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Ustech100

NSDQ100 wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight’s FOMCMarkets remained in wait-and-see mode ahead of tonight’s FOMC decision, keeping equity moves muted. The S&P 500 slipped -0.09%, with futures flat this morning, signalling no strong pre-Fed risk appetite for US equities, including tech. Key Macro Drivers for NDX US 10yr yields rose +2.4bps to a 3-month high, continuing the global bond selloff. Higher yields remain a headwind for long-duration tech stocks, keeping upside in the NASDAQ capped. Australia’s 10yr yield hit a late-2023 high, confirming that the global tightening in bond markets is still broad-based. Elsewhere, Franco-German spreads tightened, offering limited relief for global risk sentiment. Fed in Focus Markets are pricing a ~90% probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut tonight, which would be the third consecutive cut since September. Since the last meeting, unemployment has risen to 4.4%, reinforcing the case for near-term easing. However, inflation concerns are creating deep policy divisions, meaning forward guidance for 2025 is likely to remain intentionally vague. Powell is unlikely to clearly signal additional cuts, especially with succession uncertainty growing as Kevin Hassett is seen as a leading candidate to replace him. Implications for NASDAQ 100 Near-term direction hinges on Powell’s tone, not the cut itself. Dovish guidance → NDX upside via yields pullback. Cautious / inflation-focused tone → further yield pressure and likely NDX consolidation or downside. Until the press conference, NDX is likely to remain range-bound with headline-driven volatility tonight. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Will NAS100 Sustain Its Bullish Momentum After the Pullback?NAS100 🚀 Bullish Swing Setup | SuperTrend Pullback & Layered Entry Strategy 🎯 TRADE IDEA: NAS100 (US100) BULLISH SWING Capitalize on a structured pullback in the NASDAQ 100! This plan leverages a proven indicator confluence for a high-probability long opportunity. 📊 ANALYSIS & CONFIRMATION: Trend: Primary Bullish Trend is intact. ✅ Trigger: Price is pulling back into a demand zone, offering a favorable risk-to-reward entry. Indicator: The SuperTrend ATR Line is acting as dynamic support on the 4H/Daily timeframe. A bounce from this level confirms our bullish bias. ⚡ STRATEGY: "THE THIEF" LAYERED ENTRY This method uses multiple limit orders to average into a position, perfect for volatile markets like the NASDAQ. Entry Zone: Look for entries between 25,200 - 25,600 Layer Example: 🟢 Limit Order 1: 25,600 🟢 Limit Order 2: 25,400 🟢 Limit Order 3: 25,200 👉 You can adjust the number of layers and prices based on your capital and risk appetite. ❗ RISK MANAGEMENT: Stop Loss (SL): A decisive break below 24,800 would invalidate the bullish structure. ⚠️ IMPORTANT NOTE: This is MY protective stop. Dear Thief OG's 👑, you MUST adjust your position size and SL based on your personal risk management strategy. Protect your capital first! 🎯 PROFIT TARGETS: Primary Target: 25,600 (Initial resistance & profit-taking zone). Key Reasoning: We anticipate a reaction here due to: Moving Average resistance. Potential overbought conditions on lower timeframes. A "trap" for late buyers. 👉 Smart Move: Consider taking partial profits at 25,600 and trailing your stop for the remainder. Escape the trap with your profits! 💰 ⚠️ REMINDER: Dear Thief OG's 👑, your Take Profit (TP) is your own decision. Secure gains based on your trading plan and market behavior. 🔍 RELATED ASSETS & MARKET CORRELATION: Watching these related instruments can provide confirmation and a broader market view. TVC:DXY (U.S. Dollar Index): 🟡 NEGATIVE CORRELATION A weakening Dollar ( TVC:DXY DOWN) is generally bullish for Nasdaq. If the Dollar is falling, it adds confidence to this long thesis. USTECH (CFD on Nasdaq 100): 🟢 DIRECT CORRELATION Moves in sync with NAS100. Perfect for cross-verifying price action and volume. NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT , NASDAQ:TSLA (Mega-Caps): 🟢 HIGH IMPACT These heavily weighted Nasdaq components drive the index. Bullish momentum in these stocks supports a rising NAS100. FOREXCOM:SPX500 (S&P 500): 🟢 POSITIVE CORRELATION A strong S&P 500 often lifts the Nasdaq. Monitor for overall U.S. market strength. 💬 Let me know your thoughts in the comments! What's your entry strategy for the NAS100 this week? #NAS100 #US100 #TradingView #SwingTrading #Bullish #SuperTrend #TradingStrategy #IndexTrading #LayeredEntry #ThiefStrategy
FX:NAS100Long
by The-Thief
