USOIL: Key Levels and Bullish Prospects Amid Trade War ConcernsGood morning Traders,
Trust you are doing great.
Kindly go through my analysis of USOIL.
USOIL is currently experiencing market imbalance due to the nature of its opening range, following a gap-down decline last night in response to trade war concerns that have fueled recession fears. The price dropped from its weekly high of 72.22 to a key support zone at 69.00, which is near the week's low. As we anticipate the release of the ISM Services PMI at 3 PM GMT+1, I expect the demand zone to hold, driving the price higher—initially to fill the gap and subsequently toward the 71.35 region. Furthermore, this outlook is strengthened by the formation of a bullish Bat pattern on the M30 chart.
The key levels I will be monitoring for potential price action include the previous week's high at 70.10, the five-week high at 70.62, and the 71.35 region. These areas represent significant resistance levels that could be tested as price moves upward. A break below 68.80 will invalidate this outlook.
Cheers and Happy trading.
Usoillong
OIL Today's strategyYesterday, after comprehensively studying the market data, I judged that the price of US Oil (USOIL) would enter a downward channel. According to my analysis, the oil price would experience a period of continuous decline. First, it would break through the key demarcation point, and then it was highly likely to consolidate near the previous low level. However, the market trend far exceeded expectations. Yesterday, the price of USOIL did not follow the regular pattern. After we exited the market with profits according to our strategy, it plummeted again and rapidly approached the previous low level.
Currently, all aspects of information point in a negative direction. From macroeconomic data to industry internal dynamics, there is nothing that provides favorable support for it. Based on this, I infer that today it is highly probable that the price will fall back to the previous low level.
OIL Today's strategy
sell@67.5-67
tp:66-65.5
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OIL Today's strategyThe prospects for global economic growth have become dismal due to the tariff policy. When the United States imposes additional tariffs on all goods, the costs of international trade will increase significantly, and trade exchanges among countries will inevitably be curbed. The profit margins of many enterprises that rely on imports and exports will be severely squeezed, and their production scales are likely to be reduced accordingly, which in turn will lead to a decrease in the activity level of industrial activities. Since industrial production has always accounted for a large proportion of the demand for crude oil, the contraction of industrial activities will surely deal a heavy blow to the demand side of crude oil.
Trump's comprehensive tariff policy has a negative impact on the crude oil market from multiple dimensions, such as economic growth, OPEC strategies, inventory, and financial market speculation. Therefore, it is expected that the price of crude oil will show a downward trend in the coming period.
OIL Today's strategy
sell@70-70.5
tp:69-68.5
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OIL Today's strategyUSOIL has been fluctuating continuously between $68.5 and $69.5. Bulls and bears are locked in a battle. You can consider buying when the price nears $68.5.
USOIL
buy@68.3-68.7
tp:69.5-70
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Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations.
Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
tp:72-73
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USOIL Strategy Analysis: will riseThe threat of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil by Trump is a factor closely watched by the market. Although he has no immediate intention to implement it for the time being, the future supply risk is gradually rising.
The uncertainty in the market comes not only from tariff policies, but also from potential sanctions on the supplies from Russia and Iran, as well as the impact of OPEC+'s production increase.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 70.95-71.15
sl 70.3
tp 71.65-71.85
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USOIL:Give priority to go long positions on the retracementU.S. heating oil futures gave back their gains. EIA (Energy Information Administration) data showed that U.S. distillate fuel oil inventories unexpectedly increased. U.S. gasoline futures' upward momentum expanded slightly, and the EIA data indicated that the inventory was basically in line with expectations.
The commercial crude oil imports in the United States excluding the strategic petroleum reserve for the week ended March 28 reached the highest level since the week ended January 31, 2025. The EIA strategic petroleum reserve inventory in the United States for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended October 28, 2022. The increase in EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week ended March 28 recorded the largest gain since the week ended January 31, 2025. The domestic crude oil production in the United States for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended December 20, 2024. The commercial crude oil inventory in the United States excluding the strategic petroleum reserve for the week ended March 28 was at its highest level since the week ended July 12, 2024.
Crude oil showed a trend of bottoming out and rebounding on Wednesday. It stabilized and rose near 70.7. After breaking through the $71.2 mark, there might have been a bullish reversal in crude oil. The oil price is expected to test the resistance level above 72.0. Once it further breaks through, it is expected to open up the upside space. In terms of future trading operations, it is advisable to consider laying out long positions on the retracement first.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70-70.5
TP:71.5-72
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OIL Today's strategyIn view of the fact that a large number of news items with a significant influence on the market trend are about to be released today, before the news breaks, we can conduct transactions within the established price range by adopting the strategy of selling high and buying low. In order to effectively control risks and seize potential profit opportunities at the same time, it is advisable that you keep your position within 20%.
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OIL Today's strategyAt present, it appears that USOIL has clearly defined its upward direction.
Looking back at the recent trend of USOIL, although the overall price fluctuations have been rather complex, the upward trend has become increasingly prominent. Previously, the market had doubts about the direction of oil prices at multiple stages, and the price hovered around the dividing point, with both buyers and sellers in the market engaging in a fierce battle.
However, as time went by, USOIL broke through this obstacle with strong momentum, demonstrating the dominance of the bullish forces and also clarifying the direction for the subsequent trend.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
sell:71.5-72
Here is a reminder again.We need to carefully analyze how the various data that will be released next will affect the market, so as to determine the correct direction for our subsequent trading activities.
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USOIL:The bullish momentum demonstrates strong performanceRecently, the United States has stepped up its sanctions against Iran. It also made threatening remarks indicating that if the peace talks between Russia and Ukraine fail to reach an agreement, it will further intensify sanctions against Russia. Such actions have heightened the market's concerns about the future supply side.
Meanwhile, the short-term and phased decline in the United States' domestic oil production, combined with its temporary abstention from taking additional measures to suppress oil prices, has led to a certain increase in the supporting strength of the oil market recently. Yesterday, the upward trend of oil prices continued.
Take a long position at $71.05 for the oil price. Set a stop-loss of 30 basis points and a take-profit at $72.70.
Trading Strategy:
buy@70.8-71.05
TP:72.20-72.50
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USOIL Will it continue to rise?The threat of secondary tariffs on Russian and Iranian oil by Trump is a factor closely watched by the market. Although he has no immediate intention to implement it for the time being, the future supply risk is gradually rising.
The market reacted swiftly, and oil prices rose sharply on Monday in response to Trump's remarks. In the short term, oil prices are likely to fluctuate at a high level within the range of $70 - $76. Investors need to closely monitor the progress of geopolitical events and the release of key data.
Oil trading strategy:
buy @ 71.30-71.35
sl 70.75
tp 71.80-71.85
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USOIL: Next Week's Blueprint for Profit Amid VolatilityDuring the US trading session on Friday, March 28th, international oil prices fluctuated slightly and declined. However, both Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil remained firmly near their one - month highs and were projected to register "three consecutive weekly gains" on the weekly chart. The ongoing tug - of - war between the supply tightness instigated by geopolitical unrest and the latent concerns regarding an economic downturn has placed oil prices in a volatile state of being "caught between a rock and a hard place".
From the perspective of the USOIL daily chart, following the medium - term trend's breach of the lower edge of the range, it has predominantly fluctuated around lower levels. The oil price has experienced consecutive short - term increases, breaking through the suppression of the moving average system, and the medium - term objective trend has entered a transition phase. Nevertheless, in terms of kinetic energy, neither the bulls nor the bears have demonstrated a clear - cut inclination to overpower the other. It is anticipated that the medium - term trend will persist in its volatile rhythm for a while, awaiting the establishment of a distinct trend direction.
The short - term (1H) trend of USOIL has not continuously set new highs and has exhibited a pattern of high - level consolidation. The short - term objective trend remains upward. In the early trading session, the oil price underwent a narrow adjustment at a high level, presenting an overall secondary rhythm with a sound internal rhythm. The fundamental objective trend during the week has been upward in sync, and it is highly likely that the short - term trend of USOIL will continue its upward trajectory next week.
USOIL
buy@68-68.5
tp:69.5-70
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USOILstrategiesThe fluctuation of crude oil prices is not large, and the range of mild fluctuations is 68.7-70.3. The subsequent market will make adjustments after breaking through. Today is the last trading day of March, and the monthly high of 70.5 has not been broken. It is necessary to pay attention to the profit-taking of crude oil prices. From a technical point of view, the 1-hour and 4-hour Bollinger bands are basically maintained in the range of 68.7-70 at the same time, and 7 points of deviation can be reserved above and below. Overall, the trend of crude oil will first fluctuate in a small range, and major changes should wait until the K-line appears on Tuesday in April before choosing a direction.
Crude oil strategy:.
1. Go long in the 68.7-68.5 area when retreating, stop loss 68, target 69.5-70.5,
2. Go short when the rebound first touches the 70-70.3 area, stop loss 70.8, target 69.3-68.7,
OIL Today's strategyAfter continuously testing the resistance level between 70 and 70.5, it started to decline and is currently in a downward trend. When it is near this area, you may continue to engage in short selling.
USOIL
sell@69.8-70.3
tp:69-68.5
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Tariffs can have a significant impact on USOILThe expiration of the extended US import tariffs on Canada and Mexico next Wednesday may impact USOIL:
Supply : Tariffs could disrupt US-Canada crude oil trade, cutting US supply and raising prices. Trade pattern changes may also affect global supply and USOIL prices.
Demand : Tariffs may slow economic growth, reducing crude oil demand and exerting downward price pressure. Uncertainty dampens consumer and business confidence, further suppressing demand.
Market Sentiment & Finance : Policy changes heighten uncertainty, making investors cautious and increasing USOIL price volatility. Capital may flow out, pressuring prices, but portfolio adjustments for hedging could support them.
Also, OPEC and non-OPEC plans to end production cuts in April may boost global supply and lower USOIL prices.
USOIL:Analysis of the Oil Market Trend for Next WeekAmid the anticipated trade uncertainties, concerns on the supply side have resurfaced. With the April 2nd tariff effective date approaching, the market is taking a cautious stance in the short - term. Supported by the decline in oil inventories and the prevailing concerns, oil prices have rebounded and are nearing the resistance range. In the medium - term, the market is constrained by the expected slowdown in global demand, and the focus is on waiting for the resistance test.
Strategy recommendations: Given the range - bound trading, consider short - selling at high levels and buying at low levels.
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OIL Today's strategyIt started to decline after testing the resistance at 70-70.5. You can continue to take short positions when it reaches this area.
USOIL
sell@70-70.5
tp:69-68.5
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WTI CRUDE OIL – Bullish Continuation Ahead?TVC:USOIL is currently trading within an ascending channel, with price recently bouncing off the trendline support after a corrective move. This rebound suggests that buyers are stepping in, maintaining the bullish structure within the channel.
If the bullish momentum continues, we could see a move toward 70.10, which aligns with a key resistance level within the channel. This level could serve as a potential short-term target before a possible reaction from sellers. A clean breakout above the resistance zone could open the door for further upside. However, a failure to sustain this upward push could lead to another retest of the lower boundary.
Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as higher lows, strong bullish candles, or increasing volume before considering long positions.
If you agree with this outlook or have any additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
OIL Today's strategy
It fell again near the test $70 level, proving that the resistance level is effective.
We can go short and buy near $70
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Continue to be bearish.Supply : The United States has intensified its energy sanctions against Iran. Attacks on Saudi facilities have affected their performance. The OPEC+ will gradually lift the voluntary production cuts starting from April and may increase production for the second time in May. The 30-day ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has not been effectively implemented in substance. However, recently, the United States, Russia, and Ukraine have reached some consensus on Black Sea navigation and the protection of energy facilities.
From a technical perspective, when the price repeatedly encounters resistance below an important resistance level and fails to achieve an effective breakthrough, it is often a bearish signal. This implies that the selling force in the market is dominant. Once the price starts to retrace due to its inability to break through the resistance, it may initiate a downward trend. Therefore, based on the strong resistance level at 70.000, there is a certain basis in technical analysis for a bearish outlook.
💎💎💎 USOIL 💎💎💎
🎁 Sell@70.000 - 70.200
🎁 TP 68.5 68.0 67.5
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
OIL Today's strategyThis week, crude oil has been continuously fluctuating within the marked range, with bulls and bears contending with each other. It is necessary to pay more attention to the influencing factors.
we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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USoil: Today's Trading StrategyUSoil is currently maintaining a relatively good oscillating upward trend along the short - term moving average on the daily chart. On the daily chart, we should pay attention to whether there is a continuous upward trend after a small - scale retracement for confirmation. In the short term, we should focus on the pressure zone around 70.2. It is recommended to go short.
Sell USOIL at 70.2
SL: 71.0
TP: 69.5
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USOIL Strategy DiscussionThis week, we've analyzed the reasons behind the short - term strong performance of crude oil. We specifically remind you to pay attention to the price movements within the range of $68.5 - $69.5.
Once again, we advise you to observe more and trade less.
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