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NSDQ100 Focus today on key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP)Tech stocks held steady yesterday, with the Nasdaq 100 little changed, as broader markets consolidated near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.003%) and STOXX 600 (+0.21%) both hovered just below their recent peaks, while the 10yr US Treasury yield slipped to a one-year low of 3.96%, supporting equity valuations. The session’s standout move came from commodities, where gold (-5.3%) and silver (-7.1%) suffered their sharpest single-day declines in years, despite lower yields that would normally support precious metals. The drop appeared to be a technical correction after gold’s exceptional rally this year (+57% YTD). On the macro front, sentiment was mixed. The US government shutdown entered its 22nd day, now the second longest in history, with few signs of resolution as President Trump urged Senate Republicans to hold firm. Meanwhile, Trump’s comments on trade offered some optimism — he suggested talks with China’s Xi Jinping could produce a “good deal,” though a meeting remains unconfirmed. In corporate news, Anthropic and Google are reportedly discussing a multi-billion-dollar cloud computing deal, underscoring ongoing AI infrastructure investment — a potential positive for large-cap tech sentiment. Conversely, Apple faced minor headwinds amid reports that its foldable iPad project has hit development delays. Overall: The Nasdaq 100 remained stable as investors balanced easing yields, positive AI-sector momentum, and uncertainty over the government shutdown. Focus today will turn to key tech earnings (Tesla, IBM, SAP) and macro data for directional cues. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25200 Resistance Level 2: 25350 Resistance Level 3: 25466 Support Level 1: 24700 Support Level 2: 24400 Support Level 3: 24250 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NAS100 Technical Outlook (18–25 Oct 2025)Trend Summary: NASDAQ 100 remains in a corrective phase after rejecting near the 25,200–25,300 resistance zone. Recent price action forms a potential Wave 4 retracement within a medium-term bullish Elliott structure. 1D Chart View: The index is hovering around key support at 24,750, aligned with the 3 8.2% Fib retracement of the prior leg and near daily EMA50. A bullish reversal from this zone would confirm continuation toward 25,800–26,000. 4H Structure: A descending channel is observed, acting as a corrective pullback. Ichimoku Cloud shows price testing the lower edge; a break above 25,050 could signal momentum recovery. Volume divergence hints at accumulation beneath. 1H / 30M: RSI forming a higher low while price prints a lower low — a bullish divergence setup. Bollinger Bands are tightening, suggesting volatility expansion ahead. Watch VWAP reclaim above 25,000 for confirmation of short-term trend reversal. 15M / 5M Intraday Bias: Short-term traders should monitor the 24,800–24,750 zone for a bounce. Failure below this area exposes 24,620, while a decisive break above 25,050 may trigger an intraday rally targeting 25,250–25,300. 🎯 Trading Plan Bullish Scenario: Buy Zone: 24,750–24,800 Targets: 25,050 → 25,250 → 25,800 Stop Loss: 24,580 (below structure low) Bearish Scenario (alternative): Sell Zone: 25,250–25,300 (resistance rejection) Targets: 25,000 → 24,750 → 24,620 Stop Loss: 25,400 🔍 Confluence Factors: Elliott Wave: Wave 4 correction likely ending. Fibonacci: 38.2–50% retracement aligning with structure support. Ichimoku: Testing lower cloud — potential bullish crossover setup. RSI Divergence: Positive momentum building. VWAP: Reclaim signals early buyer strength. Volume: Accumulation noted during low volatility phase. 📘 Outlook Summary: Bias remains cautiously bullish above 24,750, targeting 25,800–26,000. Break below 24,620 invalidates bullish structure and opens path to 24,300–24,200. NAS100 traders should monitor intraday reactions and volume confirmations near key zones. This week may define whether the correction phase transitions into a new impulsive wave or deeper retracement.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
NSDQ100 Key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24908 Resistance Level 2: 25050 Resistance Level 3: 25200 Support Level 1: 24376 Support Level 2: 24205 Support Level 3: 23920 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Can NASDAQ100’s Retest Turn Into a Full-Fledged Rally?⚡ NASDAQ100 — “The Wall Street Engine” Trade Opportunity Guide (Swing / Day Trade) Plan: 📈 Bullish confirmation awaited at the Hull Moving Average retest. When price respects that dynamic zone and momentum aligns, the Thief layers up — ready to stack positions like a pro! 💰 Thief Strategy Playbook: Thief’s weapon? Layering entries — the art of scaling in like a patient hunter. Multiple buy limit orders are placed around: 🔹 24,400 🔹 24,500 🔹 24,600 (You can adjust or add more layers based on your own trading structure and capital.) 🛡️ Stop-Loss: This is the Thief’s SL → @24,200 🕵️‍♂️ Note to all Thief OGs: I’m not recommending that you copy my SL — risk management is your call. Remember: Make money, then take money at your own risk. 🎯 Target Zone: @25,300 — where the POLICE BARRICADE (resistance) stands tall! ⚠️ The zone aligns with overbought levels + liquidity trap potential, so don’t overstay your welcome. Escape with profits like a smart thief before the market cuffs you! 💨 🕵️‍♂️ Note again to Thief OGs: Targets are flexible — adapt based on your execution and structure confirmation. 🔍 Correlated Assets to Watch: SP:SPX (S&P500) — often mirrors NASDAQ’s overall direction. TVC:DJI (Dow Jones) — gives early risk-on/risk-off sentiment clues. TVC:US10Y (US Treasury Yield) — rising yields can pressure tech stocks. TVC:VIX (Volatility Index) — watch for volatility spikes; they often precede reversals. Correlation Key Insight: When the dollar weakens and yields cool, NASDAQ tends to fly 🚀 — liquidity rotation favors growth stocks and tech-heavy indices. ⚙️ Quick Recap: ✅ Bias: Bullish (with retest confirmation at Hull MA) 💸 Entry Zone: 24,400 → 24,600 (Layered limits) 🧱 SL: 24,200 (risk-controlled zone) 🎯 TP: 25,300 (liquidity + resistance zone) ⚠️ Risk: Adjust position size and trail stops as structure evolves ✨ “If you find value in my analysis, a 👍 and 🚀 boost is much appreciated — it helps me share more setups with the community!” 📜 Disclaimer: This is a Thief-style trading strategy — designed for entertainment, education, and market storytelling. Trade responsibly; it’s just for fun, not financial advice. #NASDAQ100 #US100 #IndexTrading #HullMA #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #DayTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #SmartMoneyConcepts #TradingCommunity #ThiefTrader #ChartArt #EditorPickCandidate
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by The-Thief
NAS100 Decision Point at All-Time HighsNAS100 Decision Point at All-Time Highs Asset: NAS100 (NASDAQ 100) 11th Oct 2025 UTC+4 Closing Price: 24,026.1 | Bias: Neutral, awaiting breakout confirmation. 1. Multi-Timeframe Market Structure Daily Chart Context: The index is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, trading near all-time highs. The recent consolidation suggests a pause within the broader bullish structure. Critical Resistance: 24,200 - 24,300. A confluence of the recent swing high and a psychological barrier. A decisive daily close above 24,300 is the key bullish trigger. Key Support Levels: Immediate: 23,900 (Recent swing low & 4H consolidation base). Primary: 23,650 - 23,750 (Previous resistance, now key support & 50 EMA area). Major: 23,400 (Would signal a deeper correction). 2. Chart Pattern & Wyckoff/Elliott Wave Context Pattern: The price action from the September low exhibits characteristics of a Wyckoff Accumulation phase, followed by a strong markup. The current pause could be a re-accumulation before the next leg up, or a distribution. Elliott Wave Count: The rally from the ~23,400 low is impulsive. We are likely in a Wave 4 (corrective) consolidation. A break above 24,200 would confirm the start of Wave 5 towards new highs. A break below 23,650 would invalidate this count. 3. Indicator Confluence & Momentum Ichimoku Cloud (Daily): Price is well above the Senkou Span (Cloud), confirming the strong bullish trend. The cloud itself is thick and rising, providing strong dynamic support. RSI (14): On the daily, RSI is neutral (~60), not yet overbought, leaving room for further upside. Bollinger Bands (4H): Price is hugging the upper band, indicating strength. A move to the middle band (~23,950) would be a healthy pullback. Moving Averages: The 50 EMA (23,850) and 200 EMA (23,500) are bullishly aligned, acting as dynamic support layers. Actionable Trading Plan Intraday Trading (Based on 1H/15M Charts) Bullish Breakout Setup: Trigger: Sustained price action above 24,150 with rising volume. Buy Entry: On a pullback to 24,100-24,130, or a break of 24,200. Stop Loss: Below 24,000. Targets: 24,300 (TP1), 24,450 (TP2). Bearish Rejection Setup: Trigger: Bearish reversal candle (e.g., Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing) at 24,150-24,200. Sell Entry: On the confirmation of the rejection. Stop Loss: Above 