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HDFCBANK Defies Market Panic Amid Election Volatility?HDFCBANK Stock Analysis – June 2024 Overview: On May 30, 2024, the HDFCBANK spot closed at 1514.85 with an ATM IV of 25.69. According to my algorithm, the VVIX (VolatilityVision Index) was at 25.5614, indicating that bullish investors in this stock were not panicking over the impending Lok Sabha election results on June 4, 2024. Key Levels: - Probable Resistance: 1600.10 - Ultimate Breakdown Level (Black Swan Event): 1239.65 - Crucial Midpoint: 1419.20 (derived from the average of the resistance and breakdown levels) Price Action Analysis: Post-May 30, 2024, these levels showed significant correlation with market movements: - June 3, 2024: Following stellar exit polls, HDFCBANK spot opened at 1599, which was also the day's high, demonstrating respect for the resistance at 1600.10. The stock closed at 1572.20. - June 4, 2024 (Election Results Day): The stock opened at 1557.00, peaked at 1559.00, and then collapsed to a low of 1454.00. This action again showed respect for the midpoint price of 1419.20, implying that traders bought the dip with a stop-loss at this level. Outlook: If HDFCBANK spot does not test the midpoint of 1419.20, I expect the stock to retest the resistance at 1600.10. This is my personal view, and I am not suggesting anyone follow this analysis without their own due diligence. Stay updated with more insights and analyses on our channel.
NSE:HDFCBANKLong
by IndexAce
Trading Timeframes: Measured Moves and ContextIn the previous post, we introduced the concept of measured moves, a structured framework for estimating future price behavior. This method is based on the observation that each swing move tends to be similar in size to the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach offers a practical way to approximate the potential extension of a swing move. A common question that arises is: which timeframe should you use for measured moves, and how do you choose the correct swing move? These questions open up a completely different and important topic. Imagine analyzing a chart across three timeframes: daily, weekly, and monthly. You’ve projected a viable measured move on each chart. Now, ask yourself: which projection is the correct one? Where is the move most likely to play out? Daily Weekly Monthly The reality is that there is no singular “correct” answer. The appropriate measurement depends entirely on your purpose as a trader, the timeframe you operate in, and trading style. The Fractal Nature of Price Action Price action is fractal by nature. Regardless of whether you’re observing a 30-minute chart, a daily chart, or a weekly chart, the price displayed is the same in real time. However, the purpose of charts is to provide context. Each timeframe offers a unique perspective on how price has developed. For example, a 5-minute chart may reveal details about intraday movements while a daily chart condenses those details into broader a broader structure and context. These perspectives may align or contradict one another, they can confirm or challenge your biases. The key takeaway is that charts and timeframes are tools to contextualize price, not definitive answers. Defining Your Trading Timeframe To navigate the apparent contradictions between timeframes, start by defining your trading timeframe. This is where you analyze price structure, execute trades and define holding periods. This will answer the opening question: measured moves and other tools should in preference align with your trading timeframe. In case one wants to consider context, for various reasons, then multiple timeframes can be utilized. These act as a complement, not replacement. Here’s how different timeframes can be used for context. Higher timeframe: Moving one timeframe up will compress the price data, providing a broader context, but at the expense of detail. Lower Timeframe: Moving one timeframe down will reveal intricate details, but can introduce excessive noise. The balance between these components should match your trading style. Without a clear and defined approach, there is a risk of confusion and contradictory biases. The Concept of "Moving in Twos" Another, more anecdotal observation in price movement is the idea of “moving in twos.” This concept suggests that price often moves in sequences of two swings: an impulse move, followed with a pullback, which then repeats. There tends to be some price disruption after this has played out, but does not always imply that trend movement must stop after two moves. However, measured moves tend to align more reliably with these sequences. While not a scientifically validated principle, this concept has been discussed by traders such as Al Brooks, Mack and more. It provides a practical heuristic for applying measured moves more consistently. Practical Application To apply these ideas, consider the following: Define your trading timeframe. Use it as the primary basis for your measured move projections. If needed, incorporate one higher or lower timeframe to balance context and detail. However, these additional perspectives should not overrule your primary focus. Think in terms of “moving in twos.” Use this concept to locate sequences. This post was about the relationship between timeframes and the fractal nature of price action. The focus is on our role as traders and how we decide to operate, rather than absolute answers. This might be clear to most, but if not, take some time to think about and define your trading style.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