NSDQ100 positive lead from futures and improving risk sentimentUS markets saw a modest risk-on tone yesterday as stronger-than-expected labour data pushed investors to price in fewer Fed rate cuts for next year. That supported equities, with the S&P 500 extending its winning streak, and futures are pointing to further upside this morning. This provides a supportive near-term backdrop for the Nasdaq 100 into today’s session. However, the hawkish repricing in rates is a growing headwind for tech. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to a two-week high of 4.10%, and global bond yields continued to climb, amplified by renewed expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Rising long-end yields typically pressure rate-sensitive growth stocks, which could cap upside in the Nasdaq despite positive futures. The drop in jobless claims to 191k reinforces the view that the US labour market remains resilient, supporting risk appetite but also reducing the urgency for Fed easing. That combination often favours cyclicals over long-duration tech when yields are rising. On the corporate side, Netflix is in focus following reports of exclusive talks to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and HBO Max. This could drive sector-specific volatility across streaming and media names, with potential spillovers into Nasdaq sentiment. Broader risk sentiment remains constructive, with the VIX slipping to a two-month low, and the continued rally in US transport stocks signalling confidence in economic momentum. That supports equities overall, but the Nasdaq’s direction today is likely to hinge on bond yields: Stable or lower yields would allow tech to participate in the broader rally. Further yield upside risks triggering profit-taking in mega-cap growth. Bottom line: The Nasdaq 100 opens with a positive lead from futures and improving risk sentiment, but rising global bond yields remain the key short-term risk to sustained upside. Streaming and large-cap tech could see elevated volatility today. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 - Soft ADP employment figuresUS equities showed tentative stabilisation, with the S&P 500 up modestly and Nasdaq futures also edging higher this morning. Markets remain cautious ahead of a heavy US data slate and next week’s FOMC, with rate-cut expectations already priced at over 90%, limiting upside momentum for growth stocks. Focus today is firmly on ADP private payrolls and the ISM services survey, especially the prices paid component, which is seen as an important inflation proxy in the absence of official CPI data. A soft ADP print would reinforce the view of a cooling labour market and be supportive for rate-sensitive Nasdaq tech, while any upside surprise risks pressuring the index via higher yields. Treasury yields are drifting lower, offering some support to mega-cap tech, but overall trading conditions remain fragile. Crypto volatility continues to spill into risk sentiment after sharp moves in Bitcoin and crypto-related equities. Geopolitics adds background risk, with no breakthrough on Ukraine talks and renewed threats from Russia, but for Nasdaq traders the near-term direction is likely to hinge almost entirely on today’s US data and its implications for Fed policy next week.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Bullish continuation setup?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 25,166.38 1st Support: 24,913.61 1st Resistance: 25,736.27 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by IC Markets
NSDQ100 head into Thanksgiving on a strong noteUS markets head into Thanksgiving on a strong note, with the S&P 500 rising for a fourth straight session (+0.69%) and now sitting just over 1% below its record high. The index has delivered its biggest four-day rally (+4.19%) since the US-China trade truce in May, driven by growing expectations of another Fed rate cut in two weeks and supported by resilient US data. Trading was disrupted after a technical failure caused a major outage at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, halting futures and options activity—including Treasuries and S&P 500 futures—and affecting other platforms such as EBS in FX. Elsewhere, oil is on track for its worst monthly performance since 2023, and equity momentum faded into month-end as markets contended with volatility and concerns around Fed policy and a potential AI-driven bubble. On the political front, President Trump escalated rhetoric on immigration following the fatal shooting of a National Guard member, proposing drastic restrictions including a pause on admissions from “third world” countries and revoking some naturalized citizenships. He also increased tensions with South Africa, saying he would bar the country from next year’s G20 summit in Miami—a move that breaks established protocol. With limited news expected on Friday, markets head into the final stretch of November after a turbulent month for global equities. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25496 Resistance Level 2: 25600 Resistance Level 3: 25700 Support Level 1: 25076 Support Level 2: 25920 Support Level 3: 25790 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 oversold rally reaching resistance at 25285Equities: Risk appetite improved again, with the S&P 500 +0.91% marking a third straight gain, and futures pointing higher this morning (+0.31%). The move was reinforced by a drop in yields, with the 10yr Treasury down to 4.00%, a four-week low. Drivers of the Rally: Dovish Fed momentum: Markets leaned further into December rate-cut expectations after softer US data. Bloomberg headlines that Kevin Hassett is now the frontrunner for Fed Chair added to the dovish tilt. Geopolitics: European equities tracked higher (STOXX 600 +0.91%), supported by reports of progress in Ukraine peace talks. US Data – All Dovish: Consumer Confidence (Nov): 88.7, below every estimate and the lowest since April’s turmoil. ADP private payroll proxy: Averaged –13.5k over the latest four weeks, signalling labour softness. September revisions: Retail Sales +0.2% (vs +0.4% expected). PPI +0.3% (in line), but still consistent with cooling demand. Stocks in Focus: Nvidia –2.59% underperformed as Google’s Gemini 3 launch signalled intensifying AI competition. Geopolitics: Bloomberg reported the US sent negotiators to meet Putin in Moscow next week to discuss a Ukraine peace proposal, adding to the constructive tone in Europe. Trading Takeaway Rates: Further downside bias in yields if today’s data stays soft; the 4.00% level on the 10yr is key support. Equities: Momentum remains positive, but tech leadership is wobbling—watch for rotation into cyclicals, financials, and Europe. FX: Dovish Fed expectations should pressure USD on the margins. Geopolitics: Peace-talk headlines may continue to support European assets and risk sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25285 Resistance Level 2: 25466 Resistance Level 3: 25390 Support Level 1: 24750 Support Level 2: 24600 Support Level 3: 24450 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 selling pressure below 24630 resistanceKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24630 Resistance Level 2: 24920 Resistance Level 3: 25100 Support Level 1: 23816 Support Level 2: 23600 Support Level 3: 23300 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NASDAQ $NQ US100 Major Levels And PatternsNasdaq bounced yesterday heavily and completed a W pattern. I personally have been able to capture majority of this move. You can consider yesterday's W pattern a sort of double bottom which means hat more bullishness is expected in the medium term. On a short term, now that it has completed a W pattern and reached previous important zone which had a gap, so we can expect a correction here but this may not be a big one. In a rare case there may not be any correction here at all because NASDAQ is forming a pattern which when forms usually ignores all the smaller W and M patterns. For that reason my Bias is bullish and I will look for buying opportunities mostly. There are certain Higher time frame levels that I am watching closely which you will find on the chart. Trade what you see, manage the risk. Follow for more. Please support this analysis by liking, commenting, and sharing with friends, colleagues, traders, and trading communities. Thanks👍🙂
SKILLING:US100
by vikinsa
1
NSDQ100 The Wek Ahead, Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25180 Resistance Level 2: 25300 Resistance Level 3: 25500 Support Level 1: 24655 Support Level 2: 24490 Support Level 3: 24330 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NASDAQ-100 (USTEC) | Elevated risks arise Sentiment: - Extreme Fear in the market (F&G = 23) - Investors are bearish (49% bearish vs 37% bullish) - Volatility elevated but not extreme (VIX 20) - Higher Put activity and an elevated put/call ratio (1.11) - Hedge funds unwinding crowded AI longs (50% market cap concentration) - Record institutional options activity positioning for Q4 2025-Q1 2027 - COT report: No latest data due to the US government shutdown Interpretation: - Put hedge elevated = cautious as institutional hedging and distributing stocks to retail - Extreme Fear + High Bearishness = Potential buying opportunity (later stage) - When sentiment is this negative, often near bottoms Fundamental: - Valuation Concerns: - 24-25x Forward P/E - vs 20-22 for 5-year average - 3.08-3.37x P/S ratio - 2.35-2.41 for 5-year average - Dec Fed cut probability is declining Technical: - USTEC broke the ascending trendline and EMA21, indicating potential mean reversion to EMA78, which is just above the support cluster at around 24000. - Breaking below 24000 may prompt a decline to the following support cluster at around 23000, which is a prominent zone for sentiment contrarians step into the market if market fear remains at an extreme level. My take on this: - The distributing process may last for a while before reaching more extreme panic sentiment, prompting consideration of a contrarian approach based on technical levels. - Therefore, we need to watch the price action to determine the best entry setup for the Long position. Then, for now, short-term pressure is the better take. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
CITYINDEX:USTECH100CFDShort
by DatTong
