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Parag Milk Foods Ltd - Monthly Cup & Handle Breakout📊 Parag Milk Foods Ltd – Monthly Cup & Handle Breakout ☕🚀 📅 Chart Date: November 2, 2025 | Timeframe: Monthly 📈 CMP: ₹311.55 (+19.98%) 📍 Symbol: NSE:PARAGMILK 🔍 Technical Overview 📉 Pattern: Cup & Handle Breakout (Bullish Continuation) The stock has completed a multi-year Cup & Handle pattern spanning from 2018–2025. Breakout above long-term trendline resistance (~₹290–300) on strong monthly volume confirms a bullish reversal structure. Sustaining above ₹300 can open up multi-month upside potential. 💥 Volume Confirmation (🔊) Monthly volume surged to 31.04M, nearly 30% above its 20-period average, validating the breakout with institutional interest. 📈 Next Resistance Zone: ₹380–₹410 📉 Immediate Support: ₹285 (Breakout Retest Zone) 💬 Analyst View After years of consolidation, Parag Milk Foods has broken out of a long-term cup & handle formation — a strong bullish structure often marking the start of a multi-year uptrend. Holding above ₹300 with volume could attract swing and positional investors, targeting ₹400+ levels in the medium term. ⚠️ Disclaimer This chart analysis is for educational and illustrative purposes only. It is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Always perform your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
NSE:PARAGMILKLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
Thomas Scott Ltd - Symmetrical Triangle Breakout - Weekly📊 Thomas Scott (India) Ltd – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout on Weekly Chart 🔺 📅 Chart Date: October 26, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly 📈 CMP: ₹364.05 (+16.93%) 📍 Symbol: NSE:THOMASCOTT 🔍 Technical Overview 📉 Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Price has been consolidating within a contracting triangle pattern since February 2024, showing a gradual squeeze in volatility. This week’s strong bullish candle with +16.9% move and above-average volume indicates a potential breakout attempt from the upper trendline. 💥 Volume Confirmation (🔊) Volume rose sharply to 277.4K, much higher than the recent average of 189.8K, supporting the breakout strength. 📈 Next Resistance Zone: ₹415–₹430 (previous supply area). 📉 Immediate Support: ₹330 (triangle breakout zone). 🎯 Trading Plan (for Educational Purpose) Entry (on Retest): ₹335–₹345 zone Stoploss: ₹295 (Weekly Close Basis) Targets: ₹415 / ₹475 / ₹525 Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5 ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and charting purposes only, not financial advice. Always do your own research before investing or trading.
NSE:THOMASCOTTLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
Cello World Ltd – Weekly Inverted Head & Shoulders Breakout📊 Cello World Ltd – Weekly Inverted Head & Shoulders Breakout 🧩 📅 Chart Date: October 29, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly 📈 CMP: ₹660.60 (+4.74%) 📍 Symbol: NSE:CELLO 🔍 Technical Overview 📉 Pattern: Inverted Head & Shoulders (Reversal Pattern) The stock formed a clear inverted H&S structure after a long downtrend, signalling potential trend reversal. Neckline breakout seen near ₹645, accompanied by rising volume momentum — suggesting buyer dominance. 💥 Volume Confirmation (🔊) Weekly volume surged to 3.2M, up significantly from the average of 1.02M, validating the breakout. 📈 Next Resistance Zone: ₹745–₹780 📉 Immediate Support: ₹640 (neckline zone) ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and charting purposes only. Not a buy/sell recommendation. Always do your own research before trading or investing
NSE:CELLOLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
Oberoi Realty Limited chart analysis: BUY SetupEntry: ₹1,687-1,695 (Current Level) Target 1: ₹1,722-1,725 Target 2: ₹1,754-1,760 Target 3: ₹1,800+ (Extended) Stop Loss: ₹1,650 Technical Rationale: Massive bullish momentum with +5.35% surge today Strong breakout from consolidation zone (1,600-1,690) Huge volume spike (2.61M) - highest in recent months RSI spiking above 60, indicating strong bullish momentum Price breaking above long-term resistance at 1,680 Gap-up opening showing institutional interest Real estate sector showing strength Clear resistance levels at 1,722 and 1,754 Risk-Reward: Favorable 1:2.5+ ratio Strategy: Momentum play - Book partial at Target 1 (1,722), trail SL to 1,670 at Target 2. Hold remaining for extended targets Caution: Watch for profit booking after such strong rally. Avoid chasing if price goes significantly above 1,700
NSE:OBEROIRLTYLong
by rmhetre15
Andhra Sugars Ltd - Weekly Chart📊 Andhra Sugars Ltd – Trendline Breakout on Weekly Chart 🚀 📅 Chart Date: October 12, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly 📈 CMP: ₹81.78 (+9.01%) 📍 Symbol: NSE:ANDHRSUGAR 🔍 Technical Analysis 📉 Downtrend Line Broken After Months of Consolidation The stock had been trading under a strong falling trendline since mid-2024. This week’s bullish candle successfully closed above the trendline, indicating a potential reversal from the long-term downtrend. 💥 Volume Confirmation Noticeable rise in weekly volume (1.84M) compared to the recent average of 1.06M, showing buying interest emerging from the support zones. 🟡 Key Resistance Level: ₹122.91 (previous swing high from June 2024).\ A breakout and weekly close above ₹123 could confirm a major trend reversal and open up higher targets. 📌 Key Levels Immediate Support (Breakout Retest Zone): ₹75–₹77 Resistance Zone: ₹122.91 Next Targets: ₹95 / ₹110 / ₹123 Stoploss (Weekly Close Basis): ₹70 ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational and charting purposes only. Not financial advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
NSE:ANDHRSUGARLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
Sammaan Capital Ltd - Weekly Breakout📊 Sammaan Capital Ltd – Major Trendline Breakout with Volume Spike 🚀 📅 Chart Date: October 2, 2025 | Timeframe: Weekly 📍 CMP: ₹169.58 (+23.04%) 📈 Symbol: NSE:SAMMAANCAP 🔍 Technical Analysis 📉 Multi-Month Downtrend Broken Stock has been consolidating under a falling trendline since late 2023. This week, price gave a clean breakout above the trendline with a strong bullish candle. 💥 Volume Confirmation Current Weekly Volume: 359.94M vs Avg 81.78M 🔥 Indicates strong institutional participation. 🟡 Key Resistance Next major hurdle is ₹204.38 (previous swing high). Sustained closing above this zone can open doors for higher levels. 📌 Key Levels Immediate Support (Breakout Retest): ₹142–₹150 Resistance Zone: ₹204.38 Potential Next Targets: ₹220 / ₹250 Stop loss for Swing Trades: ₹135
NSE:SAMMAANCAPLong
by PriceAction_Pulse
BTC/USD Near the Median of Weekly and Daily Regression TrendsHow to Approach the Setup Long‑term bias: bullish (weekly regression channel slopes upward, daily channel is flat‑to‑slightly bullish). Typical trader mindset: wait for an upward breakout with strong volume or place a buy‑limit order around the round‑number level of 115,000 USD and aim for an initial target near 120,000 USD (+4%). Price action and technical context BTC is currently trading close to the median line of two overlapping regression‑trend channels: Weekly Timeframe: Channel slope Upward - Interpretation : Long‑term bullish pressure Daily Timeframe: Channel slope Flat‑to‑slightly up - Interpretation : Short‑term equilibrium, slight upside bias. The price sits in a narrow corridor bounded by the upper and lower regression lines. Because the weekly channel is tilted upward, the overall market structure still favors higher highs. The daily channel’s flatness suggests that any move will need a catalyst—typically a surge in buying volume or a breakout above the weekly upper trend line. Key technical reference points Upper daily regression line: ~125,000 USD – the first resistance level that, if breached with volume, could trigger a sustained rally. Median (current price area): ~117,000 USD – a psychologically clean round number that also aligns with the median of both channels. Lower daily regression line: ~108,000 USD – a safety net; a break below would invalidate the bullish bias. Trade‑the‑setup options 1. Wait for a breakout – Enter the trade when the price closes above the weekly upper regression line and the accompanying volume is at least 1.5 times the 20‑day average. This condition confirms that the bullish bias is actually materialising and helps avoid false “whipsaw” moves. In practice, traders use a market order or place an aggressive limit order just above the breakout level (around 118,600 USD). 2. Buy‑limit at 115,000 – Set a limit order at the round‑number median of 115,000 USD. The round number acts as a natural “magnet,” and because the price is already near the median, this approach works well in a range‑bound market. The typical execution is a limit order at 115,000 USD with an initial profit target of 120,000 USD, representing roughly a +4 % gain. Both methods assume the trader will monitor volume and short‑term momentum (RSI, MACD) to confirm that the move is not a temporary spike. Momentum and volume cues RSI(14): Values climbing above 55 support the bullish bias; a dip below 45 warns of potential reversal. MACD: A bullish crossover (MACD line crossing above the signal line) on the daily chart adds confidence to a breakout or limit‑order fill. Volume: A surge to at least 150 % of the 20‑day average on the day of the breakout dramatically raises the probability of a sustained move. Risk considerations Stop placement: If the price falls below the lower weekly regression line (≈111,000 USD) or breaches the median downward with a sharp volume spike, exit the position. Position sizing: Because BTC’s volatility can be extreme, allocate a modest percentage of the portfolio (e.g., 2‑3 % of equity) to this speculative play. Alternative defined‑risk structures: Traders uncomfortable with outright exposure can use a debit call spread (e.g., buy the 115,000 USD call, sell the 120,000 USD call) to cap downside while preserving upside to the first target. Bottom line When BTC/USD hovers near the median of a bullish weekly regression channel and a flat‑to‑slightly bullish daily channel, the market is in a neutral‑to‑bullish equilibrium. The prudent approach is either: Patience: Wait for a volume‑driven breakout above the weekly upper trend line, or Precision: Place a buy‑limit order at the clean 115,000 USD level and target the first upside milestone at 120,000 USD (+4%). Both strategies rely on confirming momentum and volume before committing capital, while keeping a tight stop below the lower weekly regression line to protect against a sudden reversal.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by dPEngineering
Volume and Structural Analysis of THYAO — Reaching Resistance at📝 Analysis: My initial focus in this chart was on the daily buy and sell volumes. According to the table displayed at the bottom of the chart for August 6th: Buy Volume (t-0): 46.305M Sell Volume (t-0): 24.566M These values show a clear increase compared to previous checkpoints (t-13 and t-26). Notably, the buy volume is 28.3M higher than t-13 and about 1.6M higher than t-26. This gives us a broader picture: buying strength remains dominant, even though delta volume has not surpassed its value at t-26 (still about 7M short). Nevertheless, the current volume levels show stronger positioning compared to the mid-term past. On the upper-right side of the chart, four system-based scenarios have been triggered via our custom indicator: ✅ Scenario 01 – Buyer Power Convergence with Price ✅ Scenario 08 – Seller Weakness Divergence ✅ Scenario 09 – Bullish Volume Pressure ✅ Scenario 11 – Volume Dominance Bullish Together, they present a market that is tilting in favor of the buyers, with bullish sentiment supported by volume structure. Next, my attention shifts to the triangle formations on the chart, which were automatically plotted based on cross high/low logic. 🔺 The green ascending triangle, with a slope of 20.65°, indicates a healthy and steady bullish structure. Its top has not yet reached the resistance zone, where the red triangle forms a descending structure aligned with the R4 level at 314.25. Beyond the technical interpretation, I also look at triangles symbolically. Throughout history, from the Seal of Solomon (Star of David) to the Egyptian pyramids, triangles have represented stability, energy focus, and a path upward. In this chart, that symbolism holds true — the green triangle embodies a progressive, rising support, while the red triangle offers a calculated obstacle. What’s intriguing is the parallel structure of the triangle bases — suggesting a balanced energy field, ready to be tipped by momentum. 📊 When combined with other indicators: Price is above the red Ichimoku cloud It sits in the upper zone of the regression channel Bollinger Bands show an upward breakout bias Daily pivot levels align with this structure, and the R4 level (314.25) becomes a relevant resistance to monitor 📍 Conclusion: Given the alignment of structural elements and volume behavior, a move toward the resistance at 314.25 is well within reach under current market dynamics. ⚠️ This analysis is based on a custom-built indicator named Volume Based Analysis V 1.4+ and is provided strictly for educational and analytical purposes. No investment or trading advice is intended. 👥 I welcome your interpretations and experiences — Do you also see 314.25 as a realistic target?
BIST:THYAO
by ata_sabanci
Today's GOLD Analysis : MMC Structural Analysis + Reversal ZoneThis analysis is rooted in MMC – Mirror Market Concepts, a framework designed to track institutional behavior through liquidity patterns, QFL (Quick Flip Levels), trendline shifts, and volume bursts. The current 4H Gold chart demonstrates a smart money footprint that provides actionable insight for intraday and swing traders. 🔍 Detailed Technical Breakdown: 🟦 1. Previous Supply Completed | Demand Zone Reversal At the lower end of the chart, price entered a key blue zone around $3,250–$3,280, previously a supply zone now flipped into demand. This zone represents where institutional buyers absorbed liquidity, forming the base for a bullish impulse. The strong reaction from this zone, marked by long-wick candles and immediate reversal, indicates exhaustion of selling pressure. This reversal is confirmed by a QFL structure, meaning price created a fast liquidity sweep before flipping direction. MMC recognizes this as a high-probability area of reversal, a point where smart money typically enters. 📈 2. Trendline Breakout & Structure Shift A descending trendline, representing bearish market control, was decisively broken to the upside. This shift marks: End of the corrective phase Beginning of a bullish structural change Buyers now control the short-term narrative The breakout was not only clean but also supported by a volume burst, which is a classic MMC indicator that institutional traders are entering the market. 🔶 3. Volume Burst Confirmation Volume behavior plays a critical role in MMC. We see a clear volume spike post-breakout. This suggests that: The breakout is not false Buyers were aggressively positioned A sustainable move is in development This supports the validity of the trendline breakout and confirms the idea that price is ready to test higher liquidity zones. 🟢 4. Current Price Structure: Bullish Channel After the breakout, the market formed a bullish channel, where price is steadily climbing while respecting parallel boundaries. The channel support line acts as a dynamic entry point for retracement buys MMC strategy uses this structure to identify scaling entries at channel lows or after successful pullbacks into key reversal zones 🟩 5. Mini Reversal Area (Short-Term Resistance Zone) Price is currently testing a minor supply zone or what MMC defines as a "Mini Reversal Area". This is a reaction zone before continuing toward the major target above. There are two possible reactions: Short-term rejection, leading to a pullback into the lower channel support zone Minor consolidation, forming a base for a breakthrough toward major resistance 🟦 6. Major & Minor Supply Zones Above Marked in light blue and green, these zones represent areas where previous selling volume and distribution occurred. The major supply zone (approx. $3,440–$3,470) is the next institutional target The minor zone sits between $3,400–$3,420 and may cause initial resistance or a base for another impulse These levels are prime for partial profit-taking or scouting short-term reversal trades. 📊 Trade Management Insights: 🛒 Buy Opportunities (Long Bias): On pullback into channel support near $3,340–$3,350 On bullish confirmation from mini reversal area On break and retest above minor resistance at $3,420 🛑 Stop-Loss Suggestion: Below the channel support or below the blue demand zone (approx. $3,245) 🎯 Profit Targets: TP1: $3,400 (first resistance) TP2: $3,420 (minor supply) TP3: $3,450–$3,470 (major institutional level) 🧠 Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Highlights: QFL Structures = Institutional Reversal Points Volume Burst = Confirmation of Breakout Validity Trendline Breakout = Momentum Shift Channel Structure = Controlled Climb Pattern Mini Reversal Zone = Key Decision Point Before Continuation 🧭 TradingView Summary for Minds Community: This GOLD chart beautifully aligns with the MMC method — spotting smart money involvement early and aligning with their flow. After confirming structural reversal via trendline and QFL, the setup now looks poised for continuation toward the $3,440–$3,470 zone, making it a perfect chart to watch for buy-the-dip setups.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
