Volatility
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/14/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19382.00
- PR Low: 19296.75
- NZ Spread: 190.75
No key scheduled economic events
Maintaining Tuesday's range, rotating back to Wednesday's lows
- Constant intraday swings has overall sentiment frustrated
Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 3/14)
- Session Open ATR: 481.32
- Volume: 50K
- Open Int: 264K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Whales are loading up ETH while retailers are giving it away...Hello Traders 🐺
In this idea, I want to talk about the ETH/BTC chart, because in my opinion, ETH is already heavily oversold, and this signals a massive upward move coming for ETH. 🚀
Also, I've brought solid evidence showing that whales are silently accumulating ETH, just like they did when ETH was around $ 4000 — while right now, we are sitting at the very bottom of the cycle, far from the previous ATH. 👀
Take a look at this CryptoQuant chart, showing the ETH balance of whale wallets (10K - 100K ETH):
🧐 My Analysis:
As you can see, whales have been silently accumulating ETH since early 2023, while the price (white line) has been consolidating. 📈
This exact same pattern happened in 2017 and 2020 before Ethereum's major bull runs.
🔥 What does this mean?
✅ Whales always accumulate before the big move happens.
✅ This is a strong signal for an upcoming ETH breakout.
✅ We are currently at the bottom of the ETH/BTC chart, which gives the highest risk/reward opportunity right now.
In my opinion, Ethereum will be one of the best-performing assets in this bull cycle. 🐂💎
Don't miss it. 🚀
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/13/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19637.25
- PR Low: 19567.50
- NZ Spread: 155.75
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
- PPI
13:00 | 30-Year Bond Auction
AMP margins temporarily increased for tomorrow economic events
- Previous session closed as inside print
- Auction returning to previous session low (closed bullish)
- Advertising rotation back to Tuesday's lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/13)
- Session Open ATR: 484.58
- Volume: 37K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Silver Could Be on Breakout Watch Before the FedSilver has been clawing higher as gold soars. Is the white metal ready to break out?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the falling trendline along the highs of October, February and March. Traders could watch that resistance for evidence a move is starting. They may also notice the rally after a similar line was broken in January.
Second, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) just crossed above the 100-day SMA. Both are above the 200-day SMA. The alignment, with faster SMAs above slower SMAs, may reflect increased bullishness over the long-term.
Third, the low reading on Bollinger BandWidth reflects tight price action. Could that narrow range create potential for price expansion?
Finally, silver has spent most of the last six months above its peak from early 2021. That is also potentially consistent with a longer-term breakout.
All these points could make the commodity important to watch with initial jobless claims and producer prices tomorrow, retail sales Monday and the key Federal Reserve meeting on March 19.
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/12/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19479.75
- PR Low: 19399.25
- NZ Spread: 180.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | CPI (Core|YoY|MoM)
09:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction
Previous session closed practically unchanged following wide value swings
- Auctions continues to hold Monday's lows
- Inventory low declined to 19200, advertising rotation above 19690
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/12)
- Session Open ATR: 482.56
- Volume: 30K
- Open Int: 292K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/11/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 19461.50
- PR Low: 19370.25
- NZ Spread: 204.0
Key scheduled economic events:
10:00 | JOLTS Job Openings
Value decline continues, finding 19200s inventory
- Advertising continued selling, keeping slight gap above previous session high open
- Holding auction above previous session close at the lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/11)
- Session Open ATR: 498.26
- Volume: 83K
- Open Int: 297K
- Trend Grade: Neutral
- From BA ATH: -13.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/10/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20147.00
- PR Low: 19995.50
- NZ Spread: 339.0
No key scheduled economic events
Advertising rotation long potential above Friday's high
- Auction likely to return to 200, filling weekend gap down
- Holding auction inside Friday's range
- Mechanically pivoting off 19900s inventory
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 3/10)
- Session Open ATR: 462.08
- Volume: 50K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -10.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Backwardated Volatility Curve: A Thesis on Fear and OpportunityWhen the ephemeral grip of fear tightens, it often manifests as a divergence in the volatility landscape. Specifically, when the immediate dread, captured by spot VIX, surges beyond the horizon of longer-term anxieties, represented by VIX 3M, a unique market condition arises: the inverted, or backwardated, volatility term structure.
Beyond a mere statistical anomaly, this phenomenon paints a vivid portrait of market psychology. The thesis posits that such an inversion reflects a market bracing for immediate shocks, a perception of heightened risk that overshadows longer-term outlooks. In essence, fear is front-loaded.
The implications are profound. This surge in short-term implied volatility, driven by a desperate scramble for immediate protection via options, can trigger dramatic price swings. In its heightened state, the market often succumbs to panic, driving asset prices lower. Yet, the contrarian thesis finds its footing in this very panic, this acute manifestation of fear.
The core argument rests on the dichotomy between panic and fundamentals. While short-term volatility spikes may reflect a visceral reaction to immediate threats, the longer-term view, as expressed by VIX 3M, suggests a belief in the eventual dissipation or moderation of these uncertainties. Thus, the inversion becomes a signal, a potential harbinger of near-term capitulation.
Historically, when spot VIX eclipses VIX 3M to levels associated with market troughs, astute observers recognize an opportunity. The logic is compelling: once the immediate storm passes, spot VIX should revert, realigning with or falling below VIX 3M. This normalization and the potential for a stock market rebound form the basis of the contrarian play.
The underlying principle is that volatility, by its nature, exhibits mean reversion. Extreme deviations, such as a significantly elevated spot VIX relative to longer-term measures, are often unsustainable. The expectation is that volatility will normalize, paving the way for market stabilization or a resurgence.
However, a critical caveat remains. The backwardated curve is not a panacea. It can reflect genuine, persistent risks. Major unforeseen events can sustain or even amplify the inversion. Therefore, a contrarian stance is inherently risky.
Yet, for those who believe in the market's tendency to overreact, the inverted volatility curve transcends a mere threat. It becomes an opportunity, a moment where the market's fear, though palpable, may be fleeting, paving the way for potential gains. This thesis invites a nuanced perspective, urging traders to discern between transient panic and enduring risk and to recognize the potential for opportunity within perceived chaos.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/7/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20225.75
- PR Low: 20168.00
- NZ Spread: 129.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings
- Nonfarm Payrolls
- Unemployment Rate
11:00 | Fed Monetary Policy Report
12:30 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks
AMP temporary margins increase for tomorrows economic events
- Immediate response front running 20000 supply
- Holding above previous session close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:55 AM 3/7)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 445.63
- Volume: 29K
- Open Int: 279K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -10.2% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/6/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20643.50
- PR Low: 20589.00
- NZ Spread: 122.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims
Maintaining previous 2 session range, daily inside print
- Still advertising rotation off 20200 inventory
- Auction hovering at previous session close
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 3/6)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 431.72
- Volume: 20K
- Open Int: 280K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/5/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20595.25
- PR Low: 20531.75
- NZ Spread: 142.0
Key scheduled economic events:
08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI
10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices
10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories
Heavy swings previous session but closed practically unchanged
- Clearing key long-term zones between 20900 to 20672
- Advertising rotation to 20800 off 20000 to 20200 inventory
Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 3/5)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 434.50
- Volume: 44K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Bank Nifty Key Levels for the First 10 Days of March### **Bank Nifty Key Levels and Market Outlook for the First 10 Days of March**
**Current Position:**
Bank Nifty is currently trading near a significant support level at **48,300**. If this level is breached, the index may move toward the **47,750–47,500 range**.
**Potential Upside:**
If Bank Nifty holds above **48,300**, it could test the **48,750–48,900 zone**. A sustained breakout above this range might push it further towards **49,125 and 49,500**.
### **Market Observations (For Learning Purposes Only):**
- **In a bearish scenario**, if Bank Nifty moves below **48,300**, it may decline toward **47,750**, with a logical risk management approach considering a stop-loss slightly above the breakdown level.