NSDQ100 key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25180 Resistance Level 2: 25300 Resistance Level 3: 25500 Support Level 1: 24655 Support Level 2: 24490 Support Level 3: 24330 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
14
SPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Game PlanSPY (S&P 500 ETF) – Game Plan 📊 Market Sentiment On October 29, the FED lowered rates by 25bps as expected. However, Powell’s remarks introduced uncertainty around further cuts in December, emphasizing that future policy will depend on incoming data. One FED member dissented, preferring no cut this cycle — a notable shift from September’s unanimous decision. Additionally, ADP Non-Farm Employment Change came at 42K versus 32K expected. It’s slightly higher, but since other macro data are missing due to the U.S. government shutdown, the overall sentiment remains unclear. For now, sentiment leans bearish, as rate cuts may be delayed into 2026. 📈 Technical Analysis SPY recently touched the 670 level an important support zone representing the equilibrium of the current daily range and an area with significant liquidity. However, with bearish macro sentiment, I don’t expect this level to hold for long. The structure suggests that price wants to seek lower liquidity zones. 📌 Game Plan / Expectations My primary scenario is a short move targeting 663, which aligns with the 0.75 max discount zone. From there, a potential rally toward all-time highs could begin. Scenario 2: If the 663 level fails to hold, I will look for another bounce opportunity near 657. Overall, I don’t see this as a start of a bear market — rather a healthy correction within the broader bullish structure. I’ll be positioning for buys once the downside liquidity objectives are met. 💬 For deeper sentiment and strategy insights, subscribe to my Substack — free access available. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.
AMEX:SPYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
NSDQ100 overbought pullback - dip buying opportunity? Equities saw a sharp reversal yesterday, led by weakness in tech and AI-related names. While it was only a single day’s selloff, sentiment has clearly shifted toward caution, with growing talk of a potential equity correction. Market Dynamics The Magnificent 7 stocks fell -2.28%, driving the Nasdaq 100 lower as investors reassessed stretched valuations. Palantir (-7.9%) and Nvidia (-4.0%) were key drags, emblematic of overextended tech momentum — even positive earnings guidance wasn’t enough to support prices. Broader weakness spread across the market: S&P 500 -1.17% (worst day since Oct 10), equal-weight S&P -0.63%, and Russell 2000 -1.78%. The S&P ex-Mag-7 was down -0.75%, underscoring the narrowness of recent gains and rising concern over market concentration. Macro & Other Drivers The risk-off tone boosted Treasuries: 2yr yield fell to 3.58%, 10yr to 4.09%. Broader sentiment was pressured by a prolonged U.S. government shutdown (now 36 days, the longest ever) with growing economic cost estimates ($10–30bn/week). Bitcoin briefly recovered above $100k, but large holders sold ~400,000 coins (~$45bn), adding to the risk-aversion tone. Political Context Zohran Mamdani’s election as New York’s first democratic socialist mayor and new housing initiatives grabbed headlines but had limited market impact. Takeaway for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 faces renewed selling pressure as investors rotate out of AI-heavy leaders and take profits after a long rally. Focus today will be on whether dip-buyers step in or if the correction broadens. Key near-term catalysts: U.S. ISM Services and ADP employment data, plus earnings from Qualcomm, ARM, and DoorDash later today — all potential volatility triggers for tech sentiment. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 relief rally led by mega-cap tech.Nasdaq 100 Trading Summary Tech sentiment has rebounded strongly after upbeat earnings from Amazon and Apple, reversing much of yesterday’s selloff. Amazon (+13% pre-market): Cloud revenue up +20% y/y, fastest growth since 2022 — a major boost for one of the year’s weakest Mag-7 names. Apple (+2% pre-market): Forecasts 10–12% revenue growth this quarter (vs +6% expected), driven by stronger iPhone demand. US futures: Nasdaq +1.2%, S&P 500 +0.65%, erasing most of Thursday’s losses. Yesterday’s decline stemmed from AI-capex worries after Meta (-11.3%) and Nvidia (-2%) fell on spending and China-sales concerns. Those fears are easing as investors refocus on strong earnings and resilient demand. Other Headlines Universal Music beat estimates on subscription revenue, supporting consumer-discretionary sentiment. Beverage giants continue to struggle — $830 bn in market value lost since 2021 amid shifting habits and tariffs. UK retail: Growing backlash against chatbots may be hurting sales by billions, highlighting limits of AI adoption. Outlook Nasdaq 100 looks set for a relief rally led by mega-cap tech. Focus today: follow-through buying in Amazon and Apple, stabilization in AI names (Meta, Nvidia), and overall positioning into month-end and key US inflation data later in the day. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 bullish breakout ahead of tech earningsGlobal equities largely consolidated over the past 24 hours, but US tech stocks extended their strong run, propelling the Nasdaq 100 to another record close. The Nasdaq gained +0.80%, outpacing broader benchmarks as AI-related enthusiasm and mega-cap momentum continued to dominate trading. Market Highlights Narrow Leadership: Despite the Nasdaq’s gains, market breadth was strikingly thin. Only 104 S&P 500 constituents advanced—the fewest on any up day since at least 1990—underscoring how dependent recent rallies have become on large-cap tech strength. AI Momentum: Nvidia (+4.98%) led the charge after CEO Jensen Huang unveiled multiple new partnerships (Uber, Palantir, Crowdstrike), a $1bn investment in Nokia, and plans to connect quantum computing with Nvidia AI chips. Nokia surged nearly 21% to its highest level in a decade. Microsoft (+1.98%) jumped after revealing a 27% stake in OpenAI, alongside a massive $250bn Azure services commitment from OpenAI, lifting Microsoft’s market cap back above $4 trillion. PayPal (+3.94%) rallied after an earnings upgrade and a new partnership with OpenAI. Amazon (+1.00%) advanced despite announcing plans to cut 14,000 corporate roles to streamline operations. Magnificent 7: The group gained +1.27%, setting fresh highs, with investors rotating further into AI leaders ahead of tonight’s Microsoft, Alphabet, and Meta earnings. Macro & Outlook All eyes now turn to the Federal Reserve’s policy decision later today, where a 25bps rate cut is fully priced in. Market participants will parse Chair Powell’s comments for guidance on the pace of future easing and any mention of lingering inflation or financial conditions. Volatility may rise post-Fed, with the Nasdaq 100 particularly sensitive to any shifts in rate expectations and tonight’s mega-cap tech earnings. Takeaway Momentum in the Nasdaq 100 remains intact but increasingly narrow, driven by AI exuberance and corporate partnerships rather than broad-based earnings strength. A dovish Fed and upbeat results from Microsoft, Alphabet, or Meta could reinforce upside momentum—but any disappointment may trigger a sharp reaction given stretched positioning. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 Focus today on key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP)Tech stocks held steady yesterday, with the Nasdaq 100 little changed, as broader markets consolidated near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.003%) and STOXX 600 (+0.21%) both hovered just below their recent peaks, while the 10yr US Treasury yield slipped to a one-year low of 3.96%, supporting equity valuations. The session’s standout move came from commodities, where gold (-5.3%) and silver (-7.1%) suffered their sharpest single-day declines in years, despite lower yields that would normally support precious metals. The drop appeared to be a technical correction after gold’s exceptional rally this year (+57% YTD). On the macro front, sentiment was mixed. The US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, now the second longest in history, with few signs of resolution as President Trump urged Senate Republicans to hold firm. Meanwhile, Trump’s comments on trade offered some optimism — he suggested talks with China’s Xi Jinping could produce a “good deal,” though a meeting remains unconfirmed. In corporate news, Anthropic and Google are reportedly discussing a multi-billion-dollar cloud computing deal, underscoring ongoing AI infrastructure investment — a potential positive for large-cap tech sentiment. Conversely, Apple faced minor headwinds amid reports that its foldable iPad project has hit development delays. Overall: The Nasdaq 100 remained stable as investors balanced easing yields, positive AI-sector momentum, and uncertainty over the government shutdown. Focus today will turn to key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP) and macro data for directional cues. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25200 Resistance Level 2: 25350 Resistance Level 3: 25466 Support Level 1: 24700 Support Level 2: 24400 Support Level 3: 24250 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary: NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure. 1D Chart View: The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000. 4H Structure: A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath. 1H / 30M: RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal. 15M / 5M Intraday Bias: Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300. 🎯 Trading Plan Bullish Scenario: Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800 Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800 Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low) Bearish Scenario (alternative): Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection) Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620 Stop Loss: 25,400 🔍 Confluence Factors: Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending. Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support. Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup. RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building. VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength. Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase. 📘 Outlook Summary: Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000. Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200. NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
