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NSDQ100 Bullish breakout support at 23500Key Developments US labor market revisions: BLS cut payrolls by -911k through March 2025, implying weaker labor conditions than thought. Markets took it in stride, with rate cut pricing steady at ~27bps for next week (-1.5bps on day). Fed outlook: Treasury Secretary Bessent urged recalibration of policy, echoing Trump’s criticism of “choking off growth.” Governor Lisa Cook remains in her role after a court blocked Trump’s attempt to remove her, ensuring full FOMC participation next week. Geopolitics: Middle East: Israel’s strike on Hamas leaders in Qatar drew criticism from Trump, seen as not aiding conflict resolution. Europe: Poland shot down drones from a Russian strike on Ukraine, escalating tensions with Moscow. Market Takeaways Payroll downgrades confirm a weaker labor backdrop but don’t materially change Fed cut expectations for September. Political noise around the Fed could fuel uncertainty, but markets are treating it as background risk. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated but had limited immediate market impact. Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 The Nasdaq 100 is likely to remain steady to slightly supported: Weaker labor revisions reduce concerns about overheating, reinforcing the Fed cut narrative. Limited geopolitical spillover into tech equities so far. Bond yields and Fed pricing, not payroll revisions, remain the key driver. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 24200 Resistance Level 2: 24380 Resistance Level 3: 24600 Support Level 1: 23500 Support Level 2: 23320 Support Level 3: 23125 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Nasdaq “Tug of war” Nasdaq 100 has recently shown a significant shift in momentum on the 4hour chart, with bearish pressure taking hold. After a strong upward trend, the index has experienced a sharp decline, now consolidating within a critical range. The key to the next major move lies in the defence or failure of the defined support and resistance levels. Current Market & Price Action The price action clearly indicates a period of bearish dominance, marked by a substantial selloff from recent highs. The price is currently contained below a key resistance level at 23,515.6, which had previously acted as support. This consolidation phase is critical and suggests a tug of war between bulls and bears. The current price hovers around 23,406, leaving both a bullish reversal and a bearish continuation as plausible outcomes. The Bearish Case : Reaching for 23,000 If the price continues to face rejection at the 23,515.6 level, the path of least resistance is to the downside. The next major target for sellers is the significant support zone between 23,000 and 22,900. This level is not only a major psychological number but also represents a strong structural support zone from previous price action. A confirmed break below the current consolidation range, particularly the 23,331.4 level, would signal a continuation of the downtrend. A move to the 23,000-22,900 zone represents a potential drop of approximately 1.36%, as measured on the chart. Traders should watch for a decisive break of this support, which could trigger a much larger sell off. The Bullish Case: Reclaiming Momentum For the bullish narrative to resume, the index must convincingly break and hold above the 23,515.6 resistance. A strong close above this level on the 4hour chart would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook and signal a potential reversal. If this occurs, the next logical target would be the higher resistance at 23,757.2, marking a potential recovery of the recent losses. This bullish scenario would likely be fueled by a positive catalyst, such as favorable economic data or dovish comments from the Federal Reserve, which the market is currently anticipating. A successful break and retest of 23,515.6 would serve as a key entry signal for buyers aiming for higher levels. Key Contextual Factors Recent economic data and Federal Reserve policy expectations are likely to be major drivers for the Nasdaq's next move. As of early September, a rate cut by the Federal Reserve is heavily priced in, with some analysts predicting a move in the upcoming FOMC meeting. Any surprises to this expectation, either in a more hawkish or unexpectedly dovish direction, could trigger significant volatility. The tech heavy Nasdaq is particularly sensitive to interest rate policy, as it impacts company valuations and financing. Summary and Outlook Nasdaq 100 is at a pivotal point. The price is currently trapped between the 23,515 resistance and the 23,331 support. * Bearish Trigger: A sustained break below 23,331.4 could lead to a test of the 23,000-22,900 support zone. * Bullish Trigger: A decisive break above 23,515.6 could target the 23,757 resistance. Given the recent price action and broader market uncertainty, the immediate risk appears to be to the downside. However, the market's direction will be confirmed by which of these critical levels is breached first.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by SufiyanShabbirGangdani
2
NSDQ100 corrective pullback support at 23420US Macro: Q2 headline PCE revised down: +2.0% (vs +2.1%), core PCE steady: +2.5%. Jobless claims: 229k (vs 230k), continuing 1.954m (vs 1.966m). → Soft-landing narrative reinforced, easing recession fears. US Equities: S&P 500 +0.32% → 3rd straight gain, fresh ATH. NASDAQ +0.53% led by tech. Nvidia -0.79% on slowing revenue growth post-earnings. Europe: STOXX 600 -0.20%, FTSE 100 -0.42% lagged. Eurozone econ sentiment index fell to 95.2 vs 96.0 exp. → weaker sentiment backdrop. What’s next: US July PCE inflation + spending data (today) → key for Fed path. Eurozone CPI flash (Germany/France/Italy) → ECB watch. Japan Tokyo CPI + activity data → BoJ implications. Alibaba/BYD earnings → China sentiment gauge. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23760 Resistance Level 2: 23880 Resistance Level 3: 23760 Support Level 1: 23420 Support Level 2: 23276 Support Level 3: 23050 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Bearish drop off?USTEC has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a multi swing low support. Pivot: 23,523.60 1st Support: 22,967.13 1st Resistance: 23,920.26 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by ICmarkets
2
NSDQ100 awaits Fed Powwell's tone at Jackson Hole Key Drivers Powell @ Jackson Hole (10am EST): July FOMC was hawkish on labour, but payroll revisions weaker since → tone today could soften. Market focus: whether Powell leans on labour weakness vs still-solid inflation & activity. Outcome = pivotal for Fed cut expectations and tech valuations. Macro/Policy Noise: Halts & policy risks: immigration and visa restrictions could tighten labour supply, indirectly feeding wage/inflation concerns. NIH funding cuts add fiscal uncertainty. Geopolitical chip tension: Nvidia halting H20 AI chip production under Beijing pressure raises supply-chain risk. Negative for semi names in the NASDAQ-100 (NVDA, AMD, AVGO). US stance on chipmakers: No forced equity stakes → removes one overhang, but policy risk still high. NASDAQ-100 Implications Powell dovish → likely risk-on, tech rally (rate-sensitive growth). Powell hawkish / inflation-first → risk-off, higher yields weigh on big tech multiples. Chip news: Nvidia headline is a near-term drag; could spill over to the semiconductor complex (SOX index). Net read: Short-term cautious bias into Powell due to Nvidia headline + policy noise. Direction after 10am EST depends on Fed tone—dovish shift = upside reversal, hawkish = further pressure on NASDAQ-100. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23480 Resistance Level 2: 23720 Resistance Level 3: 23950 Support Level 1: 23100 Support Level 2: 22985 Support Level 3: 22740 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
6
NSDQ100 corrective pullback supported at 23233Tech drag dominates: The NASDAQ fell -1.46%, its worst day since Aug 1, led by the Magnificent 7 (-1.67%). Nvidia (-3.5%) was the biggest loser and set the tone for semis and AI-linked names. Index divergence: Despite the cap-weighted S&P falling (-0.59%), the equal-weighted S&P rose (+0.45%), showing the selloff was tech-concentrated rather than broad. That highlights rotation into cyclicals/defensives away from mega-cap tech. Stock specifics: Intel (+6.97%) surged on the $2bn SoftBank stake, bucking the chip weakness. Home Depot (+3.17%) outperformed on earnings, showing consumer/housing resilience—positive for broader equities but less relevant for tech. Rates backdrop: 10yr UST yields fell -2.7bps to 4.31% after S&P affirmed the US AA+ rating. Lower yields normally support growth/tech, but today’s positioning and rotation outweighed rate relief. Fed/policy watch: Treasury Sec. Bessent hinted at Fed Chair decision timing (Powell’s replacement watch). Markets remain priced for a jumbo cut in September, with focus shifting to Jackson Hole this week—key risk event for Nasdaq given rate-cut sensitivity. Geopolitics: Noise around Ukraine security guarantees and Switzerland’s peace-talk stance was not market-moving for tech. Relevance for NASDAQ100 traders: Yesterday’s selloff was tech-specific, not broad market weakness, implying concentration risk in mega-caps. Intel’s rally shows idiosyncratic catalysts can break correlation. Watch Jackson Hole & Fed rate-cut pricing → likely main driver for Nasdaq100 short-term. Rotation risk: If the equal-weighted S&P keeps outperforming, the Nasdaq may underperform further unless big tech regains leadership. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23710 Resistance Level 2: 23950 Resistance Level 3: 24200 Support Level 1: 23233 Support Level 2: 23110 Support Level 3: 22985 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NASDAQ 100 (NAS100) potential reversal The NASDAQ 100 (NAS100 ) on the H4 timeframe it appears to be undergoing a period of consolidation within a defined range. As of approximately 20:46 (based on the timestamp), the index is trading around 23,383.6, having experienced a decline of -1.41% or 334.3 points. Key Observations: Recent Downtrend and Support Zone : The price action shows a clear downtrend leading into the current consolidation. The highlighted yellow zone around the 23,100 - 23,300 level seems to be acting as a support zone, preventing further immediate declines. Resistance Zone : Conversely, an upper red zone around the 23,800 - 24,000 level is acting as resistance, capping the upside for the time being. Range Bound Movement : The price is currently oscillating between these two defined zones, indicating a period of indecision in the market. Potential Reversal Area : The fact that the support zone is holding after a significant down move suggests the possibility of a short-term reversal if buyers step in with conviction. However, this needs confirmation with a break above the resistance zone. Breakout Scenarios : Bullish Breakout: A sustained break above the 24,000 level could signal a continuation of an upward trajectory, potentially targeting previous highs. Bearish Breakdown : Possibly, a break below the 23,100 level would likely confirm further downside pressure and could lead to testing lower support levels. Technical Considerations : Traders and investors should closely monitor price action within these zones. Look for confirmation signals such as strong candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing, bearish engulfing) or increasing volume on breakouts to gauge the strength and validity of potential moves. Conclusion : NASDAQ 100 is currently in a critical juncture. The consolidation within a potential reversal zone after a downtrend warrants careful observation. The direction of the next significant move will likely be determined by whether the support or resistance zone is broken decisively.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by SufiyanShabbirGangdani
2
USTECH Long Opportunity USTECH has been making some bullish strides and continues the overall bullish trend. Last week, price broke above the major pivot level at $23680 and seems to be maintaining its bullish structure Price is currently in a retracement and is testing the $23680 level where i am expecting a bounce to the upside in continuation with the bullish trend. From the higher timeframes price is trading above all 3 SMA and in the bullish region of the RSI. on the 1 hour timeframe, price is maintaining its position above the Bullish support trendline and the 200 SMA which adds to the bullish move i am looking at. Alternatively if price continues to move down, i am targeting the support level at $23520 where buyers are sitting and having enough momentum to push the market higher. Looking for long positions from either the $23680 or alternatively the $23520 level.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by Fides_Trading
USTEC: Likely continuation following pullbackNAS100 climbed a steep uptrend and my expectation is for a continuation as marked on my chart, with an upside target at around 24,300. This area here is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower. If I were to take a side here, I would definitely choose more upside, but again only price action should determine next move. But if price breaks below the trendline with conviction, it would invalidate the bullish scenario, suggesting that the uptrend may pause or could even reverse short-term. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:USTECLong
by TrendDiva
32
NSDQ100 sideways consolidation support at 23664Yesterday’s market action flipped from Wednesday’s pattern, with US Treasury yields jumping (10yr +5.1bps) after a much hotter-than-expected July Producer Price Index. Headline PPI surged +0.9% MoM (+3.3% YoY) vs. +0.2%/+2.5% expected — the largest monthly gain since March 2022 — and core PPI rose +0.6% MoM (+2.8% YoY) vs. +0.2%/+2.5% expected. The surprise beat every Bloomberg economist’s forecast and dims the chances of a September Fed rate cut. However, PPI components tied to core PCE — the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge — showed only a modest uptick (+0.29% vs. +0.26%), offering some relief. Despite rate cut bets being pared back, the S&P 500 still closed slightly higher (+0.03%), logging a third straight record high. Geopolitical note: Trump and Putin are set to meet in Alaska tonight over Ukraine, with low expectations for an immediate breakthrough. Conclusion for NASDAQ-100: The hotter inflation print and higher yields introduce near-term headwinds, especially for rate-sensitive growth stocks. However, the market’s resilience yesterday suggests bullish momentum remains intact for now — but upside in the NASDAQ-100 may be capped until inflation data eases or Fed policy expectations shift dovishly again. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23965 Resistance Level 2: 24120 Resistance Level 3: 24290 Support Level 1: 23664 Support Level 2: 23533 Support Level 3: 23422 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