- **In a bullish scenario**, if the index remains above **48,300**, it could aim for **48,750–48,900**, where market participants often consider trailing stop-loss strategies to manage risk.
This analysis is intended purely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
S&P500 $SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25S&P500 AMEX:SPY | SPY’s All-Time High - Where to Next? | Feb23'25
AMEX:SPY BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $597.50 - $613.23
AMEX:SPY DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $584.88 - $597.50
AMEX:SPY SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $574.00 - $584.88
AMEX:SPY Trends:
AMEX:SPY Weekly Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY Daily Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY 4H Trend: Bullish
AMEX:SPY 1H Trend: Bearish
AMEX:SPY just reached a new all-time high! How did price get there?
AMEX:SPY experienced a small range between 602.45 – 604.00, followed by bearish momentum, leading to a 3% drop in price. However, bullish momentum quickly stepped in, pushing the price up before continuing downward again. This bearish trend was short-lived and appears to have formed a developing range rather than a sustained downtrend.
Shortly after, price broke back above 597.50, signaling the start of a new bullish trend. SPY then established a ranging pattern between 597.50 - 608.00 before ultimately breaking out to a new all-time high of 613.23. Despite the breakout, price action has now dropped back into the range between 597.50 - 608.00.
Where to next? Will SPY hold its new highs, or is this the start of a reversal?
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/4/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20557.75
- PR Low: 20490.00
- NZ Spread: 151.25
No key scheduled economic events
Friday range supply sweep, placing auction at the lows of previous 2 sessions
- Rotating off 20400 inventory
- Advertising continued selling into new week lows
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/4)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 418.05
- Volume: 52K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
Solana: Intra-week Setup Locked In I’m targeting an intra-week play on Solana, but staying cautious. That’s why I’m using a tighter stop-loss and placing my entry slightly lower. Still, this is a strong level for me because multiple key factors are lining up.
We have the midpoint of the 30-minute Fair Value Gap, an untouched VWAP (which I’ve hidden to avoid clutter), the VAL from VWAP (Volume Area Low), and a huge liquidity zone above the Previous Weekly High, including an order block – acting as a potential magnet.
On the 30-minute time frame, the RSI is trending further into oversold territory, adding more confluence to the setup. Lower time frames are still looking bullish, as long as we hold this level. If not, things could get messy. But until then, everything looks solid.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 3/3/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 21036.25
- PR Low: 20949.00
- NZ Spread: 195.25
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI
- ISM Manufacturing Prices
Weekend gap up quickly filled
- Holding above Friday's high
- Advertising rotation back into previous 3 month range
- 21200 key level remains zone of interest
- Busy economic week ahead
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 3/3)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 397.27
- Volume: 53K
- Open Int: 291K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -6.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
Largest Dark Pool Sweep Order Since 2023...On a ranked scale since inception, there was a relatively small DP sweep order ranked #58
Price purchased at $63.90.
The reason why its so substantial is that it was the largest trade made since 2023 when the stock found major support at levels we are still consolidating in to this day.
The even bigger reason on why this means we are most likely bottoming for the last time is that the #58 trade was a DP SWEEP. Meaning they bought the stock at market value to fill it as fast as possible.
They did not set a limit order and wait patiently.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 2/28/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQH2025
- PR High: 20680.50
- PR Low: 20639.75
- NZ Spread: 91.25
Key scheduled economic events:
08:30 | Core PCE Price Index (MoM|YoY)
09:45 | Chicago PMI
Strong selling pushed value below 3 month range
- Advertising continued value decline
- Key level 20800
- Holding auction above previous session close
- Last trading day of the month (month end)
Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 2/28)
- Weekend Gap: N/A
- Gap 10/30/23 +0.47%
- Session Open ATR: 390.33
- Volume: 61K
- Open Int: 287K
- Trend Grade: Bull
- From BA ATH: -8.0% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 22667
- Mid: 21525
- Short: 19814
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone






