NSDQ100 Key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24908 Resistance Level 2: 25050 Resistance Level 3: 25200 Support Level 1: 24376 Support Level 2: 24205 Support Level 3: 23920 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Can NASDAQ100’s Retest Turn Into a Full-Fledged Rally?⚡ NASDAQ100 — “The Wall Street Engine” Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade) Plan: 📈 Bullish confirmation awaited at the Hull Moving Average retest. When price respects that dynamic zone and momentum aligns, the Thief layers up — ready to stack positions like a pro! 💰 Thief Strategy Playbook: Thief’s weapon? Layering entries — the art of scaling in like a patient hunter. Multiple buy limit orders are placed around: 🔹 24,400 🔹 24,500 🔹 24,600 (You can adjust or add more layers based on your own trading structure and capital.) 🛡️ Stop-Loss: This is the Thief’s SL → @24,200 🕵️‍♂️ Note to all Thief OGs: I’m not recommending that you copy my SL — risk management is your call. Remember: Make money, then take money at your own risk. 🎯 Target Zone: @25,300 — where the POLICE BARRICADE (resistance) stands tall! ⚠️ The zone aligns with overbought levels + liquidity trap potential, so don’t overstay your welcome. Escape with profits like a smart thief before the market cuffs you! 💨 🕵️‍♂️ Note again to Thief OGs: Targets are flexible — adapt based on your execution and structure confirmation. 🔍 Correlated Assets to Watch: SP:SPX (S&P500) — often mirrors NASDAQ’s overall direction. TVC:DJI (Dow Jones) — gives early risk-on/risk-off sentiment clues. TVC:US10Y (US Treasury Yield) — rising yields can pressure tech stocks. TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — watch for volatility spikes; they often precede reversals. Correlation Key Insight: When the dollar weakens and yields cool, NASDAQ tends to fly 🚀 — liquidity rotation favors growth stocks and tech-heavy indices. ⚙️ Quick Recap: ✅ Bias: Bullish (with retest confirmation at Hull MA) 💸 Entry Zone: 24,400 → 24,600 (Layered limits) 🧱 SL: 24,200 (risk-controlled zone) 🎯 TP: 25,300 (liquidity + resistance zone) ⚠️ Risk: Adjust position size and trail stops as structure evolves ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for entertainment, education, and market storytelling. Trade responsibly; it’s just for fun, not financial advice. #NASDAQ100 #US100 #IndexTrading #HullMA #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingCommunity #ThiefTrader #ChartArt #EditorPickCandidate
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by The-Thief
NAS100 Decision Point at All-Time HighsNAS100 Decision Point at All-Time Highs Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100) 11th Oct 2025 UTC+4 Closing Price: 24,026.1 | Bias: Neutral, awaiting breakout confirmation. 1. Multi-Timeframe Market Structure Daily Chart Context: The index is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, trading near all-time highs. The recent consolidation suggests a pause within the broader bullish structure. Critical Resistance: 24,200 - 24,300. A confluence of the recent swing high and a psychological barrier. A decisive daily close above 24,300 is the key bullish trigger. Key Support Levels: Immediate: 23,900 (Recent swing low & 4H consolidation base). Primary: 23,650 - 23,750 (Previous resistance, now key support & 50 EMA area). Major: 23,400 (Would signal a deeper correction). 2. Chart Pattern & Wyckoff/Elliott Wave Context Pattern: The price action from the September low exhibits characteristics of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase, followed by a strong markup. The current pause could be a re-accumulation before the next leg up, or a distribution. Elliott Wave Count: The rally from the ~23,400 low is impulsive. We are likely in a Wave 4 (corrective) consolidation. A break above 24,200 would confirm the start of Wave 5 towards new highs. A break below 23,650 would invalidate this count. 3. Indicator Confluence & Momentum Ichimoku Cloud (Daily): Price is well above the Senkou Span (Cloud), confirming the strong bullish trend. The cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support. RSI (14): On the daily, RSI is neutral (~60), not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside. Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is hugging the upper band, indicating strength. A move to the middle band (~23,950) would be a healthy pullback. Moving Averages: The 50 EMA (23,850) and 200 EMA (23,500) are bullishly aligned, acting as dynamic support layers. Actionable Trading Plan Intraday Trading (Based on 1H/15M Charts) Bullish Breakout Setup: Trigger: Sustained price action above 24,150 with rising volume. Buy Entry: On a pullback to 24,100-24,130, or a break of 24,200. Stop Loss: Below 24,000. Targets: 24,300 (TP1), 24,450 (TP2). Bearish Rejection Setup: Trigger: Bearish reversal candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing) at 24,150-24,200. Sell Entry: On the confirmation of the rejection. Stop Loss: Above 24,250. Targets: 23,950 (TP1), 23,850 (TP2). Swing Trading (Based on 4H/Daily Charts) Long Swing Entry: Condition: Wait for a daily close above 24,300. Entry: On the next pullback towards 24,200 (new support). Stop Loss: Below 23,900. Target: 24,600 - 24,800. Short Swing Entry (Counter-Trend): Condition: A clear break and close below 23,900. Entry: On a retest of 23,900 as resistance. Stop Loss: Above 24,100. Target: 23,750, then 23,650. Risk & Trade Management Note The current setup is a high-probability bull trap if price fails at the 24,200 resistance. Conversely, a breakout opens significant upside. Do not chase price in the middle of the range. Patience for a confirmed trigger is key. Always use a stop-loss and manage position size accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
NSDQ100 Cautious consolidationNasdaq futures are pointing to a softer open today, as markets lose momentum following a record-breaking run. Investors are growing cautious amid renewed political and geopolitical tensions. Market backdrop: Equities pulled back modestly yesterday, with the S&P 500 down -0.28% and Europe’s STOXX 600 off -0.43%, as questions arose about the sustainability of the recent rally. The Nasdaq 100 also eased from record highs, mirroring the risk-off tone seen across regions and asset classes. Macro drivers: The US government shutdown—now entering its second week—is weighing on sentiment, especially after Trump vowed deeper spending cuts, raising fears of a prolonged fiscal impasse. Rising 10yr Treasury yields (+2.1bps to 4.14%) and wider high-yield spreads (+9bps) suggest investors are turning more defensive. Gold (-1.61%) also reversed sharply, falling below $4,000/oz, signaling some unwinding of safe-haven flows. Geopolitical factors: Tensions are rising ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with Beijing launching an antitrust probe into Qualcomm’s Autotalks deal, and new US legislation favouring Nvidia and AMD chip supplies for domestic use. The moves underscore potential risks for tech heavyweights with major China exposure. Meanwhile, the Israel-Gaza hostage deal and Trump’s expected visit add another layer of geopolitical complexity. Nasdaq 100 outlook: Tech stocks may see selective pressure today as investors react to the escalating US–China tech dispute and higher yields. However, recent strength in AI and semiconductors could offer some support. Expect consolidation near record levels, with traders awaiting US consumer sentiment data later in the day for confirmation of demand resilience. Tone: Cautious consolidation — Nasdaq 100 likely to trade sideways to slightly lower as macro and political risks temper recent euphoria. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25200 Resistance Level 2: 25300 Resistance Level 3: 25400 Support Level 1: 24870 Support Level 2: 24730 Support Level 3: 24590 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 awaits FOMC minutes and Fed commentaryMarkets saw a cautious tone yesterday, with risk sentiment softening amid political uncertainty in France and ongoing concerns about a US government shutdown. The S&P 500 fell -0.38% from Monday’s record high, while Treasury yields eased, reflecting a mild flight to safety. Safe-haven demand surged, with spot gold breaking above $4,000/oz for the first time ever, extending a rally of more than 50% this year. Silver is also nearing record highs. The moves highlight growing investor anxiety over the macro backdrop, despite resilience in equities overall. In tech news, AI-related headlines continued to dominate sentiment. Elon Musk’s xAI is reportedly expanding its funding round to $20 billion, with backing from Nvidia, reinforcing market enthusiasm around the AI theme. Meanwhile, Anthropic announced plans to open its first office in India, underscoring the sector’s global expansion. For today, Nasdaq 100 traders will watch how the AI rally balances against broader risk aversion, with the FOMC minutes and Fed commentary later in the session likely to drive direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25090 Resistance Level 2: 25200 Resistance Level 3: 25300 Support Level 1: 24730 Support Level 2: 24590 Support Level 3: 24460 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation