade against the trend. This analysis is technically reviewed and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Avoid emotional behavior and observe capital management. *Trade safely with us*
TVC:USOILShort
by TheHunters_Company
USOIL : Full analysisHello friends Well, you see that we have a descending channel in which the price is moving, and considering that the price reached the ceiling of the channel, we had a Sharpe decline, and now it seems that the sellers want to break the channel, and the first support identified could be the buyers' stronghold, where we need to see if they support the price or not. If they support, there is a significant resistance in their way. This area is full of sell orders and can naturally correct the price. In this regard, breaking this resistance is very important and vital for price growth. Now what if the buyers cannot support the price in the support area and the price falls further? Well, we need to find areas again for a sell trade because if the descending channel is broken, the fall will be heavier and it is better to move with the trend. This analysis is purely technical and is not a buy or sell recommendation. *Trade safely with us*
TVC:USOIL
by TheHunters_Company
USOIL trades with a weak oscillatory biasUSOIL is exhibiting a weak oscillatory downward trend today. Despite a slight rebound yesterday, affected by bearish news and technical pressure, the intraday upside momentum remains insufficient, with bearish momentum gradually emerging. Overall, it shows a sluggish pattern of a quick pullback after the rebound. For the upside, focus on the short-term resistance zone of $59.5 - $60.5 per barrel, among which $59.5 per barrel can be regarded as a key watershed. On the downside, closely monitor the support range of $57.0 - $57.5 per barrel. If this zone is effectively broken down, the price may further decline to around $56 per barrel. Sell 59 - 59.7 SL 60.1 TP 57.5 - 57 - 56.5
TVC:USOILShort
by KingArthur_