24,250. Targets: 23,950 (TP1), 23,850 (TP2). Swing Trading (Based on 4H/Daily Charts) Long Swing Entry: Condition: Wait for a daily close above 24,300. Entry: On the next pullback towards 24,200 (new support). Stop Loss: Below 23,900. Target: 24,600 - 24,800. Short Swing Entry (Counter-Trend): Condition: A clear break and close below 23,900. Entry: On a retest of 23,900 as resistance. Stop Loss: Above 24,100. Target: 23,750, then 23,650. Risk & Trade Management Note The current setup is a high-probability bull trap if price fails at the 24,200 resistance. Conversely, a breakout opens significant upside. Do not chase price in the middle of the range. Patience for a confirmed trigger is key. Always use a stop-loss and manage position size accordingly.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by sunya
NSDQ100 Cautious consolidationNasdaq futures are pointing to a softer open today, as markets lose momentum following a record-breaking run. Investors are growing cautious amid renewed political and geopolitical tensions. Market backdrop: Equities pulled back modestly yesterday, with the S&P 500 down -0.28% and Europe’s STOXX 600 off -0.43%, as questions arose about the sustainability of the recent rally. The Nasdaq 100 also eased from record highs, mirroring the risk-off tone seen across regions and asset classes. Macro drivers: The US government shutdown—now entering its second week—is weighing on sentiment, especially after Trump vowed deeper spending cuts, raising fears of a prolonged fiscal impasse. Rising 10yr Treasury yields (+2.1bps to 4.14%) and wider high-yield spreads (+9bps) suggest investors are turning more defensive. Gold (-1.61%) also reversed sharply, falling below $4,000/oz, signaling some unwinding of safe-haven flows. Geopolitical factors: Tensions are rising ahead of the Trump–Xi meeting, with Beijing launching an antitrust probe into Qualcomm’s Autotalks deal, and new US legislation favouring Nvidia and AMD chip supplies for domestic use. The moves underscore potential risks for tech heavyweights with major China exposure. Meanwhile, the Israel-Gaza hostage deal and Trump’s expected visit add another layer of geopolitical complexity. Nasdaq 100 outlook: Tech stocks may see selective pressure today as investors react to the escalating US–China tech dispute and higher yields. However, recent strength in AI and semiconductors could offer some support. Expect consolidation near record levels, with traders awaiting US consumer sentiment data later in the day for confirmation of demand resilience. Tone: Cautious consolidation — Nasdaq 100 likely to trade sideways to slightly lower as macro and political risks temper recent euphoria. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25200 Resistance Level 2: 25300 Resistance Level 3: 25400 Support Level 1: 24870 Support Level 2: 24730 Support Level 3: 24590 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 awaits FOMC minutes and Fed commentaryMarkets saw a cautious tone yesterday, with risk sentiment softening amid political uncertainty in France and ongoing concerns about a US government shutdown. The S&P 500 fell -0.38% from Monday’s record high, while Treasury yields eased, reflecting a mild flight to safety. Safe-haven demand surged, with spot gold breaking above $4,000/oz for the first time ever, extending a rally of more than 50% this year. Silver is also nearing record highs. The moves highlight growing investor anxiety over the macro backdrop, despite resilience in equities overall. In tech news, AI-related headlines continued to dominate sentiment. Elon Musk’s xAI is reportedly expanding its funding round to $20 billion, with backing from Nvidia, reinforcing market enthusiasm around the AI theme. Meanwhile, Anthropic announced plans to open its first office in India, underscoring the sector’s global expansion. For today, Nasdaq 100 traders will watch how the AI rally balances against broader risk aversion, with the FOMC minutes and Fed commentary later in the session likely to drive direction. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25090 Resistance Level 2: 25200 Resistance Level 3: 25300 Support Level 1: 24730 Support Level 2: 24590 Support Level 3: 24460 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 25090 Resistance Level 2: 25250 Resistance Level 3: 25400 Support Level 1: 24800 Support Level 2: 24700 Support Level 3: 24620 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 24,778.17 1st Support: 24,507.12 1st Resistance: 25,222.22 Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by IC Markets