What to expect from Bitcoin next week and recommendations1. General analysis of the current trend Moving Averages (SMA) : The price is trading above all major moving averages (fast, medium, slow), confirming the presence of an upward trend. The widening gap between the moving averages indicates that the trend is currently strong. Conclusion : The uptrend remains intact, but a temporary correction or false breakout is possible. ADX (Average Directional Index) : ADX = 16.64, indicating weak trend strength. A rise in the ADX above 20 would confirm a stronger continuation of the trend. Conclusion : The trend is weak but could strengthen or experience strong volatility. RSI (Relative Strength Index) : RSI = 62.42. This value is in a neutral to bullish range and not yet in overbought territory (above 70). In an uptrend, the RSI often lingers in the 60-80 range without signaling a reversal. However, the current level indicates the possibility of a mild pullback. Conclusion : The RSI does not indicate a reversal yet, but a further move towards 70 or a divergence may signal a weakening momentum. ATR (Average True Range) : ATR = 1.1, indicating low volatility. Such conditions often precede a strong move in either direction. Conclusion : Be prepared for a sudden increase in volatility that could result in a sharp price movement. Volume : Trading volume has decreased, a common sign of trend exhaustion or consolidation. If volume spikes during a breakout, it will be crucial to assess whether the breakout is sustainable or fading. Conclusion : Weak volume suggests that any breakout may be temporary unless confirmed by increased trading activity. 2. Key levels to watch Resistance : 102,500-103,000 USDT is a critical zone where many stop losses from short sellers and buy stop orders are likely to be concentrated. Support : 99,500 USDT is the next support level for a potential pullback. 97,000 USDT is a stronger support zone that could attract buying interest. Critical support : 95,000 USDT is a key level. A break below it could signal a trend reversal. 3. Possible scenarios Scenario 1: Continuation of the bullish trend (30% probability) Conditions: Price breaks through resistance at 102,500-103,000 USDT with increased volume. ADX rises above 20, confirming the strength of the trend. RSI moves into the 70-75 range without showing divergence. Target: 105,000-107,000 USDT. Scenario 2: Correction (40% probability) Conditions: Price fails to hold above resistance at 102,500 USDT and volume remains low. RSI fails to break through 70 and begins to fall towards 50. Price retreats to support levels at 99,500 or 97,000 USDT for liquidity accumulation. Target: 99,500-97,000 USDT. Scenario 3: Liquidity accumulation above resistance followed by a decline (20% probability) Conditions: The price briefly surges above resistance at 102,500-103,000 USDT, triggering stop-loss and buy-stop orders. After gathering liquidity above resistance, the price quickly reverses back below 102,500, confirming a false breakout. Volume spikes during the breakout, but quickly diminishes, signaling a lack of follow-through from buyers. RSI shows divergence (price makes a new high, but RSI fails to follow). Expected movement: First leg up: The price rises to 103,500-104,000 USDT to gather liquidity. Second leg down: Price falls back to 99,500 or 97,000 USDT. Scenario 4: Trend reversal (10% probability) Conditions: Price breaks below key support at 95,000 USDT, accompanied by a volume spike. The RSI drops below 40 and the ADX signals a strong bearish impulse. The structure shifts to "lower highs and lower lows". Target: 90,000-85,000 USDT. 5. Recommendations For those holding positions : Protect your profits by placing a stop loss just below 99,500 USDT. If the price breaks through resistance at 102,500, monitor whether it holds above this level. A failure to hold could signal a liquidity grab. For those looking to enter : For long positions: wait for a pullback to 99,500 or 97,000 USDT and look for confirmation (e.g. bullish candlestick patterns, increased volume). 6. Additional factors for analysis Candlestick patterns : The current candlestick patterns do not indicate a clear reversal. At the 102,500 resistance level, look for doji, shooting star, or hammer patterns that could signal a reversal or correction. Near the 99,500 support level, look for bullish patterns such as Engulfing or Morning Star, which could indicate a bounce. Fundamental Factors : News and macroeconomic events: Monitor updates related to BTC (e.g., ETF approvals, regulatory changes) or macroeconomic events such as Federal Reserve interest rate decisions (Dec. 17-18) and inflation data, as these can impact market sentiment. Liquidity Reports: Track BTC liquidity on exchanges. For example: if whales or institutional players withdraw significant amounts of BTC from exchanges, it could reduce supply and drive up the price. Conversely, increased deposits on exchanges could indicate selling pressure. Conclusion The most likely scenario is a pullback to the 99,500–97,000 USDT levels, providing liquidity for a continuation of the uptrend. However, a liquidity grab above resistance (Scenario 3) could also occur, where the price briefly spikes above 102,500–103,000 USDT before reversing sharply to lower levels. A full trend reversal remains unlikely unless the support at 95,000 USDT is breached.