2
NSDQ100 sideways consolidation support at 23045Nasdaq 100 Market Summary – August 8 Markets remain cautious, with a mix of corporate and macro developments driving sentiment. Gold futures surged after the US unexpectedly imposed tariffs on one-kilo and 100-ounce gold bars. The move surprised traders and added fresh uncertainty to the metals market. Oil prices stabilized following a recent decline, as attention shifts to potential diplomatic developments, including a possible Trump-Putin meeting. In the tech sector, Tesla scrapped its Dojo supercomputer project, a blow to its in-house AI and self-driving ambitions. This comes just weeks after Elon Musk said he was doubling down on the effort. The departure of the project’s lead adds to investor concerns. Meanwhile, Intel’s CEO responded to political pressure by reaffirming his board’s support, as Trump called for his resignation over alleged conflicts of interest. On the economic front, the latest jobless claims data brought some relief after last week’s soft payrolls report. Initial claims rose slightly to 226,000, just above the 222,000 forecast. However, continuing claims came in higher at 1.974 million, with most of the increase seen in California—likely due to seasonal factors. Additionally, the New York Fed’s July survey showed a rise in both inflation expectations and concerns about the job market. Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 Trading: The tone remains cautious. Disruptions at major constituents like Tesla and Intel may drag on sentiment, while macro uncertainty—rising geopolitical tensions, new tariffs, and unstable commodity markets—adds to headwinds. Traders may rotate into defensives or software names with lower exposure to AI hardware or international trade risks. Expect range-bound trading with elevated volatility until clarity emerges on US-Russia diplomacy and the true extent of tariff impacts. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23700 Resistance Level 2: 23900 Resistance Level 3: 24085 Support Level 1: 23045 Support Level 2: 22870 Support Level 3: 22675 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NSDQ100 Pre US Open Key Trading levelsTrade Policy & Tariff Risks: Donald Trump escalated trade rhetoric, signaling higher tariffs on countries importing Russian energy, and previewing new tariffs on semiconductors and pharmaceuticals within days. This raises geopolitical and supply chain uncertainty—key risks for NSDQ 100 tech and healthcare stocks, particularly chipmakers, drug manufacturers, and firms exposed to global trade. Swiss Tariff Dispute: Swiss President Keller-Sutter is in Washington seeking to lower a newly imposed 39% tariff—highlighting the broader unpredictability of US trade actions, which could fuel market volatility and weigh on investor sentiment. Ukraine Conflict & Sanctions Outlook: As the US pushes toward an Aug. 8 deadline to resolve the Ukraine conflict, Trump's envoy is in Moscow. Potential Kremlin concessions (e.g., halting airstrikes) may reduce geopolitical risk premiums, especially for defense, energy, and global consumer tech firms. Federal Reserve & Rate Policy: With Fed Governor Kugler resigning, Trump is expected to name a replacement this week. His ongoing pressure on the Fed to cut rates adds policy uncertainty. This could support rate-sensitive NSDQ stocks in the near term, especially growth names in tech, if dovish expectations build. Takeaway for NSDQ100 Traders: Expect increased volatility around tariff news, Fed appointments, and geopolitical headlines. Traders should watch for: Semiconductor stocks (e.g., NVDA, AMD, INTC) under pressure from tariff threats. Big tech and biotech swings tied to pharma trade policy. Potential relief rallies if Russia concessions materialize or Fed commentary turns dovish. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23300 Resistance Level 2: 22430 Resistance Level 3: 23680 Support Level 1: 22677 Support Level 2: 22580 Support Level 3: 22388 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NQ | NASDAQ - Weekly Recap & Gameplan - 03/08/25📈 Market Context: The market is pricing in a potential 0.25% rate cut in the September FOMC meeting, keeping the overall structure bullish. Although we saw a retracement after the Non-Farm Employment Change came in weaker than expected, bullish sentiment remains intact. Currently, market sentiment has shifted to neutral from last week’s greed. Augusts are often choppy and prone to retracement/accumulation, but structurally, bulls still hold the upper hand. 🧾 Weekly Recap: • NQ started the week strong with price discovery, pushing higher from Monday to Thursday. • Eventually, price ran a key 4H swing liquidity, which led to another all-time high. • That move was followed by the start of a healthy retracement, signaling short-term distribution. 📌 Technical Outlook & Game Plan: → I'm expecting price to run into the Monthly Fair Value Gap — a major liquidity magnet in my model. → That move could generate significant bullish energy — at least a short-term bounce, if not a full reversal. → Until then, I remain bearish targeting 22,583 (my marked black line). 🎯 Setup Trigger: After price takes 22,583, I’ll watch for: • 4H–1H break of structure (BOS) • Formation of fresh demand zones → Upon LTF confirmation, I’ll look to go long aiming for another test of all-time highs. 📋 Trade Management: • Stoploss: Below the 1H–4H demand zone • Target: Trailing stop strategy; aggressive profit-taking on the way up • Note: Final target could be all-time highs, but I’ll manage the position actively 💬 Like, follow, and comment if this outlook adds value to your trading. Educational content and more setups are coming soon — stay tuned!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
NSDQ100 The Week Ahead Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23050 Resistance Level 2: 43190 Resistance Level 3: 43430 Support Level 1: 22500 Support Level 2: 22333 Support Level 3: 22080 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
NSDQ100 important support at 23188US equities pulled back, breaking a six-day winning streak for the S&P 500 (-0.30%) as sentiment cooled ahead of key earnings and the Federal Reserve’s rate decision. The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) was weighed down by weakness in megacap tech stocks—the Mag-7 fell -0.68%, with Meta declining -2.46% and Microsoft earnings due after the close. Post-earnings disappointments also pressured tech-related sentiment. PayPal slumped -8.66% on soft volume growth, despite unveiling a new crypto merchant feature, and UnitedHealth fell -7.46% on weaker sales. These sharp declines indicate heightened sensitivity to earnings misses in a market priced for perfection. Meanwhile, market volatility could rise amid geopolitical jitters. A massive magnitude-8.8 earthquake in Russia’s Far East triggered tsunami alerts across the Pacific, briefly affecting Hawaii, California, and Shanghai. While many warnings were later downgraded, the event injected caution into markets. On the macro front, investors are bracing for the Fed’s rate decision later today. The central bank is expected to hold rates steady, but traders are watching closely for guidance on future cuts—particularly in light of Trump’s renewed pressure for easing and ongoing global trade uncertainty, including tariff threats toward India. Conclusion for Nasdaq 100 Trading: With sentiment fragile and earnings risk front and center, traders in the Nasdaq 100 should expect near-term volatility, especially around Microsoft and Meta's earnings reports. The tech sector's leadership is under pressure, and any disappointing results could drag the index lower. Watch the Fed’s tone closely—a neutral or hawkish stance could further weigh on rate-sensitive tech. Cautious positioning or selective hedging may be warranted, particularly as geopolitical risks and trade policy uncertainty resurface. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23568 Resistance Level 2: 23687 Resistance Level 3: 23812 Support Level 1: 23188 Support Level 2: 23047 Support Level 3: 22965 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Silver Breakout, Tech Resistance & TRY Rotation 📊🔥 Silver Breakout, Tech Resistance & TRY Rotation – Structure Meets Reality 🌍📉 Hey traders, FXPROFESSOR here 👨‍🏫 Today’s charts show how technical structure and real-world capital behavior can tell one powerful story. We’re watching Silver surge, Tech stall, and the Turkish Lira react to local capital flows — all aligning with clean market levels. Let’s break it down: 🔍 Silver (XAG/USD) Price exploded into $39.30, reaching the top of a well-defined ascending channel. Now stalling — pullbacks toward $35.38 or even $32.17 would be natural. 🧠 Structurally strong, fundamentally backed by industrial demand, inflation hedging, and tight supply dynamics. Just not a good timing to 'ape it' today. 