"Crypto Charts Whisper—Are You Listening?"As I’ve mentioned before, the market is manipulated. In a previously published idea, “VSA vs BTC: Into a Bearish Scenario or Not?”, this manipulation becomes obvious. The big players—whales, institutions, banks—are deliberately engineering traps to absorb liquidity from uninformed retail traders, boosting their profits and power. Some informed retail traders like you and me understand that behind these entities are teams of insiders and highly trained traders operating around the clock—24/7, 365 days a year. That’s what it takes to survive in such a demanding environment. This is especially true in the crypto market, which—despite its explosive growth—is still a baby in terms of total market cap. That’s why price fluctuations are so extreme, whether it’s Bitcoin, Ethereum, or altcoins. Many of you who have been in the space since the early days already know: Bitcoin is the king. As the first coin built on cryptography, Bitcoin leads the way—and where it goes, altcoins follow. These movements often align with changes in Bitcoin Dominance. So, yes, Bitcoin is the king—but its movements aren’t random. Bitcoin follows rules, and these rules are shaped by data—especially macroeconomic data. One major example is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), released monthly by the U.S. Department of Labor and Statistics. And here's the key: the big players often have early access to this kind of information. They prepare accordingly—days before the official release—and when the data hits, they move the markets up or down. Even whales don’t act on gut feelings. They follow a framework. We, as retail traders, must adopt a similar approach. We may not have insider access, but we do have knowledge—and with an open mind, we can act in advance. As I’ve emphasized before: learning to read Market Structure lets you decode not just market psychology, but also the intentions of the big players. Their large positions leave footprints, just like a ship cuts a path through water. That trail is visible—for those who know where to look. If you study volume correctly, you’ll start to notice certain zones that keep coming back. That’s all I’ll say—for now. Unfortunately, many traders rely blindly on strategies like swing trading, expecting price to react at predefined swing highs or lows. But this rarely happens on schedule—especially in crypto. Yes, swing highs and lows exist—that’s the nature of all markets—but in between those levels, the big players create hidden structures that act as signals. These aren’t just random formations—they’re part of how the big players "communicate" with one another. First, to maintain balance within their own circles. Second, to create FOMO and trap emotional retail participants. Look at the SHIBA INU chart I’ve shared. This technique is unfolding in real time. Do you notice how the structure is compressing? How price and new swing levels are squeezing in? Look closer at the footprints I’ve highlighted—some of those levels are being respected and reused in the future. We’re taught from childhood that "we can’t know the future." But is that really true? Repetition of such beliefs is common—worldwide. But again, is it true? I think not. Think about this: if you drive a car full-speed toward a wall and don’t brake, what happens? You crash. Isn’t that a form of future reading? It’s based on logic, observation, and probability. The same tools we use in market analysis. So, I hope my words challenge your thinking. 📅 As of this writing (June 11, 2025), Bitcoin is trading at $109,588. Today’s candle still has about 17 hours left to form, and price action on the daily timeframe is sitting within a previously established supply zone. Bulls and bears are clashing here. But zoom in: what's happening on the lower timeframes? Which signals have been tested, and which haven't? Are we about to see a breakthrough above the all-time high? Could this be the launch of the next leg of the bull run?
by WhatComes21
Equity Research Flash – Hexaware Technologies Ltd.CMP: ₹722.35 | Bullish Momentum Post Trend Reversal HEXT shows a bullish breakout from a falling trendline, with RSI near 60 and strong volume uptick. The price reclaimed the 0.5 Fibonacci level, eyeing next targets at ₹749.85 (0.618) and ₹793.35 (0.786). Fundamentally strong with robust revenue growth, improving ROCE (26.4%), and low debt. A move above ₹750 could trigger further upside. Accumulate on dips with SL at ₹688. Recommendation: Positive | Buy on Dips Near ₹700 For Education Purpose only
NSE:HEXT
by rmhetre15
Equity Research Report – NEWGEN SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIESShort-Term View: A strong breakout above key resistance at ₹1,100 with volume surge indicates bullish momentum. Price reclaimed the 50 EMA after consolidation. RSI at 60.87 supports strength; next resistance lies near ₹1,193.90. Long-Term View: Structurally strong after correction. Sustaining above ₹1,020 (50 EMA) may attract fresh buying. Long-term targets can stretch to ₹1,300+ if earnings and demand trends remain favorable. Conclusion: Bullish momentum likely to continue both short and long term. Watch for volume confirmation and hold above ₹1,100. For Education Purpose only
NSE:NEWGENLong
by rmhetre15
ADITYA BIRLA CAPITAL LTD – Trend Reversal Breakout Trade🧠 Technical Highlights: Downtrend Channel Breakout: Clear breakout from a falling channel pattern Resistance Break: Strong breakout above supply zone of ₹204–₹210 Volume: Massive volume spike validates bullish strength RSI: Above 70, indicating strong momentum but not overbought yet 🟢 Buy Setup Buy Above: ₹219 (today's close confirms breakout) Stoploss: ₹204 (below the previous resistance/new support) Target 1: ₹235 Target 2: ₹248 Target 3: ₹260+ (swing/high-risk high-reward) 🔻 Sell/Short Setup (only if reversal) Sell Below: ₹203 Stoploss: ₹210 Target: ₹190, ₹178 📅 Timeframe: Short-to-Medium Term (2–6 weeks) 📊 Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5 For Education Purposes Only
NSE:ABCAPITALLong
by rmhetre15
Equity Research Report – CARE Ratings Ltd (CARERATING)🔹 Technical Outlook Stock has broken out of a horizontal resistance near ₹1,237 with volume pickup. RSI is above 60, indicating momentum strength. Short-term EMAs are crossing over the 50-day EMA — bullish signal. Volume confirms accumulation. 🛒 Trade Setup ✅ Short-Term View (Swing/Positional Trade): Buy above: ₹1,240 (on closing basis) Target 1: ₹1,320 Target 2: ₹1,375 Stop-Loss: ₹1,185 Timeframe: 2–4 weeks 🏦 Long-Term View (Investor Strategy): Buy Range: ₹1,180–1,240 Target 1: ₹1,450 Target 2: ₹1,580 Stop-Loss: ₹1,080 (weekly close) Timeframe: 3–6 months for educational purpose only
NSE:CARERATINGLong
by rmhetre15
Equity Research Report – Paras Defence & Space Tech Ltd Technical Summary Volume Spike: Sharp surge in volume confirms breakout strength. Resistance Flipped: ₹1,299 now acting as strong support. Momentum: RSI near 75 (overbought but strong bullish trend), indicating short-term potential with caution. Moving Averages: 20/50/200 EMA crossover in bullish alignment. 🛒 Trade Setup Short-Term View (Swing/Positional Trade): Buy Zone: ₹1,315–₹1,330 (on dip near support ₹1,299) Target 1: ₹1,435 Target 2: ₹1,475 Stop-Loss: ₹1,255 (below support & 5-day EMA) Timeframe: 2–3 weeks Short-Term View (Swing/Positional Trade): Sell Zone below: ₹1,299 Target 1: ₹1,222 Target 2: ₹1,200 Stop-Loss: ₹1,255 For Education purposes only
NSE:PARASLong
by rmhetre15
Equity Research Report – NEWGEN SOFTWARE TECHNOLOGIES Short-Term View: A strong breakout above key resistance at ₹1,100 with volume surge indicates bullish momentum. Price reclaimed the 50 EMA after consolidation. RSI at 60.87 supports strength; next resistance lies near ₹1,193.90. Long-Term View: Structurally strong after correction. Sustaining above ₹1,020 (50 EMA) may attract fresh buying. Long-term targets can stretch to ₹1,300+ if earnings and demand trends remain favorable. Conclusion: Bullish momentum likely to continue both short and long term. Watch for volume confirmation and hold above ₹1,100. For Education Purpose only
NSE:GODREJPROPLong
by rmhetre15