by Crypto_Strateg
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/13/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21752.50 - PR Low: 21716.75 - NZ Spread: 79.75 No key scheduled economic events Strong session break gap up (details below) - Maintaining week range in ATHs - Index contract rollover week ahead Session Open Stats (As of 1:35 AM 12/13) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 269.29 - Volume: 31K - Open Int: 268K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.3% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/12/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21767.00 - PR Low: 21747.75 - NZ Spread: 43.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims - PPI Continuing to march into new ATHs - Holding auction inside previous session highs - QQQ failed to close 520 daily gap before rolling into new highs Session Open Stats (As of 12:15 AM 12/12) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 269.06 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 286K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.2% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
Fibonacci Trend Trading Strategy for NVIDIA (NVDA)Objective: To capitalize on the momentum following a breakout or breakdown from key Fibonacci levels, particularly focusing on the 0.764 level which NVDA has recently broken down from. Strategy Outline: Setup: Timeframe: Daily chart for broader trend analysis. Indicators: Fibonacci retracement levels (0, 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.764, 1.0). Lookback Period: 90 days for calculating Fibonacci levels. Entry Conditions: Long Position: Enter when the price crosses above the 0.236 Fibonacci level after a recent dip below 0.764, indicating a potential reversal or strong bullish momentum. Short Position: Enter when the price breaks below the 0.764 level, as seen in your chart, signaling a strong bearish trend or continuation of the downtrend. Exit Conditions: Long Exit: Exit if the price breaks below the 0 level or shows signs of reversing back below the 0.236 level. Short Exit: Exit if the price breaks above the 1.0 level or shows signs of reversing back above the 0.764 level. Risk Management: Stop Loss: For longs, place a stop loss just below the 0.236 level. For shorts, place a stop loss just above the 0.764 level. Position Sizing: Adjust based on your risk tolerance, but typically, risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital per trade. Additional Confirmation: Use RSI (Relative Strength Index) for confirmation: For longs, ensure RSI is not in the overbought territory (>70). For shorts, ensure RSI is not in the oversold territory (<30). Trade Execution: Long: Execute buy order when the price closes above the 0.236 level with a confirmed upward trend. Short: Execute sell order when the price closes below the 0.764 level, confirming the bearish trend. Monitoring: Regularly monitor the positions for any unexpected news or volume spikes which could affect the stock's movement outside of the technical setup. Strategy Rationale: The Fibonacci levels provide clear support and resistance zones which are crucial for trend analysis. Breaking below a significant level like 0.764 often indicates a strong bearish sentiment, while bouncing back from such levels could signal a bullish reversal. Using RSI helps in avoiding false breakouts or breakdowns by ensuring the market isn't already overbought or oversold. This strategy leverages both technical analysis and risk management to trade NVIDIA based on its recent price action against Fibonacci levels, aiming for high probability setups with defined risk parameters.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by stocktechbot
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/11/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21442.00 - PR Low: 21417.25 - NZ Spread: 55.25 Key scheduled economic events: 08:30 | CPI (Core|MoM|YoY) 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:00 | 10-Year Note Auction Break below 21430 support into inventory response off previous ATH breakout - Daily print advertising rollover back to Keltner avg cloud - Failed QQQ ATH breakout gap fill below 520 Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/11) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 260.71 - Volume: 16K - Open Int: 279K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/10/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21482.00 - PR Low: 21458.75 - NZ Spread: 51.75 No key scheduled economic events +240 point fade from ATH back near Friday's low - Nearing QQQ 520 daily gap - Holding auction at previous session lows Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 12/10) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 262.31 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 282K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
12/09 Weekly SPX InsightsLast week’s assessment aligned well with the anticipated positive SPX range. The index moved sharply up toward the 6100 area, yet as Friday’s session progressed, the call resistance around 6100 capped further upward momentum. Looking ahead, I have doubts that the previously unbridled optimism will persist. Currently, we find ourselves in a “chop zone,” suggesting that the short-term direction is less clear. In aggregating GEX (Gamma Exposure) levels and examining the landscape a week out, it appears that 6100 remains a strong call resistance level. Meanwhile, the HVL (High Volatility Level) has crept closer to around 6080, placing the market uncomfortably close to a higher-volatility environment. Below 6080, the market may experience increased turbulence, potentially retesting 6035 and then 6000. On the other hand, if the index can break and hold above 6100, an upward gamma squeeze could emerge, pushing prices even higher. Currently, overall GEX sentiment is negative, but the approach toward the HVL zone suggests caution. From these conditions, I’m not expecting a strong, sustained rally in the immediate term. In terms of intraday and short-term dynamics, 0DTE (same-day expiry) sessions and Fridays continue to hold relatively higher positive gamma exposure compared to other days. Volatility indicators: VIX: remains low IVR (Implied Volatility Rank): also low Put Pricing Skew: currently low, although it has begun to show a very slight uptick Key Levels for This Week (for educational reference): Above 6100: Omni-bullish environment Between 6100–6065: Chop zone (directionally uncertain; not ideal for unhedged directional trades) Below 6080: Bearish tilt, with targets around T1: 6035 and T2: 6000 (near the 16-delta OTM put level) On Wednesday, inflation data is scheduled for release. Anticipation alone may drive volatility, so it’s something to keep on the radar for educational scenario planning.
SPREADEX:SPX
by TanukiTrade
Nearish divergence short term but needs seller supply If no one sells this might not go as bearish as it will be/is. This is a chance to re buy in remember there are many folk wanting it waiting for these dips… unlike last runs. People are accumulating like never before and crypto is the most volatile market we have. Don’t assume anything expect anything and don’t be upset if the market drops by tomorrow morning and you didn’t sell.. I haven’t sold in years I have swapped but. So I’ve made gains there. Still follow your instinct. Do your own research always before executing buy or sell orders and of not swapping out but on market always make it a limit order where you place the price to buy being just below the current price or the price you see technicals showing it will or might dip to.. try not market buy unless you are a well versed trader it’s one of the BIGGEST MISTAKES new crypto traders do. Where FX traders often learn alot more same as stock traders before they start trading but crypto can be done ANYWHERE. Same with stocks and FX but crypto is different people can and do gift it every day. It’s something you can earn and then own as an asset of some kind depending where you live. Anyways what you think will happen come tomorrow morning or this time tomorrow? What about in 7 days? Let’s stay on topic and post positive comments that can help us all learn to destroy the stock market for our gains together!
Long
by CryptoFerk
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/9/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21670.75 - PR Low: 21626.75 - NZ Spread: 98.5 No key scheduled economic events Holding auction in ATHs - QQQ daily gap below 520 Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/9) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 263.85 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 293K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/6/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21458.50 - PR Low: 21424.75 - NZ Spread: 75.25 Key scheduled economic events 08:30 | Average Hourly Earnings - Nonfarm Payrolls - Unemployment Rate AMP raised margin requirements overnight for pre-RTH jobs numbers - ATH continue to march higher - Retraced nearly 50% of Wednesday range Session Open Stats (As of 1:45 AM 12/6) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 267.49 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 291K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.4% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 (updated) - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
Bullish for Dec 7th!!Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has recently cleared fraud allegations through an independent probe, leading to a significant stock surge. However, with 15.67% of its shares shorted and a short interest ratio of 1.0 days, the stock remains volatile. Key catalysts that could force shorts to cover include the approval of SMCI’s compliance plan by Nasdaq, following its recent appointment of BDO USA as auditor to resolve financial reporting issues, and its participation in investor events like the Barclays Global Tech Conference on December 7, 2024. These developments, combined with heightened investor interest and potential short squeeze dynamics, suggest a highly volatile near-term outlook.
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by justin_p_mcfarland
2
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/5/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21523.75 - PR Low: 21504.50 - NZ Spread: 43.25 Key scheduled economic event 08:30 | Initial Jobless Claims ATH march continues, pausing inside previous session highs Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM 12/5) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 276.30 - Volume: 17K - Open Int: 297K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.1% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/4/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21336.50 - PR Low: 21305.75 - NZ Spread: 68.75 Key scheduled economic events: (busy day) 08:15 | ADP Nonfarm Employment Change 09:45 | S&P Global Services PMI 10:00 | ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI - ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices 10:30 | Crude Oil Inventories 13:45 | Fed Chair Powell Speaks Auctioning into new ATHs Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/4) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 282.51 - Volume: 21K - Open Int: 289K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.0% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024Long
by mv3trader5
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/3/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21224.50 - PR Low: 21203.75 - NZ Spread: 46.25 Key scheduled economic event: 10:00 | JOLTs Job Openings Teasing ATH breach Session Open Stats (As of 12:45 AM 12/3) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 288.13 - Volume: 15K - Open Int: 285K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
The BANK NIFTY futures chart is signalling critical levels🚀 Attention NSE and StockMarketIndia traders! The BANK NIFTY futures chart is signalling critical levels you don't want to miss. We've got a strong resistance around 53,160, marked by a Fibonacci retracement level at 0.618 level. This level has been tested multiple times, showing the market's hesitation to break through. If we see a close above this level with volume, it could indicate a bullish breakout, targeting the next Fibonacci level at 0.786. On the downside, watch the 52000 supports, which aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. A break below this could lead to a deeper correction, potentially testing the psychological 50,000 mark before finding a base. As the Fibonacci retracement shows the compelling price swings between the levels of 0.382 & 0.5 at the horizon. The Fibonacci time-based extension predict the price movement at the vertical time frame. Volume spikes are crucial here; increased volume on upward moves could validate a bullish scenario, while high volume on declines would suggest a bearish continuation. Stay vigilant, set your stop-losses wisely, and be ready for volatility. The market is at a pivotal point. Follow @stocktechbot for continuous updates and insights.
NSE:BANKNIFTYZ2024
by stocktechbot
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/2/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21004.00 - PR Low: 20952.50 - NZ Spread: 115.0 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI 10:00 | ISM Manufacturing PMI - ISM Manufacturing Prices Maintaining previous week's range near the highs Session Open Stats (As of 1:15 AM 12/2) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 289.09 - Volume: 26K - Open Int: 273K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -1.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 21525 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19815 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
Measured Moves: A Guide to Finding TargetsMeasured Moves: A Guide to Finding Targets Visualizing the boundaries of price movement helps anticipate potential swing points. The concept of measured moves offers a structured framework to estimate future price behavior, based on the observation that each swing move often mirrors the size of the previous one, assuming average price volatility remains consistent. While not exact, this approach provides a practical method to approximate the extension of a swing move. Background Determining profit targets across various methods and timeframes can be challenging. To address this, I reviewed the tactics of experienced traders and market research, noting key similarities and differences. Some traders relied more on discretion, while others used technical targets or predetermined risk-to-reward ratios. Levels of support and resistance (S/R) and the Fibonacci tool frequently appeared, though their application varied by trader. Based on current evidence, levels appear most relevant when tied to the highest and lowest swing points within the current price structure, for example in a range-bound market. In contrast, sporadic or subtle levels from historical movements seem no more significant than random points. The Fibonacci tool can provide value since measurements are based on actual price range; however, the related values have limited evidence to support them. To explore these ideas, I conducted measurements on over a thousand continuation setups to identify inherent or consistent patterns in swing moves. It’s important to emphasize that tools and indicators should never be used blindly. Trading requires self-leadership and critical thinking. The application of ideas without understanding their context or validity undermines the decision-making process and leads to inconsistent results. This concept formed the foundation for my analysis, ensuring that methods were tested rather than taken at face value. Definitions Trending price movement advances in steps, either upward or downward. This includes a stronger move followed by a weaker corrective move, also known as a retracement. When the corrective move is done and prices seem to resume the prevailing trend, we can use the prior