📉 US Tech 100 (USTEC) Testing resistance around 23,434. RSI and OBV show signs of exhaustion, suggesting potential pause or pullback. In a stretched macro environment, tech is vulnerable to rotation — especially if yields shift or inflation expectations change. 💱 EUR/TRY – Turkish Lira Rotation We just saw a sharp rejection at 47.78, a key round-number resistance. On the ground, there’s a notable shift — My Turkish brother says 'FX profits being converted into real estate and hard assets, especially by locals and returning expats'. And I trust a good Turk as much as i trust my Greek family! (yes, we can be friends when there is respect and no hatred! common interests work best in this troubled world) The chart reflects this move: potential drop toward 46.00 → 45.45 → 43.79 if momentum fades. 🧩 What These Charts Teach Us This is a perfect storm where technical resistance, macro rotation, and local capital behavior all align: 🔹 Silver rising = hard assets in favor 🔹 Tech pausing = overextension risk 🔹 TRY dropping = profit-taking & capital redeployment Trade what you see — but understand why it’s happening. One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
by FX_Professor
NQ Weekly Recap & Gameplan – 27.07.2025🧭 Market Sentiment The overall sentiment remains bullish, supported by: • Lower inflation data • Trump’s policy shift toward aggressive rate cuts This creates a strong risk-on environment across U.S. indices. 🔙 Previous Week Recap • NQ continued its price discovery phase • Price swept 4H swing liquidity and triggered a market structure shift • A new 1H demand zone was formed after MSS • Price revisited the 1H demand and launched toward new all-time highs (ATH) • While I anticipated a deeper retracement, ES provided the cleaner pullback • I executed longs on both ES and NQ using SMT divergence (ICT SMT concept) 📊 Technical Analysis My bias remains bullish as long as the higher timeframe structure holds. For the upcoming week: • Watching for either the 4H or 12H swing high to get swept • Ideally, a retracement toward the 0.5 Fib level, which aligns with my bullish discount zone • A clean liquidity sweep into this zone could act as a launchpad for the next leg higher ⚙️ Trade Setup & Execution Plan Entry Strategy: • Wait for a new 1H–4H Market Structure Shift • Identify the new demand zone post-MSS • Look for price to return to the zone for a long opportunity with LTF confirmation Trade Management: 🎯 Target: New ATH ⛔ Stoploss: Swing low of the 1H–4H demand zone 📌 Chart will include Fib levels, MSS zones, and execution trigger areas. Let me know your thoughts or share your plan below. Happy trading!
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by UA_CAPITAL
NSDQ100 pushing to new ATH?Thursday was a slightly positive session for equities, with the NASDAQ 100 rising +0.18% to close at a fresh record high, driven by strong economic data. However, overall market action was subdued, with the S&P 500’s trading range the narrowest since February (0.35%). Notably, the equal-weighted S&P 500 fell -0.33%, highlighting underlying weakness outside mega-cap tech. A key drag on the NASDAQ came from Tesla (-8.20%), which slumped after disappointing earnings. This weighed on the Magnificent 7, which declined -0.21% despite gains in the other six members. On the macro front, the US dollar strengthened as Donald Trump downplayed his dispute with Fed Chair Jerome Powell, though continued to pressure the Fed on interest rates. Meanwhile, the FCC approved Paramount’s merger with Skydance, signaling a green light for M&A activity in media despite political tensions. Conclusion – NASDAQ 100 Trading View: The NASDAQ 100 remains technically bullish, setting new highs amid resilient economic data. However, breadth is weakening, and headline risk—especially around earnings (e.g., Tesla)—could trigger short-term volatility. Traders should stay long with caution, watching for sector rotation or profit-taking near highs, and monitor Fed-related rhetoric for macro-driven moves. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 23480 Resistance Level 2: 23600 Resistance Level 3: 23790 Support Level 1: 23070 Support Level 2: 22950 Support Level 3: 22750 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by TradeNation
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistancewhihc lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 22,997.77 1st Support: 22,639.22 1st Resistance: 23,703.56 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
1
Bullish continuation?USTEC has bounced off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support, and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 22,997.77 1st Support: 22,639.22 1st Resistance: 23,703.56 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
3