MANORAMA Industries Breakout Above Resistance | Short-Term Rally🧾 Financial Content for Client (Performance FY25) Revenue Growth: Strong topline growth as per latest quarterly results (Q4FY25), showing consistent demand recovery and margin stability. Profitability: Net profit margins have improved on the back of better operational efficiencies and strong demand for specialty fats and oils. Balance Sheet Strength: Debt levels remain manageable; focus continues on maintaining a healthy asset-light model. Future Outlook FY26: Expanding international orders, coupled with premium product segment focus, is expected to drive double-digit revenue growth. Management Commentary: Positive tone about expansion and demand pickup in domestic + export markets. Learning Content Price Action: Manorama Industries is at a crucial horizontal resistance (~₹1200), a major previous supply zone. Volume: Recent breakout attempt supported by a significant spike in volume, which is a strong bullish signal. RSI: RSI is near the overbought zone (>70), indicating strong momentum but also a caution for possible pullback if not sustained. 📊 Recommendations Intraday Recommendation: Bias: Bullish Entry: Above ₹1215 Intraday Target: ₹1245 – ₹1265 Stop Loss: ₹1185 Short-Term Recommendation (1–3 weeks): Bias: Bullish Entry: Above ₹1215–₹1230 Target 1: ₹1300 Target 2: ₹1370 Stop Loss: ₹1160 for educational purpose only
NSE:MANORAMALong
by rmhetre15
OFSS Weekly | Bullish Harmonic Reversal & RSI Breakout | Short-T📈 Swing Trade Recommendation (Short-Term): Buy Zone: ₹8,600–₹8,750 (on dips or on strength) Target 1: ₹9,300 (initial resistance and round number) Target 2: ₹10,200–₹10,500 (next harmonic resistance zone) Stoploss: ₹8,050 (below recent swing low) 🔍 Technical Highlights: Bullish Harmonic Structure forming with strong reversal from "C" to "D". Volume breakout supports the current leg of momentum. RSI bullish divergence and breakout confirms potential trend reversal. For Education purpose only
NSE:OFSSLong
by rmhetre15
1
Sundaram Finance | Falling Wedge Breakout with Strong Volume Pattern: Falling Wedge breakout followed by consolidation (bullish continuation). Breakout Confirmation: Clean breakout from both the wedge and the consolidation box with strong volume. Indicators: Volume: Spike visible (🔵 arrow) – confirming strength. RSI: Crossed above 60 – entering bullish momentum territory. EMAs: Price trading above all major EMAs – trend supportive. Buy Recommendation: Entry Range: ₹340–₹350 (Post-breakout retest may offer ideal entries if available) 🎯 Target Levels: Short-Term Target: ₹375 Mid-Term Target: ₹410–₹425 (Based on previous swing highs and wedge height projection) 🛑 Stop Loss: SL Level: ₹320 (below the consolidation box low) for educational purposes only
SLong
by rmhetre15
Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection█ Order Imbalance and Change Point Detection Trading might sometimes seem like magic, but at its core, the market operates on simple principles, supply and demand, and the flow of information. Recent academic work shows that retail traders can gain an edge even without expensive data feeds by understanding some fundamental ideas, like order imbalance and change point detection. In this article, we break down key concepts such as order imbalance, sudden volume shifts, change point detection, and the CUSUM algorithm. We also explain how retail traders can apply these ideas to improve their strategies. █ What Is the Order Book and Order Imbalance? ⚪ The Order Book Every market has an order book, simply a list of all buy orders (bids) and sell orders (asks) for an asset. ⚪ Order Imbalance – A Key Indicator Order imbalance measures the difference between the total buying and selling orders for the order book. Definition: Order imbalance is the difference in volume between buy orders and sell orders. Why It Matters: A strong imbalance means one side (buyers or sellers) is dominating. For example, if there are significantly more buy orders than sell orders, the market may be gearing up for a price increase. ⚪ How It’s Detected in Research: Researchers calculate a volume-weighted average price (VWAP) across multiple price levels in the order book (typically the top 20 levels) and compare it to the mid-market price. A positive imbalance indicates aggressive buying, while a negative imbalance suggests selling pressure. █ Sudden Volume Shifts and Change Point Detection ⚪ Sudden Volume Shifts What It Means: Sometimes, there is an abrupt and noticeable change in the number of orders placed. This sudden shift in volume can signal a big move on the horizon. Example: In a trading context, this might be seen when volume bars spike unexpectedly on a price chart, often accompanying rapid price moves or breakouts. ⚪ Why They Are Crucial: Sudden volume increases often coincide with significant order flow events. For instance, if a large number of buy orders hit the market at once, this could indicate a rapid shift in trader sentiment and serve as a precursor to a sustained price move. █ Change Point Detection – Spotting the Shift Definition: Change point detection is a statistical technique used to identify the exact moment when the properties of a data series change significantly. Purpose: In trading, it helps distinguish meaningful shifts in market behavior from random noise. How It’s Used: Researchers apply this to order imbalance data to flag moments when the market’s buying or selling pressure changes abruptly. These flagged moments (or “change points”) can then be used to forecast short-term price movements. █ Meet CUSUM: The Cumulative Sum Algorithm CUSUM stands for Cumulative Sum. It’s a simple yet powerful algorithm that detects changes in a data series over time. ⚪ How CUSUM Works: Tracking Deviations: The algorithm continuously adds up minor differences (or deviations) from an expected value (like a running average). Signal for Change: When the cumulative sum exceeds a predetermined threshold, it signals that a significant change has occurred. In Trading: CUSUM can be applied to measure the order imbalance. When the cumulative deviation is high enough, it indicates a strong change in market pressure, an early warning signal for a potential price move. For example, a rising cumulative sum based on increasing buy-side pressure might indicate that the price will likely move upward. █ How Can Retail Traders Benefit Without Full LOB Data? Full access to the order book (all price levels and orders) can be expensive and is usually reserved for institutional traders. However, retail traders can still gain valuable insights by: ⚪ Using Proxies for Order Imbalance: Many trading platforms offer basic volume indicators. Look for volume spikes or unusual shifts in trading volume as a sign that order imbalance might occur. ⚪ Leveraging Simplified Change Detection: Even if you don’t have complex LOB data, you can set up simple alerts on your trading platform. For instance, you might create a custom indicator that watches for rapid increases in volume or price moves, similar to a basic version of the CUSUM algorithm. ⚪ Focusing on Key Price Levels: Even with limited data, monitor support and resistance levels. A sudden break (accompanied by high volume) can serve as a proxy for a change in market dynamics. ⚪ Adopting a Data-Driven Mindset: Integrate these concepts into your routine analysis. When you see a significant volume shift or a sudden spike in activity, consider it a potential “change point” and adjust your strategy accordingly. █ In Summary Order Imbalance measures the difference between buying and selling volumes in the order book, offering insights into market direction. Sudden Volume Shifts are significant changes in trading volume that can signal a shift in market sentiment. Change Point Detection helps identify the precise moments when these shifts occur, filtering out noise and highlighting actionable signals. CUSUM is a powerful tool that continuously tracks cumulative deviations in market data, alerting traders when the market undergoes a significant change. For retail traders, these methods underscore the importance of watching price and understanding the underlying order flow. While you might not have access to full-depth order book data, using volume indicators and setting up alert systems can help you capture the essence of these insights, providing a valuable edge in your trading decisions. ----------------- Disclaimer The content provided in my scripts, indicators, ideas, algorithms, and systems is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on an evaluation of their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Zeiierman
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