NSDQ100 Key Trading Levels Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24835 Resistance Level 2: 24950 Resistance Level 3: 25055 Support Level 1: 24190 Support Level 2: 24090 Support Level 3: 24000 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NASDAQ – Decision Point is Now: Breakout or Breakdown?📈🔍 NASDAQ at Key Inflection – Momentum or Meltdown? ⚠️💥 Hey Traders, The NASDAQ 100 is now standing right at the make-or-break zone: 22,655. This level marks a critical retest of the recent breakout, and what happens here could define the next major move. 🔵 The Setup: After a strong bounce and sharp rally from below 18K, we've climbed back into the tight ascending structure. But momentum is slowing… This zone could produce either a bullish continuation to new highs — or a brutal rejection that unwinds the entire move. 📍 Structure Speaks: Holding above 22,655 = likely continuation Breakdown = deeper pullback toward 20,000 and lower channel support Momentum names like NVIDIA are doing the heavy lifting again — but can they sustain the market alone? 📊 What I'm Watching: Bullish path = measured target ~25,000+ Bearish path = test of the broader trendline near 20,000 or even the 18,200 region Macro signals still mixed — stay nimble, not married to one bias ⚠️ Stay Sharp: Just like in crypto, the Nasdaq can punish both bulls and bears when it enters chop mode. Structure and discipline remain your best defense. I’ve updated the chart — fresh out the oven 🍞 — and more market ideas are following, including BTC, ETH, and BTC Dominance. One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by FX_Professor
NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead 🚀 NAS100: CRITICAL BREAKOUT ZONE! 25K Battle Ahead 📊 Current Price: 24,507.1 | Date: Sept 27, 2025 ⏰ 📈 INTRADAY TRADING SETUPS (Next 5 Days) 🎯 BULLISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 24,480 - 24,520 📍 Stop Loss: 24,420 🛑 Target 1: 24,650 🎯 Target 2: 24,800 🚀 🎯 BEARISH SCENARIO Entry Zone: 24,550 - 24,580 📍 Stop Loss: 24,630 🛑 Target 1: 24,300 🎯 Target 2: 24,150 📉 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS BREAKDOWN 📊 KEY INDICATORS STATUS: RSI (14): 58.3 ⚡ *Neutral Zone - Room to Move* Bollinger Bands: Mid-band Squeeze 🔥 VWAP: 24,465 - Dynamic Support Holding 💪 EMA 50: 24,380 ✅ *Bullish Above Key Level* Volume: Declining 📊 *Awaiting Catalyst* 🌊 WAVE ANALYSIS: Elliott Wave: Wave 4 Correction Complete 🌊 Next Target: Wave 5 Extension to 25,200+ 🎯 🔄 HARMONIC PATTERNS: Bullish Bat Pattern Active at 24,450 ✨ ABCD Completion targeting 24,750 🔄 ⚖️ SWING TRADING OUTLOOK (1-4 Weeks) 🚀 BULLISH TARGETS: Weekly Resistance: 24,850 🏆 Monthly Target: 25,200 🌙 Gann Square of 9: 25,000 ⭐ 📉 BEARISH INVALIDATION: Weekly Support: 24,200 ⚠️ Critical Level: 24,000 🚨 🎭 MARKET STRUCTURE: Trend: Consolidating Bullish 💪 Momentum: Building Energy 🔥 Wyckoff Phase: Re-accumulation 📈 Ichimoku: Neutral Cloud 🟡 🔥 CRITICAL LEVELS TO WATCH: Resistance: 24,600 | 24,750 | 25,000 🚧 Support: 24,350 | 24,200 | 24,000 🛡️ Breakout Trigger: 24,580 confirmed close 💥 ⚡ RISK MANAGEMENT: Max Risk per Trade: 1.5% 🛡️ R:R Ratio: Minimum 1:3 ⚖️ Position Size: Conservative in Range 📏 🌍 MARKET CATALYSTS: Tech Earnings Season Approaching 💼 Fed Policy Impact on Growth Stocks 🏛️ AI/Tech Momentum Driving Index 🤖 🎯 FINAL VERDICT: NAS100 coiling for EXPLOSIVE MOVE! 🚀 25K psychological level in sight! 💥 Watch for volume spike above 24,580 👀 Trade Management: Scale in on pullbacks to VWAP 📈 Key Decision Zone: 24,500-24,600 battle crucial ⚔️ --- *⚠️ Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. Use proper risk management. This analysis is for educational purposes only.* For individuals seeking to enhance their trading abilities based on the analyses provided, I recommend exploring the mentoring program offered by Shunya Trade. (Website: shunya dot trade) I would appreciate your feedback on this analysis, as it will serve as a valuable resource for future endeavors. Sincerely, Shunya.Trade Website: shunya dot trade 🔔 Follow for Daily Updates | 💬 Share Your NAS100 Strategy
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by sunya
NASDAQ 100 – Potential Liquidity Grab & Bearish Continuation SetHello Billionaires!! We All know that the Price has swept the New York session high (BSL) and is now showing signs of a potential market structure shift (MSS). If the short-term pullback holds, we may see a deeper retracement toward the demand zone (BPR + Asian range) before another leg down. 🔹Key Levels to Watch: 24,725 – 24,750: Liquidity grab zone (recent NY high) 24,575 – 24,550: Re-test area for possible continuation 24,500 – 24,450: Next downside target if bearish momentum continues Bias: Short-term retracement followed by potential bearish continuation toward lower liquidity pools (SSL). 📌 This is an educational projection, not financial advice. Trade safe and always manage your risk!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by AliyanFX
Nasdaq slipped as investors balanced Fed signalsThe Nasdaq 100 (-0.87%) fell as tech stocks weakened. Uncertainty around Nvidia’s $100bn OpenAI deal led the reversal after Monday’s gains. Powell’s comments added to caution: he repeated that risks remain on both inflation and jobs, but also admitted to “meaningful weakness” in the labour market. This helped bonds rally, but not equities. Extra pressure came from US government shutdown concerns, while gold hit a record high ($3,764/oz) as investors shifted to a defensive. Tech momentum cooled, and the Nasdaq slipped as investors balanced Fed signals, policy risks, and stretched valuations. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24830 Resistance Level 2: 24950 Resistance Level 3: 25055 Support Level 1: 24412 Support Level 2: 24300 Support Level 3: 24190 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 volatility, triple-witching could exaggerate swings.Nasdaq 100 Trading Drivers Macro backdrop: US data came in strong: Jobless claims fell to 231k (vs. 240k exp; prior 264k). Continuing claims declined to 1.92m (vs. 1.95m exp). Philly Fed survey surged to 23.2 (vs. 1.7 exp), an 8-month high. This eased US slowdown fears and reinforced risk-on sentiment. Equities: Nasdaq +0.94% → new record high. Tech/semis led: Intel (+22.8%) strongest S&P performer after Nvidia’s $5bn investment and US gov’t stake news. Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +3.6%. Momentum broadened → Russell 2000 +2.5%, first record high since 2021. Rates: Treasuries sold off on strong data → 10yr yield +1.7bps to 4.11%, 30yr +3.4bps. Higher yields a potential headwind if sustained. Event risk: Trump–Xi call (9 a.m. ET): key for TikTok’s US future & broader trade tone. Risk of mixed headlines given tensions (China soybeans skip, Gaza criticism, Taiwan aid freeze). BoJ surprise: announced unwind of $4.2bn/year ETF holdings → dampened global risk tone. US triple-witching: options/futures expiries today → elevated intraday volatility likely. Nasdaq 100 Trading Takeaway Bullish momentum intact: record highs fueled by tech & semiconductor leadership. Short-term watchpoints: Trump–Xi headlines and BoJ shift may inject volatility; triple-witching could exaggerate swings. Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens. Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24600 Resistance Level 2: 24710 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 24210 Support Level 2: 24085 Support Level 3: 24940 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice. Key risk: rising US yields may cap upside if bond sell-off deepens. Bias: Still risk-on / buy dips near-term, but position sizing should account for headline-driven volatility today. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24600 Resistance Level 2: 24710 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 24210 Support Level 2: 24085 Support Level 3: 24940 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 awaits Fed rate decision supported at 23940Nasdaq 100 Trading Takeaways Fed in focus: Markets expect a 25bp cut today, though risks of larger/smaller moves exist with potential dissents on both dovish and hawkish sides. Trump’s newly sworn-in appointee Miran may push for 50bp, while Schmid could dissent hawkishly. This adds event risk and volatility for tech stocks. Macro backdrop: Trump state visit to the UK highlights investment pledges and a potential US-UK tech partnership, which could support sentiment in large-cap tech. Market moves: S&P 500 (-0.13%) pulled back from record highs. Nasdaq leadership held firm: Magnificent 7 (+0.55%) hit a new record, showing resilience even as breadth weakened. Broader weakness evident – third straight day of more decliners than advancers. Sector divergence: Energy (+1.73%) outperformed on higher Brent crude (+1.53%), but tech still provided upside leadership. Implication for Nasdaq 100: Short-term: Expect heightened sensitivity to Fed outcome – dovish signals/50bp risk would boost mega-cap tech, while hawkish dissent could trigger profit-taking. Medium-term: Tech remains the relative outperformer, with new highs in the Magnificent 7 signaling continued defensive growth positioning despite weaker breadth. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24470 Resistance Level 2: 24600 Resistance Level 3: 24800 Support Level 1: 23940 Support Level 2: 23760 Support Level 3: 23430 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 bullish reaction to rate-cut expectationsUS CPI and a sharp rise in jobless claims (+263k vs. +235k expected, Texas-driven distortions aside) reinforced the narrative of a cooling labour market. Equities rallied on the lower rates outlook: S&P 500 (+0.85%) and Nasdaq (+0.72%) closed at fresh records, with the Magnificent 7 up +1.13%. Breadth was strong (436 S&P advancers, Russell 2000 +1.83%). Oracle (-6.23%) was a notable laggard after recent gains. Meanwhile, OpenAI’s potential $100bn+ restructuring with Microsoft and a UK data center buildout highlight continued AI momentum. On the geopolitical front, US-China talks (Bessent–He Lifeng) and a possible Xi-Trump meeting, plus progress with India, suggest tentative thawing in trade and tech relations. Conclusion (Nasdaq-100): The combination of softer labour data, rate-cut expectations, and sustained AI optimism is a constructive backdrop for the Nasdaq-100. Short-term pullbacks (e.g., Oracle) appear stock-specific, while breadth and AI-linked capex support further upside. Near-term, dips remain buyable unless geopolitics disrupt risk sentiment. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24200 Resistance Level 2: 24380 Resistance Level 3: 24600 Support Level 1: 23500 Support Level 2: 23320 Support Level 3: 23125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 Bullish breakout support at 23500Key Developments US labor market revisions: BLS cut payrolls by -911k through March 2025, implying weaker labor conditions than thought. Markets took it in stride, with rate cut pricing steady at ~27bps for next week (-1.5bps on day). Fed outlook: Treasury Secretary Bessent urged recalibration of policy, echoing Trump’s criticism of “choking off growth.” Governor Lisa Cook remains in her role after a court blocked Trump’s attempt to remove her, ensuring full FOMC participation next week. Geopolitics: Middle East: Israel’s strike on Hamas leaders in Qatar drew criticism from Trump, seen as not aiding conflict resolution. Europe: Poland shot down drones from a Russian strike on Ukraine, escalating tensions with Moscow. Market Takeaways Payroll downgrades confirm a weaker labor backdrop but don’t materially change Fed cut expectations for September. Political noise around the Fed could fuel uncertainty, but markets are treating it as background risk. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated but had limited immediate market impact. Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 is likely to remain steady to slightly supported: Weaker labor revisions reduce concerns about overheating, reinforcing the Fed cut narrative. Limited geopolitical spillover into tech equities so far. Bond yields and Fed pricing, not payroll revisions, remain the key driver. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24200 Resistance Level 2: 24380 Resistance Level 3: 24600 Support Level 1: 23500 Support Level 2: 23320 Support Level 3: 23125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Nasdaq “Tug of war” Nasdaq 100 has recently shown a significant shift in momentum on the 4hour chart, with bearish pressure taking hold. After a strong upward trend, the index has experienced a sharp decline, now consolidating within a critical range. The key to the next major move lies in the defence or failure of the defined support and resistance levels. Current Market & Price Action The price action clearly indicates a period of bearish dominance, marked by a substantial selloff from recent highs. The price is currently contained below a key resistance level at 23,515.6, which had previously acted as support. This consolidation phase is critical and suggests a tug of war between bulls and bears. The current price hovers around 23,406, leaving both a bullish reversal and a bearish continuation as plausible outcomes. The Bearish Case : Reaching for 23,000 If the price continues to face rejection at the 23,515.6 level, the path of least resistance is to the downside. The next major target for sellers is the significant support zone between 23,000 and 22,900. This level is not only a major psychological number but also represents a strong structural support zone from previous price action. A confirmed break below the current consolidation range, particularly the 23,331.4 level, would signal a continuation of the downtrend. A move to the 23,000-22,900 zone represents a potential drop of approximately 1.36%, as measured on the chart. Traders should watch for a decisive break of this support, which could trigger a much larger sell off. The Bullish Case: Reclaiming Momentum For the bullish narrative to resume, the index must convincingly break and hold above the 23,515.6 resistance. A strong close above this level on the 4hour chart would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook and signal a potential reversal. If this occurs, the next logical target would be the higher resistance at 23,757.2, marking a potential recovery of the recent losses. This bullish scenario would likely be fueled by a positive catalyst, such as favorable economic data or dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, which the market is currently anticipating. A successful break and retest of 23,515.6 would serve as a key entry signal for buyers aiming for higher levels. Key Contextual Factors Recent economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations are likely to be major drivers for the Nasdaq's next move. As of early September, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is heavily priced in, with some analysts predicting a move in the upcoming FOMC meeting. Any surprises to this expectation, either in a more hawkish or unexpectedly dovish direction, could trigger significant volatility. The tech heavy Nasdaq is particularly sensitive to interest rate policy, as it impacts company valuations and financing. Summary and Outlook Nasdaq 100 is at a pivotal point. The price is currently trapped between the 23,515 resistance and the 23,331 support. * Bearish Trigger: A sustained break below 23,331.4 could lead to a test of the 23,000-22,900 support zone. * Bullish Trigger: A decisive break above 23,515.6 could target the 23,757 resistance. Given the recent price action and broader market uncertainty, the immediate risk appears to be to the downside. However, the market's direction will be confirmed by which of these critical levels is breached first.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by SufiyanShabbirGangdani
2
NSDQ100 corrective pullback support at 23420US Macro: Q2 headline PCE revised down: +2.0% (vs +2.1%), core PCE steady: +2.5%. Jobless claims: 229k (vs 230k), continuing 1.954m (vs 1.966m). → Soft-landing narrative reinforced, easing recession fears. US Equities: S&P 500 +0.32% → 3rd straight gain, fresh ATH. NASDAQ +0.53% led by tech. Nvidia -0.79% on slowing revenue growth post-earnings. Europe: STOXX 600 -0.20%, FTSE 100 -0.42% lagged. Eurozone econ sentiment index fell to 95.2 vs 96.0 exp. → weaker sentiment backdrop. What’s next: US July PCE inflation + spending data (today) → key for Fed path. Eurozone CPI flash (Germany/France/Italy) → ECB watch. Japan Tokyo CPI + activity data → BoJ implications. Alibaba/BYD earnings → China sentiment gauge. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23760 Resistance Level 2: 23880 Resistance Level 3: 23760 Support Level 1: 23420 Support Level 2: 23276 Support Level 3: 23050 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Bearish drop off?USTEC has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a multi swing low support. Pivot: 23,523.60 1st Support: 22,967.13 1st Resistance: 23,920.26 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by IC Markets
2
NSDQ100 awaits Fed Powwell's tone at Jackson Hole Key Drivers Powell @ Jackson Hole (10am EST): July FOMC was hawkish on labour, but payroll revisions weaker since → tone today could soften. Market focus: whether Powell leans on labour weakness vs still-solid inflation & activity. Outcome = pivotal for Fed cut expectations and tech valuations. Macro/Policy Noise: Halts & policy risks: immigration and visa restrictions could tighten labour supply, indirectly feeding wage/inflation concerns. NIH funding cuts add fiscal uncertainty. Geopolitical chip tension: Nvidia halting H20 AI chip production under Beijing pressure raises supply-chain risk. Negative for semi names in the NASDAQ-100 (NVDA, AMD, AVGO). US stance on chipmakers: No forced equity stakes → removes one overhang, but policy risk still high. NASDAQ-100 Implications Powell dovish → likely risk-on, tech rally (rate-sensitive growth). Powell hawkish / inflation-first → risk-off, higher yields weigh on big tech multiples. Chip news: Nvidia headline is a near-term drag; could spill over to the semiconductor complex (SOX index). Net read: Short-term cautious bias into Powell due to Nvidia headline + policy noise. Direction after 10am EST depends on Fed tone—dovish shift = upside reversal, hawkish = further pressure on NASDAQ-100. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23480 Resistance Level 2: 23720 Resistance Level 3: 23950 Support Level 1: 23100 Support Level 2: 22985 Support Level 3: 22740 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
6