move to estimate targets; this is known as a projection. For example, if a stock moves up by 10%, pauses, and subsequently makes another move, we can utilize that value to estimate the potential outcome. Well thats the idea.. Data Through manual measurements across various timeframes, price structures, and stock categories, I have gathered data on retracements and projections. However, this information should not be considered precise due to market randomness and inherent volatility. In fact, deviations—such as a notable failure to reach a target or overextensions—can indicate a potential structural change. As this study was conducted with a manual approach, there is a high risk of selection bias, which raises concerns about the methodology's reliability. However, it allows for a more discretionary perspective, enabling observations and discretion that might be overlooked in a purely automated analysis. To simplify the findings, the presented values below represent a combination of all the data. Retracement Tool In the context of price movements within a trend, specifically continuation setups, retracements typically fall between 20% and 50% of the prior move. While retracements beyond 50% are less common, this does not necessarily invalidate the setup. From my observations, two distinct patterns emerge. First, a shallow retracement where the stock consolidates within a narrow range, typically pulling back no more than 10% to 20% before continuing its trend. Second, a deeper retracement, often around 50%, followed by a nested move higher before a continuation. For those referencing commonly mentioned values (though not validated), levels such as 23.6%, 38.2%, 44.7%, and 50% align with this range. Additionally, 18% frequently appears as a notable breakout point. However, I strongly advise against relying on precise numbers with conviction due to the natural volatility and randomness inherent in the market. Instead, a more reliable approach is to maintain a broad perspective—for example, recognizing that retracements in the 20% to 50% range are common before a continuation. This approach allows flexibility and helps account for the variability in price action. Projection Tool When there is a swing move either upward or downward, we can utilize the preceding one of the same type for estimation. This approach can be used exclusively since it is applicable for retracements, projections, and range-bound markets as long as there has been a similar price event in recent time. In terms of projection, the most common range is between 60% and 120% of the prior move, with 70% to 100% being more prevalent. It is uncommon for a stock to exceed 130% of the preceding move. Frequently mentioned values in this context include 61.8% and 78.6% as one area, although these values are frequently surpassed. The next two commonly mentioned values are 88.6% and 100%, which are the most frequent and can be used effectively on their own. These values represent a complete measured move, as they closely mimic the magnitude of the prior move with some buffer. The last value, 127%, is also notable, but exceeding this level is less common. Application The simplest application of this information is to input the range of 80% to 100% into the projection tool. Then, measure a similar prior move to estimate the subsequent one. This is known as the measured move. There are no strict rules to follow—it’s more of an art. The key is to measure the most similar move in recent times. If the levels appear unclear or overly complicated, they likely are. The process should remain simple and combined with a discretionary perspective. Interestingly, using parallel channels follows the same principle, as they measure the range per swing and project average volatility. This can provide an alternative yet similar way to estimate price movement based on historical swings. The advantage of this method is its universal and adaptable nature for setting estimates. However, it requires a prior swing move and is most effective in continuation setups. Challenges arise when applying it to the start of a new move, exhaustion points, or structural changes, as these can distort short-term price action. For instance, referencing a prior uptrend to project a downtrend is unlikely to be effective due to the opposing asymmetry in swing moves. In some cases, measured moves from earlier periods can be referenced if the current range is similar. Additionally, higher timeframes take precedence over lower ones when determining projections. This is nothing more than a tool and should be used with a discretionary perspective, as with all indicators and drawing tools. The true edge lies elsewhere. Example Use 1. Structure: Identify an established trend or range and measure a clear swing move. 2. Measured Move: Apply the measurement to the subsequent move by duplicating the line to the next point or using a trend-based Fibonacci extension tool set to 100% of the prior swing. The first two points define the swing move. The third point is placed at the deepest part of the subsequent pullback or at the start of the new move. 3. Interpretation: While this is a simple tool, its effective use and contextual application require experience and practice. Remember, this process relies on approximation and discretionary judgment.
NASDAQ:QQQEducation
by StockLeave
12
With big ups come big downs. Hi all thanks for looking this is a simple ML script that is showing a large dip following the current high price action. This is not advice nor correct it’s not “what’s going to happen” it’s simple a machine learning system that takes some info and then uses it for the future reference line. Which is going red in the 4H. This isn’t gospel it’s just another idea that is from a script so enjoy and share whatever you think is if value here l! Let’s learn together and make crypto or bitcoin gains together!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoFerk