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Gold Bull-Bear Critical Point Game and Structural Breakdown WarnGold Bull-Bear Critical Point Game and Structural Breakdown Warning Intraday Market Evolution and Key Nodes Weak Asian and European Sessions: Early trading under pressure and fluctuating downward, with continued weakness in the European session, confirming intraday bearish dominance US Market Change Window: Be wary of bullish traps during a US market rebound, with 4040 becoming the lifeline for bulls and bears Critical Points: Stabilizing 4040: Initiating a rebound (4100→4150) Breaking below 4040: Confirming continued decline (target 4000→3950) In-depth Technical Structure Analysis 4-Hour Cycle Core Signals Moving Average System: 55-period moving average (4065) forms dynamic support, while 21-period moving average (4140) provides resistance K-line Combination: Consecutive bearish candlesticks break below the previous low. A close below 4040 will form a downward relay. Momentum Indicators: RSI hovers around 40, MACD lines cross below zero. Key Price Levels Defensive Level: 4040 (Bull Lifeline) Resistance: 4147-4150 (4-hour high + Moving Average Bond Resistance) Support: 4065-4070 (Intraday Dynamic Support), 4000 (Psychological Level) Major Fund Movements and Fundamental Anchors Market Sentiment Monitoring Safe-Haven Demand: The risk of a delayed US government shutdown will weaken gold's safe-haven premium in the short term. Dollar Pressure: The probability of a Fed rate cut in November remains at 87%, and the dollar's volatile pattern limits gold's volatility. Institutional Holdings: Net long positions in COMEX gold futures decreased by 12%, reflecting short-term profit-taking pressure. Key Events Tonight 22:00 Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index Federal Reserve Board Governor Waller's speech (may signal the path of balance sheet reduction) Professional trading strategy Core short position Entry level: 4147-4150 area (high resistance 4 hours ago) Stop loss: above 4159 (failed previous high) Target level: 4085-4090 (level 1) → 4040 (Level 2) Long-Term Defense Plan Trigger Condition: US trading stabilizes at 4040 and a bullish engulfing candlestick pattern appears Reverse Level: 4065-4070 (try a light long position), stop loss at 4050 Target Level: 4100 → 4140 Risk Management Tips Avoid chasing orders before the US market opens; wait for key levels to be confirmed Position ratio ≤ 8%, reserve funds to mitigate false breakouts If it falls below 4040, exit all long positions immediately Gold is currently navigating a technical correction and fundamental support. A triple-filter strategy is recommended: Position Filter: Only participate in marginal trades between 4140 + resistance and 4040 - support Signal Filter: Requires a combination of candlestick patterns and indicator resonance (e.g., RSI divergence + engulfing candlestick pattern) Time Filter: Focus on momentum confirmation during the US trading session Key Note: If tonight's close is below 4040, it will confirm the start of a daily correction, and the future strategy should shift to shorting on rallies.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by gold_liz
$ALUMINIUM (DAILY): LONG position in-play, DOUBLE BREAKOUT onOpened this PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUM LONG position this week as the price started closing above the $2800 mark that I had been waiting for. Essentially a mega strong DOUBLE BREAKOUT ongoing, the RECTANGLE and the TRIANGLE, targetting $3165 and $3375, respectively. Stop loss when #aluminium loses its breakout point, simple trade, this one. This WAVE could either be number 3 or 5, but regardless, the momentum has been great, confirmed by a few HIDDEN BULLISH RSI divergences in a row. Commodities season. Crypto sucks this quarter, open your minds. 👽💙
PEPPERSTONE:ALUMINIUMLong
by ColdBloodedCharter
XAUUSD: Head & Shoulders Reversal and Current Consolidation1. Major Trend The price experienced a strong uptrend starting from approximately 4,000 USD up to a high of around 4,380 USD. This was followed by a sharp and significant downtrend back towards the 4,000 USD level. 2. Market Structure (Head and Shoulders Pattern) The shaded circles on the chart suggest the presence of a potential "Head and Shoulders" reversal pattern, a bearish formation: The first peak (left shoulder) is around 4,320 USD. The highest peak (head) is around 4,380 USD. The second major peak (right shoulder) is around 4,380 USD (or slightly lower than the head). The breakdown from this structure led to the sharp decline. 3. Recent Price Action (Consolidation and Potential Breakout) The sharp decline has slowed down and the price is currently showing signs of consolidation (choppy, sideways movement) in a tight range, specifically highlighted by the yellow box, between approximately 4,080 USD and 4,120 USD. This consolidation zone is often referred to as a flag or tight-range base. The chart includes an upward-pointing green arrow, suggesting an expectation or prediction of a bullish breakout from this consolidation range, potentially targeting the prior resistance/highs of the current range. The price is holding just above the 4,000 USD psychological support level.
GBEBROKERS:XAUUSDLong
by fx_martin9
Parkin (DFM) – Possible Reversal + Positive Earnings Momentum!Greetings Traders, The Parkin (DFM) chart is showing signs of a potential reversal setup following an extended downtrend. Let’s break it down: Key Observations: A bullish divergence is forming on the RSI, hinting at a possible trend shift. Price is consolidating near recent lows, forming a falling wedge pattern. Upcoming earnings are estimated to be positive, which could fuel upside momentum. A breakout with strong volume above AED 5.70 could confirm the trend reversal. Take Profit zones: AED 6.15 and AED 6.60. Stop Loss: around AED 5.25 to manage downside risk. 💡 Strategy: Wait for breakout confirmation supported by volume and earnings results. Enter cautiously and manage positions with defined stop losses. Happy Trading & Stay Disciplined!
DFM:PARKINLong
by adil271
Multiply Group (ADX) – Bearish Divergence Ahead, Stay Cautious!Greetings Traders, A bearish divergence has appeared on the Multiply (ADX) daily chart — time to stay alert! Key Observations: RSI shows a bearish divergence, signaling possible short-term weakness. High volumes recently indicate strong participation — a good sign for future momentum. Price action may move sideways, consolidate, or even push slightly higher before a decisive move. The buy zone is above the last higher-high (≈ AED 3.45) with confirmation from strong volume. Stop Loss: around AED 2.75 (below last low). Take Profit: near AED 4.15, aligning with the upper target projection. 💡 Strategy: Wait and observe the divergence play out. Enter only on confirmed breakout with volume confirmation. Manage risk with tight stop-loss levels. Happy Trading & Stay Disciplined!
ADX:MULTIPLY
by adil271
Fib Extension ZoneMarkets are still climbing, stocks only go up blah blah blah... I believe a proper correction is well overdue. That little pullback we had was nothing and just the beginning to whats to come. price is bouncing off both my transparent line and my parallel trend line that being respected so far. Price has finally reached my Fib Extension Zone. I will be WATCHING for a correction to begin from this point on... if you haven't locked in any profits yet. my opinion, you should... not all, but something. If price continue to rise. I will continue to dollar cost. Hope is helps and God Bless....
AMEX:SPYShort
by straightrawmedia
ADIB Stock Analysis – Converging Triangle in Focus!Greetings Traders, Today, we’re taking a closer look at ADIB (Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank) — an interesting setup forming on the chart! Key Highlights: Fundamentally strong: ADIB continues to deliver solid YoY earnings growth. Bearish divergence was observed earlier, leading to strong selling pressure, followed by the formation of a converging triangle pattern. This triangle appears to represent a corrective phase after a prolonged bullish rally. The stock recently announced positive earnings results, reinforcing the underlying strength. Considering the technical and fundamental setup, a bullish breakout from the triangle looks probable. Trading Plan: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the upper trendline before entering a cautious long position. Traders can take a risky position after break-out of triangle. And for Cautious traders wait for the breakout from the upper tip of the triangle. Stop Loss: Below the recent swing low. Keep an eye on volume during the breakout — confirmation is key. Happy Trading & Stay Disciplined!
ADX:ADIBLong
by adil271
Could FFAI be setting up for another run? NASDAQ:FFAI The weekly over the last year or so seems to be potentially forming an inverted head and shoulders, and if you go to the daily, the second shoulder itself seems to be forming one. It’s also holding above the .786 of a vwap drawn from its high volume candle (December I believe) of last year. If it recovers the 200 MA, I think it’s going to go. I will likely wait for confirmation before entering, a close above the daily neckline for short term, then the weekly neckline should it play out. If you see any speed bumps, or just plain disagree with my analysis, please comment. As always, I want to be right either way my money, not my ego.
NASDAQ:FFAILong
by Adam_scsd
$CRWV – Post-IPO Structure & Complex Kilroy Bottom FormationAfter its IPO, CoreWeave ( NASDAQ:CRWV ) exploded from $39 to $187, marking an impressive +380% gain in just a few months. However, following two missed earnings reports, sentiment cooled, leading to a broad retracement and multi-month consolidation. The upcoming earnings release could prove pivotal for the stock’s next major directional move. Daily Chart Structure On the daily timeframe, NASDAQ:CRWV has printed what appears to be a Kilroy bottom (complex inverted head-and-shoulders variant), though with an unusually complex structure — featuring two heads and two right shoulders. The first head triggered a strong rally that faded quickly. The second head formed a slightly higher low, maintaining bullish divergence. The second right shoulder extended lower to search for liquidity, tagging the top of the early September breakaway gap before rebounding. This secondary right shoulder also coincides with the lower Bollinger Band and Ichimoku cloud support, adding structural confluence. Gap Behavior & Market Sentiment Both prior gaps were filled rapidly, suggesting weak follow-through during prior upswings — a sign of underlying fragility in trend conviction. However, the new gap opening from the recent right shoulder introduces a potential reversal opportunity if supported by volume. The key focus now shifts to the $148–$149 zone, which represents: The neckline of the complex Kilroy formation The upper boundary of prior range resistance A zone of significant volume profile resistance on the right-hand side of the chart A decisive break above $149 on strong volume would confirm pattern completion and open the door to a potential retest of the $187 post-IPO high. Support & Risk Levels Below current price, the chart offers several well-defined structural levels: $133–$135: Minor support / gap fill area $119.5: Reaction level from recent low $112: Base of right shoulder and secondary liquidity zone $85: Full retracement area if sentiment turns risk-off As long as the right shoulder structure holds above $112, the base remains valid and the pattern’s bullish bias stays intact. Technical Summary ✅ Pattern: Complex Kilroy bottom (2H/2RS) ✅ Trend: Stabilizing; higher lows emerging 📊 Key Resistance: $148–$149 ⚠️ Support: $133 → $119 → $112 🎯 Upside target (if confirmed): $187 (post-IPO high retest) 🔍 Trigger: Volume-backed breakout above neckline Final Notes CoreWeave remains a volatile post-IPO name with strong structural setups but fragile sentiment. The chart suggests accumulation around recent lows, but confirmation will depend entirely on how price reacts into the $148–$149 resistance area. If the upcoming earnings release delivers a positive catalyst and volume confirms, the measured move from the Kilroy base could complete, retesting the $187 zone in the following quarter. For educational and technical analysis purposes only.
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by lindsey_dye
BITCOIN + ETH SIGNALS: MASSIVE MOVE INCOMING!!!(Nobody Watching)Yello Paradisers! Enjoy the video! And Paradisers! Keep in mind to trade only with a proper professional trading strategy. Wait for confirmations. Play with tactics. This is the only way you can be long-term profitable. Remember, don’t trade without confirmations. Wait for them before creating a trade. Be disciplined, patient, and emotionally controlled. Only trade the highest probability setups with the greatest risk to reward ratio. This will ensure that you become a long-term profitable professional trader. Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
3
DIA 5M Short Aggressive CounterTrend DayTradeAggressive CounterTrend Trade - short impulse - unvolumed T1 - one bar reversal + irregular volumed 2Ut- + weak test? + weak retest? Calculated affordable stop market 1 to 2 R/R take profit 1H CounterTrend "- short impulse - unvolumed T1 + resistance level + weak approach + biggest volumed unsuccessful manipulation bar" 1D CounterTrend "- short balance + expanding CREEK + weak approach" 1M countertrend "- long impulse - neutral zone + exhaustion volume?" 1Y CounterTrend "- long impulse + beyond rotation point - neutral zone"
AMEX:DIAShort
by MishaSuvorov
analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) based on your 15-minute chart:he chart shows a descending channel (marked by “TRADE LINE”) that recently broke to the upside, suggesting a possible short-term bullish reversal. A strong resistance zone is visible near 4140–4160, where price has previously rejected multiple times. The target zone below is marked around 4042.57, which aligns with prior swing support. Key Levels Resistance: 4140 – 4160 Support: 4080 – 4060 Target (Downside): 4042 Upside Break Zone: Above 4160 could lead toward 4180+ Analysis Summary The price broke out of a short-term bearish channel, indicating potential for a bullish correction toward resistance (4140–4160). However, this zone is critical resistance; rejection here may trigger a pullback back toward 4080 or even the target at 4042. Momentum indicators suggest the move is reactive (short-term retracement), not yet a trend reversal. ⚙️ Trading Outlook Bearish Bias: Below 4140 → potential retest toward 4060–4040. Bullish Confirmation: Only above 4160 → continuation to 4180–4200. MIL:RACE MIL:LDO MIL:STLAM MIL:ENI MIL:STMMI MIL:STMMI MIL:ENEL MIL:MONC MIL:PRY MIL:TIT MIL:FCT MIL:AZM MIL:WBD
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MR_NARCOS_ANALYSIS