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NSDQ100 expect elevated volatilityThe Nasdaq 100 is set for a weaker open as global technology stocks come under renewed pressure. Asian markets have sold off sharply, with the KOSPI down over 8% and the Nikkei falling more than 4.5%, reflecting a broad risk-off move led by technology shares. The biggest catalyst is renewed concern over the AI sector. SoftBank has plunged around 14% after reports that OpenAI could delay its IPO until 2027, while Apple's decision to raise Mac and iPad prices due to surging memory and storage costs has reignited fears that AI-driven infrastructure demand is creating persistent inflationary pressures across the semiconductor supply chain. The Magnificent Seven fell another 2.5% yesterday, extending their correction. Despite the tech weakness, the macro backdrop was more supportive. US May PCE inflation came in softer than expected, reducing expectations of further Fed rate hikes this year. Treasury yields declined across the curve as markets priced a more dovish policy outlook, providing some support for growth stocks. Market breadth was also healthier than headline indices suggested. The equal-weighted S&P 500 and Russell 2000 both posted solid gains, while the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index climbed 3.6%, led by a 15.7% surge in Micron following strong earnings. Geopolitical risks remain in focus after another shipping incident in the Strait of Hormuz briefly pushed Brent crude above $75/bbl before prices retreated again this morning. For Nasdaq 100 traders: expect elevated volatility. AI and mega-cap technology stocks remain under pressure from valuation and inflation concerns, but lower Treasury yields and softer inflation data continue to provide an important counterbalance. Watch whether semiconductor strength can offset weakness in the largest technology names, as today's price action will likely determine whether the recent correction deepens or stabilizes. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 30,200 Resistance Level 2: 30,480 Resistance Level 3: 30,790 Support Level 1: 28,670 Support Level 2: 28,230 Support Level 3: 27,823 The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.1% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 short-term outlook is neutral to slightly positiveThe NASDAQ 100 remains under pressure after a sharp selloff in semiconductor stocks. Concerns about stretched AI valuations and profit-taking in chipmakers drove yesterday's weakness, with the NASDAQ falling 2.21% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index dropping 7.87%. Despite the selloff, broader market conditions are more supportive. Oil prices continue to fall, easing inflation concerns and reducing fears of further aggressive Fed tightening. Treasury yields remain stable around 4.5%, while futures are pointing to a modest recovery in both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ ahead of Micron's earnings report. The main focus today is Micron's results. Strong earnings and optimistic guidance on AI-related memory demand could trigger a rebound across semiconductor stocks and support the NASDAQ 100. Conversely, weaker guidance or signs of slowing AI spending could lead to further selling in the sector. Asian markets were mixed overnight. South Korea's market recovered some of yesterday's heavy losses, helped by a rebound in Samsung shares, while Japan's Nikkei continued to decline. Reports that leveraged ETFs were forced to sell billions of dollars of semiconductor shares highlight how crowded AI-related positions have become and may continue to amplify volatility. Overall, the short-term outlook is neutral to slightly positive as futures recover and inflation concerns ease. However, market direction will likely depend on Micron's earnings and whether investors regain confidence in the AI growth story. Semiconductor stocks, Treasury yields, and market breadth will be the key indicators to watch throughout the session. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 30200 Resistance Level 2: 30470 Resistance Level 3: 30790 Support Level 1: 29135 Support Level 2: 28677 Support Level 3: 28230 The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.1% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
QQQ/NDX Updated Forecast (16–18 JUN)QQQ/NDX Updated Forecast (16–18 JUN) This Week's Scenarios / Prediction Risk Index The Risk Index remains in a strong risk on regime, and currently there are no signs suggesting a meaningful pullback before another attempt at all time highs. This oscillator reads macro conditions and converts them into a technical risk framework. It was developed internally at UA CAPITAL and remains the primary indicator I use for both short term and long term positioning decisions. The Risk Index continues to signal bullish continuation. If geopolitical headlines remain stable and no new negative catalysts emerge, the model suggests that new all time highs remain achievable. Long Scenarios We currently have two primary bounce zones. Long Scenario 1 KEY Level 1 (743) This is the first major support zone where I expect a reaction. If price reaches this area and confirms a bounce, call options can be used to establish long exposure. Targets: 745.5 → 748.5 → 750 → 755 Runner can be held. Long Scenario 2 KEY Level 2 (731) This is the second major support zone where I expect a reaction. If price reaches this area and confirms a bounce, call options can be used to establish long exposure. Targets: 736 → 741 → 744 → 748.5 → 750 Runner can be held. Premium Tip Price may temporarily break below these bounce zones, creating the appearance of a failed setup before reclaiming the level and moving higher. Because of this, entries can be considered after an hourly bullish candle close above the zone. Position Management Rules 1. Entry model: One hourly bullish candle close above the level. 2. Take profits in stages because market reversals can happen quickly. 3. After the first profit target is reached, move all remaining stop losses to breakeven and convert the position into a risk-free trade. 4. A reaction from the level must be confirmed. We do not predict price. We react to price. 5. Daily candle close below the bounce zone = stop loss. Notice: My previous SPY and QQQ content since 2025 is no longer visible following a TradingView content review. This included my regular weekly outlooks and mid week market updates. I have been consistently publishing market research and will continue sharing new analysis, forecasts and market updates going forward. This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects my personal opinion. It is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:QQQLong
by UA_CAPITAL
2
Bullish Until Proven OtherwiseVANTAGE:NAS100 is starting to build a case for higher prices. Roadmap: 📍 30,000 📍 30,200 📍 30,400 The market may still respect and react from the lower time frame OG zones. That’s part of the game. CAPITALCOM:NAS100 As long as buyers keep absorbing the selling pressure and defending structure, I see those pullbacks as opportunities, not reasons to panic. ATH liquidity is still sitting above us, and the market knows it. 🦖 Bullish until proven otherwise.
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
Jensen Huang names Marvell the next trillion-dollar companyMRVL | 4H Technical Analysis — Jun 3, 2026 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang called out Marvell at Computex as a candidate for the next trillion-dollar company. Huang highlighted the critical role of networking infrastructure connecting data centers, and with Nvidia having already invested $2B in Marvell, the endorsement carries structural weight. Marvell manufactures the optical interconnect chips that convert electrical signals to light for high-speed data transmission across 100K+ GPU clusters. The stock surged 32.52% on the session. MRVL spent the better part of 2025 in a prolonged base-building phase between 70 and 100, with price grinding sideways for months before a decisive breakout in late February. The subsequent advance has been relentless, clearing 120, 150, 190, and 220 in sequence. Price is currently trading around 290, with EMA21 (213.45) and EMA78 (171.75) in a sharply widening bullish cross, both trending steeply higher. The 190 level had been the most recent consolidation ceiling before the huge gap, and the 220 zone marked the pre-gap high. The magnitude of today's move, gapping from the 220 area to 290, suggests a possibility of significant volatility as the market digests the move. RSI is at 87.26, deep in overbought territory and the highest reading on the entire chart. Fibonacci extension levels at 309.90 (1.272) and 333.43 (1.618) are plotted as the next upside targets on any continuation. Key levels to watch: Resistance: 290 (gap high) / 309.90 (1.272 fib) / 333.43 (1.618 fib) Support: 220 / 190 / 171.75 (EMA78) / 150 / 120 Bear case: RSI at 87 with price pulling back sharply from the gap high raises the risk of a full gap fill toward 220 or below. A close under EMA21 at 213 and a continued fade would bring 190 back into play as the next meaningful support. Bull case: A hold above 220 and reclaim of the gap zone above 250 would signal the market is absorbing the move constructively. Follow-through above 290 reopens the path toward the 310 and 333 fib extension targets, backed by the Nvidia dependency narrative as a multi-year structural catalyst. Bias is bullish on the structural breakout and Nvidia endorsement catalyst, but with RSI at extreme overbought levels and a sharp intraday reversal from the gap high, a consolidation or partial gap fill before continuation is the more probable near-term path.
NASDAQ:MRVL
by inkicho_exness
NSDQ100 Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 30550 Resistance Level 2: 30800 Resistance Level 3: 30990 Support Level 1: 29880 Support Level 2: 29650 Support Level 3: 29230 The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.1% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Decision TimeNAS100 continues to trade with bullish momentum for now, but the key area I’m watching is 30,150 – 30,200. 📈 Looking at the current structure, price still has room to expand higher into the red trendline resistance. However, the real focus for me is how price reacts once it taps that zone. If we see a wick rejection from the trendline instead of real acceptance, I’ll be looking for downside continuation toward the imbalance below. 🎯 Main target: 29,600 GAP area Why this setup makes sense: • Price pushing into premium territory • Trendline resistance confluence 🔴 • Possible exhaustion after aggressive upside candles • Unfilled imbalance / GAP below still acting like a magnet Plan: Wait for price to reach 30,150 – 30,200. If rejection appears and buyers fail to hold acceptance, I’ll be looking for short opportunities targeting the 29,600 region. Model: Premium expansion → trendline rejection → move back into imbalance Not financial advice. Manage your own risk. 🧠
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
Nasdaq 100 remains cautiously constructive near record highsThe Nasdaq 100 traded in a relatively contained manner as easing geopolitical tensions around Iran reduced immediate inflation fears and helped stabilise broader market sentiment. A pullback in oil prices from above $109/bbl to near $102–104/bbl eased pressure on long-duration growth stocks by helping Treasury yields retreat from session highs, with the 10yr yield reversing from 4.63% to 4.57%. However, the move was not entirely supportive for tech because front-end Fed expectations turned more hawkish. Strong US PMI data and accelerating input prices reinforced concerns that inflation pressures remain sticky, pushing the probability of another Fed hike by December to 82%. As a result, 2yr Treasury yields climbed to 4.08%, limiting upside for high-valuation technology names. The Nasdaq finished only modestly higher (+0.09%), reflecting this balance between lower oil yields support and tighter monetary policy expectations. Leadership within tech was mixed: Nvidia declined after investors reacted cautiously to earnings despite continued strong AI-driven growth. IBM surged more than 12% after securing a major US government quantum chip contract, boosting sentiment across selective semiconductor and AI infrastructure themes. Intuit and Walmart both fell sharply following weaker earnings reactions, weighing on broader index sentiment. For today’s Nasdaq 100 trading, markets remain highly sensitive to three drivers: Oil prices and Iran headlines Further declines in Brent crude toward $100/bbl would likely support growth and semiconductor stocks through lower inflation expectations and softer long-end yields. Any renewed escalation around the Strait of Hormuz could quickly reverse that dynamic. Treasury yields and Fed repricing The Nasdaq remains vulnerable if 2yr yields continue climbing on stronger economic data and rising Fed hike expectations. A sustained move above recent yield highs would pressure mega-cap tech valuations. AI and semiconductor momentum Despite short-term volatility after earnings, AI-related leadership remains structurally intact. Semiconductor names may continue seeing rotational trading rather than broad liquidation unless yields move sharply higher again. Overall bias for the Nasdaq 100 remains cautiously constructive while the index holds near record highs, but upside may stay more selective and volatile as traders balance strong economic growth against the risk of tighter Fed policy for longer. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 29800 Resistance Level 2: 30167 Resistance Level 3: 30650 Support Level 1: 28580 Support Level 2: 28340 Support Level 3: 28085 The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. To the extent permitted by law, in no event shall Trade Nation (or any affiliate or employee) have any liability for any loss arising from the use of the information provided. Any person acting on the information does so entirely at their own risk. Any information which could be construed as “investment research” has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73.1% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Nasdaq100 cash H4 ScenarioAfter setting a new all-time high (ATH) last week, the Nasdaq 100 Index is extending its downward correction, which can be described as a downward channel on the H4 timeframe. Bullish scenario - if the price breaks out of the channel to the upside, the extent of the move is indicated by the green trend line (resistance below the ATH) Bearish scenario – similarly, if the price breaks out of the channel downward, the range is indicated by the red line (support in the form of the highs set on May 4 and broken on May 5) at the 27,857 level. Neutral-bearish scenario: the price continues to move within the channel, descending to increasingly lower levels. Przemyslaw Blachut
CMCMARKETS:NDAQ100Short
by Przemyslaw_Blachut
NAS100 Under Sell PressureVANTAGE:NAS100 Unless we get a major news catalyst that shifts market sentiment, I still expect continued sell pressure toward the 28,600 region. CAPITALCOM:NAS100 Current structure still looks bearish. Price rejected from the premium zones and sellers continue defending higher levels aggressively. The recent downside candles show real momentum from sellers, while most upside moves still look like weak corrective bounces rather than true bullish expansion. Just like yesterday’s analysis, the key decision zone for me remains 29,250 – 29,300. As long as buyers fail to show real acceptance and strength above that range, I’ll continue treating upside moves as short opportunities, not trend continuation. 📌 Current model: Premium reaction → weak bullish correction → continuation lower 🎯 Main downside target: 28,600 area For now, the plan stays simple: Don’t chase price in the middle of the range. Let price push into premium areas first, then watch the reaction around resistance before executing. Not financial advice. Manage your own risk and position sizing accordingly. 🧠
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
NASDAQ Walking Into Premium Trap Today I’m expecting VANTAGE:NAS100 to follow a structure similar to the previous price action Price already respected the former OG zone around 28,850 – 28,875 where we saw a clean rejection followed by a strong bounce reaction. Now the focus shifts higher. My expectation is simple: I want to see price continue pushing into premium areas first, where short term buyers may stay active. But the real decision point sits above current price. 🔑 Key rejection zone: 29,250 If price trades into 29,250 and sellers step in aggressively, I’ll be looking for downside continuation back toward the previous reaction area. 🎯 Bearish target: 28,960 However, if price accepts above 29,250 and holds strength instead of rejecting, then the next upside objective becomes: 📍 29,400 This area aligns closely with a previous imbalance / -BB zone where stronger resistance may appear. For now, no chasing. Let price reach the zone. Wait for rejection or acceptance. Then execute accordingly. Model: OG rejection → bullish correction → premium reaction → continuation decision Not financial advice. Manage your own risk. 🧠
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
NSDQ100 Key Trading LevelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 29820 Resistance Level 2: 30150 Resistance Level 3: 30430 Support Level 1: 28680 Support Level 2: 28420 Support Level 3: 28040 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 volatility is likely to remain elevatedThe Nasdaq 100 faces a more cautious near-term trading backdrop as higher oil prices, sticky inflation and rising Treasury yields continue to pressure growth and technology valuations. The hotter-than-expected US core CPI print reinforced concerns that the Fed may need to keep rates higher for longer, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.46%, its highest level since mid-2025. Rising yields tend to weigh most heavily on high-valuation technology stocks, which was reflected in the sharp sell-off across semiconductors and mega-cap tech. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index falling more than -3% highlights renewed pressure on chipmakers, an important signal for Nasdaq sentiment given the index’s heavy exposure to AI and semiconductor names. Although equities recovered from intraday lows, the price action suggests traders are becoming more defensive rather than aggressively buying dips. For Nasdaq 100 trading, the key risk is that persistent inflation combined with elevated oil prices could tighten financial conditions further and reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts. That environment generally favours defensive sectors over high-growth technology. However, the fact that the Nasdaq recovered significantly from deeper losses shows underlying demand still exists, particularly around AI-related themes. Traders will likely focus on whether Treasury yields stabilise near current levels or continue higher. Sustained moves above 4.5% on the US 10-year could trigger further downside pressure on the Nasdaq 100, while easing yields may encourage another rebound in large-cap tech. In the short term, volatility is likely to remain elevated, with inflation expectations, bond yields and geopolitical headlines driving direction more than company fundamentals. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 29820 Resistance Level 2: 30150 Resistance Level 3: 30430 Support Level 1: 28680 Support Level 2: 28420 Support Level 3: 28040 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
NSDQ100 key trading levelsKey Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 28726 Resistance Level 2: 28920 Resistance Level 3: 29200 Support Level 1: 27830 Support Level 2: 27436 Support Level 3: 27100 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation
Sweep at 27,800VANTAGE:NAS100 Price reacted fast from the 27,600 area, while 27,800 is now acting as the key short-term resistance on lower timeframes. The game plan is simple: CAPITALCOM:US100 A clean close above 27,800 can open the door toward 27,970. But if price keeps closing below 27,800 on 15M, I’m looking for scalp short opportunities back toward 27,600, then 27,500 and 27,300 as the next support zones. Key level: 27,800 🔑 Above it: 27,970 Below it: 27,600 → 27,500 → 27,300 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Manage your own risk.
VANTAGE:NAS100
by iamtradingdon
NSDQ100 consolidation after big rallyMacro backdrop: Oil rising again (Brent ~$111) as US–Iran tensions persist → keeps inflation pressure elevated No de-escalation signals → risk of prolonged energy shock Yen volatility suggests possible intervention → adds FX instability Market context: Strong equity momentum: S&P 500 +10.5% in April (record highs) Philadelphia Semiconductor Index +38.4% → massive tech/AI-driven rally Global equities also strong despite macro concerns Tech/AI sentiment: OpenAI pushing back on weak demand narrative → “strong demand” supports AI trade Big Tech earnings continue to drive Nasdaq strength Risks for Nasdaq 100: Higher oil → delays rate cuts → negative for growth/tech valuations “Stagflation” fears still present in rates market After a very strong month, momentum may pause (futures already softer) Other signals: Extreme compensation/news flow (e.g. Elon Musk pay package) reflects peak liquidity/optimism Strong hedge fund/prop trading profits (Jane Street) → high market activity and volatility Conclusion (Nasdaq 100): Short term looks like consolidation after a huge rally. The trend remains bullish driven by AI and earnings, but rising oil and rate pressure are key headwinds. Expect choppier price action rather than a straight continuation higher. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 26920 Resistance Level 2: 27100 Resistance Level 3: 27330 Support Level 1: 26275 Support Level 2: 26040 Support Level 3: 25800 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:USTEC
by Trade Nation